Masters Betting Preview 2018

Masters Betting Preview 2018Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia    

Par 72, 7,435 yards

The Course    

Welcome to my Masters Betting Preview 2018! Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. The first edition of the Masters held in 1934 and has seen many modifications since, with the most recent changes being made by Tom Fazio in 2002. Fazio mostly added length to the course and tightened up the fairways making it a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.     

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones with Jones designing Augusta National with course architect, Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.    

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta, the first is experience. Players with plenty of experience here tend to go well, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas. 

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.     

There are a few key stats to pay attention to here. GIR will be important but the ability to negotiate these lightning fast greens will be key so strokes gained putting is one in particular along with scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring.  

 

Justin Rose 12/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Justin Rose 12/1 

The Englishman has been in great shape this year with a win and three top 10’s in his last six starts. Rose played solidly throughout the week at the WGC HSBC Champions in China at the end of November shooting three rounds of 68 or better to win by two strokes from Henrik Stenson.  

He then travelled to Torrey Pines where he finished T8 at the Farmers Insurance Open and followed that with a T9 at the Valspar, which included three rounds of 70 or better. Rose then had yet another top 10 finish at Bay Hill where he shot rounds of 69,71,67,67 on his way to an impressive solo third.  

He sounded very positive when he was interviewed last week for Europeantour.com “I’m not worried about the other players or the other variables. I’m coming in playing as good as I’ve ever played, so I’m excited about that.”  

His record here is quite impressive with five top 10’s in ten appearances with form figures 2,10,2 the last three years. Statistically Rose ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 49th in GIR, eighth in scrambling, 13th in SGP and sixth in par 4 scoring. After coming agonizingly close to victory last year, Rose will be keen to try and put that right this year and should be right in the thick of things come Sunday.  

 

Phil Mickelson 16/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 16/1 

The two-time Masters champion returns to Augusta National in great form after a T24 in Houston after an impressive final round 67. Lefty has been playing some great golf this year with a win and four top 10’s in his last ten starts.  

He started the season off with an impressive T3 at the Safeway Open followed by a respectable T15 at the WGC HSBC Champions. His more recent form figures read 5,2,6,1,17 and started with a great week in Phoenix posting a T5 and followed that with a T2 in Pebble and an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open.  

The Five-time major winner then traveled to Mexico and defeated Justin Thomas in a play-off after an exciting final round 66 at the WGC-Mexico Championship to claim his first victory since the 2013 Open Championship.   

His from in Augusta National is very impressive with 10 cuts made from 12 appearances including two wins and a four top 5’s. Statswise he ranks second in SGP, fourth in SG Approaches to the green and fourth in scrambling, three stats that will stand him well here. Mickelson clearly loves Augusta and with his great current form and natural right to left shape, he could be a huge contender here.  

 


Paul Casey 22/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Paul Casey 22/1
 

Casey arrives to Augusta in great form and will be feeling particularly confident after winning at Copperhead a few weeks ago at the Valspar. His form figures read 7,19,11,8,49,12,1,17 in his last eight starts.  

He started the season with a T7 at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia which included a second round 63 and a final round 65. Casey then tee’d it up at the CJ Cup finishing T19 and followed that with a T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions, T8 in Pebble and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship where he shot three rounds of 68 or better.  

Casey then went to Copperhead where he shot a final round 69 to post 10 under in total, one clear of Tiger Woods and Patrick Reed. His form at Augusta is excellent with four top 10’s in nine appearances, three of which have been the last three years in a row (6,4,6).  

Statswise he seems to fit the bill here ranking 17th in GIR, second in SGTTG, 11th in SG around the green and seventh in scrambling. With great current form and a recent win under his belt, Casey could be another player right in the mix come Sunday.  

 

Alex Noren 40/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Alex Noren 40/1 

Ive had the Swede in mind for Augusta for the last few weeks and with his excellent form and natural fade, Augusta could be a good fit for him.  

He started 2018 off with an impressive T2 at Torrey Pines after losing a five-hole playoff to Jason Day on the Monday after running out of daylight on Sunday evening. Noren then finished T21 in Phoenix and followed that with a respectable T16 in Riviera and a solo third at the Honda, which included three rounds of 67 or better.  

More recently, he has kept up his decent run of form with a T14 at the WGC Mexico and a solo third at the WGC Dell Matchplay after beating the in form Justin Thomas 5&3 which will do wonders for his confidence coming into this week.  

Noren ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 48th in GIR, 16th in SGTTG, 17th in strokes gained putting, 26th in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. After a missed cut on his only appearance here last year, Noren arrives in much better form this time around.  

 

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100/1  

The in form Thai looks great value here this week given his current run of form. He has been playing some good golf so far this year and began 2018 with a respectable T22 in Abu Dhabi followed by a T27 in Malaysia at the start of February.  

It was mid February where he started to show some real class when he travelled to Australia and won the Super 6 where he won four matches convincingly including the final against James Nitties 2&1.  

Aphibranrat has shown he can compete in top quality fields finishing T5 at the WGC Mexico Championship after shooting an impressive final round 65. He then followed that with another T5 at the WGC Matchplay where he got to the quarter finals but was knocked out by the eventual winner Bubba Watson.  

Now number 30 in the world rankings, this will be Aphibarnrat’s second appearance in Augusta. His first appearance here was in 2016 where he finished in a very respectable T15 after a final round 70. He is playing some good golf lately and looks great value for an each way shout.  

 

Final selections – 

Justin Rose 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson 1pt EW

Paul Casey 1pt EW

Alex Noren 1pt EW

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 9 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview  2018

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida   

Par 71, 7,340 yards   

The Course   

There are four golf courses at Innisbrook all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course, which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course.  

The Copperhead course underwent some subtle changes in 2015 with bigger tee boxes, re shaped bunkers around the greens and re grassed fairways. It is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s.  All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand accurate iron play to score on the greens, which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards.  

Three of the four par 5’s, the first, 11th and 14th are pretty easy and should offer up plenty of birdies. Two out of the four par 5’s have double doglegs so an accurate tee shot can be well rewarded.  Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy with players reaping the rewards with accuracy off the tee on some holes.     

