Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2015

Phoenix Open pic 2

TPC Scottsdale, Arizona
Par 71, 7,266 Yards

The Course
The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last year with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes, including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot, and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the past 12 months, I think it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form at the moment that have played well here in the past.

Bubba Watson Phoenix Open pic 1

Bubba Watson 14/1
A trip to TPC Scottsdale will be Bubba’s second event on the PGA Tour in 2015 after he played well at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions earlier this month, finishing solo 10th. In his last four competitive events, Bubba has finished no worse than T11, including a win at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shangai. He followed that with a T11 at The Hero World Challenge, finishing on eight under par in total.

His record at TPC Scottsdale is quite impressive with two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last three starts. He came agonisingly close to winning here last year but lost to Kevin Stadler on the first playoff hole. He also finished solo 15th in 2013 and T5 in 2012. Statswise, Bubba ranks 26th in driving distance, hitting an average of 300 yards off the tee. He also ranks first in birdie average and first in approaches from 175-200, which is a good stat for the par 3’s and approaches into the short par 5’s.

With good current form and good previous form on this course, Bubba looks like a player that has the game to suit TPC Scottsdale and should have a good week here.

Rickie Fowler Phoenix Open pic 1

Rickie Fowler 18/1
This will be Rickie’s first event of 2015 and he will be looking to kick off with a good week at TPC Scottsdale. He comes here with some of the best form in the field with nine top 10 finishes in his last 10 competitive starts, which includes five top 5’s. This good run began back in June, where he finished T2 at The US Open and continued on from there. He had a good finish to the season in the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T4 at The BMW and solo 8th at the Tour Championship.

In his last two starts, he had a good performance at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T3 and followed that with another top 10 at The Hero World Challenge in December finishing T6. He has played well here in the past with a T13 in 2011 and a solo 2nd in 2010. Fowler is a player that has the distance and the current form to overpower this course and have a good week here.

Hideki Matsuyama 1

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1
Matsuyama has been playing good golf since the start of the new season and began with a T3 at The Frys.com Open and followed that with another top 10 at The Shriners finishing T10 on 13 under par.

Most recently, he has recorded two top 15’s in his last three starts, finishing solo 13th at The Hero World Challenge and T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, losing to Patrick Reed by one stroke.
He played well here last year shooting a total of 14 under par to finish T4, two strokes behind the eventual winner, Kevin Stadler.

Statswise, he ranks 39th in driving distance hitting it an average of 298 off the tee. He also ranks 36th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in approaches from 225-250, which is good for the par 5’s. After a good week last year, Matsuyama looks to have the game and the form to go well here again.

Brendan Steele pic 2

Brendan Steele 33/1
Brendan Steele is playing good golf at the moment and hasn’t missed a cut in his last nine events. He had a great week at The Humana Challenge shooting an impressive final round 64 to finish on 21 under par and T2 for the tournament. Before last week, his best finish this season was back at The Frys.com in October where he posted a T21. Steele is a horse for the course here with three top 10’s in his last three appearances at TPC Scottsdale.

He had a good week last year finishing T6, he finished T6 again in 2013 and T5 in 2012. Steele ranks 11th in driving distance, hitting it an average of 306 off the tee. He also ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green, 18th in birdie average and fifth in approaches from 200-225. With good previous form here and a great finish last week at the Humana, Brendan Steele looks like a good shout here.

First Round Leader –

Bubba Watson 20/1
With such a good record on this course over the last few years, Bubba has shot no worse than a 70 in his opening round here at TPC Scottsdale, and that has steadily improved over the last three years. He shot an opening round 64 here last year and co-led after the first round with Y.E Yang. He opened with a 67 in 2013, a 66 in 2012 and a 70 in 2011, which suggests he could come out and shoot another low round in round 1 this coming Thursday.

Final Selections –
Bubba Watson 14/1 2pts EW
Rickie Fowler 18/1 1 pt EW
Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 1 pt EW
Brendan Steele 33/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader-
Bubba Watson 20/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 12 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Humana Challenge Betting Preview 2015

Humana Challenge 2015

The Courses:

There are three courses being played in this tournament this week.
These are:

La Quinta Country Club – Par 72, 7060 yards and has four par fives in total. It also has tree lined fairways which are not particularly narrow, with some water features that come into play. The greens are Bermuda grass and this course tends to be the hardest of the three.

PGA West (Palmer Private) – Par 72, 6,930 yards and has a total of five par fives. This course is played twice including the final round and has a lot of trees, streams and lakes that come into play. The fairways are quite forgiving and shouldn’t be too difficult to hit. The greens are also Bermuda grass and are also quite large, so expect some low scoring on this short course.

