Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial Betting Preview

Bo Van Pelt 30/1

Bo Van Pelt comes into this week after being beaten by Greame McDowell last week in Tharacian Cliffs in Bulgaria after playing a decent match but couldn’t match up to the mighty Gmac who played absolutely fantastic golf all week. But as I said, Bo is playing well at the moment and most recently recorded a Tied 6th finish at The Wells Fargo Championship a couple of weeks back. He also has a good record around Colonial finishing 5th in 2004, 10th in 2010 and 3rd in 2011. A guy that is certainly worth backing here this week given his recent form and record around Colonial.

 

Charl Schwartzel 14/1

If Charl’s Putter was hot last week I reckon he would have undoubtedly been the winner last Sunday night. He missed a lot of makeable birdie putts and didn’t appear to be getting the putter going at all unfortunately. However he did finish well in solo third to add his list of top 10 finishes so far on the PGA Tour this season. He finished tied 3rd at The Northern Trust Open back in Feb, Tied 9th at The Honda and a solo 3rd finish last week. He also led the field in GIR and ranked tied 2nd in par 4 scoring. He is 9th in Birdie Average, 22nd in Driving Distance, 35th in GIR, 2nd in Scoring Average and 27th in the All Around. He’s the in form guy at the moment and despite this being his first visit to colonial, I don’t think that will make him any less dangerous.

 

Henrik Stenson 33/1

Another player who was playing last week in Bulgaria and is playing very well at the moment recording 2 top 5’s in his last 4 starts on the PGA Tour which includes a Tied 5th finish at The Players in which he got me a place at a very generous 60/1. Before that Henrik finished tied 18th at The Masters and the week before finished tied 2nd in The Houston Open. His stats are pretty impressive ranking 1st in Driving Accuracy, 1st in GIR and 1st in Total Driving and 14th in The All Around. His stats combined with his recent form is reason enough for me to have a punt on him this week at Colonial.

 

Martin Laird 30/1

Two top 10’s in 2 starts at Colonial for the in form scot Martin Laird. He’s another player enjoying a fabulous run of form at the moment. He finished in a tie for 5th at The Players, in which he got me a place at 110/1, and won the Texas Open back in April with the likes of Mr McIlroy snapping at his heels but kept his composure and holed some super putts to get the win. 39th in GIR, 59th in Driving Distance and Driving Accuracy.A win and a top 5 in Martin’s last 4 starts make him a danger man here in my opinion.

 

John Huh 45/1

A player playing good golf at the moment with a couple of very good finishes in his last 4 starts. Huh finished tied 8th last week at The Byron Nelson and had a very good performance at The Masters finishing tied 11th. His results would be a lot better if it wasn’t for his final round scoring, However with a good final round 71 last week in tough conditions I think he could be getting a little more consistent. Played well here at Colonial last year with a top 5 finish and, given his current form is worth a look at 45/1.

 

Kevin Streelman 25/1

This guy is playng seriously good stuff at the moment with 3 top 6’s in his last 3 starts. Tied 2nd at The Players, Tied 6th at The Wells Fargo and tied 3rd at The RBC Heritage and a winner in Tampa make up Streelman’s awesome run of form at the moment. I decided to back him in The Players each way at 80/1 and he had a great finish shooting a final round 67. 22nd in Driving Accuracy, 23rd in GIR, 19th in Strokes Gained, 7th in Scoring Average and 10th in Total Driving. He finished 10th here in 2011 and comes here as a serious underdog. One to watch.

 

This Weeks Selections are :

Bo Van Pelt 30/1 2pts

Charl Schwartzel 14/1 2pts

Henrik Stenson 33/1 1.5pts

Martin Laird 30/1 1 pt

John Huh 45/1 1 pt

Kevin Streelman 1.5pts

All players above backed Each Way.

