Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedexCup PlayoffsField: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings

TPC Boston, Norton, MA

Par 71, 7,216 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travel to TPC Boston where it has hosted this The Deutsche Bank since 2003. Its Labour Day weekend in The US so this tournament will go from Friday-Monday. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Previous winners include Rickie Fowler (2015), Chris Kirk (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011) and Charley Hoffman (2010).

When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top. The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential here this week. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field and should offer up some early/late birdies.

Statswise scrambling, GIR and good putters have always been on top of the leaderboard here. The greens are wide and can offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, par 4 scoring and strokes gained putting stats.

 

Jason Day 13/2 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsJason Day 13/2

With five birdies in the first six holes of his second round Day looked in complete control. He then unfortunately undone all that good work by going bogey-double-bogey on 8,9 and 10. That being said they were the only real blemishes and he played well throughout the tournament finishing T4 only two strokes behind winner Patrick Reed. The Aussie has four top 10’s in his last six events finishing T8 at the US Open, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, second at The PGA and T4 last week in Bathpage. In his last 12 competitive rounds Day hasn’t shot worse than a 70.

His form around TPC Boston is rock solid finishing 12th last year, seventh in 2014, 13th in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks 15th in driving distance, first in SGP, 11th in SGTTG, fifth in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a near winner last week Day could go one better and win in style this week.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 25/1 

The young American really stepped up to the plate last week and got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with six top 15’s and a win in his last 10 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham and a win last week at the Barclays.

Reed has played here three times in the past with his best finish coming last year when he finishing T4 for the week. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG around the green, fifth in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 12th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 25/1 

Scott has been back showing some solid form over the last few weeks with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridestone, T18 at The PGA and T4 last week at The Barclays. He recorded his first PGA Tour win here at TPC Boston back in 2003 so he has some great memories of this tournament. Following his win in ‘03 he finished fifth in 2010, eighth in 2011, seventh in 2012 and 16th in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 16th in GIR and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsBrandt Snedeker 50/1

Ive decided to give Sneds another shot here at TPC Boston this week. He couldn’t really get it going last week in Bethpage but he has been in decent form lately with four top 25’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Wyndham finishing T3 which makes that his second top five in his last four starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has some great form at this course over the last few years finishing fifth in 2010, third in 2011 and sixth in 2012. Statswise Snedeker ranks 19th in SG around the green, 35th in SGP, 20th in scrambling and first in par 4 scoring.

 

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsEmiliano Grillo 50/1

The young Argentinian has been very impressive this season on The PGA Tour. He recorded his first PGA Tour win at The Frys.com Open last October and hasn’t really put a foot wrong since. He has six top 15’s in his last eight starts finishing T11 at Memorial, T14 at The WGC Bridgestone, T12 at The Open, T13 at the PGA, T8 in Rio and T2 last week at The Barclays.

This will be his first appearance here at TPC Boston looks to tick a lot of boxes. He ranks 26th in SG off the tee, 33rd in GIR and 16th in driving accuracy.

 

Final selections –

Jason Day 13/2 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 25/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 50/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

Twitter- @Doublebogey63

Facebook- www.faccebook.com/doublebogey6

The Barclays Betting Preview 2016 – FedExCup Playoffs

The Barclays Betting Preview 2016 FedEx Cup PlayoffsBethpage Black, Long Island, New York

7,468 yards par 71

The Course

Bethpage Black Course is a 7,468 yard par 71 and was designed by A.W Tillinghast and was opened in 1936. It is a public golf course on Long Island, New York and is the most difficult of the five courses at Bethpage State Park. In 2002, the Black Course became the first publicly owned and operated course to host the U.S. Open, which returned in 2009.

Bethpage Black hosted The Barclays in 2012 and is scheduled to host again in 2021, and 2027. It has three par 5’s, 11 par 4’s and four par 3’s and is a stern test of golf and will demand accuracy, length and good putting. The key to scoring around this course is keeping the ball in the tight tree lined fairways and out of the deep and penal rough. Players will also need to hit plenty of greens in regulation as the greens are small and have some deep and tricky bunkers guarding them which could be difficult to get up and down of. With conditions set to be dry and humid for the first three rounds these greens are expecting to play very fast.

 

Henrik Stenson 12/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 12/1

The Swede hasn’t taken his foot off the gas since winning The Open continuing his superb run of form. He followed his Open win with a T7 at The PGA Championship and a solo second place finish bagging him a bronze medal in The Olympics.  Stenson has eight top 25’s in his last nine starts and seems to be in the best form of his life. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win at The BMW International Open, a T13 in Castle Stuart, a win in Troon, T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio.

He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 26th in strokes gained putting. He has played well here in the past finishing ninth here at The US Open in 2009. With his accuracy off the tee and precision iron play, Stenson could be the man to beat here this week.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Rose comes to Bethpage this week after a superb performance in Rio bagging a gold medal for Team GB. He shot 67,69,65,67, to finish 16 under in total one stroke ahead of Swede Henrik Stenson. Despite a back injury a few weeks ago, Rose looks to be back fit and healthy and has been in good form lately. He finished solo third at The Wells Fargo, T19 at The Players, T22 at The Open in Troon, T22 at The PGA in Baltusrol and an impressive win in Rio where he lead GIR for the week and putted superbly – two key traits for dealing with tricky Bethpage Black.

