Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2016

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2016TPC Louisiana, Avondale, LA

Par 72, 7,425 yards

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to TPC Louisiana this week, where Justin Rose is the defending champion. TPC Louisiana has hosted this tournament since 2007, with this year being the 10th year in a row. It was also host in 2005, but got badly damaged in hurricane Katrina. This resulted in some changes being made to the course making it fractionally shorter than it used to be.

The course is a Pete Dye design par 72 measuring just over 7,400 yards. It features four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course sits along the Mississippi River and has five ponds and over 100 bunkers, which will all come into play. The greens here are quite big and can get fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are wide and pretty forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential but hitting the greens in regulation will be important. The greens have a lot of undulations so landing the ball in the right part of the green will be important. This is a course that is ranked one of the easiest on The PGA Tour with the average score of the winner shooting between 15-22 under par on average over the last six years.

All types of players seem to play well at this venue. It’s worth looking at players with good GIR stats, strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green. Par 4, par 3 and par 5 scoring are also worth looking at. Traditionally, there are a lot of birdies on offer at this tournament so birdie average could be another metric worth taking a look at.

 

Justin Rose 8/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016

Justin Rose 8/1

The defending champion has been in good form over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last seven starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters.

Rose has a great records here with a win last year, 8th in 2014, 15th in 2013 and 10th in 2012. He also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 14th in GIR, 8TH in strokes gained tee to green and 4th in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and solid current form Rose could follow up his top 10 IN Augusta with back to back wins here.

 

Billy Horchel 18/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Billy Horchel 18/1

Billy played well last week in Texas finishing T4 for the tournament and played well all week. His iron play looked to be in great shape and he also negotiated the greens very well. He has been playing well this season with a T8 at The Farmers, T8 at The Honda Classic, T20 at The Arnold Palmer and a T17 at The Masters. Horchel generally plays well on courses that he has played well on in the past and he has a good record here at TPC Louisiana.

He finished T26 here in 2011 and followed that up with a win in 2013 shooting a final round 64 to beat D.A Points by one stroke to finish 20 under par in total. After a good week in Texas, Horchel can follow that up with another good performance here.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Daniel Berger 25/1

The young American has been in great form lately and had a great week in Augusta finishing in an impressive T10 at The Masters on one over par in total. He also played well in Houston finishing T5 which included a final round 66. Berger has played well this season with a T28 at the WGC Cadillac and a T11 at The Valspar and comes here after taking a break after The Masters and will be fresh.

He has only played here at TPC Louisiana once and finished T6 last year on 18 under for the week. He didn’t shoot worse than a 69 over the four days and has to be respected here given his current form. He ranks 29th in GIR and 29th in par 4 scoring which are two good stats for this course. With a good performance here last year Berger is playing well enough to go better again this time around.

 

Patton Kizzire 55/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Patton Kizzire 55/1

Kizzire looks like a player that could suit this course and has been playing some good golf recently. He finished T8 at The Farmers and followed that with a T26 at The Honda, T33 at The Valspar, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T14 at The RBC Heritage.

This is his first appearance here at TPC Louisiana this year and could go well. He ranks 8th in strokes gained putting, 27th in par 5 scoring and 35th in par 3 scoring. After some good performances this season Kizzire could be another player that could go well at a decent price.

 

Jamie Lovemark 66/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Jamie Lovemark 66/1

Lovemark has been in good form recently with three top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well The Northern Trust Open in Riviera finishing T20 and followed that with a T6 in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer and a T18 at The Shell Houston Open. He has played here twice before and missed the cut in 2012 and 2014 but seems to be in much better form this time around.

He ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking ninth in driving distance, seventh in scrambling, 16th in par 4 scoring and 24th in par 5 scoring. With some good performances over the last few weeks Lovemark could be one to watch here.

 

Final Selections –

Justin Rose 2pts EW 8/1

Billy Horchel 1pt EW 18/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 25/1

Patton Kizzire 1pt EW 55/1

Jamie Lovemark 1pt EW 66/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2016

Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2016TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas 

7,435 yards, par 72 

The Course 

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.  The weather forecast is set to be a bit mixed with Thursday looking the worst of the four days with Thunderstorms and showers forecast but it is set to pick up from Friday onwards.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 Valero Texas Open 2016Jimmy Walker 16/1 

The defending champion has been playing some good golf this season and started 2016 strongly with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T13 at The Sony. He followed that with a T4 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, T11 in Pebble Beach and a T6 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. Most recently he has had some respectable finishes with a T19 in Houston and a T29 at The Masters. Walker has defended his title before at The Sony in 2014 and 2015 which could bode well here.

Walker likes this course and has played great here in the past with a win last year, T16 in 2014 and a T7 in 2010. He ranks 29th in driving distance, fourth in par 5 scoring, 29th in par 4 scoring and 17th in strokes gained tee to green. He ticks a lot of boxes here and with good form this season Walker could be a decent shout here.