Prices taken from Bet365 at 18.00 on 21st May 2013

 

Good Luck,

 

DoubleBogey6

The HP Byron Nelson Championship

The HP Byron Nelson Championship

Venue : TPC Four Seasons, Irving, Texas

Course Details : Par 70

Length : 7,166 Yards

 

 

Last weeks at The Players:

Well it was a seriously up and down week for me at TPC Sawgrass I have to say. Watching Sergio knock the first ball into the water on 17 was hard enough but then watch him take the choice of playing off the tee and not the drop zone I thought, at the time, this was an act of a lunatic and a lot of people saying it was a potential “Tin Cup” moment on Twitter and they weren’t wrong to be fair but after seeing where the drop zone was, I think he made the right choice it did look like a tricky shot.  However it was great to get places on my two longshot selections on Kevin Streelman, who finished in tied 2nd at 80/1 and Martin Laird, who finished in tied 5th at a very tasty 110/1. We can’t forget about Henrik Stenson who also had a great week finishing in tied 5th getting me another place. All in All last week made me some decent profit with those 3 places. Let’s hope we can go better get us a winner in Texas this week.

 

Marc Leishman 20/1

I have to say he really was impressive in The Masters and I thought if he could continue that momentum after shooting a fabulous first round 66 he would be the man to beat, however he followed that up with a 73,72,72 finish which was very respectable around Augusta to finish tied 4th.   He’s on a bit of a top 10 streak at the moment with 3 top 10’s in his last 3 starts. Tied 4th at The Masters, tied 9th at The RBC Heritage and tied 8th last week at The Players make him a serious contender here in Texas. He has a great record around here with 2 top 10’s and a T12 in 4 starts which includes finishing tied 3rd last year. Certainly a danger man here this week and one to watch.

 

Jordan Speith 40/1

A local lad and has played here twice while attending High School nearby and made the cut on both occasions. He played here back in 2010 on a sponsor’s exemption and finished in a tie for 16th at the age of 16! In 9 PGA Tour starts he has made the cut 6 times and has had 3 top 10’s so far this season. He finished Tied 9th at The RBC Heritage, 7th in Tampa Bay and 2nd in Puerto Rico. The young 19 year old ranks 28th in adjusted scoring and tied 8th in par 4 scoring. He is undoubtedly playing well at the moment and is having a great year so far. I reckon things can only get better for him and I’m more than happy to take him at 40/1 on a course he knows and is very fond of.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1

He’s the highest ranking player here at No. 7 in the world in the 156 in the field. Already a winner on The European Tour this season winning The Volvo Champions back in January and recently finished 5th in The Ballantine’s back in April. Although he missed the cut at The Masters, Louis had a top 10 in The Houston Open the week before and finished in a tie for 19th at The Players last week.  His European Tour stats are, 26th in Stroke Average, 13th in Driving Distance, 21st in GIR and 27th in Putts per GIR. On the PGA Tour he is 26th in Driving Distance and most notably, 29th in GIR. Louis is a steady tee to green player and is ideal for TPC Four Seasons.

 

Jason Day 12/1

A previous winner back in 2010, 5th in 2011 and 9th in 2012 and returns for this week in very good form. He has 4 top 10’s already so far this season including a 3rd place finish in The Masters. He also finished in tied 9th at The Farmers in January, 6th at The AT&T in Feb  and 3rd in the WGC-Accenture Matchplay also back in Feb. Finished in tied 19th last week at The Players and, as history would suggest, appears to like this golf course. 14th in Driving Distance, 20th in Strokes Gained Putting,  4th in Sand Saves and 21st in Scoring Average. That’s enough evidence for me to suggest he has the potential to win it again here this year given his stats and season so far.

 

Ryan Palmer 25/1

Palmer seems to be another player that likes TPC Four Seasons finishing in tied 9th last year and lost in a playoff in 2011 to Keegan Bradley. Palmer has had 3 top 10’s so far this season finishing tied 6th in The Humana back in January, 5th in The Pheonix Open in Feb and more recently tied 15th in Texas and had a fantastic week last week at The Players finishing in a tie for 5th. So far so good for the Texas man however he received some bad news that a long-time friend passed away last weekend but still played on and finished well despite hearing that bad news. 11th in Driving Distance, 35th in GIR, 57th in Strokes Gained Putting, 19th in Scoring Average, 8th in Birdie Average and 17th in Total Driving. At 25/1 he’s got my vote!

 

Selections this week are:

Marc Leishman 20/1 2 pts EW

Jason Day 12/1 2 pts EW

Ryan Palmer 25/1 1.5pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1 1.5pts EW

Jordan Speith 40/1 1 pt EW

All players priced from Bet365 at 23.30 on Tuesday May 14th.

