CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018

CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018

The CareerBuilder Challenge is a pro-am format played over three courses with the PGA West Stadium being the host course. The cut will be decided after three rounds with the final round played by professionals only on the Stadium Course.
 
 
The Courses
 
Stadium Course PGA West – Par 72, 7,113 yards. This course is played twice including the final round and has a lot of trees, streams, and lakes that come into play. The fairways are quite forgiving and shouldn’t be too difficult to hit but the tricky Bermuda rough will be lurking to swallow any erratic tee shots. This course is well bunkered with big Bermuda greens which can play very fast depending on weather conditions.
 
Nicklaus Tournament Course – Par 72, 7,204 yards. This course has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and plays as one of the easiest on the PGA Tour with the stroke average just under 69 last year. The fairways are also very forgiving with large greens with water featuring on around seven holes.
 
La Quinta Country Club – Par 72, 7060 yards and has four par fives in total. It also has tree-lined fairways which are a fraction narrower than the other two courses with some water features that come into play. The Bermuda greens tend to be quite tricky and can play quite fast but pin placements tend to be on the generous side to cater for the amateurs so expect plenty of birdies.
 
The average score of the winner of this tournament has been around the 25 under mark. Also, keep in mind that this is a Pro-Am for the first three rounds so pin positions will be in favorable locations to cater for the amateurs. With this, the pro’s will be taking full advantage to be on the lookout for good birdie average stats and good putters.
 
With the pro’s playing about 18 par 5’s this week, players with good par 5 scoring stats tend to go well here. Players that have had a good week at the Sony usually bring that momentum into this week as most of the cobwebs are dusted off. Any players that finished in the top 20 last week and have played well here in the past should be worth considering. It’s a tough one to call so approach with caution.
 
Brian Harman 16/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Brian Harman 16/1 
 
He’s knocking on the door over the last few weeks and looks right on the cusp of bagging his third PGA Tour win any day now. The American had his fifth top 10 finish from five starts last week at the Sony shooting a superb 64,63 in the first two rounds. His game has been consistently solid since the start of the season where he finished T5 at the CJ Cup in late October. Harman followed that with a solo eighth at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T4 at the RSM Classic in Georgia and an impressive solo third at the Sentry Tournament of Champions in Kapalua.
 
Last week, Harman shot a total of 13 under par in the first two rounds at the Sony and followed that with a respectable 69,70 over the weekend to finish T4. He has a great record at this event finishing T11 in 2016 and T3 last year posting 18 under par on both occasions.
 
Statswise Harman ranks 16th in driving accuracy, 12th in SGP, fifth in GIR, ninth in par 4 scoring and 20th in par 5 scoring. With the key statistical boxes ticked, everything points to another good week for the in-form lefty.
 
Jason Dufner 25/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Jason Dufner 25/1
 
Dufner had a good finish to last season with three top 20’s from five starts. He had a good week at the Wyndham finishing T14 and followed that with a T20 at the Northern Trust Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s finishing with a final round 72. He posted a T20 at the Tour Championship in East Lake where he opened with a 68,67 and fell away a bit over the weekend with rounds of 73,72.
 
Dufner started 2018 off with back to back top 20’s finishing T11 in Kapalua and followed that with four rounds of 69 or better last week at the Sony to finish T18. The American has a great record here with a T18 in 2010, T11 in 2012, a win in 2016 and a T25 last year.
 
The one stat that seems to be standing out over the last two weeks is Dufner’s putting. He ranked fifth in SGP in Kapalua (Bermuda greens) and 18th last week at the Sony (Bermuda greens) which is a big plus coming into this week. He ranks 13th in SGP on the PGA Tour so far this season and has to be respected here.
 
Bud Cauley 35/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Bud Cauley 35/1
 
Bud Cauley had a good start to the season with two top 10’s from four starts. He played well at the Safeway Classic in October shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T7 on 10 under for the week. He followed that with a T8 at the RSM Classic in November which included a second round 63 and a final round 66 to finish T8.
 
Cauley has played well at this event over the last couple of years finishing T3 last year shooting four rounds of 69 or better and a T14 in 2016 which included a second round 65 and a third round 66 so he clearly likes this course and can go low here. Statswise he ranks 38th in driving accuracy, 12th in SGTTG, 29th in SG around the green and 11th in SGP. One to keep an eye on here.
 
Austin Cook 60/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Austin Cook 60/1
 
This guy looks very impressive over his short PGA Tour career with a win and four top 25’s in his last six starts. He started with a respectable T25 at the Sanderson Farms Championship back in October followed by a T20 at the Shriners Open in Vegas posting three under for the week. Cook then teed it up at the RSM Classic where he didn’t shoot worse than a 67 for the tournament (including a second round 62) to win by four from J.J Spaun on 21 under par.
 
His win at the RSM Classic got him to Kapalua for the Sentry Tournament of Champions where he shot a pair of 70’s over the weekend to finish T22. Last week at the Sony, Cook shot rounds of 67,71,65,66 to post 11 under in total and T18 for the tournament and looks to be showing some good consistency. The young American looks like he could have the game to suit this week hitting just over 70% of greens in reg, 36th in scrambling, 37th in SGP and 38th in par 5 scoring. With a precise long game, good putting and solid short game Austin Cook looks great value here.

