Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Riviera Country Club, California  

Par 71, 7,349 Yards  

The Course  

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California. It was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr in 1926 and was redesigned by Tom Fazio in 2008. It has been the primary host for the Genesis Open (originally the Los Angeles Open and formerly the Northern Trust Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards.  

Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.  

Previous winners include Dustin Johnson (last year), Bubba Watson (2016 & 2014) James Hahn (2015), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.  

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a lengthy 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.  

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting, SGTTG and par 4 scoring.  

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Paul Casey 25/1 

In the last four events he has played, Englishman Paul Casey has not finished outside the top 20. His form reads 7,19,11,8 since last October and comes to Riviera on the back of a top 10 finish last week in Pebble Beach.  

Casey started the season with a T7 at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He started with a disappointing 77 in round one but bounced back with an impressive 63 in round two followed by a 69,65 over the weekend. He then teed it up at the CJ Cup in Korea posting a respectable two under par and T19 for the tournament and followed that with a T11 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China finishing T11.  

He came close to victory here back in 2015 getting himself into a playoff with Dustin Johnson and James Hahn after a final round 68, but just came up short to finish T2 with DJ. Casey has played well here in the past finishing T12 in 2011 and T22 in 2008 so he’s no stranger to Riviera.  

Statswise he ranks 17th in driving accuracy, seventh in GIR and first in SGTTG. Form wise Casey is playing sold golf at the moment and could follow up his top 10 last week in Pebble with another good week here.  

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 25/1  

Phil seems to be warming up nicely lately with back to back to 5’s in his last two starts.  

He has been in good shape since the start of the season posting a T3 at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T15 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China, which included a final round 67.   

In his last eight competitive rounds Mickelson has shot a 70 or better seven times and looks to be putting superbly over the last couple of weeks.  

He had a great week in Phoenix shooting an opening round 70 followed by a 65,66,69 to finish T5. Phil then followed that with another solid performance last week in Pebble where he shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T2 on 14 under.  

Phil has a great record here in Riviera with form figures 2,1,1,44,35,2,21,34 since 2007 including  back to back wins in 2008 and 2009. Statswise he is averaging just under 305 off the tee and ranks 12th in SG approaches to the green. He also ranks 28th in scrambling and fifth in SGP which are two important stats around Riviera.  

With great current form and a red hot putter, Phil is definitely someone to keep on side here.  

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 

I backed this man a couple of weeks ago in Torrey where he unfortunately missed the cut but I’m willing to roll the dice on him once again here on a course he top 10’d on last year.  

He has been in great form over the last few weeks finishing 19,MC,7,MC,3 in his last five starts. He had a good week at the CJ Cup in Korea finishing a respectable T19 back in October.  

In his first event of 2018, he started strongly with a T7 at the Sony open in Hawaii shooting rounds of 66,65,67,68 on his way to a 14 under par total. The youngster then travelled to Arizona for the Phoenix Open where he showed some great consistency with three 68’s and a closing 65 to finish T3.  

Schneiderjans played great here last year, again showing great consistency with rounds of 68,69,69,68 on his way to a T8 where he was one of only two players to shoot sub 70 in every round. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 19th in driving distance, 15th in SGTTG, 53rd in SGP and ranks inside the top 36 for par 3 – par 5 scoring.  

With good current form and a great performance here last year, Schneiderjans looks a decent bet at 40’s.  

 

Chez Reavie 40/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Chez Reavie 40/1  

Reavie has been in great shape since the start of the season with seven top 20’s including, back to back top 5’s, in his last nine starts. 

He started strongly with a T13 at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T17 at the CIMB Classic, T15 at the CJ Cup, T24 at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T14 at the OHL Classic and T18 at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January.  

Reavie has been playing particularly well over the last couple of weeks with back to back seconds. He came close to victory in Phoenix getting himself into a playoff with Gary Woodland after shooting an impressive final round 66 but lost the sudden death playoff to a par on the tricky 18th. He then followed that up with another solid performance last week in Pebble posting 14 under and T2 for the tournament.  

The American has played well here in Riviera before finishing solo seventh in 2016 shooting three rounds of 69 or better to finish on 11 under. Statswise Reavie ranks 10th in driving accuracy, 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and inside the top 10 for both par 3 and par 4 scoring.    