Nicklaus Private at PGA West – Par 72, 6,924 yards. This is a little trickier than the other two in that it has undulations on the fairways which could throw up some tricky lies. The fairways are also very forgiving with large greens, two of which are island greens, but shouldn’t be a problem for the players in that they are also quite big.

All three of these golf courses are ranked among the easiest courses by PGA Tour standards with the average score of the winner around the 25 under mark. Also keep in mind that this is a Pro-Am for the first three rounds so pin positions will be in favourable locations to cater for the higher handicapped players. With this, the pro’s will be taking full advantage so be on the lookout for good birdie average stats and good putters.

With the pro’s playing about 18 par 5’s this week, five of which are on Palmer Private and they play it twice, players with good par 5 scoring stats tend to go well here. It’s also worth checking good approach stats and GIR. Players that have had a good week at The Sony tend to go well here as most of the cobwebs are dusted off. Any players that finished in the top 20 last week, and have played well here in the past, should be worth considering. It’s a tough one to call so approach with caution.

Patrick Reed pic 2

Patrick Reed 12/1
After a superb win at The Hyundai two weeks ago, Patrick Reed will come into this week well rested after taking last week off to be with his family. He was steady as a rock for the four rounds in Kapalua shooting 67,69,68,67 to finish on 21 under par for the week, beating Jimmy Walker on the first playoff hole.

Reed won this tournament last year, which saw him opening with three 63’s and a final round 71 to beat Ryan Palmer by two strokes on 28 under par. He has been showing some good consistency finishing T22 at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, T3 at The Hero World Challenge and a win in Kapalua in his last three events. He ranks second in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 100-125, first in approaches from 175-200 and 13th in par 4 scoring. After a great win in Kapalua and a superb performance here last year, Patrick Reed could well defend this title this week.

Ryan Palmer pic 1

Ryan Palmer 22/1
Palmer has been playing well so far this season with a T22 at The WGC HSBC, a T9 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout and a respectable T17 last week at The Sony, which included three 69’s and a second round 63. He also has a great record at this event over the last few years finishing second last year to Patrick Reed, T6 in 2013 and solo fourth in 2011.

He ranks fifth in strokes gained putting, ninth in scoring average, eighth in approaches from 75-100 and 12th in approaches from inside 100 yards. Palmer also ranks first in total putting and sixth in putts from 10-15 feet. With a lot of the par 4’s and par 5’s being short, good approach stats will be key this week. With good putting stats and a good record in this event, Ryan Palmer could be another man to watch here.

Brendon Todd pic 1

Brendon Todd 33/1
Brendan Todd has had a mixed bag of results so far this season but hasn’t missed a cut yet. He played very well at The Hyundai in Kapalua and was unlucky not to finish better than T8. I thought he hit the ball great off the tee and hit some superb iron shots from around 150 yards out. The only part of his game that let him down was the putter missing some very makeable birdie chances between 6-10 feet, that just slid by.

He played reasonably well last week at The Sony shooting four rounds in the 60’s finishing on six under par in T44 for the week. He had a solid performance here last year finishing T6. Todd ranks 17th in approaches from 175-200 and 11th in approaches from 150-175, which should be two ideal stats for the short par 4’s and par 5’s.

Charley Hoffman pic 1

Charley Hoffman 40/1
With such a good record in this event since 2007, its hard to rule out Charley Hoffman this week. He won here in 2007 and has a further three top 10 finishes, including a top 20, in his last eight appearances. After a win in 2007, he followed that with a T8 in 2008, T18 in 2009, T10 in 2013 and a T9 last year, which included an opening round 64.

He is having a good season and already has a win tucked away in the trophy cabinet, which came at The OHL Classic in November. He followed that with a respectable T14 in Kapalua finishing on 13 under par. Hoffman ranks 17th in GIR, 17th in approaches from 100 yards and 16th in approaches from 200 yards. With great current form and a good record at this event, it could be another good week for Charley Hoffman.

Jerry Kelly pic 1

Jerry Kelly 80/1
Jerry Kelly is on a good run of form at the moment with three top 10’s in his last three starts. His good form began back at The Sanderson Farms Championship back in November where he finished T22 on seven under par for the tournament. He then followed that with a solo fifth at The OHL Classic and a T5 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. Most recently, he played well last week at The Sony finishing T6, which included a second round 62 and a final round 66 to finish on 12 under par.

