Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017 Bubba WatsonTPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is shorter than your average PGA Tour setup measuring 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways with four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 yards and will offer birdie opportunities along with the par 4 second, which measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field.

These greens are bentgrass and are smaller by tour standards so good, accurate Iron play will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win), Bubba Watson (3 top 10’s and two wins) and Kevin Streelman (a win and two top 10’s). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats here are good course history, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Justin Thomas Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

What a third round Justin had last week in Erin Hills. He carded an impressive nine birdies and an eagle to post a nine under 63. He has been in good form throughout the season with three wins and four top 10’s so far. He started off with a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia and followed that with back to back wins at the SBS Tournament of Champions and the Sony Open in Hawaii. Most recently, Thomas has three top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T5 which included an impressive final round 61. He followed that with a T4 at Memorial and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Thomas has a good record here at TPC River Highlands finishing T30 in 2013 and a T3 last year. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 11th in driving distance, 19th in GIR, fourth in SG approaches to the green and 29th in SG putting. Thomas will be looking to bounce back with a big week here after a disappointing finish to the US Open.

 

Marc Leishman 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 30/1

The Aussie started well last week at the US Open shooting 68,72,72 in the first three rounds and looked to be putting well throughout the week. Leishman has been in fine form over the last couple of months and got his first win of the season in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T13 at the Byron Nelson, T15 at Memorial and a T27 last week in Erin Hills.

Leishman has a great record at this course with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013, T11 in 2014 and a T9 last year. He ranks 38th in driving distance, 32nd in SGP, 23rd in SG tee to green and 28th in bogey avoidance. After playing well at the US Open, the Aussie could be in for another good week on a course he knows well.

 

Brandt Snedeker Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 28/1

Sneds could be primed and ready for another good performance after playing well at the US Open last week where he finished T9. He didn’t shoot worse than a 71 throughout the tournament and looked to be putting particularly well with his signature pop stroke. The American has been playing solid since his T6 in Torrey Pines and has been relatively consistent since. He followed that with a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship, T27 at The Masters, T11 at the RBC Heritage and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Snedeker has played here twice over the last three years finishing T11 in 2014 and a T10 in 2015. Sneds has gone low around this course a couple of times shooting a 63 in round three in 2015 and an impressive 64 in round four in 2014. Statswise he ranks 19th in SG putting, 14th in birdie average and second in par 3 scoring.

 

Brendan Steele 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 30/1

Brendan Steele is a real horse for the course here at TPC River Highlands and arrives in pretty decent form. He started the season off with a win at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in Kapalua and a T6 at the CarrerBuilder Challenge. Most recently, Steele played well at the Masters finishing in a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship and a T13 last week at the US Open.

Steele is another player with a decent record here finishing T13 in 2011, T13 in 2013, T5 in 2014, T25 in 2015 and a T17 last year. Brendan has gone low around here over the last few years shooting 62 in round one in 2014, a 66 in the final round in 2013 and a 64 in the final round last year. With a great record here and good current form, Steele looks a good shout here.

 

Final selections – 

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Marc Leishman 30/1 0.5pts EW 

Brandt Snedeker 28/1 0.5pts EW

Brendan Steele 30/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Sheshan International GC (West), Sheshan, China

Par 72, 7,266 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club this week which has been the host venue of this event over the last number of years. The field includes most the world’s top golfers including FedExCup champion Rory McIlroy, Bubba Watson, Adam Scott and Dustin Johnson. Previous winners include Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Dustin Johnson (2013), Bubba Watson (2014) and Russell Knox (2015).

Sheshan is a par 72 measuring 7,266 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. Length will be an advantage here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

The main areas of focus here are previous form/current form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring.

 

Henrik Stenson 20/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 20/1 

The Swede has been battling injury post Ryder Cup with his right knee but looks back to full fitness here. He played superb in The Ryder Cup and took US Superstar Jordan Spieth apart in the singles on Sunday driving and putting beautifully. He hasn’t played much over the last few weeks but played with huge dominance at the Open shooting rounds 68,65,68,63 to beat his nearest challenger Phil Mickelson by three strokes. He followed that with a T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio at The Olympics.

