WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017

WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Club de Golf Chapultepec, Mexico City

Par 71, 7,330 yards

It’s a bit of an unknown this week as we move from the familiar Blue Monster in Doral to Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City for what’s now called the WGC Mexico Championship. The course was designed by Scottish brothers Willie and Alex Smith and opened in 1928 and was the permanent venue for the Mexico Open from 1944 to 1960. It has three par 5’s, two of which measure just over 600 yards, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

It is a similar grass type to Riviera with kikuyu fairways and a mix of poa annua and bentgrass on the greens. The fairways are tree lined but not too narrow so accuracy shouldn’t be a massive issue. There are also some water hazards to contend with, one in particular is the par 3 17th with a lake protecting the front and left side of the green that could offer an interesting finish on Sunday.

The course looks fairly tight but not too difficult to score on. The Mexico Open was last played here in 2014 and was won by Columbia’s Óscar David Álvarez who finished 17 under par in total. The course is at high altitude making the ball travel further which could make things interesting. Two of the three par 5’s could be reachable in two and a couple of the par 4’s could be driveable by some of the bigger hitters so that could be a big advantage here. Players that hit it long, putt well and avoid the penal and sometimes deep greenside bunkers should score well.  A good indicator could be looking at players who had a good week in Riviera a couple of weeks ago as this course has a similar same grass type with kikuyu fairways and poa annua/bentgrass greens.

The weather looks a bit mixed with some showers forecast but the winds will be moderate so scoring should be good.

 

Dustin Johnson 13/2 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Dustin Johnson 13/2

DJ has been in superb form lately with a win and three top six’s in his last five starts. He had a good week in Riviera last time out shooting rounds of 66,66,64,71 on his way to a 17 under total and a five stroke victory. His good form began back in December at the Hero World Challenge where he finished T3 on 13 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and a solo third at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am. What stands out is his recent performances on poa annua/bentgrass greens with a win and a third in Riviera and Pebble Beach so that could be a big box ticked here.

Johnson could overpower this venue ranking second in driving distance, third in GIR, 31st in SGP, 12th in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a razor sharp game DJ looks like the man to beat here.

 

Jon Rahm 28/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Jon Rahm 28/1

This guy is a serious player and comes here in great form with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. Rahm played well at the World Cup of Golf back in December finishing T8 on 13 under par in total. He began the New Year in style with a win at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines after a superb final round 65, which included an impressive eagle three on the par 5 18th. He followed that with a T16 at the Phoenix Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. Rahm then travelled to Pebble Beach where he started with a disappointing 73 in round one, but bounced back with a 67,67,68 finish to post 12 under in total and T5 for the tournament.

The Spaniard is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging just under 300 yards off the tee. He ranks fifth in SG off the tee, second in SGTTG, 16th in GIR and fourth in par 4 scoring. Rahm is turning into a superb player and he has the power and the game to be a serious contender here.

 

Gary Woodland 45/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Gary Woodland 45/1

The big hitting American is in great form coming to Mexico this week with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last six events. He played well at the OHL Classic at the starts of the season finishing solo second and followed that with a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T20 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. Most recently Woodland had a super performance at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am shooting 67,65 over the weekend to finish T5 on 12 under. He followed that with another solid performance last week at The Honda shooting rounds of 71,66,66,69 to finish eight under and T2 for the tournament.

He is a solid ball striker averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 20th in SGP, 16th in SGTTG, 17th in GIR and eighth in par 4 scoring.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Louis Oosthuizen 50/1

The South African has been playing some decent golf lately with four top 10’s in his last seven tournaments. He had a good week at the Nedbank Challenge finishing solo 9th and followed that with another solo 9th at the Hero World Challenge, which included two opening 67’s. He then travelled to Phoenix and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the week to finish solo third. Louis then teed it up in Australia and shot another three rounds in the 60’s to finish solo fifth at the Super 6 in Perth. Last week at the Honda he finished a respectable T21 in Florida posting three under par in total for the tournament.

Growing up in South Africa, Oosthuizen would be used to kikuyu grass which shouldn’t be any problem for him here. Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranks 31st in GIR, eighth in SGTTG and ranked eighth in driving accuracy and 11th in driving distance at the Honda last week.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 13/2 1pt EW

Jon Rahm 28/1 0.5pts EW

Gary Woodland 45/1 0.5pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2015

WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio

Par 70, 7,400 yards

The Course

Firestone is a bit of a beast measuring a whopping 7,400 yards and has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th, which is the longest par five on the PGA Tour and will not be reachable in two for most of the field. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards so length will be a big advantage here. Three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so be on the lookout for guys that are good long iron players.

