The Barclays Betting Preview 2016 – FedExCup Playoffs

The Barclays Betting Preview 2016 FedEx Cup PlayoffsBethpage Black, Long Island, New York

7,468 yards par 71

The Course

Bethpage Black Course is a 7,468 yard par 71 and was designed by A.W Tillinghast and was opened in 1936. It is a public golf course on Long Island, New York and is the most difficult of the five courses at Bethpage State Park. In 2002, the Black Course became the first publicly owned and operated course to host the U.S. Open, which returned in 2009.

Bethpage Black hosted The Barclays in 2012 and is scheduled to host again in 2021, and 2027. It has three par 5’s, 11 par 4’s and four par 3’s and is a stern test of golf and will demand accuracy, length and good putting. The key to scoring around this course is keeping the ball in the tight tree lined fairways and out of the deep and penal rough. Players will also need to hit plenty of greens in regulation as the greens are small and have some deep and tricky bunkers guarding them which could be difficult to get up and down of. With conditions set to be dry and humid for the first three rounds these greens are expecting to play very fast.

 

Henrik Stenson 12/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 12/1

The Swede hasn’t taken his foot off the gas since winning The Open continuing his superb run of form. He followed his Open win with a T7 at The PGA Championship and a solo second place finish bagging him a bronze medal in The Olympics.  Stenson has eight top 25’s in his last nine starts and seems to be in the best form of his life. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win at The BMW International Open, a T13 in Castle Stuart, a win in Troon, T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio.

He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 26th in strokes gained putting. He has played well here in the past finishing ninth here at The US Open in 2009. With his accuracy off the tee and precision iron play, Stenson could be the man to beat here this week.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Rose comes to Bethpage this week after a superb performance in Rio bagging a gold medal for Team GB. He shot 67,69,65,67, to finish 16 under in total one stroke ahead of Swede Henrik Stenson. Despite a back injury a few weeks ago, Rose looks to be back fit and healthy and has been in good form lately. He finished solo third at The Wells Fargo, T19 at The Players, T22 at The Open in Troon, T22 at The PGA in Baltusrol and an impressive win in Rio where he lead GIR for the week and putted superbly – two key traits for dealing with tricky Bethpage Black.

He has played well on tricky US Open style courses over the last few years with wins in Merion, Congressional, Muirfield and Aronimink and seems to perform well on trickier course setups. Statswise he ranks 36th in GIR, sixth in strokes gained TTG, 20th in driving distance and 22nd in par 5 scoring. If he brings his “Olympics” game to Bathpage he could be a big danger here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T3 at The Wyndham last week, that makes it his second top five in his last three starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has played well here at Bethpage in the past finishing second here in 2012 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week. He ranks first in par 4 scoring, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in scrambling. After a solid performance in Sedgefield last week Sneds is certainly worth a second look here.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1 

The South African always ups his game for the bigger events and looks in good shape coming to The Barclays this week. Since winning his first PGA Tour event at The RBC Heritage back in April, Grace has followed that with a T9 at The Texas Open, T5 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T4 at the PGA Championship in Baltusrol which included a 66,67 over the weekend.

Although this is his first appearance here in Bethpage, Grace ticks a few key boxes here ranking fourth in SG approach to the green, ninth in SGTTG and 19th in par 4 scoring. If he can putt well this week Grace should have a good chance here.

 

Russell Knox 66/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 66/1 

The Scotsman had a superb win at the Travelers Championship a couple of weeks ago and never shot worse than a 68 throughout the week to finish 14 under in total. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T2 at the RBC Heritage, T19 at The Players, T23 at The US Open, T30 at The Open, T22 at the PGA and a win at The Travelers.

He looks to have the game that could suit this course ranking 11th in driving accuracy, second in GIR, 35th in scrambling and 19th in par 4 scoring. Knox has performed well on tough courses this season and if he putts well he could have a decent chance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Henrik Stenson 2pts EW 12/1

Justin Rose 1pt EW 25/1 

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 40/1 

Branden Grace 1pt EW 45/1 

Russell Knox 0.5 pts EW 66/1 

Total staked = 11 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter @Doublebogey63

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, North Carolina

7,127 yards par 70

The Course

Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards.

There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be an advantage here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. Be on the lookout for players that are in good form and have played well here in Sedgefield in the past. The Wyndham Championship is the last tournament before the FedEx Cup playoffs starts next week.

 

Webb Simpson 25/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Webb Simpson 25/1 

Webb has been playing some decent golf over the last few weeks. He played well at The Dean and Deluca Invitational finishing T3 and didn’t shoot worse than a 67 throughout the week. He then finished T11 at Memorial, solo sixth at The Quicken Loans and T13 at the PGA Championship. His record around this course is solid finishing eighth in 2010, win in 2011, 22nd in 2012, 11th in 2013, second in 2014 and sixth last year.

He struggled with his putting when the anchoring ban came in but he seems to be putting a lot better over the last few weeks. He ranks seventh in SG approach to the green, 26th in SG around the green, 11th in SG tee to green and ninth in par 4 scoring. If the putter warms up Webb could be right in the mix here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 25/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Brandt Snedeker 25/1

Sneds has bounced back into some form lately and could be a player to keep on side this week. He finished in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has a good record here in Sedgefield finishing fifth in 2014, 28th in 2012, eighth in 2010 and fifth in 2009. He ranks first in par 4 scoring, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in scrambling. Sneds is a real horse for the course around here and could be a big danger man here.

 

Jimmy Walker 28/1 Wyndham Championship 2016 Betting Preview Jimmy Walker 28/1

I was a tad surprised to see Jimmy at the 28/1 mark considering he’s just won the PGA. I noticed on social media that he seems to be doing a lot of practice over the last two weeks posting up pictures and videos of him nailing irons on the range which can only be a good thing! He has had a bit of a mixed bag this season but he’s been playing some great golf over the last couple of months.

