Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Deutsche Bank Fedex Cup 2013 2

Deutsche Bank Championship – FedEx Cup Playoffs

August 30 – September 2, 2013 , TPC Boston, Norton, MA
Field: Top 100 FedExCup Pts. Standings
Purse: $8,000,000

Phil Mickelson 14/1

I have to say, last Sunday at The Barclays I thought Phil was phenomenal shooting that final round 65 to get himself into the top 10 coming from miles behind. Phil has had an absolutely amazing season so far with a win at The Open in Muirfield, a win at The Pheonix Open back in Feb, tied 2nd in The US Open in Merion, tied 2nd at The FedEx St Jude, solo 3rd at The Wells Fargo and tied 3rd at The WGC Cadillac in March. That’s 2 wins, 2 seconds and 2 thirds for Mickelson so far. He ranks 1st in Birdie Average, 7th in Scoring Average, 5th in Strokes Gained, 2nd in Par 3 Birdie or Better Leaders, 4th in Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders and 16th in the All Around. Phil has a good record in this event, with a win in 2007, tied 10th finish in 2011 and a tied 4th finish last year. With current form combined with stats, not to mention his heroic comeback last week, I think Phil will be a big danger here at TPC Boston this week.

Justin Rose 18/1

Only for the fact he missed a few putts last week, I reckon Rosie could’ve been the winner last week at The Barclays or, at the very least, forced Adam Scott into a playoff. Justin is another player who has been very impressive so far this year winning his first Major Championship at The US Open back in June. He also finished tied 4th at The Honda Classic back in March, tied 8th at The WGC Cadillac, solo 2nd at The Arnold Palmer, tied 8th at The Memorial and tied 2nd last week at The Barclays. Statswise, Rose ranks 24th in Driving Distance, 15th in GIR, 20th in Birdie Average, 3rd in Scoring Average, 3rd in Sand Saves, 2nd in Total Driving and 5th in The All Around. If Rose gets going and starts making a few putts I think he will be a hard man to beat here and good value at 18/1.

Jordan Spieth 45/1

I am genuinely shocked to see Spieth at a massive and generous 45/1 here at TPC Boston, considering the season he is having. I backed Jordan last week at The Barclays in which he came a respectable tied 19th after a disappointing final round 73. In his last 5 events, he has been in 2 playoffs, winning one against Zach Johnson at The John Deere about a month ago and losing one (Which I was happy about because I backed Patrick Reed!!) to Patrick Reed at The Wyndham Championship. Earlier in the year Spieth had a good run of results finishing tied 2nd in Puerto Rico, tied 7th in Tampa Bay, tied 9th at The RBC Heritage, tied 7th at The Crowne Plaza and 6th at The AT&T National. He has proven he can play and compete at the highest level and I am more than happy to back him here again this week.

Zach Johson 40/1

You just can’t ignore the run of top 10’s this guy is on lately with 5 top 10’s in his last 5 events. This includes losing to Jordan Spieth in a playoff at The John Deere about 5 weeks ago, tied 4th at The Bridgestone Invitational and most recently finishing in tied 5th at The Wyndham. Johnson ranks 11th in Driving Accuracy, 36th in Scoring Average, 37th in GIR and 7th in GIR Percentage 125-150 yards. After taking a week off for his brother’s wedding last week for The Barclays, I think Zach will come to TPC Boston fresh and relaxed. With his recent run of form, I think he could go extremely well here at a very big price.

Jim Furyk 33/1

Furyk is another player showing very good form lately finishing in tied 6th last week at The Barclays only one stroke off a top 5 finish. That’s gotta be a big kick in the gentlemans region for the punter who backed him last week! That’s Furyk’s 4th top 10 finish in his last 4 starts. He finished solo 2nd at The PGA the week before last and had 2 tied 9th finishes at The Canadian Open and The Bridgestone Invitational. He ranks 6th in Driving Accuracy, 18th in Scoring Average, 14th in Approaches from 200 yards, 14th in GIR from 100-125 yards and 3rd in GIR from 75 Yards. With his form being very steady at the moment, I am more than happy to back him at 33/1.