Stenson has a good record here in Sheshan finishing ninth in ’07, fifth on ’08, ninth in ’09, 13th in ’10, 24th in ’14 and 11th last year. He has the mix of accuracy and distance ranking first in SG approach to the green, 16th in SGP and first in GIR. If he is back fit and healthy I expect Henrik to have a solid week here at a venue that should suit his game.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite a poor finish last week in Malaysia, Patrick Reed has been playing some great golf over the last few weeks and was superb in the Ryder Cup particularly against Rory McIlroy in the singles. Reed finished T51 last week at The CIMB Classic which was his first finish outside the top 25 in 11 starts. After a fantastic win at The Barclays, Reed followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank, T13 at The BMW and a T24 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well here in the past finishing seventh last year and 22nd in 2014. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG around the green, eighth in scrambling, 22nd in par 3 scoring and tenth in par 5 scoring. He looks a generous price here this week and could have a good week.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 40/1 

The defending champion finished off the season well and comes here in decent form. He had a good week in Malaysia finishing in a respectable T10 at The CIMB Classic and hit over 80% of greens in regulation. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish 14 under in total. He followed that with a T15 at The Deutsche Bank and a T17 at The BMW. He had a brilliant week here last year shooting 67,65,68,68 to finish 20 under par in total beating his closest challenger Kevin Kisner by two strokes.

Knox is one of the most accurate players on tour ranking eighth in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR and 34th in par 4 scoring. If he putts well he could have a great chance here.

 

Alexander Levy 80/1

The Frenchman looks extremely overpriced here this week considering his current form and excellent record in China. Levy won the 2014 China Open and finished third the following year and was runner up at the 2014 BMW Masters which he should’ve won if it weren’t for a disastrous final round 78. He played well at The Sheshan International this year on the European Tour finishing fourth. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T18 at The European Masters, T7 at The Italian Open, a win at The European Open and a T4 at The British Masters.

He has only played this event once finishing T14 in 2014 and could have the game to suit this course. With a great record here in China over the last few years and a promising debut here in 2014 Levy looks fantastic value here.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 20/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 33/1

Russell Knox 0.5pt EW 40/1

Alexander Levy 0.5pt EW 80/1

Total staked = 6 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2016

WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016 Betting PreviewFirestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio

Par 70, 7,400 yards

The Course

Harvey Firestone commissioned the club 87 years ago in 1929 as a park for employees of the Firestone Tire and Rubber Company. Its first course, the South, was designed by Bert Way and opened on August 10, 1929, with Firestone driving the first ball. A major redesign by Robert Trent Jones in 1960 added over 50 bunkers, two ponds and brought the course up to 7,189 yards at par 70. The course was redesigned by Golforce in 1985 and played at 7,400 yards for the WGC event in 2013 which is what is measures today.

At 7,400 yards Firestone is a tricky test and has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour and will not be reachable in two for most of the field. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards so length along with accurate iron play will be an advantage here. Good long iron players will also be worth looking at here as four of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards.

The key stats here are GIR, driving distance, strokes gained putting, par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Brooks Koepka 20/1

Big hitting Brooks has been playing some superb golf this season and comes here in great form. He hasn’t finished worse that T13 in his last three events and looks like he could win any day now. He was unlucky not to win the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks and lost a playoff to Sergio Garcia after a wayward second shot on the first playoff hole. He then had a T2 at The St.Jude and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 over the four rounds. He followed that with a respectable T13 at Oakmont after shooting an impressive final round 68 to finish +4 for the tournament. He played well here last year finishing T6 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 for the four rounds finishing -5 for the week.

Statswise he ranks 14th in driving distance, fifth in strokes gained off the tee and fourth in par 4 scoring. With great form so far this season and a good performance here last year Brooks looks in good shape to be a big contender here.

 

Branden Grace 22/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Branden Grace 22/1

The South African has been in fine form so far this season and came close to a win in Oakmont a couple of weeks ago finishing T5 after shooting a final round 70. He had a great week at The RBC Heritage recently coming away with a great win and followed that with a T9 in Texas which included a 69 and a 67 over the weekend.

Grace has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He ranks 20th in SGTTG, 30th in GIR and seventh in par 4 scoring. Grace always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and has to be respected here after grinding out a great performance in Oakmont.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

It’s hard to know which Bubba will turn up at Firestone this week. He hasn’t been at his strongest form wise lately but I’m willing to wager that if he can bounce back anywhere, it could be here. On paper this course looks like it could suit the big hitting lefty and after a second place finish last year, he will be coming here feeling he can take this course on again. He hasn’t been at his best over the last four or five events but he has played well this season with a win at The Hero World Challenge earlier in the year, a T10 in Kapalua, T14 in Phoenix, a win in Riviera and a solo second at The WGC Cadillac.

