RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

RSM Classic 2015 betting preview

RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

Seaside Course and Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

Seaside Course : 7,055 yards, Par 70

Plantation Course : 7,058 yards, Par 72 

The Courses

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Robert Streb is the defending champion. There is going to be a slight change this year with the players playing one of their first two rounds in the nearby Plantation Course, which is a par 72 measuring 7,058 yards before the 36-hole cut. The main venue The Seaside Course will host the third and final rounds.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013) and Robert Streb (2014). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside course is a par 70 measuring 7,055 yards. It was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.  It has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas. It has a links style with creeks, sand dunes and marshes. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.  This course holds some similarities to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts The RBC Heritage and is exposed to wind. The main areas of focus on this course are current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, SGTTG and SGP.

The Plantation Course is a par 72 and measures 7,058 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined and quite forgiving with some water hazards to contend with on around 9 of the 18 holes. Similar to The Seaside Course, wind will be a factor here as this course is also quite exposed. The greens are also Bermuda and are average size. The main areas of focus here will be par 4 scoring, SGP, GIR and SGTTG.

The weather looks set to be mixed with the threat of rain and storms on Thursday. After that, generally nice and somewhat cool conditions are expected. There will also be the possibility of strong northerly winds which could be reflective on the scoring.

 

Kevin Kisner 16/1 RSM Classic 2015

Kevin Kisner 16/1

After opening with an impressive 64 in round one at The WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai recently, the American went on to shoot 66,70,70 to finish solo second on 18 under for the week. Kisner had a decent start to the season finishing T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic, which included a second round 65. He had a good finish to the 2014/2015 season finishing T20 at The Barclays and T12 at The Deutsche Bank.

He also played exceptionally well at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town, which is a similar style of golf course, earlier this year shooting 68,67,67,64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He lost on the third playoff hole but played very well tee to green. Kisner has played well here over the years finishing T4 last year and T20 in 2013.

He ranks 28th in SGTTG, 37th in par 4 scoring and second in approaches from 125-150 yards, which is a good yardage for approaches into the par 4’s. He played superb in Shanghai recently and if he brings that form here this week he will be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Patrick Rodgers 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 25/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last four starts. I tipped Rodgers last week at The OHL Classic and he finished T10 seven strokes behind the winner Graeme McDowell. He played steady throughout the week shooting 67,66,69,71 to finish 11 under for the tournament. He had a great start to the new season finishing T6 at The Frys, T13 at The Shriners and T20 at The Sanderson Farms and looks to be showing some great consistency.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring and has been hitting over 75% on greens in regulation in his last four tournaments. If he continues playing the way he is and makes a few putts, Rodgers could be a big danger man here.

 

Patton Kizzire 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 28/1

The Sea Island native will be on home turf this week which makes him very appealing here despite a poor performance last week. He finished T58 in Mexico but started well with a 66 in round one. He started the new season very well and had a great performance at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners, 73% at The Sanderson Farms and 69% last week in Mexico.

He ranks 16th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP and 17th in par 4 scoring. Kizzire has had a great start to the season and could have another great week here playing on home turf.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RSM Classic 2015

Russell Henley 33/1

Henley had a good start at The Frys shooting a 67,69 in the first two rounds but fell off the pace with a 72,74 over the weekend to finish T41. He bounced back after putting in a decent performance at The Shriners in Vegas shooting rounds 68,69,68,66 on his way to a solo 10th. He had a decent finish to the 2014/2015 season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The PGA Championship. Henley has played well here at Sea Island in the past finishing T4 last year. He led after two rounds last year and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting and T1 in par-4 scoring.

He ranks 33rd in SGP and 24th in par 4 scoring so far this season and comes here in good form after a top 10 finish at The Shriners and could be one to watch here.

 

Brendon de Jonge 50/1 RSM Classic

Brendon De Jonge 50/1

De Jonge has had a mediocre start to the season. He missed the cut at The Frys but bounced back with a T13 at The Shriners and played well all week shooting 67,66,73,67 to finish 11 under for the week. He also hit over 70% of greens in regulation. He followed that with a respectable T27 at The CIMB in Malaysia finishing on 12 under in total. He was also pretty accurate with his irons hitting just over 80% of GIR that week.

