The Tour Championship – FedExCup Playoffs

Tour Championship

September 19-22, 2013, East Lake GC, Atlanta,GA
Field: Top 30 FedExCup Pts. Standings

Jordan Spieth 30/1

Well it’s the finale of the playoffs and I think it’s going to take a hell of a performance for this kid to win the whole 10 million bucks, However I do like him to go well in the tournament itself, that’s why I’ve added him to my list of runners and riders in East Lake this week. In his last three playoff events, he has finished a respectable tied 19th at The Barclays, a fantastic tied 4th finish at The Deutsche Bank shooting a 62 in the final round and last week finished in tied 16th at The BMW. East Lake could fit the youngster’s eye as he lost in a playoff to Patrick Reed the week before the playoffs started, at another Donald Ross designed course at The Wyndham Championship in Sedgefield Country Club. Statswise he ranks 14th in Driving Accuracy, 18th in Birdie Average, 11th in Scoring Average, 8th in Total Driving and 3rd in The All Around. He has proven he can compete with the best in the world and go toe to toe with the likes of Zach Johnson, which he beat in a playoff at the John Deere only a couple of months ago. Who’s to say that couldn’t happen again this week?

Hunter Mahan 18/1

I’ve noticed Hunter is a popular pick amongst us this week and to be fair, it’s easy to see why. His results over the last few weeks have been getting better and better. In his last 4 events he has finished tied 57th at The PGA, tied 25th at The Barclays, tied 13th at The Deutsche Bank and an impressive tied 4th finish last week at The BMW, with a nice little Ace on the 210 yard par 3 17th in round three. His season has been good so far with a 2nd place finish at The WGC Accenture Matchplay earlier in the year, tied 4th finish at The US Open and a tied 9th finish in The Open Championship and, who knows, if he didn’t have to withdraw from the leading the Canadian Open after the second round because his wife went into labour, I’d say we would’ve been watching Hunter lift the trophy on Sunday night rather than Sneds. He ranks 24th in Driving Accuracy, 21st in Scoring Average and 15th in Total Driving, which should bode well around this tricky par 70. A huge danger man here and has the game to go well here at East Lake.

Zach Johnson 18/1

Well he’s dropped hugely in price since he won at Conway Farms last week that’s for sure! He was hugely impressive last week and has been for the last number of months now. It’s fair to say, he’s been knocking on the door of a win for a while now and I’m delighted it came last week because I tipped him at a juicy 40/1! In his last 7 events, he has lost in a playoff to Jordan Spieth at The John Deere Classic, finished tied 6th at The Open, tied 4th at The Bridgestone Invitational, tied 8th at The PGA, tied 5th at The Wydham, tied 27th in The Deutsche Bank and a winner last week at The BMW in Chicago. Good shooting? In a word, YES. Statswise he ranks 8th in Driving Accuracy, 30th in Strokes Gained, 25th in GIR, 9th in GIR percentage from 200 + yards, 4th in GIR Percentage 125-150 yards and 7th in Approaches from 50-75 yards. He is the course record holder here shooting a 60 in 2007. Without a doubt the most consistent player on tour at the moment. If anyone can make it two in a row, with his current run of form and consistency, it’s Zach Johnson.

Jason Day 22/1

I really thought Jason Day played really solid last week at The BMW, finishing in tied 4th shooting a superb final round of 66. He’s been very much the “Nearly” man this year with superb finishes in 3 out of the 4 major championships with a solo 3rd at The Masters, tied 2nd at The US Open in Merion and a tied 8th finish at The PGA. He also has a decent record in East Lake with a 6th place finish in 2011 and a respectable 17th place finish in 2010. He ranks 16th in Driving Distance hitting it a decent 299.5 yards, 33rd in Strokes Gained, 33rd in Total Driving , 9th in Scoring Average and 22nd in Scrambling. I think the mix of power and scrambling should suit Day well here at East Lake. He’s a player that loves the big occasions and I think he will have a good week here in the final event of the playoffs.

Charl Schwartzel 30/1

Charl is a player that will really suit East Lake, Mainly because he is a big hitter and that should certainly help around this 7,319 yard beast. He has had a good season on the PGA Tour so far with a tied 3rd finish in The Northern Trust Open at the start of the year, tied 9th finish at The Honda Classic, solo 3rd at The Byron Nelson, tied 8th at The Memorial and tied 8th last week at The BMW. He ranks 26th in Driving Distance, hitting it a respectable 297.1 yards, which will help around here. He also ranks 27th in Strokes Gained, 3rd in Birdie Average, 6th in Scoring Average, 2nd in Par 5 or Better Leaders and 3rd in Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage. Current form combined with stats suggests he should go well here at East Lake.

