Sony Open Betting Preview 2018

Sony Open Betting Preview 2018Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii    

Par 70, 7,044 yards   

The Course   

Its good to be back. After watching DJ romp to victory last week it looks like we could  have another entertaining year ahead!

The PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu for the 2018 Sony Open. Last year Justin Thomas dominated this event winning by an impressive seven shots from his nearest challenger Justin Rose. He shot a record 59 in round one and followed that with an impressive second round 64. He finished with a couple of 65’s to post 27 under par in total.   

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with smaller trickier greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at the Plantation Course.  

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.    


Brian Harman 20/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2018Brian Harman 20/1  

The steady and accurate Brian Harman looks to be in the form of his life with four top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a great start to the season finishing T5 at the CJ Cup and followed that with an impressive solo eighth at the WGC-HSBC Champions, which included a 68 and 69 in the first two rounds.  

Harman then travelled to Sea Island for the RSM Classic where he shot four rounds in the 60’s to finish on T4 on 14 under par in total. He started 2018 off in style with another solid performance last week in Kapalua shooting three rounds in the 60’s on his way to a solo third, where he led the GIR stats last week. In his last eight competitive rounds Harman has shot a 69 or better seven times so he is showing a lot of consistency.  

He has played well around Waialae in the past finishing 20,13,13 in his last three starts. Harman looks to be a good fit for this course ranking 11th in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, 22nd in SGTTG and 11th in SG Putting. With a decent record here and excellent current form Harman looks worth backing here this week.  


Kevin Kisner 22/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2018Kevin Kisner 22/1  

There seems to be a lot of players teeing it up this week that have a chance to win and I think Kevin Kisner is certainly one of them. He has been on top of his game lately and hasn’t been outside the top 20 in his last four competitive starts. The American finished the 2016/2017 season off in style with an impressive T3 at the Tour Championship in East Lake which included two opening 68’s and a 64 in round three. Kisner followed that with a T4 at the RSM Classic, T12 at the Hero World Challenge and a respectable T17 last week at The Sentry Tournament of Champions in Kapalua.  

He is another player with a decent record here over the last few years finishing T4 last year which included a third round 60, and a T5 in 2016 which included an opening round 63. Kisner tends to play well on seaside setup’s and putts well on Bermuda greens. He led the SGP stats last week at the Plantation Course which is a big plus coming to Waialae this week.   


Zach Johnson 33/`Sony Open Betting Preview 2018Zach Johnson 33/1  

Zach is showing some good early season form and hasn’t finished worse that T23 in his last three starts. He played well at the Safeway Open finishing a respectable T13 and followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic. Johnson then travelled to Sea Island for the RSM Classic where he shot 64,67 over the weekend to finish T8 on 13 under par for the tournament so his current form looks decent.   

Zach has a great record here and really seems to have the game to fit this course. He won here back in 2009 and followed that with a T12 in 2010. Most recently he has three top 10’s in his last four appearances finishing T6 last year, T9 in 2016 and T8 in 2014. He is no stranger to windy seaside courses winning at venues such as St Andrews in 2015, Hyundai TOC in Kapalua in 2014 and the RBC Heritage in Harbour Town in 2012.   


Top 20 double – Charles Howell (Sony)/Jason Scrivener (SA Open) @10/1  

Charles Howell has a ridiculously good record here in Waialae with eight top 20’s (including seven top 10’s) in his last 12 appearances here. He has three top 20’s in his last four starts so far this season and looks to be in decent form and well worth backing.  

Aussie Jason Scrivener has a good record at Glendower finishing T12 in 2016 and T11 in 2015. He won the NSW Open back in November by six strokes and top 20’d in both the Aussie PGA and Australian Open before Christmas. Looks to be playing well and looks a good bet in the outright market at 50/1 too.   


Final Selections –  

Brian Harman 1pt EW 20/1  

Kevin Kisner 1pt EW 22/1  

Zach Johnson 1pt EW 33/1  

Top 20 Double 1pt 10/1  

Total staked = 7 pts  

Paddypower paying 7 places.