There is also an element of accuracy needed off the tee as some of the fairways are tree lined and have plenty of bunkers but overall, they are pretty forgiving. Accurate iron play will be a big advantage when approaching these tricky bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting, par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. Other stats worth looking at here are approaches from 150-200 yards as a lot of the par 3’s and par 4’s will demand accurate iron play from that distance.

 

Adam Scott 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Adam Scott 16/1

Scott has been showing some decent form over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He played well in Chambers Bay shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4 at The US Open and followed that with an impressive T10 in St Andrews at The Open Championship. He has played well at the other WGC events earlier in the year finishing T12 at The WGC HSBC Champions and T4 at The WGC Cadillac. Scott has a great record here at Firestone finishing T8 last year, T14 in 2013, Win in 2011 and a T9 in 2010.

The Aussie seems to tick a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance, second in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and third in approaches from 100-125. Scott also ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring, 27th in par 5 scoring and 12th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, which is a good stat for scoring on the 12 par 4’s here. With good current form and a solid record around this course, Adam Scott could be a big threat here this week.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1

Louis has been playing well recently and looks to have put any injury concerns behind him. He looked superb at The Open and putted extremely well all week, but sadly lost a playoff to in form Zach Johnson and ended up finishing P2. Despite shooting a 77 in round one, Oosthuizen also had a superb week at The US Open in Chambers Bay and recovered well shooting rounds of 66,66,67 to get right back in the thick of things and finish T2 on four under for the tournament. He has played well at The other WGC’s earlier in the year finishing solo 6th at The WGC Cadillac, T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions and T5 at The WGC Matchplay.

Louis has played well here in the past finishing T4 in 2012 and T9 in 2010. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 32nd in driving distance, 20th in GIR, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and 27th in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks third in approaches from 200-225, sixth in approaches from 200+ and 13th in par 4 scoring. Oosthuizen seems to play better on the bigger stages and looks to be right on the cusp of a win any day now given his current form.

 

Zach Johnson 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips Firestone Country Club

Zach Johnson 40/1

Zach Johnson has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last five starts. After a brilliant win at St Andrews beating Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman in a playoff, Johnson also finished T3 at The John Deere Classic the week before, solo sixth at The Travelers and solo fifth at The Byron Nelson. He has also played well here in the past finishing T23 last year, T4 in 2013 and T6 in 2011.

Statswise, Johnson ranks third in driving accuracy, 34th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green and 21st in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring, seventh in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. All in all, Zach Johnson is in superb format present and should be able to keep that going this week at Firestone.

 

Jim Furyk 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips Firestone Country Club, Ohio

Jim Furyk 40/1

Furyk come here this week with two top 5’s in his last four starts. He played well at The RBC Canadian Open recently shooting 68,69,68,69 on his way to solo fourth and a 14 under par total and showed some great consistency. He also had a good week at The Memorial finishing T5 on twelve under for the week. He also played well at the other WGC events finishing T12 at The WGC Cadillac and fourth in The Matchplay. Furyk has a great record around Firestone finishing T15 last year, ninth in 2013, second in 2012 and sixth in 2010.

Statswise he ranks 11th in driving accuracy, 24th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green, 12th in approaches from 200-225 and second in approaches from 250-275. He also ranks eighth in approaches from 175-200 and 22nd in par 4 scoring. With such a good record here over the years and great current form, Jim Furyk looks a great shout here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Adam Scott 16/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 2pts EW

Zach Johnson 40/1 1pt EW

Jim Furyk 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Quicken Loans National Betting Preview 2015

Quicken Loans National 2015 Betting Preview

Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, Gainsville, Virginia

Par 71, 7,385 Yards

 

The Course

This course hosts The Quicken Loans  National for the first time so there is no course history to go on. Robert Trent Jones GC is located in Gainsville, Virginia and sits along Lake Manassas with the lake coming into play on nine holes. The Presidents Cup was played here a total of four times from 1994, 1996, 2000 and 2006. It features three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

The fairways and greens are bentgrass and four of the par 4’s measure roughly over 470 yards so driving distance should be worth considering. The fairways are tee lined with some strategically placed bunkers coming into play. Most of the approach shots on the par 4’s will measure roughly 170+ so approach stats from 170-200 will be worth checking. The par 3’s also measure over 190 yards so approach stats from that distance is also worth checking. The greens are undulating and large and can play quite fast so be on the lookout for players that are putting well and have good GIR stats.