Despite a T37 in 2014, Bubba hasn’t finished worse than T27 in five of his last six attempts here at Firestone. His form figures read 2,37,27,19,21,22 since 2010 so he knows his way around here. Watson also ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking ninth in driving distance, eighth in GIR and 11th in par 5 scoring. After coming close here last year, big hitting Bubba could be worth keeping an eye on here.

 

Patrick Reed 35/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Patrick Reed 35/1

Reed has had a bit of a mixed bag over the last few weeks but all in all seems to be playing well. He finished solo second in Texas recently and followed that with a T28 at The Byron Nelson, T15 at Colonial, T8 in Memorial and a T39 last week in Congressional.

The young American has a decent WGC CV with a win at The WGC Cadillac in Doral in 2014, T15 here in Firestone last year and T4 in Firestone in 2014. He ranks first in strokes gained around the green, 19th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling and 18th in par 5 scoring. Reed is a confident guy and could have another great week after playing well here in ’14 and ’15.

 

Jason Dufner 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Jason Dufner 40/1

With a couple of top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four starts, Jason Dufner returns to Firestone where he has played some good golf in the past. He had a good week at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and followed that with a T6 in Colonial, T33 at Memorial and an impressive T8 at The US Open in Oakmont.

In his last 16 competitive rounds Dufner has shot worse than a 70 three times (worst was a 73 in round 1 in Oakmont) so something seems to be clicking. In three appearances here Dufner has finished T66 in 2014, T4 in 2013 and solo seventh in 2012. He ranks seventh in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 1.5pts EW 20/1

Branden Grace 1.5pts EW 22/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 35/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 40/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s team matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jason Day The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 13/2

The Aussie has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He started the week with an opening 63 and followed that with a 66 on Friday. He looked to be in complete control of his game throughout the week and despite his less than impressive record here at Muirfield, I wouldn’t be surprised if he won again this week. Day has been playing great golf this year and got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay winning back to back. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass.

Day’s best finish here is T33 in 2010 but he should able to improve on that this time around. He ticks all the boxes here statistically ranking 13th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 37th in GIR. He also ranks third in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring which are two stats that should suit Muirfield. Although Spieth and McIlroy have a big chance and deserve huge respect, Day for me makes the most appeal here and looks to be unstoppable lately.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 16/1

Matsuyama is in fine form coming here this week and could be a massive contender. He has four top 11’s in his last five starts and comes here on the back of a T7 at The Players Championship at Sawgrass. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo. Matsuyama got his first PGA Tour victory here at Muirfield in 2014 and recorded another top five finish last year finishing T5.

He also looks good statswise ranking fifth in SGTTG, 11th in GIR, fourth in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a great record on this course Matsuyama looks to have a great chance here.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

Bubba has gone a bit quiet over the last few weeks and took some time off after The Players where he finished T43 for the tournament. He has been playing well this season finishing T14 in Phoenix, a win at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open and solo second at The WGC Cadillac after shooting an impressive final round 68.

Watson has played well here in the past and came close to winning here in 2014. He was two clear going into the back 9 but finished bogey-double bogey on 14 and 15 to miss out on the playoff by one stroke and ended up finishing third. Big hitting Bubba ranks second in SGTTG, sixth in driving distance, third in GIR, 33rd in par 4 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. After coming so close in 2014 Bubba could get back to winning ways here.

 

Jason Dufner 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Dufner 50/1

Dufner looks to be back showing some form lately and played well last week in Colonial finishing T6. He didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week firing 68,69,66,70 to finish nine under for the tournament. He also had a good performance at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and also didn’t shoot worse than a 70. Dufner has shown decent form this year and had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge at the start of February and followed that with a T11 at the WGC Cadillac and a T22 at The Valspar.

He has played well here in Ohio in the past finishing T24 last year and T19 in 2014. Statistically he ranks 22nd in SGTTG, 10th in GIR, 23RD in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders. If he can keep the putter rolling on the greens Dufner should have a good chance here at a generous price.

