AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016 Betting Preview

Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California

The Courses:

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 71, 6,816 yards and has three par 5’s and five Par 3’s.

Spyglass Hill – Par 71, 6,858 yards and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s.

Monterey Peninsula – Par 72, 6,838 yards and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s

This tournament is played on three courses which include Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. This is a Pro-Am format and is the same as The CareerBuilder Challenge taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 71’s. Monterey Peninsula is a par 72 because it has five par 3’s.

Straight away we notice that length is not a huge issue here, but the main defence for these courses is the wind coming off the water on the Monterey Peninsula. The weather can be a factor with rain and wind being quite common in California this time of year.

There are a few different factors to consider. The first factor is grass type with the greens here being poa annua which is a grass that tends to be a bit bumpy. The greens are also quite small so be on the lookout for players with good GIR and scrambling stats. The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines and the setup of the tournament is similar to The CareerBuilder so players that had a good performance over the last two-three weeks are also worth considering.

Previous winners here include Dustin Johnson (2010), DA Points (2011), Phil Mickelson (2012), Brandt Snedeker (2013&2015) and Jimmy Walker (2014). For some strange reason, this course tends to favour the bigger hitters. There are 16 par 5’s played here this week so par 5 scoring is worth checking out. As I said above, players with good GIR and scrambling are also worth looking at. Guys with good par 3 scoring stats that are good poa annua putters should also go well here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 12/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Brandt Snedeker 12/1

Sneds had a mixed bag last week in Phoenix starting with a 67 in round one and following that with a disappointing 71,74 in rounds two and three and finished well shooting a 68 to finish T33. He played superb at the unplayable Torrey Pines shooting a 69 on Sunday and ended up winning The Farmers Insurance Open by one strokes over KJ Choi. He started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys and followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge a couple of weeks ago.

Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and shot 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez, but was just pipped at the post on the second playoff hole. He has a superb record here with wins in 2015 and 2013 and a T5 in 2012. He is in fine form and is playing well enough to win for a third time this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Jimmy Walker 16/1

Walker was very close to winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago when he was leading going into the final round. He ended up finishing his final round on the Monday and shot a final round 77 due to horrendous conditions to finish T4. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas, T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions,T13 at The Sony Open and T4 at The Farmers.

Walker has a great record around Pebble finishing T21 last year, a win in 2014, T3 in 2013, T9 in 2012 and T9 in 2011. He ranks 37th in driving distance, 31st in strokes gained putting and 16th in par 5 scoring. After coming close at The Farmers, Walker looks a good shout here especially on a course he has played so well on before.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

J.B Holmes 25/1

J.B has been playing great golf over the last few weeks finishing T6 last week in Phoenix and T6 at The Famers Insurance Open in the weather stricken Torrey pines. He started 2016 off with a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. He finished off the season in style with a T4 at The BMW Championship, a T8 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team.

Holmes is another player with a decent record here in Pebble finishing T10 last year, T13 in 2011 and second in 2010. He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking fifth in driving distance averaging just over 316 yards off the tee. With J.B’s distance, he can dominate the par 5’s this week and looks to be in fantastic form coming into this.

 

Shane Lowry 40/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Shane Lowry 40/1

The Irishman comes here in great form after two good performances over the last two weeks. Lowry had a great week in Phoenix finishing T6 on nine under for the week. He started well with a 65 in round one and finished strongly with a 68 in round four. He also played exceptionally well in the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines finishing T13 and appeared to deal with the wet and windy conditions very well over the weekend.

He has been known to play well in windy, linksy setups winning the Irish Open in Baltray as an amateur on ’09 and good performances in The Alfred Dunhill Links, Scottish Open’s and Open Championships over the last few years. Lowry is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 15th in stroke gained putting and ranks 27th in par 3 scoring. He finished T21 here last year but comes here in much better form this time around.

 

Patrick Reed 35/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Patrick Reed 35/1

This could be a bit of an unknown after Reed suffered a foot injury in Torrey Pines and withdrew after a disastrous 81 in round three. Despite that he comes here in decent form and played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open finishing T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the tournament and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and followed that with another solo second in Kapalua at The HTOC. He has played well here in the past finishing T29 last year, T13 in 2014 and T7 in 2013. If he comes here injury free he could be a big contender.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 12/1 2pts EW

Jimmy Walker 16/1 2pts EW

J.B Holmes 25/1 1 pt EW

Shane Lowry 40/1 1 pt EW

Patrick Reed 35/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2016

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2016

Stadium Course, TPC Scottsdale, Arizona 

Par 71, 7,266 Yards 

The Course 

It’s been a superb couple of weeks with a35/1 winner on Jason Dufner at The Career Builder Challenge followed by an 18/1 win on Snedeker and a 30/1 place on Jimmy Walker in Torrey Pines. Let’s keep it going this week in Phoenix!