The main areas of focus for me are strokes gained putting, GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and approaches from 175-200. The weather is set to be hot and humid for the four days with winds between 6-8 mph and a slight chance of some rain on Thursday.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Jimmy Walker 16/1

Walker’s form has been mixed lately but he has had a superb season overall with wins at The Sony Open in Hawaii and The Texas Open a couple of months ago. He has put together some good performances lately finishing T30 at The Open Championship and T2 at The Byron Nelson, which included an opening round 64 and a 66 in round 2 and round 4. He also played well recently at the CVS Charity Classic with partner Billy Horchel finishing T3, but that is a non-sanctioned event.

He ranks 17th in driving distance, 27th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 31st in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 25th in approaches from 200+ and third in par 5 scoring. Although his current form is a little bit off, Walker is a class above the field and I think he could have a really good week here.

 

Danny Lee 35/1 Quicken Loans Natonal 2015

Danny Lee 35/1

Despite a disappointing MC at The Open in St Andrews, Danny Lee has been putting together a great season so far. His good run of form began back at The Valspar, were he finished T7. He followed that with a T17 at The Arnold Palmer, T22 in New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and a T10 at Colonial. Most recently, he finished T3 at The John Deere, Won the Greenbrier in a playoff against David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb and had a T25 at The Travelers.

Statswise, he ranks 33rd in strokes gained putting, 13th in approaches from 150-175, 11th in approaches from 200+, 7th in approaches from 175-200 and first in par 3 scoring. With great current form and good approach stats, Danny Lee could be a big danger man here this week.

 

Will Wilcox 40/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Will Wilcox 40/1

I tipped up Wilcox last week at The RBC Canadian Open but he had to pull out due to a small injury concern. With that hopefully behind him, his current form looks great with seven top 25’s in his last 11 starts. He played well at The Sanderson Farms finishing T14 and followed that with a T18 at Pebble beach. He also finished T6 in Puerto Rico, T22 at The Byron Nelson and T12 at The FedEx St Jude. Most recently, he finished T8 at The John Deere and solo second at The Barbasol finishing a couple of strokes behind the winner Scott Piercy.

Wilcox ranks 16th in driving accuracy, sixth in GIR, 15th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 15th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 200+, first in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 4 scoring. With super form and great stats, Wilcox looks like a player that could really suit this course.

 

Johnson Wagner 50/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Johnson Wagner 50/1

Wagner is one of those players that can be quite streaky, but he is showing some decent form over the last few weeks. He came out of nowhere a couple of months ago at The Houston Open shooting rounds of 69,68,66,69 and ended up losing in a playoff. Recently though, his form is good with three top 20’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The John Deere finishing T5 and followed that with a T10 at The Barbasol Championship. Last week in Canada, he started very well opening with 67,66 in rounds one and two but fell off the pace shooting a 72,73 at the weekend to eventually finish in a respectable T18.

Wagner ranks 18th in GIR, 10th in approaches from 125-150, 13th in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 275 and sixth in par 3 scoring. He seems to be riding on the crest of a wave in terms of form over the last couple of weeks and that could easily continue here this week at a decent price.

 

Andy Sullivan 60/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Andy Sullivan 60/1

Andy Sullivan is a proven winner on The European Tour with wins coming at The South Africa Open in January and The Joburg Open in March. He has been playing well lately finishing T30 at the Open, T6 at The French Open, T13 at The Memorial, T6 at The Irish Open in Royal County Down and 17th at The BMW PGA in Wentworth.

Sullivan is a great long iron and GIR player and ranks 26th in GIR and 16th in stroke average on The European Tour this season. He is a proven winner with two wins already tucked away in the trophy cabinet this year and could be a great each way prospect this week in Virginia.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 16/1

Danny Lee 1pt EW 35/1

Will Wilcox 1pt EW 40/1

Johnson Wagner 1pt EW 50/1

Andy Sullivan 1pt EW 60/1

Total Staked = 12 pts                        

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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