De Jonge has a great record here at Sea Island finishing T2 last year, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and T15 in 2010. With solid form here over the last few years, Brendon could be a great each way bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Patrick Rodgers 25/1 1.5pts EW

Patton Kizzire 28/1 1.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 1pt EW

Brendon De Jonge 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

That’s if from me for this year. A huge thanks to everyone who has read my blogs throughout the season, ill be back in early January for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Have a great Christmas and a Happy New Year!

 

Doublebogey6

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OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2015

OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2015

El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico 

6,987 Yards, Par 71

The Course

After an eventful finish to the weather delayed Sanderson Farms Championship, The PGA Tour travels to El Camaleon Golf Club in Mexico for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Charley Hoffman (2014), Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009) and Brian Gay (2008). Harris English holds the tournament record shooting an impressive 21 under par 263 total to win in 2013.

This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to contend with. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation.  The greens here are Paspalum grass and are average size with water hazards coming into play on roughly half of the holes.

Looking at previous winners here, it appears that hitting a lot of greens in regulation and good putters tend to fare well on this course. Last year’s winner Charley Hoffman ranked fourth in GIR last year and made a lot of great putts. Key stats on this course are GIR, strokes gained tee to green and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links, which hosts the RBC Heritage.

The weather forecast looks to be mixed for the week with some humidity along with cloud, some showers and the possibility of thunderstorms with moderate winds.

 

Jason Bohn 20/1 OHL Classic Betting Preview 2015

Jason Bohn 20/1

The American has had a good start to the season with two top 5’s in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T3, which included a superb third round 64 to finish 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting 68,66,69,68 on his way to a 15 under par total. He started well last week at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting 67,70,70 in the first three rounds but fell off the pace after shooting a 73 in the final round to finish T39.

Bohn has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T3 in 2013 and T19 in 2011. He ranks 18th in GIR, 14th in SGTTG and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season Bohn could be a huge contender here this week considering his previous record at El Camaleon.

 

Patrick Rodgers 20/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 20/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T6 on 12 under and followed that with a T13 at The Shriners in Vegas, which included an opening round 65. Rodgers followed that with another good performance last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing T20. He started very well shooting 70,64,70 and then slightly fell off the pace with a mediocre final round 73.

He has been a GIR machine over his last three tournaments hitting over 75% of greens and demolishing the par 5’s. He ranks 16th in GIR, seventh in SGTTG and fifth in par 5 scoring. After another good performance last week, I think Rodgers will continue that good run of form here.

 

Patton Kizzire 22/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 22/1

The Web.com graduate has had a fantastic start to life on The PGA Tour finishing inside the top 4 in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance last week at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners and 73% of greens last week at The Sanderson Farms.

He ranks 48th in GIR, 31st in SGTTG and 10th in SGP. He also ranks 11th in par 3 scoring and 25th in par 4 scoring so far this season. After another good performance las week, Kizzire could continue the trend of first time winners here this week in Mexico.

 

Brendan Steele 25/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brendan Steele 25/1

Steele is another player having a solid start to the season showing some good early form. He played well at The Frys shooting an opening round 63 and followed that with 70,69,76 to finish T17 on 10 under for the tournament. He missed the cut at The Shriners but bounced back strongly with a T3 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He was in the final group with Kevin Na and Justin Thomas on Sunday and played very well but was unlucky not to make a few more putts.

Steele has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T37 here last year and T16 in 2013. Statswise he ranks 40th in GIR, 26th in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season, Steele should continue that good form this week.

 

Brett Stegmaier 60/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brett Stegmaier 60/1

Stegmaier has shot a 70 or better in his last eight competitive rounds and has played very well over the last couple of weeks. He had a shaky start to the season at The Frys but bounced back with a T2 at The Shriners. He showed some super consistency shooting 66,66,68,69 on his way to a 15 under total playing the par 5’s in -10 for the week. He followed that with a T15 last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 12 under par in total.

