CIMB Classic Betting Preview

CIMB Classic Pic 1

Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia
Par 72, 6,985 yards

The Course
The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the second time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on The European Tour for the last few years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Last year however, the scoring wasn’t quite as low with this course proving a little more difficult when Ryan Moore was the winner on 14 under.

The course is a par 71 measuring a short 6,985 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue however length will be a big advantage especially on the four par 5’s. The greens here are large and guarded by lots of bunkers so good GIR stats are worth mentioning. There are a lot of water hazards present on this course with some holes offering some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s.

The main areas of focus for me here are current form and previous form, GIR, GIR tee to green and driving distance.

Hideki Matsuyama 1

Hideki Matsuyama 14/1
Matsuyama has started the season well with two top 10’s in his opening two events on The PGA Tour. He finished T3 at The Frys.com Open at Silverado on 12 under par and followed that with another good performance at The Shriners Open in Vegas finishing on 13 under par in total, which included a final round 66. He started well here last year shooting an opening round of 70 and played better in round two shooting a 68. However in round three and four he shot 72,74 to finish in a respectable T25 on four under par but comes here this week in much better form.

Statswise he ranks 23rd in driving distance hitting it an average of 306 yards off the tee. He also ranks 11th in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green, ninth in par 3 performance and ninth in par 4 performance. With a solid start to the season and a respectable previous performance, Matsuyama looks like a worthy second favourite and well worth backing.

Graham DeLaet 1

Graham DeLaet 28/1
With only one start under his belt this season, Graham DeLaet comes to Malaysia this week rested after a respectable T39 at The Frys. He had a good finish to the season with a T15 at The PGA Championship and a solo 11th at The BMW Championship. Graham had a good week here last year shooting rounds of 72,67,68,71 to finish T7. He then went on to finish in the top 10 in his next four events including The HSBC Champions in Shanghai and The Farmers Insurance Open.

DeLaet ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 14th in driving distance last year hitting it an average of 303 yards off the tee. He also ranked third in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 33rd in par 3 performance and 24th in par 4 performance. With a strong finish to the season and a good performance here last year, DeLaet could be one to watch here.

Paul Casey 1

Paul Casey 28/1
After struggling for a long time with various injuries, it’s good to see Paul Casey back playing good golf. He has played well this season on both the European Tour and PGA Tour recording his first win of the year at The KLM Open in Holland a few weeks ago. He played well at the end of The FedEx cup Playoffs finishing a respectable T18 at The Wyndham and T22 at The Barclays. Most recently, he had a good week at The Volvo World Matchplay finishing in T9th.

He has performed well in Asia over the last number of years recording a T8th at The Volvo China Open in 2013, 10th at The Singapore Open in 2011 and a 6th at The 2010 BMW Masters at Sheshan International in Shanghai.

On the European Tour, he ranks 35th in driving distance hitting it an average of 293 yards and seventh in GIR. With such a good record in Asia and good current form, Casey could be another danger man here this week.

Seung Yul Noh pic 1

Seung Yul Noh 33/1
Noh comes here after a solid performance at The Kolon Korea Open last week finishing second to Seung Hyuk Kim. Noh had a good season on The PGA Tour recording his first win, which came at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans back in March. He also finished well with a T23 at The BMW Championship and a T9 at The Deutsche Bank.

Noh has won here at Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club before winning the 2010 Malaysian Open beating KJ Choi by one stroke to finish on 14 under for the tournament. Last season he ranked 40th in driving distance, 38th in GIR and 39th in par 5 performance. He also ranked third in GIR from 100-125 and first in GIR from 125 yards, which are two good stats for approaches into these short par 4’s.

Angelo Que pic 1

Angelo Que 125/1
Que has been playing solid for the last few weeks on The Asian Tour with three top 10’s in his last six starts. His good form started a few weeks ago at The Yeangder TPC in Taiwan where he finished 8th after a disappointing third round 76. He then went on to have another good week at The Mercuries Taiwan Masters finishing 9th after a disappointing opening round 75. Que then put together four rounds in the sixties shooting 65,69,67,66 to finish second at The Hong Kong Open, so his current form is good.

He has played well on this course in the past finishing T10 on eight under par at The Malaysian Open in 2010. He ranks 34th in driving distance on The Asian Tour averaging 296 off the tee. With good current form and a good performance here in the past, Angelo Que is certainly worth a small each way wager.