Players that can work the ball both directions off the tee should also have a big advantage. Water will be a key feature and comes into play on 9 out of the 18 holes. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back nine in the shape of 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.     

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate iron players.

 

Henrik Stenson 18/1 Valspar Betting Preview 2018Henrik Stenson 18/1

The Swede has only played a handful of events over the last couple of months but when he has teed it up, he has played very well.

Stenson travels to Florida on the back of three top 10’s in his last five starts and returns to a course where he has played exceptionally well on in the past.

He had a great week at the WGC HSBC Champions in China back in October finishing T2 which included four rounds of 70 or better to finish 12 under. After a disappointing T35 in Turkey in November, Stenson bounced back finishing solo eighth in Abu Dhabi which included an impressive final round 65. He then travelled to Dubai at the end of January and finished T6 at the Dubai Desert Classic where he didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week.

Stenson seems to be a player that consistently plays well on courses he has a good record on. For example, he hasn’t finished outside the top 10 at both the Dubai Desert Classic and Abu Dhabi in his last six appearances proving he’s a horse for the course type of player.

His record here at Copperhead is impressive with form figures 7,11,4 in his last three appearances and ticks a lot boxes here ranking third in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR and fourth in putts per GIR. With a great record here and good current form, the Swede looks a decent bet at 18’s.

 

Adam Hadwin Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Adam Hadwin 30/1

The defending Champion returns to the site of his one and only PGA Tour win in great form with three top 10’s in his last five starts.

The Canadian had a good week at the CareerBuilder Challenge at the end of January finishing T3 shooting four rounds of 68 or better. He followed that with an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open which included two 66’s over the weekend. Hadwin then kept up that good run of form last week in Mexico where he finished T9 at the WGC Mexico where, again he finished strongly firing 67,66 on Saturday and Sunday to post 10 under.

He played pretty flawless golf last year shooting 68,64,67 in the opening three rounds and finished with a respectable 71 to win by one from Patrick Cantlay on 14 under. With two top 10’s in his last two starts, Hadwin will be feeling confident he can have another good week at Copperhead.

 

Ryan Moore 35/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Ryan Moore 35/1

Like Stenson, Ryan Moore is another horse for the course here with two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last three appearances here.

Moore has had a fairly quiet season so far playing in only six events so far but he has two top 10’s in his last four starts which in encouraging. He started the season with a respectable T17 at the Safeway back in October and followed that with a T6 at the OHL Classic back in December shooting rounds of 70,66,67,68 to post 13 under.

After a missed cut in Phoenix, he bounced back with an impressive T9 in Riviera at The Genesis Open which included two opening 68’s.

Moore has a great record here over the last few years finishing T8 in 2007, T19 in 2009, solo fifth in 2015, solo third in 2016 and T18 last year.

Statswise he ticks some key boxes here ranking 33rd in SG Putting, 20th in strokes gained around the green and 33rd in par 5 scoring. With decent current form and a great record here Moore looks good value at 35/1.

 

Final selections – 

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW

Adam Hadwin 1pt EW

Ryan Moore 1pt EW

Total staked = 6pts *some bookies paying 7 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2018

WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2018Club de Golf Chapultepec, Mexico City 

Par 71, 7,330 yards

We came agonizingly close on Noren making the playoff last week at the Honda but unfortunately, he came up just short, but he did get us a full each way place.  

We leave Florida and head to Mexico City for the WGC Mexico Championship. The course was designed by Scottish brothers Willie and Alex Smith and opened in 1928 and hosted to the Mexico Open from 1944 to 1960. It has three par 5’s, two of which measure just over 600 yards, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.  

It is a similar grass type to Riviera with kikuyu fairways and a mix of poa annua and bentgrass greens. The fairways are tree lined but forgiving so accuracy shouldn’t be a massive issue. There are also some water hazards to contend with, one in particular is the par 3 17th with a lake protecting the front and left side of the green that could offer an interesting finish on Sunday.  

Scoring doesn’t seem to be too difficult here. Dustin Johnson took the title last year and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week to post 14 under par in total. The Mexico Open was last played here in 2014 and was won by Columbia’s Óscar David Álvarez who finished 17 under par in total.  

The course is at high altitude which plays into the bigger hitters hands a bit. If you look at the top 10 on last year’s leaderboard names like Rory, DJ, Rahm, Pieters and Thomas all featured and ranked inside the top 20 for driving distance last year so that could be a bit of a clue. DJ, Fisher and Fleetwood all ranked inside the top 5 in GIR and five of the top six ranked inside the top 20 for scrambling.  

Players that hit it long, putt well and avoid the deep greenside bunkers should score well.  A good indicator could be looking at players who had a good week in Riviera a couple of weeks ago as this course has the same grass type.  

The weather looks sunny and dry with moderate wind so scoring should be good.  

 

Tommy Fleetwood 16/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2018Tommy Fleetwood 16/1  

The current number 2 in the Race to Dubai is trending in the right direction and judging by last week’s performance in Florida, looks to be hitting the ball nicely coming into this week.  

He has been playing solid over the last couple of months showing form figures 4,37,6,1,3,6,21,10 in his last eight starts.  

The Englishman had a great week at the Nedbank Challenge in South Africa in November finishing T10 (which is also a high-altitude course) and followed that with a T21 at the DP World in Dubai and a solo sixth in Hong Kong.  

Fleetwood had a super start to 2018 and successfully defended in Abu Dhabi at the end of January where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish on 22 under in total. He then travelled to the Dubai Desert Classic where he shot rounds of 69,69,66,68 to finish T6 on -16 for the week.  

Most recently on the PGA Tour, Tommy has kept up his good form finishing a respectable T37 in Riviera and a solo fourth last week at the Honda which included a 68,67,69 over the weekend. Fleetwood played well here in Mexico last year shooting four rounds of 70 or better to finish solo second and ranked fifth in GIR and seventh in par 5 scoring.  

Statswise he is leading GIR on the European Tour this season and ranks sixth in DA, 37th in DD and third in stroke average. The Englishman looks to be in great shape coming into this week and has to be respected here.  

