Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida

Par 70, 7,140 yards

Last Week –

Well it was an exciting finish at Riviera last week where Bubba Watson won his second Northern Trust Open getting us a nice 22/1 winner. Despite Kokrak’s superb scrambling and Adam Scott chipping in on 18 for birdie, Watson still managed to birdie 17 and par 18 to win by one. That makes it four winners and seven places in the last 13 events giving us a healthy +92.21 pts profit for the season so far. Let’s keep it going this week at The Honda Classic in Florida.

 

The Course

The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on every Florida course. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however the greens here are quite small, tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. With the breeze expected to get up a little bit, be on the lookout for good wind players that hit a lot of greens. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling and sand saves will be essential.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

 

Rickie Fowler 12/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Rickie Fowler 12/1

Despite losing a playoff to Hideki Matsuyama in Phoenix a couple of weeks ago, Rickie Fowler comes to Florida in great form and well rested after taking last week off. He has started his season off with a T17 at The WGC HSBC Champions and followed that with a solo third at The Hero World Challenge, solo fifth at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, a win in Abu Dhabi and a P2 in Phoenix.

He has played well on The Champions Course in the past finishing T7 in 2012, T13 in 2013 and T24 in 2014. He ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 16th in GIR, 13th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP, fourth in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Rickie is in super from at the moment and could have another good week after playing well here in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 22/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Patrick Reed 22/1

Patrick Reed has been playing solid for the last three months and looks like winning any day now. He started the season of with a T10 at The CIMB Classic and followed that with a T7 at The WGC HSBC Champions and a solo second at The Hero World Challenge. He started 2016 off with a solo second at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and had a super week in Pebble Beach finishing T6 which included a 65 in the final round.

He has played well here over the last couple of years finishing T24 in 2014 and T7 last year. Reed ranks 18th in GIR, 20th in SGTTG, second in scrambling and fifth in par 4 scoring. If he carries the form he had in Pebble into this week he will be one to watch.

 

Branden Grace 30/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Branden Grace 30/1

The South African has been playing superb lately and had a great win in Qatar a couple of weeks ago finishing on 14 under for the week. He has a win and five top 10’s in his last six events. He finished the 2015 European Tour season off in style with a solo third at The DP Tour Championship and followed that with a T8 at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and a T4 at The Nedbank. He started 2016 with a T4 at The SA Open, T5 in Abu Dhabi and a win in Qatar.

Statswise he ranks 33rd in GIR, 21st in SGTTG, 11th in sand saves and ninth in stroke average. Grace tends to play well on the tougher courses and could be a huge contender here.

 

Kevin Kisner 35/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Kevin Kisner 35/1

Despite a missed cut in Phoenix, Kisner has a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts and looks to be playing some super golf at the moment. He finished solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

Kisner also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 21st in both GIR and SGTTG and 14th in SGP. He also ranks second in par 4 scoring and ninth in par 5 scoring. He finished T51 here last year but comes here in much better form this time around.

 

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Freddie Jacobson 60/1

Freddie has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last five events. He had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T4 at the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. The Swede had another solid performance in Pebble finishing T4 and scrambled and putted superbly well.

He has a good record here finishing T12 in 2014, T25 in 2013, T16 in 2012, T6 in 2010 and T5 in 2009. He ranks 26th in SGP, 14th in scrambling and third in par 3 scoring and looks like a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Rickie Fowler 12/1 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 22/1 2pts EW

Branden Grace 30/1 1pt EW

Kevin Kisner 35/1 1pt EW

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Paddypower paying seven places this week

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2016

Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2016

Riviera Country Club, California

Par 71, 7,349 Yards

The Course

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California and was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. It has been the primary host for the Northern Trust Open (originally the Los Angeles Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards. Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.

Previous winners include James Hahn (2015), Bubba Watson (2014), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a monstrous 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting and tee to green and par 4 scoring.

 

Jimmy Walker 20/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Jimmy Walker 28/1

I’ve decided to give Jimmy one more chance this week in California. After another solid performance in Pebble finishing T11 on 11 under, Walker looks to be playing some great golf and showed that with a 63 in round three last week. He came close to winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago when he was leading going into the final round. He ended up finishing his final round on the Monday and shot a final round 77 due to horrendous conditions to finish T4. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas, T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions,T13 at The Sony Open and T4 at The Farmers.

Walker has a good record here in Riviera finishing fourth in 2011 and 2012, T16 In 2013 and T20 in 2014. He is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 24th in SGTTG, 26th in SGP and eighth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good record here Walker could be a huge contender here.

 

Bubba Watson 22/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Bubba Watson 22/1

Despite missing the cut last week in Pebble, Bubba comes into this week in good form and should feel more at home in Riviera. He has a win and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has played well here in Riviera in the past with a T13 in 2012, a win in 2014 and a T14 last year. Statswise Bubba seems to fit the bill here averaging just under 315 yards off the tee ranking fourth in driving distance and seventh in SGTTG. This course suits players that can shape the ball and hit it long which is right up Bubba’s street.