The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last couple of years with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes, including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the past 2 years it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form and have played well here in the past.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1  Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba has been playing great golf over the last couple of months and comes here feeling fresh after taking the last couple of weeks off. He had a good finish to the season finishing T5 at The Tour Championship, T10 at The BMW, solo third at The Barclays and back to back seconds at The WGC Bridgestone and Canadian Open. He had a great win at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas shooting 67,67,63,66 to finish an impressive 25 under for the week. He started 2016 off with a T10 at Hyundai Tournament of Champions which included three rounds in the 60’s.

He has a great record here on The Stadium Course finishing second last year, second again in 2014, T15 in 2013 and fifth in 2012. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking third in driving distance averaging 320 yards off the tee, fifth in GIR, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in par 5 scoring. With solid current form and a great record here Bubba looks a good shout here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 14/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Brandt Snedeker 14/1

After a superb final round 69 in practically unplayable conditions in Torrey Pines last Sunday, Sneds ended up winning The Farmers Insurance Open by one strokes over KJ Choi. He started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys and followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge a couple of weeks ago.

Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and shot 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez, but was just pipped at the post on the second playoff hole.

He has a great record here at the Stadium Course finishing T10 last year, T2 in 2013, T8 in 2011 and T9 in 2008. Statswise he is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in strokes gained putting, 28th in par 3 scoring and 13th in par 4 scoring. With such great current form and a good record here Snedeker could make it two wins in a row.

 

Kevin Kisner 28/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Kevin Kisner 28/1

With a win and three top 10’s in his last four starts, Kevin Kisner is playing some super golf at the moment. He finished solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

The American is hitting it an average of 296 off the tee and ranks fifth in driving accuracy. He also ranks 18th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in strokes gained putting. With a solid start to the year there’s no reason why he can’t continue that fine form here in Phoenix.

 

Jason Dufner 30/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Jason Dufner 30/1

Dufner arrives in Phoenix after an excellent win at The CareerBuilder Challenge after beating Swede David Lingmerth in a playoff and played solid all week shooting 64,65,64,70 on his way to a 25 under total. He has been playing well over the last couple of months and won The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Brandt Snedeker, where his iron play and putting looked superb all week. He also had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing T9 and followed that with a T9 at The Sony Open on 13 under for the tournament, which included a third round 65.

He has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2012 and T2 in 2011. He ranks 31st in driving accuracy, 20th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green and third in par 5 scoring. After a mediocre 2015 season, Dufner looks back to his best over the last few weeks and could be a huge contender here.

 

Ryan Palmer 35/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Ryan Palmer 35/1

Palmer is playing pretty consistent golf over the last few weeks with three top 20’s in four starts. He finished T16 at The Shriners and followed that with a T13 at The Sony and a T17 at The CareerBuilder Challenge in California. He started well shooting 67,66,66 in the first three rounds and should have finished a bit better after shooting a disappointing 73 in round 4.

He has played well here in the past finishing T2 last year, T5 in 2013 and T14 in 2010. Statswise he is averaging a massive 315 yards off the tee ranking fifth in driving distance, 31st in strokes gained tee to green and second in par 5 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 14/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 28/1 1pt EW

Jason Dufner 30/1 1pt EW

Ryan Palmer 35/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2016

Farmers Insurance Open 2016 Betting Preview

The Course: 

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,607 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,607 Yards, par 72 

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and sits next to the pacific ocean and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats that jump out at me here are, good poa annua putters, power, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jason Day 7/1

The Aussie is a very worthy favourite and comes here in superb form. He has taken the last couple of weeks off but started 2016 with a very respectable T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He opened with a 70 In round one followed by a 73 in round 2 but really got going over the weekend shooting 69,65 over the weekend to finish 15 under for the tournament. He finished the season off in style with four wins in his last eight events. After a T9 at The US Open and a T4 at The Open, Day went on to win The Canadian Open, PGA Championship, The Barclays and The BMW.

He has a great record around Torrey Pines with a win here last year, second in 2014 and a ninth place finish in 2013. Day ticks all the statistical boxes here ranking third in driving distance, seventh in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and sixth in strokes gained putting. He showed superb dominance at the end of last season and if he brings that good form here this week, he will be hard to beat.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Sneds started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys finishing 10 under for the week. He then followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a superb win on Sunday in California beating Swede David Lingmerth in a playoff. Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which included two 67’s and a 65 in round 3. He took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and followed that with a 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez but was just pipped at the post.

He has played well here in the past with a T19 last year, second in 2013, a win in 2012, T9 in 2011 and another second in 2010. Snedeker is hitting it an average of just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 12th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks 10th in par 4 scoring and 23rd in scrambling. Sneds came close to a win at The Sony and looks to be in fine form to contend here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Jimmy Walker 30/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jimmy Walker 30/1

Walker looked to be back showing some good consistency at The Sony shooting 69,68,65,66 to finish 12 under and T13 for the tournament. He also had a good week in Kapalua finishing T10, which included a superb 64 in round three. At The Hero World Challenge he had another top 10 shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T8 for the week and was also a member of the winning Presidents Cup team in Korea in September.

