WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017

WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio 

Par 70, 7,400 yards 

The Course 

Firestone Country Club was designed by Bert Way and was originally commissioned by Harvey Firestone for the employees of his tire company, Firestone Tire and Rubber and opened in August 1929. Firestone made a name for itself hosting a total of three PGA Championships in 1960, 1966 and 1975.

Robert Trent Jones oversaw a huge redesign for the 1960 PGA Championship adding over fifty bunkers, two ponds and extending the course to 7,165 yards. It was then renovated by Golforce in 2007 adding more yardage onto the course making it 7,400 for the 2015 WGC Bridgestone.

Firestone is a tough all round test of golf and only the very best players tend to contend here. It has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is the one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour measuring just under 670 yards. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards and three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so good ball striking and accurate iron play will be essential into these testing bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting (good bentgrass putters), par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. This is one of the best courses in the world and the cream tends to rise to the top so bare that in mind.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Jordan Speith 8/1

Jordan Speith comes to Ohio this week rested and energised after the heroics of Royal Birkdale a couple of weeks ago. I won’t harp on about fantastic he played and the putts he made because let’s face it, if you watched it you know what I’m talking about. The young Texan has been in superb form lately with two wins, a second and a top 15 in his last five starts. He played well in Colonial finishing T2 at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, after shooting an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T13 at Memorial followed by back to back wins, the first at the Travelers Championship and the second at the Open in Royal Birkdale.

Speith has played very well around Firestone in the past finishing 10th in 2015 and third last year. He ranks second in GIR, first in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 3 scoring which are three very good boxes ticked for this course. It looks like he has rediscovered that killer instinct with his putter and is extremely difficult to avoid this week even at skinny odds. Given his current form and favourable history here, Speith is without a doubt the man to beat.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2017Brooks Koepka 16/1

The US Open Champion has been playing some superb golf this season and should be well rested coming to Firestone this week. Since finishing T11 in Augusta, Koepka has a win, three top 10’s and a top 20 under his belt. He had a great week at the Valero Texas Open finishing T2 after an impressive final round 65 and followed that with a T5 in New Orleans, which included a final round 62.

Brooks then teed it up in Sawgrass and finished a respectable T16 at the Players Championship. It was Erin Hills that seemed to suit his game the best where he shot four rounds of 70 or better to win by four strokes from Hideki Matsuyama and Brian Harman to win the US Open in Wisconsin.

He has played well here in Firestone in the past finishing T6 in 2015, which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise Koepka is averaging just over 307 off the tee ranking 10th in driving distance and 21st in strokes gained putting. After a good performance here in 2015 there’s no reason why he can’t contend again.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Paul Casey 30/1

The Englishman is having a fantastic season and comes here in great form. Since finishing solo sixth in Augusta at The Masters, Casey’s form figures read 12,22,10, 26, 5, 11. He had a good week at the Wells Fargo finishing T12 and followed that with a T22 in Sawgrass at The Players, T10 at The Dean and Deluca and a respectable 26th at the US Open in Erin Hills.

Most recently Casey has been playing quite solid finishing T5 at the Travelers which included four rounds of 69 or better to post nine under in total. The Englishman had a super week at Royal Birkdale shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T11 at The Open Championship.

Casey has a great record here and seems to be a real horse for the course with two top 10’s and three top 20’s since 2005. He finished fourth in 2006, eighth in 2008, T17 in 2015 and T16 last year.

 

Daniel Berger 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 40/1

Berger has been playing great golf this season with a win and two top five finishes in his last six starts. He had a superb week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a pair of 66’s to win by one stroke from Charl Schwartzel and Whee Kim. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where a moment of brilliance from Jordan Speith denied him victory after a tricky playoff. Berger bounced back well finishing T5 at TPC Deere Run at the John Deere Classic which included an impressive 63 in round three.

He teed it up here for the first time last year and had to controversially withdraw with an injured shoulder after hitting only one tee shot. Statswise he ranks 34th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained putting and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 

Since getting the monkey off his back in Scotland with an impressive victory at the Scottish Open, The Spaniard has maintained some great consistency over the last few weeks and looks to be striking the ball very well. He had a good week at the Players Championship shooting three rounds of 70 or better to finish T4. He then teed it up at the FedEx St Jude finishing T4 and followed that with a T4 in Royal Birkdale at The Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s.

Rafa has played once here before finishing T29 in 2012 which included an opening round 66 and a second round 65. He ranks 27th in GIR on the European Tour and 45th in par 4 scoring on the PGA Tour. He has stood up to the plate in the big events and looks good value here to have a good week.

 

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Charl Schwartzel 55/1

South African Charl Schwartzel is another player that arrives to Firestone in good shape with three top fives and one top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Augusta finishing solo third at the Masters, a course where he won on in 2011, and followed that with a T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic, which included three rounds of 66 or better. He then travelled o Germany last week for the Porche European Open where he shot an opening round 67 and a closing round 69 to finish T12 for the tournament on eight under par in total.

He has a great record around Firestone with form figures of 24,21,4,31,7 since 2012. Schwartzel is a good horse for the course kind of player and tends to play well on bentgrass greens. At 55/1 and some good performances in big events this year, he looks good value to have a decent week.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Speith 8/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 16/1 1pt EW

Paul Casey 30/1 0.5pts EW

Daniel Berger 40/1 0.5pts EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 0.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 8pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2016

WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016 Betting PreviewFirestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio

Par 70, 7,400 yards

The Course

Harvey Firestone commissioned the club 87 years ago in 1929 as a park for employees of the Firestone Tire and Rubber Company. Its first course, the South, was designed by Bert Way and opened on August 10, 1929, with Firestone driving the first ball. A major redesign by Robert Trent Jones in 1960 added over 50 bunkers, two ponds and brought the course up to 7,189 yards at par 70. The course was redesigned by Golforce in 1985 and played at 7,400 yards for the WGC event in 2013 which is what is measures today.