Matt Every 80/1

Every is another form guy at the moment with 2 top 10’s in his last 2 starts. He finished tied 5th at The Wyndham and had a good finish last week at The Barclays finishing in a tied 9th. He also has 2 other top 10 finishes this season with a tied 9th finish at The Pheonix Open and a tied 4th finish at The Crowne Plaza back in May. He ranks 13th in Birdie Average, 13th in Par Breakers, 2nd in Par 4 or Better Leaders, 11th in Birdie or better conversion percentage and 6th in Total Birdies. Another guy showing good form at the moment and could be a big each way contender here this week.

Final Selections:

Phil Mickelson 2pts ew/4 pts total
Justin Rose 2pts ew/4 pts total
Jordan Spieth 1pt ew/2pts total
Zach Johnson 1pt ew/2pts total
Jim Furyk 1pt ew/2pts total
Matt Every 1pt ew/ 2pts total
Total Staked = 16 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf.

DoubleBogey6 Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

FedEx Cup Playoffs – The Barclays Betting Preview

FedEx Cup Playoffs

The Barclays Betting Preview

Liberty National Golf Club, Jersey City, New Jersey, New York

 

Last week at The Wyndham –

What a week last week was with my outsider Patrick Reed beating Jordan Spieth on the second playoff hole to win The Wyndham Championship. Reed recovered from a drive on the par 4 10th that came a few feet from going out of bounds and stopped in some pine needles in the woods near a television cable. He took out his 7-iron, with a tricky uphill lie, he managed to keep one low under a tree branch, got it on the green and rolled it in for a birdie to win the championship. I am not going to lie, I really thought he might blow it after Spieth got that 20 footer for a par and reed missed for the birdie on the first playoff hole.  Thankfully, that wasn’t the case. To wrap up last week, that’s a 66/1 winner on Mr Reed and a place on Zach Johnson at 16/1. Let’s hope this good form continues. Now onto this week in New Jersey where the beginning of the FedEx Cup playoffs is upon us.

 

Tiger Woods 5/1

This will be the 3rd time I’ve backed Tiger in the last few weeks and I am going to take a gamble on him again here. Tiger has dominated The PGA Tour so far this season with 5 wins already tucked away in the Trophy Cabinet, not to mention a tied 6th finish at The Open Championship in Muirfield and a tied 4th finish at The Masters (in which he would have won if he wasn’t penalised). Stats wise he is 2nd in Strokes Gained Putting, 5th in Birdie Average, 1st in Scoring Average, 1st in Total Putting and 24th in GIR. He also has a decent record in this event, finishing in a tie for 12th in 2010 and only missed out in a playoff in 2009, finishing in tied 2nd. He didn’t play great at the PGA a couple of weeks ago and finished in a disappointing tie for 40th, however that wouldn’t concern me this week. If the dominating Tiger that won in Firestone is anything to go by, and after taking a week off last week, I reckon he’ll be in tip top shape here.

 

Henrik Stenson 20/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I like Henrik and I have every reason to as he rarely lets me down, getting a bunch of each way places over the last few weeks. He has 5 top 10’s  including 4 top 3 finishes in his last 5 starts on both the European and PGA Tours, including a 3rd place finish at The PGA, tied 2nd finish at The Bridgestone, 2nd at The Open Championship, tied 3rd at The Scottish Open and a tied 10th finish at The BMW international Open. Stats wise, he ranks 6th in Driving Accuracy, 2nd in GIR, 4th in Scoring Average and 3rd in Total driving and that’s just on the PGA Tour! On the European Tour, he ranks 1st in Stroke Average, 10th in Driving Distance and 8th in GIR. I really feel Henrik has the all-around game to win on any golf course and I feel it could be any day now. 20/1 is a decent price for a real contender in my opinion.

Keegan Bradley 40/1

Bradley has had a mixed kind of season so far but has had 5 top 5 finishes, including a tied 4th at The Hyundai at the start of the year, tie 4th at The Honda Classic, tied 3rd at The Arnold Palmer, 2nd at The Byron Nelson and recently he finished in tied 2nd at The Bridgestone Invitational and followed that with a tied 19th finish at the PGA Championship. Bradley ranks 7th in Driving Distance, 10th in Scoring Average, 34th in Birdie Average, 2nd in par 5 of better leaders and 3rd in the All Around. At 40/1 I think he is great value here this week and with this course measuring a lengthy 7,400 yards, this should suit the big hitting Bradley down to the ground.