Good luck and enjoy the golf and Happy New Year!



John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2015

John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2015

TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois

7,268 yards, par 71

Over the years, some big names have dominated this event namely the in form Jordan Spieth, Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson. TPC Deere Run is a 7,268 yard par 71 and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s with the average winning score being roughly 18 under par. With the three par 5’s all reachable in two and the fairly easy par 4’s, there will be a lot of birdies on offer, which explains the extremely low scoring over the years. The course sits along rolling woodlands alongside a rock river and has some small ponds and ravines.  It also has rolling fairways that are quite generous off the tee so driving accuracy won’t be hugely important.

The course has undergone elevation changes on several holes. The 14th is a downhill par 4 measuring just 358 yards and can be drivable in the right conditions. There is also water present on five holes, but shouldn’t pose too much of a problem for the players. This course is relatively easy but will demand good putting and accurate approach shots in order to make birdies. The key stats to look at here are approaches from 125-150, par 4 scoring, strokes gained putting, GIR, previous history and current form.


Zach Johnson John Deere Classic 9/1

Zach Johnson 9/1

There is no other player in the field with a better record at TPC Deere Run than Zach Johnson. He has a win here in 2012, second last year, second in 2013, third in 2011 and second again in 2009. He has been showing some great form recently finishing solo sixth at The Travelers, solo fifth at the Byron Nelson, T19 in Colonial and T13 at The Players Championship in Sawgrass.

Johnson also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking ninth in driving accuracy, 16th in strokes gained tee to green, 10th in approaches from 50-125 yards and 17th in approaches from 150-175, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a great history here, Johnson is playing well enough to record his second win here at TPC Deere Run this week.


Kevin Kisner 16/1 John Deere Classic

Kevin Kisner 16/1

We came close to landing Kisner at 30/1 last week at The Greenbrier, where he sadly lost in a playoff to David Hearn and Danny Lee. Despite that, he played very well in the final round shooting a superb final round 64. That sadly makes him 0/3 in playoffs this season, however a win doesn’t look to far away and it could very well come this week at TPC Deere Run, where he finished in a respectable T20 last year.

Kisner has a further five top 12’s in his last seven starts and lost two playoffs against, the first of which came at The RBC Heritage losing to Jim Furyk and second was at The Players Championship losing to Rickie Fowler. He followed that with a T5 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial, which included three 67’s and a 69. He then finished T8 at The Memorial and followed that with a T12 at The US Open in Chambers Bay.

Staswise he ranks 18th in driving accuracy, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 14th in approaches from 225-250, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 10th in scrambling, 24th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 27th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and missing out on three playoffs recently, this could be the week Kisner gets his long awaited win.


Brian Harman 33/1 John Deere Classic

Brian Harman 33/1

The 2014 champion comes here in good form this week after playing well recently at The Travelers finishing solo third and was unlucky not to win. He was very steady throughout the week shooting rounds of 66,65,65,69 to finish 15 under for the tournament. Harman also played well at The Crowne Plaza Invitational recently shooting rounds of 68,66,69,68 to finish T10 on nine under for the week.

He also played well at The Players finishing T8. He has played well here in the past with a win here last year and a T19 finish in 2012. Harman ranks 49th in strokes gained putting and ninth in approaches from 250 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. With good previous performances here and decent current form, Brian Harman is great value here at 33/1.


Tony Finau 33/1 John Deere Classic

Tony Finau 33/1

Finau has easily been one of the most consistent players on tour over the last few weeks and looks to be right on the cusp of a win any day now. He put together another steady week at The Greenbrier last week finishing T13 on ten under par for the tournament. Finau also had another respectable performance at The Travelers, where he finished T25. He has been very consistent finishing inside the top 25 in seven of his last eight starts. He played well at Chambers Bay finishing T14, T8 at Memorial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T19 at Colonial and T16 at The Wells Fargo in Quail Hollow.

