Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2015

 

Deutsche Bank Championship 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Field: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings 

TPC Boston, Norton, MA 

Par 71, 7,242 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travels to TPC Boston where it has hosted this event since 2003. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Chris Kirk was the winner last year finishing on 15 under par and Henrik Stenson won here in 2013 finishing on 22 under par.

Other previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011), Charley Hoffman (2010), Steve Stricker (2009) and Vijay Singh (2008). When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top.

This course has 11 par 4’s, four par 3’s and three par 5’s. The greens are wide and forgiving and should suit the big hitters. They also offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting stats.  With 11 par 4’s, par 4 scoring is another stat worth checking. There will also be a particular emphasis on birdie average as this event has been a bit of a birdie fest over the years.

The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so driving accuracy will not be as important as driving distance. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field so there will be a particular emphasis on ball striking and distance.

 

Jason Day 6/1 Deutsche Bank Championship

Jason Day 6/1

It’s hard to leave out Day after yet another superb performance last week and playing with such dominance over the last few weeks. After last week’s win at The Barclays that makes it four wins for Jason Day this season. He won the Farmers Insurance Open back in February beating J.B. Holmes in a playoff and followed that with a superb win at The RBC Canadian Open, a win at The PGA in Whistling Straits and a win last week in Plainfield which makes that three wins in his last four starts.

Day has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T13 in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks third in driving distance, ninth in GIR, eighth in strokes gained tee to green and second in strokes gained putting. He also ranks first in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. With absolutely superb current form and good course form here at TPC Boston over the years, Jason Day is without a doubt the man to beat here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 14/1 Deutsche Bank Championship 2015

Henrik Stenson 14/1

The Swede cones here after a great performance last week at The Barclays finishing solo second on 13 under for the tournament. He seems to be coming into some form just at the right time with a solo second last week, T25 at The PGA and a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone in his last three tournaments. Stenson has played well at this event in the past finishing T26 last year and a win here in 2013.

He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 14th in driving accuracy. He ranks first in GIR, second in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and looks to be hitting form at just the right time. With a good history here and good current form, Stenson could have another good week here.

 

Bubba Watson 22/1 Deutsche Bank Championship 2015

Bubba Watson 22/1

Bubba is playing great golf at present and has a win and three top 3’s in his last seven events. He won the Travelers Championship beating Paul Casey in a playoff an followed that with a T13 at The Greenbrier, solo second at The RBC Canadian Open, solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA and a solo third last week at The Barclays. He has played well here at TPC Boston over the years with his best finishes coming in 2011 finishing T16 and T12 in 2006.

Watson should suit this course with his length and ranks second in driving distance averaging just over 316 yards off the tee, perfect for these wide fairways. He also ranks 23rd in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and fifth in birdie average. He ranks ninth in par 3 scoring, eighth in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Bubba is in fine form at the moment and that could continue here at TPC Boston.

 

Brooks Koepka 40/1 Deutsche Bank Championship FedExCup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 40/1

I wouldn’t be too concerned about Brooks missing the cut last week at The Barclays, in fact I think it could do him some good coming into this week after a bit of a rest last weekend. He is another player in fine form with five top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last seven starts. His good run of form started back at The Fedex St Jude where he finished T3 and followed that with a T18 in Chambers Bay, T10 at The Open Championship and a T18 at The RBC Canadian Open. He then had three top sixes in a row finishing T6 at The WGC Bridgestone, T5 at The PGA and T6 at The Wyndham.

I reckon Brooks should suit this course averaging 309 off the tee ranking seventh in driving distance, 11th in GIR, 22nd in strokes gained tee to green and 11th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks 17th in birdie average, sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. Koepka should be well rested after a weekend off last week and should go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Tony Finau 70/1 Deautsche Bank Championship FedExCup Playoffs

Tony Finau 70/1

The big hitting Tony Finau should be another player that could suit TPC Boston and comes here with ten top 25’s in his last 12 starts. He looks to be showing some great consistency over the few months and was right in the mix at The Barclays after the first two rounds. Finau’s good run of form began back at The Wellls Fargo where he finished T16. He followed that with a T19 in Colonial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T8 at Memorial, T14 in Chambers Bay and T13 at The Greenbrier. Most recently, Finau finished T22 at The RBC Canadian Open, T10 at The PGA and T16 last week at The Barclays, which he lead after 54 holes.

