AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2015

AT-T Byron Nelson Championship 2015 Betting Preview 2015

TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas 

7,166 yards, par 70

The Course

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Dustin Johnson 12/1

Dustin Johnson returns to TPC Four Seasons this week to a course he has played so well on in the past. He has three top 10 finishes here in his last four appearances finishing T7 last year, T20 in 2011, T7 again in 2010 and fourth in 2009. His current form has been mixed with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. He won the WGC Cadillac in style back in March, T6 at The Valero Texas Open, T6 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. Since finishing T69 at The Players Championship, Johnson has taken a break and should be well rested coming here this week.

Statswise he ranks first in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 200 and fifth in par 5 scoring. With a good history here and decent form this season, DJ could be a big danger man here considering he has taken the last few weeks off.

 

Gary Woodland 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Gary Woodland 33/1

Woodland is another player that is a horse for the course around here finishing T7 last year and a respectable T24 in 2012. He has been playing very solid over the last few weeks finishing T21 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational, T26 at The Texas Open, second at The WGC Matchplay and T4 at The Wells Fargo a couple of weeks ago. This 7,166 yard par 70 should be right up Woodlands street with its tree lined fairways and large undulating greens.

He ranks 10th in driving distance, 17th in approaches from 100-125, 16th in putting from 10 feet and eighth in putting from 25 feet, which are two good stats for these big undulating greens. He has really been impressive over the last few weeks, especially with the flat stick and I think that could really stand to him here.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley had yet another solid performance last week in Colonial recording his fourth top 11 finish in his last seven starts. His good run of form began back at the end of March where he finished T11 at The Texas Open. He followed that with another T11 in Houston, T9 at The Masters, T30 at The Players and a T10 last week in Colonial. Charley has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2013, T7 in 2008 and T8 in 2006.

Hoffman is averaging 294 yards off the tee ranking 38th in driving distance. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring, 40th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 275, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

Marc Leishman 40/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship

Marc Leishman 40/1

Leishman has been showing good form over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four starts. He finished in a respectable T27 last week at Colonial, T24 at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T28 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He has a great history around here with five top 12’s in six appearances. He finished T3 last year, T12 in 2013, T3 again in 2012, T12 in 2010 and T8 in 2009.

Leishman ranks second in approaches from 150-175, 27th in approaches from 225-250 and first in putts from 15 feet. These are good stats for approaches into the 12 par 4’s and tricky par 5’s. With a super history here and decent current form, the Aussie is great value at 40/1 on a course he knows so well.

 

Danny Lee Top 20 7/2 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Top 20 Finish –

Danny Lee 7/2

Danny Lee is showing some decent form over the last couple of months with four top 10’s and a top 25 in his last ten starts. His good run of form began back in the middle of March where he finished T7 at The Valspar and followed that with a T17 at The API in Bay Hill, T22 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and T10 last week at Colonial. Lee has played here three times before with an MC last year, T19 in 2012 and T13 in 2009.

He ranks 42nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in approaches from 50-125, 24th in approaches from 125-150 and 31st in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 13th in approaches from 200, 15th in approaches from 175-200 and fourth in par 3 scoring. With two top 20’s in three appearances and good current form, Lee Is a good shout for a top 20 finish here at 7/2.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2 pts EW

Gary Woodland 33/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 1 pt EW

Marc Leishman 40/1 1 pt EW

Danny Lee (Top20) 7/2 2 pts

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

Crowne Plaza Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Crowne Plaza Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas 

7,204 Yards Par 70

The Course

Colonial Country Club is a tight tree-lined course measuring a short 7,204 yards. It was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.

This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker and Boo Weekly over the last few years.

Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at.  This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will have to be considered. Previous form at this event is important so be on the lookout for experienced players with good history here showing some good current form.

 

Zach Johnson Crowne Plaza Invitational 16/1

Zach Johnson 16/1

It’s impossible to leave out Zach Johnson this week given his form here over the years. In his last five appearances, Johnson has two wins, which came in 2013 and 2011. He also finished T3 last year, T4 in 2012 and T9 in 2010. He has also shown some good current form with five top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well at The API in Bay Hill finishing T9, followed that with a T20 at The Texas Open, T9 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players.

Statswise, Johnson is another player that suits this course ranking 21st in driving accuracy, 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 15th in approaches from 50-125 yards and 20th in approaches from 150-175, which are good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With such a good record here and decent current form, Johnson could be a big danger here this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 20/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Jimmy Walker 20/1

After his victory at The Valero Texas Open back in March, Jimmy Walker is another danger man here this week. He played well here last year shooting a 67 in round one and followed that with a steady 68,69,70 to finish T10 for the tournament. He has had a superb season so far with two wins and two top 10’s in his last 10 starts, missing only one cut. He was beaten in a playoff against Patrick Reed at The Hynudai TOC and followed that with a win at The Sony and a T7 at Torrey Pines.