At 7,400 yards Firestone is a tricky test and has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour and will not be reachable in two for most of the field. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards so length along with accurate iron play will be an advantage here. Good long iron players will also be worth looking at here as four of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards.

The key stats here are GIR, driving distance, strokes gained putting, par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Brooks Koepka 20/1

Big hitting Brooks has been playing some superb golf this season and comes here in great form. He hasn’t finished worse that T13 in his last three events and looks like he could win any day now. He was unlucky not to win the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks and lost a playoff to Sergio Garcia after a wayward second shot on the first playoff hole. He then had a T2 at The St.Jude and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 over the four rounds. He followed that with a respectable T13 at Oakmont after shooting an impressive final round 68 to finish +4 for the tournament. He played well here last year finishing T6 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 for the four rounds finishing -5 for the week.

Statswise he ranks 14th in driving distance, fifth in strokes gained off the tee and fourth in par 4 scoring. With great form so far this season and a good performance here last year Brooks looks in good shape to be a big contender here.

 

Branden Grace 22/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Branden Grace 22/1

The South African has been in fine form so far this season and came close to a win in Oakmont a couple of weeks ago finishing T5 after shooting a final round 70. He had a great week at The RBC Heritage recently coming away with a great win and followed that with a T9 in Texas which included a 69 and a 67 over the weekend.

Grace has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He ranks 20th in SGTTG, 30th in GIR and seventh in par 4 scoring. Grace always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and has to be respected here after grinding out a great performance in Oakmont.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

It’s hard to know which Bubba will turn up at Firestone this week. He hasn’t been at his strongest form wise lately but I’m willing to wager that if he can bounce back anywhere, it could be here. On paper this course looks like it could suit the big hitting lefty and after a second place finish last year, he will be coming here feeling he can take this course on again. He hasn’t been at his best over the last four or five events but he has played well this season with a win at The Hero World Challenge earlier in the year, a T10 in Kapalua, T14 in Phoenix, a win in Riviera and a solo second at The WGC Cadillac.

Despite a T37 in 2014, Bubba hasn’t finished worse than T27 in five of his last six attempts here at Firestone. His form figures read 2,37,27,19,21,22 since 2010 so he knows his way around here. Watson also ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking ninth in driving distance, eighth in GIR and 11th in par 5 scoring. After coming close here last year, big hitting Bubba could be worth keeping an eye on here.

 

Patrick Reed 35/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Patrick Reed 35/1

Reed has had a bit of a mixed bag over the last few weeks but all in all seems to be playing well. He finished solo second in Texas recently and followed that with a T28 at The Byron Nelson, T15 at Colonial, T8 in Memorial and a T39 last week in Congressional.

The young American has a decent WGC CV with a win at The WGC Cadillac in Doral in 2014, T15 here in Firestone last year and T4 in Firestone in 2014. He ranks first in strokes gained around the green, 19th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling and 18th in par 5 scoring. Reed is a confident guy and could have another great week after playing well here in ’14 and ’15.

 

Jason Dufner 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Jason Dufner 40/1

With a couple of top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four starts, Jason Dufner returns to Firestone where he has played some good golf in the past. He had a good week at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and followed that with a T6 in Colonial, T33 at Memorial and an impressive T8 at The US Open in Oakmont.

In his last 16 competitive rounds Dufner has shot worse than a 70 three times (worst was a 73 in round 1 in Oakmont) so something seems to be clicking. In three appearances here Dufner has finished T66 in 2014, T4 in 2013 and solo seventh in 2012. He ranks seventh in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 1.5pts EW 20/1

Branden Grace 1.5pts EW 22/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 35/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 40/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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US Open Betting Preview 2016

US Open Betting Preview 2016 OakmontOakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania

Par 70, 7,230 Yards

The Course

I’ve been doing some reading up on Oakmont and the general consensus is its very tough and going to be a huge test for the players. Daniel Berger tweeted last week “The rough is on steroids you can’t advance the ball 10 yards sometimes” which says it all really. This course last hosted the US Open back in 2007 where Angel Cabrera won on a score of +5. The course was designed by Henry Fownes and was opened 113 years ago in 1903. It straddles the Allegheny River Valley and uniquely has virtually no water hazards, and, since 2007, almost no trees. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The shortest hole is the par 3 13th measuring 183 yards. The longest hole is the par 5 12th measuring a lengthy 667 yards.

With a USGA course rating of 77.5 and some 200 bunkers it is generally regarded as one of the most difficult in the US. It features large, extremely fast, and undulating Poa annua grass greens.

The course is also noted for its slope. In particular, on holes 1, 3, 10, and 12, the greens pitch away from the fairway. One of Oakmont’s most famous hazards is the Church Pews bunker that comes into play on the 3rd and 4th holes. It measures approximately 100 by 40 yards (91 by 37 m) and features twelve grass covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.

Arnold Palmer famously said “You can hit 72 greens in regulation in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning”. It seems the main areas of focus are negotiating these tricky greens. Making enough putts could be the key to winning around here along with GIR and a mix between power and accuracy.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 7/1

There is no other golfer on the planet playing as well as Jason Day at the moment. He has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass. He had a mediocre performance at Memorial finishing T27 and took a break last week.