He has played well here over the years finishing T7 last year, T4 in 2013, T8 in 2012 and T29 in 2011. Statswise he ranks 27th in driving distance hitting it an average of 304 yards off the tee and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring and 30th in par 5 scoring. Walker showed encouraging signs at The Sony and could be one to watch here.

 

JB Holmes 45/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

J.B Holmes 45/1

J.B has been playing good golf over the last few months and comes here this week after a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. He finished off the season in style with a T4 at The BMW Championship, a T8 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team.

Holmes came close to a win here last year but was beaten by Jason Day on the second playoff hole but played solid all week and finished 9 under for the tournament, which included two rounds in the 60’s. As well as finishing P2 last year, he has two top 30’s here finishing T23 in 2014 and T27 in 2010. Last season he ranked fifth in driving distance averaging 309 off the tee and ranked 19th in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in par 5 scoring. He seems to like this course and with his length he will have a huge advantage.

 

Jamie Lovemark 60/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jamie Lovemark 60/1

The young American is playing some great golf at the moment with four top 15’s in his last six starts. His good form began back at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he finished T13 on 11 under for the tournament, which included a 66 in round three and a 68 in round four. He followed that with a T9 at The RSM Classic, which included four rounds in the 60’s, T7 at the Sony, which included another four rounds in the 60’s, and a T6 last week at The Career Builder Challenge in California finishing T6, which also included three 65’s in the first three rounds.

Lovemark has played here once before finishing T28 in 2014 which would have been a hell of a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing 76 in round 3. He ticks a lot of boxes statistically here averaging 311 off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance. He also ranks 30th in strokes gained tee to green, 25th in scrambling, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 36th in par 5 scoring. At 66/1 he looks a great each way shout here.

 

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 2pts EW

Jimmy Walker 30/1 1pt EW

J.B. Holmes 45/1 1pt EW

Jamie Lovemark 60/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Barclays Betting Preview 2015

The Barclays Betting Preview 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Plainfield Country Club, Edison, New Jersey

7,012 yards par 70

The Course

Plainfield Country Club plays host once again to the first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The last time this event was played here was 2011, where the tournament had to be reduced to 54 holes due to Hurricane Katrina. The course is playing 48 yards further this time around with the fifth hole being moved to a par 4.

The course has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and has rolling, forgiving fairways and thick rough. There will be an emphasis on GIR and scrambling this week as there are some very deep bunkers around the greens. The greens here will be extremely tricky with a lot of them sloping from back to front with some serious drop off areas. Good putters should be able to negotiate these greens, which will be playing very fast due to good weather forecast for the week.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, GIR, scrambling and par 3 and par 4 scoring.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 The Barclays 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 22/1

Koepka had another good week at The Wyndham finishing T6 making that five top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a great performance at The PGA in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.

He ranks seventh in driving distance, ninth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and eighth in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form, Koepka could make it winner number two this season here in New Jersey this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting a superb second round 61 at The Wyndham last week, Snedeker followed that with a third round 67 and a disappointing final round 75 to finish T43, which was poor but hopefully he turns that around this week. He has been playing well this season with five top 12’s in his last eight starts. He played well at Whistling Straits finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker has played well here in the past finishing third here in 2011, so he has a bit of form at Plainfield.

Snedeker ranks fifth in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling, seventh in longest putts and first in putts from 10 feet, which are two good stats for negotiating these tricky sloped greens. He also ranks 21st in par 4 scoring and 20th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history here, Sneds could be another one to watch.

 

Paul Casey 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedexCup Playoffs

Paul Casey 40/1

Casey played super last week finishing T3 at The Wyndham and comes here showing some great form. He has been playing well since early April finishing T6 at The Masters, T5 at The WGC Matchplay, where he lost a match to Rory Mcilroy due to an illness. He followed that with a playoff loss to Bubba Watson at The Travelers finishing P2, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T3 last week at the Wyndham.

Although it was on different courses, Casey has played well at this event in the past finishing T22 last year and T12 in 2010. Casey ranks fifth in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in par 4 scoring and 14th in par 5 scoring. After playing great golf last week, Casey can follow that with another solid performance this week.

 

Robert Streb 55/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Robert Streb 55/1

Streb has had a superb season so far which started off in style with a win at The McGladrey Classic. He hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in eight of his last nine events, which includes four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Wells Fargo where he finished T4. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T18 at The Memorial, P2 at The Greenbrier, T14 at The John Deere, T18 at The Open Championship, solo fifth at The WGC Bridgestone and a T10 at The PGA.

Streb seems to be a player that plays better on the bigger stages and ranks 11th in GIR, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in par 3 scoring and 11th in par 4 scoring. His form is excellent at the moment and I expect him to keep that going here in New Jersey.