He averages 309 off the tee ranking eighth in driving distance, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in birdie average. He also ranks 20th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring and looks to be in fine form coming to a course that could suit his game.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 3pts EW 6/1

Henrik Stenson 2pts EW 14/1

Bubba Watson 2pts EW 22/1

Brooks Koepka 1pt EW 40/1

Tony Finau 1pt EW 70/1

Total Staked = 18 pts

 

That’s all from me this season folks, I’m away on holidays for the next couple of weeks and will not be covering the last two FedexCup events. Ill be back for the first PGA Tour event of the new season in October.

Many thanks for reading my posts and best of luck for the last two events, lets finish on a high note this week!

Chat to you in October,

Doublebogey6

 

 

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2015

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2015

TPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is a small course by PGA Tour standards measuring only 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways. It has four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 and will offer birdie opportunities. The par 4 second measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field and should also offer a lot of birdies.

These bentgrass greens will be a huge change from the poor greens in last week’s US Open at Chambers Bay. They are also smaller by tour standards so accurate approach shots will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Ryan Moore (4 top 10’s), Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win) and Bubba Watson (3 top 10’sand a win). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats to consider here are good course history, good putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Bubba Watson 11/1

After opening with a 70 in round one last week in Chambers Bay, Bubba Watson shot a 77 in round two and ended up missing the cut, which isn’t a bad thing coming into this week’s Travelers. His form has been a bit hit and miss over the last few weeks, but he started the season off in style with a win at The HSBC Champions and has a further four top 10 finishes. Most recently, he played well at The WGC Cadillac in Doral finishing solo third on seven under for the tournament. He only played in four events since then.

He has played well here at TPC River Highlands in the past with a win in 2010, T2 in 2012 and a T4 in 2013. Statswise Bubba ranks fourth in driving distance, eighth in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 5 scoring and 14th in par 3 scoring. With such a good record here over the last few years, this could be place where he regains some of the great form he started with at the beginning of the season.

 

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Brandt Snedeker 16/1

Snedeker had another good performance last week in Chambers Bay making that his third top 10 in his last three starts. He played great golf at The Crowne Plaza Invitational shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a T2 finish. He followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson shooting two 64’s on Saturday and Sunday finishing on 12 under for the week. He continued that good run of form shooting an impressive final round 68 to finish solo 8th in Chambers Bay last week. Sneds has played well here in the past finishing T11 last year and T24 in 2011.

He ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, 31st in approaches from 50-125 yards, fourth in scrambling and second in putts from 10 feet, which is a good stat for putting on these small greens. He also ranks 10th in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 3 scoring. Snedeker is in fine form at the moment and could be the man to beat here.

 

Marc Leishman 33/1 Travelers Championship

Marc Leishman 33/1

Leishman has been showing some decent form over the last couple of months with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last six events. He finished T9 at The WGC Matchplay, T24 at The Players, T27 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational and T5 at The Memorial. He is another player with a good record here over the last few years with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013 and a T11 last year.

Leishman seems to tick a lot of statistical boxes here ranking second in approaches from 150-175 and 23rd in approaches from 125-150, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks first in putts from 10-15 feet and second in putts from eight feet. With good stats, good current form and a good record here, Leishman is a decent shout here at 33’s.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Russell Knox 40/1

Knox has been a pretty solid performer over the last few months with four top 25’s in his last seven events. He has top 10’s at The Shriners (3rd), The Honda Classic (T3) and most recently, the St Jude Classic, where he finished T8. He also finished T18 at The RBC Heritage, T17 at The Players, T24 at The Crowne Plaza and T18 at The Memorial. Knox has played well here in the past finishing T13 in 2013, but looks to be in much better form this time around.

Statswise Knox ranks 20th in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR, 21st in strokes gained tee to green and second in proximity to the hole. He also ranks 11th in approaches from 150-175, fourth in par 4 scoring and 23rd in par 3 scoring.