 

Alex Noren 25/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2018Alex Noren 25/1 

I’ve decided to give the Swede another rattle this week based on last week’s impressive performance in Florida. He has been making a statement in the US over the last few weeks showing some impressive form and has the look of a man on the cusp of a win.  

He came very close to getting into the playoff last week with Justin Thomas and Luke List and was a bit unlucky not birdie the last after his third shot pulled up short of the green. That being said he still finished with an impressive final round 67 to finish solo third.  

Noren has been playing some great golf over the last year or so with form figures 3,16,21,2,12,31,45,12 in his last eight tournaments. His form has been particularly impressive over the last four weeks and despite losing a playoff, he had a great week in Torrey Pines shooting rounds of 70,66,,69,73 and followed that with a T21 in Phoenix. He then travelled to Riviera and shot four rounds of 71 or better to finish T16 on four under par for the week.  

After shooting an opening round 76 here last year, the Swede was left with an uphill battle but bounced back very well with rounds of 71,72,69 which is a huge positive.  

Statswise he is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks seventh in SGP, 37th in scrambling and fourth in par 5 scoring. Noren comes here in much better form this time around and could be a huge danger man here.  

 

Thomas Pieters 35/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2018Thomas Pieters 35/1  

The big hitting Belgian is playing some decent golf lately and after a great performance here last year, Chapultepec looks like it could really suit his game.  

Pieters has had a mixed bag of form over the last few months but there has been some decent stand out performances. He finished T11 at the Turkish Airlines Open at the end of November where he didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week and followed that with a very strong performance in Abu Dhabi where he posted 17 under in total shooting three rounds of 67 or better to finish T5.  

He started well in Riviera with three 71’s but had a poor final round 78 to finish T68, which was a bit unusual for a player of his calibre. However, he did rebound well with an impressive T13 last week in Florida where he ranked 11th in strokes gained putting which will give him great confidence on the greens coming into this week.  

He had a great week here last year finishing T5 shooting three 68’s and a 69. Pieters is no stranger to stepping up to the plate in the big events finishing T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions last year, T4 at the Masters and solo fourth at the WGC Bridgestone. One to watch.  

 

Tony Finau 40/1 WGC Mexicio Championship Betting Preview 2018Tony Finau 40/1 

There’s some courses out there that seem to suit certain players and I think Chapultepec could be right up Tony’s street. He has been in great form this season with form figures 2,MC,6,32,16,11,26,2 with four top 11 finishes in eight starts.  

He started the New Year with a respectable T32 in Hawaii at the Sony, which included three 67’s in a row and followed that with an impressive T6 in Torrey Pines, which included an opening round 65. Finau then missed the cut in Phoenix but he bounced back in style in Riviera shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T2 where he led the field in strokes gained tee to green.  

The American made his WGC debut at the HSBC Champions in China back in October and played very well finishing T11 so that’s a huge positive here.   

He is leading the PGA Tour in driving distance averaging an impressive 327 off the tee this season. He also ranks sixth in SGTTG, 16th in par 5 scoring and 20th in par 3 scoring. He looks great value here to have a good week on a course that should suit him.  

 

Final Selections –  

Tommy Fleetwood 1pt EW 

Alex Noren 1pt EW 

Thomas Pieters 1pt EW 

Tony Finau 1pt EW 

Total staked = 8pts  

*Some bookies paying 6 places*  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

Doublebogey6 

 

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida  

Par 70, 7,158 yards 

The Course  

The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.  

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test demanding precise and accurate iron play. It has smaller than average Bermuda greens, some of which are guarded by water and some tricky bunkers. The fairways are elevated and quite generous so there won’t be too much of an emphasis on accuracy off the tee.  

Looking at the way this course sets up, the main stats here are GIR, scrambling, par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling and sand saves will be essential.   

Water comes into play on roughly 13 holes so hitting a loose pull or slice could be very costly especially on Sunday.  

The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.  

This course has always been known to be one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour with the average winning score being around the 10-12 under mark.  

 

Gary Woodland 25/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018Gary Woodland 30/1  

The big hitting American has been playing some great golf so far this year with a win and two top 12’s in his last four starts. Woodland had a good start to the wrap around season with a respectable T28 at the CIMB Classic, a T18 at the Shriners Open in Vegas and a T34 at the OHL Classic.  

He began 2018 with a top 10 in Waialae shooting four rounds of 68 or better to finish T7 at the Sony Open. He followed that with a T12 in Torrey Pines, which included a second round 68 and a third round 66.  

Woodland then travelled to Arizona where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 to finish 18 under par. He shot an impressive final round 64 and ended up beating fellow American Chez Reavie in a dramatic one hole playoff.  

He has played very well here in the past finishing T6 in 2011 and T2 here last year, which included two 66’s and a 69 over the weekend to finish four shots back from Fowler.  

Statswise he ticks a few boxes here ranking eighth in driving distance, second in GIR, fifth in SG Putting, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 29th in par 5 scoring.   

 

Alex Noren 25/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018Alex Noren 30/1  

The Swede has been plying his trade on the European Tour over the last few years where he has racked up nine wins in total and has been making a statement in the US over the last few weeks showing some impressive form. 

He has been playing good golf over the last couple of months with form figures 12,45,31,12,2,21,16 in his last seven starts.  

Noren played well at the Nedbank Challenge in November finishing T12 and followed that with a T31 at the WGC HSBC Champions and a T12 at the Hero World Challenge in mid-December. 

He then travelled to Torrey Pines and played superbly throughout the week shooting rounds of 70,66,69,73, but just came up short losing to Aussie Jason Day in a playoff. He has kept up his decent form over the last couple of weeks with a T21 in Phoenix, T16 last week in Riviera and could have another good week here on a course that could suit his game.  

Although this is his first appearance here, Noren has been known to play well on tight, windy setups with a win at the Scottish Open in 2016, T6 at the Open last year and a number of top 10’s in both Dubai and Qatar which is encouraging for this course.  

 

Tyrell Hatton 25/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018Tyrell Hatton 25/1  

The Englishman has been in super form recently and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last six starts.  