 

Danny Lee 80/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Danny Lee 80/1

Danny Lee is another player that has been showing super form this season with three top 10’s and a win in his last six tournaments. He got into a playoff with David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb at The Greenbrier Classic and ended up winning the playoff on the third playoff hole. He followed that with a T3 at The John Deere and narrowly missed out on getting into another playoff, this time against Jordan Spieth and Tom Gillis. He played well the following week at The Quicken Loans finishing T4 and followed that with a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone.

Lee ranks 28th in strokes gained putting, fourth in par 3 scoring and 21st in birdie or better birdie percentage. Lee is in flying form and could go very well here at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 22/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Robert Streb 55/1 1pt EW

Danny Lee 80/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

Good luc and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina

Par 70, 7127 yards

Last Week –

What a superb performance from Jason Day last week securing his first major by beating his nearest challenger, Jordan Spieth, by three strokes. After coming so close this year at The Open and US Open, Day shot a superb final round 67 to clinch victory giving us a 14/1 winner. Branden Grace also gave us a great run for our money finishing solo third at 80/1 giving us a nice 20/1 place. After The PGA Championship, that gives us +286.74 pts in profit so far this season. Let’s keep it going this week at The Wyndham!

 

The Course

After all the excitement of The PGA Championship in Whistling Straits last week, the PGA Tour now travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.

Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards. There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. As always, I’ll be also be checking course history and current form along with some approach stats.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 Wyndham Championship 2015

Brooks Koepka 16/1

The young American has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last six starts. He had a great performance last week in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.

He has played here once before finishing in a respectable T38 last year, but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks seventh in driving distance, 21st in GIR, third in strokes gained putting and third in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. Kopeka comes here in great form and looks right on the cusp of a win any day now and it could well be here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Snedeker has been showing some great form recently with five top 12’s in his last seven starts. He played well at Whistling Straits last week finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker is a real horse for the course with three top 10’s in his last six appearances since 2009. He was fifth in 2009, eighth in 2010 and fifth here last year. He also won this event back in 2007, but that was on a different course.

Statswise, he ranks seventh in strokes gained putting, 13th in approaches from 50-125, fifth in scrambling, 10th in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. Sneds is a horse for the course and given this is a pretty weak field, I would expect him to go very close here considering his current and previous form here.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 20/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 20/1

Although he didn’t really get going last week in Whistling Straits, I think Matsuyama could go well here at The Wyndham. Despite two T37’s in his last two starts, Matsuyama has been showing superb consistency throughout the year with eight top 10 finishes already under his belt. He has finished inside the top 25 in 10 of his 12 events including four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Northern Trust Open where he finished T4 and followed that with a T23 at The WGC Cadillac, T21 at The Arnold Palmer, solo 5th at The Masters, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a T17 at The Players. Most recently, he finished T20 at The Wells Fargo, T5 at Memorial, T18 at The US Open and T18 at The Open Championship.

He has played here twice before finishing T15 in 2013 and a missed cut last year. Statswise he ranks 23rd in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and third in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks third in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama ticks a lot of boxes here and could be a big contender.

 

Branden Grace 22/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Branden Grace 22/1

After finishing solo third last week in Whistling Straits getting us some place money at 80/1, I am happy to put my faith in Branden Grace once again this week. He has had a great season so far with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. His good run of form began back at The RBC Heritage finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at The WGC Matchplay. He finished T4 at Chambers Bay, T20 at The Open, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and solo third last week at The PGA.

He ranks 23rd in driving distance, eighth in strokes gained putting, eighth in approaches from 225-250, eighth in scrambling and 26th in par 3 scoring. This will be his first appearance here at this event and he looks in great shape form wise to be right in contention.

 

Will Wilcox 40/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Will Wilcox 40/1

Wilcox has been showing some superb form over the last few weeks with nine top 25’s in his last 12 starts. He played well at The Sanderson Farms finishing T14 and followed that with a T18 at Pebble beach. He also finished T6 in Puerto Rico, T22 at The Byron Nelson, T12 at The FedEx St Jude,T8 at The John Deere and solo second at The Barbasol, finishing a couple of strokes behind the winner Scott Piercy. Most recently, he finished in a respectable T21 at The Quicken Loans National and followed that with a T10 at The Barracuda. Wilcox played here once before finishing in a respectable T24 last year.

Statswise Wilcox seems to fit the bill here ranking 14th in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks sixth in par 3 scoring and third in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and is the kind of player that could go all the way here this week, especially in a weakened field.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 2pts EW 16/1

Brandt Snedeker 2pts EW 18/1

Hideki Matsuyama 1pt EW 20/1

Branden Grace 1pt EW 22/1

Will Wilcox 1pt EW 40/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2015

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2015

TPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is a small course by PGA Tour standards measuring only 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways. It has four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 and will offer birdie opportunities. The par 4 second measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field and should also offer a lot of birdies.