Kelly has played well here in the past with two top 15’s in his four appearances at this event. He also played well here in 2005 finishing T8. He finished T13 last year and T13 again in 2011. With great current form and good performances in the past, Jerry Kelly is certainly worth a small few quid each way.

Final Selections –
Patrick Reed 12/1 2 pts EW
Ryan Palmer 22/1 1 pt EW
Brendon Todd 33/1 1 pt EW
Charley Hoffman 40/1 1 pt EW
Jerry Kelly 80/1 1 pt EW
Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2015

Sony Open pic 1

Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii
Par 70, 7,044 yards

The Course
After a great week at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which saw Patrick Reed beat Jimmy Walker in a playoff, the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu.

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s, which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with small greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined, which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards, so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.

Jimmy Walker pic 1

Jimmy Walker 16/1
After the disappointment of losing dramatically to Patrick Reed at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, Jimmy Walker didn’t really put a foot wrong and played solid all week. I really thought he putted very well making a lot of putts when it mattered. He has been playing well so far this season with three top 15’s in his last five starts, including a T9 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Ryan Palmer.

Walker finished T4 at The Shriners Open, 15th at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas and second last week at The Hyundai. He has played well at Waialae, winning this tournament last year and finishing solo fourth in 2011. Walker ranks 27th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in GIR from 200+ yards, 17th in approaches from 100-125 yards and 10th in approaches from 125-150. With good previous form on this course and good GIR stats, Jimmy Walker looks a solid bet after coming so close last week.

Chris Kirk 3

Chris Kirk 20/1
After a course record equalling 62 in Kapalua on Monday, Chris Kirk is showing some good form coming back to a course where he has played so well on in the past. He has two top 10’s here in the last two years finishing solo second last year and T5 in 2013. He hasn’t finished no worse than 16th in his last four starts showing a lot of consistency. He started the season well with a T4 at The McGladrey and followed that with a respectable T14 at The WGC HSBC Champions.

Just before Christmas, he finished solo 16th at The Hero World Challenge and then put together rounds of 68,76,73,62 in Kapalua, finishing T14 on thirteen under for the week. Kirk ranks 27th in strokes gained putting, first in approaches from 100-125, fourth in approaches from 50-75 and 19th in approaches from 250-275. He also has good putting stats, ranking fourth in putts from 10-15 feet, which should be a big plus on these small Bermuda greens.

Tim Clark 1

Tim Clark 33/1
Tim Clark has been playing well over the last couple of months finishing second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai back in November and T7 at The Nedbank Golf Challenge in South Africa the week before Christmas. Other than a disappointing second round 75, Tim was quite solid last week at The Hyundai shooting a 70 in round one and following that with 67,71 in round three and four finishing T25.

He has a good record here finishing solo second in 2013 and T2 in 2011. He was forced to withdraw from this event last year but seems to be injury free after competing last week. Clark ranks 27th in driving accuracy, 21st in approaches from 100-125 and 16th in approaches from 150-175, which are good stats for approaching some of the 12 par 4’s here. With this course being short, tight and tricky with small greens, this course seems to suit Clark’s game.

Russell Henley pic 1

Russell Henley 28/1
With an opening round 65 last week in Kapalua, Russell Henley recorded his second top five in his last three events finishing T3 at The Hyundai TOC on Monday, shooting an impressive final round 67. He started his season at The McGladrey Classic back at the end of October, where he shot rounds of 68,63,68,69 to finish twelve under par and T4 for the tournament. He also played well at the end of last season posting a T2 at The Deutsche Bank and a solo 12th at The Tour Championship.

Henley won this event back in 2013 shooting three 63’s and a third round 67 to finish on 24 under par, three strokes better than his closest challenger Tim Clark. Statswise, Russell is hitting 73% of greens and ranks fifth in strokes gained putting and 11th in birdie average. He also ranks second in par 4 performance, 15th in putts from 10-15 feet and 12th in putts from 20-25 feet, which is a big plus on these small, tricky Bermuda greens.

First Round Leader –

Jimmy Walker 25/1
Walker hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in his last eight rounds in Waialae and could start strongly. He opened with a 66 last year, 69 in 2013 and a 68 in 2011. He also shot a 67 or better in five of his last eight rounds here, one of which was a 63 in the final round last year. He carded a 69 or better in three of his last four competitive rounds and given his performance in Kapalua, he could start well and go very low again here in round one.