 

Daniel Berger 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016 Daniel Berger 50/1

The young American is one of the form players at the moment and could be one to keep a beady eye on here. He hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last seven starts. Berger played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He has played here once in the past missing the cut last year but should improve on that this week. He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 31st in strokes gained tee to green and 12th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 2pts EW 13/2

Hideki Matsuyama 2pts EW 16/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 50/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 50/1

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Masters Betting Preview 2016

The Masters Betting Preview 2016

Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia 

Par 72, 7,435 yards 

 

The Course 

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. Augusta National first opened 82 years ago in 1933, and has been modified many times by different architects. It is a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect  Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta when compiling a list of players to bet on. The first element is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high penetrated ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation is another stat to consider here as the greens are big and slopey so hitting the ball in the right portion of the green will be very important. Approach stats, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring are other stats to take into consideration here.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba has two wins already under his belt this season with a win at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas where he shot four rounds in the 60’s including a third round 63 to finish 25 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 in Phoenix. He had a great week in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 in his four rounds to finish 15 under for the tournament. He continued that good form in Doral and again shot three rounds in the 60’s finishing 11 under for the week. He has a great record in Augusta with wins in 2014 and 2012.

Bubba ticks a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance averaging over 310 yards off the tee, which will be a big help here. He also ranks first in GIR and SGTTG. He is one of a few players that can shape the ball in both directions and can cut the corners on some of these tricky doglegs. With great current form and a great record here Bubba looks a huge contender here.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Phil Mickelson 20/1 

If it wasn’t for the dreaded sixth hole at The Golf Club of Houston last week, Phil would’ve finished a hell of a lot better than T13. He was a whopping six over par on that one hole and finished eight under in total and the winner was 15 under so he wasn’t far away. He comes into this with four top 11 finishes this season starting with a T3 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included four steady rounds in the 60’s finishing 21 under in total. He followed that with a T11 in Phoenix, solo second in Pebble Beach and a solo fifth at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

Phil is a veteran of Augusta and is a three time winner winning in 2004,2006 and 2010. He also finished solo second last year, third in 2012, fifth in 08 and 09 and 10th in 05 and comes here this week in much better form than he did last year. Mickelson has been putting particularly well ranking sixth in SGP and ninth in SGTTG. He also ranks sixth in scrambling, first in par 3 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. With a solid start to the season and a good performance last week, Phil looks set for a good week on a course he knows so well.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1

The South African looked superb in The Matchplay beating Jordan Speith, Dustin Johnson and Rafa Cabrera Bello on his way to the final only to be beaten by the unstoppable Jason Day. His form has been superb over the last few weeks with a second place finish last week, a T7 at the Valspar and a T14 at The WGC Cadillac. He has also been in flying form on The European Tour with a win at The Perth International in Australia at the end of February, T12 at The Malaysian Open and a T7 in Qatar. Louis has played superb around Augusta over the last few years finishing second to Bubba Watson in 2012, T25 in 2014 and T19 last year.

He comes here in much better form this time around and is hitting it a long way off the tee averaging over 300 yards and ranks 16th in GIR and 12th in SGTTG. Louis looks in tip top form coming into this and could be another one to watch.

 

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 

The South African has been in fine form lately with two wins and two top 20’s in his last six starts. He finished T9 in The Nedbank Challenge just before Christmas and followed that with a win in The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63 to finish 16 under for the tournament. More recently Schwartzel finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and following that with a superb win at The Valspar. He had a good performance last week in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.

Schwartzel is another player that has a green jacket already tucked away with a win here in 2011, T30 in 2010 and a T25 in 2013. Charl ticks a lot of boxes statswise averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 18th in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 11th in scrambling and 21st in par 4 scoring. Charl’s game looks great coming into this week and he could be a big contender at a decent price.

 

Zach Johnson 60/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Zach Johnson 60/1  

I really thought Zach looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

Johnson is no stranger to Augusta winning here in 2007, T20 in 2008 and a T9 last year. He putted superbly well in the Matchplay which will be a big plus here. He ranks 25th in GIR, 21st in proximity to the hole and is incredibly accurate from 50-125 yards. With some good current form and a solid record here Johnson looks a great bet at 60’s

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Phil Mickelson 20/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 1pt ew

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 1pt EW

Zach Johnson 60/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Blue Monster Course, Doral Resort, Florida Par 72, 7,543 yards 

The Course 

This course has undergone some serious surgery in the last two years with Donald Trump pumping 250 million dollars into the course to add length and increase the overall difficulty of the blue monster.

