WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview

Firestone CC (South Course) – Akron, OH, USA

Aug. 1-4, 2013

 

Last week –

After two runner ups in a row I finally bagged myself (and hopefully you too) a winner on Brandt Snedeker in Canada last week at 16/1 getting some decent profit. After the first two rounds Kirk and Matsuyama were both going well only to fall off the pace in the final round to finish Tied 16th and Tied 21st. Overall it was a good week. Now onto this week in in Firestone.

 

 

Tiger Woods 9/2

Whenever I write about Tiger and include him in a preview I always get a feeling I’m writing about God himself, well the golfing equivalent anyway! Tiger has won this event seven times in 1999,2000,2001,2005,2006,2007 and 2009. If I’m 100 per cent honest, I expect to add 2013 to that list after Sunday given his current form. Although he played very conservatively at The Open in Muirfield and didn’t really attack any of the pins he still managed to finished tied 6th and that would’ve been a different story if the putter was hot on Sunday afternoon in my opinion.  With four wins safely tucked away in the trophy cabinet already this year including The Farmers, The WGC Cadillac, The Arnold Palmer and The Players, I expect Tiger to add his fifth this week at Firestone. Some of Tigers stats are 4th in Strokes Gained, 5th in Birdie Average, 1st in Scoring Average, 3rd in Par Breakers and 1st in the All Around. Stats, previous record and his current form makes it really hard to bet against him this week.

 

Adam Scott 20/1

What a year Adam Scott is having with a win at The Masters in Augusta and recently having a super week had at The Open Championship in Muirfield finishing in tied 3rd behind Henrik Stenson. He had a great start to the year finishing in tied 10th in The Northern Trust Open in January, Tied 3rd in The WGC Cadillac and followed that with a win at The Masters, two top 20’s in The Players and The Memorial and most recently 3rd in The Open. Statswise he is 24th in Driving Distance hitting it a decent 297.7 yards off the tee he also ranks 20th in GIR, 3rd in Scoring Average, 19th in Sand Saves and 17th in The All Around. He won this event in 2011 very convincingly and I don’t see him having a bad week here either he’s as steady as a rock these days.

 

Henrik Stenson 33/1

This man is in serious form at the moment and I expect it to continue this week at Firestone. 3 top 10’s in his last 3 events including a solo 2nd place finish in The Open championship, Tied 3rd in The Scottish Open and a tied 10th finish in The BMW International he also finished a respectable tied 5th in The Players Championship at Sawgrass and had a tied 2nd at The Houston Open a couple of weeks before. His stats on the PGA Tour so far this season read 1st in Driving Accuracy, 2nd in GIR, 3rd in Total Driving and 10th in Scoring Average. On the European Tour 9th in Driving Distance, 6th in GIR and 5th in Stroke Average, all of those stats will make him a very dangerous man around Firestone. If you’re a regular reader of this blog you’ll know I have backed Stenson a couple of times this season and he has rarely let me down. I feel very comfortable backing him here at 33/1. Very very comfortable….

 

Dustin Johnson 25/1

I’ve been keeping an eye on Dustin over the last few weeks and I really felt he played well last week and thought if anyone was going to snatch the title from my boy Snedeker it was going to be Dustin Johnson. However, thankfully, that wasn’t the case with Johnson taking a costly Triple Bogey on 17 to drop himself right out of it. I wasn’t upset to see that happen at the time I have to say but it was rather unfortunate. That being said I reckon he is playing well at the moment winning a Tournament earlier in the year at The Hyundai, finished tied 4th at The Houston Open, Tied 10th at The FedEx St Jude and most recently finishing tied 2nd last week in Canada and had a respectable Open Championship the week before with 2 very good rounds shooting 68,72 but sadly falling off the pace in rounds 3 and 4 shooting 76,77. The big hitting Johnson ranks 5th in Driving Distance hitting it a long 304.1 yards off the tee, 17th in Birdie Average and 21st in Scoring Average. With a good finish last week and length very much on his side, I reckon his game should set up well for Firestone.