 

Final Selections –  

Paul Casey 1pt EW 

Phil Mickelson 1pt EW 

Ollie Schneiderjans 0.5pts EW 

Chez Reavie 0.5pts EW 

Total staked = 6pts (Some bookies paying 7 places)  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

Doublebogey6 

 

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am Betting Preview 2018Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California  

The Courses:  

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72, 6,816 yards 

Spyglass Hill – Par 72, 6,953 yards 

Monterey Peninsula – Par 71, 6,867 yards 

This tournament is played on three courses – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. It is a Pro-Am format taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Monterey playing as a par 71 and Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 72’s. 

Pebble Beach is widely known and is a beautiful seaside links on the coast of California. It has a lot of history to it playing host to the US Open five times and the PGA Championship once. It is quite short by PGA Tour standards and is quite generous and forgiving off the tee. Pebble’s main defence is its smaller than average greens, not to mention the windy weather this time of year. 

Spyglass Hill is fractionally different from the other two courses as it a bit tighter with its narrow, tree lined fairways. The trees can work in the players favor especially if the wind gets up. 

Monterey Peninsula is a par 71 and is usually the easiest of the three courses but the greens here are bigger and play fractionally faster than the other two courses so a hot putter and long drive will be the key to making birdies here. 

Judging by previous history good putters (especially on poa annua), good scrambling and hitting plenty of greens have been the ingredients to victory in this event.  

The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago so take that into consideration. This course tends to favor the bigger hitters so making birdie or better on the majority of the 16 par 5’s played here this week will be a big plus.  

 

Jason Day 10/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Jason Day 10/1  

After winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago, Jason Day looks in great shape coming to Pebble this week. He has been playing some decent golf over the last couple of months with five top 11’s and a win in his last eight competitive starts.  

Day finished in a respectable T9 at the PGA Championship back in August followed by a T6 at the Northern Trust Open in Glen Oaks shooting a 69 or better in three of his four rounds. The Aussie then travelled to the BMW Championship in Conway Farms finishing solo fourth which included an opening 64 and a second round 65.  

He started the new season off at the CJ Cup in Korea finishing T11 and followed that with another T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China. Day then made his way to Torrey Pines and played solid throughout the week shooting rounds of 73,64,71,70 to post 10 under for the tournament and ended up beating Swede Alex Noren in a playoff on Monday morning.  

He has played well here in the past with four top 11 finishes in his last five starts with form figures 5,11,4,MC,6 since 2013.  

Statswise Day ranks third in driving distance, 27th in GIR, 25th in SGP, sixth in SG of the tee and second in par 4 scoring. After winning on the poa annua greens of Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago along with his excellent record here, Day looks a good shout here at 10’s.  

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Patrick Reed 33/1 

Patrick Reed looks to be trending in the right direction lately and could be a player to keep on side this week.  

Reed has been in decent shape over the last few months with two top 11’s and two top 25’s in his last seven starts. He played well at the CJ Cup finishing T11 followed by a decent T5 at the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas back in December.  

After missing the cut at the CareerBuilder Challenge, he bounced back with a T23 in Torrey Pines posting three under for the tournament and followed that with a top 20 last week in Phoenix shooting rounds of 71,66,69,67 to finish T17, so he looks to be going in the right direction form wise.  

Reed has some great memories of Pebble over the last few years with three top 15’s and two top 30’s in five appearances showing form figures 23,6,29,13,7 since 2013.  

The Texan has shown some great form on windy setups over the last few years with a win and two top 10’s in Kapalua, top 20’s at the Open Championship the last three years and a couple of top 10’s at Copperhead in Florida (home of the Valspar Championship) which boasts smaller than average greens by PGA Tour standards, just like Pebble.   

He ranks 31st in SGP, 27th in SGTTG and seventh in SG around the green. With a good mix of current/previous form here Reed looks decent value.   

 

Pat Perez 35/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Pat Perez 35/1  

Since winning the CIMB Classic back in October, Pat Perez has continued his good form with two top 5’s and a top 25 in his last four starts.  

Following his impressive four shot victory over Keegan Bradley at the CIMB with rounds of 66,65,64,69, Perez then travelled to Korea for the CJ Cup finishing T5 which included an opening 69 and a final round 68. He then played in the WGC-HSBC Champions in China posting a respectable T24 which included a pair of 69’s.  

Perez had another solid week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions in windy Kapalua where he shot rounds of 72,66,71,69 finishing T4 on 14 under par in total.  

He has a good record here with three top 15’s in his last four starts finishing T14 last year, T4 in 2015 and T7 in 2014.  

Statswise the Californian ticks all the boxes here ranking third in driving accuracy, fifth in GIR, fifth in SG putting and 16th in both par 3 and par 4 scoring.  