Since winning the Alfred Dunhill Links and Italian Open back to back in October, Hatton followed that with an impressive T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China. He then travelled to Turkey finishing T16 at the Turkish Airlines Open followed by a T19 at the Nedbank Challenge in South Africa.  

Hatton then capped off 2017 with another top 10 at the European Tour’s finale in November, finishing T8 at the DP World Championship in Dubai, which included a second round 63.     

He has had a good start to 2018 with a top 5 and a top 15 in his last two starts. He played well in Abu Dhabi and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 to post T15, and followed that with a solo third at the Dubai Desert Classic, which included a 64 and two 66’s over the weekend.  

He has played well here on the Champion Course in the past shooting three rounds of 68 or better to finish T4 last year. Hatton has proven to be a good wind player with a win at the Alfred Dunhill Links last year, a T5 at the Open in 2016 and a good record in the desert, this course should be right up his street.  

 

Brian Harman 33/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018Brian Harman 33/1  

After taking the last three weeks off, Brian Harman will return to the Champion Course this week for the for his seventh appearance.  

The American has been in super form so far this season with five top 10’s and a top 20 in his last seven starts. He played well at the CJ Cup back in October finishing T5 and followed that with a solo eighth at the WGC HSBC Champions, T4 at the RSM Classic and a solo third in Kapalua at the Sentry Tournament of Champions.  

He started the New Year with an impressive T4 at the Sony, which included a 64, 63 in the first two rounds and followed that with a respectable T20 in California at the CareerBuilder Challenge.  

In his last six appearances here, Harman’s best finishes were T11 in 2015 (which included a final round 64) and T12 in 2012 (which included a second round 61). 

Statswise he also ticks the boxes here ranking ninth in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, eighth in SGP, third in par 4 scoring and 13th in par 5 scoring.  

 

Final selections –  

Gary Woodland 1pt EW 

Alex Noren 1pt EW 

Tyrell Hatton 1pt EW 

Brian Harman 1pt EW 

Total staked = 8 pts  

*Some bookies paying 7 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

Doublebogey6 

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Riviera Country Club, California  

Par 71, 7,349 Yards  

The Course  

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California. It was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr in 1926 and was redesigned by Tom Fazio in 2008. It has been the primary host for the Genesis Open (originally the Los Angeles Open and formerly the Northern Trust Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards.  

Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.  

Previous winners include Dustin Johnson (last year), Bubba Watson (2016 & 2014) James Hahn (2015), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.  

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a lengthy 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.  

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting, SGTTG and par 4 scoring.  

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Paul Casey 25/1 

In the last four events he has played, Englishman Paul Casey has not finished outside the top 20. His form reads 7,19,11,8 since last October and comes to Riviera on the back of a top 10 finish last week in Pebble Beach.  

Casey started the season with a T7 at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He started with a disappointing 77 in round one but bounced back with an impressive 63 in round two followed by a 69,65 over the weekend. He then teed it up at the CJ Cup in Korea posting a respectable two under par and T19 for the tournament and followed that with a T11 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China finishing T11.  

He came close to victory here back in 2015 getting himself into a playoff with Dustin Johnson and James Hahn after a final round 68, but just came up short to finish T2 with DJ. Casey has played well here in the past finishing T12 in 2011 and T22 in 2008 so he’s no stranger to Riviera.  

Statswise he ranks 17th in driving accuracy, seventh in GIR and first in SGTTG. Form wise Casey is playing sold golf at the moment and could follow up his top 10 last week in Pebble with another good week here.  

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 25/1  

Phil seems to be warming up nicely lately with back to back to 5’s in his last two starts.  

He has been in good shape since the start of the season posting a T3 at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T15 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China, which included a final round 67.   

In his last eight competitive rounds Mickelson has shot a 70 or better seven times and looks to be putting superbly over the last couple of weeks.  

He had a great week in Phoenix shooting an opening round 70 followed by a 65,66,69 to finish T5. Phil then followed that with another solid performance last week in Pebble where he shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T2 on 14 under.  

Phil has a great record here in Riviera with form figures 2,1,1,44,35,2,21,34 since 2007 including  back to back wins in 2008 and 2009. Statswise he is averaging just under 305 off the tee and ranks 12th in SG approaches to the green. He also ranks 28th in scrambling and fifth in SGP which are two important stats around Riviera.  

With great current form and a red hot putter, Phil is definitely someone to keep on side here.  

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 

I backed this man a couple of weeks ago in Torrey where he unfortunately missed the cut but I’m willing to roll the dice on him once again here on a course he top 10’d on last year.  

He has been in great form over the last few weeks finishing 19,MC,7,MC,3 in his last five starts. He had a good week at the CJ Cup in Korea finishing a respectable T19 back in October.  

In his first event of 2018, he started strongly with a T7 at the Sony open in Hawaii shooting rounds of 66,65,67,68 on his way to a 14 under par total. The youngster then travelled to Arizona for the Phoenix Open where he showed some great consistency with three 68’s and a closing 65 to finish T3.  

Schneiderjans played great here last year, again showing great consistency with rounds of 68,69,69,68 on his way to a T8 where he was one of only two players to shoot sub 70 in every round. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 19th in driving distance, 15th in SGTTG, 53rd in SGP and ranks inside the top 36 for par 3 – par 5 scoring.  

With good current form and a great performance here last year, Schneiderjans looks a decent bet at 40’s.  

 

Chez Reavie 40/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Chez Reavie 40/1  

Reavie has been in great shape since the start of the season with seven top 20’s including, back to back top 5’s, in his last nine starts. 

He started strongly with a T13 at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T17 at the CIMB Classic, T15 at the CJ Cup, T24 at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T14 at the OHL Classic and T18 at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January.  

Reavie has been playing particularly well over the last couple of weeks with back to back seconds. He came close to victory in Phoenix getting himself into a playoff with Gary Woodland after shooting an impressive final round 66 but lost the sudden death playoff to a par on the tricky 18th. He then followed that up with another solid performance last week in Pebble posting 14 under and T2 for the tournament.  

The American has played well here in Riviera before finishing solo seventh in 2016 shooting three rounds of 69 or better to finish on 11 under. Statswise Reavie ranks 10th in driving accuracy, 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and inside the top 10 for both par 3 and par 4 scoring.    