The course has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has an extra 47 yards added onto it. The par 5 first measures a lengthy 605 yards, the par 3 fourth has an extra 24 yards and the par 4 eighteenth has an extra 5 yards added to it. These changes have made the Trump Doral inside the top five longest host courses on the PGA Tour.

Dustin Johnson won here last year on nine under and Patrick Reed won this event in 2014 shooting the highest score in the tournaments history finishing on 284 on four under par. Over the years, length has been of particular importance in this event. With this course now over 7,500 yards in length, it will be even more important so be on the lookout for bombers with good driving stats that are showing good recent form.

There are some main stats to consider going on previous years. Although length is key, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring and GIR will be important here. The usual mix of good current form and good previous form on this course will also be worth checking out especially over the last two years since the course changes took place.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba comes into this week in good form and played superbly well recently in Riviera shooting a 68 in the final round to win by one stroke over Jason Kokrak and Adam Scott. He has two wins and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has a great record here at Doral finishing T3 last year, T2 in 2014, T18 in 2013 and T2 in 2012. Bubba also ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking sixth in driving distance, sixth in GIR and fourth in SGTTG. He also ranks 28th in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring and should feel at home on this course where he has played well on in the past and seems to suit his game.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Dustin Johnson 12/1

I thought DJ looked more confident at Riviera and played well all week finishing solo fourth and showed a lot of consistency shooting 68,66,68,69 to finish 13 under in total. His form has been good finishing T5 at The WGC HSBC Champions, 15th at The Hero World Challenge, T10 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and T18 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 80 in near unplayable conditions.

Johnson is another player with a great record in Doral with a win last year, T4 in 2014, T12 in 2013 and T2 in 2011. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking seventh in driving distance, ninth in SGTTG, 28th in par 4 scoring and 13th in par 5 scoring. After playing well over the last few weeks DJ should be a huge contender here.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

J.B. Holmes 30/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I have tipped J.B a lot over the last few weeks and ive decided to give him another go this week. Despite not winning me anything over the last few weeks, he has been playing decent with six top 12’s in his last seven events. He started the season well with a T8 at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout, T6 at The Farmers, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Pebble and T11 at The Northern Trust Open.

J.B finished T2 here last year shooting an impressive 62 in round one and is another bomber off the tee which should suit this course. He ranks third in driving distance, sixth in SGTTG and 20th in par 4 scoring. With some quality performances over the last few weeks and a good week here in Doral last year, J.B looks a solid bet here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede has bounced back well after an injury and has been playing well over the last couple of months. He played well at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T11 and followed that with a T3 at The BMW Masters. He also had a good week at The Nedbank before Christmas finishing solo second and started the New Year with a T3 in Abu Dhabi and a T6 in Dubai.

Stenson is another player with a good record here finishing T4 here last year and T16 in 2013. He also fits the bill here ranking 11th in GIR, second in strokes gained putting and 18th in driving accuracy. Stenson is another big hitter and should go well here especially after playing so well in the desert swing.

 

First Round Leader –

Dustin Johnson 18/1

With such a good record at this venue, Dustin Johnson has gone low here in round one over the last few years and hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in four of his last five opening rounds in Doral. He started with a 69 in 2011, 68 in 2013, 69 in 2014 and a 68 last year.

In his last six opening rounds he has only shot over 70 once, which was at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions where he opened with a 73 and bounced back with a 67,68,69 to finish -14. Most recently he opened with a 70 in Torrey Pines in The Farmers Insurance Open, 70 in Pebble Beach and an impressive 68 in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open. After a solo fourth in Riviera and four rounds in the 60’s, I fancy DJ to start strongly and open with a low one here.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 30/1 1pt EW

Henrik Stenson 28/1 1pt EW

Dustin Johsnon 18/1 1pt EW First Round Leader

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2016

Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2016

Riviera Country Club, California

Par 71, 7,349 Yards

The Course

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California and was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. It has been the primary host for the Northern Trust Open (originally the Los Angeles Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards. Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.

Previous winners include James Hahn (2015), Bubba Watson (2014), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a monstrous 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting and tee to green and par 4 scoring.

 

Jimmy Walker 20/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Jimmy Walker 28/1

I’ve decided to give Jimmy one more chance this week in California. After another solid performance in Pebble finishing T11 on 11 under, Walker looks to be playing some great golf and showed that with a 63 in round three last week. He came close to winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago when he was leading going into the final round. He ended up finishing his final round on the Monday and shot a final round 77 due to horrendous conditions to finish T4. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas, T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions,T13 at The Sony Open and T4 at The Farmers.