Since winning at the end of March, Walker has gone a little bit quiet with an MC at The Players, a respectable T38 in Augusta and a T52 at The WGC Matchplay and could rediscover some form here. Walker seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 16th in driving distance, 40th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green and second in birdie average. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 30th in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 4 scoring and seventh in par 5 scoring. After a good performance last year and playing on home turf, Walker could be another one to watch.

 

Kevin Na 28/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Kevin Na 28/1

Na has been putting together some decent performances with six top 20 finishes in his last seven starts. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac in Doral where he finished T9. He followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at The API in Bay Hill, T20 at The Texas Open and a T12 at The Masters. Most recently, he had a good week at Sawgrass finishing T6 on nine under par for the tournament.

He has played well here at Colonial in the past finishing T13 in 2013, T22 in 2011, T9 in 2010 and T7 in 2008. Statswise this course should suit Na, who ranks 26th in strokes gained tee to green, 22nd in approaches from 100-125 and 18th in scrambling. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Ryan Palmer 28/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Ryan Palmer 28/1                 

Palmer has played well in this event over the last three years finishing with three top 15’s in a row. He played well here last year finishing T5, finished T14 in 2013 and T5 again in 2012. He has shown great form in his home state finishing T6 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He has also shown good form throughout the season finishing T2 at The Phoenix Open, T10 at The Humana and a T12 at The WGC Cadillac.

Staswise Palmer ranks 13th in driving distance, 36th in GIR, 11th in strokes gained tee to green and second in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 30th in par 3 scoring, 41st in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With a good history at this course and good early season form, Palmer could go well with this week in front of a home crowd.

 

Kevin Kisner 33/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Kevin Kisner 33/1

Kisner played here last year and missed the cut, but comes here this week showing much better form this time around. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish. He followed that with another playoff loss to Rickie Fowler in Sawgrass also losing on the second playoff hole.

Colonial will demand accuracy off the tee and with approaches, which could be right up his street. He ranks 38th in driving accuracy, 11th in approaches from 225-250, 23rd in scrambling, 41st in par 4 scoring and 35th in par 5 scoring. Given these fairways are tight and demand accuracy off the tee and two playoff losses over the last few weeks, it’s only a matter of time before Kisner gets it over the line.

 

Final Selections –

Zach Johnson 2pts EW 16/1

Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 20/1

Kevin Na 1pt EW 28/1

Ryan Palmer 1pt EW 28/1

Kevin Kisner 1pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

                       

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

 

Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2015

Wells Fargo Championship 2015 betting preview and tips

The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina

7,562 yards, Par 72

 

The Course

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte and is a lengthy 7,562 yards. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011), Rory McIlroy (2010) and Sean O’Hair (2009).

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003.

It has narrow, tree lined fairways, which can be tricky to hit with bunkers and water hazards coming into play so accuracy and length off the tee will be important here. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 508 yard par 4 16th, the 221 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Phil Mickelson 25/1

With seven top 10’s in 11 appearances, Phil Mickelson is a typical horse for the course here at Quail Hollow. He is having a mediocre season so far and seems to be coming into some good form at the right time. He had a good week at The Shell Houston Open finishing T17 for the week. He started well shooting an opening round 66 in round one, 67 in round two and had a poor round of 75 in round three, which took him out of contention. He had a superb week at The Masters shooting 70,68,67,69 to finish T2 on 14 under par for the tournament.

In his last 11 appearances here, Phil has finished T11 in 2014, solo 3rd in 2013, T26 in 2012, T9 in 2011, solo 2nd in 2010, T5 in 2009, T12 in 2008, 3rd in 2007, T35 in 2006, T7 in 2005 and T5 in 2004. Statswise he ranks 32nd in driving distance, sixth in birdie average, eighth in par 5 scoring and sixth in approaches from 175-200 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. With such a great record here and a recent top 5 at The Masters, Phil looks great value at 25/1.

 

Bill Haas 28/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Bill Haas 28/1

After a solid performance last week at The Players finishing T4, Bill Haas looks in great form coming into this event. He has five top 20’s in his last eight starts including two top 10’s. After winning the Humana Challenge back in January, Haas followed that with a T19 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, T7 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, T12 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T4 last week in Sawgrass.

Haas has two top 5’s here in the last few years finishing T4 in 2011 and T4 again in 2006. Statswise he ranks 28th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring. His approach stats are also encouraging ranking 19th in approaches from 250-275, fifth in approaches from 125-150 and third in approaches from 50-125, which are good for attacking the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

JB Holmes 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

 J.B. Holmes 33/1

Despite a poor performance last week at The Players, J.B. Holmes is in great form at the moment and has four top 10’s including a win in his last nine tournaments. His good run of form began back in February, where he lost a playoff to Jason Day on the second playoff hole and finished P2 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64, solo 2nd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, a win at The Houston Open and a T9 at The WGC Matchplay.

He has played well in Quail Hollow before with a win here last year, T9 in 2011 and a T17 in 2008. He ranks sixth in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in birdie average and 29th in par 5 scoring. His approach stats are also encouraging ranking ninth in approaches from 50-125 and third in approaches from 75-100, which are two good stats for attacking the par 4’s.

