RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016

RSM Classic 2016 Betting PreviewSeaside Course/Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

7,055 yards, Par 70 

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Kevin Kisner is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough linksy style test especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013), Robert Streb (2014) and Kevin Kisner (2015). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning. it would be quite similar to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts the RBC Heritage. The format will be similar to last year with the players playing one of their first two rounds at the nearby Plantation course which is a par 72 measuring just over 7,000 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s.

The Seaside Course has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole. Weather is forecast to be dry and sunny throughout the week.

 

Chris Kirk 18/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 18/1

Kirk started the season with an impressive three top 10’s in his last four starts and has a super record here at Sea Island. After starting with a 73 at the Safeway Classic, he bounced back shooting 65,70,66 to finish T8 for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at the Sanderson Farms finishing four strokes behind winner Cody Gribble. Kirk started well at The Shriners shooting rounds of 66,65 but then fell off the pace after a poor weekend. He did however have another good performance in Mexico finishing T7 at The OHL Classic last week which included an opening round 63.

He has played well here in the past with a T15 in 2010, a win in 2013, fourth in 2014 and T18 in 2015. He ranks 10th in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average, seventh in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. With a solid record here and good current form Kirk has to be one to watch here.

 

Kevin Chappell 20/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 20/1

Chappell had a great finish to the season finishing T3 at The WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T8 at The Deautsche Bank, which included a third round 64. He had another solid performance at The Tour Championship finishing second on 12 under par for the week after losing a playoff to the dominant Rory McIlroy. Chappell has started the season with two respectable performances at The CIMB finishing T45 and a T35 at the WGC HSBC Champions.

He has played well here especially over the last couple of years finishing eighth in 2014 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He improved on that again last year finishing second after shooting rounds of 66,65,68,67 to post 16 under par for the tournament. If he can get the putter going he could be a big danger man here.

 

Lucas Glover 33/1 

Glover is another player that looks to be in fine form coming into this event with two top 5’s in his last three tournaments. After a missed cut at The Safeway, Glover bounced back with a T5 at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 15 under for the tournament and didn’t shoot worse than a 70. He followed that with a solo third at The Shriners in Vegas where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week to post 17 under in total.

He has a decent record here finishing T15 in 2011 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks 11th in SG off the tee, ninth in SGTTG, 16th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring. Glover looks to be good value here for a guy that’s bang in form.

 

Cody Gribble 50/1

The Texan has been playing some fantastic golf so far this season with three top 15’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a great win at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting rounds of 63,67,65 over the weekend to finish 20 under par beating nearest challenger Chris Kirk by an impressive four strokes. Last week in Mexico he had another solid week finishing T15 on 12 under par for the tournament.

This will be Gribble’s first appearance here at Sea Island which could be a course that could be right up his street. Statswise he ranks second in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average and 11th in par 4 scoring. This guy is in great form and could be one to keep an eye on this week.

 

 

 

Final Selections –

Chris Kirk 1pt EW 18/1

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 20/1 

Lucas Glover 0.5 pts EW 33/1 

Cody Gribble 0.5 pts EW 50/1 

Total staked = 6 pts 

All prices taken from PaddyPower who are paying 7 places. 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2016

OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2016El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico 

6,987 Yards, Par 71 

The PGA Tour returns to El Camaleon for its tenth year for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Graeme McDowell (2015), Charley Hoffman (2014), Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011) and Cameron Beckman (2010).

This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to be wary of. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation.

Looking at previous winners here, it appears that accuracy off the tee is a key indicator along with GIR. Key stats on this course are driving accuracy, GIR and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts the RBC Heritage.

Graeme McDowell won last year beating Jason Bohn and Russell Knox in a playoff. Gmac hit an absolutely superb second shot into the first playoff hole and made the birdie to seal victory. This is traditionally a very low scoring event so expect plenty of birdies.

 

Russell Knox 14/1 OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 14/1

The Scot has started the season with two top tens in a row and has to be fancied here. He had a good week in Malaysia finishing in a respectable T10 at The CIMB Classic and hit over 80% of greens in regulation and followed that with a T9 at the WGC HSBC in Shanghai which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 74. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 to finish 14 under in total. He followed that with a T15 at The Deutsche Bank and a T17 at The BMW.

Knox has a decent record here over the years and came close to a win last year but got knocked out in a playoff against Graeme McDowell and Jason Bohn. He has the game to suit this course ranking fourth in driving accuracy, 24th in GIR and fifth in par scoring. He has to be one to watch here this week.

 

John Rahm 18/1

The young Spaniard has been playing some great golf since turning pro and started the season with two top 15’s in his last two starts. He had a good week at the Safeway open finishing T15 and followed that with another T15 in Vegas last week after shooting four rounds in the 60’s including an opening round 65. He showed some great form at the end of last season finishing T3 at The Quicken Loans, T2 in Canada and a T14 at The John Deere.

He played well here last year finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament finishing 11 under in total. Statswise he ranks 14th in GIR, sixth in SGTTG and 10th in SG off the tee. After a good start to the season and a decent performance last year Rahm looks a decent shout here.