 

Top 20 Double – Chez Reavie/Tyrell Hatton @5.6/1

Englishman Tyrell Hatton arrives in Abu Dhabi this week in great form after winning three from three in his matches last week for Europe in the Eurasia Cup. Hatton has been in great from over the last few months winning back to back at the Alfred Dunhill Links in October followed by another victory a week later in Italy.

He finished the European Tour season with four top 20’s finishing T11 at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T16 at the Turkish Airlines Open, T19 at the Nedbank and a T8 at the DP World in Dubai. Hatton has a great record here finishing 13-46-10-6 in his last four appearances and looks in great form coming into this week.

American Chez Reavie is also in fine fettle coming to California with five top 20’s in his last six starts. He started the season with a T13 at the Safeway Classic and followed that with a T17 at the CIMB Classic, T15 at the CJ Cup, T14 at OHL Classic and a T18 last week at the Sony.

Reavie has played well at this event before finishing T17 in 2016 and T12 last year. He is playing consistently well recently and that should continue here this week.

 

Final selections – 

Brian Harman 16/1 1pt EW

Jason Dufner 25/1 0.5pts EW

Bud Cauley 35/1 0.5pts EW

Austin Cook 60/1 0.5pts EW

Top 20 double 1pt 

Total staked = 6pts 

 

Paddypower paying 7 places. 

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina  

Par 70, 7127 yards  

The Course  

What an excellent final round performance from Justin Thomas last week in Quail Hollow. Personally I was cheering on Matsuyama and Fowler who both ended up finishing in a tie for fifth which got us some place money.

The PGA Tour travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship this week, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.   

Sedgefield Country Club is a Donald Ross designed par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards. It was opened in 1926 and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards.

There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Its important for players to hit the right side of the fairway in order to attack these small greens to give them a good look in for their approach shots. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.  

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. As always, I’ll be also be checking course history and current form along with some approach stats.

 

Ryan Moore 20/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Ryan Moore 20/1 

After a bit of a quiet spell of late, Ryan Moore looks to be back playing well after a short spell on the sidelines with a shoulder injury. He was showing some great form back in April with a great week in Augusta finishing T9 and followed that with a T18 in Texas. He then went quiet for a couple of months with five missed cuts from six starts but has bounced back well in his last two events and looks to be injury free. He finished in a respectable T28 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T13 at the PGA Championship last week in Quail Hollow which included an impressive final round 69.

Moore has a great record here with a win in 2009 , his first on the PGA Tour, T37 in 2012 and a T10 in 2015 which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise he ranks 25th in driving accuracy hitting over 65% of fairways off the tee. With accurate driving, good form and a decent record here, Moore could be a huge danger man this week.

 

Bud Cauley 33/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Bud Cauley 33/1

I think this course could suit Bud’s eye and given his current form, he looks another good shout here. Despite one or two missed cuts recently, Cauley’s game looks in great shape over the last couple of months. He had a great week at the RBC Heritage in April finishing T9 and followed that with a T10 in Texas, T5 in New Orleans and a T5 at The Byron Nelson. He then travelled to the Memorial Tournament and finished a respectable T25 and followed that with a T12 at the John Deere Classic and a T33 last week at The PGA Championship.

Cauley has a good record around Sedgefield finishing solo third in 2012 and a T10 last year which included a third round 64. Statswise he ranks 47th in GIR, 33RD in SGTTG and 37th in par 4 scoring.

 

Chad Campbell 60/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Chad Campbell 60/1

Campbell looks to be hitting the ball well and has been showing a lot of consistency lately. I have backed him a few times over the last couple of months to no avail but Im willing to roll the dice one more time on him in an event I believe that could suit him. He has had some great events lately finishing T13 at the Byron Nelson, T10 at the St Jude Classic, T9 at the Greenbrier, T12 at the John Deere, T18 at the Barbasol and a T32 at the Canadian Open. He was going well in Canada and a final round 75 took him out of the places but he still shot rounds of 66,69,68 in the first three rounds.

Campbell has god memories of Sedgefield finishing T4 in 2012 which included a 64,65,66 in the last three rounds and a respectable T31 in 2015 where he opened with a pair of 65’s but fell away at the weekend shooting 70,71. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 22nd in driving accuracy, 12th in GIR and 11th in par 4 scoring.

 

Scott Brown 66/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Scott Brown 66/1 

Brown seems to be back playing some good golf lately and could be worth keeping on side this week. He played some great golf earlier in the season finishing T2 in Riviera at The Genesis Open, T17 in Puerto Rico and a solo second at The Zurich Classic in New Orleans at the end of April. He has shown some decent form over the last couple of months finishing T12 in Colonial at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, T25 at the John Deere Classic which included three rounds in the 60’s and a T13 at The PGA Championship last week.

He has played well here in the past finishing T33 last year after a final round 65 and a T3 in 2015 which included four rounds of 68 or better. Brown is playing good golf lately and could follow up his T13 at the PGA last week with another good performance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Ryan Moore 20/1 1pt EW

Bud Cauley 33/1 0.5pts EW

Chad Campbell 60/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Brown 66/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts 

*PP Paying 7 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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