 

Tony Finau 40/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Tony Finau 40/1

Finau started very well last week in Chambers Bay shooting 69,68 in the first two rounds and looked to be hitting the ball beautifully all week, particularly off the tee and around the greens. He shot 74, 71 over the weekend and finished in a very respectable T14 on +2 for the tournament. He has been playing very steady over the last few weeks with three top 20’s and two top 10’s in his last five starts. His good form began back at The Wells Fargo, where he finished T16. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T8 at The Memorial and T14 last week in Chambers Bay.

Finau is a huge hitter ranking third in driving distance, 33rd in strokes gained tee to green, second in approaches from 150-175 and 40th in par 4 scoring. TPC River Highlands has seen many first time winners over the years and this could be a course that really suits big hitting Tony Finau.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 2 pts EW

Marc Leishman 33/1 1 pt EW

Russell Knox 40/1 1 pt EW

Tony Finau 40/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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The Masters Betting Preview 2015

The Masters Betting Preview 2015

Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia

Par 72, 7,435 yards

 Last week:

What an exciting finale we had last night to the Houston Open! J.B Holmes shot a superb 64 in the final round and got himself into a playoff with Johnson Wagner and Jordan Spieth. Speith hit a poor second shot into the first playoff hole and finished with a bogey to take himself out of contention. J.B beat Wagner after he missed a six foot par putt to continue the playoff. 25/1 winner in the bag, happy days.

The Course

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. Augusta National first opened 82 years ago in 1933, and has been modified many times by different architects. It is a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta when compiling a list of players to bet on. The first element is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high penetrated ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation is another stat to consider here as the greens are big and slopey so hitting the ball in the right portion of the green will be very important. Approach stats, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring are other stats to take into consideration here.

 

Bubba Watson The Masters 10/1

Bubba Watson 10/1

The defending champ comes back to Augusta National in great form and hasn’t finished outside the top 15 in his last six events. His good form began back in November, where he won the WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai. His good form continued into December where he finished T11 at The Hero World Challenge on eight under for the tournament.

He started 2015 well with a solo 10th at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, T2 at The Phoenix Open and T14 at The Northern Trust Open. Most recently, he finished solo 3rd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. Since then, he hasn’t played in any other events and should be well rested coming into Augusta. He has a great record at this event with two wins in the last three years and a T20 in 2008.

Statswise Bubba ranks third in driving distance, fourth in strokes gained tee to green, 12th in strokes gained putting and second in scrambling. He also ranks sixth in par 3 scoring, 23rd in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Bubba is made for this course and has the current form to contend and win for the third time in four years.

 

Jordan Spieth 10/1 The Masters

Jordan Speith 10/1

He nearly did it again last Sunday and lost in a playoff to J.B. Holmes and Johnson Wagner to finish P2. There is no other player in better form at the moment than Jordan Spieth. Other than a missed cut at The Farmers in February, Spieth hasn’t finished worse than T17 in his last seven events. After winning the Australian Open in November, he then went on to win again at The Hero World Challenge in December and finish 2014 off in style.

He began 2015 with a T7 at The Phoenix Open, T7 at The AT&T in Pebble Beach, T4 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, win at The Valspar, a solo 2nd in Texas and a P2 last week in Houston. Last year, Spieth came close to winning in Augusta, but feel off the lead on the back nine due to some late bogeys and finished T2 on five under for the tournament.

He also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking eighth in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in strokes gained putting and 39th in scrambling. He also ranks fifth in par 4 scoring, first in par 4 birdie or better leaders and second in approaches from 150-175, which is a good stat for approaches into some of the longer par 4’s. Spieth is even more experienced this time around and is in superb current form and knows how to win in a top class field.

 

Jaosn Day 14/1 The Masters

Jason Day 14/1

Jason Day has been in great form so far this year and hasn’t finished worse than T17 in five of his last six tournaments. He had a great start to the year with a T3 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which included an impressive final round 62. He followed that with a respectable T17 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and won the following week at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines beating J.B. Holmes in a playoff. He then went on to have yet another good week at The AT&T in Pebble Beach finishing T4, which included a superb 62 in round 2.

Most recently, he finished T31 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral and had a good week at Bay Hill finishing T17 on nine under for the tournament. Day has come close to winning the Masters in the past finishing T20 last year, solo 3rd in 2013 and T2 in 2011.