These bentgrass greens will be a huge change from the poor greens in last week’s US Open at Chambers Bay. They are also smaller by tour standards so accurate approach shots will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Ryan Moore (4 top 10’s), Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win) and Bubba Watson (3 top 10’sand a win). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats to consider here are good course history, good putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Bubba Watson 11/1

After opening with a 70 in round one last week in Chambers Bay, Bubba Watson shot a 77 in round two and ended up missing the cut, which isn’t a bad thing coming into this week’s Travelers. His form has been a bit hit and miss over the last few weeks, but he started the season off in style with a win at The HSBC Champions and has a further four top 10 finishes. Most recently, he played well at The WGC Cadillac in Doral finishing solo third on seven under for the tournament. He only played in four events since then.

He has played well here at TPC River Highlands in the past with a win in 2010, T2 in 2012 and a T4 in 2013. Statswise Bubba ranks fourth in driving distance, eighth in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 5 scoring and 14th in par 3 scoring. With such a good record here over the last few years, this could be place where he regains some of the great form he started with at the beginning of the season.

 

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Brandt Snedeker 16/1

Snedeker had another good performance last week in Chambers Bay making that his third top 10 in his last three starts. He played great golf at The Crowne Plaza Invitational shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a T2 finish. He followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson shooting two 64’s on Saturday and Sunday finishing on 12 under for the week. He continued that good run of form shooting an impressive final round 68 to finish solo 8th in Chambers Bay last week. Sneds has played well here in the past finishing T11 last year and T24 in 2011.

He ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, 31st in approaches from 50-125 yards, fourth in scrambling and second in putts from 10 feet, which is a good stat for putting on these small greens. He also ranks 10th in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 3 scoring. Snedeker is in fine form at the moment and could be the man to beat here.

 

Marc Leishman 33/1 Travelers Championship

Marc Leishman 33/1

Leishman has been showing some decent form over the last couple of months with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last six events. He finished T9 at The WGC Matchplay, T24 at The Players, T27 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational and T5 at The Memorial. He is another player with a good record here over the last few years with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013 and a T11 last year.

Leishman seems to tick a lot of statistical boxes here ranking second in approaches from 150-175 and 23rd in approaches from 125-150, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks first in putts from 10-15 feet and second in putts from eight feet. With good stats, good current form and a good record here, Leishman is a decent shout here at 33’s.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Russell Knox 40/1

Knox has been a pretty solid performer over the last few months with four top 25’s in his last seven events. He has top 10’s at The Shriners (3rd), The Honda Classic (T3) and most recently, the St Jude Classic, where he finished T8. He also finished T18 at The RBC Heritage, T17 at The Players, T24 at The Crowne Plaza and T18 at The Memorial. Knox has played well here in the past finishing T13 in 2013, but looks to be in much better form this time around.

Statswise Knox ranks 20th in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR, 21st in strokes gained tee to green and second in proximity to the hole. He also ranks 11th in approaches from 150-175, fourth in par 4 scoring and 23rd in par 3 scoring.

 

Tony Finau 40/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Tony Finau 40/1

Finau started very well last week in Chambers Bay shooting 69,68 in the first two rounds and looked to be hitting the ball beautifully all week, particularly off the tee and around the greens. He shot 74, 71 over the weekend and finished in a very respectable T14 on +2 for the tournament. He has been playing very steady over the last few weeks with three top 20’s and two top 10’s in his last five starts. His good form began back at The Wells Fargo, where he finished T16. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T8 at The Memorial and T14 last week in Chambers Bay.

Finau is a huge hitter ranking third in driving distance, 33rd in strokes gained tee to green, second in approaches from 150-175 and 40th in par 4 scoring. TPC River Highlands has seen many first time winners over the years and this could be a course that really suits big hitting Tony Finau.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 2 pts EW

Marc Leishman 33/1 1 pt EW

Russell Knox 40/1 1 pt EW

Tony Finau 40/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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US Open Betting Preview 2015

 

US Open Betting Preview and Tips Chambers Bay

Chambers Bay, University Place, Washington

Par 70, 7,742 yards

Chambers Bay is an old sand and gravel quarry and was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr. It opened back in 2007 and hosted the US Amateur in 2010. It is a links style course that should measures 7,742 yards and has typical links features such as long fescue grass, big sand dunes, massive fairways and very deep bunkers. It has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s.

The first hole can play either as a par 4 or a par 5 depending on weather conditions. The fairways are quite generous but players will have to find certain parts of the fairways in order to get their second shots close to the flags. A lot of the flags will be guarded by tricky bunkers strategically placed around the greens so greens in regulation and good scrambling will be key here.

The rough is quite penal so there will be an element of accuracy required and the greens will have heavy contours and will be extremely fast, measuring around 12 on the stimp meter. Players that have good links experience and can deal with the wind will have an advantage here.