Chris Kirk 28/1
Chris Kirk is another player that has gone very low around this course carding a 69 or better in his last eight rounds in Waialae. He has shot a 66 or better in five of his last eight rounds including a 64 in the first round last year and a 62 in round three in 2013. Kirk has opened with a round in the 60’s in three of his last four competitive rounds and looks in great shape after a course record equalling 62 last Monday in Kapalua.

Final Selections –
Jimmy Walker 16/1 2 pts EW
Chris Kirk 20/1 1 pt EW
Tim Clark 33/1 1 pt EW
Russell Henley 28/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader –
Jimmy Walker 25/1 1 pt EW
Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6
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Hyundai Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2015

HTOC 2015 pic 1

Plantation Course, Kapalua, Hawaii
Par 73, 7,452 yards

The Course

Happy New Year! Let’s hope 2015 is a happy and profitable one! We kick off 2015 with The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which starts this Friday. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a field of only 34.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite forgiving with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens, which have some undulations. Good putters have done well here with the likes of Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR.

With the weather set to be calm and sunny with moderate winds, the scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

billy-horschel-pga-tour_r640

Billy Horchel 20/1
Billy had a superb end to last season finishing runner up in The Deutsche Bank, and then going on to win both The BMW Championship and The Tour Championship, taking home The FedExCup crown and a tasty 10 million bucks!

He had a good week at Tiger’s event recently, The Hero World Challenge finishing T8 shooting rounds of 73,72,67,67 on nine under par for the tournament. He also showed good signs the following week at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing T3 with Ian Poulter. Billy also played well here last year shooting rounds of 72,72,68,66 on his way to a respectable T6 finish.

Horchel ranks sixth in driving distance so far this season averaging an impressive 312 yards off the tee. Last season, he ranked fourth in GIR, 23rd in driving accuracy, 15th in par 5 scoring and second in putts from 5-10 feet. He is clearly showing some good form and could be one to watch here this week.

Jason Day 1

Jason Day 15/2
After an injury stricken 2014, Jason Day will be looking to start 2015 off with a bang finishing 2014 off with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with Cameron Tringale. He also has a good week at The Hero World Challenge finishing solo 5th on 14 under par, which included an impressive final round 66.

After a win at The World Cup of Golf and The Accenture World Matchplay, Day also performed well in the last of the FedExCup playoffs at the end of October finishing T2 at The Barclays, T7 at The Deutsche Bank and T4 at The Tour Championship at East Lake. His last visit to Kapalua was in 2011 when he shot rounds of 73,66,69, 70 on his way to a T9th finish.

Last season, Day ranked 18th in driving distance, 20th in strokes gained putting, 29th in par 4 performance and first in putting from five feet. After two good performances in December, it appears Jason Day is back to full strength and could be a huge contender here.

Patrick Reed pic 2

Patrick Reed 22/1
Patrick Reed had a good start to the season with a respectable T26 at The CIMB Classic back in November. He then followed that with a T22 at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai.

Most recently, Reed played well at The Hero World Challenge in Florida finishing T3, where he shot a 63 in round two and had another good performance the following week at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing T10 with partner Brandt Snedeker.

Reed played this event last year and carding rounds of 70, 72,67,73 on his way to a respectable T16, which is not bad for his first visit. He hasn’t missed a cut since The Open Championship last July and is becoming a very solid performer in big events. At 22/1 he seems to be good value for a player that has shown good recent form over the Christmas period.

First Round Leader Bets-

141st Open Championship - Round Three

Matt Kuchar 14/1
Kuchar has a good record at this event with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He finished T6 last year, T9 in 2013, T6 in 2011 and solo 3rd in 2010. He started well in three of his last four appearances shooting an opening round 68 last year, 69 in 2011 and a 67 in 2010. Kuch also started well recently at The Hero World Challenge shooting an opening round 69 and has been as steady as they come in terms of consistency.

Ryan Moore pic 2

Ryan Moore 22/1
Moore is another player that has a good record around Kapalua finishing solo 10th last year and T6 in 2010. He has started strongly in two of his last three appearances shooting an opening round 67 last year and a 69 in 2010. Moore in another steady player and had a great start to his season winning the CIMB Classic for the second time, where he shot 68,69,67,67 finishing seventeen under par total for the tournament. After a few weeks off, he should be feeling fresh coming to a course he has played so well on in the past.

Final Selections –
Billy Horchel 1 pt EW 22/1
Jason Day 1 pt EW 15/2
Patrick Reed 1 pt EW 22/1

First Round Leader –
Matt Kuchar 1 pt EW 14/1
Ryan Moore 1 pt EW 22/1

Total staked = 10 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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