 

Final Selections –  

Paul Casey 1pt EW 

Phil Mickelson 1pt EW 

Ollie Schneiderjans 0.5pts EW 

Chez Reavie 0.5pts EW 

Total staked = 6pts (Some bookies paying 7 places)  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

Doublebogey6 

 

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2018

TPC Scottsdale, Arizona  

Par 71, 7,266 Yards  

Well we came close last week with both Rahm and Finau sitting in second and third spot after 36 holes. Rahm had a poor finish but Finau finished T6 getting a full place (PP paying 1-7) for a small profit for the week. Let’s hope we can go one better this week in Scottsdale.     

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2018The Course  

The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. This year particularly should be special for the hosts as this is the 30-year anniversary of the tournament. TPC Scottsdale underwent some major renovations back in in 2014 with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrading the course.   

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes with some of the fairways being realigned and bunkers reshaped with a view to making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and tend to be a bit on the quick side. Roughly 100 yards was added to the course but it hasn’t made a huge difference to the scoring. The fairways are quite forgiving but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.  

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The 15th is a reachable par 5 with water coming into play so the second shot will certainly get the players attention. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The 17th is a driveable par 4 and also has water in play and has been known to trip up the leaders in the final round over the last few years.  

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday. 

This course doesn’t really favor length or accuracy but judging by previous winners, a hot putter and hitting plenty of greens appear to be the ingredients for success here. With 11 par 4’s in total, it’s also worth looking at par 4 scoring along with good scrambling.  

 

Webb Simpson 35/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Preview 2018Webb Simpson 35/1  

Webb has been trending nicely in the right direction lately and given his excellent form here in Arizona over the last few years, he is well worth backing this week.   

He started the season with a respectable T17 at the Safeway and followed that with a T20 at the Shriners Open in Vegas which included three rounds of 70 or better. He began the New Year with an impressive T4 at the Sony shooting rounds of 67,70,63,65 to post 15 under par in total. Simpson was particularly impressive over the weekend in Waialae shooting a total of 12 under and putted superbly.  

His record here in Scottsdale is very impressive with form figures 2,14,10,8,8 since 2011.  Simpson has played a total of 20 competitive rounds here and has shot a 70 or better 16 times so this course clearly suits his eye.  

Statswise, Webb is hitting an average of 71% of greens in reg and ranks 38th in SGTTG. He seems to be getting used to the new putting regulations ranking an impressive 18th in strokes gained putting, fourth in scrambling and third in par 4 scoring. All in all, he looks great value at 35/1 here.

 

Daniel Berger 35/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2018Daniel Berger 35/1  

Daniel Berger is another player that seems to be trending in the right direction with three top 20’s and a top 25 in his last five starts. He played well at the WGC-HSBC Champions back at the end of October finishing T24. Berger then had another decent week in Bermuda at the Hero World Challenge finishing a respectable T14 which included two 70’s over the weekend.  

The Florida native started the New Year with a four rounds of level par or better in Kapalua finishing T11 at the Sentry Tournament of Champions posting 10 under par in total. He then travelled to Waialae for the Sony Open and shot four rounds of 69 or better to finish T14 for the tournament closing with an impressive final round 64.  

These large Bermuda greens could suit the American as both of his PGA Tour victories to date have come on the Bermuda greens of TPC Southwind in Tennessee, home of the St Jude Classic.  

He has a good record here with two top 10’s in three appearances finishing T7 last year and T10 in 2015. Statswise he is hitting just under 70% of GIR and ranks 19th in SG off the tee. With good current form and a good record here, Berger looks to be a good shout here.   

 

Alex Noren 35/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2018Alex Noren 40/1  

The Swede played brilliantly last week in Torrey Pines but just fell at the last hurdle. He got himself into a three-man playoff and ended up losing to Jason Day early on Monday morning in a six-hole playoff. Despite that, Noren played great throughout the week shooting rounds of 70,66,69,73 to post 10 under par in total.  

He has nine European Tour wins to date, one in 2017 in Wentworth and four in 2016. These wins came on various different courses from English parkland (BMW PGA 2017, Bristish Masters 2016) to tricky Scottish links courses (Scottish open 2016, Nordea Masters 2015) to mountainous South African courses (Nedbank Golf Challenge 2016), this guy seems to have the game to contend anywhere.  

He has been in decent form over the last couple of months finishing T31 at the WGC-HSBC Champions and followed that with a T12 at the Nedbank Challenge in South Africa. Noren then teed it up at the Hero World Challenge in Bermuda finishing T12 in early December.  

It’s also worth noting that the Swede has great form on desert style courses over the last few years finishing second in the Dubai Desert Classic in 2015 and T4 at the Qatar Masters in 2013. Noren has proven he can play, contend and win anywhere on any style of golf course. After coming close last week in Torrey, he could go one better in Arizona.  

 

Austin Cook 60/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2018Austin Cook 60/1 

I backed Austin Cook a couple of weeks ago at the CareerBuilder in California where he was in great shape after 54 holes holding a one-shot lead, and then went through a bad spell in round four shooting a disappointing, uncharacteristic 74 to finish T14. That being said I am willing to overlook that slight blip and give him another chance here on a course I think could suit.  

He has been playing well so far this season with a win and five top 25’s in his last seven starts. He started with a respectable T25 at the Sanderson Farms Championship back in October followed by a T20 at the Shriners Open in Vegas posting three under for the week.  

Cook then teed it up at the RSM Classic where he didn’t shoot worse than a 67 for the tournament (including a second round 62) to win by four from J.J Spaun on 21 under par. 

He then travelled to Kapalua and finished T22 and followed that with a T18 at the Sony where shot rounds of 67,71,65,66 to post 11 under in total.  

The young American looks like he could have the game to suit this week ranking 27th in GIR, 18TH in scrambling, 45TH in SGP, 14TH in par 3 scoring and 29th in par 4 scoring. With a precise long game, good putting and solid short game Austin Cook looks great value here. 