He finished a respectable T24 at the Byron Nelson and followed that with a T29 in Colonial, T16 at The WGC Bridgestone, T14 in Canada and a win at The PGA where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 over the four rounds. He has played well here in the past finishing fourth here in 2012. Walker is an accurate iron player especially from inside 150 yards and ranks 25th in strokes gained around the green and 15th in par 5 scoring. If Walker can keep the momentum going into this week he should be a big contender.

 

Wesley Bryan 33/1

I have to say I really thought this guy was going all the way last week at The John Deere. He was playing great and held the 54 hole lead and went on to finish in a very respectable T8. He has four top 10’s in his last five tournaments finishing T9 at The Nashville Open, T2 at The Lincoln Land Charity Championship and a win at The Digital Ally Open.

In his last 12 competitive rounds Bryan hasn’t shot worse than a 70 and looks to be in great shape coming here this week. He ranks first in strokes gained putting, first in par 3 scoring, third in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. Bryan is playing superb golf at the moment and I expect that to continue here at The Wyndham.

 

William McGirt 33/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016William McGirt 40/1 

After a great win at Memorial a few weeks ago McGirt looks to have found some form over the last few weeks. He followed that with a T7 at The WGC Bridgestone which included an opening round 64, and a T10 at The PGA Championship in Baltusrol.

McGirt has played well here in the past finishing T14 here last year and T8 in 2014. He ranks 22nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in driving accuracy, 20th in par 4 scoring and 32nd in scrambling. With some good current form and a decent record at this course, McGirt could be worth a bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Webb Simpson 1pt EW 25/1 

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 25/1 

Jimmy Walker 1pt EW 28/1

Wesley Bryan 1pt EW 33/1  

William McGirt 1pt 40/1 

Total staked = 10pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016

John Deere Classic 2016 Betting Preview TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois

7,268 yards, par 71

Over the years some big names have dominated this event with Jordan Spieth, Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson all winning here in Illinois. TPC Deere Run is a 7,268 yard par 71 and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s with the average winning score being roughly 18 under par.

With the three par 5’s all reachable in two and the fairly easy par 4’s, there will be a lot of birdies on offer, which explains the extremely low scoring over the years. The course sits along rolling woodlands alongside a rock river and has some small ponds and ravines. It also has rolling fairways that are quite generous off the tee so driving accuracy won’t be hugely important. Of the top 10 finishers last year, eight of them ranked inside the top 15 in GIR, six were inside the top 20 in strokes gained putting and eight were in the top 20 in scrambling. When Jordan Spieth won last year he putted superbly well all week and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting. With previous winners being Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker and Jordan Spieth it would appear that good putters seem to excel around TPC Deere Run.

The course has undergone elevation changes on several holes. The 14th is a downhill par 4 measuring just 358 yards and can be driveable in the right conditions. There is also water present on five holes, but shouldn’t pose too much of a problem for the players. This course is relatively easy but will demand good putting and accurate approach shots in order to make birdies. The key stats to look at here are par 4 scoring, strokes gained putting, GIR, previous form and current form.

 

Zach Johnson 6/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Zach Johnson 6/1

It’s hard to see past Zach Johnson here especially in this particularly weakened field. His record around TPC Deere Run is ridiculously good with a win in 2012, second in 2009, third in 2011, second in 2013, second in 2014 and a third here last year. Johnson is also playing well lately with four top 20’s in his last six starts. He finished T17 in Colonial recently and followed that with a T8 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The Open Championship in Troon.

Statswise he ranks 38th in strokes gained putting, 34th in scrambling and 24th in par 3 scoring. With a lot of key players either at The Olympics or taking the week off, Zach is a worthy favourite here and should be the man to beat.

 

Daniel Summerhays 22/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Daniel Summerhays 22/1

Summerhays has been in fine form lately with seven top 25’s in 11 starts. He played well at The Valero Texas Open at the end of April finishing T13 and followed that with a T14 at The Wells Fargo, T23 at The Players, T8 at The US Open in Oakmont, T21 at The Quicken Loans, solo third at The PGA and a T11 last week at The Travelers.

He has a good record here at TPC Deere Run finishing T8 last year, T13 in 2014 and T4 in 2013. Statswise he ranks eighth in strokes gained putting and 31st in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a good record here Summerhays could have a good week here.

 

Gary Woodland 28/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Gary Woodland 28/1

Big hitting Gary has been playing well over the last few months with eight top 30’s in 11 starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T20 and followed that with a T24 at The Wells Fargo, T28 at The Players, T12 at The Byron Nelson, T4 at Memorial, T21 at The Quicken Loans, solo second at The Barracuda and a T12 at The Open in Troon.

He has only played this event twice with his best finish coming in 2010 with a T21. Statswise he ranks 15th in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in driving distance, 27th in GIR and 31st in par 4 scoring. With a weakened field Woodland could take full advantage here and be right in contention come Sunday.

 

Robert Streb 33/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Robert Streb 33/1

I’ve been keeping one eye on Streb over the last few weeks as he seems to be coming back to some good form. He had a respectable T28 at The Wells Fargo and followed that with a T20 at Memorial, T21 at The Quicken Loans and a T7 at The PGA Championship which included a third round 63.

He has played well here in the past finishing T14 last year and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 in four rounds. He also finished T22 in 2013 which included three rounds in the 60’s. Streb tends to play well this time of year and could keep his good form going this week at TPC Deere Run.

 

Steve Wheatcroft 80/1

The American has had a pretty unflattering season so far but has played exceptionally well in the last four weeks. He had a great week at The Barracuda Championship finishing T5 and followed that with a T20 at The Barbasol and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He then had another great performance at The RBC Canadian Open shooting 68,77,64,69 on his way to another T5. If it weren’t for that slight blemish in the second round in Canada it could’ve been a different story for Wheatcroft.

His best finish at TPC Deere Run came here last year when he finished T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 through four rounds to finish 16 under par in total. If he keeps that momentum going into this week he could be a big contender at a decent price.