He has played well on tricky US Open style courses over the last few years with wins in Merion, Congressional, Muirfield and Aronimink and seems to perform well on trickier course setups. Statswise he ranks 36th in GIR, sixth in strokes gained TTG, 20th in driving distance and 22nd in par 5 scoring. If he brings his “Olympics” game to Bathpage he could be a big danger here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T3 at The Wyndham last week, that makes it his second top five in his last three starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has played well here at Bethpage in the past finishing second here in 2012 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week. He ranks first in par 4 scoring, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in scrambling. After a solid performance in Sedgefield last week Sneds is certainly worth a second look here.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1 

The South African always ups his game for the bigger events and looks in good shape coming to The Barclays this week. Since winning his first PGA Tour event at The RBC Heritage back in April, Grace has followed that with a T9 at The Texas Open, T5 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T4 at the PGA Championship in Baltusrol which included a 66,67 over the weekend.

Although this is his first appearance here in Bethpage, Grace ticks a few key boxes here ranking fourth in SG approach to the green, ninth in SGTTG and 19th in par 4 scoring. If he can putt well this week Grace should have a good chance here.

 

Russell Knox 66/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 66/1 

The Scotsman had a superb win at the Travelers Championship a couple of weeks ago and never shot worse than a 68 throughout the week to finish 14 under in total. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T2 at the RBC Heritage, T19 at The Players, T23 at The US Open, T30 at The Open, T22 at the PGA and a win at The Travelers.

He looks to have the game that could suit this course ranking 11th in driving accuracy, second in GIR, 35th in scrambling and 19th in par 4 scoring. Knox has performed well on tough courses this season and if he putts well he could have a decent chance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Henrik Stenson 2pts EW 12/1

Justin Rose 1pt EW 25/1 

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 40/1 

Branden Grace 1pt EW 45/1 

Russell Knox 0.5 pts EW 66/1 

Total staked = 11 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter @Doublebogey63

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, North Carolina

7,127 yards par 70

The Course

Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards.

There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be an advantage here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. Be on the lookout for players that are in good form and have played well here in Sedgefield in the past. The Wyndham Championship is the last tournament before the FedEx Cup playoffs starts next week.

 

Webb Simpson 25/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Webb Simpson 25/1 

Webb has been playing some decent golf over the last few weeks. He played well at The Dean and Deluca Invitational finishing T3 and didn’t shoot worse than a 67 throughout the week. He then finished T11 at Memorial, solo sixth at The Quicken Loans and T13 at the PGA Championship. His record around this course is solid finishing eighth in 2010, win in 2011, 22nd in 2012, 11th in 2013, second in 2014 and sixth last year.

He struggled with his putting when the anchoring ban came in but he seems to be putting a lot better over the last few weeks. He ranks seventh in SG approach to the green, 26th in SG around the green, 11th in SG tee to green and ninth in par 4 scoring. If the putter warms up Webb could be right in the mix here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 25/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Brandt Snedeker 25/1

Sneds has bounced back into some form lately and could be a player to keep on side this week. He finished in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has a good record here in Sedgefield finishing fifth in 2014, 28th in 2012, eighth in 2010 and fifth in 2009. He ranks first in par 4 scoring, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in scrambling. Sneds is a real horse for the course around here and could be a big danger man here.

 

Jimmy Walker 28/1 Wyndham Championship 2016 Betting Preview Jimmy Walker 28/1

I was a tad surprised to see Jimmy at the 28/1 mark considering he’s just won the PGA. I noticed on social media that he seems to be doing a lot of practice over the last two weeks posting up pictures and videos of him nailing irons on the range which can only be a good thing! He has had a bit of a mixed bag this season but he’s been playing some great golf over the last couple of months.

He finished a respectable T24 at the Byron Nelson and followed that with a T29 in Colonial, T16 at The WGC Bridgestone, T14 in Canada and a win at The PGA where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 over the four rounds. He has played well here in the past finishing fourth here in 2012. Walker is an accurate iron player especially from inside 150 yards and ranks 25th in strokes gained around the green and 15th in par 5 scoring. If Walker can keep the momentum going into this week he should be a big contender.

 

Wesley Bryan 33/1

I have to say I really thought this guy was going all the way last week at The John Deere. He was playing great and held the 54 hole lead and went on to finish in a very respectable T8. He has four top 10’s in his last five tournaments finishing T9 at The Nashville Open, T2 at The Lincoln Land Charity Championship and a win at The Digital Ally Open.

In his last 12 competitive rounds Bryan hasn’t shot worse than a 70 and looks to be in great shape coming here this week. He ranks first in strokes gained putting, first in par 3 scoring, third in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. Bryan is playing superb golf at the moment and I expect that to continue here at The Wyndham.

 

William McGirt 33/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016William McGirt 40/1 

After a great win at Memorial a few weeks ago McGirt looks to have found some form over the last few weeks. He followed that with a T7 at The WGC Bridgestone which included an opening round 64, and a T10 at The PGA Championship in Baltusrol.