Day has a great US Open record finishing eighth in Chambers Bay in 2015, fourth in Pinehurst in 2014, second in Merion in 2013 and second in Congressional in 2012. He seems to be a player with a complete game for this course and ranks first in strokes gained putting, second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and 20th in driving distance. With superb current form and a great all round game Day has to be the man to beat here.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Despite taking a rest with a back injury over the last few weeks Justin Rose looks to be pain free according to his Twitter profile. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last nine starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters. More recently he finished T19 at The Players and solo third at The Wells Fargo and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 all week.

The Englishman has a good record in US Opens over the years finishing 27th in Chambers Bay last year, 12th in Pinehurst in 2014, a win in Merion in 2013 and a T21 in Olympic in 2012. Rose also played well in Oakmont in 2007 finishing T10 and comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks fifth in GIR and 18th in driving distance and if he stays injury free he could be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

Despite a poor performance at Memorial, Matsuyama has been playing well over the last couple of months and has four top 11’s in his last six starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T7 at The Players Championship. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo.

He has played in three US Opens and hasn’t finished worse than T35. He finished 18th in Chambers Bay, T35 in Pinehurst in 2014 and T10 in Merion in 2013 . He ranks 14th in GIR, seventh in par 4 scoring, 25th in par 5 scoring and third in strokes gained around the green. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and could be a big contender here.

 

Brooks Koepka 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 50/1 

Brooks played great last week at The St.Jude shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T2. He also came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds but lost in a playoff to Sergio Garcia after shooting a final round 71. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has played well in his two previous US Open appearances finishing 18th last year in Chambers Bay and fourth in Pinehurst in 2014.

Kopeka is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging 305 off the tee and ranks ninth in driving distance. He also ranks sixth in strokes gained around the green and seventh in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and could have the game to suit a tricky Oakmont setup.

 

Patrick Reed 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 50/1

With six top 15’s in his last nine starts Patrick Reed’s game looks in great shape to take on mighty Oakmont. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston and a solo second in Texas. More recently he finished T15 at Colonial which included a 65,69,69 the first three rounds capped off with a final round 71 to post six under for the week. He had another good performance at Memorial finishing T8 which also included three rounds in the 60’s.

Reed has played in two US Opens and he seems to be getting better every time he plays. He finished T14 in Chambers Bay last year and had a respectable T35 at Pinehurst in 2014. He also looks good statistically ranking 51st in driving distance, 13th in SGTTG and first in strokes gained around the green. He also ranks fourth in scrambling and 14th in par 5 scoring. He looks good value to have a solid week on a course that could suit.

 

Danny Willett 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Danny Willett 50/1

The Masters champion has had a superb season and arrives this week feeling fresh after some time off since Wentworth where he finished solo third. He had a good three rounds the week before in Ireland but had a poor final round to finish T23. He also had a good week at the WGC Cadillac finishing T3 and followed that with a T22 at The Valspar. He then went on to shoot an unreal 67 in round four in Augusta to win The Masters and beat Jordan Spieth. The Englishman also won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier in the season so he is no stranger to winning.

He has featured in two US Open’s in 2014 and 2015. He missed the cut in Chambers Bay last year and finished T45 in Pinehurst in 2014. Despite his average record in US Open’s, he has proved he can contend and win in the best fields. He also looks good on paper ranking fourth in stroke average, 25th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained putting. Danny has to be respected here and could be in with a chance given his current form.

 

Final selections – 

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 50/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 50/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 50/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts 

 

Most bookies paying 7 places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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FedEx St.Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards

The Course

The FedEx St. Jude Classic is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958, and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989. This will be the final tournament before the US Open next week in Oakmont. TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

The fairways here are undulating and narrow and will demand a fair amount of accuracy. The rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course. The greens here are quite small and undulating and will demand accurate iron shots and good putting in order to make birdies. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.

 

Brooks Koepka 14/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 14/1

Brooks came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds. His game looked in great shape but he let the tournament slip through his fingers after shooting a final round 71 and was beaten by Sergio Garcia in a playoff. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has a good record here at TPC Southwind finishing third here last year and T19 in 2014.

Koepka is averaging over 300 yards off the tee and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After coming close to a win at The Byron Nelson, Brooks could bounce back strongly here this week.

 

Ryan Palmer 16/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Ryan Palmer 16/1

Palmer has been playing well over the last few weeks with two top 5’s and a top 25 in his last four starts. He had a great week in Texas shooting 68,70,72,69 on his way to a T4 finish and followed that with a respectable T23 at The Players Championship. Most recently he came close to winning the Dean and Deluca Invitational at Colonial and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish T3 on 13 under for the tournament. He has a good record here finishing third in 2012, fourth in 2013, T32 in 2014 and T22 last year.

He is averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking eighth in driving distance and ranks second in par 5 scoring. He seem to be heating up just at the right time and could be a big danger here.

 

Harris English 25/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Harris English 25/1

English seems to be showing some form over the last few weeks. He had a good performance back in February finishing solo third in Phoenix and followed that with a solo 10th at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. More recently he played well at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and then had a solo second at The Dean and Deluca Invitational in Colonial in which he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 over the four rounds.

English will have good memories coming back here after winning in 2013 and could easily follow that up with another good performance this week.