The key areas of statistical focus will be GIR, driving distance and accuracy, scrambling, approach stats between 100-200 yards, proximity to the hole, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather forecast is expected to be mixed for the majority of the tournament, with mild weather with showers.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 US Open 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is simply no other player in the world playing better than Jordan Spieth at the moment. He put on a short game masterclass in the final round at The Memorial Tournament shooting a superb final round 65 to finish T3. Spieth has two wins already under his belt this year with wins coming at The Masters and The Valspar Championship. He lost in a playoff in Houston finishing second and also finished second the week before in Texas. Most recently, Jordan has two top fives in his last three starts finishing T3 last week at The Memorial and T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial.

Statswise Spieth is averaging just over 290 yards off the tee and ranks third in strokes gained tee to green, 20th in strokes gained putting and 10th in proximity to the hole. He also ranks first in approaches from 100 yards, fifth in approaches from inside 100 yards, 21st in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks ninth in scrambling, first in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 3 scoring. Jordan ticks all the boxes here with good scrambling, good putting and razor sharp approach shots in his artillery, which should make him a huge contender here.

 

Rickie Fowler 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Rickie Fowler 22/1

Rickie has proven to be a links specialist over the last few years saying recently “Its my favourite form of golf” at The Irish Open, where he finished in a respectable T30. He started the tournament with two 71’s and had a poor third round 76 but bounced back with a 73 in round 4 in very tricky conditions. Rickie played well and has great Open Championship form finishing T2 in last year’s Open Championship, two strokes behind winner Rory McIlroy and seems to play well in the trickiest of conditions.

He has had a great season so far with a win at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T12 at The Masters. Rickie ranks 49th in driving distance, 11th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 75-100 and third in approaches from 150-175 yards. With the weather expected to be mixed, Rickie should be in his element.

Henrik Stenson US Open 25/1 Chambers Bay

Henrik Stenson 25/1

After getting a bad illness in April, Henrik Stenson seems to have made a full recovery and looks to be back showing some good form again. He played well at The Nordea Masters recently finishing T13 on four under par for the tournament. His short game and touch around the greens was superb and that’s exactly what will be required here. He also had good performances at The Players finishing T17 and T19 at The Masters. Stenson has shown good links form over the last few years finishing runner up to Phil Mickeslon in 2013 in Muirfield and T3 in St Andrews in 2010. His US Open form has also been good over the years finishing T4 last year, 21st in 2013, 22nd in 2011 and T9 in 2009.

Stenson ranks 11th in driving distance, second in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 15t in strokes gained putting. He also ranks eighth in approaches from 125-150, 20th in approaches from 200+ and second in approaches from 175-200. He comes here in good form and could be a player that really suits this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Phil Mickelson 20/1

Phil has a superb record in The US Open over the last 20 odd years finishing in the top 10 ten times. He has been showing glimpses of good form over the last couple of months with five top 20’s in his last eight starts. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T17, T17 at The Houston Open, T2 at the Masters and a T4 at The Wells Fargo.

He played well at The FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a superb final round 65 finishing T3 on eight under par for the tournament. Phil has played well on links set ups in the past winning the 2013 Open Championship in Muirfield, T23 last year in Hoylake and T2 in 2011 in Sandwich.

He ranks 28th in driving distance, seventh in approaches from 175-200, 17th in approaches from 225-250 and seventh in par 5 scoring. A lot imagination will be required around the greens here, which Phil has in spades. With decent form at present and solid links form, 2015 could be the year Mickelson wins the US Open.

 

Jim Furyk 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Jim Furyk 40/1  

Furyk has been showing some superb form over the last few months and showed superb grit in his playoff win at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town. He followed that with a solo fourth at The WGC Matchplay and a T5 recently at The Memorial in Ohio. Jim showed some good early season form finishing T7 in Pebble Beach, which included a superb opening round 64, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He won the 2004 US Open in Shinnecock Hills and followed that with a second 2006 and 2007, fourth in 2012 and a T12 last year.

Furyk ranks eighth in driving accuracy, 14th in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. He also ranks third in approaches from 100 yards, seventh in approaches from 200 and eighth in approaches from 175-200. Jim is in great form lately and ticks a lot of boxes for this course.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Brandt Snedeker 50/1

Sneds seems to be peaking just at the right time for Chambers Bay with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Crowne Plaza Invitational finishing T2 and followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson. He showed some great early season form with a T10 in Phoenix, T19 in Torrey Pines and a superb win in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64.

His US Open form as been excellent over the last few years with four top 11 finishes in his last six US Open starts. He finished T9 last year, T11 in 2011, T8 in 2010 and T9in 2008. He has also shown great form at links courses in the past with a win in Pebble Beach this year, T11 in The Open Championship in Muirfield in 2013 and a T3 in Lytham and St Anne’s in 2012.