Walker has a good record here in Riviera finishing fourth in 2011 and 2012, T16 In 2013 and T20 in 2014. He is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 24th in SGTTG, 26th in SGP and eighth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good record here Walker could be a huge contender here.

 

Bubba Watson 22/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Bubba Watson 22/1

Despite missing the cut last week in Pebble, Bubba comes into this week in good form and should feel more at home in Riviera. He has a win and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has played well here in Riviera in the past with a T13 in 2012, a win in 2014 and a T14 last year. Statswise Bubba seems to fit the bill here averaging just under 315 yards off the tee ranking fourth in driving distance and seventh in SGTTG. This course suits players that can shape the ball and hit it long which is right up Bubba’s street.

 

JB Holmes 28/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

J.B Holmes 28/1

J.B gets another nod from me again this week. He has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and had yet another solid performance last week in Pebble finishing T11 on nine under for the tournament. He also had a good week in Phoenix finishing T6 and had another T6 at The Famers Insurance Open in the weather stricken Torrey pines. He started 2016 off with a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

Holmes has a good record on this course finishing third in 2010, T12 in 2011, T8 in 2012 and T22 last year. He ranks fifth in driving distance, 17th in SGTTG and 35th in par 4 scoring. J.B has a great record here and looks great value here at 28’s.

 

Charl Schwartzel 30/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Charl Schwartzel 30/1

After another superb performance in South Africa last week winning the Tshwane Open, Schwartzel is playing some excellent golf over the last few weeks with two wins and two top 10’s in his last four events. He finished T4 at The DP Tour Championship in Dubai and followed that with a win at The Alfred Dunhill Championship and a T9 at The Nedbank Championship.

The South African has played well here in the past finishing T5 here in 2014 and T3 in 2013. The grass on the fairways here is Kikuyu which is the same grass they play on in South Africa giving Charl a bit of an advantage here. Staswise he ranks 25th in driving distance averaging 304 yards off the tee, 14th in GIR and 25th in SGP. With superb current form and a good record here, Charl looks great value here.

 

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 NorthernTrust Open 60/1

Freddie Jacobson 60/1

I have been really impressed with Freddie’s form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four events. He had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T4 at the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. The Swede had another solid performance last week in Pebble finishing T4 and scrambled and putted superbly well (which will be a big help this week).

He is another player with a good past here finishing third here in 2013 and T13 in 2012. He ranks 33rd in SGP, 10th in scrambling and fourth in par 4 scoring. If Freddie can keep it going this week with the putter he could be right in the mix at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Bubba Watson 1.5 pts EW 22/1

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 28/1

Charl Schwartzel 1pt EW 30/1

Freddie Jacobson 1pt EW 60/1

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

PaddyPower paying 7 places this week.

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2016

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2016

Stadium Course, TPC Scottsdale, Arizona 

Par 71, 7,266 Yards 

The Course 

It’s been a superb couple of weeks with a35/1 winner on Jason Dufner at The Career Builder Challenge followed by an 18/1 win on Snedeker and a 30/1 place on Jimmy Walker in Torrey Pines. Let’s keep it going this week in Phoenix!

The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last couple of years with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes, including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the past 2 years it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form and have played well here in the past.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1  Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba has been playing great golf over the last couple of months and comes here feeling fresh after taking the last couple of weeks off. He had a good finish to the season finishing T5 at The Tour Championship, T10 at The BMW, solo third at The Barclays and back to back seconds at The WGC Bridgestone and Canadian Open. He had a great win at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas shooting 67,67,63,66 to finish an impressive 25 under for the week. He started 2016 off with a T10 at Hyundai Tournament of Champions which included three rounds in the 60’s.

He has a great record here on The Stadium Course finishing second last year, second again in 2014, T15 in 2013 and fifth in 2012. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking third in driving distance averaging 320 yards off the tee, fifth in GIR, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in par 5 scoring. With solid current form and a great record here Bubba looks a good shout here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 14/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Brandt Snedeker 14/1

After a superb final round 69 in practically unplayable conditions in Torrey Pines last Sunday, Sneds ended up winning The Farmers Insurance Open by one strokes over KJ Choi. He started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys and followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge a couple of weeks ago.

Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and shot 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez, but was just pipped at the post on the second playoff hole.