 

Colt Knost 40/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 40/1

Knost has been in tip top form lately and had another impressive top 5 finish at The Byron Nelson finishing T4 after shooting 63,69,65 over the weekend which was his second 63 in three weeks. He was very impressive in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

Knost has played here three times before finishing T15 in 2011, MC in 2013 and T12 last year. He ranks second in driving accuracy, 28th in SGP and first in putting inside 10 feet. Knost is in good form and looks great value considering his current form.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Daniel Berger 25/1 

Despite a poor performance at Memorial last week, Berger is playing great over the last few weeks he hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last eight starts. He played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 25th in driving distance and 25th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections – 

Brooks Koepka 14/1 1.5pts EW

Ryan Palmer 16/1 1.5pts EW

Harris English 25/1 1pt EW

Colt Knost 40/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2016

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2016

Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas 

7,441 yards, par 72   

The Course 

The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has been held the week before the Masters, giving the players one last chance to get into the field with a win.

This course is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards. It is set up to replicate Augusta for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves between an eight iron and a wedge into some of the longer par 4’s.

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Phil Mickelson 20/1

With the exception of a poor front nine against Patrick Reed in the matchplay, Phil played well all week. He comes into this with four top 11 finishes this season starting with a T3 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included four steady rounds in the 60’s finishing 21 under in total. He followed that with a T11 in Phoenix, solo second in Pebble Beach and a solo fifth at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

Phil has a great record here over the last few years finishing T17 last year, T12 in 2014, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and a win in 2011. He also ticks the boxes statswise averaging just under 300 yards off the tee, sixth in SGTTG and 14th in SGP. He also ranks fourth in par 3 scoring, 12th in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. With good current form and a great record on this course Phil could be one to watch.

 

Patrick Reed 22/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Patrick Reed 22/1

Reed played well last week in the matchplay and was unlucky not progress further after getting into the last 16 but got beaten by big hitting Dustin Johnson. He has shown some great form this season with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He had a great week in Pebble Beach finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at the Valspar and a T9 last week at the matchplay.

Reed played well here last year finishing in a respectable T17 which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 73. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 49th in SGTTG, sixth in scrambling and 20th in par 4 scoring.

 

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Charl Schwartzel 28/1

The South African has been in fine form lately with two wins and a top 10 in his last six starts. He finished T9 in The Nedbank Challenge just before Christmas and followed that with a win in The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63 to finish 16 under for the tournament. More recently Schwartzel finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and following that with a superb win at The Valspar.

Schwartzel is hitting it just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 11th in SGTTG and 34th in GIR. He has played well here in the past finishing T19 in 2014 and third in 2010. With superb current form and good previous performances here Schwartzel could be a big contender this week.

 

Brooks Koepka 30/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Brooks Koepka 30/1

Brooks played well last week in The Matchplay winning his group but got knocked out by the eventual winner Jason Day to finish T5. He has been playing well over the last couple of months. He started the season off with a solo seventh at The Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four events finishing T8 in Pebble Beach, T26 at The Honda, T23 at The WGC Cadillac and T5 last week.

Koepka looks like he could suit this course and is averaging 307 off the tee ranking ninth in driving distance and ninth in par 4 scoring. This course tends to suit the bombers and Koepka could follow up another great performance after playing well last week.

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 – First Round Leader  

Phil has a great record on this course and hasn’t shot worse than a 70 in five of his last six opening rounds at The Golf Club of Houston. He started with a 66 last year, 68 in 2014, 65 in 2012, 70 in 2011 and a 69 in 2010.

He hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in his last six opening rounds and looks to be playing really well lately. He started with a 68 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, 69 at The Farmers, 69 in Phoenix, 68 in Pebble, 69 at The Honda and a 67 at The WGC Cadillac. With an 08.10 tee time and rain forecast in the afternoon Phil looks like he could get the better part of the day.

 

Final Selections –

Phil Mickelson 20/1 1.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 22/1 1.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 30/1 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson FRL 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

North Course, Silverado Resort & Spa, Napa Valley, California

Par 72 7,203 yards

It’s great to be back! Let’s hope we have yet another profitable year for the 2015/2016 season.

Silverado Resort & Spa measures a lengthy 7,203 yards and has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s. It was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr in the 1960’s and was renovated by Johnny Miller in 2011. The fairways are tree lined with forgiving rough so missing the fairways here will not be a big deal. There are quite a lot of nice features around the course such as old Oak trees, elevation changes and water features and crossings. The greens are bent grass and are average size by PGA Tour standards and can get quite fast depending on weather conditions.

There is not a lot of data to go on here as this is only the second time this course has hosted the tournament but judging by last year, length does not seem to be a huge advantage. Players that have accurate iron play and the ability to negotiate these tricky bent grass greens should go well here this week. Top stats to consider are par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, approach stats, SGTTG and SGP.

Last year’s champion Sang-Moon Bae will not be able to defend his title as he has to serve two years military service, which is a compulsory requirement in all South Korean men. However, there are some big names in the field including World No. 3 Rory McIlroy, No. 7 Justin Rose, Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama, Charl Schwartzel and Chris Kirk. The weather is set to be sunny, dry and warm with light winds with the possibility of some showers over the weekend.

 

Justin Rose 8/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Justin Rose 8/1

After taking the last couple of weeks off, Justin Rose comes into this week in good form. He had a great finish to the 2014/15 season at The Tour Championship where he finished T2 shooting a superb final round 66 at East Lake. He has been playing some great golf over the last couple of months. He lost a playoff to David Lingmerth at The Memorial finishing P2 and followed that with a T6 at The Open, T4 at The Quicken Loans, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, solo fourth at The PGA, T16 at The Barclays and a T13 at The BMW.