Statswise Snedeker ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, third in scrambling and ninth in par 4 scoring. With such a good record in this tournament and solid current form, Brandt Snedeker could be a big contender here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 8/1

Rickie Fowler 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Phil Mickelson 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Jim Furyk 1 pt EW 40/1

Brandt Snedeker 1 pt EW 66/1

Total Staked = 17 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2015

Farmers Insurance Open 2015

The Course:
Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,643 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72
This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,643 Yards, par 72
The South Course is played in the final two rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and sits next to the pacific ocean and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens, so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats that jump out at me here are, good poa annua putters, power, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

Jason Day edited pic 1

Jason Day 14/1
Jason Day started his season very well finishing T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions in Kapalua a couple of weeks ago. He had a mixed bag of form shooting an opening round 70 and followed that with a 69 in round 2 and 71 in round 3. He began a late charge in the final round shooting a superb 62 finishing on -20, just one stroke behind the winner Patrick Reed.

He followed that with a respectable T17 at The Sony finishing on 10 under in total. After an injury stricken 2014, he started showing some signs of good form in December and went on to win The Franklin Templeton Shootout with Cameron Tringale. He also had a good week at The Hero World Challenge finishing solo 5th on 14 under par, which included an impressive final round 66.

After a win at The World Cup of Golf and The Accenture World Matchplay, Day also performed well in the last of the FedExCup playoffs at the end of October finishing T2 at The Barclays, T7 at The Deutsche Bank and T4 at The Tour Championship at East Lake. In his last two appearances here at Torrey Pines, Day finished T2 last year and T15 in 2013.

Statswise, Day ranks 28th in driving distance, first in GIR and birdie average and first in putting average. He also ranks first in par 4 scoring and 15th in par 3 scoring, which are two stats that will certainly be favorable on these courses.

Brandt Snedeker pic 1

Brandt Snedeker 25/1
After a good performance last week in Phoenix finishing T10 on 10 under par, Snedeker will be feeling confident coming back to a course where he has played so well on in the past. He comes here in good form with three top 10’s in his last four competitive starts. He started the season with a T57 at The Frys.com and followed that with a T10 at The Shriners Open and another T10 at The WGC HSBC Champions.

Sneds has a great record at this event with a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts in this tournament. He finished T3 in 2013, won in 2012, T9 in 2011 and T2 in 2010, so it’s fair to say he is a horse for the course. He is also a bit of a poa annua specialist and seems to putt very well on this grass type. This is further proven with his previous win here at Torrey Pines, Pebble Beach and Glen Abbey, which was the venue for the 2013 RBC Canadian Open.

Sneds found a solid putting stroke last week last week in Phoenix and will take that forward into this week. With three top 10’s in his last four starts, Snedeker could be one to watch here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

Marc Leishman pic 1

Marc Leishman 40/1
Leishman had a good end to 2014 with a solo ninth place finish at the WGC HSBC Champions in November. He followed that with a respectable T37 at The Sony Open in Hawaii, finishing on seven under for the tournament.

He is another player that has a good record here over the years with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He finished T2 last year to the eventual winner Scott Stallings, T9 in 2011 and second once again to the winner Ben Crane in 2010.

Leishman has the length to power his way around this golf course hitting the ball an average of 300 yards off the tee ranking 27th in driving distance. He also ranks 20th in strokes gained putting, 21st in total putting and third in approaches from 150-175, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 4’s. With a good finish to 2014 and a good history on this course, Leishman could go well here at a good price.

Justin Thomas pic 1 edited

Justin Thomas 35/1
Justin Thomas is a player I have been keeping an eye on over the last few weeks and looks to be playing with a lot of consistency. He hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last five events, which included three top 10’s. His run of good form began back in November at The Sanderson Farms where he finished T4 on 13 under par for the week. He followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic and a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii. He played very well at The Humana Challenge finishing T7 on 20 under par, which included a second round 63. Most recently, he had another good week in Phoenix finishing in a respectable T17 on eight under par.

Thomas played very well in this event last year finishing T10 on six under par for the tournament. Statswise he ranks 16th in driving distance, 34th in strokes gained tee to green, 13th in birdie average and seventh in putting average. He also ranks fourth in par 4 scoring and 11th in birdie or better conversion percentage. He comes here this year in much better form than he was last year and should have a good week considering his current form.

First Round Leader – North Course

Brandt Snedeker 20/1
As I said above, Snedeker has a great record around this course and has shot no worse than 71 in five of his last six opening rounds. He opened with a 65 in 2013, a 67 in 2012 and a 70 in 2011. He has also shot an impressive 64 in round 2 in 2012, so he knows how to go low around Torrey Pines.
In his last five starts on the PGA Tour, he has shot no worse than a 71. He started strongly at The Shriners Open shooting an opening 67 and went on to open with a 69 at The WGC HSBC Champions. He also started well last week in Phoenix shooting a 70 in round 1. With Snedeker’s previous form here and experience with these poa annua greens, he could potentially go low in round 1.