 

Jason Day 33/1

This guy has had an absolutely superb season so far with 5 top 10’s already under his belt and I reckon he’s not far off his first win of the season and it could easily be any day now given his form. Day really stands up to the plate at the big events and has proved that finishing an impressive solo 3rd at The Masters and finishing tied 2nd at The US Open in a very tricky Merion. He also finished 6th in Pebble Beach at The AT&T in Feb and followed that up a week later with a solo 3rd finish in WGC Accenture Matchplay. Day ranks 18th in Driving Distance, 21st in Strokes Gained, 23rd in Sand Saves and 13th in Scoring Average. Finished 4th here in 2011 and has the game to be a huge threat here this week.

 

Angel Cabrera 66/1

I have to say I was surprised to see Cabrera at such a big price here this week given the way he’s playing. He had a very respectable tied 11th finish at The Open Championship a couple of weeks back not to mention losing in a playoff to Adam Scott in The Masters back in April, Cabrera does perform in the bigger events and he is another player who should suit Firestone with decent length off the tee. He has 2 top 4 finishes at this event in his last 5 appearances finishing tied 4th in 2009 the year he won The Masters and tied 4th again in 2006. He seems to like fast and pacey greens and combined with previous performances on this course, I think he is a very good shout around here.

 

Final Selections –

Tiger Woods 3pts EW/6pts Total

Adam Scott 2pts EW/4pts Total

Henrik Stenson 1.5pts EW/3pts Total

Dustin Johnson 1ptEW/2pts Total

Jason Day 1ptEW/2pts Total

Angel Cabrera 1ptEW/2pts Total

 

Total Staked= 19 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

DoubleBogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview

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RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview

Glen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario

Par 72, 7,253 Yards

 

Last week in Muirfield –

What a week it was in Muirfield with the eventual and deserving winner Phil Mickelson lifting the Claret Jug for the first time shooting a hugely impressive final round 66 carding 3 birdies in the last 6 holes to clinch victory. I have to say I did feel a bit sorry for Lee Westwood having played so well all week only to fall off the pace in the final round to end his hopes of victory. It seemed to me he never really got going at all, he didn’t seem to have the raging fire in his belly like he did in round 2 and 3 shooting 68,70 and then finally shooting a disappointing 75 on Sunday to drop right out of it. However I’m delighted to see him finally putting well and with a lot of confidence. Given his record in majors, I don’t think we’ve seen the last of him especially with this new magical putting stroke. On the bright side it wasn’t too bad of week for me getting a place on Mr Stenson at 45/1 getting me a 12.5/1 place which I will take any day although I did have a feeling after about 10 or 11 holes that he might just nudge it by one or maybe go to a playoff. Sadly for me, that wasn’t the case. That’s 2 runner ups in the last 2 weeks, I’m beginning to feel like the bridesmaid and never the bride. Anyway onto this week in Ontario.

 

Graham DeLaet 33/1

I backed Graham in AT&T a few weeks back and he got a top 10 finishing in tied 8th. I have had my beady eye on him for a while now and I reckon this could be his week to shine in his national open. He has 2 top 10’s in his last 4 starts including a solo third in The Travellers and a tied 8th finish in The AT&T. After a disappointing week in Muirfield he will feel a lot more comfortable coming back to home turf and playing on the softer conditions. His stats are pretty good ranking an impressive 1st in GIR, 14th in Driving Distance, 24th in Birdie Average, 19th in Scoring Average and 2nd in Total Driving. DeLaet has 5 top 10’s this season only missing 3 cuts in 20 starts. If his steady season is anything to go by I think he has the potential to be a big danger man here this week.

 

Hideki Mastuyama 33/1

This man was hugely impressive last week in Muirfield finishing in a very respectable tie for 6th. For a guy that has turned pro not that long ago, his tee to green game last week was flawless and he was a genuine contender on Sunday. I saw a few respectable blokes on Twitter tipping him to be top Asian which was a super bet and I congratulate them. Hideki has 2 top 10’s in his last 3 starts which include finishing in a tie for 10th at The US Open in Merion which got the better of some of the game’s best players and then followed that up with a tied 6th finish on the equally tricky Muirfield. Those performances from a rookie are, in my opinion and I’m sure many others, very impressive. Keep an eye on this kid because I reckon the best is yet to come. Can he make a 3 top 10’s in a row here or even go one better? In a word…. YES.

