Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017 Bubba WatsonTPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is shorter than your average PGA Tour setup measuring 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways with four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 yards and will offer birdie opportunities along with the par 4 second, which measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field.

These greens are bentgrass and are smaller by tour standards so good, accurate Iron play will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win), Bubba Watson (3 top 10’s and two wins) and Kevin Streelman (a win and two top 10’s). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats here are good course history, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Justin Thomas Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

What a third round Justin had last week in Erin Hills. He carded an impressive nine birdies and an eagle to post a nine under 63. He has been in good form throughout the season with three wins and four top 10’s so far. He started off with a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia and followed that with back to back wins at the SBS Tournament of Champions and the Sony Open in Hawaii. Most recently, Thomas has three top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T5 which included an impressive final round 61. He followed that with a T4 at Memorial and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Thomas has a good record here at TPC River Highlands finishing T30 in 2013 and a T3 last year. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 11th in driving distance, 19th in GIR, fourth in SG approaches to the green and 29th in SG putting. Thomas will be looking to bounce back with a big week here after a disappointing finish to the US Open.

 

Marc Leishman 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 30/1

The Aussie started well last week at the US Open shooting 68,72,72 in the first three rounds and looked to be putting well throughout the week. Leishman has been in fine form over the last couple of months and got his first win of the season in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T13 at the Byron Nelson, T15 at Memorial and a T27 last week in Erin Hills.

Leishman has a great record at this course with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013, T11 in 2014 and a T9 last year. He ranks 38th in driving distance, 32nd in SGP, 23rd in SG tee to green and 28th in bogey avoidance. After playing well at the US Open, the Aussie could be in for another good week on a course he knows well.

 

Brandt Snedeker Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 28/1

Sneds could be primed and ready for another good performance after playing well at the US Open last week where he finished T9. He didn’t shoot worse than a 71 throughout the tournament and looked to be putting particularly well with his signature pop stroke. The American has been playing solid since his T6 in Torrey Pines and has been relatively consistent since. He followed that with a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship, T27 at The Masters, T11 at the RBC Heritage and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Snedeker has played here twice over the last three years finishing T11 in 2014 and a T10 in 2015. Sneds has gone low around this course a couple of times shooting a 63 in round three in 2015 and an impressive 64 in round four in 2014. Statswise he ranks 19th in SG putting, 14th in birdie average and second in par 3 scoring.

 

Brendan Steele 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 30/1

Brendan Steele is a real horse for the course here at TPC River Highlands and arrives in pretty decent form. He started the season off with a win at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in Kapalua and a T6 at the CarrerBuilder Challenge. Most recently, Steele played well at the Masters finishing in a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship and a T13 last week at the US Open.

Steele is another player with a decent record here finishing T13 in 2011, T13 in 2013, T5 in 2014, T25 in 2015 and a T17 last year. Brendan has gone low around here over the last few years shooting 62 in round one in 2014, a 66 in the final round in 2013 and a 64 in the final round last year. With a great record here and good current form, Steele looks a good shout here.

 

Final selections – 

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Marc Leishman 30/1 0.5pts EW 

Brandt Snedeker 28/1 0.5pts EW

Brendan Steele 30/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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US Open Betting Preview 2017 – Erin Hills

US Open Betting Preview 2017 - Erin Hills Erin Hills, Erin, Wisconsin

Par 72, 7,693 Yards 

The Course 

The US Open has always traditionally been a very tricky test with deep rough, fast greens and lots of run off areas and Erin Hills looks to be keeping up with that trend. This course is relatively young with construction taking place in 2004 and opening two years later in 2006. It was designed on 400 acres of pasture land and has been left relatively untouched. The designers decided to leave it as is using the natural contours of the land leaving it wide open with plenty of wind an very few trees. A mix of dunes, fescue grasses and penal bunkers give Erin Hills a “Linksy” look and feel to it.

There are four par 3’s, ten par 4’s and four par 5’s in total. Although it measures a lengthy 7,693 yards, it can play shorter depending on wind direction and tee position. The fairways have been described as dry and bouncy so this will allow for a lot of run on the ball. Kevin Na posted a video on Instagram showing the depth of the rough and it looks pretty awful, measuring roughly between one and two feet in places. If your tee shot ends up in there, forget about it.