Rose ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking ninth in GIR, 18th in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and sixth in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks first in approaches from 75-100, first in approaches from 175-200 and first in approaches from 200-225, which are good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. With top notch accuracy stats, Rose should score well here on his first visit to Silverado.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1

After winning two and a half points for the International Team at The Presidents Cup last week, Hideki Matsuyama will come to California this week feeling good about his game. As well as playing super last week in Korea, Matsuyama has been playing well for the last few months with 14 top 25’s in his last 17 tournaments. He had a good week at The Barclays finishing T13 and followed that with a T25 at The Deutsche Bank, T7 at The BMW and a T12 in East Lake at The Tour Championship. He had a great week here last year finishing T3 on 12 under for the tournament.

Statswise he ranks 21st in GIR, eighth in strokes gained tee to green, third in par 4 scoring and 24th in par 5 scoring. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 125-150, seventh in approaches from 175-200 and 15th in approaches from 50-75. After a solid performance in Korea last week, Matsuyama could be a big danger man here.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Brooks Koepka 22/1

The young American has been playing steady golf all season on both The PGA Tour and The European Tour. He had a great week at The Alfred Dunhill Links recently finishing T2 after shooting 64,67 over the weekend to finish on 16 under for the tournament. He also played well in the FedEx Cup Finale finishing T18 at The Tour Championship. Koepka put in huge performances at this year’s majors finishing T18 at The US Open, T10 at The Open Championship and T5 recently at The PGA Championship.

His form at this event has been good over the last couple of years. He finished T8 here on this course last year and T3 at Cordevalle in 2013. Statswise he ranks 17th in GIR, 34th in strokes gained tee to green and 17th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks second in approaches from 175-200, 10th in approaches from 200, 10th in par 4 scoring and seventh in par 5 scoring. With good finishes at The Tour Championship and The Dunhill Links recently, Koepka is one of the better players in this field and could be one to keep an eye on here.

 

Robert Streb 35/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Robert Streb 35/1

I was quite surprised to see a player of Streb’s calibre priced at 35/1. After winning the McGladrey Classic at the beginning of last season, Streb went on to have a great year finishing with seven top 25’s in his last nine events. He lost a playoff to Danny Lee at The Greenbrier Classic finishing P2 and followed that with a T14 at The John Deere, T18 at The Open Championship, solo fifth at The Bridgestone, T10 at The PGA, T23 at The BMW and T18 at The Tour Championship.

He played this event last year and finished in a respectable T31. He ranks 27th in GIR, 24th in strokes gained putting and seventh in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks second in par 3 scoring and 18th in par 4 scoring which will be a big help here with its ten par 4’s and four par 3’s. Streb is a better player coming here this time around and is most certainly one of the better players in this field.

 

Steven Bowditch 80/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Stephen Bowditch 80/1

The Aussie was part of the losing Presidents Cup team last week but played quite well himself throughout the week. He was drawn to play Jimmy Walker in the Sunday Singles and beat him 2 up so his game looks in good shape. Along with his win at The Byron Nelson, Bowditch had a good finish to the season with three top 15’s in his last six events. He finished T12 at The WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The Barclays and T12 at The Tour Championship.

Bowditch played well here last year shooting 67,67 over the weekend to finish solo second. He ranks 11th in approaches from 125-150, third in scrambling, 25th in par 3 scoring and 30th in par 4 scoring. After a solid performance at The Presidents Cup, the Aussie comes here in good form and could go well at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Justin Rose 8/1 2pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Brooks Koepka 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Robert Streb 35/1 1 pt EW

Stephen Bowditch 80/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2015

 

Deutsche Bank Championship 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Field: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings 

TPC Boston, Norton, MA 

Par 71, 7,242 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travels to TPC Boston where it has hosted this event since 2003. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Chris Kirk was the winner last year finishing on 15 under par and Henrik Stenson won here in 2013 finishing on 22 under par.

Other previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011), Charley Hoffman (2010), Steve Stricker (2009) and Vijay Singh (2008). When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top.

This course has 11 par 4’s, four par 3’s and three par 5’s. The greens are wide and forgiving and should suit the big hitters. They also offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting stats.  With 11 par 4’s, par 4 scoring is another stat worth checking. There will also be a particular emphasis on birdie average as this event has been a bit of a birdie fest over the years.

The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so driving accuracy will not be as important as driving distance. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field so there will be a particular emphasis on ball striking and distance.

 

Jason Day 6/1 Deutsche Bank Championship

Jason Day 6/1

It’s hard to leave out Day after yet another superb performance last week and playing with such dominance over the last few weeks. After last week’s win at The Barclays that makes it four wins for Jason Day this season. He won the Farmers Insurance Open back in February beating J.B. Holmes in a playoff and followed that with a superb win at The RBC Canadian Open, a win at The PGA in Whistling Straits and a win last week in Plainfield which makes that three wins in his last four starts.

Day has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T13 in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks third in driving distance, ninth in GIR, eighth in strokes gained tee to green and second in strokes gained putting. He also ranks first in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. With absolutely superb current form and good course form here at TPC Boston over the years, Jason Day is without a doubt the man to beat here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 14/1 Deutsche Bank Championship 2015

Henrik Stenson 14/1

The Swede cones here after a great performance last week at The Barclays finishing solo second on 13 under for the tournament. He seems to be coming into some form just at the right time with a solo second last week, T25 at The PGA and a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone in his last three tournaments. Stenson has played well at this event in the past finishing T26 last year and a win here in 2013.