Final Selections
Hideki Matsuyama 1.5 pts EW at 14/1
Graham DeLaet 1.5 pts EW at 28/1
Paul Casey 1.5 pts EW at 28/1
Seung Yul Noh 1.5 pts EW at 33/1
Angelo Que 1 pt EW at 125/1

Total staked = 14 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,
DB

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The McGladrey Classic Betting Preview

McGladrey Classic

Seaside Course, Sea Island, Georgia
7,055 yards, Par 70

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where local resident Chris Kirk is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), and Chris Kirk (2013). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside Course has links style bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus for me this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole.

Webb Simpson 2

Webb Simpson 14/1
Webb had a great start to the new season last week at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting four rounds in the sixties to finish 15 under par and T4th for the week. He also had a good finish to the 2013/2014 season with a T5 at The Wyndham, T9 at The Deutsche Bank and a respectable T23 at The Tour Championship in East Lake.

Simpson has a great record here at The Seaside Course finishing T7 last year, second in 2011 losing to Ben Crane in a playoff and T12th in 2010. Last week Webb ranked second in GIR and GIR tee to green, 10th in par 4 birdie or better leaders and first in GIR from 75 yards and 100 yards. After a good week in Vegas combined with a great record here over the last few years, it’s hard to bet against Webb this week.

Bill Haas pic 1

Bill Haas 16/1
Haas played well towards the end of the season not finishing worse than T16 in his last five events. He finished T2 at The Wyndham which included a final round 64, a T15 at The Barclays, T9 at The Deutsche Bank, T16 at The BMW Championship and 16th place finish at The Tour Championship. Haas also has a good record at The Seaside course finishing second in 2010 in his one and only appearance.

He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise, ranking 15th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green, 38th in par 4 performance and third in par 5 performance last season. He also ranked sixth in GIR from 150 yards and eighth in proximity form the sand, which will be a big help if he gets himself into some of these tricky greenside and fairway bunkers. This could be an event where Haas could really flourish, especially after finishing the season so well recently.

Scott Brown Pic 1

Scott Brown 33/1
Scott Brown arrives to Sea Island this week with two top 12 finishes in his last two events. He started the season well at The Frys with a T12 finishing on ten under par for the tournament. He then followed that with another good performance in TPC Summerlin last week shooting a final round 66 to finish T10th on thirteen under par. In his previous two appearances here, Brown finished T20 in 2012 and T4 here last year.

So far this season he ranks 15th in strokes gained putting, 30th strokes gained tee to green, 14th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, fourth in par four scoring and 33rd in proximity to the hole. After starting the season well, I expect Brown to continue that good form this week in a weaker field.

Tony Finau pic 1

Tony Finau 50/1
Finau has been riding on the crest of a wave recently with five top 20 finishes, including two top 10’s, in his last six events. He finished the Web.com season well with good performances at The Hotel Fitness Championship (T19), The Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship (T6) and The Web.com Tour Championship finishing T14th. He has started his PGA Tour season exceptionally well with a T12 at The Frys and a T7 at The Shriners Open last week in Vegas.

Statswise he ranks 20th in GIR, fourth in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 5 performance and 37th in par 4 birdie or better leaders. With a great start to the season, Finau could be one to watch here this week.

Robert Streb pic 1

Robert Streb 66/1
Streb is another player that as started the season well with a respectable T31 at The Frys and a T10 last week at The Shriners. He also had a good finish to the season with good performances at The Barracuda Championship (T14), The Wyndham (T18) and a T9 finish at The Deutsche Bank Championship.

He is also another player that seems to fit the bill in terms of stats. He ranks 35th in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 4 scoring, 25th in total putting and 15th in approaches from 125-150, which is a big plus for approaches into the par 4’s. With a T10 last week, he’ll be arriving here with a lot of confidence and should have a good week.

Final Selections
Webb Simpson 2pts EW at 14/1
Bill Haas 2pts EW at 16/1
Scott Brown 1 pt EW at 33/1
Tony Finau 1 pt EW at 50/1
Robert Streb 1 pt EW at 66/1
Total staked = 14 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

DB

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Shriners Hospital for Sick Children Open

TPC Summerlin

TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada
7,255 yards, par 71

After an exciting opening tournament of the new season at the Frys.com Open last week, the PGA Tour makes its annual trip to TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, where Webb Simpson will be the defending champion.

