Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas
7,204 Yards Par 70
Colonial Country Club is a tight tree-lined course measuring a short 7,204 yards. It was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.
This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker and Boo Weekly over the last few years.
Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at. This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will have to be considered. Previous form at this event is important so be on the lookout for experienced players with good history here showing some good current form.
Zach Johnson 16/1
It’s impossible to leave out Zach Johnson this week given his form here over the years. In his last five appearances, Johnson has two wins, which came in 2013 and 2011. He also finished T3 last year, T4 in 2012 and T9 in 2010. He has also shown some good current form with five top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well at The API in Bay Hill finishing T9, followed that with a T20 at The Texas Open, T9 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players.
Statswise, Johnson is another player that suits this course ranking 21st in driving accuracy, 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 15th in approaches from 50-125 yards and 20th in approaches from 150-175, which are good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With such a good record here and decent current form, Johnson could be a big danger here this week.
Jimmy Walker 20/1
After his victory at The Valero Texas Open back in March, Jimmy Walker is another danger man here this week. He played well here last year shooting a 67 in round one and followed that with a steady 68,69,70 to finish T10 for the tournament. He has had a superb season so far with two wins and two top 10’s in his last 10 starts, missing only one cut. He was beaten in a playoff against Patrick Reed at The Hynudai TOC and followed that with a win at The Sony and a T7 at Torrey Pines.
Since winning at the end of March, Walker has gone a little bit quiet with an MC at The Players, a respectable T38 in Augusta and a T52 at The WGC Matchplay and could rediscover some form here. Walker seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 16th in driving distance, 40th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green and second in birdie average. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 30th in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 4 scoring and seventh in par 5 scoring. After a good performance last year and playing on home turf, Walker could be another one to watch.
Kevin Na 28/1
Na has been putting together some decent performances with six top 20 finishes in his last seven starts. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac in Doral where he finished T9. He followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at The API in Bay Hill, T20 at The Texas Open and a T12 at The Masters. Most recently, he had a good week at Sawgrass finishing T6 on nine under par for the tournament.
He has played well here at Colonial in the past finishing T13 in 2013, T22 in 2011, T9 in 2010 and T7 in 2008. Statswise this course should suit Na, who ranks 26th in strokes gained tee to green, 22nd in approaches from 100-125 and 18th in scrambling. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 4 scoring.
Ryan Palmer 28/1
Palmer has played well in this event over the last three years finishing with three top 15’s in a row. He played well here last year finishing T5, finished T14 in 2013 and T5 again in 2012. He has shown great form in his home state finishing T6 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He has also shown good form throughout the season finishing T2 at The Phoenix Open, T10 at The Humana and a T12 at The WGC Cadillac.
Staswise Palmer ranks 13th in driving distance, 36th in GIR, 11th in strokes gained tee to green and second in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 30th in par 3 scoring, 41st in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With a good history at this course and good early season form, Palmer could go well with this week in front of a home crowd.
Kevin Kisner 33/1
Kisner played here last year and missed the cut, but comes here this week showing much better form this time around. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish. He followed that with another playoff loss to Rickie Fowler in Sawgrass also losing on the second playoff hole.
Colonial will demand accuracy off the tee and with approaches, which could be right up his street. He ranks 38th in driving accuracy, 11th in approaches from 225-250, 23rd in scrambling, 41st in par 4 scoring and 35th in par 5 scoring. Given these fairways are tight and demand accuracy off the tee and two playoff losses over the last few weeks, it’s only a matter of time before Kisner gets it over the line.
Final Selections –
Zach Johnson 2pts EW 16/1
Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 20/1
Kevin Na 1pt EW 28/1
Ryan Palmer 1pt EW 28/1
Kevin Kisner 1pt EW 33/1
Total staked = 14 pts
Good Luck and enjoy the golf,
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