 

Chris Kirk 50/1

Kirk has 3 top 10’s so far this season 2 of which came earlier in the year at The Sony Open in Hawaii finishing in tied 5th and at The AT&T National Pro-Am in which he finished solo 2nd. His third came last week where he had a great finish in The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting a final round 69 to finish in tied 9th. Kirk’s stats are none too shabby ranking 22nd in Strokes Gained Putting, 10th in Birdie Average, 17th in Scoring Average, Par 4 Birdie or better leaders 3rd, Birdie or better Conversion 3rd and 10th in the All Around. He also finished tied 4th here last year shooting an impressive third round 63. He will be coming into this event full of confidence after a good performance at The Sanderson Farms and is well worth a shout at 50/1 and could well be up there come Sunday.

 

Scott Stallings 66/1

Stallings has performed poorly over the last few weeks missing 3 cuts in his last 4 starts but before that was raking up the top 5’s with 3 in a row with back to back Tied 4th finishes coming at The Crowne Plaza Invitational then another one at The Memorial. He then followed that up with a tied 2nd finish at The FedEx St Jude Classic a week later. Before performing well at these 3 events he had 4 missed cuts in a row so it’s fair to say he’s a little bit streaky! He had a good finish here in 2012 finishing in tied 7th and I have a feeling he might go well here on a course that sets up well for him.

 

Brandt Snedeker 16/1

The likeable Sneds had a respectable week at The Open last week finishing in tied 11th after a poor second round 79 which dropped him right out of contention but he fought back well. He seems to be coming back into some form lately finishing Tied 17th at The US Open in Merion, Tied 8th at The AT&T and most recently tied 11th at The Open Championship. Before that he had 2 missed cuts both coming at The Memorial and The FedEx St Jude but he is coming back to full flight. With one win and a string of top 10’s already this season I think Sneds is a huge danger man here. He played this course in 2009 and finished 5th so there’s no reason why he can’t go all the way here in my opinion.

 

Daniel Summerhays 50/1

This man is in great form at the moment and was very unlucky not to win last week in The Sanderson Farms Championship losing in a playoff. Before last week he had 2 top 10 finishes both coming at The John Deere Classic finishing in tied 4th shooting an impressive third round 62 and the week before he finished Tied 9th at The Greenbrier so it’s fair to say he’s playing well. His stats are fairly poor all season but the guy is clearly on a run of good form and I for one am going to put him on my list of runners this week. Get him while he’s hot!

Final Selections:

Graham DeLaet 33/1 1.5pts EW 3pts total

Hideki Mastuyama 33/1 1 pt EW 2pts Total

Chris Kirk 50/1 1pt EW 2pts total

Scott Stallings 66/1 0.5pts EW 1pt total

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 1.5pts EW 3pts total

Daniel Summerhays 50/1 0.5pts EW 1pt total

 

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

The best of luck this week and enjoy the golf.

 

DoubleBogey6

142nd Open Championship Betting Preview

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142nd Open Championship Betting Preview

Venue: Muirfield, Gullane, East Lothian, Scotland

Course: Par 71, 7192 Yards

Well it’s finally upon us its Open Week and I for one can’t wait! Muirfield has hosted The Open Championship on 15 occasions most recently in 2002. Some previous champions on this course are Nick Faldo, Jack Nicklaus, Lee Trevino, Tom Watson, and the current defending champion and the 2002 champion Ernie Els. The weather is set to be ok for the rest of the week with no rain forecast and very little wind so the fairways will be very fast and dry so hitting the fairway off the tee is a must as  it can be quite penal with long hay for rough so driving accuracy will be of particular importance here. Although with conditions set to be dry the players will be getting some serious run on the ball.