He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 14th in driving accuracy. He ranks first in GIR, second in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and looks to be hitting form at just the right time. With a good history here and good current form, Stenson could have another good week here.

 

Bubba Watson 22/1 Deutsche Bank Championship 2015

Bubba Watson 22/1

Bubba is playing great golf at present and has a win and three top 3’s in his last seven events. He won the Travelers Championship beating Paul Casey in a playoff an followed that with a T13 at The Greenbrier, solo second at The RBC Canadian Open, solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA and a solo third last week at The Barclays. He has played well here at TPC Boston over the years with his best finishes coming in 2011 finishing T16 and T12 in 2006.

Watson should suit this course with his length and ranks second in driving distance averaging just over 316 yards off the tee, perfect for these wide fairways. He also ranks 23rd in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and fifth in birdie average. He ranks ninth in par 3 scoring, eighth in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Bubba is in fine form at the moment and that could continue here at TPC Boston.

 

Brooks Koepka 40/1 Deutsche Bank Championship FedExCup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 40/1

I wouldn’t be too concerned about Brooks missing the cut last week at The Barclays, in fact I think it could do him some good coming into this week after a bit of a rest last weekend. He is another player in fine form with five top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last seven starts. His good run of form started back at The Fedex St Jude where he finished T3 and followed that with a T18 in Chambers Bay, T10 at The Open Championship and a T18 at The RBC Canadian Open. He then had three top sixes in a row finishing T6 at The WGC Bridgestone, T5 at The PGA and T6 at The Wyndham.

I reckon Brooks should suit this course averaging 309 off the tee ranking seventh in driving distance, 11th in GIR, 22nd in strokes gained tee to green and 11th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks 17th in birdie average, sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. Koepka should be well rested after a weekend off last week and should go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Tony Finau 70/1 Deautsche Bank Championship FedExCup Playoffs

Tony Finau 70/1

The big hitting Tony Finau should be another player that could suit TPC Boston and comes here with ten top 25’s in his last 12 starts. He looks to be showing some great consistency over the few months and was right in the mix at The Barclays after the first two rounds. Finau’s good run of form began back at The Wellls Fargo where he finished T16. He followed that with a T19 in Colonial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T8 at Memorial, T14 in Chambers Bay and T13 at The Greenbrier. Most recently, Finau finished T22 at The RBC Canadian Open, T10 at The PGA and T16 last week at The Barclays, which he lead after 54 holes.

He averages 309 off the tee ranking eighth in driving distance, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in birdie average. He also ranks 20th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring and looks to be in fine form coming to a course that could suit his game.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 3pts EW 6/1

Henrik Stenson 2pts EW 14/1

Bubba Watson 2pts EW 22/1

Brooks Koepka 1pt EW 40/1

Tony Finau 1pt EW 70/1

Total Staked = 18 pts

 

That’s all from me this season folks, I’m away on holidays for the next couple of weeks and will not be covering the last two FedexCup events. Ill be back for the first PGA Tour event of the new season in October.

Many thanks for reading my posts and best of luck for the last two events, lets finish on a high note this week!

Chat to you in October,

Doublebogey6

 

 

The Barclays Betting Preview 2015

The Barclays Betting Preview 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Plainfield Country Club, Edison, New Jersey

7,012 yards par 70

The Course

Plainfield Country Club plays host once again to the first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The last time this event was played here was 2011, where the tournament had to be reduced to 54 holes due to Hurricane Katrina. The course is playing 48 yards further this time around with the fifth hole being moved to a par 4.

The course has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and has rolling, forgiving fairways and thick rough. There will be an emphasis on GIR and scrambling this week as there are some very deep bunkers around the greens. The greens here will be extremely tricky with a lot of them sloping from back to front with some serious drop off areas. Good putters should be able to negotiate these greens, which will be playing very fast due to good weather forecast for the week.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, GIR, scrambling and par 3 and par 4 scoring.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 The Barclays 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 22/1

Koepka had another good week at The Wyndham finishing T6 making that five top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a great performance at The PGA in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.

He ranks seventh in driving distance, ninth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and eighth in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form, Koepka could make it winner number two this season here in New Jersey this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting a superb second round 61 at The Wyndham last week, Snedeker followed that with a third round 67 and a disappointing final round 75 to finish T43, which was poor but hopefully he turns that around this week. He has been playing well this season with five top 12’s in his last eight starts. He played well at Whistling Straits finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker has played well here in the past finishing third here in 2011, so he has a bit of form at Plainfield.

Snedeker ranks fifth in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling, seventh in longest putts and first in putts from 10 feet, which are two good stats for negotiating these tricky sloped greens. He also ranks 21st in par 4 scoring and 20th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history here, Sneds could be another one to watch.

 

Paul Casey 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedexCup Playoffs

Paul Casey 40/1

Casey played super last week finishing T3 at The Wyndham and comes here showing some great form. He has been playing well since early April finishing T6 at The Masters, T5 at The WGC Matchplay, where he lost a match to Rory Mcilroy due to an illness. He followed that with a playoff loss to Bubba Watson at The Travelers finishing P2, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T3 last week at the Wyndham.

Although it was on different courses, Casey has played well at this event in the past finishing T22 last year and T12 in 2010. Casey ranks fifth in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in par 4 scoring and 14th in par 5 scoring. After playing great golf last week, Casey can follow that with another solid performance this week.

 

Robert Streb 55/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Robert Streb 55/1

Streb has had a superb season so far which started off in style with a win at The McGladrey Classic. He hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in eight of his last nine events, which includes four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Wells Fargo where he finished T4. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T18 at The Memorial, P2 at The Greenbrier, T14 at The John Deere, T18 at The Open Championship, solo fifth at The WGC Bridgestone and a T10 at The PGA.

