TPC San Antonio, Texas
7,435 yards, par 72
TPC San Antonio is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s and four par 3’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and plenty of very deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies. Kevin Na took a 16 on the ninth after struggling to free himself from the rocks and vegetation.
Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important. Par 5 and par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at as the greens here are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a very good putter.
Brendan Steele 33/1
Brendan Steele is playing solid golf at the moment and is a player with a good history at TPC San Antonio with a win here in 2011 and a fourth in 2012. He has been playing well recently with good performances coming in Phoenix finishing T6th, T10th at the Northern Trust Open and a respectable T20th finish in The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill last week.
Statswise, Steele ranks third in total driving, 16th in scrambling, sixth in GIR from 200+yards, 11th in approaches from 200-225 yards and fifth in approaches from 250 yards, which will come in handy on the four par 5’s. He also ranks 19th in fairway proximity and seventh in scrambling from the rough. Steele has a good history on this course and is playing steady golf at the moment which suggests he should go well here this week.
Jason Kokrak 33/1
If it weren’t for a disappointing final round 73 in Bay Hill last week, who knows how close Jason Kokrak would have come to winning last week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational. He played superbly well throughout the week and has shown good form in his last two events.
Along with his 4th last week at Bay Hill, he also finished T14th at The Valspar Championship, 15th in Phoenix and T19th at Pebble Beach earlier in February so he is showing signs of good form and consistency in his last six events.
Kokrak is one of the biggest hitters on tour ranking sixth in driving distance hitting it an average of 306 yards off the tee. He also ranks 23rd in birdie average, 18th in par 3 birdie or better leaders, fifth in approaches from 200 yards and first in approaches from 275 yards. Kokrak has the distance to dominate the four par 5’s on this course and should be coming into this week feeling confident after a great performance last week at Bay Hill. He played well here last year finishing T15th but comes in a much better player this time around.
Ryan Palmer 25/1
Ryan Palmer is playing well this season and comes into this week in on the back of a runner up finish at The Honda Classic. He had another runner up finish at the Humana Challenge which included an opening round 64 and a closing round 63 to finish on 26 under par in total for the tournament. Palmer played well here last year finishing T15th, which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for carding a disappointing final round 74.
However I think he will be coming here this year feeling a little more confident after playing well at The Honda. Palmer ranks 13th in total driving, 19th in GIR, third in par 5 birdie or better leaders, ninth in birdie or better conversion percentage and 18th in proximity to the hole. He also ranks 27th in approaches from 200+ yards and first in GIR from 175-200 yards which will be a big plus on these par 5’s.
Cameron Tringale 60/1
Tringale has played well in this event in the past finishing eighth in 2012 and fifth in 2011 so he’s your typical horse for the course. He has three top 15’s in his last six starts, which includes a T12th at The Phoenix Open, T13 at The AT&T in Pebble Beach and T12th at The Northern Trust Open.
Most recently he finished in T25th in the Valspar Championship opening with a disappointing 74 but finished well with a 71 and two 70’s in rounds three and four. There were good signs last week at Bay Hill where he started with a first round 70 and finished with a 71 finishing on two over par for the tournament.
He has good par 5 performance stats ranking fifth which should be a big help here. Tringale is showing signs of good form and has a good history around this course which suggests he could go well here this week at a decent price.
Freddie Jacobson 28/1
A popular choice among us punters this week and it’s easy to see why. Freddie has finished no worse than 20th in his last three starts. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing in a respectable T12th, T20th at The Valspar and a T10 in Bay Hill last week. If it weren’t for a three bogey finish on the back nine last week, he would have finished a lot better.
Freddie is another horse for the course here at TPC San Antonio finishing 15th here last year, 18th in 2012, fifth in 2011 and second in 2010. His putting stats are particularly good ranking seventh in strokes gained putting, second in putts inside 5 feet, 16th in putts from 20-25 feet and sixth in putts from 3-5 feet, which will be a big plus on these tricky undulating Bermuda greens.
Charley Hoffman 28/1
Hoffman has had some great performances so far this season. He was T9th at The Humana Challenge at the end of January, which included an opening round 64. He then followed that with another good performance at the Farmers with a T7th. Hoffman has shown some good recent form playing well at The Northern Trust Open a couple of weeks ago finishing in T12th.
In his last four starts at TPC San Antonio, he has finished T3 last year, T13 in 2012, T2 in 2011 and T13 again in 2010. Statswise he ranks 23rd in total driving, 23rd in GIR, 12th in par 3 birdie or better leaders, sixth in par 3 performance, fifth in approaches from 175-200 and 16th in approaches from 275+. With good previous performances and good current form Charley gets my vote here this week.
Brendan Steele 1 pt ew/2 pts total
Jason Kokrak 1 pt ew/2 pts total
Ryan Palmer 1 pt ew/2 pts total
Cameron Tringale 1 pt ew/ 2 pts total
Freddie Jacobson 1 pt ew/ 2 pts total
Charley Hoffman 1 pt ew/ 2 pts total
Total staked = 12 pts
Good luck and enjoy the golf,
Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63
Follow me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6
The guys over at Golf Betting System are running a Majors Competition again for 2014 and have a £150 or currency equivalent up for grabs from bet365. The competition is already up and running with only 14 days left to enter!
All of the details on how you can enter the competition are here: http://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/golf-majors-competition-2014-rules.htm