 

Jason Day 28/1

What a season this man is having getting himself yet another top 10 in a major championship, finishing in tied 8th at The PGA a couple of weeks ago, making it his 3rd top 10 finish in 4 major championships this year, including a tied 2nd place finish at The US Open at Merion and a solo third place finish at The Masters in Augusta. Statswise, Day ranks 21st in Driving Distance, hitting it a decent 298.4 yards off the tee, 38th in Strokes Gained, 14th in Scoring Average and 9th in Sand Saves. Day hasn’t missed a cut all year and ranks 3rd in Consecutive cuts made making 21 in a row. Day has a decent record in this tournament over the years, finishing in tied 13th in 2011 and tied 5th in 2010. A real contender here and very well priced at 28/1.

 

Jordan Spieth 50/1

This man nearly broke my heart last week getting into a playoff with my 66/1 shot Patrick Reed. As I mentioned in the opening paragraph, I really though Reed might choke after Spieth rolled in a 20 footer for par and Reed missed a 7 footer for birdie. Thankfully, Reed won the next playoff hole but, I have to say, Jordan Spieth wasn’t going to give it to him and he fought well. After getting his first victory on The PGA Tour at The John Deere Classic a few weeks ago, Spieth also has 6 top 10’s so far, including tied 2nd in Puerto Rico, tied 7th in Tampa Bay, tied 9th at The RBC Heritage, tied 7th at The Crowne Plaza, 6th at The AT&T National and 2nd last week at The Wyndham. He ranks 20th in Driving Accuracy, 28th in Birdie Average, 15th in Scoring Average and 13th in Total Driving. Could he get another top 5 here at The Barclays? Most certainly YES.

 

Ernie Els 60/1

Ernie has had a good season so far getting a win at The BMW International Open back at the end of June. He also had a good finish at The US open in Merion the week before finishing in tied 4th in which he got me a very nice each way place at a decent price. He has come a little bit off the boil recently missing the cut at The PGA but bounced back with a top 20 finish at The Wyndham last week. Ernie finished in tied 2nd here in 2009 and could go well here after a decent performance last week.

 

Final Selections –

Tiger Woods 2pts ew/ 4pts total

Henrik Stenson 1.5pts ew/3pts total

Keegan Bradley 1pt ew/2pts total

Jason Day 1pt ew/2pts total

Jordan Spieth 1pt ew/2pts total

Ernie Els 1pt ew/2pts total

Total Staked – 15 pts

 

Good Luck and Enjoy the Golf,

 

DoubleBogey6                                                       Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview

Aug 15-18 Sedgefield CC, Greensboro, NC

 

 

Last week at Oak Hill –

What a week Mr Dufner had at Oak Hill, breaking his major duck to take the Wanamaker Trophy. He played flawless golf all week, shooting four great rounds including a second round course record of 63. I have to say, he was on my shortlist last week but I didn’t think he would go all the way so that was why I didn’t tip him. How wrong I was. It wasn’t all lost last week securing another two places in a major championship, with Stenson getting a solo third and Adam Scott finishing in tied 5th. Overall, profit was made so I can’t complain. Anyway, let’s move onto this week at The Wyndham in North Carolina.

 

 

Tim Clark 50/1

I actually backed Tim in this tournament last year when he placed solo 2nd to eventual winner Sergio Garcia. I just think this course really suits him with a solo second last year and a good finish in 2008, finishing in tied 6th. Tim’s recent form hasn’t been great with two missed cuts in his last five starts, however, there have been signs of good form, albeit a bit streaky, with three top 10’s under his belt already this season, most recently at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at the end of May, finishing in tied 7th. He also finished solo second at The Sony Open at the start of the season and tied 9th at The Accenture Matchplay. It’s important to note that Tim is 1st in Driving Accuracy on The PGA Tour this season, which will most certainly help here. He is also 10th in GIR percentage between 100-125 yards and 12th in approaches from 75-100 yards. For a player that has a good record here, he is most certainly worth considering at 50/1.

 

Chris Kirk 50/1

Kirk is another player, like Tim Clark, that could go well around here this week. Kirk had a top 10 finish at The Sanderson Farms Championship finishing in tied 9th a couple of weeks back and followed that up with a tied 21st finish at The RBC Canadian Open, so he is showing some form lately. Kirk has had 3 top 10’s this year finishing in tied 5th at The Sony Open in January, solo 2nd at The AT&T National and, most recently, tied 9th at The Sanderson Farms. Kirk ranks 24th in Strokes Gained, 10th in Birdie Average, 1st in Par 4 or better leaders, 5th in Birdie or better conversions and 6th in The All Around. Finishing tied 22nd last year with 4 good rounds of 66,69,69,67, he certainly has the game and potential to go one step further here. Very much a dark horse.