He ranks seventh in driving distance,33rd in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in approaches from 150-175, 32nd in approaches from 75-100 and 35th in par 4 scoring. He also ranks 43rd in par 5 scoring and 47th in par 3 scoring. Finau is on a great run of form and I don’t see any reason why that shouldn’t continue here this week.

Final Selections –

Zach Johnson 9/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Brian Harman 33/1 1pt EW

Tony Finau 33/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts


Good luck and enjoy the golf,


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FedEx St. Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015 pic 1

TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards


The Course

The FedEx St. Jude Classic is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958, and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989. This will be the final tournament before the US Open next week in Chambers Bay. TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

The fairways here are undulating and narrow and will demand a fair amount of accuracy. The rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course. The greens here are quite small and undulating and will demand accurate iron shots and good putting in order to make birdies. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.


Billy Horchel 14/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

Billy Horchel 14/1

Billy Horchel has been playing well over the last couple of months. His good form began back at The Valero Texas Open where he finished solo 3rd on four under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T17 at The WGC Matchplay, T13 at The Players Championship and a T11 at The Memorial last week in Ohio. He has played well here in the past finishing T6 last year and T10 in 2013.

Horchel seems to tick a lot of boxes statswise ranking 44th in driving distance, 15th in GIR, 28th in strokes gained putting and third in putting from 10 feet. With a good record here and great current form, Billy Horchel looks to be a good shout here.


Phil Mickelson 16/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

Phil Mickelson 16/1

Phil hasn’t been firing on all cylinders so far this season, but he has put in some solid performances over the last couple of months. He had a respectable T17 at The Honda Classic, T17 in Houston, T2 at The Masters and a T4 at The Wells Fargo which would have been a lot better if he played that tricky 18th hole a bit better. Phil has played well here in the past finishing T11 last year and T2 in 2013.

Mickelson ranks 28th in driving distance, seventh in birdie average, seventh in approaches from 175-200 and seventh in par 5 scoring. Phil will be looking to put in a good week before Chambers Bay next week and should have a good week on a course he has played well on in the past.


Webb Simpson 16/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

Webb Simpson 16/1

Webb has been showing some good form this season with three top 10’s in his last nine starts. He finished T7 at The Humana Challenge earlier this year and followed that with a T7 WGC Cadillac at Doral. Most recently, he finished T17 at The WGC Matchplay and had a great week at The Wells Fargo finishing T2, which included two 67’s in rounds one and two. He has played well here in the past finishing T3 last year.

Simpson ranks 32nd in driving accuracy, 19th in GIR, fourth in strokes gained tee to green and sixth in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 15th in scrambling, eighth in par 3 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With good form over the last few months, Simpson could be a big danger man this week.


Brian Harman 60/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

Brian Harman 60/1

Harman has been put together some great performances over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last four starts. He finished T8 at TPC Sawgrass shooting steady rounds of 71,69, 70,70 on his way to an eight under par total. He followed that with a T10 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial shooting four rounds in 60’s finishing nine under par in total. Harman played well here last year finishing T6, which included a superb second round 65.

Statswise he ranks ninth in putts from inside 10 feet and 11th in putts from six feet, which are two good stats for putts on these small, undulating greens. With good current form and a good previous performance here, Brian Harman could be a great each way bet here.


George McNeill 7/2 Top 20 Finish FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

George McNeill – Top 20 Finish 7/2

George McNeill has put in some great performances lately with six top 20’s in his last ten starts. He finished T11 at The Honda Classic, T20 at The Valero Texas Open, T12 in New Orleans, T17 at The Players, T5 at Colonial and T13 last week at The Memorial. McNeill has played well here before finishing T28 last year, but comes here this week in much better form.

He ranks 32nd in strokes gained putting, eighth in approaches from 200 yards, 15th in approaches from 150-175 and 11th in putts from 10-15 feet. McNeill also ranks 46th in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With great current form, George McNeill looks great value for a top 20 finish here.