 

JB Holmes 28/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

J.B Holmes 28/1

J.B gets another nod from me again this week. He has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and had yet another solid performance last week in Pebble finishing T11 on nine under for the tournament. He also had a good week in Phoenix finishing T6 and had another T6 at The Famers Insurance Open in the weather stricken Torrey pines. He started 2016 off with a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

Holmes has a good record on this course finishing third in 2010, T12 in 2011, T8 in 2012 and T22 last year. He ranks fifth in driving distance, 17th in SGTTG and 35th in par 4 scoring. J.B has a great record here and looks great value here at 28’s.

 

Charl Schwartzel 30/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Charl Schwartzel 30/1

After another superb performance in South Africa last week winning the Tshwane Open, Schwartzel is playing some excellent golf over the last few weeks with two wins and two top 10’s in his last four events. He finished T4 at The DP Tour Championship in Dubai and followed that with a win at The Alfred Dunhill Championship and a T9 at The Nedbank Championship.

The South African has played well here in the past finishing T5 here in 2014 and T3 in 2013. The grass on the fairways here is Kikuyu which is the same grass they play on in South Africa giving Charl a bit of an advantage here. Staswise he ranks 25th in driving distance averaging 304 yards off the tee, 14th in GIR and 25th in SGP. With superb current form and a good record here, Charl looks great value here.

 

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 NorthernTrust Open 60/1

Freddie Jacobson 60/1

I have been really impressed with Freddie’s form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four events. He had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T4 at the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. The Swede had another solid performance last week in Pebble finishing T4 and scrambled and putted superbly well (which will be a big help this week).

He is another player with a good past here finishing third here in 2013 and T13 in 2012. He ranks 33rd in SGP, 10th in scrambling and fourth in par 4 scoring. If Freddie can keep it going this week with the putter he could be right in the mix at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Bubba Watson 1.5 pts EW 22/1

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 28/1

Charl Schwartzel 1pt EW 30/1

Freddie Jacobson 1pt EW 60/1

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

PaddyPower paying 7 places this week.

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016 Betting Preview

Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California

The Courses:

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 71, 6,816 yards and has three par 5’s and five Par 3’s.

Spyglass Hill – Par 71, 6,858 yards and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s.

Monterey Peninsula – Par 72, 6,838 yards and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s

This tournament is played on three courses which include Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. This is a Pro-Am format and is the same as The CareerBuilder Challenge taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 71’s. Monterey Peninsula is a par 72 because it has five par 3’s.

Straight away we notice that length is not a huge issue here, but the main defence for these courses is the wind coming off the water on the Monterey Peninsula. The weather can be a factor with rain and wind being quite common in California this time of year.

There are a few different factors to consider. The first factor is grass type with the greens here being poa annua which is a grass that tends to be a bit bumpy. The greens are also quite small so be on the lookout for players with good GIR and scrambling stats. The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines and the setup of the tournament is similar to The CareerBuilder so players that had a good performance over the last two-three weeks are also worth considering.

Previous winners here include Dustin Johnson (2010), DA Points (2011), Phil Mickelson (2012), Brandt Snedeker (2013&2015) and Jimmy Walker (2014). For some strange reason, this course tends to favour the bigger hitters. There are 16 par 5’s played here this week so par 5 scoring is worth checking out. As I said above, players with good GIR and scrambling are also worth looking at. Guys with good par 3 scoring stats that are good poa annua putters should also go well here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 12/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Brandt Snedeker 12/1

Sneds had a mixed bag last week in Phoenix starting with a 67 in round one and following that with a disappointing 71,74 in rounds two and three and finished well shooting a 68 to finish T33. He played superb at the unplayable Torrey Pines shooting a 69 on Sunday and ended up winning The Farmers Insurance Open by one strokes over KJ Choi. He started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys and followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge a couple of weeks ago.

Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and shot 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez, but was just pipped at the post on the second playoff hole. He has a superb record here with wins in 2015 and 2013 and a T5 in 2012. He is in fine form and is playing well enough to win for a third time this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Jimmy Walker 16/1

Walker was very close to winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago when he was leading going into the final round. He ended up finishing his final round on the Monday and shot a final round 77 due to horrendous conditions to finish T4. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas, T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions,T13 at The Sony Open and T4 at The Farmers.

Walker has a great record around Pebble finishing T21 last year, a win in 2014, T3 in 2013, T9 in 2012 and T9 in 2011. He ranks 37th in driving distance, 31st in strokes gained putting and 16th in par 5 scoring. After coming close at The Farmers, Walker looks a good shout here especially on a course he has played so well on before.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

J.B Holmes 25/1

J.B has been playing great golf over the last few weeks finishing T6 last week in Phoenix and T6 at The Famers Insurance Open in the weather stricken Torrey pines. He started 2016 off with a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. He finished off the season in style with a T4 at The BMW Championship, a T8 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team.

Holmes is another player with a decent record here in Pebble finishing T10 last year, T13 in 2011 and second in 2010. He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking fifth in driving distance averaging just over 316 yards off the tee. With J.B’s distance, he can dominate the par 5’s this week and looks to be in fantastic form coming into this.