 

Final Selections – 

Zach Johnson 2pts EW 6/1 

Daniel Summerhays 1pt EW 22/1 

Gary Woodland 1pt EW 28/1 

Robert Streb 1pt EW 33/1 

Steve Wheatcroft 1pt EW 80/1 

Total Staked = 12pts 

PaddyPower paying 7 places 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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US PGA Championship Betting Preview 2016

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2014Baltusrol Golf Club, Lower Course, Springfield, New Jersey

7,428 yards par 70

The Course

The Baltusrol Golf Club is a private 36-hole golf club in Springfield, New Jersey located about 30 km west of New York City. It was founded 121 years ago in 1895 by Louis Keller and was named after Baltus Roll, who farmed the land on which the club resides today.

In 1985, Baltusrol became the first club to have hosted both the U.S. Open and Women’s U.S. Open on two different courses. Both courses were originally designed by A. W. Tillinghast in 1918. The club’s original 9-hole course was designed by George Hunter in 1895, and expanded to 18 holes in 1898.  The first national championship on the Upper Course was the U.S. Open in 1936. Among the many major tournaments it has hosted, the club was most recently the site of the 2005 PGA Championship.

In 1948, Robert Trent Jones was retained to update and lengthen the Lower course for tournament play. The Lower course was lengthened again by his son Rees Jones in 1992 in preparation for the U.S. Open in 1993. He also updated and lengthened the Upper course in advance of the 2000 U.S. Amateur.

The course is spread out over rolling parkland with ponds and other man-made and natural hazards that come into play. It has four par 3’s, 12 par 4’s and only two par 5’s. The 4th hole and the 18th hole have ponds which will add a slight intimidation factor for the players. The three signature holes of the are the fourth, a par three of 194 yards where players must hit their ball over the pond to a two-tiered green; the seventeenth, a par five of 650 yards and the eighteenth, a par five of 533 yards which will be reachable in two for most of the field. The pond on the left hand side of the eighteenth has been made bigger since 2005 and could be a bit intimidating for the players with a draw or a fade for the leftys. Six of the par 4’s measure over 450 yards with the longest being the 505 yard 7th. The longest of the par 3’s is the 16th which measures a lengthy 230 yards.

This course is a tricky and lengthy par 70 with average size fairways. The rough looks like its going to be particularly penal so keeping it in the fairway will be advantageous. There will also be some tricky fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy looks to be important. The greens are quite small and sloppy so GIR will be one stat to pay particular attention to here along with good putting.

Phil Mickelson won here back in 2005 on a score of four under par. Other previous winners at Baltusrol include Jack Nicklaus and Lee Janzen.

 

Rory McIlroy 8/1 US PGA Championship 2016 Betting PreviewRory McIlroy 8/1

The more I look at Baltusrol the more I think it could be a great fit for Rory. He fought hard for a T5 finish at Troon and was a bit unlucky with the draw and the weather. Despite that he still shot rounds of 69,71,73,67 to finish four under par in total. Rory has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win and four top 5’s in his last seven events. He had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T4 and followed that with a win at The Irish Open, T4 at Memorial, solo third at The French Open and a T5 at The Open.

He has a superb PGA Championship record with two wins which came in Valhalla in 2014 and Kiawah Island in 2012, a third place finish in 2010, T8 in 2013 at Oak Hill and a T17 last year in Whisling Straits. He ranks first in strokes gained off the tee, third in strokes gained tee to green and 13th in driving distance. With a great record at this event and good current form Rory looks a good bet here and the pick of the favs.

 

Henrik Stenson 16/1 USPGA Championship 2016 Betting PreviewHenrik Stenson 16/1

After the heroics of Royal Troon a couple of weeks ago The Swede looks to have his game in superb shape coming to Baltustrol. He broke all sorts of records at The Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week posting an impressive 20 under par in total. He also had a good week in Scotland finishing in a respectable T13 and recovered well after opening with a 76. Stenson has six top 25’s in his last nine starts and seems to be in the best form of his life. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win at The BMW International Open, a T13 in Castle Stuart and a win in Troon.

Statswise he ranks first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. He has played well in previous USPGA’s finishing 25th last year in Whistling Straits, third in 2014 in Valhalla and third in 2013 at Oak Hill. With Baltusrol demanding accuracy off the tee along with hitting plenty of greens this will be right up Stenson’s street and he could add a second major to his trophy cabinet this week.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 USPGA Championship 2016 Betting Preview Phil Mickelson 20/1

After going toe to toe with Stenson in Troon, Mickelson finished three strokes behind The Swede after shooting a superb final round 65 to finish solo second. He played great golf all week opening with an impressive 63 and followed that with a 69,70,65 over the weekend to finish 17 under par in total. Mickelson has been playing well this season with five top 30’s in his last seven starts. He played well at The Wells Fargo finishing T4 and followed that with a T20 in Memorial, T2 at The St Jude, T27 at The Bridgestone and a solo second at The Open.

He has won around Baltusrol in the past winning the 2005 USPGA Championship on four under par. He has a good record over the last few years finishing T12 in 2010 at Whistling Straits, T19 in 2011 in Athletic Club, second in 2014 in Valhalla and T18 last year in Whistling Straits. Statswise Phil ranks 16th in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in SGP, fist in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With being a previous winner here in Baltusrol, a decent record in USPGA Championships and a superb performance at Troon recently, Phil has to have a good chance here.

 

Zach Johnson 55/1 USPGA Championship 2016Zach Johnson 55/1

Although Johnson isn’t the biggest hitter on Tour he may have the edge here with his accurate driving and great putting. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished worse than T17 in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Dean and Deluca Invitational finishing T17 and followed that with a T8 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The Open Championship in Troon which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a third round 75. He has played well around Baltusrol before finishing T17 here in 2005.

He has decent PGA Championship form finishing third in 2010 at Whistling Straits and eighth in 2013 at Oak Hill. With great current form and a good performance here in ’05 Johnson is another player with a good chance here.

 

JB Holmes 66/1 USPGA Championship 2016J.B. Holmes 66/1

As we all know, J.B. can be a little bit unpredictable but after seeing his rather generous price I thought he was worth a look here. He played well in two of the last three majors finishing T4 in Augusta after a super final round 68, and solo third at The Open after shooting two 69’s over the weekend. He also finished T13 in Texas and T4 at Memorial recently after shooting 67,69 over the weekend so his current form is very good.