It’s worth mentioning that Perez has a good record on tricky windy courses with top 10’s in Waialae (Sony open) and Torrey Pines (Farmers Insurance Open) over the last four years and is generally a strong west coast performer. With great current form so far this season and I expect him to have a decent week especially with his record here.  

 

Chesson Hadley 45/1  Chesson Hadley AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018

I like the look of the in-form Chesson Hadley on a course he has expressed his liking for in the past. Hadley has been playing well over the last couple of months with four top 5’s and a top 25 in his last eight starts.  

He began the season in style with a T3 at the Safeway Open, a solo second at the Sanderson Farms which included four rounds of 70 or better and a T4 at the Shriners Open in Vegas, which included a 65,68,69 over the weekend to post eight under par for the tournament.  

Hadley then went off the boil a bit with a couple of mediocre results but bounced back well with a T23 in Torrey Pines firing rounds of 71,72,71,71 showing some great consistency.  

Last week in Phoenix he cracked the top 10 shooting an opening 66 followed by three 68’s to finish T5 on 14 under. 

He has played well on this course before with back to back T10’s in 2014 and 2015. I had a look at some quotes from the Fantasy Golfanac and came across this gem from the man himself –  

Chesson Hadley – “It’s just an awesome old school golf course [Monterey Peninsula’s Shore Course]. The greens are really old poa annua and the course is, it kind of has, almost has a slight links feel to it. Pebble Beach is my favourite, that’s my favourite course ever, but this course is in awesome shape and like I said, the weather is, this is as good as it gets in golf.” 

Hadley ticks some key statistical boxes here ranking 37th in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 37th in SG putting, first in par 3 scoring, 38th in par 4 scoring and 27th in par 5 scoring.  

 

Final selections – PP Paying 7 places on 1/5 odds

Jason Day 1pt EW 10/1  

Pat Perez 1pt EW 35/1  

Patrick Reed 0.5pts EW 33/1  

Chesson Hadley 0.5pts EW 45/1  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf. 

Doublebogey6 

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018The Courses:   

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

Torrey Pines sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played this week both of which were designed by William F. Bell.  

The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,698 yard par 72. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course where Tiger Woods beat Rocco Mediate in a playoff. The man himself makes his 2018 debut this week on a course he has so many good memories on with seven wins in total. The question is, will punters be backing him at 22/1?  

North Course 7,258 Yards, par 72  

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get windy.  

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.  

South Course 7,698 Yards, par 72   

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be pose a much stiffer challenge than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and will certainly favour the longer hitters on TOUR.  

The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than the North Course but length and power will be a huge advantage.    

The main stats to consider are good poa annua putters, driving distance, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.   

 

Jon Rahm 15/2 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Jon Rahm 15/2  

Rahm is in fine fettle and comes back to the site of his first PGA Tour title where he won by three strokes last year after holing a phenomenal 60ft putt for an eagle on the 18th green. The Spaniard has been playing superb over the last three or four months finishing 3,4,5,7,1 in his last five events of the season including a win at the DP World in Dubai in November.  

He comes here on the back of a second and a win so far in 2018 and even though he’s a measly 15/2, I’m still willing to nail my colours to the mast based on the fact that I think this course is right up his street.  

Only for the fact that he missed a few putts on Saturday in round three, he would’ve won by three or four last week in California. He played well throughout the week and opened with a very impressive 62 and followed that with two more 67’s and a 70 in round three. He played very solidly the week before in Kapalua finishing solo second which included a 67,69 over the weekend.    

Rahm looks very well suited to this course averaging just under 300 yards off the tee. He ranks sixth in SGTTG, fifth in SG off the tee, 23rd in scrambling and first in par 5 scoring. All in all its hard to bet against the in-form Spaniard here.    

 

Tony Finau 33/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Tony Finau 33/1  

Tony has been a player I’ve kept in mind for this event over the last few weeks. He has been playing well since the start of the season back in October with form figures of 32,16,11,26,2 in his last five starts. At the Safeway Open back in October, Finau shot rounds of 70,65,71,69 to post 13 under par to finish solo second. He followed that with a T26 at the CJ Cup, T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China and a T16 at the Shriners Open in Vegas which included three 69’s in a row.  

Finau started 2018 off with a respectable T26 at the Sony Open in Hawaii which included three 67’s. He is no stranger to playing well on tough, windy courses over the last few years finishing T9 in Kapalua last year, T27 at the Open in Birkdale last year, T18 at the Open in 2016 in Troon and a win at the blustery Puerto Rico Open in 2016.  