The front nine seems fairly manageable but the back nine looks a far stiffer challenge. There are some blind tee shots with some very tricky bunkers so good scrambling will be a big plus. Some of the bentgrass greens are elevated like an upturned saucer shape with lots of run off areas, similar to Pinehurst No.2, the venue for the 2014 US Open. The greens are fractionally larger than previous US Open greens and could run quite fast if the wind gets up.

Going by this course and previous US Opens, the main areas of focus are GIR, driving accuracy, driving distance, putting average and scrambling. You can view Erin Hills hole by hole guide by clicking here

 

Rickie Fowler 20/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin HillsRickie Fowler 20/1

It could be Rickie’s time to bag his first major and who would begrudge him? He arrives in Erin Hills in the best form of his career with a win and six top 10’s so far this season. He had a great win at the Honda Classic in Florida at the end of February and kept up his good form with a solo 12th in Bay Hill, T3 in Houston, T11 in Augusta and a T2 recently at the Memorial Tournament in Ohio.

Fowler has proven to be a great wind and links player over the last few years with a win at the 2015 Scottish Open in Gullane, a T8 in Royal Aberdeen in 2014 and a T2 at The Open Championship in 2014 in Hoylake. He has also played well at the US Open in the past finishing T10 in Merion in 2013 and a T2 in Pinehurst in 2014.

Fowler also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 33rd in driving distance, 25th in driving accuracy, 29th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained putting and 22nd in scrambling. When you weigh it all up its hard not to fancy Rickie’s chances here in Erin Hills.

 

Jon Rahm 20/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Jon Rahm 20/1 

Big hitting Spaniard Jon Rahm has made quite an impact on the PGA Tour this season with a win and seven top 10’s under his belt so far. After shooting a final round 65 at the Farmers Insurance Open in February, Rahm bagged his first PGA Tour win at previous US Open venue, Torrey Pines, finishing on 13 under par in total. He has shown some great consistency this year finishing T5 at Pebble Beach, T3 at the WGC Mexico Championship, solo second at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston, solo fourth at the Wells Fargo and a T2 at the Dean & Deluca in Colonial recently. Rahm has one appearance at The US Open which was last year in Oakmont where he finished in a respectable T23.

Statswise he has the length to score around this course averaging just over 305 yards off the tee ranking 13th in driving distance. He also ranks 15th in GIR, 19th in scrambling and second in par 4 scoring. Rahm is a serious talent and its only a matter of time before he wins not one, but multiple major championships in the future.

 

Thomas Pieters 40/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 - Erin Hills Thomas Pieters 40/1 

Pieters has had a good season so far and could be another player that could suit a long, tricky test like Erin Hills. He played well at the Dubai Desert Classic back in February finishing T23 and followed that with a T5 at the WGC Mexico Championship and a T4 in Augusta, which included two 68’s. Thomas then went to Wentworth for the BMW PGA Championship and finished T14 shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish four under par in total.

The big hitting Belgian is averaging just over 309 off the tee ranking 22nd in driving distance. He also ranks 11th in putting average and 21st in stroke average on the European Tour this season. If he can keep the ball in short grass off the tee, Pieters looks good value to have a good week here.

 

Branden Grace 40/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Branden Grace 40/1

The South African has been coming into some good form lately and has proven himself to be a great wind player. He finished T27 at The Masters at the end of April and followed that with a T11 at the RBC Heritage, a T10 in Texas and a respectable T24 in New Orleans. Grace is the kind of player that has proven he can really tough it out on the stiffer US Open tests with two top 10’s over the last two years. He finished T5 last year in Oakmont and came close to winning in Chambers Bay in 2015 but pulled his tee shot left on the 16th out of bounds which ended up costing him a double bogey.

He is a proven wind player with two wins at The Qatar Masters in the windy Doha Golf Club, a win at Harbour Town Golf Links at the RBC Heritage in 2016 and a T13 this year at The Sony Open in Hawaii. Grace is playing well at the moment and has the game to be a big danger man here.