Streb seems to be a player that plays better on the bigger stages and ranks 11th in GIR, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in par 3 scoring and 11th in par 4 scoring. His form is excellent at the moment and I expect him to keep that going here in New Jersey.

 

Danny Lee 80/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Danny Lee 80/1

Danny Lee is another player that has been showing super form this season with three top 10’s and a win in his last six tournaments. He got into a playoff with David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb at The Greenbrier Classic and ended up winning the playoff on the third playoff hole. He followed that with a T3 at The John Deere and narrowly missed out on getting into another playoff, this time against Jordan Spieth and Tom Gillis. He played well the following week at The Quicken Loans finishing T4 and followed that with a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone.

Lee ranks 28th in strokes gained putting, fourth in par 3 scoring and 21st in birdie or better birdie percentage. Lee is in flying form and could go very well here at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 22/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Robert Streb 55/1 1pt EW

Danny Lee 80/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

Good luc and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina

Par 70, 7127 yards

Last Week –

What a superb performance from Jason Day last week securing his first major by beating his nearest challenger, Jordan Spieth, by three strokes. After coming so close this year at The Open and US Open, Day shot a superb final round 67 to clinch victory giving us a 14/1 winner. Branden Grace also gave us a great run for our money finishing solo third at 80/1 giving us a nice 20/1 place. After The PGA Championship, that gives us +286.74 pts in profit so far this season. Let’s keep it going this week at The Wyndham!

 

The Course

After all the excitement of The PGA Championship in Whistling Straits last week, the PGA Tour now travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.

Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards. There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. As always, I’ll be also be checking course history and current form along with some approach stats.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 Wyndham Championship 2015

Brooks Koepka 16/1

The young American has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last six starts. He had a great performance last week in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.

He has played here once before finishing in a respectable T38 last year, but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks seventh in driving distance, 21st in GIR, third in strokes gained putting and third in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. Kopeka comes here in great form and looks right on the cusp of a win any day now and it could well be here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Snedeker has been showing some great form recently with five top 12’s in his last seven starts. He played well at Whistling Straits last week finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker is a real horse for the course with three top 10’s in his last six appearances since 2009. He was fifth in 2009, eighth in 2010 and fifth here last year. He also won this event back in 2007, but that was on a different course.

Statswise, he ranks seventh in strokes gained putting, 13th in approaches from 50-125, fifth in scrambling, 10th in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. Sneds is a horse for the course and given this is a pretty weak field, I would expect him to go very close here considering his current and previous form here.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 20/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 20/1

Although he didn’t really get going last week in Whistling Straits, I think Matsuyama could go well here at The Wyndham. Despite two T37’s in his last two starts, Matsuyama has been showing superb consistency throughout the year with eight top 10 finishes already under his belt. He has finished inside the top 25 in 10 of his 12 events including four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Northern Trust Open where he finished T4 and followed that with a T23 at The WGC Cadillac, T21 at The Arnold Palmer, solo 5th at The Masters, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a T17 at The Players. Most recently, he finished T20 at The Wells Fargo, T5 at Memorial, T18 at The US Open and T18 at The Open Championship.

He has played here twice before finishing T15 in 2013 and a missed cut last year. Statswise he ranks 23rd in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and third in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks third in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama ticks a lot of boxes here and could be a big contender.

 

Branden Grace 22/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Branden Grace 22/1

After finishing solo third last week in Whistling Straits getting us some place money at 80/1, I am happy to put my faith in Branden Grace once again this week. He has had a great season so far with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. His good run of form began back at The RBC Heritage finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at The WGC Matchplay. He finished T4 at Chambers Bay, T20 at The Open, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and solo third last week at The PGA.

He ranks 23rd in driving distance, eighth in strokes gained putting, eighth in approaches from 225-250, eighth in scrambling and 26th in par 3 scoring. This will be his first appearance here at this event and he looks in great shape form wise to be right in contention.

 

Will Wilcox 40/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Will Wilcox 40/1

Wilcox has been showing some superb form over the last few weeks with nine top 25’s in his last 12 starts. He played well at The Sanderson Farms finishing T14 and followed that with a T18 at Pebble beach. He also finished T6 in Puerto Rico, T22 at The Byron Nelson, T12 at The FedEx St Jude,T8 at The John Deere and solo second at The Barbasol, finishing a couple of strokes behind the winner Scott Piercy. Most recently, he finished in a respectable T21 at The Quicken Loans National and followed that with a T10 at The Barracuda. Wilcox played here once before finishing in a respectable T24 last year.

Statswise Wilcox seems to fit the bill here ranking 14th in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks sixth in par 3 scoring and third in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and is the kind of player that could go all the way here this week, especially in a weakened field.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 2pts EW 16/1

Brandt Snedeker 2pts EW 18/1

Hideki Matsuyama 1pt EW 20/1

Branden Grace 1pt EW 22/1

Will Wilcox 1pt EW 40/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2015

RBC Canadian Open 2015 betting preview and tips

Glen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario

Par 72, 7,253 yards

 

Last Week at St Andrews

Well we came close to winner number 12 yesterday in the final round of The Open Championship with Louis Oosthuizen giving us a run for our money getting into a playoff with Zach Johnson and Marc Leishman. Sadly he missed his birdie putt on 18 to the left and handed the Claret Jug to Zach Johnson, who played superbly well throughout the week. That’s the second playoff loss for us over the last three weeks, lets turn that around here in Canada this week.

