Valspar Championship Betting Preview  2018

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida   

Par 71, 7,340 yards   

The Course   

There are four golf courses at Innisbrook all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course, which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course.  

The Copperhead course underwent some subtle changes in 2015 with bigger tee boxes, re shaped bunkers around the greens and re grassed fairways. It is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s.  All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand accurate iron play to score on the greens, which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards.  

Three of the four par 5’s, the first, 11th and 14th are pretty easy and should offer up plenty of birdies. Two out of the four par 5’s have double doglegs so an accurate tee shot can be well rewarded.  Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy with players reaping the rewards with accuracy off the tee on some holes.     

Players that can work the ball both directions off the tee should also have a big advantage. Water will be a key feature and comes into play on 9 out of the 18 holes. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back nine in the shape of 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.     

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate iron players.

 

Henrik Stenson 18/1 Valspar Betting Preview 2018Henrik Stenson 18/1

The Swede has only played a handful of events over the last couple of months but when he has teed it up, he has played very well.

Stenson travels to Florida on the back of three top 10’s in his last five starts and returns to a course where he has played exceptionally well on in the past.

He had a great week at the WGC HSBC Champions in China back in October finishing T2 which included four rounds of 70 or better to finish 12 under. After a disappointing T35 in Turkey in November, Stenson bounced back finishing solo eighth in Abu Dhabi which included an impressive final round 65. He then travelled to Dubai at the end of January and finished T6 at the Dubai Desert Classic where he didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week.

Stenson seems to be a player that consistently plays well on courses he has a good record on. For example, he hasn’t finished outside the top 10 at both the Dubai Desert Classic and Abu Dhabi in his last six appearances proving he’s a horse for the course type of player.

His record here at Copperhead is impressive with form figures 7,11,4 in his last three appearances and ticks a lot boxes here ranking third in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR and fourth in putts per GIR. With a great record here and good current form, the Swede looks a decent bet at 18’s.

 

Adam Hadwin Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Adam Hadwin 30/1

The defending Champion returns to the site of his one and only PGA Tour win in great form with three top 10’s in his last five starts.

The Canadian had a good week at the CareerBuilder Challenge at the end of January finishing T3 shooting four rounds of 68 or better. He followed that with an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open which included two 66’s over the weekend. Hadwin then kept up that good run of form last week in Mexico where he finished T9 at the WGC Mexico where, again he finished strongly firing 67,66 on Saturday and Sunday to post 10 under.

He played pretty flawless golf last year shooting 68,64,67 in the opening three rounds and finished with a respectable 71 to win by one from Patrick Cantlay on 14 under. With two top 10’s in his last two starts, Hadwin will be feeling confident he can have another good week at Copperhead.

 

Ryan Moore 35/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Ryan Moore 35/1

Like Stenson, Ryan Moore is another horse for the course here with two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last three appearances here.

Moore has had a fairly quiet season so far playing in only six events so far but he has two top 10’s in his last four starts which in encouraging. He started the season with a respectable T17 at the Safeway back in October and followed that with a T6 at the OHL Classic back in December shooting rounds of 70,66,67,68 to post 13 under.

After a missed cut in Phoenix, he bounced back with an impressive T9 in Riviera at The Genesis Open which included two opening 68’s.

Moore has a great record here over the last few years finishing T8 in 2007, T19 in 2009, solo fifth in 2015, solo third in 2016 and T18 last year.

Statswise he ticks some key boxes here ranking 33rd in SG Putting, 20th in strokes gained around the green and 33rd in par 5 scoring. With decent current form and a great record here Moore looks good value at 35/1.

 

Final selections – 

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW

Adam Hadwin 1pt EW

Ryan Moore 1pt EW

Total staked = 6pts *some bookies paying 7 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017

Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas  

7,435 yards, par 72  

The Course  

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.

 

Charley Hoffman 25/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Charley Hoffman 25/1 

Charley gets another nod here in Texas where his form has been solid over the last few years. Despite missing the cut last week, Charley has been playing some good golf over the last few weeks. He had a good week in Phoenix finishing T24 and followed that with a T4 at the Genesis Open, T2 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, T23 in Houston and a T22 in Augusta. He took the lead after round one and co lead after round two and was playing great from tee to green. He fell beck over the weekend shooting rounds of 72 and 78 but really looked to be hitting the ball really well and putting beautifully.

Hoffman has a good record here with form figures of 6,2,13,3,11,11 since 2010 not to mention his superb win last year where he won by one stroke from Patrick Reed to finish 12 under par for the tournament. Hoffman is a real horse for the course and could be well in the hunt come Sunday.

 

Brendan Steele 28/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 28/1

Steele has been playing really good golf so far this year. He started the season off in style with a win at The Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in windy Kapalua at the SBS Tournament of Champions, T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T20 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T16 in Phoenix. More recently he finished T14 in Florida at the Honda Classic and T27 in Augusta which included a final round 69.

He has a great record here with a win in 2011, fourth in 2012, eighth in 2015 and T13 last year. Steele also ticks alot of boxes here ranking 30th in driving distance, 24th in GIR, 13th in SG tee to green, first in scrambling and 12th in par 5 scoring.  Another horse for the course and good value for a guy bang in form.

 

Adam Hadwin Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Adam Hadwin 33/1

Hadwin is another player in great form coming into this week. The Canadian started the season with a solo second at the CareerBuilder Challenge and followed that with a T12 in Phoenix, a  win at the Valspar and a solo sixth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill. Hadwin has played well at windy venues already this year finishing T10 at The OHL Classic in Mexico. He also played well last week in Harbour Town finishing a respectable T22 which included a final round 69.

Hadwin also looks good here statswise ranking 15th in SG tee to green, third in scrambling, 18th in strokes gained putting and fourth in par 3 scoring.  If he keeps up his good run of form this week he could be right in the mix.

 

Luke List 50/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Luke List 50/1 

The American has been playing well lately and comes to Texas with a decent bank of form. He had a good week at the Valspar finishing a respectable T27 on two under par for the week. He followed that with a steady T17 at the Arnold Palmer in Bay Hill and a T3 last week in Houston, which included three rounds in the 60’s. List has played well at wind affected venues finishing T7 at the OHL Classic and the windy  El Cameleon Course in Mexico and had another good week at the Sony Open in Hawaii finishing T13 for the tournament.

List has played here twice before with his best finish coming last year where he posted T29. Statswise he ranks third in driving distance, 36th in GIR, seventh in par 3 scoring and third in par 5 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Charley Hoffman 25/1 1pt EW

Brendan Steele 28/1 0.5pts EW

Adam Hadwin 33/1 0.5pts EW 

Luke List 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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