Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida 

Par 72, 7,419 yards 

The Course 

Owned by the late Arnold Palmer since 1974, the famous Bay Hill Country Club is a par 72 measuring 7,419 yards and has hosted the annual Arnold Palmer Invitational since 1979. The course was designed by Dick Wilson in 1961, and illustrates his typical approach of slightly elevating the putting surfaces to improve visibility and drainage. The course covers 270 acres and lies between the community of Bay Hill, Florida and the Butler Chain of Lakes.

This course is a typical Florida setup with plenty of water and green side bunkers coming into play. The course layout was changed in 2010 from a par 70 to a par 72 and has a total of four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The reason for this was to allow the players to give themselves more opportunities to make birdies. The course is situated along the Butler Chain of Lakes and has a tendency to get windy. The fairways are quite forgiving here so driving accuracy isn’t too much of an issue. Like a lot of the Florida courses we have seen over the last few weeks, water hazards come into play on roughly 9 of the 18 holes.

There are four par 3’s which are among the most difficult on the PGA Tour so par 3 scoring will be an important here. Good par 5 scoring stats will certainly be a big plus along with good ball striking, scrambling, putting and hitting plenty of GIR.

 

Henrik Stenson 9/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 9/1

Stenson had a superb start last week in Copperhead opening with an impressive 64 in round one at the Valspar. He was steady as a rock for the following three rounds shooting 71,71,70 to post 8 under par in total and T7 for the tournament. He has been playing well over the last few months with seven top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T2 and followed that with a solo eighth at the Nedbank in South Africa, T9 at the DP World in Dubai, T8 in Abu Dhabi, solo second at the Hero World Challenge and a solo second at the Dubai Desert Classic recently.

Stenson has a great record here in Bay Hill finishing 15,8,5,2,3 in his last five appearances here. Staswise he ranks fourth in stroke average, sixth in driving accuracy and third in GIR so far this season on the European Tour. If he putts well he could go very well this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 33/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 33/1 

Snedeker’s game has been in great shape since the New Year with four top 15’s in his last six starts. He played well at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Hawaii finishing T14 and followed that with a T9 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, solo fourth in Pebble Beach and a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship.

He is another player with a decent record here with two top 15’s in his last three appearances here finishing eighth in 2014 and T13 in 2015. Staswise Snedeker ranks 30th in GIR, 27th in SG around the green, sixth in par 3 scoring and 37th in par 4 scoring.

 

Wesley Bryan 50/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Wesley Bryan 50/1 

The Web.com rookie didn’t have the best start to the season but he is certainly finding his stride over the last couple of weeks. He had his third top 10 finish in a row last week at The Valspar finishing T7 on eight under for the tournament. He also played well in LA at the Genesis Open shooting 69,69,63,72 to post 11 under in total and T4 for the week. Bryan then teed it up at the Honda and finished T4 on seven under, which included an opening round 64.

He is another player that looks like he could suit this course ranking 27th in SG approaches to the green, 21st in SG around the green and 13th in par 3 scoring.

 

Tommy Fleetwood 50/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Tommy Fleetwood 50/1 

The Englishman has been in great form over the last three months with a win already under his belt along with two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last six starts. Fleetwood had a great week at the Hong Kong Open where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the tournament to finish T3. He followed that with a win in Abu Dhabi and a T12 at The Maybank Championship in Malaysia. Tommy then travelled to Mexico where he teed it up at the WGC Mexico Championship and played superbly all week to finish solo second which included a pair of 66’s over the weekend.

This will be his first appearance here in Bay Hill and this course could suit his game. He ranks seventh in stroke average, 25th in driving accuracy and first in GIR on the European Tour this season.

 

Final Selections –

Henrik Stenson 9/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 33/1 0.5pts EW

Wesley Bryan 50/1 0.5pts EW

Tommy Fleetwood 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017

SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii  

Par 73, 7,452 yards  

The Course  

Happy New Year to you all it’s great to be back. We kick off 2017 with The SBS Tournament of Champions (Formerly The Hyundai Tournament of Champions) which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth checking.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Jordan Spieth (2016), Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Jordan Spieth 11/2 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 5/1 

Spieth has been in decent form coming into this event winning in Australia in his last official start beating Ashley Hall and Cameron Smith in a dramatic playoff. The young American played well in the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays, solo ninth at The BMW and T17 at The Tour Championship. He then went on to play on the winning US Ryder Cup Team winning a total of two and half point out of four.

Spieth was superb here last year winning the tournament by eight strokes in total over his nearest challenger Patrick Reed. He didn’t shoot worse than a 67 last year in Kapalua finishing on a total of 30 under par for the tournament which is one stroke shy of the 31 under par record held by South African Ernie Els. He has a good record here with an impressive win last year and a second place finish in 2014. Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 24th in SG Around the green, second in SGP and ninth in scrambling. If he gets the putter rolling he will certainly be one to watch here.