McGirt has played well here in the past finishing T14 here last year and T8 in 2014. He ranks 22nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in driving accuracy, 20th in par 4 scoring and 32nd in scrambling. With some good current form and a decent record at this course, McGirt could be worth a bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Webb Simpson 1pt EW 25/1 

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 25/1 

Jimmy Walker 1pt EW 28/1

Wesley Bryan 1pt EW 33/1  

William McGirt 1pt 40/1 

Total staked = 10pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016

John Deere Classic 2016 Betting Preview TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois

7,268 yards, par 71

Over the years some big names have dominated this event with Jordan Spieth, Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson all winning here in Illinois. TPC Deere Run is a 7,268 yard par 71 and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s with the average winning score being roughly 18 under par.

With the three par 5’s all reachable in two and the fairly easy par 4’s, there will be a lot of birdies on offer, which explains the extremely low scoring over the years. The course sits along rolling woodlands alongside a rock river and has some small ponds and ravines. It also has rolling fairways that are quite generous off the tee so driving accuracy won’t be hugely important. Of the top 10 finishers last year, eight of them ranked inside the top 15 in GIR, six were inside the top 20 in strokes gained putting and eight were in the top 20 in scrambling. When Jordan Spieth won last year he putted superbly well all week and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting. With previous winners being Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker and Jordan Spieth it would appear that good putters seem to excel around TPC Deere Run.

The course has undergone elevation changes on several holes. The 14th is a downhill par 4 measuring just 358 yards and can be driveable in the right conditions. There is also water present on five holes, but shouldn’t pose too much of a problem for the players. This course is relatively easy but will demand good putting and accurate approach shots in order to make birdies. The key stats to look at here are par 4 scoring, strokes gained putting, GIR, previous form and current form.

 

Zach Johnson 6/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Zach Johnson 6/1

It’s hard to see past Zach Johnson here especially in this particularly weakened field. His record around TPC Deere Run is ridiculously good with a win in 2012, second in 2009, third in 2011, second in 2013, second in 2014 and a third here last year. Johnson is also playing well lately with four top 20’s in his last six starts. He finished T17 in Colonial recently and followed that with a T8 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The Open Championship in Troon.

Statswise he ranks 38th in strokes gained putting, 34th in scrambling and 24th in par 3 scoring. With a lot of key players either at The Olympics or taking the week off, Zach is a worthy favourite here and should be the man to beat.

 

Daniel Summerhays 22/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Daniel Summerhays 22/1

Summerhays has been in fine form lately with seven top 25’s in 11 starts. He played well at The Valero Texas Open at the end of April finishing T13 and followed that with a T14 at The Wells Fargo, T23 at The Players, T8 at The US Open in Oakmont, T21 at The Quicken Loans, solo third at The PGA and a T11 last week at The Travelers.

He has a good record here at TPC Deere Run finishing T8 last year, T13 in 2014 and T4 in 2013. Statswise he ranks eighth in strokes gained putting and 31st in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a good record here Summerhays could have a good week here.

 

Gary Woodland 28/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Gary Woodland 28/1

Big hitting Gary has been playing well over the last few months with eight top 30’s in 11 starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T20 and followed that with a T24 at The Wells Fargo, T28 at The Players, T12 at The Byron Nelson, T4 at Memorial, T21 at The Quicken Loans, solo second at The Barracuda and a T12 at The Open in Troon.

He has only played this event twice with his best finish coming in 2010 with a T21. Statswise he ranks 15th in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in driving distance, 27th in GIR and 31st in par 4 scoring. With a weakened field Woodland could take full advantage here and be right in contention come Sunday.

 

Robert Streb 33/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Robert Streb 33/1

I’ve been keeping one eye on Streb over the last few weeks as he seems to be coming back to some good form. He had a respectable T28 at The Wells Fargo and followed that with a T20 at Memorial, T21 at The Quicken Loans and a T7 at The PGA Championship which included a third round 63.

He has played well here in the past finishing T14 last year and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 in four rounds. He also finished T22 in 2013 which included three rounds in the 60’s. Streb tends to play well this time of year and could keep his good form going this week at TPC Deere Run.

 

Steve Wheatcroft 80/1

The American has had a pretty unflattering season so far but has played exceptionally well in the last four weeks. He had a great week at The Barracuda Championship finishing T5 and followed that with a T20 at The Barbasol and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He then had another great performance at The RBC Canadian Open shooting 68,77,64,69 on his way to another T5. If it weren’t for that slight blemish in the second round in Canada it could’ve been a different story for Wheatcroft.

His best finish at TPC Deere Run came here last year when he finished T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 through four rounds to finish 16 under par in total. If he keeps that momentum going into this week he could be a big contender at a decent price.

 

Final Selections – 

Zach Johnson 2pts EW 6/1 

Daniel Summerhays 1pt EW 22/1 

Gary Woodland 1pt EW 28/1 

Robert Streb 1pt EW 33/1 

Steve Wheatcroft 1pt EW 80/1 

Total Staked = 12pts 

PaddyPower paying 7 places 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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