 

Good Luck,

 

DoubleBogey6

 

The Players Championship Betting Preview

 

Billy Horchel 40/1

Well he’s most certainly the man to back at the moment that’s for sure! Winner in New Orleans after draining a snake of a 20 footer for a birdie on the 18th green to snatch the win, Billy Horchel cannot be ignored this week given the way he’s racking up these top 10’s lately. Tied 2nd in Houston, Tied 3rd in Texas, Tied 9th at The RBC Heritage and a winner in New Orleans make up his last 4 starts. 31st in Driving Accuracy, 24th in GIR, 14th in Strokes Gained putting 2nd in Birdie Average, 11th in Scoring Average , 8th in Total Driving and 5th in the All Around make Billy a clear choice for me here at Sawgrass and, given the above stats, it’s hard to bet against a guy in great form at the moment.

 

Bo Van Pelt 50/1

Bo had an encouraging finish last week at The Wells Fargo finishing -5 in a tie for 6th which has been his best finish so far this season on the PGA Tour. However he has won on the European Tour last October in Perth and I have a feeling he could be in the mix here this week. His previous record around Sawgrass reads tied 7th here last year, tied 4th here in 2010 and Tied 8th in 2006. Given his strong finish last week combined with his previous record, Bo could well be in the mix here at a decent price.

 

Luke Donald 18/1

Luke is another player that has a decent record around Sawgrass coming 2nd in 2005, 4th in 2011 and 6th in 2012. His previous 3 starts haven’t been too shabby either finishing in a tie for 4th in Tampa, T25 at The Masters and tied 3rd at The RBC Heritage which are good signs for the former world Number one. He is 49th in Driving Accuracy, 48th in Strokes Gained Putting, 8th in Scoring Average and 10th in Sand Saves. Luke comes into this week after a 2 week break and will be well rested, which is all the more reason to put your hard earned cash on him here this week in my opinion.

 

Henrik Stenson 60/1

Another player with a good record at The Players with a 3rd place finish in 2006, 10th in 2008 and not to mention winning in 2009. With a 15th place finish last year, I think he is most certainly in much better shape this year. 2 top 10’s on the PGA Tour so far this season finishing tied 2nd in Houston and Tied 8th at The Arnold Palmer, and also finishing well at The Masters in a tie for 18th. 3rd in Driving Accuracy, 1st in GIR, 33rd in Scoring Average and 1st in Total Driving are some of Stenson’s stats so far this season on the PGA Tour. In conclusion, with the above stats in mind combined with Henrik’s previous record and his performances so far this season he’s a huge price for a player of his ability and could be well in contention come the weekend.

 

Sergio Garcia 30/1

Sergio is another player with a great record here over the years finishing 4th in 2002, 2nd in 2007 and Won in 2008. He is having  decent year on the PGA Tour so far this season making 7 cuts out of 7 with a 3 top 10’s and 6 top 20’s not to mention the withdrawal from the Arnold Palmer. Tied 3rd at The WGC Cadillac, Tied 7th in Tampa and most recently tied 8th at The Masters. 10th in Strokes Gained Putting, 50th in GIR and 3rd in Scoring Average are some of Sergio’s stats and since 2002 Sergio has only missed the cut once. He is Great value for a guy playing well at the moment and also a previous winner and a seasoned veteran of Sawgrass.

 

This week’s Longshots to watch

 

Keven Streelman 80/1

He seems to be having the time of his life these days since winning in Tampa back in March and is showing some great form. He has 2 top 6’s in his last 4 starts finishing tied 3rd at The RBC Heritage and Tied 6th last week at the Wells Fargo. 24th in Driving Distance, 35th in GIR, 24th in Strokes Gained, 36th in Birdie Average and 10th in Scoring Average. He is most definitely a great each way shout in my opinion.

 

Martin Laird 110/1

Finished runner up here last year however he has missed the cut in his previous 2 starts but had a great win in Texas shooting a hugely impressive 63 in the final round  putting fantastically and beating off the likes of Rory McIlroy who was at one stage snapping at his heels. 52nd in Driving Distance, 34th in GIR and 14th in Total Driving. He is another guy who could also feature at a big price here at Sawgrass.

 

Final Selections

Luke Donald 2 pts EW

Henrik Stenson 1.5 pts EW

Billy Horchel 1.5 pts EW

Bo Van Pelt 1.5 pts EW

Sergio Garcia 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Streelman 0.5 pts EW

Martin Laird 0.5 pts EW

All Prices taken from Bet365 at 23.00 on Tuesday May 7th.