 

Patrick Reed 66/1

Reed is a really in form player at the moment with 3 top 10 finishes in his last 6 starts. He finished tied 9th at The RBC Canadian Open, tied 7th at The John Deere Classic and 5th on his own at The FedEx St Jude Classic. Stats wise he ranks 53rd in Driving Distance, 45th in Strokes Gained Putting, 14th in Sand Saves, 50th in Birdie Average and 31st in The All Around. As I said above, Reed is an in form player at the moment and I for one, was surprised to see him at such a high price considering his current form and stats, could be a serious each way contender here this week.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

This man has had a phenomenal start to his professional golf career, not finishing any higher than 21st since a missed cut in The Sony Open at the start of the year. This is the second time I’ve backed Matsuyama this season, backing him in The RBC Canadian Open, where he finished a respectable tied 16th. Two top 10’s in Major Championships this year, with a tied 10th finish at The US Open in Merion, beating some of the world’s best players, and following that with a tied 6th finish at The Open Championship in Muirfield. He had a respectable finish last week in PGA Championship finishing in a tie for 19th place. He ranks 19th in Eagles, 1st in Scoring Average, 12th in Par 3 or better leaders and 1st in Final Round Scoring Average. All in all, I reckon he is a great bet this week and is certainly worth backing at 33/1.

 

Zach Johnson 16/1

I backed Zach last week in Oak Hill where he got his 4th top 10 finish in a row, finishing in tied 8th place. The week before that he finished tied 4th at The Bridgestone Invitational, then finished tied 6th at The Open Championship at Muirfield. The week previously to that he lost in a playoff to Jordan Speith at The John Deere Classic. His 5th top 10 finish of the season so far came back in May finishing in third on his own at The Crowne Plaza Invitational. So it’s fair to say, he is most certainly an in form man at the moment. Stats wise he ranks 12th in Driving Accuracy, 60th in Strokes Gained Putting, 47th in Scoring Average and 4th in GIR Percentage between 125-150 yards. Stats combined with current form make Johnson lethal here this week, in my opinion.

 

Final Selections –

Tim Clark 1.5 pts ew/3 pts total

Chris Kirk 1pt ew/ 2 pts total

Patrick Reed 1pt ew/ 2 pts total

Hideki Matsuyama 1.5 pts ew/ 3 pts total

Zach Johnson 2pts ew/ 4 pts total

Total Staked = 14

 

Best of luck and enjoy the golf,

 

DoubleBogey6                                                                      

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

USPGA Championship Betting Preview

PGA Championship Betting Preview

August 8-11, Oak Hill Country Club, New York

Tiger’s Domination of Firestone –

What a week Tiger had in Firestone, winning by an impressive 7 shots over Henrik Stenson and Keegan Bradley. Let’s face it, it wasn’t a huge shocker considering he’s playing absolutely fantastic golf at the moment and given his record around Firestone, if he got away to a decent start, the rest of the field would be chasing, and that’s exactly how it played out. That’s another winner for me this week not to mention yet another place on my man of the season so far, Henrik Stenson. Overall, a very good week was had, I could get used to this….

Well it’s the last major of the year, with Oak Hill in New York playing host a second time to this illustrious tournament. Shaun Micheel won this last time it was played here on only 4 under par back in 2003, so that’ll give an indication of how tough it will be.  Oak Hill will be set up similar to the US Open at Merion with tight fairways and plenty of trees both sides so accuracy and distance off the tee will be of particular importance this week. Here are my thoughts on who to watch in The 2013 PGA Championship.

 

Tiger Woods 5/1

There’s not much I can say about Tiger that you don’t already know. He’s just having a phenomenal season so far with his fifth win of the 2013 season coming in Firestone last week, blitzing the field by 7 shots to win on 15 under. His other wins include The Farmers, The WGC Cadillac, The Arnold Palmer and The Players. In 11 starts, he has won 5 times, been in the top 10 twice at The Open Championship and The Masters, only because he was penalised in The Masters he probably would’ve won that as well. The last time he played in The PGA on this course he finished tied 39th on +12 but that wouldn’t concern me here this week. Some slight concerns are his driving accuracy and distance stats in which he is 53rd and 44th. However, he is ranked 4th in Strokes Gained, 2nd in Birdie Average, 1st in Scoring Average, 8th in Sand Saves and 8th in Total Driving. If Tiger can keep the ball on the short stuff, he will be right up there come Sunday.