 

Final selections – 

Webb Simpson 35/1 1pt EW

Dan Berger 35/1 1pt EW

Alex Noren 40/1 0.5pts EW

Austin Cook 60/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 6 pts 

(PP and Coral paying 7 places on 1/5)

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018The Courses:   

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

Torrey Pines sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played this week both of which were designed by William F. Bell.  

The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,698 yard par 72. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course where Tiger Woods beat Rocco Mediate in a playoff. The man himself makes his 2018 debut this week on a course he has so many good memories on with seven wins in total. The question is, will punters be backing him at 22/1?  

North Course 7,258 Yards, par 72  

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get windy.  

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.  

South Course 7,698 Yards, par 72   

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be pose a much stiffer challenge than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and will certainly favour the longer hitters on TOUR.  

The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than the North Course but length and power will be a huge advantage.    

The main stats to consider are good poa annua putters, driving distance, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.   

 

Jon Rahm 15/2 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Jon Rahm 15/2  

Rahm is in fine fettle and comes back to the site of his first PGA Tour title where he won by three strokes last year after holing a phenomenal 60ft putt for an eagle on the 18th green. The Spaniard has been playing superb over the last three or four months finishing 3,4,5,7,1 in his last five events of the season including a win at the DP World in Dubai in November.  

He comes here on the back of a second and a win so far in 2018 and even though he’s a measly 15/2, I’m still willing to nail my colours to the mast based on the fact that I think this course is right up his street.  

Only for the fact that he missed a few putts on Saturday in round three, he would’ve won by three or four last week in California. He played well throughout the week and opened with a very impressive 62 and followed that with two more 67’s and a 70 in round three. He played very solidly the week before in Kapalua finishing solo second which included a 67,69 over the weekend.    

Rahm looks very well suited to this course averaging just under 300 yards off the tee. He ranks sixth in SGTTG, fifth in SG off the tee, 23rd in scrambling and first in par 5 scoring. All in all its hard to bet against the in-form Spaniard here.    

 

Tony Finau 33/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Tony Finau 33/1  

Tony has been a player I’ve kept in mind for this event over the last few weeks. He has been playing well since the start of the season back in October with form figures of 32,16,11,26,2 in his last five starts. At the Safeway Open back in October, Finau shot rounds of 70,65,71,69 to post 13 under par to finish solo second. He followed that with a T26 at the CJ Cup, T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China and a T16 at the Shriners Open in Vegas which included three 69’s in a row.  

Finau started 2018 off with a respectable T26 at the Sony Open in Hawaii which included three 67’s. He is no stranger to playing well on tough, windy courses over the last few years finishing T9 in Kapalua last year, T27 at the Open in Birkdale last year, T18 at the Open in 2016 in Troon and a win at the blustery Puerto Rico Open in 2016.  

He has a good record here in Torrey Pines finishing T24 in 2015, T18 in 2016 and T4 last year. Big hitting Tony ticks the boxes here averaging just under 330 off the tee ranking second in driving distance. He also ranks ninth in SGTTG, eighth in SG approaches to the green and 18th in par 5 scoring. At 33’s he looks great value here.  

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 

The big hitting youngster arrives to California after taking a week off last week and should be feeling nicely fresh. He has been in great form over the last few weeks finishing 17,23,19,MC,7 in his last five starts. He had a good week at the Safeway Open finishing T17 and followed that with a T23 at the CIMB Classic and a T19 at the CJ Cup in Korea.  

In his first event of 2018 he started strongly with a T7 at the Sony open in Hawaii shooting rounds of 66,65,67,68 on his way to a 14 under par total.   

Schneiderjans has shown he can play well on windy setups finishing second in Sedgefield CC last year at the Wyndham Championship where he was 1 stroke behind the winner Henrik Stenson. He also finished 12th at the Open in St Andrews in 2015 and finished third in Harbour Town at the RBC Heritage last April so he’s no stranger to windy courses.  

He played very solid here last year where he shot two 69’s and two 71’s to finish T9 on eight under for the tournament. Statswise he is averaging 306 off the tee (31st in driving distance) which is a big plus especially for the South Course. Given he is playing well and clearly has good form on exposed courses, Schneiderjans looks worth chancing here at 40/1.

 

Kyle Stanley 50/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Kyle Stanley 50/1  

Stanley has been having a good season so far and is a real horse for the course here at Torrey Pines. He has gone 21,19,5,30,10 in his last five starts and looks to be trending in the right direction.  

He started the season with a respectable T21 at the CIMB Classic and followed that with a T19 at the CJ Cup. The American had a great week at the WGC-HSBC Champions at the tricky SheshanGC back in November finishing T5 on eight under par in total shooting rounds of 71,68,69,72.    

Stanley then started 2018 in Kapalua at the Sentry TOC where he didn’t seem to take to the course finishing last in 30th, but he did bounce back well with an impressive T10 at The Sony. He started with an opening round 64 and followed that with 67,65,71 to post 13 under.  

Stanley has a good record in Torrey over the last few years and came close to victory in 2012.He had a healthy three shot lead on the 18th tee and ended up taking a disappointing triple bogey after finding water short of the 18th green and went on to lose a playoff to Brandt Snedeker. Despite that collapse, Stanley seems to like this course finishing T25 in 2016 and T14 last year and looks great value to have a good week here.  

 

 

Final selections – Most bookmakers paying 7 places  

Jon Rahm 1pt EW 

Tony Finau 1pt EW 

Ollie Schneiderjans 0.5pts EW 

Kyle Stanley 0.5pts EW 

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

 

Doublebogey6 

 

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2018

Sony Open Betting Preview 2018Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii    

Par 70, 7,044 yards   

The Course   

Its good to be back. After watching DJ romp to victory last week it looks like we could  have another entertaining year ahead!

The PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu for the 2018 Sony Open. Last year Justin Thomas dominated this event winning by an impressive seven shots from his nearest challenger Justin Rose. He shot a record 59 in round one and followed that with an impressive second round 64. He finished with a couple of 65’s to post 27 under par in total.   

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with smaller trickier greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at the Plantation Course.  

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.    

 

Brian Harman 20/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2018Brian Harman 20/1  

The steady and accurate Brian Harman looks to be in the form of his life with four top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a great start to the season finishing T5 at the CJ Cup and followed that with an impressive solo eighth at the WGC-HSBC Champions, which included a 68 and 69 in the first two rounds.  