He finished T24 in Whistling Straits in 2010 and T24 again in Whistling Straits last year. Statswise he ranks second in driving distance and seventh in strokes gained off the tee which could be a big advantage around here. If he gets the putter rolling he could be one to watch here.

 

Jason Dufner 80/1 USPGA Championship 2016Jason Dufner 80/1

The 2013 Champion has had a decent season so far and seems to be returning to form lately with four top 25’s in his last seven events. He has won already this season shooting 64,65,64,70 to win the CareerBuilder Challenge back in January. He played well at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and followed that with a T6 in Colonial, T8 at The US Open and T22 at The Open Championship in Troon.

His USPGA record in quite impressive. He finished fifth in 2010 at Whistling Straits, second in 2011, T27 in 2012 in Kiawah and a win in 2013 at Oak Hill. Dufner looks to have the game that could suit this course ranking eighth in GIR, 23rd in strokes gained tee to green and 16th in par 4 scoring. For a guy that’s a good record in this event and is playing well he looks a tad overpriced here.

 

Final selections – 

Rory McIlroy 2pts EW 8/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5pts EW 16/1 

Phil Mickelson 1.5pts EW 20/1 

Zach Johnson 1pt EW 55/1 

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 66/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 80/1 

Total staked = 16 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016

RBC Canadian Open 2016 Betting PreviewGlen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario

Par 72, 7,253 yards

Last Week at Royal Troon –

Stenson Claims Claret Jug with Flawless 63

It was a superb battle between Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson in the final round of The Open Championship. They traded blows throughout the round with some accurate driving, superb iron play and great scrambling. Just when you thought one of them would drop a shot or two after a rare mistake, they would bounce back with in style. However it was Stenson who came out on top with four birdies in the last five holes that clinched the Claret Jug and gave us a nice 28/1 winner.

The Course

Glen Abbey hosts the RBC Canadian Open for the 28th time this year and was the first course Jack Nicklaus designed himself and first hosted Canada’s National Championship in 1977. Most recently, this event took place here in 2004,2008,2009, 2013 and 2015 so it will be worth checking for players with good course history. It is located near Lake Ontario and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has nearly 100 bunkers and numerous water hazards. Three of the four par 5’s are on the back nine (13,16,18) which are three of the easiest holes on the course and will offer up some birdies and possibly eagles on the way in.

The opening nine holes are quite flat and shouldn’t be too much of a problem for the players to negotiate. However the back nine could be a little bit trickier with a distinguishing feature of the Glen Abbey course are the “Valley Holes”, numbered 11 through 15. On number 11, a par 4, players tee off a cliff to a fairway that is approximately 60 feet below on the valley floor. The second shot must clear Sixteen Mile Creek to the green. Holes 12, 13 and 14 all use Sixteen Mile Creek as a hazard in one form or another. Number 15 is a short par 3 with a sharply-sloping green, after which players climb out of the valley to the 16th hole. The winning score on this course has been between 16 and 18 under over the last few years so expect plenty of birdies.

The defending champion Jason Day proved that hitting fairways off the tee is not essential around here. He ranked T72 for driving accuracy but was second in driving distance and ranked fourth in strokes gained putting last year so that gives us a clue what to look out for statswise here. Key areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, driving distance, par 5 scoring and strokes gained putting. This course is quite short for PGA Tour standards so players with a bit of length along with good putting, scrambling and accurate iron play are worth considering here.

 

Dustin Johnson 13/2 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Dustin Johnson 13/2

The World number two arrives in Canada after adding another top 10 finish to his season after finishing T9 at Royal Troon last week. He could have finished better last week in Troon but just didn’t make enough putts on those slower than average greens. The American has been in superb form recently finishing fourth in Riviera, third in Houston, T4 in Augusta, T12 at The Byron Nelson, third in Memorial, fifth at the St. Jude and back to back wins in Oakmont and Firestone.

Johnson was second here in 2013 and comes here in better form this time around. He ranks second in driving distance, 26th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained putting, 22nd in par 5 scoring and leads par 4 scoring. Favourites have a good record here over the years and after playing with such dominance over the last few weeks, Johnson has to be the man to beat here.

 

Matt Kuchar 14/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Matt Kuchar 14/1

With the exception of the last two majors, Kuch has played great golf recently with five top 6’s in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T3 and followed that with a solo third at The Byron Nelson, T6 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational, T4 at Memorial and T3 in Firestone.

He has played great here in the past finishing second last year and seventh in 2013. Statswise he ranks 33d in GIR, 22nd in strokes gained putting, 28th in scrambling and fifth in par 4 scoring. Kuchar is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on tour and I expect him to go well here.

 

Emiliano Grillo 40/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 40/1

The Argentinian started the season in style with and recorded his first win on The PGA Tour at the Frys.com Open. Lately he has three top 15’s in his last four starts and comes here on the back of a respectable T12 at The Open Championship in Royal Troon. He finished T17 at The Masters and followed that with a T11 at Memorial and a T14 at The WGC Bridgestone.

He played well here in Glen Abbey last year finishing in a respectable T22 for the tournament which included an opening round 64. He also ticks some statistical boxes here averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranks 30th in GIR and 34th in strokes gained off the tee. Grillo looks to have found some good form lately and could be one to watch here.

 

Colt Knost 40/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 50/1

Knost has been in fine form over the last few weeks with three top 5’s and a top 20 in his last six starts. He played superb in Sawgrass finishing T3 which included an impressive 63 in round two. He followed that with a T4 at The Byron Nelson which included another 63 in round two, T18 at The St.Jude Classic and a solo third at the Barracuda Championship.

He started well here last year shooting 68,69 in the first two rounds but fell away over the weekend to finish T43. He leads driving accuracy hitting just under 75% of fairways off the tee and ranks 30th in strokes gained putting and 15th in scrambling. Knost is playing great golf lately and looks a very generous price this week.