 

Ernie Els 28/1

His season on the European Tour has been quite impressive so far with a win in The BMW International Open a couple of weeks ago in Germany and finishing in a tie for 4th at The US Open in Merion in which I had him backed at a juicy 70/1 picking me up some nice each way cash. He also played well in The BMW PGA Championship in Wentworth finishing in a very respectable tie for 6th. Ernie has an impressive 13 top 10’s in 18 appearances in The Open Championship with his first of his two victories coming here in Muirfield in 2002. After winning in Germany and playing very solid in The US Open I think Ernie is in top form and is fantastic value at 28/1. Keep your eye on him he most definitely won’t be far away in  my opinion.  

 

Henrik Stenson 45/1

After playing so well last week in Inverness I reckon Henrik Stenson is a danger man in Muirfield this week and in my opinion should’ve done th bizo last week but finished in tied 3rd. In his last 3 events he was T3rd in The Scottish Open, T10 in The BMW International in Germany and T21st in The US Open. He also had a great finish at The Players back in May finishing in tied 5th. His stats are none too shabby either ranking an impressive 5th in Scoring Average, 7th in GIR hitting an average of 13.4 greens per round, 9th in Driving Distance hitting it on average a decent 302 yards off the tee. Stenson is really coming back into some great form and is a real danger man here. Good odds for a guy in great form and has the potential to post some really good scores and could be well in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

 

Thomas Bjorn 66/1

I’ve had my eye on the great dane for the last few weeks now and I have to say he is playing some very steady golf at the moment with 4 top 10’s in his last 6 starts including a Tied 4th finish at The Nordea Masters and two second place finishes coming at The Lyoness Open and The BMW International in Germany not to mention a tied 8th finish at the very tricky Open De France. Thomas has 5 top 10 finishes in The Open Championship including two tied 2nd finishes coming at St Andrews in 2000 and Royal St Georges in 2003 not to mention a tied 8th finish here at Muirfield in 2002. Bjorn’s putting stats aregood so far this season ranking an impressive 10th in Putts per GIR and 24th in Putts per round which will stand him in good stead on these dry links greens. Current form and previous experience suggest the dane should go well around here.

 

Graeme McDowell 25/1

Another player in fine form at the moment sitting in 2nd in the Race to Dubai  with 2 European Tour victories coming at The Volvo World Matchplay in a Tharacian Cliffs in Bulgaria and most recently winning the Open De France not to mention winning the RBC Heritage on the PGA Tour back in April so it’s fair to say Gmac knows how to get it done. He had a decent Open Championship last year at Royal Lytham finishing in a tie for 5th but could’ve been better having a poor final round shooting a disappointing 75. His previous Open Championship CV reads 4 top 25’s and a top 5 in his last 10 Open Championship appearances. He ranks an impressive 7th in Driving Accuracy on the PGA Tour and 15th on The European Tour which will be of importance this week. Some other notable Gmac stats are 11th in Strokes Gained and 2nd in Scrambling. Hopefully Gmac turns up with his game face on and I reckon he will.

 

Branden Grace 66/1

He had a super performance last week in The Scottish Open sadly losing to Phil Mickelson on the first playoff hole after shooting a respectable final round 69. Grace had a good Volvo World Matchplay in Tharacian Cliffs in Bulgaria finishing in tied 3rd getting knocked out by the eventual winner Graeme McDowell so it would appear from his only two top 5 finishes this year he doesn’t mind a bit of wind. He also finished in a respectable T18th at The Masters. Another man with good stats ranking 7th in Putts per GIR, 11th in Putts per round, 22nd in Stroke Average and 35th in Driving Distance. Grace has the potential to go very well around here and is no stranger to winning with 4 victories in 2012. Don’t rule him out that’s for sure.

 

Jamie Donaldson 125/1

The 2012 Irish Open winner at Portrush and ranking 11th in The European Tour’s Race to Dubai, Donaldson seems to have all the credentials to put together a good performance here. He has 2 top 10’s in his last 3 starts including a tied 10th finish at the 2013 Irish Open at Carton House on a very “Linksy” Montgomerie course. He also finished in a tie for 6th at the Open de France a couple of weeks ago so it would appear Jamie likes the links setup. A winner already this year in Abu Dhabi back in January, Donaldson has the game to play very solid and will be coming into this week feeling confident after a run of good results.

