El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico
6,987 Yards, Par 71
After an eventful finish to the weather delayed Sanderson Farms Championship, The PGA Tour travels to El Camaleon Golf Club in Mexico for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Charley Hoffman (2014), Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009) and Brian Gay (2008). Harris English holds the tournament record shooting an impressive 21 under par 263 total to win in 2013.
This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to contend with. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation. The greens here are Paspalum grass and are average size with water hazards coming into play on roughly half of the holes.
Looking at previous winners here, it appears that hitting a lot of greens in regulation and good putters tend to fare well on this course. Last year’s winner Charley Hoffman ranked fourth in GIR last year and made a lot of great putts. Key stats on this course are GIR, strokes gained tee to green and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links, which hosts the RBC Heritage.
The weather forecast looks to be mixed for the week with some humidity along with cloud, some showers and the possibility of thunderstorms with moderate winds.
Jason Bohn 20/1
The American has had a good start to the season with two top 5’s in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T3, which included a superb third round 64 to finish 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting 68,66,69,68 on his way to a 15 under par total. He started well last week at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting 67,70,70 in the first three rounds but fell off the pace after shooting a 73 in the final round to finish T39.
Bohn has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T3 in 2013 and T19 in 2011. He ranks 18th in GIR, 14th in SGTTG and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season Bohn could be a huge contender here this week considering his previous record at El Camaleon.
Patrick Rodgers 20/1
The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T6 on 12 under and followed that with a T13 at The Shriners in Vegas, which included an opening round 65. Rodgers followed that with another good performance last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing T20. He started very well shooting 70,64,70 and then slightly fell off the pace with a mediocre final round 73.
He has been a GIR machine over his last three tournaments hitting over 75% of greens and demolishing the par 5’s. He ranks 16th in GIR, seventh in SGTTG and fifth in par 5 scoring. After another good performance last week, I think Rodgers will continue that good run of form here.
Patton Kizzire 22/1
The Web.com graduate has had a fantastic start to life on The PGA Tour finishing inside the top 4 in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance last week at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners and 73% of greens last week at The Sanderson Farms.
He ranks 48th in GIR, 31st in SGTTG and 10th in SGP. He also ranks 11th in par 3 scoring and 25th in par 4 scoring so far this season. After another good performance las week, Kizzire could continue the trend of first time winners here this week in Mexico.
Brendan Steele 25/1
Steele is another player having a solid start to the season showing some good early form. He played well at The Frys shooting an opening round 63 and followed that with 70,69,76 to finish T17 on 10 under for the tournament. He missed the cut at The Shriners but bounced back strongly with a T3 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He was in the final group with Kevin Na and Justin Thomas on Sunday and played very well but was unlucky not to make a few more putts.
Steele has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T37 here last year and T16 in 2013. Statswise he ranks 40th in GIR, 26th in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season, Steele should continue that good form this week.
Brett Stegmaier 60/1
Stegmaier has shot a 70 or better in his last eight competitive rounds and has played very well over the last couple of weeks. He had a shaky start to the season at The Frys but bounced back with a T2 at The Shriners. He showed some super consistency shooting 66,66,68,69 on his way to a 15 under total playing the par 5’s in -10 for the week. He followed that with a T15 last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 12 under par in total.
Statswise he is hitting just over 75% of greens in regulation and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring. Stegmaier is great value this week considering his current form and could be a great each way shout here.
Final Selections –
Jason Bohn 1.5 pts EW 20/1
Patrick Rodgers 1.5 pts EW 20/1
Patton Kizzire 1.5 pts EW 22/1
Brendan Steele 1.5 pts EW 25/1
Brett Stegmaier 1 pt EW 60/1
Total staked = 14 pts
Good luck and enjoy the golf,
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