 

William McGirt 50/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016William McGirt 50/1

The American won in Memorial a few weeks ago and played great golf throughout the tournament which included a superb third round 64. He has been playing well since mid-February finishing T20 at Riviera, T8 at The Honda and T9 at the RBC Heritage. He followed that with a T17 at The Wells Fargo, win in Memorial and a T7 at The WGC Bridgestone which included an opening round 64.

He has played well here in the past finishing T2 in 2013 shooting 69,67,68 over the weekend. He played here last year shooting 67,69,75,69 to finish T34, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for the third round 75. Statswise he ranks 31st in strokes gained tee to green, 26th in strokes gained putting, 30th in driving accuracy and 17th in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections – 

Dustin Johnson 3pts WIN 13/2 

Matt Kuchar 1.5pts EW 14/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 40/1 

Colt Knost 1pt EW 50/1 

William McGirt 1pt EW 50/1 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Open Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Open Championship Betting Preview 2016 Royal TroonThe Old Course, Royal Troon Golf Club, Troon, South Ayrshire, Scotland

Par 71, 7,064 yards

The Course

The Open Championship is the oldest of the four majors and always takes place on a tricky links style setup in the month of July. The last time Troon hosted the Open Todd Hamilton was the surprise winner beating Ernie Els in a playoff.

Royal Troon Golf Club is a links golf course located in Troon, South Ayrshire, southwest of Glasgow. The club was founded 138 years ago in 1878, initially with five holes. George Strath was appointed in 1881 as the club’s first golf professional. Adjacent to the Firth of Clyde, Troon was granted its “Royal” accolade in 1978, during its centennial.

Past Open champions at Royal Troon include Justin Leonard, Mark Calcavecchia, Tom Watson, Tom Weiskopf, Arnold Palmer, Bobby Locke, and Arthur Havers. The last six Opens at Troon have been won by Americans.

The course has 11 par 4’s, 3 par 5’s and 4 par 3’s. The toughest holes at the 2004 Open were the par 4 eleventh and the par 5 sixth which measures a daunting 601 yards.

The teeth of this course are the blind bunkers off the tee, some of which are deep pot bunkers, the prevailing wind howling in off the coast and the penal gorse. Royal Troon is home to both the longest and shortest holes in Open Championship golf. Regarded as one of the top holes in the world, the par-3 8th hole “Postage Stamp” measures a short 123 yards, but its diminutive green measures a mere 420 square feet and can be difficult to hit if the wind gets up. The main areas to look at here are GIR, driving distance/accuracy, strokes gained putting and above all else previous Open/links experience.

Usually players that have played well in previous Opens and contended in majors over the last few years are the guys to keep an eye on here. Have no doubt about it, experience will be key.

 

Dustin Johnson 9/1 Open Championship 2016Dustin Johnson 9/1

What an incredible few weeks it’s been for DJ. He has played superb golf this season and comes to Troon this week after back to back wins at The US Open and The WGC Bridgestone. I noticed on Twitter last week Johnson played a round in Portmarnock Links and St Annes in Dublin getting in some practice for Troon and played very well apparently. The American has been in superb form recently finishing fourth in Riviera, third in Houston, T4 in Augusta, T12 at The Byron Nelson, third in Memorial, fifth at the St. Jude and back to back wins in Oakmont and Firestone.

His Open Championship CV is also quite good with a T14 in 2010 at St Andrews, second in 2011 at Royal St Georges, ninth in 2012 at Lytham and T12 at Hoylake in 2014. He led after two rounds in St Andrews last year but fell behind after a couple of 75’s over the weekend to finish T49. Johnson ranks second in driving distance, 30th in GIR, 38th in strokes gained putting, second in proximity to the hole and leads par 4 scoring. After playing with such dominance over the last few weeks, Johnson has to be the man to beat here.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Adam Scott 25/1

After back to back wins at The WGC Cadillac and The Honda Classic earlier this season not to mention his good current form, Scott could be one to watch here this week. The Aussie has been playing well lately with four top 20’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and followed that with a T12 at The Players, T18 at The US Open and a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone. He has been in Troon over the last week practicing and said on Sky Sports News his game “felt really good”.

Scott has a great Open Championship record finishing second in 2012 at Lytham & St Annes, third in 2013 in Muirfield, fifth in 2014 in Hoylake and T10 last year in St Andrews. He had a great chance to win in 2012 but his tee shot found a pot bunker just off the 18th fairway and Scott was left with no other option only to chip out sideways. This led to an unfortunate bogey and he ended up losing by one stroke to Ernie Els. He ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking first in SGTTG, 15th in driving distance, 23rd in GIR and sixth in proximity to the hole. With such a great record in The Open over the last few years Scott has a really good chance here.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede had a good week in Scotland finishing in a respectable T13 and recovered well after opening with a 76. Stenson has five top 25’s in his last eight starts and looks to have his game in great shape coming into this week. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win in Germany at The BMW International Open and a T13 last week in Castle Stuart.

He has a mixed bag of results at The Open over the last few years but most notably finished third in 2010 in St Andrews and second in 2013 in Muirfield. Statswise he ranks first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. In 2013 Stenson finished T3 in Castle Stuart at The Scottish Open and followed that up with a second place finish in Muirfield. Let’s hope history repeats itself here and Henrik goes one better this time around.

 

Branden Grace 30/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Branden Grace 30/1

Grace started well last week in Castle Stuart shooting 71,67 in the first two rounds but fell away over the weekend shooting a disappointing 74,71 to finish T29. However he has been in great form lately and had a great win at The RBC Heritage a few weeks ago. He followed that with a T5 in Oakmont at The US Open and a T10 in Firestone at The WGC Bridgestone. He won at the windy Doha Golf Club Qatar in 2014 and again earlier this year and is no stranger to windy conditions.