Harman then travelled to Sea Island for the RSM Classic where he shot four rounds in the 60’s to finish on T4 on 14 under par in total. He started 2018 off in style with another solid performance last week in Kapalua shooting three rounds in the 60’s on his way to a solo third, where he led the GIR stats last week. In his last eight competitive rounds Harman has shot a 69 or better seven times so he is showing a lot of consistency.  

He has played well around Waialae in the past finishing 20,13,13 in his last three starts. Harman looks to be a good fit for this course ranking 11th in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, 22nd in SGTTG and 11th in SG Putting. With a decent record here and excellent current form Harman looks worth backing here this week.  

 

Kevin Kisner 22/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2018Kevin Kisner 22/1  

There seems to be a lot of players teeing it up this week that have a chance to win and I think Kevin Kisner is certainly one of them. He has been on top of his game lately and hasn’t been outside the top 20 in his last four competitive starts. The American finished the 2016/2017 season off in style with an impressive T3 at the Tour Championship in East Lake which included two opening 68’s and a 64 in round three. Kisner followed that with a T4 at the RSM Classic, T12 at the Hero World Challenge and a respectable T17 last week at The Sentry Tournament of Champions in Kapalua.  

He is another player with a decent record here over the last few years finishing T4 last year which included a third round 60, and a T5 in 2016 which included an opening round 63. Kisner tends to play well on seaside setup’s and putts well on Bermuda greens. He led the SGP stats last week at the Plantation Course which is a big plus coming to Waialae this week.   

 

Zach Johnson 33/`Sony Open Betting Preview 2018Zach Johnson 33/1  

Zach is showing some good early season form and hasn’t finished worse that T23 in his last three starts. He played well at the Safeway Open finishing a respectable T13 and followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic. Johnson then travelled to Sea Island for the RSM Classic where he shot 64,67 over the weekend to finish T8 on 13 under par for the tournament so his current form looks decent.   

Zach has a great record here and really seems to have the game to fit this course. He won here back in 2009 and followed that with a T12 in 2010. Most recently he has three top 10’s in his last four appearances finishing T6 last year, T9 in 2016 and T8 in 2014. He is no stranger to windy seaside courses winning at venues such as St Andrews in 2015, Hyundai TOC in Kapalua in 2014 and the RBC Heritage in Harbour Town in 2012.   

 

Top 20 double – Charles Howell (Sony)/Jason Scrivener (SA Open) @10/1  

Charles Howell has a ridiculously good record here in Waialae with eight top 20’s (including seven top 10’s) in his last 12 appearances here. He has three top 20’s in his last four starts so far this season and looks to be in decent form and well worth backing.  

Aussie Jason Scrivener has a good record at Glendower finishing T12 in 2016 and T11 in 2015. He won the NSW Open back in November by six strokes and top 20’d in both the Aussie PGA and Australian Open before Christmas. Looks to be playing well and looks a good bet in the outright market at 50/1 too.   

 

Final Selections –  

Brian Harman 1pt EW 20/1  

Kevin Kisner 1pt EW 22/1  

Zach Johnson 1pt EW 33/1  

Top 20 Double 1pt 10/1  

Total staked = 7 pts  

Paddypower paying 7 places.

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf and Happy New Year!

Doublebogey6

 

WGC HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017Sheshan International GC (West), Sheshan, China

Par 72, 7,266 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club this week for its 12th year. The field includes most the world’s top golfers including Hideki Matsuyama, Jason Day and Dustin Johnson. Previous winners include Martin Kaymer (2011), Dustin Johnson (2013), Bubba Watson (2014), Russell Knox (2015) and Hideki Matsuyama (2016).

Sheshan is a par 72 measuring 7,266 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways.

A mixture of length and accuracy will be advantageous here with around half of the par 4’s measuring 450 plus and two of the par 5’s measuring over 590 yards. The fairways are average width, undulating and tree lined with water coming into play on 11 holes.

The greens are elevated, undulating Bentgrass and are larger than average by Tour standards so scoring should be good this week.

The main areas of focus here are previous form/current form, driving distance and accuracy, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring.

 

Marc Leishman 18/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 18/1

The Aussie came close to his third win in 12 months last weekend at the CJ Cup in Korea. He fired rounds of 66,72,71,70 getting into a playoff with FedExCup Champion Justin Thomas and ended up losing the second playoff hole and finishing second. He has played some great golf throughout this year with wins at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill and the BMW Championship at the end of September in Conway Farms. Leishman has had four top 10’s, a win and a top 15 in his last nine starts and is no stranger to winning.

He had a great week at the Qucken Loans finishing T5 and followed that with a T6 at The Open, T13 at the PGA, solo third at the Dell Technologies Championship, a win at the BMW and a T24 at the Tour Championship. He has played well here in Shanghai in the past finishing solo ninth in 2014 which included two 69’s over the weekend and a T11 in 2015 shooting an impressive 65,68 on Saturday and Sunday.

Last season Leishman ranked 50th in both driving distance and GIR. He also ranked 37th in SGP, 15th in SGTTG and ranked in the top 20 for par 3, par 4 and par 5 scoring which all look hugely positive for this course. 18/1 looks decent value for a guy that’s bang in form.

 

Ross Fisher WGC HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017Ross Fisher 25/1

Fisher arrives in China this week in good form on the back of two second place finishes in his last two starts. He played very well at the Alfred Dunhill Links shooting rounds of 71,68,67 in the first three rounds and then caught fire in round four shooting a course record 61 around St Andrews on Sunday to finish solo second. The Englishman then travelled to Italy for the Open De Italia and shot four rounds of 68 or better including a final round 63 on Sunday to finish T2.

Fisher has a great record on this course over the last few years finishing sixth last year, third in 2015, T16 in 2010 and T28 in 2009. He has played well in Asia over the years finishing no worse than T16 at the Shenzhen International in his last three appearances including a T3 this year and a T6 at the China Open back in April.