 

Best of luck,

 

DoubleBogey6

 

Wells Fargo Championship Preview

 

Wells Fargo Championship Preview

Course Details : Par 72 – 7,469 Yards

Venue : Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte

 

 

Last Week : Billy Horchel’s First win on Tour

What a great week we had last week for the blog bagging a super 30/1 winner on Billy Horchel. I really thought Jimmy Walker would’ve got me at least a place aswell given he was tied for the lead after 7 holes and sadly made a double bogey on the 9th and followed that with a bogeys on 13 and 14 to completely drop out of contention. I have to say I really thought Horchel’s putting, in particular, was superb overall but he was Hugely impressivefrom 3-5 feet literally banging them in with a lot of confidence and without hesitation. It was a great week and, let’s face it, badly needed to say the least. Anyway, let’s hope we can have another great week at the Wells Fargo.

 

Jimmy Walker 50/1

I’m going with my man of the season so far Jimmy Walker again this week. With yet another top 10 last week in New Orleans, Jimmy  is sniffing around a win this season and I believe it’ll be any day now. His top 10’s this season include T4th at The Farmers, T3rd at The AT&T, T8th at The Arnold Palmer and T8th last week in New Orleans. As I said last week, I picked Jimmy for his stats and I’m picking him this week for the same reason. Some of his stats read 10th in Driving Distance, 26th in GIR, 21st in Strokes Gained Putting, 7th in Birdie Average and 11th in Scoring Average. All of the stats mentioned should fare well for Jimmy in Quail Hollow and with his length off the tee and GIR stats looking good, it’s hard to bet against him at 50/1.

 

Lucas Glover 40/1

Looking at Glover last week I thought he looked solid and, if he played well and aggressively over the weekend, then he would be a hard man to beat. I reckon he was a tad unlucky with the putter at the weekend with very few putts dropping for birdies. However I think he is in a good place mentally at the moment, and despite missing 4 cuts so far this season , I reckon he’s coming into some form. Glover has a good history around Quail Hollow with a win in 2011, 2nd in 2009, 4th in 2006 and 10th in 2004. After a good performance last week and going into familiar territory in Quail Hollow this week, He’s is most certainly worth adding to your list this week at 40/1.

 

Kyle Stanley 70/1

Stanley’s season has certainly been no great shakes so far with last weeks 3rd place finish behind D.A Points and Billy Horchel being the most notable since winning The Pheonix Open last year. After shooting a mediocre 72 in the opening round last week he followed that with an impressive 67,65,67 to shoot -17. His Driving stats should suit this course as he is 24th in Driving Distance hitting it an average 295.8 off the tee and 27th in Total driving which will most certainly help around this beast of a course. Missed the cut here last year but seems to be playing better than his season would suggest and is coming into this week with a lot of confidence. Certainly worth an each way shout.

 

D.A Points 40/1

Clearly a man showing fantastic form at the moment with a win in Houston at the end of March and a 2nd place finish last week in New Orleans. His season hasn’t been great so far missing 7 cuts so far and has been battling a back injury. However he looks to be turning things around with a win and a 2nd place in his last 4 starts. Points is another player who likes this event, getting into a playoff here last year with Mcilroy and Fowler which Fowler went on to win. A man on form at the moment and is clearly over his injury woes could be another good week for him here.

 

Webb Simpson 16/1

Webb is coming into this week in fine form after finishing 2nd in a playoff at The RBC Heritage in his last start. Finished 4th here last year after shooting a disappointing final round 73. After a week off to prepare I think Webb will be coming into this week relaxed and ready and I reckon he’ll be a serious contender here given his form. 3 top 6’s already this season in The Northern Trust (T6), Accenture Matchplay (T5th) and BC Heritage (2nd) make the local kid a very big threat here in Charlotte.

 

This Weeks Selections:

Jimmy Walker 50/1 (2pts EW)

Lucas Glover 40/1 (1.5pts EW)

Webb Simpson 16/1 (2pts EW)

Kyle Stanley 70/1 (1pt EW)

D.A Points 40/1 (1pt EW)

 

All prices taken from Bet 365 at 16.00.

 

Good Luck,

 

DoubleBogey6