 

Final Selections:

Ernie Els 28/1  1.5pts/3pts total EW

Henrik Stenson 45/1 1pt/2pts total EW

Thomas Bjorn 66/1 1pt/2pts total EW

Graeme McDowell 25/1 1pt/2pts total EW

Branden Grace 66/1 1pt/2pts total EW

Jamie Donaldson 125/1 0.5pt/1pt total EW

 

The Very best of luck and enjoy The Open Championship.

 

DoubleBogey6

John Deere Classic Betting Preview

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John Deere Classic Betting Preview

Thursday Jul 11 – Sunday Jul 14, 2013

TPC Deere Run  ∙   Silvis,  IL`

 

Steve Stricker 13/2

Stricks is gonna be a very popular pick among all of us betting enthusiasts and it easy to see why. In his last 4 trips Stricker has won this tournament three times 2009, 2010 and 2011 and last year finished Tied 5th. He has 3 top 10’s so far this season and it would easily be a hell of a lot more given that he only plays a handful of events every year these days. He has two second place finishes on his own which came earlier in the year at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and The WGC Cadillac and most recently he finished tied 8th in the devilishly difficult US Open at Merion. All in all Stricker is the man to beat in my opinion and is certainly worthy of my hard earned cash this week. After a nice break after the US Open I think he’s going to be well up for this one.

 

Charley Hoffman 40//1

I have backed Charley a once or twice this season and he’s given me a couple of “Nearly’s”. That being said I reckon it’s only a matter of time before Charley gets it over the line and wins at a big price and it could very well be here. He has 4 top 10’s in his last 10 starts including a tied 8th finish at the Byron nelson and most recently finishing in a tie for 7th at The Travellers (in which I had him backed but I’ve had a moan already about that and im over it………..just about). Charley has been making a lot of birdies so far this season ranking an impressive 8th in Birdie average, 7th in Par Breakers and 5th in Birdie or better Conversion percentage. He’s also 38th in Strokes Gained, 20th in GIR and 7th in the All Around. On one of the PGA Tour’s easiest courses and given his current form it’s hard to say no to Charley at TPC Deere Run. Major Underdog.

 

Brendon De Jonge 35/1

Brendon had a decent week at Greenbrier last week finishing in T17th with a below average third round performance shooting a 73 but he was going well before that shooting 66,68 and shot a super 66 in the final round. Only for his poor third round he would’ve been there or there about’s. Brendon is a pretty steady player off the tee hitting it on average just short of 288 yards ranking a respectable 38th. He also ranks 20th in GIR, 45th in Birdie Average and 26th in Scoring Average. In his last 3 starts here he has 2 top 10’s in both 2010 and 2011. Last year he finished in a tie for 19th but wasn’t coming off such a good finish at The Greenbrier finishing a disappointing T52nd. However after coming off a good performance last week at Old White TPC I have a feeling he should go well here and continue the good momentum from last week.

 

Morgan Hoffman 55/1

I have to say I really have liked the look of this kid since I saw him play at the Byron Nelson in May in which he had an impressive top 5 finish. In his last 3 starts Morgan has 2 top 10’s both at The Travellers and most recently finishing tied 8th at The AT&T National. He finished in a respectable tie for 23rd last week at The Greenbrier but TPC Deere Run won’t be a challenging as the likes of Congressional, Greenbrier or TPC River Highlands. He ranks 42nd in Driving Distance hitting it on average 293.8 yards off the tee and ranks an impressive 30th in Birdie Average and 42nd in Scoring Average. Given Morgan’s stats and his current form my crystal ball says he will have a good week here at TPC Deere Run.

 

Zach Johnson 16/1

I expect the defending champion will be up for the challenge this week after taking a break after the Travellers and should be in fine form here. ZJ’s record is similar to Strickers (But not as impressive) with a win last year, tied 3rd finish in 2011 and tied 2nd in 2009. His last 3 results have been poor but he had a great finish before that finishing 3rd at Colonial at the end of May. Last year he won at Colonial and continued that good form and went on to win this tournament. After finishing 3rd at Colonial this year I have a feeling he could go one step further, Could we have a repeat of last year? In my opinion, YES. Watch this space….