He has a great record here at the Stadium Course finishing T10 last year, T2 in 2013, T8 in 2011 and T9 in 2008. Statswise he is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in strokes gained putting, 28th in par 3 scoring and 13th in par 4 scoring. With such great current form and a good record here Snedeker could make it two wins in a row.

 

Kevin Kisner 28/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Kevin Kisner 28/1

With a win and three top 10’s in his last four starts, Kevin Kisner is playing some super golf at the moment. He finished solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

The American is hitting it an average of 296 off the tee and ranks fifth in driving accuracy. He also ranks 18th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in strokes gained putting. With a solid start to the year there’s no reason why he can’t continue that fine form here in Phoenix.

 

Jason Dufner 30/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Jason Dufner 30/1

Dufner arrives in Phoenix after an excellent win at The CareerBuilder Challenge after beating Swede David Lingmerth in a playoff and played solid all week shooting 64,65,64,70 on his way to a 25 under total. He has been playing well over the last couple of months and won The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Brandt Snedeker, where his iron play and putting looked superb all week. He also had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing T9 and followed that with a T9 at The Sony Open on 13 under for the tournament, which included a third round 65.

He has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2012 and T2 in 2011. He ranks 31st in driving accuracy, 20th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green and third in par 5 scoring. After a mediocre 2015 season, Dufner looks back to his best over the last few weeks and could be a huge contender here.

 

Ryan Palmer 35/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Ryan Palmer 35/1

Palmer is playing pretty consistent golf over the last few weeks with three top 20’s in four starts. He finished T16 at The Shriners and followed that with a T13 at The Sony and a T17 at The CareerBuilder Challenge in California. He started well shooting 67,66,66 in the first three rounds and should have finished a bit better after shooting a disappointing 73 in round 4.

He has played well here in the past finishing T2 last year, T5 in 2013 and T14 in 2010. Statswise he is averaging a massive 315 yards off the tee ranking fifth in driving distance, 31st in strokes gained tee to green and second in par 5 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 14/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 28/1 1pt EW

Jason Dufner 30/1 1pt EW

Ryan Palmer 35/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Hyundai Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2016

Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii 

Par 73, 7,452 yards 

The Course 

Happy New Year everyone it’s great to be back. We kick off 2016 with The Hyundai Tournament of Champions which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth a look.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Patrick Reed 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Patrick Reed 10/1

The American played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting rounds of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team in Korea. He had a good end to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has a good record here at Kapalua with a win last year and a T16 in 2014. Statswise he is hitting just under 70% of fairways off the tee and ranks fourth in GIR. If he brings that good form into this week in Hawaii he will be a huge contender and looks like he’s right on the cusp of a win any day now.

 

Bubba Watson 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Bubba Watson 10/1

Bubba has been playing solid golf over the last few weeks finishing T15 at The Thailand Golf Championships and a win at The Hero World Challenge in his last two starts. He had a great season in 2015 and finished strongly with three top 10’s in his last four FedExCup Playoff events. He had a great week at The Barclays shooting four rounds in the 60’s to finish 11 under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Watson was also part of the winning US Presidents Cup Team in Korea.

He has played well here on this course in the past finishing T10 last year, T4 in 2013 and T18 in 2012. Last season he ranked second in driving distance, first in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in GIR. Watson is another player coming into this week showing fantastic current form and should go well on a course that should suit his length.

 

Kevin Kisner 18/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Kevin Kisner 18/1

Kisner has had a great season so far and started with a respectable T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. He followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia which included a second round 65. Kisner then had a superb week in elite company at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai where he finished solo second. The American started 64,66 and followed that with two 70’s to finish 18 under par for the tournament. At The RSM Classic he played superbly well all week shooting 65,67,64,64 to finish 22 under par for the week and record his first PGA Tour victory.

Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes for this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in SGP and 11th in par 4 scoring. He has proven to be a good wind player and has played well on seaside setups in the past. He came close to his first PGA Tour victory at Hilton Head where he lost the second playoff hole to Jim Furyk at The RBC Heritage. With superb current form, Kisner could go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Graeme McDowell 25/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Graeme McDowell 25/1

Over the last few weeks we have seen Gmac coming back and showing some great form. He came back with a bang at The OHL Classic in Mexico beating Jason Bohn in a playoff. He played a magnificent five iron into four feet on the first playoff hole and drained the putt for a tournament winning birdie. He then followed that with a solo third at The RSM Classic showing some superb consistency shooting 67,68,65,67 to finish 15 under for the week. He was then paired up with Gary Woodland in The Franklin Templeton Shootout and finished T6.

