AT&T National Betting Preview

AT&T National Betting Preview

Congressional Country Club,  Bethesda,  MD

 

Last week’s drama: Well I think everyone, including myself was rooting for Bubba Watson last week at The Travellers. Sadly his chances were drowned (Literally) when he stuck his tee shot, which landed about 5 feet away from the safety of the greenside bunker, on the Par 3 16th into the water. That along with Charley Hoffman knocking his bunker shot into the hole on 18 for birdie 3 to finish in a tie for 7th, 1 shot off getting me a place.  Anyway despite that kick in the gentleman’s region from both Charley and Bubba, lets move onto this week at The AT&T.

 

Billy Horchel 22/1

I have to say whenever I back this guy he’s always there or there abouts and I don’t see this week being any different. Billy has two top 10’s in his last two starts finishing tied 10th at The FedEx St Jude  and Tied 4th at The very tricky US Open at Merion. Horcel’s game is good for this week averaging 291.1 in Driving Distance ranking 58th and Ranking a very respectable 35th in Driving Accuracy and 8th in Total Driving. 25th in GIR, 17th in Strokes Gained, 2nd in Birdie Average and 6th in the all around make Billy a very tempting bet this week at 22/1. He has the stats and the game to put together a good week and can recover well if he makes any mistakes. Without doubt one to watch.

 

Adam Scott 11/1

He’s The Top ranked player in the field this week and has a great record here finishing 3rd twice back in 2010 and 2011. Since his historic Masters win at Augusta, Scott has had 2 top 20’s in his last 3 starts including a T19th finish at The Players and T13th at The Memorial. Scott’s game should suit this course ranking 16th in Driving Distance, 36th in GIR, 9th in Birdie Average, 4th in Scoring Average and 3rd in the All around make Scott a worthy bet this week, at least for me anyway!

 

Jason Day 14/1

Jason Day is having a pretty good season so far with great finishes in both The Masters and The US Open finishing 3rd and most recently tied 2nd at Merion not to mention he finished 2nd in The US Open to Mcilroy in 2011 on this course so he’ll be a popular bet this week. Day always steps up to the plate in the big tournaments on tough courses so I expect him to have a great week here as he appears to love a challenge. He has placed inside the top 10 here twice, in 2012 and in 2010. 12th in Driving Distance, 21st in Strokes Gained, 13th in Scoring Average and 10th in the All Around. Like Scott he has a good previous record and also has the stats to match and although he is very short in odds, I expect him to be well up there come Sunday.

 

Graham DeLaet 33/1

He’s a guy in serious form last week and he impressed me last week at The Travellers finishing in a very impressive 3rd place finish to an unlucky Chris Stroud. In his last 4 rounds DeLaet hasn’t finished worse than 22nd. He had a top 5 last week not to mention finishing in a tie for 10th at The Byron Nelson back in May. His stats are suitable for Congressional ranking an impressive 9th in Driving Distance averaging 301.1 off the tee, 38th in Driving Accuracy, 1st in GIR, 16th in both Birdie Average and Scoring Average. If he continues to play the way he is Ill happily take him at 33/1.

 

Rickie Fowler 25/1

Rickie is showing some good from in his last 2 events finishing in a tie for 10th at The US Open in Merion and finished in a tie for 13th last week at The Travellers. Finished in a tie for 13th back in 2011 and could go all the way this week given his current run of form. He ranks 48th in Driving Accuracy, 39th in Strokes Gained, 40th in Birdie Average, 28th in Scoring Average and 25th in the All Around. If Rickie hits the ball well off the tee and keeps it in the fairway it should give him some good opportunities to attack some pins.

 

Final Selections:

Billy Horchel 1.5pts/3pts total EW

Adam Scott 2pts/4pts total EW

Jason Day 1.5pts/3pts total EW

Graham DeLaet 1pt/2pts total EW

Rickie Fowler 1.5pts/3pts total EW

Total Gambled: 15pts

 

Prices taken from Bet365 at 12 noon Wednesday the 26 of June 2013.

Good Luck and enjoy the Golf,

 

DoubleBogey6

Travellers Championship Betting Preview

Travellers Championship Betting Preview

June 20-June 23, 2013

TPC River Highlands, Cromwell, CT

 

 

Last week at Merion:

Wow what a beast Merion proved to be last week with even the world’s best seriously struggling. Tight fairways, rain and long wet rough made the golf course virtually unplayable in spots which makes Justin Rose’s win all the more impressive in my opinion. I really did think that Charl was going to get into it and have a proper go at the title early on in the final round but the putter combined with a few wayward tee shots saw him drop further and further back and eventually finish in a very disappointing 14th place shooting a final round 78. However “The Big Easy” Ernie Els did the business and got a top 5 getting us some nice EW money at 70/1 so profit was made overall thank god! Let’s get down to business with this week’s Travellers Championship Picks.