Statswise he ranks 44th in driving distance averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and sixth in GIR. Fisher is a real horse for the course kind of player and clearly likes Sheshan. He looks a good shout here especially in the form he is in.

 

Tony Finau 33/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017Tony Finau 33/1 

This is will be the big hitting American’s first WGC event this week in China and it comes a course that could really suit him. Finau has been playing some great golf lately and finished the 2016/17 season off with four top 10 finishes from the Greenbrier to the Tour Championship. He finished T7 at the Greenbrier shooting four rounds of 69 or better and followed that with a T27 at The Open and a T5 in Canada which included another four rounds in the 60’s.

Finau had a great finish to the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T7 at the BMW and another T7 at the Tour Championship at East Lake. He has had a great start to the new season finishing T2 at the Safeway and followed that with a respectable T26 last week in the CJ Cup and looks primed and ready for a big performance.

Staswise he ticks the boxes here ranking 16th in driving distance averaging an impressive 316 off the tee which is a big plus taking on these makeable par 5’s. He also ranks 24th in SGP and 13th in par 5 scoring. Although this is his first appearance here Finau has the game and the ball striking to go well.

 

Top 20 Double –

Matt Fitzpatrick/Brice Garnett @ 5.7/1

Matt Fitz has the ideal mix of great current form and good history on this course. After winning the European Masters last month he has continued on an upward curve finishing T11 at the British Masters, T15 at the Alfred Dunhill and a T15 last week in Italy. He has a great record here finishing T7 in 2015 and T16 last year.

Brice Garnett is looks in fine fettle coming into this week with two wins and five top 20’s in his last 10 starts on the Web.com Tour. He won the Utah Championship and followed that with another win which came at the Portland Championship at the end of August. He has played here twice before missing the cut last year but posting a T9 in 2015.

 

Final selections – 

Marc Leishman 1pt EW 18/1 

Ross Fisher 0.5pts EW 25/1

Tony Finau 0.5pts EW 33/1 

Top 20 Double 1pt EW

Total staked = 6 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips

CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia 

Par 72, 7,005 yards  

 The Course 

The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the fifth time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on the European Tour for the last seven years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Previous winners include Justin Thomas (2015 and 2016) and Ryan Moore (2014 & 2013).

The course is a short  par 72 measuring 7,005 yards and has four very make-able par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue. The greens here are paspalum and are large, undulating and guarded by lots of bunkers so good scrambling will be required. Water is in play on 13 holes and will present some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. There is only a field of 78 players and there is no cut after 36 holes.

Statistically, players that putt well and hit a lot of greens tend to go well on this course. The main areas of focus are current/previous form, GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather is a bit mixed with rain forecast on Thursday but it should be dry for the rest of the week. The rain will make this course quite soft so expect the greens to be quite receptive.

 

 Charl Schwartzel 28/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips Charl Schwartzel 28/1 

The South African has a decent record in this neck of the woods over the years and comes here on the back of a respectable performance in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. He finished T24 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T29 at the Northern Trust, T25 at the Dell Technologies Championship and a T27 at the BMW. He had a couple of standout performances earlier in the season where he finished solo third at the Masters and an impressive T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic.

Schwartzel has a decent record here finishing T19 in 2014 which included a pair of 68’s over the weekend, 11th in 2011 Malaysian Open, sixth in the 2012 Malaysian Open, fourth in the 2013 Malaysian Open. He was averaging just under 300 yards off the tee on the PGA Tour last season and has the length to take full advantage of the short par 5’s.

 

Ian Poulter 28/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and TipsIan Poulter 28/1

Englishman Poulter looks a decent shout here this week and its easy to see why when you consider his glowing record in Asia over the last few years. He finished T6 in the Singapore Open in 2010 and followed that with a win in Hong Kong the following week. He also finished T4 in Hong Kong in 2011, solo fourth in Lake Malaren in Shanghai at the BMW Masters in 2012 and a win at the WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai in 2012 in a top class field. Poulter has only played here only once before finishing T17 which included three rounds of 69 or better.

His current form has been decent finishing T2 at the Players Championship, T14 at The Open, solo third at the Canadian Open, a respectable T22 at the PGA and a T11 at the British Masters. He seems to be hitting the ball well lately and has the short game and putting prowess to have a good week here.

 

Kevin Na 33/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and TipsKevin Na 33/1 

Na has been playing good golf over the last two months. He comes here on the back of a T37 at the Safeway but that doesn’t accurately reflect how he played for most of the tournament. He started very well shooting rounds of 70,71,66 and was well positioned going into round four but a triple bogey on the ninth and a double on the 10th ruined his chances which led to a disappointing 77.

Na played very well towards the end of the season finishing T4 at the Wyndham, which included four rounds of 68 or better, a T29 at the Northern Trust and an impressive T6 at the Dell Technologies Championship which included four rounds of 70 or better.

The American has a great record here in Malaysia finishing T2 in 2014, T3 in 2015 and a respectable T29 last year. In his last 12 competitive rounds here at KL Country Club, Na has shot no worse than a 70 eleven times and has a combined score of 47 under par in total in three appearances. He is a real horse for the course and with solid current form, he looks good value each way at 33/1.

 

Scott Hend 80/1

The big hitting Aussie looks in great shape coming to Malaysia and has been showing some good form over the last few weeks. Hend had a decent performance at the Fiji International finishing T24 and followed that with a super performance at the European Masters, which included an opening round 64 and a second round 63. He ended up in a playoff with Englishman Matt Fitzpatrick but lost on the first playoff hole and finished solo second. He then travelled to the Albertsons Boise Open in LA and posed a respectable 10 under par total to finish T17 for the week.

The Aussie has a great record here at KL Country Club finishing T7 in this event last year, T27 in 2015, T14 at the 2015 Malaysian Open, T18 at the 2014 Malaysian Open and T11 at the 2012 Malaysian Open. Hend has a great record in Asia over the last few years and hits the ball an average of just over 300 yards which will suit here. With his current form and length, he looks great value and has the firepower to take full advantage of these short par 5’s.

 

Final Selections – 

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 1pt EW

Ian Poulter 28/1 0.5pts EW

Kevin Na 33/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Hend 80/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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