TPC Summerlin is a 7,255 yard par 71 and has played host to this event since 2008. Previous winners include Webb Simpson (2013), Ryan Moore (2012), Kevin Na (2011), Jonathan Byrd (2010) and Martin Laird (2009). The winning score has been around the 20 under par mark since 2008 so expect plenty of birdies. This course has three par 5’s, which will be reachable by the majority of the field, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. This course is quite picturesque and meanders through creeks and canyons in the Nevada desert.

Accuracy off the tee is not of huge importance this week, but if your tee shot is a little too wild, players will be punished. The greens here are large and not too difficult so good putters will be worth looking at. Greens in regulation, strokes gained putting, good ball striking and good course history are the ingredients for a good week here.

The course bares its teeth in the four-hole closing stretch packed with risk/reward holes such as the drivable par-4 15th, the par-5 16th, the water-lined par-3 17th and a strong par-4 No.18. Recent upgrades have added bunkers at No.18 and three other holes.

Martin Laird pic 1

Martin Laird 28/1
With a solid start to the season last week at The Frys.com Open finishing T3rd, Martin Laird looks to be a solid bet this week at TPC Summerlin. He has a good history at this event with a win in 2009 and came close to winning again in 2010 but lost in a playoff to Jonthan Byrd to finish second. Laird also had a respectable finish to his season with a T29 at The RBC Canadian Open, T6 at The Barracuda Championship and a T14 at The Wyndham.

Last week at the Frys he ranked 14th in GIR, ninth in strokes gained putting and 16th in par breakers. With a good putting and GIR performance last week, it’s hard to bet against him on a course he has performed very well on in the past.

Brooks Koepka pic 1

Brooks Koepka 22/1
Koepka has really caught my eye over the last few weeks and I reckon he could be right on the cusp of a win. He had a great week at The Frys in Silverado finishing in a respectable T8, recording his third top 10 finish in four starts on both the European Tour and PGA Tour. He was going well all week but failed to mount a charge on Sunday, which resulted in a final round 72.

Koepka has been playing well recording a T15 at The USPGA and followed that with a T3 at The European Masters, a T11 at The KLM Open in Holland and a recent T9 at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. Brooks missed the cut last year on his only appearance but comes here in great form on a course that could suit him.

Brendan Steele Pic 1

Brendan Steele 66/1
Brendan Steele had a steady start to the season with a respectable T21 at last week at The Frys to finish on seven under par. Steele has had two top 15 finishes here in his last three appearances finishing T13 in 2012 and T16 in 2011. He had some good performances last season including back to back T5’s at The Travellers and The Quicken Loans. He also played well at The Pheonix Open finishing T6th, which is a similar layout to this week.

Statswise Steele looks to tick a lot of the boxes and ranked 22nd in GIR, 25th in strokes gained putting, 32nd in birdie average and 35th in par breakers at The Frys. After a good performance last week, he could go well here at a decent price.

Bryce Molder Pic 1

Bryce Molder 66/1
Molder was another player that played well last week at The Frys finishing in T3rd shooting three of his four rounds in the 60’s. He has also played well at this event in the past recording a top 10 back in 2011 finishing T10th. Molder had a respectable finish to the season with good performances at The John Deere Classic, finishing T13th and a good performance at The Barracuda Championship finishing T14th.

Last week, he ranked 14th in strokes gained putting, 22nd in strokes gained tee to green, first in birdie average and first in par breakers. With all the statistical boxes ticked, he could have another top 5 here this week.

Retief Goosen pic 1

Retief Goosen 66/1
After a great performance last week at The Frys shooting 69,71,66,70 to finish T3, Retief Goosen looks to be worth a mention here this week. Although he has no previous form at this event, he comes here after making 15 cuts in row, which is pretty impressive. He finished last season with two top 25’s in the last four events with a T12 at The RBC Canadian Open and T25 at The Barracuda Championship.

Last week he ranked first in strokes gained putting, second in par breakers and ninth in par 4 scoring. If he continues to putt well he could go very well again this week at TPC Summerlin.

Final Selections:
Martin Laird 28/1 2 pts EW
Brooks Koepka 22/1 1 pt EW
Brendan Steele 66/1 1 pt EW
Bryce Molder 66/1 1 pt EW
Retief Goosen 66/1 1 pt EW
Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

DB
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