 

Kevin Kisner 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Kevin Kisner 33/1

After losing in yet another playoff to Rickie Fowler last week at The Players, Kevin Kisner looks to be in fine form over the last few weeks and has the looks of a player that will win any day now. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the par 3 17th, which was the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish.

Kisner played well here last year finishing T6 on nine under for the tournament. Kisner isn’t the biggest hitter on tour averaging 286 off the tee but ranks 36th in driving accuracy. He also ranks 19th in scrambling, fourth in three putt avoidance, 43rd in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 5 scoring. With a great current run of form and a good performance here last year, Kisner could be a big danger man here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 40/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Justin Thomas 40/1

Despite a disappointing 75 in the final round last week in Sawgrass, Justin Thomas had a great week finishing in a respectable T24 on five under. He has been playing well all season and has recorded nine top 25’s including four top 10’s so far this year. His good run of form began back at The Sanderson Farms Championship last November, where he finished T4. He followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic, T6 at The Sony, T7 at The Humana and a T17 at The Phoenix Open.

Most recently, he finished T10 at The Valspar, T11 at The RBC Heritage, T12 in New Orleans and T24 in Sawgrass. Thomas ranks 18th in driving distance averaging 300 yards off the tee, eighth in birdie average, 14th in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks second in par 5 scoring and eighth in birdie or better conversion percentage. With great current form, Justin Thomas is another player to keep an eye on this week.

 

Final Selections –

Phil Mickelson 25/1 2pts EW

Bill Haas 28/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 33/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Kisner 33/1 1 pt EW

Justin Thomas 40/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 15 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2015

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2015

TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida

Par 72, 7,215 yards 

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with bermuda greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 The Players Championship 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is no other player showing the form that Jordan Spieth is over the last few months. In his last six events, Spieth has wins at The Valspar and The Masters, two seconds at The Texas Open and a Houston Open, a respectable T11 at The RBC Heritage and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. He played well last week but was knocked out by an in form Lee Westwood on Friday, which should work in his favour coming into this week.

Jordan played well here at TPC Sawgrass last year finishing T4 on ten under par with Justin Rose. He also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in strokes gained putting and 18th in scrambling. Spieth also ranks 22nd in par 3 scoring, second in par 4 scoring and 32nd in par 5 scoring. Given the way he is playing recently, Jordan Spieth looks like a huge contender here.

 

Justin Rose 22/1 The Players Championship 2015

Justin Rose 22/1

Justin Rose has come into some great form over the last few weeks. He had a great week at Augusta finishing T2 on 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a super performance at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans shooting a final round 66 to get the win and finish on 22 under par for the week. Justin has played well here in the past recording a personal best T4 last year and T22 in 2009.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, sixth in birdie average, second in approaches from 225-250 and eighth in approaches from 175-200, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s. Rose also ranks 32nd in par 3 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring and could be another player to watch here given his current form.

 

Jim Furyk 25/1 The Players Championship 2015

Jim Furyk 25/1

It was great to see Jim Furyk finally get the job done in style shooting a final round 63 at The RBC Heritage a couple of weeks ago. I thought he was putted superbly and hit the ball extremely well all week. He also had a good week at The WGC Matchplay finishing fourth. Furyk was showing some good form early in the season with a T7 in Pebble Beach, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He has a great record around this course finishing second last year, T25 in 2012, T5 in 2009 and T27 in 2008.

Statswise he ranks fourth in driving accuracy, third in strokes gained tee to green, second in approaches from 100 yards and fifth in approaches from 200 yards. Furyk also ranks 14th in scrambling, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and solid current form, Furyk looks to have his game in super shape coming into this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 33/1 The Players Championship

Jimmy Walker 33/1

Jimmy Walker has been playing well all season with two wins already under his belt, which came at The Sony Open back in January and The Texas Open at the end of March. He nearly made it winner number three at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, but was beaten in a playoff to Patrick Reed. Walker has played well at TPC Sawgrass over the last couple of years finishing T6 last year on nine under for the tournament and T15 in 2013 on six under.

Walker ranks 17th in driving distance, 15th in strokes gained tee to green, second in strokes gained putting and second in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring. After playing well here over the last couple of years, Walker looks to be going in the right direction.

 

JB Holmes 50/1 The Players Championship

J.B. Holmes 50/1

J.B. Holmes is in great form at the moment and has four top 10’s including a win in his last eight tournaments. His good run of form began back in February, where he lost a playoff to Jason Day on the second playoff hole and finished P2 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64, solo 2nd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, a win at The Houston Open and a T9 last week at The WGC Matchplay.

Holmes has played well here in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T13 in 2010 and T10 in 2008. J.B. ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and fourth in birdie average. With a good history on this course and great current form, J.B. looks like great value at 50/1.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 8/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Jim Furyk 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Jimmy Walker 33/1 1 pt EW

J.B. Holmes 50/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6