 

Branden Grace 18/1 Valero Texas Open 2016Branden Grace 18/1 

After a superb victory last week in Hilton Head Branden Grace will be feeling confident coming to Texas this week. Grace had a super start to 2016 on The European Tour finishing T4 at his native SA Open. He then finished T5 in Abu Dhabi and followed that with a win in Qatar, an event he has won back to back in 2015 and 2016. He then traveled to the US and played in the WGC Cadillac finishing T23 and then had a T18 at The Dell Matchplay.

It’s worth noting that Grace has won back to back twice in his career. He won the Joburg Open and then won the Volvo China Open the following week in 2012. He also won at the windy St Andrews at The Alfred Dunhill Links and won on The Sunshine Tour the week before. He has played here twice before finishing T30 last year and an MC in 2014 which wouldnt really put me off. The South African is averaging over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 22nd in GIR and 18th in SGTTG. He is a great wind player and could be a big contender here after a super performance last week.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 Valero Texas Open 2016J.B Holmes 25/1 

Big hitting J.B has been playing well this season with five top 11’s in his last seven starts. He looked to be back his best after a shooting a 68 in the final round of The Masters to finish T4. His good run of form started with a T6 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers Insurance Open. He followed that with another T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Riviera at the Northern Trust Open and a T11 the week before at The AT&T in Pebble Beach.

He has played well at this course in the past finishing T11 in 2011 and T16 in 2010. J.B is averaging over 310 off the tee ranking third in driving distance which is a big plus around here. With four par 5’s on this course Holmes can take full advantage with his length and follow up from Augusta with another good week here.

 

Bryson DeChambeau Valero Texas Open 2016Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 

The young American made his PGA Tour debut as a professional last week at The RBC Heritage and what a debut it was. He played superb throughout finishing T4 for the tournament making a total of 17 birdies and looked to be completely comfortable throughout the week even with some questionable weather conditions.

He played in Augusta as an amateur the week before and finished just outside the top 20 finishing T21. He had another great amateur performance in Bay Hill at The Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing a very respectable T27. Dechambeau caught my eye earlier this year when he started with a 70 in The Dubai Desert Classic and went on to shoot 68,69,68 to finish T18 and looked to be flushing the ball over the four rounds.

He looks to be a future star in the making and comes to Texas this week looking settled after a top 5 last week in Hilton Head. He is a confident player and it wouldn’t surprise me if he had another big week here.

 

Kevin Chappell Valero Texas Open 2016Kevin Chappell 40/1 

Chappell came close to winning in Bay Hill but was denied by the in from Jason Day who played an unbelievable bunker shot on 18 to save par and win the tournament. He started the season with a respectable T29 at The CIMB in Malaysia and followed that with a second place finish at The McGladrey Classic. He then went on to have a T26 at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open, second at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill and a T9 last week at The RBC Heritage.

Chappell has a good record at this event finishing 15th in 2013 and 2nd in 2011. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He looks an in form player at the moment and looks good value to have a decent week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 2pts EW

Branden Grace 18/1 1pt EW

J.B Holmes 25/1 1pt EW

Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016Hilton Head, South Carolina 

Par 71, 7,101 yards.  

The Course 

This event has been played at Harbour Town Golf Links for many years now and the same players seem to play well here. The course is a short 7,101 yards and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. It is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens, which are ranked among the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour. History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set to be mainly dry with a mix of sunny conditions and some scattered cloud with moderate winds.

 

Zach Johnson 22/1 RBC HeritageZach Johnson 22/1

After shooting an opening round 72 last week in Augusta, Johnson fell right back after a second round 80 and ended up missing the cut. Despite a disappointing second round, last weeks missed cut could be a big positive as he will be fresh coming into this week.

ZJ has been playing well lately and looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

He has played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2007 and second in 2012. This tight track seems to suit his game and statistically he ranks 30th in GIR and 22nd in par 3 scoring. After some solid performances over the last few weeks Johnson looks to be in good form and a big contender here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 RBC Heritage Brandt Snedeker 18/1 

Snedeker played great golf last week in Augusta and looked to be putting very well on those tricky undulating greens. He eventually finished T10 after a final round 72 and has had a superb season so far which began with a T17 at The Frys and a win at The Franklin Templeton with partner Jason Dufner.

He started 2016 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, lost out in a playoff at The Sony in Hawaii and had a superb win in Torrey Pines which included a superb final round 69 in almost unplayable conditions. He had a bit of a dip in form but seems to be back contending over his last two events recording two top 10 in Augusta and The Matchplay.

Sneds has a good record here over the last few years finishing 16th in 2007, a win in 2011, 17th in 2012 and 26th last year. After two good recent performances Snedeker is one to keep on side here.

 

Kevin Kisner 25/1 RBC HeritageKevin Kisner 25/1

The accurate American started the season off with with a win and three top 10’s but has gone off the boil a bit lately. He played well in Augusta last week and shot two 72’s sandwiched between an opening 77 and a third round 76 to finish in a respectable T37. Kisner started the season with a solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

He was unlucky not to win this event last year and lost to Jim Furyk on the second playoff hole, which would be his first of three playoff losses from last year. He ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 37th in GIR, fifth in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. After a decent performance last week on a course that shouldn’t really suit his game Kisner could be another one to watch here.

