6,841 yards, par 70
TPC River Highlands is shorter than your average PGA Tour setup measuring 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways with four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 yards and will offer birdie opportunities along with the par 4 second, which measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field.
These greens are bentgrass and are smaller by tour standards so good, accurate Iron play will be required to get close to the pins.
There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win), Bubba Watson (3 top 10’s and two wins) and Kevin Streelman (a win and two top 10’s). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.
Key stats here are good course history, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.
What a third round Justin had last week in Erin Hills. He carded an impressive nine birdies and an eagle to post a nine under 63. He has been in good form throughout the season with three wins and four top 10’s so far. He started off with a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia and followed that with back to back wins at the SBS Tournament of Champions and the Sony Open in Hawaii. Most recently, Thomas has three top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T5 which included an impressive final round 61. He followed that with a T4 at Memorial and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.
Thomas has a good record here at TPC River Highlands finishing T30 in 2013 and a T3 last year. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 11th in driving distance, 19th in GIR, fourth in SG approaches to the green and 29th in SG putting. Thomas will be looking to bounce back with a big week here after a disappointing finish to the US Open.
The Aussie started well last week at the US Open shooting 68,72,72 in the first three rounds and looked to be putting well throughout the week. Leishman has been in fine form over the last couple of months and got his first win of the season in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T13 at the Byron Nelson, T15 at Memorial and a T27 last week in Erin Hills.
Leishman has a great record at this course with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013, T11 in 2014 and a T9 last year. He ranks 38th in driving distance, 32nd in SGP, 23rd in SG tee to green and 28th in bogey avoidance. After playing well at the US Open, the Aussie could be in for another good week on a course he knows well.
Sneds could be primed and ready for another good performance after playing well at the US Open last week where he finished T9. He didn’t shoot worse than a 71 throughout the tournament and looked to be putting particularly well with his signature pop stroke. The American has been playing solid since his T6 in Torrey Pines and has been relatively consistent since. He followed that with a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship, T27 at The Masters, T11 at the RBC Heritage and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.
Snedeker has played here twice over the last three years finishing T11 in 2014 and a T10 in 2015. Sneds has gone low around this course a couple of times shooting a 63 in round three in 2015 and an impressive 64 in round four in 2014. Statswise he ranks 19th in SG putting, 14th in birdie average and second in par 3 scoring.
Brendan Steele is a real horse for the course here at TPC River Highlands and arrives in pretty decent form. He started the season off with a win at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in Kapalua and a T6 at the CarrerBuilder Challenge. Most recently, Steele played well at the Masters finishing in a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship and a T13 last week at the US Open.
Steele is another player with a decent record here finishing T13 in 2011, T13 in 2013, T5 in 2014, T25 in 2015 and a T17 last year. Brendan has gone low around here over the last few years shooting 62 in round one in 2014, a 66 in the final round in 2013 and a 64 in the final round last year. With a great record here and good current form, Steele looks a good shout here.
Final selections –
Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW
Marc Leishman 30/1 0.5pts EW
Brandt Snedeker 28/1 0.5pts EW
Brendan Steele 30/1 0.5pts EW
Total Staked = 5pts
Good luck and enjoy the golf,
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