 

Patrick Reed 11/1 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Patrick Reed 11/1

Reed had a great finish to the season with a win and four top 15 finishes from the last seven tournaments. He finished T11 at the Travelers and followed that with another T11 in Rio and a respectable T22 at The Wyndham. He then had a win at The Barclays and followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank. Reed also had a superb Ryder Cup for team USA winning a total of three and a half points out of five. He didn’t have the best start to the new season finishing outside the top 50 at The CIMB and WGC in China but he did bounce back with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas.

He has a super record on this course finishing T16 in 2014, win in 2015 and a second place finish last year. The American is averaging a 67 in his last eight rounds here so he clearly likes this course. Reed has a superb short game and if he can make a few putts early he could be right in the mix.

 

Justin Thomas SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

Thomas is another player that seems to be bang in form at the moment and had a good finish to the regular season back in October. He finished T10 at The Barclays and T6 at The Tour Championship shooting 69,67 over the weekend. He started the 2017 season off in style with a T8 at The Safeway Open, a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia, T23 at The WGC HSBC and a T5 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Smylie Kaufman. Thomas has only played Kapalua once before finishing T21 last year. He started 70, 73 in the first two rounds but bounced back with a pair of 69’s over the weekend to finish 11 under in total.

Statswise Thomas ranks eighth in SG Approach to the green, 28th in SGP, 20th in SGTTG and first in par 4 scoring. Thomas looks bang in form and could be another player worth backing this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Sneds always seems to play well this time of year and looks to be in great shape coming to Hawaii this week. He won the Fiji International at the start of October beating his nearest challenger, New Zealander Michael Hendry by and impressive nine strokes to take the title on 16 under for the tournament. He then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas in the Hero World Challenge and he had another solid week with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par, eight strokes behind the winners Matt Kuchar and Harris English.

Snedeker has a great record here in Kapalua finishing 10th here in 2008, third in 2013, 11th in 2014 and third last year. He is putting very well lately ranking 15th in strokes gained putting, sixth in par 4 scoring and first in par 4 birdie or better leaders. 18/1 seems quite generous for a player bang in form with a great record here.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 5/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 11/1 1pt EW

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 8 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2016

Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2016TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas 

7,435 yards, par 72 

The Course 

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.  The weather forecast is set to be a bit mixed with Thursday looking the worst of the four days with Thunderstorms and showers forecast but it is set to pick up from Friday onwards.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 Valero Texas Open 2016Jimmy Walker 16/1 

The defending champion has been playing some good golf this season and started 2016 strongly with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T13 at The Sony. He followed that with a T4 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, T11 in Pebble Beach and a T6 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. Most recently he has had some respectable finishes with a T19 in Houston and a T29 at The Masters. Walker has defended his title before at The Sony in 2014 and 2015 which could bode well here.

Walker likes this course and has played great here in the past with a win last year, T16 in 2014 and a T7 in 2010. He ranks 29th in driving distance, fourth in par 5 scoring, 29th in par 4 scoring and 17th in strokes gained tee to green. He ticks a lot of boxes here and with good form this season Walker could be a decent shout here.

 

Branden Grace 18/1 Valero Texas Open 2016Branden Grace 18/1 

After a superb victory last week in Hilton Head Branden Grace will be feeling confident coming to Texas this week. Grace had a super start to 2016 on The European Tour finishing T4 at his native SA Open. He then finished T5 in Abu Dhabi and followed that with a win in Qatar, an event he has won back to back in 2015 and 2016. He then traveled to the US and played in the WGC Cadillac finishing T23 and then had a T18 at The Dell Matchplay.

It’s worth noting that Grace has won back to back twice in his career. He won the Joburg Open and then won the Volvo China Open the following week in 2012. He also won at the windy St Andrews at The Alfred Dunhill Links and won on The Sunshine Tour the week before. He has played here twice before finishing T30 last year and an MC in 2014 which wouldnt really put me off. The South African is averaging over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 22nd in GIR and 18th in SGTTG. He is a great wind player and could be a big contender here after a super performance last week.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 Valero Texas Open 2016J.B Holmes 25/1 

Big hitting J.B has been playing well this season with five top 11’s in his last seven starts. He looked to be back his best after a shooting a 68 in the final round of The Masters to finish T4. His good run of form started with a T6 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers Insurance Open. He followed that with another T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Riviera at the Northern Trust Open and a T11 the week before at The AT&T in Pebble Beach.

He has played well at this course in the past finishing T11 in 2011 and T16 in 2010. J.B is averaging over 310 off the tee ranking third in driving distance which is a big plus around here. With four par 5’s on this course Holmes can take full advantage with his length and follow up from Augusta with another good week here.

 

Bryson DeChambeau Valero Texas Open 2016Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 

The young American made his PGA Tour debut as a professional last week at The RBC Heritage and what a debut it was. He played superb throughout finishing T4 for the tournament making a total of 17 birdies and looked to be completely comfortable throughout the week even with some questionable weather conditions.

He played in Augusta as an amateur the week before and finished just outside the top 20 finishing T21. He had another great amateur performance in Bay Hill at The Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing a very respectable T27. Dechambeau caught my eye earlier this year when he started with a 70 in The Dubai Desert Classic and went on to shoot 68,69,68 to finish T18 and looked to be flushing the ball over the four rounds.

