The Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsEast Lake Golf Club, Atlanta

Par 70, 7,385 yards

The Course

It’s the final event of the season and the FedExCup Series and it promises to be cracker. Only the top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings advance to the Tour Championship.

East Lake is a tricky test measuring 7,385 yards. It was restored back in 1994 after being neglected and was brought back to its glory by course designer Rees Jones. They made a small yet exciting change to the course layout for last years edition switching around the nines. The players ended playing a par 5 instead of a par 3 which offered an extra bit of drama at the end.

Previous winners include Rory Mcilroy (2016), Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker (2012).

Going by previous winners hitting plenty of greens is a huge plus along with a hot putter and accuracy off the tee. Players that can keep the ball in the fairway off the tee will give themselves a good look for their approaches into the greens.

The main areas of statistical importance here are GIR, SG Putting, SGTTG, scrambling and driving accuracy.

 

Jordan Spieth 9/2 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJordan Spieth 9/2

It’s difficult to bet against the FedEx Cup leader coming to East Lake this week. He has been in great form recently with two wins, three top 10’s and a top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship where he holed a superb bunker shot beating Daniel Berger in a playoff. He then won again the following week at the Open Championship in Royal Birkdale where he overcame some early round jitters to beat Matt Kuchar by an impressive three strokes.

Spieth then finished in a respectable T13 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a solo second at the Northern Trust and another solo second at the Dell Technologies Championship. Last week at the BMW, he had another solid performance finishing T7 on 13 under for the tournament which included an opening and a closing 65.

Jordan has a great record here in East Lake finishing second in 2013, a win in 2015 and a T17 last year. Statswise he ranks third in GIR, second in SGTTG, 30th in strokes gained putting and first in par 4 scoring. In his last 12 competitive rounds Spieth has shot in the 60’s nine times. He looks like the standout favourite here and looks like the man to beat.

 

Paul Casey 16/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs Paul Casey 16/1

The Englishman has had a fantastic season on the PGA Tour so far and I fully expect him to keep that good form going this week in East Lake. Casey has four top 10’s and two top 15’s in his last seven starts. He had a great week at the Travelers shooting four rounds in the 60’s to post a T5 finish. He followed that with a T11 at the Open Championship in Birkdale, T5 at the WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA Championship, solo fifth at The Northern Trust, T4 at the Dell Technologies and a respectable T33 at the BMW Championship.

Casey is a real horse for the course here finishing fourth in 2010, fifth in 2015 and fourth last year. Statswise he ranks fourth in GIR, second in SG approaches to the green, fifth in SG tee to green and sixth in scrambling. In his last 12 rounds around East Lake, Casey has only shot worse than a 70 twice.

 

Patrick Cantlay Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs Patrick Cantlay 33/1 

Cantlay has been very impressive this season and has done incredibly well to get to the Tour Championship given the amount of tournaments he’s played. He has played some great golf in some tricky events throughout the season including a solo second at the Valspar, a T3 at the RBC Heritage, T14 at the Zurich Classic in New Orleans and a respectable T22 at the Players Championship.

Most recently, Cantlay has two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a good week at the Northern Trust shooting four rounds of 70 or better finishing T10 and followed that with a T13 at the Dell Technologies Championship which included three rounds in the 60’s. Last week at the BMW Cantlay had another solid week finishing T9 after shooting 67,65,70,70 to post 12 under par in total.

He ticks a few boxes here statswise ranking 17th in GIR, 15th in SG tee to green, 42nd in strokes gained putting and 28th in par 4 scoring.

 

Webb Simpson 40/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsWebb Simpson 40/1

Simpson looks very generously priced considering his good form lately. He has had some great performances over the last couple of months including a solo fifth at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, a T8 at the Travelers and a T14 at the Greenbrier.

More recently he has three top 10’s in his last four starts finishing solo third at the Wyndham which included a 63 and a 64 in in the first two rounds, a T6 at the Northern Trust which included a final round 65 and a T9 last week at the BMW which included three rounds of 68 or better to post 12 under in total.

Webb is another horse for the course here in East Lake finishing T22 in 2011, T5 in 2012, solo fourth in 2013 which included an impressive final round 63 and a T23 in 2014.

Simpson looks like another player that could suit this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, 27th in SG tee to green, second in scrambling and seventh in par 4 scoring. He looks great value here and could go well at a generous price.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Spieth 2pt WIN 9/2

Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1 

Patrick Cantlay 1pt EW 33/1 

Webb Simpson 1pt EW 40/1 

Total staked = 8 pts 

 

*PP Paying 5 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 – FedExCup Playoffs

Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 - FedExCup playoffsField – Top 30 in FedExCup Standings

East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia

Par 70, 7,307 yards

 

The Course

Well it’s the season finale so let’s finish with a bang! East Lake was designed by Donald Ross and is a tricky tree lined par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Previous winners include Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker. Some of the par 3’s will be intimidating with water hazards coming into play and could offer some excitement.

There are over 70 bunkers to contend with here so being a handy bunker player will stand you in good stead. The greens could be hard and fast as the weather looks set to be dry throughout most of the tournament. Length doesn’t seem to be hugely important its more about accuracy off the tee, good putting on these tricky Bermuda greens and good scrambling.

 

Jordan Spieth 10/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsJordan Spieth 10/1 

The young American has been showing some great form over the last couple of months and returns to a course that clearly suits his game. Since his T2 at The Masters, Spieth has followed that with a win at Colonial, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA, T10 at The Barclays and a solo 9th at The BMW. He played superb at this venue last year winning on nine under in total and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He also finished T2 here in 2013 which included a superb final round 64.

He ranks second in SGP, 15th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. Spieth has a good record in Georgia with great performances in Augusta and here at East Lake over the last three years and could put in a big performance here this week.

 

Adam Scott 10/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 10/1 

The Aussie has been playing great lately with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He recorded his third fourth place finish in a row at The BMW posting 12 under in total. Before that he finished T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in East Lake in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T19 in 2012, T14 in 2013 and T9 in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 3rd in GIR and 10th in par 4 scoring. Scott is clearly in fine form and if he can get the putter rolling on the greens he could be right in the mix here.

 

Patrick Reed 18/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 18/1 

I have to stick to my guns and give Reed another nod here. He has been in superb form lately and finished strongly at The BMW shooting a final round 68 to finish T13. Sitting in second in the The FedexCup standings Reed is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment and was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with eight top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays, T5 in Boston and a T13 at The BMW.

Reed has played here twice before finishing T27 last year and T19 in 2014. He ranks fourth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 15th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With a decent performance here and with the Ryder Cup in his sights Reed is one to keep on side here.

 

Paul Casey 16/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Paul Casey 16/1

The Englishman has come close to a win over the last couple of weeks and could be one to watch here. Casey has three top 10’s in his last five starts finishing T10 at the PGA, T17 at The Travelers, solo second at The Deutsche Bank and solo second at The BMW in Crooked Stick. He has played well here at East Lake in the past finishing T4 in 2010 and T5 last year.

This course could be right up Casey’s street ranking second in GIR, ninth in SGTTG and 31st in driving accuracy hitting just over 65% of fairways off the tee. With a decent record here and super current form Casey could be a big threat here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Spieth 2pts EW 10/1 

Adam Scott 2pts EW 10/1 

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 18/1

Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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