 

Scott Piercy 28/1 OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2016Scott Piercy 28/1

Piercy had a super start in Vegas last week but fell behind in round 4 finishing T24 on 12 under after a final round 71. He started well with two 68’s and a 65 so he will take that into this week. Despite a slight dip in form in China, Piercy has started the season well and comes here in good form. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T3 and followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia. He had some great finishes towards the end of last season with a T2 at The US Open, a solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T22 at The Barclays and a T24 at the BMW.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 in 2014 and T20 in 2009. He ranks fifth in SG off the tee, ninth in SG approach to the green and tenth in SGTTG. If he can get four solid rounds together he could be a big danger man here.

 

Johnson Wagner 60/1

The 2011 champion is playing some decent golf lately and started with an impressive T3 at The Safeway a couple of weeks ago. He shot 65,67,70,70 on his way to a 16 under par total and finished last season very strongly. He finished T5 at The John Deere, T5 at The Wyndham and T22 at The Barclays. He seems to like this course and has a super record here at El Camaleon with a win in 2011, T16 in 2014 and a T8 last year.

Statswise he ranks 22nd in SGP, 37th in GIR, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 3 scoring. Wagner clearly likes this venue and looks incredibly good value at 60/1.

 

Final Selections 

Russell Knox 14/1 1pt EW

John Rahm 18/1 1pt EW

Scott Piercy 28/1 0.5 pts EW

Johnson Wagner 60/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Shriners Open Betting Preview 2016

Shriners Open Betting Preview 2016TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada  

Par 71, 7,255 yards

TPC Summerlin is a 7,223 yard par 71 and has played host to this event since 2008. Previous winners include Smylie Kaufman (2015), Ben Martin (2014), Webb Simpson (2013), Ryan Moore (2012), Kevin Na (2011) and Jonathan Byrd (2010).

The winning score has been around the 20 under par mark since 2008 and usually yields a lot of birdies. This course has three par 5’s, which will be reachable by the majority of the field, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. This course is quite picturesque and meanders through creeks and canyons in the Nevada desert.

Accuracy off the tee is not of huge importance but if your tee shot is a little too wild, players will be punished. Good putters and players with good GIR stats are worth looking at here as the greens are quite large and are not too difficult by tour standards. Greens in regulation, strokes gained putting and good course history are the ingredients for a good week here.

The course has over 100 bunkers and some water hazards that come into play. However, this course is ranked one of the easiest to play on The PGA Tour with plenty of birdies on offer. Players that have good recent form over the last three or four events tend to go well here.

 

 Ryan Moore 18/1 Shriners Open Betting Preview 2016Ryan Moore 18/1

Local Ryan Moore has had a fairly steady start to the season with a T17 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia and a T23 at The WGC HSBC Champions last week which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 75.

He had a great week in Hazeltine winning two points from three for his US team. He beat Willett and Westwood 1 up with partner J.B. Holmes in the Saturday Fourballs and followed that with a stunning singles win over Lee Westwood on the Sunday and putted well throughout the week. He was playing well before the Ryder Cup with a win at The John Deere, T7 at The Barclays, T8 at The Deautsche Bank and a playoff loss at The Tour Championship.

He has a great record here over the last few years finishing T9 in 2013, a win in 2012, T7 in 2009 and a T24 in 2008. With home advantage and a great record here Moore could have a great week.

 

Scott Piercy 28/1 Shriners Open Betting Preview 2016Scott Piercy 28/1

Piercy had a bad start in China last week and found it hard to recover after an opening round 79. He did bounce back with a 72,74,72 finish on a course that didn’t appear to suit his game. Despite that Piercy has started the season well and comes here in good form. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T3 and followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia. He had some great finishes towards the end of last season with a T2 at The US Open, a solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T22 at The Barclays and a T24 at the BMW.

Piercy has played well here in the past with three top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four appearances. He finished T10 in 2011, T6 in 2012, T7 in 2014 and T25 last year. He ranks 10th in SG tee to green, 30th in SGP, 15th SG off the tee. With a solid record here and decent current form Piercy could be worth a look here.

 

Grayson Murray 55/1

This guy looks an incredible future prospect and comes to Vegas in superb form. He had a great finish to the Web.com Tour finishing solo seventh at The News Sentinal Open, solo third at The Albertsons Boise Open shooting a pair of 64’s in rounds 3 and 4 and a win at The Nationwide Children’s Hospital Open. He had a good start to his PGA Tour season with respectable T8 at The Sanderson Farms last week shooting 67,65 in the first two rounds.

Last season on the web.com Murray was averaging just under 320 yards off the tee ranking fourth in driving distance. He also ranked fifth in putting average, third in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring, all these stats bode well around here. He seems to have a very good all round game and looks to be generously priced here especially in this field.

 

Ryo Ishikawa 70/1

Ishikawa is playing super golf lately both in the US and Japan. He won the KBC Augusta in Japan and followed that with a second in the Fusankei Classic, third in the ANA Open and a T7 at The Japan Open. He then went to Malaysia and finished T10 at the CIMB Classic and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week finishing 13 under in total.

He has played well around TPC Summerlin in the past finishing T2 in 2013 and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week including a final round 65 and finished T28 in 2014. Ishikawa looks to be in flying form and after playing well here twice before, he could another player to keep an eye on at generous odds.

 

Final selections –

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 18/1

Scott Piercy 1pt EW 28/1

Grayson Murray 0.5pts EW 55/1

Ryo Ishikawa 0.5pts EW 70/1

Total staked = 6pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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