So far this season he ranks eighth in driving accuracy, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. McDowell has played only once here before finishing third in 2011. He tends to relish seaside courses and could be in his element if the wind blows.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 10/1 2pts EW

Bubba Watson 10/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Graeme McDowell 25/1 1.5 pts EW

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

Sheshan International GC, Shanghai, China

Par 72, 7,261 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club where Bubba Watson is the defending champion. He finished off in style last year by chipping in for eagle on the 18th and went on to beat Tim Clark in a playoff.

Previous winners include Phil Mickelson (2009), Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Ian Poulter (2012), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Bubba Watson (2014). Dustin Johnson holds the 72 hole record here with a score of 264 (2013).

Sheshan International is a par 72 measuring 7,261 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

Length tends to be a plus here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. Bear in mind that Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson have won the last two staging’s here and both are statistically huge hitters with average accuracy off the tee.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring. All four days look to be a bit mixed averaging from 21-25 degrees with the risk of rain and the possibility of thunderstorms.

 

Bubba Watson 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Bubba Watson 18/1

Bubba comes here in great form after winning The Presidents Cup with the American Team a couple of weeks ago in Korea. He also had a great finish to the season finishing solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA, solo third at The Barclays, T10 at The BMW and T5 at The Tour Championship. He played superbly well here last year and dramatically chipped in for an eagle on the 18th to force Tim Clark into a playoff, which he went on to win. Watson lead driving distance and par 5 scoring that week playing the par 5’s in 14 under for the week.

He also played well here in 2013 finishing T8 so the course seems to suit his eye. Bubba ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking second in driving distance, 19th in GIR and first in SGTTG. He also leads par 5 scoring and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After a solid finish to the season and a good performance at The Presidents Cup, Bubba Watson could have another good week here at Sheshan.

 

Rickie Fowler 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Rickie Fowler 18/1

Rickie had a mediocre performance at The Frys shooting 72,65,70,68 to finish T25 for the tournament. However he did have a good finish to the season with a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone, a win at The Deutsche Bank, a T4 at The BMW and a T12 at The Tour Championship. He was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup Team in Korea. He has played well here in Sheshan in the past finishing T3 here last year only one stroke from getting in the playoff with Bubba Watson and Tim Clark.

Statswise he ranks 39th in driving distance averaging 296 off the tee, 35th in SGP and 26th in SGTTG. He also ranks 18th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. After blowing the cobwebs off at The Frys, Rickie should be sharp and ready to contend here on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Patrick Reed 33/1

The American has been in Asia for the last couple of weeks and recorded two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting round of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 last week in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week. Reed was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team and had a good finish to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has played well here in the past finishing T22 here last year. Staswise he averages 292 off the tee and ranks third in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 19th in SGP. After two top 10’s in his last two tournaments, there’s no reason why Reed shouldn’t have another good week here.

 

Paul Casey 35/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Paul Casey 35/1

The Englishman played his first tournament of the new season last week at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a respectable T24. He also had a good finish to the season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T3 at The Wyndham, T23 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Casey has a superb record at this event finishing T20 in 2013, T4 in 2011, T6 in 2010, T9 in 2009 and T11 in 2008.

Casey averages 297 off the tee and ranked third in driving accuracy and first in GIR last week in Malaysia. Last season he ranked fifth in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 13th in par 5 scoring and 10th in par 4 scoring. After a good week in Malaysia and a great history at this event, I can see Casey having another good week here at a decent price.

 

Chris Wood 50/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Chris Wood 50/1

Chris Wood has been in flying form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in a row. His good run of form began back at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship where he finished T4. He followed that with a T9 at The British Masters, solo second in Portugal and a solo fifth last week at The Turkish Airlines Open. Wood has only played once here back in 2013 when he finished in a respectable T39 for the week.

He is averaging just under 290 off the tee on the European Tour this season and ranks 18th in stroke average, 15th in strokes gained putting and 27th in putts per round. He played well on the par 5’s last week and made a lot of birdies, which will be a big plus at Sheshan this week.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 18/1 2pts EW

Rickie Fowler 18/1 1.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 1.5pts EW

Paul Casey 35/1 1pt EW

Chris Wood 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doubleboegy6

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