September 19-22, 2013, East Lake GC, Atlanta,GA
Field: Top 30 FedExCup Pts. Standings
Jordan Spieth 30/1
Well it’s the finale of the playoffs and I think it’s going to take a hell of a performance for this kid to win the whole 10 million bucks, However I do like him to go well in the tournament itself, that’s why I’ve added him to my list of runners and riders in East Lake this week. In his last three playoff events, he has finished a respectable tied 19th at The Barclays, a fantastic tied 4th finish at The Deutsche Bank shooting a 62 in the final round and last week finished in tied 16th at The BMW. East Lake could fit the youngster’s eye as he lost in a playoff to Patrick Reed the week before the playoffs started, at another Donald Ross designed course at The Wyndham Championship in Sedgefield Country Club. Statswise he ranks 14th in Driving Accuracy, 18th in Birdie Average, 11th in Scoring Average, 8th in Total Driving and 3rd in The All Around. He has proven he can compete with the best in the world and go toe to toe with the likes of Zach Johnson, which he beat in a playoff at the John Deere only a couple of months ago. Who’s to say that couldn’t happen again this week?
Hunter Mahan 18/1
I’ve noticed Hunter is a popular pick amongst us this week and to be fair, it’s easy to see why. His results over the last few weeks have been getting better and better. In his last 4 events he has finished tied 57th at The PGA, tied 25th at The Barclays, tied 13th at The Deutsche Bank and an impressive tied 4th finish last week at The BMW, with a nice little Ace on the 210 yard par 3 17th in round three. His season has been good so far with a 2nd place finish at The WGC Accenture Matchplay earlier in the year, tied 4th finish at The US Open and a tied 9th finish in The Open Championship and, who knows, if he didn’t have to withdraw from the leading the Canadian Open after the second round because his wife went into labour, I’d say we would’ve been watching Hunter lift the trophy on Sunday night rather than Sneds. He ranks 24th in Driving Accuracy, 21st in Scoring Average and 15th in Total Driving, which should bode well around this tricky par 70. A huge danger man here and has the game to go well here at East Lake.
Zach Johnson 18/1
Well he’s dropped hugely in price since he won at Conway Farms last week that’s for sure! He was hugely impressive last week and has been for the last number of months now. It’s fair to say, he’s been knocking on the door of a win for a while now and I’m delighted it came last week because I tipped him at a juicy 40/1! In his last 7 events, he has lost in a playoff to Jordan Spieth at The John Deere Classic, finished tied 6th at The Open, tied 4th at The Bridgestone Invitational, tied 8th at The PGA, tied 5th at The Wydham, tied 27th in The Deutsche Bank and a winner last week at The BMW in Chicago. Good shooting? In a word, YES. Statswise he ranks 8th in Driving Accuracy, 30th in Strokes Gained, 25th in GIR, 9th in GIR percentage from 200 + yards, 4th in GIR Percentage 125-150 yards and 7th in Approaches from 50-75 yards. He is the course record holder here shooting a 60 in 2007. Without a doubt the most consistent player on tour at the moment. If anyone can make it two in a row, with his current run of form and consistency, it’s Zach Johnson.
Jason Day 22/1
I really thought Jason Day played really solid last week at The BMW, finishing in tied 4th shooting a superb final round of 66. He’s been very much the “Nearly” man this year with superb finishes in 3 out of the 4 major championships with a solo 3rd at The Masters, tied 2nd at The US Open in Merion and a tied 8th finish at The PGA. He also has a decent record in East Lake with a 6th place finish in 2011 and a respectable 17th place finish in 2010. He ranks 16th in Driving Distance hitting it a decent 299.5 yards, 33rd in Strokes Gained, 33rd in Total Driving , 9th in Scoring Average and 22nd in Scrambling. I think the mix of power and scrambling should suit Day well here at East Lake. He’s a player that loves the big occasions and I think he will have a good week here in the final event of the playoffs.
Charl Schwartzel 30/1
Charl is a player that will really suit East Lake, Mainly because he is a big hitter and that should certainly help around this 7,319 yard beast. He has had a good season on the PGA Tour so far with a tied 3rd finish in The Northern Trust Open at the start of the year, tied 9th finish at The Honda Classic, solo 3rd at The Byron Nelson, tied 8th at The Memorial and tied 8th last week at The BMW. He ranks 26th in Driving Distance, hitting it a respectable 297.1 yards, which will help around here. He also ranks 27th in Strokes Gained, 3rd in Birdie Average, 6th in Scoring Average, 2nd in Par 5 or Better Leaders and 3rd in Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage. Current form combined with stats suggests he should go well here at East Lake.
Jordan Spieth 2pts ew/ 4pts total
Hunter Mahan 1.5pts ew/3pts total
Zach Johnson 1.5ptsew/3pts total
Jason Day 1pt ew/2 pts total
Charl Schwartzel 1pt ew/ 2 pts total
Total Staked – 14 pts
Good Luck and enjoy the golf,
Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63