He ranks ninth in driving distance, third in GIR, 19th in strokes gained tee to green and 12th in approaches from 125-150, which is good stat for approaches into the longer par 4’s. Day also ranks ninth in scrambling, eighth in par 3 scoring, first in par 4 scoring and 44th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history at Augusta, this could be the year Jason Day wins his first major.

 

Henrik Stenson Th Masters 18/1

Henrik Stenson 18/1

With three top five’s in his last three tournaments, it’s hard to leave Henrik Stenson out of the selections this week. He played well in Doral at The WGC Cadillac finishing T4 on four under for the tournament. He followed that with a solo 4th at The Valspar and a solo 2nd at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill, which he should have won if it weren’t for a couple of missed putts.

Stenson has three top 20’s at Augusta since 2008. He played well here last year finishing T14 on +1 for the tournament. In 2013, he finished T18 and level par for the week. Stenson ranks 13th in driving accuracy, second in GIR, second in strokes gained tee to green and second in strokes gained putting.

He also ranks third in approaches from 125-150 and 27th in approaches from 225-250, which are two good stats for approaches into the longer par 4’s and par 5’s. Stenson also ranks fourth in scrambling, eighth in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. He decided to withdraw from Houston last week to get some practice in Augusta, which should stand to him. He has contended in majors before and is in much better form this time around than he has been in previous years.

 

Jimmy Walker 25/1 The Masters

Jimmy Walker 25/1

After recording his second victory of 2015 in his home town of San Antonio, Texas a couple of weeks ago, Jimmy Walker is another player showing some brilliant form this season. He played superb from start to finish and topped driving accuracy, GIR and strokes gained putting stats for the tournament. He started the new season with a T4 at The Shriners Open back in October and followed that with a solo 15th at The Hero World Challenge. He began 2015 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and finished P2 after losing a playoff to Patrick Reed.

He quickly bounced back and won the Sony Open in Hawaii the following week and followed that with a T7 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines. He played well at The AT&T in Pebble finishing in a respectable T21 and finished T31 at The WGC Cadillac. Walker is another player that seems to suit Augusta, finishing T8 here last year.

Statswise he ticks all the boxes ranking 17th in driving distance, 21st in GIR, 12th in strokes gained tee to green and third in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 35th in par 3 scoring, 12th in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With two wins already under his belt this year, Jimmy Walker looks to be in great form and could add another victory to his ever growing trophy cabinet in Augusta.

 

Matt Kuchar The Masters 33/1

Matt Kuchar 33/1

Kuchar is one of the most consistent players in the world and has only finished outside the top 25 twice in his last 10 tournaments. He started the season with a T21 at The Frys, T22 at The McGladrey and a T8 at The Hero World Challenge. He followed that with a T17 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T3 at The Sony Open. He then had a T2 at The Humana, T23 at The WGC Cadillac and most recently, a T15 at The Texas Open.

Kuchar’s record in Augusta is superb with a T5 last year, T8 in 2013, T3 in 2012, T27 in 2011 and a T24 in 2010. He ranks 15th in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling, fifth in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. With steady form so far this season and a great record at Augusta over the last three years, Kuchar could be a big contender this week.

 

Final selections –

Bubba Watson 2pts EW 10/1

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 10/1

Jason Day 2 pts EW 14/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5 pts EW 18/1

Jimmy Walker 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Matt Kuchar 33/1 1 pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 20 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2015

WGC Cadillac Betting Preview Tips and Predictions

Blue Monster Course, Doral Resort, Florida Par 72, 7,528 yards

The Course

This course has undergone some serious surgery in the last two years with Donald Trump pumping 250 million dollars into the course to add length and increase the overall difficulty of the blue monster.

The course has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has an extra 47 yards added from last year. The par 5 first has 18 yards added to it, the par 3 fourth has an extra 24 yards and the par 4 eighteenth has an extra 5 yards added to it. These changes have made the Trump Doral inside the top five longest host courses on the PGA Tour.

Patrick Reed won this event last year shooting the highest score in the tournaments history finishing on 284 on four under par. Over the years, length has been of particular importance in this event. With this course now over 7,500 yards in length, it will be even more important so be on the lookout for bombers with good driving stats that are showing good recent form.

There are some main stats to consider going on previous years. Although length is key, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring, GIR and total driving will be key here. This course is made for the likes of Bubba, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed and Phil Mickelson. The usual mix of good current form and good previous form on this course will also be worth checking out, especially last year, which was the first year the course changes took place.