Final Selections –

Billy Horchel 14/1 2pts EW

Webb Simpson 16/1 1.5 pts EW

Phil Mickelson 16/1 1.5 pts EW

Brian Harman 60/1 1 pt EW

George McNeill – Top 20 finish 2pts

Total staked = 14 pts


Good luck and enjoy the golf,



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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2014

Wyndham Championship.jpg pic 2014

Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina
Par 70, 7127 yards

The Course
After all the excitement of The PGA Championship in Valhalla last week, the PGA Tour now travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.

Sedgefield Country Club has been the host of this event for the last six years following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. Sedgefield has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards. There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s.

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here.

Bill Haas pic 1

Bill Haas 28/1
After a respectable six under par total finishing T27 in Valhalla last week, local boy Bill Haas comes here showing some steady form. With the exception of a W/D at The RBC Heritage, Bill hasn’t missed a cut once so far this season. He hasn’t exactly been in brilliant form, but he has played well the last few weeks with a top 10 at The Memorial back in June finishing in T8 and followed that with two top 20’s at The Greenbrier and The PGA in Valhalla last week.

He is very much a horse for the course here with two top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last six appearances. His best finishes came back in 2012 where he clinched a T7 and again in 2009 finishing T10. With a mediocre field this week, I think Bill has a big chance here.

Tim Clark 28/1
When it comes to short par 70’s, Tim Clark is the man to keep an eye on. He had a great week at The RBC Canadian Open shooting two opening 67’s and finishing 64, 65 to be crowned the winner on 17 under over Jim Furyk. Clark also played well the week before at TPC Deere Run settling for a T5, which included a second round 63 and third round 64.

Tim is another player with a good history at this event finishing a respectable T26 last year, second in 2012 and sixth in 2008. Statswise, he ranks third in driving accuracy, ninth in par 3 performance, first in proximity to the hole, first in GIR from 75-100 yards and 15th in GIR from 125+, which will be a big help with approaches into the 12 par 4’s.

Brian Harman pic 1

Brian Harman 33/1
After a brilliant performance at The John Deere Classic shooting rounds of 63,68,65,66 on his way to victory and 22 under par in total, Brian Harman is another man to keep your eye on here at Sedgefield this week. Since winning a few weeks ago, Harman hasn’t missed a cut in his last three events. He finished in a respectable T26th at The Open, 65th in Firestone and T41 last week in Valhalla, bearing in mind that two of these were majors and the other was a WGC.

However, Brian finished well here last year with a T3 and could be more comfortable with the field this week being similar to when he won the John Deere a couple of weeks ago. Harman ranks 11th in par 3 performance, 22nd in approaches from 100-125 yards and 13th in approaches from 150-175 yards, which will be a big plus hitting approaches into the par 4’s.

Nick Watney 40/1
Nick Watney has had come into some form late in the season and has posted three top 12 finishes including a top 10 in his last seven starts. His form took a turn for the better at The Travellers where he posted a ten under par total to finish T11. He then had another good week at The Canadian Open shooting four steady rounds to settle for a T12 and then followed that with a T8 at The Barracuda Championship.

Last week at Valhalla, Watney opened with two 69’s and finished 70,72 to post a respectable T33 and four under for the tournament. He ranks 10th in total driving, fourth in proximity to the hole and 48th in GIR. His best finish here is T31 back in 2012 but he comes into this week in much better form.

Carl Pettersson pic 1

Carl Pettersson 40/1
With two top 10’s in his last five starts, Pettersson comes here in reasonable form and should be well rested after taking last week off. He played well at The FedEx St Jude and finished T3 after shooting four very consistent rounds in the 60’s. Carl then did the same the following week at The Travellers Championship finishing T7 and 11 under for the tournament. It’s worth noting that both TPC Southwind and TPC River Highlands are both par 70’s, which seems to suit Pettersson’s game.

He has a superb record at this event with a win in 2008 and back to back T4’s in 2011 and 2012. He has proven he is a real horse for the course and shouldn’t be underestimated here at Sedgefield this week.

Final Selections
Bill Haas 1.5 pts EW
Tim Clark 1.5 pts EW
Brian Harman 1 pt EW
Carl Pettersson 1 pt EW
Nick Watney 1 pt EW
Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,


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