 

Shane Lowry 40/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Shane Lowry 40/1

The Irishman comes here in great form after two good performances over the last two weeks. Lowry had a great week in Phoenix finishing T6 on nine under for the week. He started well with a 65 in round one and finished strongly with a 68 in round four. He also played exceptionally well in the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines finishing T13 and appeared to deal with the wet and windy conditions very well over the weekend.

He has been known to play well in windy, linksy setups winning the Irish Open in Baltray as an amateur on ’09 and good performances in The Alfred Dunhill Links, Scottish Open’s and Open Championships over the last few years. Lowry is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 15th in stroke gained putting and ranks 27th in par 3 scoring. He finished T21 here last year but comes here in much better form this time around.

 

Patrick Reed 35/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Patrick Reed 35/1

This could be a bit of an unknown after Reed suffered a foot injury in Torrey Pines and withdrew after a disastrous 81 in round three. Despite that he comes here in decent form and played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open finishing T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the tournament and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and followed that with another solo second in Kapalua at The HTOC. He has played well here in the past finishing T29 last year, T13 in 2014 and T7 in 2013. If he comes here injury free he could be a big contender.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 12/1 2pts EW

Jimmy Walker 16/1 2pts EW

J.B Holmes 25/1 1 pt EW

Shane Lowry 40/1 1 pt EW

Patrick Reed 35/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2016

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2016

Stadium Course, TPC Scottsdale, Arizona 

Par 71, 7,266 Yards 

The Course 

It’s been a superb couple of weeks with a35/1 winner on Jason Dufner at The Career Builder Challenge followed by an 18/1 win on Snedeker and a 30/1 place on Jimmy Walker in Torrey Pines. Let’s keep it going this week in Phoenix!

The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last couple of years with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes, including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the past 2 years it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form and have played well here in the past.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1  Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba has been playing great golf over the last couple of months and comes here feeling fresh after taking the last couple of weeks off. He had a good finish to the season finishing T5 at The Tour Championship, T10 at The BMW, solo third at The Barclays and back to back seconds at The WGC Bridgestone and Canadian Open. He had a great win at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas shooting 67,67,63,66 to finish an impressive 25 under for the week. He started 2016 off with a T10 at Hyundai Tournament of Champions which included three rounds in the 60’s.

He has a great record here on The Stadium Course finishing second last year, second again in 2014, T15 in 2013 and fifth in 2012. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking third in driving distance averaging 320 yards off the tee, fifth in GIR, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in par 5 scoring. With solid current form and a great record here Bubba looks a good shout here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 14/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Brandt Snedeker 14/1

After a superb final round 69 in practically unplayable conditions in Torrey Pines last Sunday, Sneds ended up winning The Farmers Insurance Open by one strokes over KJ Choi. He started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys and followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge a couple of weeks ago.

Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and shot 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez, but was just pipped at the post on the second playoff hole.

He has a great record here at the Stadium Course finishing T10 last year, T2 in 2013, T8 in 2011 and T9 in 2008. Statswise he is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in strokes gained putting, 28th in par 3 scoring and 13th in par 4 scoring. With such great current form and a good record here Snedeker could make it two wins in a row.

 

Kevin Kisner 28/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Kevin Kisner 28/1

With a win and three top 10’s in his last four starts, Kevin Kisner is playing some super golf at the moment. He finished solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

The American is hitting it an average of 296 off the tee and ranks fifth in driving accuracy. He also ranks 18th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in strokes gained putting. With a solid start to the year there’s no reason why he can’t continue that fine form here in Phoenix.

 

Jason Dufner 30/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Jason Dufner 30/1

Dufner arrives in Phoenix after an excellent win at The CareerBuilder Challenge after beating Swede David Lingmerth in a playoff and played solid all week shooting 64,65,64,70 on his way to a 25 under total. He has been playing well over the last couple of months and won The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Brandt Snedeker, where his iron play and putting looked superb all week. He also had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing T9 and followed that with a T9 at The Sony Open on 13 under for the tournament, which included a third round 65.

He has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2012 and T2 in 2011. He ranks 31st in driving accuracy, 20th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green and third in par 5 scoring. After a mediocre 2015 season, Dufner looks back to his best over the last few weeks and could be a huge contender here.

 

Ryan Palmer 35/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Ryan Palmer 35/1

Palmer is playing pretty consistent golf over the last few weeks with three top 20’s in four starts. He finished T16 at The Shriners and followed that with a T13 at The Sony and a T17 at The CareerBuilder Challenge in California. He started well shooting 67,66,66 in the first three rounds and should have finished a bit better after shooting a disappointing 73 in round 4.

He has played well here in the past finishing T2 last year, T5 in 2013 and T14 in 2010. Statswise he is averaging a massive 315 yards off the tee ranking fifth in driving distance, 31st in strokes gained tee to green and second in par 5 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 14/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 28/1 1pt EW

Jason Dufner 30/1 1pt EW

Ryan Palmer 35/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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