Final Selections:
Jordan Spieth 2pts ew/ 4pts total
Hunter Mahan 1.5pts ew/3pts total
Zach Johnson 1.5ptsew/3pts total
Jason Day 1pt ew/2 pts total
Charl Schwartzel 1pt ew/ 2 pts total

Total Staked – 14 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

BMW Championship – FedEx Cup Playoffs

BMW Championship_Roundel Stacked

September 12-15, 2013 Conway Farms GC, Lake Forest,IL
Field: Top 70 FedExCup Pts. Standings
Purse: $8,000,000
Yards: 7,149

Steve Stricker 20/1

Stricker played super golf at The Deutsche Bank the week before last and looked very consistent right from the off. In particular, his touch on and around the greens was superb. We all know he is a lethal man with the putter and he didn’t disappoint, with every single putt looking threatening, and if it missed, it did by only mere millimetres. Stricker has great memories of Illinois, winning the John Deere Classic 3 times in Silvis which isn’t too far away from Conway Farms. His season so far has been great with three 2nd place finishes coming at The Hyundai in January, The Cadillac back in March and, most recently The Deutsche Bank the week before last. Stats wise he ranks 7th in Driving Accuracy, 2nd in GIR, 9th in Strokes Gained, 4th in Birdie Average, 2nd in Stroke Average and 2nd in The All Around. His game looks to be in super shape and I think if he sank a few more putts at The Deutsche Bank, he could’ve been the one lifting the trophy on Sunday night but, as we all know, that wasn’t the case. However, I do think he will come here in a good frame of mind and gets my two thumbs up here this week.

Jordan Spieth 28/1

I have decided to back young Jordan again this week as he is just playing so fantastically well. He has demonstrated that he can play steady and confidently on the game’s biggest stages against the world’s best players. He shot an amazing final round 62 in The Deutsche Bank and, to my relief, secured a tied 4th finish to get me a place on him. In his last 6 events, he has a win at The John Deere Classic, which is very close by in Silvis, Illionois. A tied 44th Finish at The Open, MC at The PGA, lost in a playoff at The Wyndham, Tied 19th finish at The Barclays and a tied 4th finish at The Deutsche Bank. This young man is playing fantastic golf at the moment. He’s already won once in this state and could add his second PGA Tour title any day now and it could very well be here at Conway Farms.

Graham DeLaet 40/1

DeLaet is another player having a fantastic season so far, with 7 top 10’s already under his belt. In his last two events, he has finished tied 2nd at The Barclays and solo 3rd in The Deutsche Bank. He also finished Tied 9th at The Farmers back in January, tied 9th at The Honda Classic in March, solo 3rd at The Travellers and tied 8th at The AT&T National. Stats wise, he ranks 20th in Driving Distance, 28th in Driving Accuracy, 3rd in GIR, 14th in Birdie Average, 20th in Scoring Average and 1st in Total Driving. He is playing very steady golf and the moment and will be coming into this event feeling confident after 2 top 3’s in his last 2 events. He certainly has the talent and potential to bag his first win on the PGA Tour here this week. One to watch.

Zach Johnson 40/1

As I mentioned in The Deutsche Bank betting preview the week before last, ZJ is on a fabulous run of form at the moment with 5 top 10’s in his last 6 starts. He had one poor round last week which came on Friday, shooting a disappointing round of 72 which, to be fair, isn’t too bad. He then followed that up with two good rounds of 67 and 66. He might be feeding off the good vibes of TPC Deere Run back in July, where he came so close to victory, only to fall at the last hurdle in a playoff to Jordan Spieth. He ranks 10th in Driving Accuracy, 31st in GIR, 35th in Scoring Average, 6th in GIR Percentage from 125-150 yards and 9th in Approaches from 50-75 yards. At The Deutsche bank, he co-led in fairways hit and ranked tied 7th in GIR. He has risen 53 spots to 48th in strokes gained-putting over his last six starts. Speaks for itself really….

Justin Rose 20/1

After a mediocre week at TPC Boston, I think Justin should be back to full flight this week after a week off after The Deutsche Bank. With only 2 missed cuts in 15 events, he has been playing very steady all season. As I said in The Deutsche Bank Preview, only for the fact he missed a few putts, I reckon he could’ve won The Barclays, but in the end finished in a respectable tie for 2nd. He has had 6 top 10’s this season including winning his first major in The US Open at Merion. His stats are none too shabby, ranking an impressive 3rd in Scoring Average, 10th in GIR, 4th in Sand Saves, 24th in Driving Distance, 3rd in Par 5 or Better Leaders, 1st in Approaches from 200 yards and 6th in The All Around. I think he should be a huge contender here come Sunday night.

Final Selections:

Steve Stricker 20/1 3pts ew/6 pts total
Jordan Spieth 28/1 2pts ew/4 pts total
Graham DeLaet 40/1 1pt ew/2pts total
Zach Johnson 40/1 1pt ew/2pts total
Justin Rose 201 1.5pts ew/3pts total
Total Staked: 17 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf.

DoubleBogey6 Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63