 

Paul Casey 18/1 RBC HeritagePaul Casey 18/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T4 finish in Augusta last week and a T9 in Bay Hill. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four.

Casey has played well here in the past finishing 11th in 2009, 22nd in 2010 and 18th in 2014. The Englishman ranks 20th in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 33rd in par 4 scoring. His form is getting warm and Casey looks to be another player with a solid game for this course.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick RBC Heritage 2016 Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1

The young Englishman played superb over the weekend in Augusta shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T7 for the week. Matt looked to be hitting a lot of fairways off the tee, hitting alot of green in regulation and lead GIR in the final round on Sunday in Augusta. He has been playing on US soil over the last few weeks finishing T35 in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and T38 at The Matchplay.

He doesn’t hit it a mile but he is known as one of the most accurate players around hitting over 60% of fairways off the tee and ranking 22nd in GIR. Matt finished 23rd here in 2014 and can better that performance after a superb week in Augusta.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 18/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Kisner 25/1 1pt EW

Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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The Masters Betting Preview 2016

The Masters Betting Preview 2016

Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia 

Par 72, 7,435 yards 

 

The Course 

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. Augusta National first opened 82 years ago in 1933, and has been modified many times by different architects. It is a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect  Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta when compiling a list of players to bet on. The first element is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high penetrated ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation is another stat to consider here as the greens are big and slopey so hitting the ball in the right portion of the green will be very important. Approach stats, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring are other stats to take into consideration here.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba has two wins already under his belt this season with a win at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas where he shot four rounds in the 60’s including a third round 63 to finish 25 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 in Phoenix. He had a great week in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 in his four rounds to finish 15 under for the tournament. He continued that good form in Doral and again shot three rounds in the 60’s finishing 11 under for the week. He has a great record in Augusta with wins in 2014 and 2012.

Bubba ticks a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance averaging over 310 yards off the tee, which will be a big help here. He also ranks first in GIR and SGTTG. He is one of a few players that can shape the ball in both directions and can cut the corners on some of these tricky doglegs. With great current form and a great record here Bubba looks a huge contender here.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Phil Mickelson 20/1 

If it wasn’t for the dreaded sixth hole at The Golf Club of Houston last week, Phil would’ve finished a hell of a lot better than T13. He was a whopping six over par on that one hole and finished eight under in total and the winner was 15 under so he wasn’t far away. He comes into this with four top 11 finishes this season starting with a T3 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included four steady rounds in the 60’s finishing 21 under in total. He followed that with a T11 in Phoenix, solo second in Pebble Beach and a solo fifth at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

Phil is a veteran of Augusta and is a three time winner winning in 2004,2006 and 2010. He also finished solo second last year, third in 2012, fifth in 08 and 09 and 10th in 05 and comes here this week in much better form than he did last year. Mickelson has been putting particularly well ranking sixth in SGP and ninth in SGTTG. He also ranks sixth in scrambling, first in par 3 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. With a solid start to the season and a good performance last week, Phil looks set for a good week on a course he knows so well.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1

The South African looked superb in The Matchplay beating Jordan Speith, Dustin Johnson and Rafa Cabrera Bello on his way to the final only to be beaten by the unstoppable Jason Day. His form has been superb over the last few weeks with a second place finish last week, a T7 at the Valspar and a T14 at The WGC Cadillac. He has also been in flying form on The European Tour with a win at The Perth International in Australia at the end of February, T12 at The Malaysian Open and a T7 in Qatar. Louis has played superb around Augusta over the last few years finishing second to Bubba Watson in 2012, T25 in 2014 and T19 last year.

He comes here in much better form this time around and is hitting it a long way off the tee averaging over 300 yards and ranks 16th in GIR and 12th in SGTTG. Louis looks in tip top form coming into this and could be another one to watch.

 

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 

The South African has been in fine form lately with two wins and two top 20’s in his last six starts. He finished T9 in The Nedbank Challenge just before Christmas and followed that with a win in The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63 to finish 16 under for the tournament. More recently Schwartzel finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and following that with a superb win at The Valspar. He had a good performance last week in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.

Schwartzel is another player that has a green jacket already tucked away with a win here in 2011, T30 in 2010 and a T25 in 2013. Charl ticks a lot of boxes statswise averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 18th in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 11th in scrambling and 21st in par 4 scoring. Charl’s game looks great coming into this week and he could be a big contender at a decent price.

 

Zach Johnson 60/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Zach Johnson 60/1  

I really thought Zach looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

Johnson is no stranger to Augusta winning here in 2007, T20 in 2008 and a T9 last year. He putted superbly well in the Matchplay which will be a big plus here. He ranks 25th in GIR, 21st in proximity to the hole and is incredibly accurate from 50-125 yards. With some good current form and a solid record here Johnson looks a great bet at 60’s

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Phil Mickelson 20/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 1pt ew

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 1pt EW

Zach Johnson 60/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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