Statswise he is hitting just over 75% of greens in regulation and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring. Stegmaier is great value this week considering his current form and could be a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Bohn 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patrick Rodgers 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patton Kizzire 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Brendan Steele 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Brett Stegmaier 1 pt EW 60/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

Sheshan International GC, Shanghai, China

Par 72, 7,261 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club where Bubba Watson is the defending champion. He finished off in style last year by chipping in for eagle on the 18th and went on to beat Tim Clark in a playoff.

Previous winners include Phil Mickelson (2009), Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Ian Poulter (2012), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Bubba Watson (2014). Dustin Johnson holds the 72 hole record here with a score of 264 (2013).

Sheshan International is a par 72 measuring 7,261 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

Length tends to be a plus here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. Bear in mind that Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson have won the last two staging’s here and both are statistically huge hitters with average accuracy off the tee.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring. All four days look to be a bit mixed averaging from 21-25 degrees with the risk of rain and the possibility of thunderstorms.

 

Bubba Watson 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Bubba Watson 18/1

Bubba comes here in great form after winning The Presidents Cup with the American Team a couple of weeks ago in Korea. He also had a great finish to the season finishing solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA, solo third at The Barclays, T10 at The BMW and T5 at The Tour Championship. He played superbly well here last year and dramatically chipped in for an eagle on the 18th to force Tim Clark into a playoff, which he went on to win. Watson lead driving distance and par 5 scoring that week playing the par 5’s in 14 under for the week.

He also played well here in 2013 finishing T8 so the course seems to suit his eye. Bubba ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking second in driving distance, 19th in GIR and first in SGTTG. He also leads par 5 scoring and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After a solid finish to the season and a good performance at The Presidents Cup, Bubba Watson could have another good week here at Sheshan.

 

Rickie Fowler 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Rickie Fowler 18/1

Rickie had a mediocre performance at The Frys shooting 72,65,70,68 to finish T25 for the tournament. However he did have a good finish to the season with a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone, a win at The Deutsche Bank, a T4 at The BMW and a T12 at The Tour Championship. He was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup Team in Korea. He has played well here in Sheshan in the past finishing T3 here last year only one stroke from getting in the playoff with Bubba Watson and Tim Clark.

Statswise he ranks 39th in driving distance averaging 296 off the tee, 35th in SGP and 26th in SGTTG. He also ranks 18th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. After blowing the cobwebs off at The Frys, Rickie should be sharp and ready to contend here on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Patrick Reed 33/1

The American has been in Asia for the last couple of weeks and recorded two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting round of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 last week in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week. Reed was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team and had a good finish to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has played well here in the past finishing T22 here last year. Staswise he averages 292 off the tee and ranks third in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 19th in SGP. After two top 10’s in his last two tournaments, there’s no reason why Reed shouldn’t have another good week here.

 

Paul Casey 35/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Paul Casey 35/1

The Englishman played his first tournament of the new season last week at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a respectable T24. He also had a good finish to the season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T3 at The Wyndham, T23 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Casey has a superb record at this event finishing T20 in 2013, T4 in 2011, T6 in 2010, T9 in 2009 and T11 in 2008.

Casey averages 297 off the tee and ranked third in driving accuracy and first in GIR last week in Malaysia. Last season he ranked fifth in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 13th in par 5 scoring and 10th in par 4 scoring. After a good week in Malaysia and a great history at this event, I can see Casey having another good week here at a decent price.

 

Chris Wood 50/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Chris Wood 50/1

Chris Wood has been in flying form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in a row. His good run of form began back at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship where he finished T4. He followed that with a T9 at The British Masters, solo second in Portugal and a solo fifth last week at The Turkish Airlines Open. Wood has only played once here back in 2013 when he finished in a respectable T39 for the week.

He is averaging just under 290 off the tee on the European Tour this season and ranks 18th in stroke average, 15th in strokes gained putting and 27th in putts per round. He played well on the par 5’s last week and made a lot of birdies, which will be a big plus at Sheshan this week.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 18/1 2pts EW

Rickie Fowler 18/1 1.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 1.5pts EW

Paul Casey 35/1 1pt EW

Chris Wood 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doubleboegy6

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