Deutsche Bank Championship – FedEx Cup Playoffs
August 30 – September 2, 2013 , TPC Boston, Norton, MA
Field: Top 100 FedExCup Pts. Standings
Phil Mickelson 14/1
I have to say, last Sunday at The Barclays I thought Phil was phenomenal shooting that final round 65 to get himself into the top 10 coming from miles behind. Phil has had an absolutely amazing season so far with a win at The Open in Muirfield, a win at The Pheonix Open back in Feb, tied 2nd in The US Open in Merion, tied 2nd at The FedEx St Jude, solo 3rd at The Wells Fargo and tied 3rd at The WGC Cadillac in March. That’s 2 wins, 2 seconds and 2 thirds for Mickelson so far. He ranks 1st in Birdie Average, 7th in Scoring Average, 5th in Strokes Gained, 2nd in Par 3 Birdie or Better Leaders, 4th in Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders and 16th in the All Around. Phil has a good record in this event, with a win in 2007, tied 10th finish in 2011 and a tied 4th finish last year. With current form combined with stats, not to mention his heroic comeback last week, I think Phil will be a big danger here at TPC Boston this week.
Justin Rose 18/1
Only for the fact he missed a few putts last week, I reckon Rosie could’ve been the winner last week at The Barclays or, at the very least, forced Adam Scott into a playoff. Justin is another player who has been very impressive so far this year winning his first Major Championship at The US Open back in June. He also finished tied 4th at The Honda Classic back in March, tied 8th at The WGC Cadillac, solo 2nd at The Arnold Palmer, tied 8th at The Memorial and tied 2nd last week at The Barclays. Statswise, Rose ranks 24th in Driving Distance, 15th in GIR, 20th in Birdie Average, 3rd in Scoring Average, 3rd in Sand Saves, 2nd in Total Driving and 5th in The All Around. If Rose gets going and starts making a few putts I think he will be a hard man to beat here and good value at 18/1.
Jordan Spieth 45/1
I am genuinely shocked to see Spieth at a massive and generous 45/1 here at TPC Boston, considering the season he is having. I backed Jordan last week at The Barclays in which he came a respectable tied 19th after a disappointing final round 73. In his last 5 events, he has been in 2 playoffs, winning one against Zach Johnson at The John Deere about a month ago and losing one (Which I was happy about because I backed Patrick Reed!!) to Patrick Reed at The Wyndham Championship. Earlier in the year Spieth had a good run of results finishing tied 2nd in Puerto Rico, tied 7th in Tampa Bay, tied 9th at The RBC Heritage, tied 7th at The Crowne Plaza and 6th at The AT&T National. He has proven he can play and compete at the highest level and I am more than happy to back him here again this week.
Zach Johson 40/1
You just can’t ignore the run of top 10’s this guy is on lately with 5 top 10’s in his last 5 events. This includes losing to Jordan Spieth in a playoff at The John Deere about 5 weeks ago, tied 4th at The Bridgestone Invitational and most recently finishing in tied 5th at The Wyndham. Johnson ranks 11th in Driving Accuracy, 36th in Scoring Average, 37th in GIR and 7th in GIR Percentage 125-150 yards. After taking a week off for his brother’s wedding last week for The Barclays, I think Zach will come to TPC Boston fresh and relaxed. With his recent run of form, I think he could go extremely well here at a very big price.
Jim Furyk 33/1
Furyk is another player showing very good form lately finishing in tied 6th last week at The Barclays only one stroke off a top 5 finish. That’s gotta be a big kick in the gentlemans region for the punter who backed him last week! That’s Furyk’s 4th top 10 finish in his last 4 starts. He finished solo 2nd at The PGA the week before last and had 2 tied 9th finishes at The Canadian Open and The Bridgestone Invitational. He ranks 6th in Driving Accuracy, 18th in Scoring Average, 14th in Approaches from 200 yards, 14th in GIR from 100-125 yards and 3rd in GIR from 75 Yards. With his form being very steady at the moment, I am more than happy to back him at 33/1.
Matt Every 80/1
Every is another form guy at the moment with 2 top 10’s in his last 2 starts. He finished tied 5th at The Wyndham and had a good finish last week at The Barclays finishing in a tied 9th. He also has 2 other top 10 finishes this season with a tied 9th finish at The Pheonix Open and a tied 4th finish at The Crowne Plaza back in May. He ranks 13th in Birdie Average, 13th in Par Breakers, 2nd in Par 4 or Better Leaders, 11th in Birdie or better conversion percentage and 6th in Total Birdies. Another guy showing good form at the moment and could be a big each way contender here this week.
Phil Mickelson 2pts ew/4 pts total
Justin Rose 2pts ew/4 pts total
Jordan Spieth 1pt ew/2pts total
Zach Johnson 1pt ew/2pts total
Jim Furyk 1pt ew/2pts total
Matt Every 1pt ew/ 2pts total
Total Staked = 16 pts
Good Luck and enjoy the golf.
DoubleBogey6 Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63