 

Kyle Stanley 66/1

Stanley has had a decent run of form at the moment bagging himself 3 top 6 finishes in his last 6 starts two of which he was 3rd on his own at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and more recently at The Memorial. TPC River Highlands will be a welcome relief for the players and will be a hell of a lot more forgiving than Merion. Driving Accuracy and Distance will be important this week as there are some holes that are drivable off the tee like the par 4 15th and the 18th. Kyle ranks 32nd in Driving Accuracy, 37th in GIR, 16th in Eagles and 38th in Total Driving. Great value this week on Stanley and well worth taking in my opinion.

 

Charley Hoffman 40/1

3 top 8’s in his last 8 starts for Hoffman with a great finish recently in The Byron Nelson in which he finished in a tie for 8th. Finished in tie for 2nd here last year with a disappointing double bogey on the last to drop into tied 2nd.However he is showing some steady form at the moment according to his stats. Hoffman ranks 45th in Driving Distance, 27th in Strokes Gained, 11th in Birdie Average, 28th in Scoring Average and 11th in the All Around. His stats combined with his steady run of form suggest a decent week for Charley “Goldie Locks” Hoffman.

 

Bubba Watson 20/1

Bubba hasn’t had a fantastic season by any stretch with only a handful of top 10’s to his name so far. However I do think this course will suit big hitting Bubba this week with it measuring just short of 6,900 yards. His record in this tournament is quite good over the last few years finishing tied 2nd last year, T38 in 2011, Won in 2010, T14 in 2009 and Tied 6th in 2008 so it would appear he likes TPC River Highlands!  Bubba ranks 11th in Driving Distance, 5th in GIR, 5th in Birdie Average and 45th in Total Driving. Stats combined with His previous record speaks for itself. A huge danger man this week at a decent price considering his potential here.

 

Hunter Mahan 14/1

I took note of this man last week when I watched him at Merion and felt he would be a super bet here this week. Hunter played very well in The US Open last week shooting 72,69,69,75 finishing in a tie for 4th. Another man, Like Bubba, with a great record around here over the years finishing tied 11th last year, Tied 4th in 2009, Tied 2nd in 2008 and a winner in 2007. 69th in Driving Distance, 24th in Driving Accuracy, 30th in Strokes Gained and 8th in Total Driving. A super finish last week at Merion given the tough conditions and a great bet here this week.

 

 Nicolas Colsaerts 50/1

A great finish was had last week by Colsaerts in The US Open and I was delighted to see him play well. His ball striking was fantastic at Merion hitting long irons when most players were hitting lumber for some approach shots. He was hitting 6 irons roughly around 240 yards which, in my opinion, is mental! He had a superb final round of 72 to finish tied 10th which is very respectable considering the tricky conditions. Nico has had in total 3 top 10’s so far this season with this being his first trip to TPC River Highlands. Another player like Bubba that’s huge off the tee ranking 3rd in Driving Distance and if he can putt well here he will be in with a great chance come Sunday.

 

Final Selections:

Kyle Stanley 66/1 1 pt

Charley Hoffman 40/1 1.5 pts

Bubba Watson 20/1 1.5 pts

Hunter Mahan 14/1 2 pts

Nicolas Colsaerts 50/1 1 pt

All of the above players are backed each way and prices from Bet365 at 12.30pm 19 of June 2013.

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

DoubleBogey6

US Open Betting Preview

Merion Golf Club, Ardmore, Pennsylvania

Well the second major of the year has arrived and it looks like it’s going to be a very tricky one and given the weather they’ve had over the last week but I think these conditions are going to suit some players here. This course measures just under the 7,000 yard mark par 70 with the fairways measuring at around 20-30 yards wide with long tricky rough which you could easily tangle an iron up in and mishit one especially if the rain continues over the week which it is forecast to do. Driving Accuracy, Strokes Gained Putting, GIR and Scrambling are going to be important here this week with Putting being of key importance in my opinion.

Graeme McDowell 22/1

I think the world and his mother knows that Gmac is playing fantastic golf at the moment and is gonna be a popular pick among us all given his stats and current form. I watched him playing in The Volvo World Matchplay at the very tricky Tharacian Cliffs in Bulgaria in which he drove and putted beautifully. Two top 5’s in both the WGC events so far this season and a superb win at The RBC Heritage back in April make up Gmac’s season so far. He is 1st in Driving Accuracy and Scrambling, 13th in Strokes Gained Putting and 7th in Scoring Average. For me Gmac is the man to watch in Merion this week.

Matt Kuchar 20/1

Kuchar is another player having a phenomenal season so far with wins at The Memorial and The WGC Accenture Matchplay not to mention 6 top 10’s coming at The Masters (T8), Sony Open (T5) and The Hyundai (T9) to name a few. His Stats read, 13th in Strokes Gained Putting, 68th in GIR, 20th in Birdie Average and 10th in Scrambling. Kuchar hasn’t missed a cut since the 2012 PGA Championship and is notoriously cool and in control of his game and is playing superb golf at the moment which is why I’m backing him here this week.