He has won on links style setups before winning the Alfred Dunhill Links in 2012, a second place finish in Castle Stuart at The Scottish Open in 2013 and a respectable T25 at The Alfred Dunhill Links 2014. He has played the Open four times in the past and his best finish was T20 last year in St Andrews but he could improve on that here in Troon. The South African ticks the boxes here ranking 20th in driving distance averaging just under 300 yards off the tee, 23rd in GIR and seventh in strokes gained putting. With a decent links CV and good current form Grace could be worth keeping on side here.

 

Martin Kaymer 45/1 The Open Championship 2016 Royal TroonMartin Kaymer 45/1

The German has been playing very well recently and looks to have his game in great shape with five top 15’s in his last six starts. His good run began in Valderrama where he finished T6 at The Open De Espana in wet and windy conditions. He followed that with a T5 in The Irish Open at another wet and windy venue The K Club in Co. Kildare negotiating the conditions superbly finishing with a final round 65. Kaymer had another good week in Wentworth finishing T7 and the BMW PGA and followed that with a T5 at The Open De France and a T13 last week in Castle Stuart.

He has a good Open Championship record finishing T12 in St Andrews last year, T12 at Royal St Georges in 2011 and T7 at St Andrews in 2010. Kaymer has a decent links record winning The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2010 and finishing T7 at the same tournament in 2013. With excellent current form and a decent links record, Kaymer could be another danger man here at a decent price.

 

Graeme McDowell 80/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Graeme McDowell 80/1

The Portrush man played well in Castle Stuart finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish nine under for the week. He has been showing glimpses of decent form finishing T9 at The Players Championship which included two 69’s over the weekend. He then followed that with a T27 at The BMW PGA in Wentworth and a T18 at The US Open in Oakmont. He won The OHL Classic at Mayakoba earlier this season at the windy El Camaleon in Mexico. Gmac has a decent record at The Open over the last few years finishing T9 in Hoylake in 2014, T5 in Lytham and St Annes in 2012 and T23 in St Andrews in 2010. He is another player with decent Links credentials finishing T19 at The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2015 and T3 in 2011 and winning the US Open around the windy Pebble Beach in 2010. McDowell is an accomplished links player and looks great value here at 80/1.

 

Nicolas Colsaerts 125/1 The Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Nicolas Colsaerts 125/1

The Belgian bomber looked really impressive last week in Scotland especially on the back 9 on Sunday. He had four birdies and an eagle to card an impressive 30 strokes on the way in to finish T3 for the tournament. He has been playing well lately with seven top 25’s in his last eight starts. He had a good week in China finishing T15 and then followed that with a T3 in Mauritius, T23 at The Irish Open, T22 at The BMW PGA, solo third at The Nordea Masters, T22 at The Open De France and a T3 last week in Castle Stuart.

Colsaerts was one of four players to claim a spot for the Open in Scotland and has only played in three Open Championships before. Despite missing the cut at both St Andrews last year and Muirfield in 2013, he did play well in Lytham and St Annes in 2012 finishing an impressive T7 which included two 65’s. He has played well on links setups in the past finishing T3 in 2011 and T8 in 2013 in Castle Stuart, T19 at The Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles in 2012 and T9 at The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2011. Statswise he ranks 12th in driving distance averaging 301 yards off the tee and seventh in GIR hitting 75% of greens on average. If the Belgian heats up and makes a few putts he could be a big contender at a huge price.

 

Final selections –

Dustin Johnson 2.5pts EW 9/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 28/1

Branden Grace 1pt EW 30/1

Martin Kaymer 1pt EW 45/1

Graeme McDowell 1pt EW 80/1

Nicholas Colsaerts 1pt EW 125/1

Total staked = 17 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2016

WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016 Betting PreviewFirestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio

Par 70, 7,400 yards

The Course

Harvey Firestone commissioned the club 87 years ago in 1929 as a park for employees of the Firestone Tire and Rubber Company. Its first course, the South, was designed by Bert Way and opened on August 10, 1929, with Firestone driving the first ball. A major redesign by Robert Trent Jones in 1960 added over 50 bunkers, two ponds and brought the course up to 7,189 yards at par 70. The course was redesigned by Golforce in 1985 and played at 7,400 yards for the WGC event in 2013 which is what is measures today.

At 7,400 yards Firestone is a tricky test and has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour and will not be reachable in two for most of the field. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards so length along with accurate iron play will be an advantage here. Good long iron players will also be worth looking at here as four of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards.

The key stats here are GIR, driving distance, strokes gained putting, par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Brooks Koepka 20/1

Big hitting Brooks has been playing some superb golf this season and comes here in great form. He hasn’t finished worse that T13 in his last three events and looks like he could win any day now. He was unlucky not to win the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks and lost a playoff to Sergio Garcia after a wayward second shot on the first playoff hole. He then had a T2 at The St.Jude and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 over the four rounds. He followed that with a respectable T13 at Oakmont after shooting an impressive final round 68 to finish +4 for the tournament. He played well here last year finishing T6 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 for the four rounds finishing -5 for the week.

Statswise he ranks 14th in driving distance, fifth in strokes gained off the tee and fourth in par 4 scoring. With great form so far this season and a good performance here last year Brooks looks in good shape to be a big contender here.

 

Branden Grace 22/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Branden Grace 22/1

The South African has been in fine form so far this season and came close to a win in Oakmont a couple of weeks ago finishing T5 after shooting a final round 70. He had a great week at The RBC Heritage recently coming away with a great win and followed that with a T9 in Texas which included a 69 and a 67 over the weekend.

Grace has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He ranks 20th in SGTTG, 30th in GIR and seventh in par 4 scoring. Grace always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and has to be respected here after grinding out a great performance in Oakmont.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

It’s hard to know which Bubba will turn up at Firestone this week. He hasn’t been at his strongest form wise lately but I’m willing to wager that if he can bounce back anywhere, it could be here. On paper this course looks like it could suit the big hitting lefty and after a second place finish last year, he will be coming here feeling he can take this course on again. He hasn’t been at his best over the last four or five events but he has played well this season with a win at The Hero World Challenge earlier in the year, a T10 in Kapalua, T14 in Phoenix, a win in Riviera and a solo second at The WGC Cadillac.