He looks to be a future star in the making and comes to Texas this week looking settled after a top 5 last week in Hilton Head. He is a confident player and it wouldn’t surprise me if he had another big week here.

 

Kevin Chappell Valero Texas Open 2016Kevin Chappell 40/1 

Chappell came close to winning in Bay Hill but was denied by the in from Jason Day who played an unbelievable bunker shot on 18 to save par and win the tournament. He started the season with a respectable T29 at The CIMB in Malaysia and followed that with a second place finish at The McGladrey Classic. He then went on to have a T26 at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open, second at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill and a T9 last week at The RBC Heritage.

Chappell has a good record at this event finishing 15th in 2013 and 2nd in 2011. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He looks an in form player at the moment and looks good value to have a decent week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 2pts EW

Branden Grace 18/1 1pt EW

J.B Holmes 25/1 1pt EW

Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Blue Monster Course, Doral Resort, Florida Par 72, 7,543 yards 

The Course 

This course has undergone some serious surgery in the last two years with Donald Trump pumping 250 million dollars into the course to add length and increase the overall difficulty of the blue monster.

The course has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has an extra 47 yards added onto it. The par 5 first measures a lengthy 605 yards, the par 3 fourth has an extra 24 yards and the par 4 eighteenth has an extra 5 yards added to it. These changes have made the Trump Doral inside the top five longest host courses on the PGA Tour.

Dustin Johnson won here last year on nine under and Patrick Reed won this event in 2014 shooting the highest score in the tournaments history finishing on 284 on four under par. Over the years, length has been of particular importance in this event. With this course now over 7,500 yards in length, it will be even more important so be on the lookout for bombers with good driving stats that are showing good recent form.

There are some main stats to consider going on previous years. Although length is key, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring and GIR will be important here. The usual mix of good current form and good previous form on this course will also be worth checking out especially over the last two years since the course changes took place.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba comes into this week in good form and played superbly well recently in Riviera shooting a 68 in the final round to win by one stroke over Jason Kokrak and Adam Scott. He has two wins and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has a great record here at Doral finishing T3 last year, T2 in 2014, T18 in 2013 and T2 in 2012. Bubba also ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking sixth in driving distance, sixth in GIR and fourth in SGTTG. He also ranks 28th in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring and should feel at home on this course where he has played well on in the past and seems to suit his game.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Dustin Johnson 12/1

I thought DJ looked more confident at Riviera and played well all week finishing solo fourth and showed a lot of consistency shooting 68,66,68,69 to finish 13 under in total. His form has been good finishing T5 at The WGC HSBC Champions, 15th at The Hero World Challenge, T10 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and T18 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 80 in near unplayable conditions.

Johnson is another player with a great record in Doral with a win last year, T4 in 2014, T12 in 2013 and T2 in 2011. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking seventh in driving distance, ninth in SGTTG, 28th in par 4 scoring and 13th in par 5 scoring. After playing well over the last few weeks DJ should be a huge contender here.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

J.B. Holmes 30/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I have tipped J.B a lot over the last few weeks and ive decided to give him another go this week. Despite not winning me anything over the last few weeks, he has been playing decent with six top 12’s in his last seven events. He started the season well with a T8 at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout, T6 at The Farmers, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Pebble and T11 at The Northern Trust Open.

J.B finished T2 here last year shooting an impressive 62 in round one and is another bomber off the tee which should suit this course. He ranks third in driving distance, sixth in SGTTG and 20th in par 4 scoring. With some quality performances over the last few weeks and a good week here in Doral last year, J.B looks a solid bet here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede has bounced back well after an injury and has been playing well over the last couple of months. He played well at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T11 and followed that with a T3 at The BMW Masters. He also had a good week at The Nedbank before Christmas finishing solo second and started the New Year with a T3 in Abu Dhabi and a T6 in Dubai.

Stenson is another player with a good record here finishing T4 here last year and T16 in 2013. He also fits the bill here ranking 11th in GIR, second in strokes gained putting and 18th in driving accuracy. Stenson is another big hitter and should go well here especially after playing so well in the desert swing.

 

First Round Leader –

Dustin Johnson 18/1

With such a good record at this venue, Dustin Johnson has gone low here in round one over the last few years and hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in four of his last five opening rounds in Doral. He started with a 69 in 2011, 68 in 2013, 69 in 2014 and a 68 last year.

In his last six opening rounds he has only shot over 70 once, which was at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions where he opened with a 73 and bounced back with a 67,68,69 to finish -14. Most recently he opened with a 70 in Torrey Pines in The Farmers Insurance Open, 70 in Pebble Beach and an impressive 68 in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open. After a solo fourth in Riviera and four rounds in the 60’s, I fancy DJ to start strongly and open with a low one here.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 30/1 1pt EW

Henrik Stenson 28/1 1pt EW

Dustin Johsnon 18/1 1pt EW First Round Leader

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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