 

Kevin Kisner 55/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Kevin Kisner 55/1

Kisner has been in fine fettle this season showing some great consistency. His good run of form began back in January where he finished T4 at the windy Waialae Country Club, home of the Sony Open. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, T2 at the Arnold Palmer in Bay Hill, T11 at the RBC Heritage, a win at the Dean & Deluca Invitational in Colonial and an impressive T6 at The Memorial in Ohio.

Kisner has had some good finishes in the Majors over the last couple of years finishing T12 at The US Open in Chambers Bay  in 2016 and T18 at The US PGA Champonship in Baltusrol. The American also ticks a few key statistical boxes here ranking 12th in driving accuracy, 23rd in strokes gained putting and 28th in scrambling. Kisner is another proven wind specialist and could be another one to keep an eye on here.

 

Final Selections – 

Rickie Fowler 1pt EW 20/1 

Jon Rahm 1pt EW 20/1 

Thomas Pieters 0.5pts EW 40/1 

Branden Grace 0.5pts EW 40/1 

Kevin Kisner 0.5pts EW 55/1 

Total staked = 7 pts

 

*Paddypower paying 8 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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FedEx St. Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards 

The Course

Apologies for my absence folks it’s been a very busy few weeks but it’s great to be back. After the Duf winning on Jack’s stomping ground in Ohio, we move on to the FedEx St. Jude Classic, the last event before we head over to Erin Hills for the 2017 edition of the US Open. This event is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958 and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989.

TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.The fairways are undulating and narrow but the rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course.  The greens here are Bermuda and are smaller than average by tour standards with tricky undulations. Players will need decent accuracy with their approach shots and a pretty warm putter to score well here. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.

The weather looks pretty good for the tournament days and should be relatively uninterrupted.

 

Adam Scott 12/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 12/1

The Aussie has been playing well throughout the season and comes here on the back of two top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at the Masters in Augusta finishing T9 and followed that with a T6 at The Players Championship shooting rounds of 70,72,71,70 to post five under par in total. Scott has had some good performances on tricky courses this year including a T11 in Riviera at the Genesis Open and T14 at The Honda at the end of February.

Scott has only played here once before finishing seventh in 2007 and also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 17th in driving distance, 12th in birdie average and 293rd in par 4 birdie or better leaders. He is one of the best players in the field here this week and has to be respected given his decent record on Bermuda Greens.

 

Kyle Stanley Fedex St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Kyle Stanley 28/1

I’ve been keeping an eye on Kyle Stanley over the last few weeks and he seems to be coming into some nice form lately. He has been playing well over the last couple of months finishing T17 at Bay Hill, T8 in Houston, T4 at the Players and T6 last week at the Memorial.

Although Stanley has played here four times before, his best finish was T49 back in 2012 but he is in much better form this time around. Statswise he looks like he could really suit this course ranking 16th in driving accuracy, second in GIR, ninth in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. He looks to be in great shape coming into this week and could be one to watch.

 

 

Russell Henley 28/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 28/1

Henley has had a great season so far and seems to be showing some great consistency over the last few months. He started with a T14 at the Sanderson Farms and followed that with a T10 at The RSM Classic, T13 at The Sony, T16 in Phoenix, T9 at the Valspar, a win in Houston and an impressive T11 at The Masters. He has fractionally gone off the boil lately but he has a good record here at TPC Southwind finishing 27th in 2013 and seventh last year.

Henley looks like another player that could suit this course statswise ranking 22nd in GIR, 20th in birdie average, ninth in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. I thought 28/1 was great value for a guy that’s in great form lately.

 

Kevin Tway 50/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Kevin Tway 50/1

After a bit of a slow start to the PGA Tour season, Kevin Tway looks to be finding his feet over the last couple of months with some great performances on tricky courses. He had a great week at the Texas Open finishing T3 and followed that with a solo third in New Orleans after a superb final round 61. Tway then travelled to the Wells Fargo finishing T5 and followed that with a respectable T20 at the Byron Nelson and a T18 in Colonial.

Statswise he ranks sixth in driving distance and 29th in strokes gained off the tee. Tway seeme to be playing with some decent consistency recently and looks great value here this week.

 

Final selections

Adam Scott 12/1 1pt EW

Kyle Stanley 28/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Henley 28/1 0.5pts EW

Kevin Tway 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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