Ernie Els 70/1

The big easy usually steps up to the plate at the majors and I expect him to do the same here at Merion. Ernie won the US Open twice before, the first win came at a course not far from Merion at Oakmont in 1994 which has a very similar layout to Merion measuring just under 7,000 yards. His second US Open win came at Congressional back in 1997 shooting a total of 276 on -4. Ernie was 9th at Olympic last year and 3rd at Pebble beach in 2010, This combined with his 2 previous wins make the Big Easy a good value outsider this week considering he won the US Open last time it was played in Pennsylvania. I wouldn’t rule him out here this week.

Angel Cabrera 100/1

I have to say the big hitting Argentinian really impressed me at The Masters and was unlucky to be beaten in a playoff against Adam Scott. Both men played fabulous golf in that playoff and it could’ve gone either way. Cabrera has played 4 PGA Tour events since the Masters and has made the cut in all and even had a top 15 at the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago. He also won an event on the PGA Tour Latino America in Argentina recently and can carry that good form into this week. The 2007 winner at Oakmont and makes his 14th US Open appearance and has made 12 cuts. If he gets going here like he did at The Masters he could feature at a very big price.

Charl Schwartzel 33/1

Charl has had a very good season so far on The PGA Tour with 2 top 5’s both coming in The Northern Trust Open back in Feb and most recently at The Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago. He also had a tied 8th finish in The Memorial. He is 24th in GIR, 32nd in Strokes Gained Putting, 6th in Birdie Average, 3rd in Scoring Average and 10th in the All Around. Charl is paired with fellow South Africans Louis Oosthuizen and Tim Clark which should keep him pretty relaxed for the opening 2 rounds and hopefully shoot good scores.

Kevin Streelman 110/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I do like Streelman and who could blame me, he’s had a career changing season so far. Since winning his first tournament back in March in Tampa he’s recorded a further 3 top 6’s in his last 5 starts which included a tied 2nd place finish at The Players in which he got me a place a huge 80/1. His stats are quite impressive too placing 16th in Driving Accuracy, 22nd in GIR, 8th in Scoring Average, 10th in Total driving and 45th in Scrambling. All in all Streelman has the form and the stats to have a great week here at a very big price.

Final Selections:

Graeme McDowell 22/1 2pts
Matt Kuchar 20/1 2pts
Ernie Els 70/1 1pt
Angel Cabrera 100/1 1pt
Kevin Streelman 110/1 1pt
Charl Schwartzel 33/1 2 pts

All of the above players are backed each way and All prices taken from Bet365 at 14.45 on Wednesday the 12th of June 2013.

The very best of luck and enjoy the US Open,

DoubleBogey6

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview

Scott Stallings 30/1

It’s been a mixed bag of results in 2013 so far for Stallings but he seems to be coming into some great form at the moment with two tied 4th finishes in a row at The Crowne Plaza Invitational and last week at The Memorial. Before that he had 6 missed cuts in his previous eight starts but seems to be getting into the swing of things and showing a little more consistency. Some of his stats read 39th in Driving Distance, 50th in Birdie Average and 24th in Total Driving. The man in good form at the moment and will hopefully continue his run of form here in Memphis.

 

John Merrick 55/1

Merrick is another player that has had a mixed bag of results so far this season, however, he does have a win under his belt which came in Feb winning The Northern Trust Open in a playoff against Charlie Beljan. He was 2nd last year and was Tied 11th back in 2011. He is 30th in Greens in Regulation hitting 67.90%. Given Merrick’s performance the last 2 years I expect him to go well here this week at a good price.

 

Ryan Palmer 22/1

I tipped Palmer in The Byron Nelson a couple of weeks back in which he had a very encouraging start shooting 65,68 but couldn’t get it going over the weekend shooting a pair of 73’s however, he is having a very good season so far with 3 top 10’s and 5 top 25’s. He played very solidly at The Players finishing in a tie for 5th on -10. 9th in Driving Distance, 6th in Birdie Average, 8th in Scoring Average and 28th in GIR are some of Palmers key stats so far in 2013. Tied 3rd here last year and is a serious one to watch here given his current form.

 

Tim Clark 33/1

He has had a good season so far finishing 2nd in Hawaii at the start of the year, 9th at The WGC Accenture Matchplay and a super finish in The Masters finishing in a tie for 11th after recovering from a poor second round shooting a 76 and followed that with a third round 67. 3rd in Driving Accuracy, 49th in Strokes Gained and 51st in Birdie Average make Steady Eddie Tim a good choice here this week.

 

Russell Henley 28/1

The PGA Tour rookie is another player having a good season so far with 2 top 6’s in his last 4 starts which came last week at The Memorial and at The RBC Heritage at the end of April, not to mention an early season win in The Sony Open in Hawaii back in January. Henley’s stats are 34th in Driving Accuracy, 10th in Strokes Gained Putting, 9th in Birdie Average, 10th in Total Driving and 5th in the All Around. Stats and current from combined make Henley a good choice this week.

 

This week’s selections :

Scott Stallings 2 pts 30/1

John Merrick 1 pt 55/1

Ryan Palmer 2pts 22/1

Tim Clark 2 pts 33/1

Russell Henley 1.5 pts 28/1

 

All of the above players are backed each way and prices taken from Bet365 at 10.45am Thursday, June 6th 2013.

 

Good Luck,

 

DoubleBogey6