Frys.com Open Betting Preview
CordeValle GC, 7,368 yards, par 71
It’s the first tournament of the season and it’s great to be back! The first selection in this week’s preview is John Peterson. He has had a fantastic season on The Web.com Tour finishing the season with 5 top 5 finishes, including coming in tied 2nd in the season ending Web.com Tour championship. He missed the cut here last year but that wouldn’t hugely concern me here, he is on a superb run of form at the moment and, in a weakened field this week in the season opener, he is superb value at 33/1. I’d say we’re going to be seeing a lot of John Peterson on The PGA Tour.
After recording his first win on the PGA Tour at The Wyndham Championship back in August, Reed’s form took a bit of a dip but I think he is going to be coming into this week refreshed and relaxed after a nice break. He had 5 top 5 finishes last season, including a tied 7th finish at The John Deere Classic, tied 9th in The RBC Canadian Open and a solo 5th place finish at The FedEx St Jude. Reed finished in a tie for 11th here last year and shot a final round 63. After a couple of weeks rest, he will be coming into this week refreshed and, you never know, he could shoot another 63 or two this week!
Another Web.com player has made my list of runners in CordeValle this week in the shape of Jamie Lovemark. In his last 9 starts, he has a win at The Midwest Classic and 4 top 10’s, which came at The Utah Championship, in which he came tied 7th, tied 6th at The Abertsons Boise Open and most recently, tied 8th in the season ending Web.com Tour Championship. He has been backed into 100/1 from being 150/1 earlier in the week so he seems to be a popular choice among us punters. Lovemark ranked 9th in putting and 3rd in Driving Distance last season, which will certainly help around this 7,368 yard beast. An interesting, big priced outsider with a lot of potential to go very well here.
Gary has been showing some great form in his last few tournaments winning The Reno Tahoe Open at the start of August and also a superb tied 2nd finish at The Barclays. Overall he played quite well in the FedEx Cup playoffs, finishing tied 18th at The BMW and tied 22nd at The Tour Championship. Woodland is known to be a big hitter on the PGA Tour, ranking 4th in Driving Distance hitting it a decent 303.8 yards off the tee, which will help around this course. He also finished in a tie for 9th here last year and only for the fact he made very few birdies on the second round, he would have been right in the thick of things. If he gets the putter going, he will be right in the mix come Sunday night.
In his last two tournaments in The FedEx Cup playoffs, Billy Horchel finished tied 7th at The BMW and had a fantastic tied 7th finish at The Tour Championship. Considering the field here is pretty weak, Billy is a certainly in a class of his own here no question about it. Horchel had an excellent season getting his first win at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans at the end of April. He also had 8 top 10 finishes including coming tied 4th at The US Open at Merion. Statwise, he ranks 6th in Total Driving and 8th in Birdie Average, which is a good combination coming into this week.
John Peterson 1pt ew/2pts total
Patrick Reed 1pt ew/2pts total
Jamie Lovemark 1pt ew/2pts total
Gary Woodland 1pt ew/2 pts total
Billy Horchel 1.5pts ew/3pts total
Total Staked – 11 pts