 

Selections this week –

Steve Stricker 13/2 – 2pts WIN

Charley Hoffman 40/1 1pt EW/2pts Total

Brendon De Jonge 35/1 1pt EW/2pts Total

Morgan Hoffman  55/1 0.5ptsEW/ 1pt Total

Zach Johnson 16/1 1ptEW/2pts Total

Total Staked: 9 pts

 

Best of Luck and Enjoy the Golf,

 

DoubleBogey6

Greenbrier Classic Betting Preview

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Graham DeLaet 25/1

I’m sticking to my Guns this week and putting my hard earned cash on Deleat for the second week running . He had another top 10 last week at The AT&T finishing in a tie for 8th only a couple of places short of getting me some each way cash. He has a decent record here at Old White TPC never shooting over par in 8 rounds and shot an impressive 64 in the third round last year. In his last 5 starts he has 3 top 10’s finishing in a tie for 10th at The Byron Nelson, Tied 3rd at The Travellers and Tied 8th last week. Could it be the Canadian’s week this week? I reckon it very well could be. Watch this space….

 

Webb Simpson 14/1

Webb was the 36 and 54 hole leader in this event last year but sadly had a poor finish in the final round to finish outside the top 5. However he has recorded back to back top 10’s here the last 2 years finishing tied 7th last year and tied 9th in 2011. Simpson is showing some good form with 2 top 10’s in his last 6 events including a respectable T15 finish at The Players and coming 2nd to Gmac at The RBC Heritage at the end of April. Webb may have some unfinished business here and could be out to prove a point after a disappointing finish last year. Short priced but a big threat here.

 

Jason Kokrak 80/1

I’ve had my twitchy eye on Kokrak since the end of last year where he came runner up to Jonas Blixt in the Frys.com Open last October. He really is a superb hitter of the ball and after two missed cuts he had a great finish in last week’s AT&T finishing in tied 3rd. After I saw that I had made a mental note to include him in this week’s preview and predictably he’s a nice price . He  ranks an impressive 7th in Driving Distance hitting a whopping 302.7 yards off the tee and should go around this par 70 well. One to watch not just this week but in the next few weeks in my opinion and has the ability to get himself another profitable top 5 finish here at Old White TPC.

 

Roberto Castro 50/1

I really liked the look of Castro last week at The AT&T where he kept his composure and didn’t fall off the pace, he kept right in there and had his best finish of his season finishing second. He shot 3 rounds in the 60’s and around Congressional that’s pretty good shooting. Castro finished Tied 7th here last year with a final round 63 and also a second round 64.  He’s had a couple of respectable finishes in his last 4 starts coming second last week, MC the week before, Tied 18th at The FedEx St Jude Classic and Tied 21st at The Memorial.  He will take the good vibes from last week forward and should score well here.

 

Scott Piercy 40/1

Piercy had a decent finish here last year finishing in a tie for 12th shooting 4 steady rounds in the 60’s with 66, 68, 68, 68. Before the MC at The US Open Piercy played well on his last par 70  which was TPC Four Seasons at the Byron Nelson finishing tied 5th.  He followed that with a tied 26th finish at Colonial and a tied 16th finish at The Memorial. He ranks 21st in birdie average and Driving Distance which should bode well here. Piercy has won 4 times between the Web.com Tour and PGA Tour in July or August so we could be in for an interesting week.

 

Final Selections:

Graham DeLaet 25/1 – 1.5pts/3 pts EW

Webb Simpson 14/1 – 1.5pts/3pts EW

Jason Kokrak 80/1 – 1pt/2pts EW

Roberto Castro 50/1 – 0.5/1pt EW

Scott Piercy 40/1 – 1pt/2pts EW

Total Staked: 11pts

 

Good Luck and Enjoy the Golf,

 

DoubleBogey6