Shell Houston Open Betting Preview

Shell Houston Open Pic 1

Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas
7,441 yards, par 72

The Course
The Golf Club of Houston is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards. The course is set up to replicate the Augusta for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards.

The main stats to consider here this week is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats. The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimpmeter so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

Keegan Bradley 22/1
Watching Keegan playing the final stretch of 16, 17and 18 in Bay Hill was impressive. He birdied 16 and 17 handy enough and I honestly thought he would get that 30+ foot putt on 18 to force Matt Every to a playoff, but thankfully he didn’t. The reason being is I had Mr Every backed and wouldn’t have been too pleased if Keegan did make the putt. Having said that he did play well and ended up carding a final round 72 to finish in solo second.

In his last two trips to this tournament he has finished 10th in 2013 and fourth in 2012. Statswise he should suit this course ranking 22nd in driving distance hitting an average of 299 yards off the tee. He also ranks 11th in birdie average, 17th in par 5 birdie or better leaders, 11th birdie or better conversion percentage and 12th in par 3 performance. With a good track record on this course and good current form, Bradley looks like a huge contender here this week.

Henrik Stenson 18/1
The FedEx Cup champion is starting to show some form with a great performance at Bay Hill finishing in T5th. Despite a poor round of 73, he shot three rounds in the 60’s to finish on 9 under in total. Stenson is another player with good history at this event finishing in second last year and third in 2009. He was one of the most accurate players off the tee at The Arnold Palmer co leading fairways hit and hitting the most greens.

Last season Stenson ranked third in total driving, sixth in par 5 birdie or better leaders, sixth in par 5 performance and first in GIR. With stats to suit this course and coming here off a fifth at The Arnold Palmer, not to mention a good history on this course, Stenson is another huge contender here in Houston.

Shell Houston Open Pic 2

Graham DeLaet 33/1
DeLaet is having a super season so far with two top five’s at the beginning of February, which came at The Farmers at Torrey Pines finishing in T2nd and then followed that with another T2nd in Phoenix. He also played very well at The Valspar Championship despite shooting a disappointing first round 75 finishing inT8th and two under par in total.

DeLaet is one of the bigger hitters on tour ranking eighth in driving distance hitting an average of 308 yards off the tee, perfect for this sort of course. He also ranks fourth in GIR, 28th in par 5 birdie or better leaders, ninth in par 3 performance and fourth in GIR from 200+. He is also another player that has a good history on this course finishing third in 2010.

Jason Kokrak 50/1
I reckon this man should suit this track with his length. He came close at Bay Hill a couple of weeks ago and played superbly well throughout the week to finish solo fourth.

Kokrak started well last week in Texas but had a slight hiccup in the third round shooting a disappointing 77 and ended up finishing T31st. Along with his great performance at Bay Hill, Kokrak also played well at The Valspar finishing T14th, 15th in Phoenix and T19th at Pebble Beach earlier in February so he is showing signs of good form and consistency in his last seven events.

He is one of the biggest hitters on tour and has the ability to dominate these long par 5’s and tricky par 4’s. He ranks fifth in driving distance, 18th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, 11th in par 4 performance and second in approaches from 200 yards. He played well in 2010 finishing in third and comes here this week in decent form.

Charley Hoffman 66/1
Hoffman is another player with a good history at this event with a handful of top 25’s over the last few years including a sixth place finish in 2008. He also had a good week in Texas shooting three 70’s and a 75 on his way to a respectable T11th finish.

Hoffman has shown some good recent form playing well at The Northern Trust Open a couple of weeks ago finishing in T12th. He’s had some good performances so far this season with a T9th at The Humana Challenge and a T7th at The Farmers in Torrey Pines.

Statswise, Hoffman ranks 16th in driving distance, 20th in GIR, 12th in par 3 performance, 24th in par 4 performance and fifth in approaches from 175-200 yards. A very big price for a guy with a decent shout here.

Final Selections:
Keegan Bradley 1 pt/ 2 pts EW
Henrik Stenson 1 pt/ 2 pts EW
Graham DeLaet 1 pt/ 2 pts EW
Jason Kokrak 1 pt/ 2 pts EW
Charley Hoffman 1 pt/ 2 pts EW
Total staked = 10 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,


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