TPC Boston, Norton, MA
Par 71, 7,216 yards
This week the FedExCup Playoffs travel to TPC Boston where it has hosted this The Deutsche Bank since 2003. Its Labour Day weekend in The US so this tournament will go from Friday-Monday. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Previous winners include Rickie Fowler (2015), Chris Kirk (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011) and Charley Hoffman (2010).
When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top. The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential here this week. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field and should offer up some early/late birdies.
Statswise scrambling, GIR and good putters have always been on top of the leaderboard here. The greens are wide and can offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, par 4 scoring and strokes gained putting stats.
With five birdies in the first six holes of his second round Day looked in complete control. He then unfortunately undone all that good work by going bogey-double-bogey on 8,9 and 10. That being said they were the only real blemishes and he played well throughout the tournament finishing T4 only two strokes behind winner Patrick Reed. The Aussie has four top 10’s in his last six events finishing T8 at the US Open, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, second at The PGA and T4 last week in Bathpage. In his last 12 competitive rounds Day hasn’t shot worse than a 70.
His form around TPC Boston is rock solid finishing 12th last year, seventh in 2014, 13th in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks 15th in driving distance, first in SGP, 11th in SGTTG, fifth in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a near winner last week Day could go one better and win in style this week.
The young American really stepped up to the plate last week and got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with six top 15’s and a win in his last 10 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham and a win last week at the Barclays.
Reed has played here three times in the past with his best finish coming last year when he finishing T4 for the week. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG around the green, fifth in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 12th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.
Scott has been back showing some solid form over the last few weeks with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridestone, T18 at The PGA and T4 last week at The Barclays. He recorded his first PGA Tour win here at TPC Boston back in 2003 so he has some great memories of this tournament. Following his win in ‘03 he finished fifth in 2010, eighth in 2011, seventh in 2012 and 16th in 2014.
Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 16th in GIR and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.
Ive decided to give Sneds another shot here at TPC Boston this week. He couldn’t really get it going last week in Bethpage but he has been in decent form lately with four top 25’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Wyndham finishing T3 which makes that his second top five in his last four starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.
He has some great form at this course over the last few years finishing fifth in 2010, third in 2011 and sixth in 2012. Statswise Snedeker ranks 19th in SG around the green, 35th in SGP, 20th in scrambling and first in par 4 scoring.
The young Argentinian has been very impressive this season on The PGA Tour. He recorded his first PGA Tour win at The Frys.com Open last October and hasn’t really put a foot wrong since. He has six top 15’s in his last eight starts finishing T11 at Memorial, T14 at The WGC Bridgestone, T12 at The Open, T13 at the PGA, T8 in Rio and T2 last week at The Barclays.
This will be his first appearance here at TPC Boston looks to tick a lot of boxes. He ranks 26th in SG off the tee, 33rd in GIR and 16th in driving accuracy.
Final selections –
Jason Day 13/2 2pts EW
Patrick Reed 1pt EW 25/1
Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1
Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 50/1
Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 50/1
Total staked = 12 pts
Good luck and enjoy the golf,