 

Adam Scott 18/1

I’ve decided to take Scotty again this week, basically because he is always there or there about in the majors. He had a respectable finish last week in Firestone finishing in tied 14th. After a super performance in The Open Championship at Muirfield, finishing tied 3rd a couple of weeks ago, he is certainly a man that’s in great form at the moment. In 2003, Scott finished in tied 23rd shooting a 69 and a pair of 72’s only to shoot a disappointing 75 in the final round and without a doubt could’ve been better. After winning The Masters beating Angel Cabrera in a playoff and coming tied 3rd in The Open, Scott has two more top 10’s this season at The WGC Cadillac and The Northern Trust Open. Stats wise he ranks 21st in Driving Distance, 3rd in Scoring Average, 24th in GIR and 14th in total Driving. Stats combined with recent good form and a good overall season so far make Scott a good bet here this week and could bag yet another top 5 if not a win here in the last major of 2013.

 

Henrik Stenson 26/1

I’m going with Stenson again this week as I think he’s just a place machine at the moment with three top three finishes in his last three starts including tied 2nd last week to Tiger in Firestone (in which he got me a place), 2nd on his own in The Open Championship in (which he got me a place) and tied 3rd finish at The Scottish Open not to mention a Tied 10th finish in The BMW International Open in Germany the week before that. His European Tour stats are 4th in Stroke Average, 9th in Driving Distance and 6th in GIR. On the PGA Tour, his stats are 6th in Driving Accuracy, 2nd in GIR, 7th in Scoring Average and 4th in Total Driving. In my opinion, he’s on the cusp of a win and it very well come here at Oak Hill this week. Watch this space….

 

Webb Simpson 66/1

I have to say I thought Webb looked great in the first round in Firestone last week shooting an opening round 64 to take the lead after day one, only to fall off the pace after shooting rounds of 75,73 and finally shot a decent final round 66. I think it all boils down to consistency with his form being a little streaky at the moment but there are signs of him showing some decent form lately with a good finish at The Travellers to finish in Tied 5th. He has had a decent season so far, finishing in tied 6th at The Northern Trust Open, tied 5th the following week at the Accenture Matchplay, not to mention finishing in 2nd at The RBC Heritage back in April. If he can get a bit of consistency and shoot four good rounds he will certainly be well up there come the weekend.

 

Zach Johnson 50/1

A serious danger man here this week in my opinion. Johnson has 3 top 6’s in his last 3 events finishing in tied 4th last week at Firestone, tied 6th at The Open Championship in which he putted very poorly and finished in 2nd place at The John Deere Classic ( in which I had him backed ) only to lose in a playoff to Jordan Spieth. Johnson also had a good finish in The Crowne Plaza Invitational back in May finishing in 3rd place on his own. He ranks 12th in Driving Accuracy, hitting an average of 68.10% of fairways, which will be a big help here this week.

 

Ernie Els 90/1

Last time Ernie played Oak Hill he finished in tied 5th shooting very steady rounds of 71,70,70,71. As I expect this course to be a very similar layout to Merion, in which Ernie finished in tied 4th a couple of weeks ago, I think the big easy will dig up the good vibes he had when he played here in 2003 and have a good week. He has had a pretty good season with a win under his belt in The BMW International Open in Germany and also had a tied 6th finish at The BMW PGA in Wentworth. In his last 6 majors, Ernie has a winner and 2 top 10’s coming at the 2012 and 2013 US Open’s. At 90/1 I think he is a great each way shout.

 

Final Selections –

Tiger Woods – 3ptsEW/6pts total

Adam Scott – 2ptsEW/4pts total

Henrik Stenson – 2ptsEW/4pts total

Webb Simpson – 1.5ptsEW/3pts total

Zach Johnson – 1ptEW/2pts total

Ernie Els – 1ptEW/2pts total

 

Best of Luck and enjoy the last major of 2013.

DoubleBogey6                                                      – Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63