Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018

Wells Fargo Championship 2018 Betting PreviewThe Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina 

7,442 yards, Par 72 

The Course 

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte measuring 7,554 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include Brian Harman (2017), Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010), J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011) and Sean O’Hair (2009). 

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997, 2003 and 2013.  

It was lengthened fractionally in preparation for the 2017 PGA Championship with three holes redesigned. The eighth hole was reduced to just under 350 yards and will be drivable by some of the field and the 16th saw some big changes with water now coming into play. The 17th was also revamped and is also longer measuring just over 220 yards. The greens were also changed from bentgrass to champion bermuda from 2014 onwards due to some negative comments after the 2013 edition.  

The trees that line the fairways have been cut back and thinned out so driving accuracy isn’t as important as it used to be. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 346 yard par 4 16th, the 223 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form. 

 

Patrick Reed 20/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018Patrick Reed 20/1  

The Masters champion has been in flying form over the last few weeks and returns to a venue that has been kind to him in the past.  

Reed’s good run of form began back at the start of March where he shot three rounds of 69 or better to post a T2 at the Valspar in Copperhead, which included a 67,68 over the weekend. He then followed that with a T7 at Bay Hill and then travelled to the WGC Matchplay where he got himself into the last 16 but was knocked out by Swede Alex Noren 5&3. Reed tee’d it up with partner Patrick Cantlay last week at the Zurich Classic and finished T7 for the tournament and showed no signs of a major hangover.  

It was in Augusta where the American played superbly shooting 69,66,67 in the first three rounds. He capped off a great week with a final round 71, which was enough to see off Rickie Fowler and Jordan Spieth who were both snapping at his heels throughout Sunday afternoon.  

Reed played very solidly at this venue last year shooting three rounds of 69 or better to finish T2, only two strokes behind winner Justin Thomas. If it weren’t for a disappointing second round 73, it possibly could’ve been a different outcome.   

His first PGA Tour victory came at the Wyndham Championship back in 2013 (where he won at around 80/1) in Greensboro, North Carolina close by so that could be another positive for him.  

Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 25th in SGTTG. He also ranks 15th in par 4 scoring and first in par 4 birdie or better leaders. He seems to be playing with a lot of confidence lately so the 20/1 looks pretty generous.  

 

Ryan Moore 23/10 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018Ryan Moore Top 20 Finish – 23/10 

Moore looks to be in fine form lately with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last nine starts. After finishing T7 at the OHL Classic in Mexico, he followed that with a T9 at the Genesis Open in Riviera which included two opening 68’s.  

He then travelled to Bay Hill shooting rounds of 71,67,69,71 to post 10 under in total and T5 for the tournament and followed that with a T16 at the RBC Heritage, which included three rounds of 69 or better.  

Most recently, Moore teed it up at the Valero Texas Open a couple of weeks ago posting an impressive solo seventh to finish 11 under for the tournament which warms him up nicely for this week.  

His first PGA Tour victory came here in North Carolina at the 2009 Wyndham Championship in Sedgefield Country Club so that could be another big positive here. His record here in Quail Hollow is impressive with two top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last six appearances here finishing fifth in 2012, sixth in 2013, T18 in 2014 and T13 last year.

 

I fancied a few others in this market like Kevin Streelman, Trey Mullinax and Ben An all playing well and reasonably priced so they could also be worth a look.  

 

Final Selections –  

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW  *Paddypower paying 8 places at 1/5* 

Ryan Moore Top 20 3pts at 23/10

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Enjoy the golf and good luck if you’re having a punt, 

Doublebogey6

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Riviera Country Club, California 

Par 71, 7,349 Yards 

The Course 

The PGA Tour stays in California this week and travels to Riviera Country Club which was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. It has been the primary host for the Genesis Open (originally the Los Angeles Open and then Northern Trust Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards. Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.

Previous winners include James Hahn (2015), Bubba Watson (2014), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favor the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 – 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting and tee to green and par 4 scoring.

 

Adam Scott 22/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 25/1

The Aussie looks in decent shape coming to California this week with four top 15’s in his last four starts. He played well at The CIMB Classic finishing T10 and followed that with a T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions. He played well throughout the week but shot a disappointing 80 in round two but bounced back with a 64, 66 over the weekend to post nine under in total. Scott then played in his native Australian Open finishing T14 for the tournament on six under which included a second round 65.

He has a great record here in Riviera finishing second last year, tenth in 2013, T17 in 2012, T14 in 2008, second in 2006 and a win in 2005. Scott is hitting just under 75% of greens in regulation and is one of the biggest hitters on tour. With a great record here and decent current form the Aussie could be one to watch here.

 

Byeong Hun An 66/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Ben An 66/1

An has been playing some decent golf over the last couple of months and I’m willing to take a chance on him here on a course that could suit his game. He had a good finish to the European Tour season with a T10 at the Turkish Airlines Open followed by a T13 at the DP World in Dubai. He started the New Year with a T13 in Abu Dhabi shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish ten under par for the week. Most recently, An teed it up at The Phoenix Open where he again, shot three rounds in the 60’s to finish solo sixth and 14 under par for the tournament.

Statswise An could be a pretty good fit for Riviera averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranking 11th in GIR and 33rd in strokes gained putting on the European Tour last season. If he makes a few putts he could be one to keep an eye on here.

 

Brendan Steele 66/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 66/1

Since winning the Safeway Open back in October, Steele has kept up his good run of form with a further four top 20’s in his last four starts. He played well at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing T6 and followed that with a T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T20 at the Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines and a T16 at The Phoenix Open, which included two opening rounds in the 60’s. Steele has played well here before finishing T10 in 2014 and T14 in 2015.

Statswise he the ticks the boxes here ranking 20th in SG Approaches to the green, 16th in SGTTG, 11th in GIR, seventh in par 5 scoring and 13th in par 4 scoring. Steele comes here in much better form than he did last year and looks great value to keep up his good run of form here.

 

Keegan Bradley 80/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Keegan Bradley 80/1

I was quite surprised to see Keegan Bradley at such a big price this week considering the form he’s in. He finished 2016 with three top 15’s in four events finishing solo sixth at the CIMB Classic, T7 at The Shriners Open and a T15 at the OHL Classic. He has only played four events so far in 2017 and has had a bit of a mixed bag of form. Two missed cuts are sandwiched between a T25 at the CareerBuilder and an impressive T4 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines.

Bradley has played well in Riviera before finishing second in 2012, 16th in 2013, 20th in 2014 and fourth in 2015. Statistically he ranks 30th in SG Approach to the green, 30th in GIR and 26th in par 4 scoring. Bradley has great from on this course and is back playing some decent golf lately and looks great value to have a good week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Adam Scott 22/1 1pt EW

Ben An 66/1 0.5pts EW

Brendan Steele 66/1 0.5pts EW

Keegan Bradley 80/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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