Despite a T37 in 2014, Bubba hasn’t finished worse than T27 in five of his last six attempts here at Firestone. His form figures read 2,37,27,19,21,22 since 2010 so he knows his way around here. Watson also ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking ninth in driving distance, eighth in GIR and 11th in par 5 scoring. After coming close here last year, big hitting Bubba could be worth keeping an eye on here.

 

Patrick Reed 35/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Patrick Reed 35/1

Reed has had a bit of a mixed bag over the last few weeks but all in all seems to be playing well. He finished solo second in Texas recently and followed that with a T28 at The Byron Nelson, T15 at Colonial, T8 in Memorial and a T39 last week in Congressional.

The young American has a decent WGC CV with a win at The WGC Cadillac in Doral in 2014, T15 here in Firestone last year and T4 in Firestone in 2014. He ranks first in strokes gained around the green, 19th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling and 18th in par 5 scoring. Reed is a confident guy and could have another great week after playing well here in ’14 and ’15.

 

Jason Dufner 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Jason Dufner 40/1

With a couple of top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four starts, Jason Dufner returns to Firestone where he has played some good golf in the past. He had a good week at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and followed that with a T6 in Colonial, T33 at Memorial and an impressive T8 at The US Open in Oakmont.

In his last 16 competitive rounds Dufner has shot worse than a 70 three times (worst was a 73 in round 1 in Oakmont) so something seems to be clicking. In three appearances here Dufner has finished T66 in 2014, T4 in 2013 and solo seventh in 2012. He ranks seventh in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 1.5pts EW 20/1

Branden Grace 1.5pts EW 22/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 35/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 40/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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US Open Betting Preview 2016

US Open Betting Preview 2016 OakmontOakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania

Par 70, 7,230 Yards

The Course

I’ve been doing some reading up on Oakmont and the general consensus is its very tough and going to be a huge test for the players. Daniel Berger tweeted last week “The rough is on steroids you can’t advance the ball 10 yards sometimes” which says it all really. This course last hosted the US Open back in 2007 where Angel Cabrera won on a score of +5. The course was designed by Henry Fownes and was opened 113 years ago in 1903. It straddles the Allegheny River Valley and uniquely has virtually no water hazards, and, since 2007, almost no trees. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The shortest hole is the par 3 13th measuring 183 yards. The longest hole is the par 5 12th measuring a lengthy 667 yards.

With a USGA course rating of 77.5 and some 200 bunkers it is generally regarded as one of the most difficult in the US. It features large, extremely fast, and undulating Poa annua grass greens.

The course is also noted for its slope. In particular, on holes 1, 3, 10, and 12, the greens pitch away from the fairway. One of Oakmont’s most famous hazards is the Church Pews bunker that comes into play on the 3rd and 4th holes. It measures approximately 100 by 40 yards (91 by 37 m) and features twelve grass covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.

Arnold Palmer famously said “You can hit 72 greens in regulation in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning”. It seems the main areas of focus are negotiating these tricky greens. Making enough putts could be the key to winning around here along with GIR and a mix between power and accuracy.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 7/1

There is no other golfer on the planet playing as well as Jason Day at the moment. He has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass. He had a mediocre performance at Memorial finishing T27 and took a break last week.

Day has a great US Open record finishing eighth in Chambers Bay in 2015, fourth in Pinehurst in 2014, second in Merion in 2013 and second in Congressional in 2012. He seems to be a player with a complete game for this course and ranks first in strokes gained putting, second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and 20th in driving distance. With superb current form and a great all round game Day has to be the man to beat here.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Despite taking a rest with a back injury over the last few weeks Justin Rose looks to be pain free according to his Twitter profile. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last nine starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters. More recently he finished T19 at The Players and solo third at The Wells Fargo and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 all week.

The Englishman has a good record in US Opens over the years finishing 27th in Chambers Bay last year, 12th in Pinehurst in 2014, a win in Merion in 2013 and a T21 in Olympic in 2012. Rose also played well in Oakmont in 2007 finishing T10 and comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks fifth in GIR and 18th in driving distance and if he stays injury free he could be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

Despite a poor performance at Memorial, Matsuyama has been playing well over the last couple of months and has four top 11’s in his last six starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T7 at The Players Championship. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo.

He has played in three US Opens and hasn’t finished worse than T35. He finished 18th in Chambers Bay, T35 in Pinehurst in 2014 and T10 in Merion in 2013 . He ranks 14th in GIR, seventh in par 4 scoring, 25th in par 5 scoring and third in strokes gained around the green. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and could be a big contender here.

 

Brooks Koepka 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 50/1 

Brooks played great last week at The St.Jude shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T2. He also came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds but lost in a playoff to Sergio Garcia after shooting a final round 71. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has played well in his two previous US Open appearances finishing 18th last year in Chambers Bay and fourth in Pinehurst in 2014.

Kopeka is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging 305 off the tee and ranks ninth in driving distance. He also ranks sixth in strokes gained around the green and seventh in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and could have the game to suit a tricky Oakmont setup.

 

Patrick Reed 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 50/1

With six top 15’s in his last nine starts Patrick Reed’s game looks in great shape to take on mighty Oakmont. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston and a solo second in Texas. More recently he finished T15 at Colonial which included a 65,69,69 the first three rounds capped off with a final round 71 to post six under for the week. He had another good performance at Memorial finishing T8 which also included three rounds in the 60’s.

Reed has played in two US Opens and he seems to be getting better every time he plays. He finished T14 in Chambers Bay last year and had a respectable T35 at Pinehurst in 2014. He also looks good statistically ranking 51st in driving distance, 13th in SGTTG and first in strokes gained around the green. He also ranks fourth in scrambling and 14th in par 5 scoring. He looks good value to have a solid week on a course that could suit.