Bubba Watson 14/1 WGC Cadillac

Bubba Watson 14/1
Bubba has been playing very consistent golf lately and hasn’t finished outside the top 15 in his last five events. His good form began back in November when he won the WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai, where he finished on 11 under par. He then went on to finish T11 at The Hero World Challenge, solo 10th at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and T2 at The Phoenix Open. Most recently, he had a good week at The Northern Trust Open finishing in a respectable T14 on two under for the tournament.

His record here at Doral is quite impressive finishing T2 last year, T18 in 2013 and solo 2nd in 2012. He ranks 11th in driving distance averaging 303 yards off the tee, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and first in strokes gained total. He also ranks first in par 5 scoring, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. After taking the week off last week, Bubba should be fresh and ready to get in contention this week.

Dustin Johnson 20/1 WGC Cadillac

Dustin Johnson 20/1
Dustin Johnson made his return to the PGA Tour at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. Despite missing the cut, he followed that with a T4 at The AT&T in Pebble Beach finishing on 17 under for the tournament. He had another good week at The Northern Trust Open getting into a three way playoff, but was knocked out by the eventual winner, James Hahn. Johnson has a super record here at Doral with two top 5’s and a top 15 in his last four appearances. He finished T4 last year, T12 in 2013 and solo 2nd in 2011.

Johnson ranks first in driving distance averaging 313 yards off the tee. He ranks eighth in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in approaches from 200+ and third in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 16th in par 3 scoring and 12th in par 5 birdie or better leaders. With such a good record on this course and two top 5’s in his last three starts, Johnson is hard to ignore here.

Patrick Reed 22/1 WGC Cadillac

Patrick Reed 22/1
After a dramatic finish at The Honda Classic on Monday afternoon, Patrick Reed looked right in the thick of things up to the point when he hit his tee shot on 15 into the water, which took him right out of contention. Despite that small setback, Reed has been playing well since December where he finished T3 at The Hero World Challenge. He followed that with a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, T24 at The Humana and a T29 at The AT&T in Pebble Beach. He finished T7 last week at The Honda, shooting a final round 73 to finish three under for the tournament.

Reed played superb last year and came away with a win after shooting a total of four under for the tournament. Statswise he seems to fit the bill here averaging 293 off the tee and ranks 20th in strokes gained tee to green, 24th in strokes gained putting and fourth in approaches from 250-275, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. Reed also ranks eighth in par 4 scoring and 29th in par 5 scoring. After a good performance last week, Reed comes to Doral in good form and could have another good week after playing so well here last year.

Jamie Donaldson 40/1 WGC Cadillac

Jamie Donaldson 40/1
Donaldson has been playing well for the last couple of months and has only finished outside the top 25 twice in his last 10 events. He started 2015 off well with a T9 at The Abu Dhabi Championship finishing on 13 under, which included a third round 65. He followed that with T19 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines finishing on four under. Donaldson had a great week at The Honda shooting a final round 66 to finish solo 6th and played well here last year finishing T2, one stroke behind the winner Patrick Reed.

He is averaging 292 off the tee on The European Tour and ranks first in strokes gained putting so far this season. He ranks seventh in approaches from 175-200, fourth in approaches from 50-125 yards and 14th in par 5 scoring. After a top 10 last week at The Honda, Donaldson could have another great week here.

Luke Donald 50/1 WGC Cadillac

Luke Donald 50/1
After a disappointing start to the 2015 season, Luke Donald played well last week at The Honda finishing on three under and T7 for the tournament. He was showing some good form before Christmas playing well at The Nedbank Challenge in South Africa finishing solo 3rd on 12 under. He also had a good finish to the 2014 European Tour season finishing T26 at The DP World Championship in Dubai.

He has a good record at this event over the last few years with two top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four appearances. He finished T25 last year, T6 in 2012 and T6 again in 2011. After a good performance last week at The Honda, Donald could have another good week on a course he has played well on in the past.

Final selections –
Bubba Watson 2 pts EW
Dustin Johnson 1.5 pts EW
Patrick Reed 1.5 pts EW
Jamie Donaldson 1 pt EW
Luke Donald 1 pt EW
Total staked = 14 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2015

Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2015

Riviera Country Club, California
Par 71, 7,349 Yards


The Course

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California and was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. It has been the primary host for the Northern Trust Open (originally the Los Angeles Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards.

Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.

Previous winners include Bubba Watson (last year), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a monstrous 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The greens are poa annua greens and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats I will be looking at here will be driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting and tee to green and par 4 scoring.

Bubba Watson Northern Trust Open 12/1

Bubba Watson 12/1
Bubba has been playing consistently since he won The WGC HSBC Champions back in November and has three top 11’s in his last three starts. He followed that win with a solid performance at The Hero World Challenge finishing T11 on eight under for the tournament. He then had another good week in Kapalua at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions finishing solo 10th on 15 under. Most recently, Watson put in a great performance at The Phoenix Open finishing T2 on 14 under for the week, which included two 65’s.

He has played well here at Riviera in the past and won here last year beating fellow bomber Dustin Johnson by two strokes. He also has a further three top 20’s here finishing T13 in 2012, T17 in 2009 and T14 in 2008. Bubba ranks eighth in driving distance, fourth in strokes gained tee to green and second in birdie average. He also ranks first in par 5 scoring, 19th in par 3 scoring and 23rd in par 4 scoring. With a good record here in the past and great current form, Watson has all the looks of having another good week here.

Bill Haas Northern Trust Open 2015 33/1

Bill Haas 33/1
After a win at The Humana Challenge a couple of weeks ago, Bill Haas looks to be back showing some good form. He played superb all week finishing on 22 under, which included a second round 63. He took last week off, but had a good performance at Torrey Pines finishing T19 at The Farmers Insurance Open. He was fairly steady for the first three rounds, but had a poor finish in the fourth round shooting a disappointing 75, which included three bogeys in the last five holes.

However, he has played very well here in the past and hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last four appearances. He finished T23 last year, T3 in 2013, won in 2012 and T12 in 2011. With such a good record here, great current form at Torrey Pines and a win at the Humana at the end of January, we could see Bill have another good performance here this week.

Harris English Northern Trust Open 2015 33/1

Harris English 33/1
After a losing a playoff to Jason Day and JB Holmes at The Farmers a couple of weeks ago, Harris English comes into this week in great form. English has two top five’s in his last four starts including a T3 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a P2 in Torrey Pines. In his last 16 competitive rounds, he has shot a 70 or better 12 times and looks to be showing a lot of consistency. He played well here last year finishing T10 shooting 70,69,69,67 to post nine under par in total.

English ranks 28th in driving distance, 37th in strokes gained tee to green and 40th in GIR. He also ranks 17th in par 5 scoring, 19th in par 3 scoring, 21st in total putting and fourth in putts from inside 10 feet, which is a good stat for putts on these small greens. After coming so close in Torrey Pines, English could be one to watch here on a course he has played well on in the past.

JB Holmes Northern Trust Open 40/1 First Round Leader bets

JB Holmes 40/1
JB has been playing well lately with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He was unfortunate not to win at Torrey Pines, where he lost on the second playoff hole to Jason Day. He was a tad unlucky to over shoot the 17th green on the second playoff hole and finish with a bogey. That being said, he looked very threatening in the final round and played some great approach shots. JB had another good week in Pebble finishing T10 on 15 under par for the tournament, which included a first round 64 and a final round 65.

He has a great record here finishing T8 in 2012, T12 in 2011,T3 in 2010, T6 in 2009 and T7 in 2008. This course should suit JB, who is averaging 303 yards off the tee ranking 12th in driving distance. He also ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green, 19th in birdie average and has good approach stats ranking 12th in approaches from 225-250 and seventh in approaches from 100-125, which will be a big plus on these long par 5’s and short par 4’s.

First Round Leader –
JB Holmes 40/1

JB has started with a 69 or better in four of his last five events. He shot an opening round 64 last week in Pebble, a 69 in round 1 at Torrey Pines, 68 in round 1 in Phoenix and a 69 in Kapalua at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has also shot a 67 or better in round 1 at this event in four of his last five appearances. He started with a 67 last year, 71 in 2013, 67 in 2012, 67 in 2011 and 68 in 2010. With a great run of first round form over the last few weeks, not to mention his good form at this event, JB is certainly worth a flutter here in the first round.

