TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada
Par 71, 7,223 Yards
Graham DeLaet 22/1
DeLaet was very impressive in The Presidents Cup a couple of weeks ago. His Driving and Putting in particular, I thought were fantastic. Overall, he has had a pretty good season on The PGA Tour and has become a player that, by the looks of the way he is performing, has the ability to win any day now. He has had 7 top 10 finishes and kicked off a great start to the year with two tied 9th finishes early in the season at The Honda Classic and The Farmers. A tied 3rd finish at The Travellers and, most recently, tied 2nd at The Barclays and solo 3rd at The Deutsche Bank in the FedEx Cup playoffs. He ranks 1st in Total Driving and 3rd in GIR which are two stats that will help rack up the birdies here at TPC Summerlin this week. He is on a great run of form and had a fantastic Presidents Cup recently and could be a huge threat here this week.
Zach Johnson 12/1
Zach is the favourite here this week and it’s easy to see why. He has 7 top 10’s in his last 8 starts including a win at The BMW Championship, shooting an impressive final round 65 to clinch victory at Conway Farms. He has only played this course once, back in 2008, where he finished in a tie for 10th but I expect a much better performance this time round. Statswise, this course looks to suit Zach’s game with the Par 4’s measuring between 380-480 yards and the Par 5’s both measuring roughly around 560 yards, this is where approach shots will be key. Johnson ranks 8th in Driving Accuracy, 15th in GIR, 30th in Strokes Gained, 8th in GIR 200 + yards, 9th in Approaches from 50-75 yards and 12th in Approaches from 200-225 yards. He is clearly the man in form at the moment and at 12/1, he is well worth backing considering he’s a top 10 machine at the moment.
Nick Watney 20/1
Watney had a superb finish to the FedEx Cup playoff’s with a tied 9th finish at The Barclays, Solo 2nd at The BMW Championship at Conway Farms and a respectable tied 14th finish at The Tour Championship. He has a very good record at this event with 3 top 10’s in his last 3 appearances, finishing in tied 10th last year, solo 2nd in 2011 and tied 6th in 2010 averaging an impressive 66.67 stroke average. Statswise he ranks 13th in GIR and 26th in Driving Distance. He also ranks 5th in Approaches from 150-175 yards and 8th in Approaches from 125-150. Stats combined with previous performances and current form make Watney a great selection here in Vegas.
Spencer Levin 50/1
He was 2nd in Scrambling and 20th in Strokes Gained in CordeValle last week at the Frys.com and finished in a tie for 12th. It appears Spencer Levin might be back to full health after some injury concerns and had a relatively flawless tournament carding only 6 bogeys. Levin is another horse for the course with a tied 5th finish in 2011 and a tied 4th finish in 2010. He is another player that has the stats that could suit around TPC Summerlin ranking 23rd in Strokes Gained, 11th in Scoring Average, 1st in GIR percentage 100-125 yards, 1st in GIR percentage 75 yards and 15th in GIR Percentage 200 + yards. He also ranks 1st in Putting from 10-15 ft and 15th in putting from 5-15 ft. Has a great chance here this week with encouraging stats and great previous course form.
Scott Piercy 30/1
Another horse for the course and a local resident, he finished in tied 6th last year and tied 10th in 2011. Piercy has had a decent season finishing 3rd at The Phoenix Open back in Feb and a tied 5th finish at The Byron Nelson. He also had a great performance at The PGA finishing in a tie for 5th and most recently finished in a tie for 13th at The Deutsche Bank. He also won in Nevada before at The Reno Tahoe Open in 2011 so he may be feeding off good vibes at TPC Summerlin.
Graham DeLaet 1.5pts ew/ 3pts total
Zach Johnson 2 pts ew/ 4pts total
Nick Watney 1.5pts ew/3pts total
Spencer Levin 1pt ew/ 2pts total
Scott Piercy 1 pt ew/ 2pts total
Total Staked : 14 pts
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