 

Danny Willett 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Danny Willett 50/1

The Masters champion has had a superb season and arrives this week feeling fresh after some time off since Wentworth where he finished solo third. He had a good three rounds the week before in Ireland but had a poor final round to finish T23. He also had a good week at the WGC Cadillac finishing T3 and followed that with a T22 at The Valspar. He then went on to shoot an unreal 67 in round four in Augusta to win The Masters and beat Jordan Spieth. The Englishman also won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier in the season so he is no stranger to winning.

He has featured in two US Open’s in 2014 and 2015. He missed the cut in Chambers Bay last year and finished T45 in Pinehurst in 2014. Despite his average record in US Open’s, he has proved he can contend and win in the best fields. He also looks good on paper ranking fourth in stroke average, 25th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained putting. Danny has to be respected here and could be in with a chance given his current form.

 

Final selections – 

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 50/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 50/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 50/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts 

 

Most bookies paying 7 places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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FedEx St.Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards

The Course

The FedEx St. Jude Classic is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958, and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989. This will be the final tournament before the US Open next week in Oakmont. TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

The fairways here are undulating and narrow and will demand a fair amount of accuracy. The rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course. The greens here are quite small and undulating and will demand accurate iron shots and good putting in order to make birdies. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.

 

Brooks Koepka 14/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 14/1

Brooks came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds. His game looked in great shape but he let the tournament slip through his fingers after shooting a final round 71 and was beaten by Sergio Garcia in a playoff. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has a good record here at TPC Southwind finishing third here last year and T19 in 2014.

Koepka is averaging over 300 yards off the tee and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After coming close to a win at The Byron Nelson, Brooks could bounce back strongly here this week.

 

Ryan Palmer 16/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Ryan Palmer 16/1

Palmer has been playing well over the last few weeks with two top 5’s and a top 25 in his last four starts. He had a great week in Texas shooting 68,70,72,69 on his way to a T4 finish and followed that with a respectable T23 at The Players Championship. Most recently he came close to winning the Dean and Deluca Invitational at Colonial and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish T3 on 13 under for the tournament. He has a good record here finishing third in 2012, fourth in 2013, T32 in 2014 and T22 last year.

He is averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking eighth in driving distance and ranks second in par 5 scoring. He seem to be heating up just at the right time and could be a big danger here.

 

Harris English 25/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Harris English 25/1

English seems to be showing some form over the last few weeks. He had a good performance back in February finishing solo third in Phoenix and followed that with a solo 10th at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. More recently he played well at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and then had a solo second at The Dean and Deluca Invitational in Colonial in which he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 over the four rounds.

English will have good memories coming back here after winning in 2013 and could easily follow that up with another good performance this week.

 

Colt Knost 40/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 40/1

Knost has been in tip top form lately and had another impressive top 5 finish at The Byron Nelson finishing T4 after shooting 63,69,65 over the weekend which was his second 63 in three weeks. He was very impressive in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

Knost has played here three times before finishing T15 in 2011, MC in 2013 and T12 last year. He ranks second in driving accuracy, 28th in SGP and first in putting inside 10 feet. Knost is in good form and looks great value considering his current form.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Daniel Berger 25/1 

Despite a poor performance at Memorial last week, Berger is playing great over the last few weeks he hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last eight starts. He played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 25th in driving distance and 25th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections – 

Brooks Koepka 14/1 1.5pts EW

Ryan Palmer 16/1 1.5pts EW

Harris English 25/1 1pt EW

Colt Knost 40/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s team matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jason Day The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 13/2

The Aussie has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He started the week with an opening 63 and followed that with a 66 on Friday. He looked to be in complete control of his game throughout the week and despite his less than impressive record here at Muirfield, I wouldn’t be surprised if he won again this week. Day has been playing great golf this year and got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay winning back to back. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass.

Day’s best finish here is T33 in 2010 but he should able to improve on that this time around. He ticks all the boxes here statistically ranking 13th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 37th in GIR. He also ranks third in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring which are two stats that should suit Muirfield. Although Spieth and McIlroy have a big chance and deserve huge respect, Day for me makes the most appeal here and looks to be unstoppable lately.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 16/1

Matsuyama is in fine form coming here this week and could be a massive contender. He has four top 11’s in his last five starts and comes here on the back of a T7 at The Players Championship at Sawgrass. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo. Matsuyama got his first PGA Tour victory here at Muirfield in 2014 and recorded another top five finish last year finishing T5.

He also looks good statswise ranking fifth in SGTTG, 11th in GIR, fourth in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a great record on this course Matsuyama looks to have a great chance here.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

Bubba has gone a bit quiet over the last few weeks and took some time off after The Players where he finished T43 for the tournament. He has been playing well this season finishing T14 in Phoenix, a win at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open and solo second at The WGC Cadillac after shooting an impressive final round 68.

Watson has played well here in the past and came close to winning here in 2014. He was two clear going into the back 9 but finished bogey-double bogey on 14 and 15 to miss out on the playoff by one stroke and ended up finishing third. Big hitting Bubba ranks second in SGTTG, sixth in driving distance, third in GIR, 33rd in par 4 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. After coming so close in 2014 Bubba could get back to winning ways here.

 

Jason Dufner 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Dufner 50/1

Dufner looks to be back showing some form lately and played well last week in Colonial finishing T6. He didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week firing 68,69,66,70 to finish nine under for the tournament. He also had a good performance at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and also didn’t shoot worse than a 70. Dufner has shown decent form this year and had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge at the start of February and followed that with a T11 at the WGC Cadillac and a T22 at The Valspar.

He has played well here in Ohio in the past finishing T24 last year and T19 in 2014. Statistically he ranks 22nd in SGTTG, 10th in GIR, 23RD in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders. If he can keep the putter rolling on the greens Dufner should have a good chance here at a generous price.

 

Daniel Berger 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016 Daniel Berger 50/1

The young American is one of the form players at the moment and could be one to keep a beady eye on here. He hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last seven starts. Berger played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He has played here once in the past missing the cut last year but should improve on that this week. He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 31st in strokes gained tee to green and 12th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 2pts EW 13/2

Hideki Matsuyama 2pts EW 16/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 50/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 50/1

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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