Final Selections –
Bubba Watson 12/1 2pts EW
Bill Haas 33/1 1pt EW
Harris English 33/1 1pt EW
JB Holmes 40/1 1pt EW

First Round Leader –
JB Holmes 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2015

Phoenix Open pic 2

TPC Scottsdale, Arizona
Par 71, 7,266 Yards

The Course
The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last year with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes, including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot, and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the past 12 months, I think it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form at the moment that have played well here in the past.

Bubba Watson Phoenix Open pic 1

Bubba Watson 14/1
A trip to TPC Scottsdale will be Bubba’s second event on the PGA Tour in 2015 after he played well at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions earlier this month, finishing solo 10th. In his last four competitive events, Bubba has finished no worse than T11, including a win at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shangai. He followed that with a T11 at The Hero World Challenge, finishing on eight under par in total.

His record at TPC Scottsdale is quite impressive with two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last three starts. He came agonisingly close to winning here last year but lost to Kevin Stadler on the first playoff hole. He also finished solo 15th in 2013 and T5 in 2012. Statswise, Bubba ranks 26th in driving distance, hitting an average of 300 yards off the tee. He also ranks first in birdie average and first in approaches from 175-200, which is a good stat for the par 3’s and approaches into the short par 5’s.

With good current form and good previous form on this course, Bubba looks like a player that has the game to suit TPC Scottsdale and should have a good week here.

Rickie Fowler Phoenix Open pic 1

Rickie Fowler 18/1
This will be Rickie’s first event of 2015 and he will be looking to kick off with a good week at TPC Scottsdale. He comes here with some of the best form in the field with nine top 10 finishes in his last 10 competitive starts, which includes five top 5’s. This good run began back in June, where he finished T2 at The US Open and continued on from there. He had a good finish to the season in the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T4 at The BMW and solo 8th at the Tour Championship.

In his last two starts, he had a good performance at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T3 and followed that with another top 10 at The Hero World Challenge in December finishing T6. He has played well here in the past with a T13 in 2011 and a solo 2nd in 2010. Fowler is a player that has the distance and the current form to overpower this course and have a good week here.

Hideki Matsuyama 1

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1
Matsuyama has been playing good golf since the start of the new season and began with a T3 at The Frys.com Open and followed that with another top 10 at The Shriners finishing T10 on 13 under par.

Most recently, he has recorded two top 15’s in his last three starts, finishing solo 13th at The Hero World Challenge and T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, losing to Patrick Reed by one stroke.
He played well here last year shooting a total of 14 under par to finish T4, two strokes behind the eventual winner, Kevin Stadler.

Statswise, he ranks 39th in driving distance hitting it an average of 298 off the tee. He also ranks 36th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in approaches from 225-250, which is good for the par 5’s. After a good week last year, Matsuyama looks to have the game and the form to go well here again.

Brendan Steele pic 2

Brendan Steele 33/1
Brendan Steele is playing good golf at the moment and hasn’t missed a cut in his last nine events. He had a great week at The Humana Challenge shooting an impressive final round 64 to finish on 21 under par and T2 for the tournament. Before last week, his best finish this season was back at The Frys.com in October where he posted a T21. Steele is a horse for the course here with three top 10’s in his last three appearances at TPC Scottsdale.

He had a good week last year finishing T6, he finished T6 again in 2013 and T5 in 2012. Steele ranks 11th in driving distance, hitting it an average of 306 off the tee. He also ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green, 18th in birdie average and fifth in approaches from 200-225. With good previous form here and a great finish last week at the Humana, Brendan Steele looks like a good shout here.

First Round Leader –

Bubba Watson 20/1
With such a good record on this course over the last few years, Bubba has shot no worse than a 70 in his opening round here at TPC Scottsdale, and that has steadily improved over the last three years. He shot an opening round 64 here last year and co-led after the first round with Y.E Yang. He opened with a 67 in 2013, a 66 in 2012 and a 70 in 2011, which suggests he could come out and shoot another low round in round 1 this coming Thursday.

Final Selections –
Bubba Watson 14/1 2pts EW
Rickie Fowler 18/1 1 pt EW
Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 1 pt EW
Brendan Steele 33/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader-
Bubba Watson 20/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 12 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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