 

The Course

Glen Abbey hosts the RBC Canadian Open for the 26th time this year and was designed by Jack Nicklaus. Most recently, the event took place here in 2004,2008,2009 and 2013 so it will be worth checking for players with good course history. It is located near Lake Ontario and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. Three of the four par 5’s are on the back nine (13,16,18) which are three of the easiest holes on the course and will offer up some birdies and possibly eagles on the way in.

The opening nine holes are quite flat and shouldn’t be too much of a problem for the players to negotiate. However the back nine could be a little bit trickier with a distinguishing feature of the Glen Abbey course are the “Valley Holes”, numbered 11 through 15. On number 11, a par 4, players tee off a cliff to a fairway that is approximately 60 feet below on the valley floor. The second shot must clear Sixteen Mile Creek to the green. Holes 12, 13 and 14 all use Sixteen Mile Creek as a hazard of one form or another. Number 15 is a short par 3 with a sharply-sloping green, after which players climb out of the valley to the 16th hole.

Key areas of focus here are GIR, scrambling, par breakers, par 4 and par 5 scoring and strokes gained putting. This course is quite short for PGA Tour standards so players with a bit of length along with good putting, scrambling and accurate iron play are worth considering here. The weather forecast is to be mixed throughout the week starting mainly dry with some showers and possibly thunderstorms forecast for Saturday and Sunday.

 

Jim Furyk 16/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Jim Furyk 16/1

The two time winner of this event comes here in good form returning to a course he has played well on in the past. Furyk had a respectable T30 finish last week in St Andrews posting a six under total for the tournament. He has been playing well over the last few months and managed to get his first win in a number of years at The RBC Heritage in Hilton Head beating Kevin Kisner in a playoff. He followed that with a solo fourth at The WGC Matchplay and a T5 finish at The Memorial.

Furyk has won this event twice before, 2006 and 2007, and has also recorded two top 10’s in his last two appearances. He was T9th at this course in 2013 and followed that with a solo second last year in Montreal finishing just one stroke behind the winner Tim Clark. Statswise, Furyk ranks ninth in driving accuracy, 15th in GIR and seventh in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks fifth in approaches from 200 yards and third in approaches from 100 yards, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. With good current form and a great record at this event, Furyk ticks all the boxes here and could be a big contender.

 

Luke Donald 22/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Luke Donald 22/1

With three top 12’s in his last four events, Luke Donald seems to be back showing some solid form. He had a good week in St Andrews finishing T12 on nine under for the tournament and also played well at The Scottish Open shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T7. He showed some great consistency at The Travelers shooting 68,68,67,66 on his way to a T7 and nine under total for the week. Donald has played well at this event in the past finishing T24 here in 2009, solo third in 2010 and T17 in 2011.

He is averaging just over 275 yards off the tee hitting around 60% of fairways so far this season and ranks 14th in approaches from 125-150, 13th in approaches from 250-275 and 11th in approaches from 100 yards, three good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. Donald is another player with a great record at the event and comes here this week showing some good form over the last couple of weeks.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Brooks Koepka 22/1

This will be the American’s first visit to Glen Abbey and The Canadian Open and it could prove a pretty profitable one given his current form. Koepka shot an impressive final round 68 in St Andrews last week to finish T10. He also played well at The Scottish Open finishing in a respectable T22 on six under, which included a 68 in round 2 and a 66 in round 3. His form across the pond has also been decent finishing T18 at the very tricky Chambers Bay, T3 at The Fedex St Jude and T16 at the Byron Nelson.

Koepka ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking ninth in driving distance, 18th in GIR, ninth in strokes gained putting and fourth in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks 14th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. He is already a proven winner on The PGA Tour this season with a win in Phoenix and has the power to feast on these par 5’s and make a lot of birdies.

 

JB Holmes 33/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

J.B. Holmes 33/1

J.B. has had a pretty good season so far with a win at The Shell Houston Open and a further four top 10 finishes. He lost a playoff to Jason Day at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines and followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, solo second at The WGC Cadillac and a T9 at The WGC Matchplay. Despite missing the cut at St Andrews last week, he finished in a respectable T22 at The Greenbrier the week before and T27 at Chambers Bay, so his current form is good.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 on this course in 2009 and T15 in 2012. Holmes also looks good statistically ranking sixth in driving distance, 11th in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 75-100 and 31st in approaches from 125-150, which are two good stats for approaches into the 10 par 4’s. J.B. is another huge hitter and should be another player that can dominate these par 5’s.

 

Greg Owen RBC Canadian Open 3/1 Top 20 Finish

Greg Owen – Top 20 Finish 3/1

Owen had a great week at The Open in St Andrews shooting a final round 69 to finish T20 on seven under for the tournament. He has been showing some great form over the last few weeks finishing T6 at The Greenbrier on 11 under for the week and solo second at The FedEx St Jude, which included a superb opening round 64. Owen has played well here at Glen Abbey in the past finishing in a respectable T12 in 2013.

He ranks 25th in GIR, first in approaches from 100-125, second in approaches from 50-125 and ninth in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 14th in par 4 scoring and 39th in scrambling and comes here this week in much better form than he did in 2013.

 

Final Selections –

Jim Furyk 16/1 1.5pts EW

Luke Donald 22/1 1.5pts EW

Brooks Koepka 22/1 1.5pts EW

J.B. Holmes 33/1 1.5pts EW

Greg Owen 3/1 Top 20 3 pts win

Total staked = 15 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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