Final Selections –
Jason Day 14/1 1.5 pts EW
Brandt Snedeker 25/1 1 .5 pts EW
Marc Leishman 1 pt EW
Justin Thomas 35/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader –
Brandt Snedeker 28/1 1 pt EW
Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Barclays Betting Preview: FedEx Cup Playoffs

The Barclays

Ridgewood Country Club. Paramus, New Jersey
Par 71, 7,319 yards

The Course
The Barclays returns to Ridgewood CC this week where it hosted this event back in 2008 and 2010. Matt Kuchar defeated Martin Laird in a playoff to win in 2010 and Vijay Singh defeated Sergio Garcia and Kevin Sutherland in a playoff in 2008.

Ridgewood is a tree lined par 71 that measures 7,319 yards with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The course was designed by A.W Tillinghast in 1929 and is one of the oldest country clubs in the United States. Tillinghast has also designed courses that hosted major championship’s over the years such as Bethpage Black, which hosted the US Open in 2002 and 2009, Baltusrol which hosted the 2005 PGA and the west course at Winged Foot which played host to the 1997 PGA and 2006 US Open.

There will be an emphasis on driving accuracy on this course with its narrow tree lined fairways and penal rough. Par 4 scoring will be important along with good ball striking and putting. The greens here are undulating and will be tricky and fast depending on the weather.

Sergio Garcia pic 1

Sergio Garcia 20/1
With four top fives in his last six starts, Sergio comes to Ridgewood in superb form with his game in great shape. At The Players back in May, he finished solo third on 11 under par for the tournament and followed that with a T2 at The Travelers and another T2 at The Open Championship at Hoylake. Garcia then had yet another great week at Firestone at The WGC Bridgestone, which included a third round 61, to finish on 13 under par and solo second.

Sergio has course form here and came close to winning in 2008, but was defeated by Vijay Singh in a playoff to settle for second with Kevin Sutherland and came close again in Bethpage in 2012 finishing T3. Statswise he ranks 49th in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, 35th in SGP and third in par 4 scoring. He ticks all the boxes here and looks like he could have a great week.

Phil Mickelson pic 1

Phil Mickelson 22/1
After a great performance last week at The PGA, Phil will be coming to The Barclays this week feeling confident. His season hasn’t been anything to shout about, however he has shown signs of good form over the last few weeks with good performances at The FedEx St Jude Classic (T11), The Bridgestone Invitational (T15) and a solo second last week at Valhalla.

Phil’s previous performances on Tillighast designs have been decent with a two second place finishes at The US Open in 2002 and 2009 in Bethpage Black and a win at the PGA Championsip back in 2005 at Baltusrol. Statswise he ranks 47th in SGP, 17th in par 4 performance and 31st in total putting.

Jimmy Walker 40/1
Jimmy Walker started the season off in style with wins at The Frys.com Open, The Sony Open and the AT&T at Pebble Beach. With solid performances at the majors so far this year, Jimmy Walker could be a man to keep your eye on here at The Barclays this week.

He has proven he can contend in the big events with great performances at The Masters (T8), The US Open (T9) and a respectable T26 at The Open. Walker also played great golf at Sawgrass closing with a 65 to finish T6th. Last week in Valhalla Walker shot an impressive final round 65 to finish T7th.

He ranks 30th in GIR, seventh in SGP, second in birdie average and 10th in scoring average. He also ranks third in total putting, 10th in par 4 performance and 11th in par 3 performance.

Hunter Mahan 45/1
Mahan has been showing some good form lately with good performances in his last two events. He had a good week at Firestone shooting 71,65,71,68 on his way to a T15 and played well last week at The PGA shooting a final round 67 to finish T7th. Mahan has played here before finishing in a respectable T31 in both 2008 and 2010. However in 2008, he shot a 62 to lead after round one and has proven he can go low around this course.

Mahan ranks 40th in driving accuracy, 42nd in GIR, 41st in strokes gained putting and 45th in par 4 performance. With decent performances here in the past, Hunter comes here in good form and could have a good week at a generous price.

Brandt Snedeker pic 1

Brandt Snedeker 33/1
Snedeker has been keeping a low profile lately with seven top 25’s in his last eight starts on the PGA Tour. He played well at The US Open (T9), The Travellers (T11) which included a final round 64, The Quicken Loans National (T21) and The Bridgestone Invitational (T12). In his last two events he finished T5 at The Wyndham and T13 at The PGA in Valhalla.

He comes here with his game in good shape and ranks 15th in SGP and is hitting 63% of fairways off the tee. He also ranks 29t in total putting and 23rd in par 5 performance. He played well at this event in 2012 at Bethpage finishing solo second and again at Plainfield in 2011 finishing T3 with Vijay Singh.

Final Selections:

Sergio Garcia 2 pts EW
Phil Mickelson 1.5pts EW
Jimmy Walker 1.5 pts EW
Hunter Mahan 1 pt EW
Brandt Snedeker 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

DB

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