He has a good record here in Torrey Pines finishing T24 in 2015, T18 in 2016 and T4 last year. Big hitting Tony ticks the boxes here averaging just under 330 off the tee ranking second in driving distance. He also ranks ninth in SGTTG, eighth in SG approaches to the green and 18th in par 5 scoring. At 33’s he looks great value here.  

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 

The big hitting youngster arrives to California after taking a week off last week and should be feeling nicely fresh. He has been in great form over the last few weeks finishing 17,23,19,MC,7 in his last five starts. He had a good week at the Safeway Open finishing T17 and followed that with a T23 at the CIMB Classic and a T19 at the CJ Cup in Korea.  

In his first event of 2018 he started strongly with a T7 at the Sony open in Hawaii shooting rounds of 66,65,67,68 on his way to a 14 under par total.   

Schneiderjans has shown he can play well on windy setups finishing second in Sedgefield CC last year at the Wyndham Championship where he was 1 stroke behind the winner Henrik Stenson. He also finished 12th at the Open in St Andrews in 2015 and finished third in Harbour Town at the RBC Heritage last April so he’s no stranger to windy courses.  

He played very solid here last year where he shot two 69’s and two 71’s to finish T9 on eight under for the tournament. Statswise he is averaging 306 off the tee (31st in driving distance) which is a big plus especially for the South Course. Given he is playing well and clearly has good form on exposed courses, Schneiderjans looks worth chancing here at 40/1.

 

Kyle Stanley 50/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Kyle Stanley 50/1  

Stanley has been having a good season so far and is a real horse for the course here at Torrey Pines. He has gone 21,19,5,30,10 in his last five starts and looks to be trending in the right direction.  

He started the season with a respectable T21 at the CIMB Classic and followed that with a T19 at the CJ Cup. The American had a great week at the WGC-HSBC Champions at the tricky SheshanGC back in November finishing T5 on eight under par in total shooting rounds of 71,68,69,72.    

Stanley then started 2018 in Kapalua at the Sentry TOC where he didn’t seem to take to the course finishing last in 30th, but he did bounce back well with an impressive T10 at The Sony. He started with an opening round 64 and followed that with 67,65,71 to post 13 under.  

Stanley has a good record in Torrey over the last few years and came close to victory in 2012.He had a healthy three shot lead on the 18th tee and ended up taking a disappointing triple bogey after finding water short of the 18th green and went on to lose a playoff to Brandt Snedeker. Despite that collapse, Stanley seems to like this course finishing T25 in 2016 and T14 last year and looks great value to have a good week here.  

 

 

Final selections – Most bookmakers paying 7 places  

Jon Rahm 1pt EW 

Tony Finau 1pt EW 

Ollie Schneiderjans 0.5pts EW 

Kyle Stanley 0.5pts EW 

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

 

Doublebogey6 

 

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CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018

CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018

The CareerBuilder Challenge is a pro-am format played over three courses with the PGA West Stadium being the host course. The cut will be decided after three rounds with the final round played by professionals only on the Stadium Course.
 
 
The Courses
 
Stadium Course PGA West – Par 72, 7,113 yards. This course is played twice including the final round and has a lot of trees, streams, and lakes that come into play. The fairways are quite forgiving and shouldn’t be too difficult to hit but the tricky Bermuda rough will be lurking to swallow any erratic tee shots. This course is well bunkered with big Bermuda greens which can play very fast depending on weather conditions.
 
Nicklaus Tournament Course – Par 72, 7,204 yards. This course has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and plays as one of the easiest on the PGA Tour with the stroke average just under 69 last year. The fairways are also very forgiving with large greens with water featuring on around seven holes.
 
La Quinta Country Club – Par 72, 7060 yards and has four par fives in total. It also has tree-lined fairways which are a fraction narrower than the other two courses with some water features that come into play. The Bermuda greens tend to be quite tricky and can play quite fast but pin placements tend to be on the generous side to cater for the amateurs so expect plenty of birdies.
 
The average score of the winner of this tournament has been around the 25 under mark. Also, keep in mind that this is a Pro-Am for the first three rounds so pin positions will be in favorable locations to cater for the amateurs. With this, the pro’s will be taking full advantage to be on the lookout for good birdie average stats and good putters.
 
With the pro’s playing about 18 par 5’s this week, players with good par 5 scoring stats tend to go well here. Players that have had a good week at the Sony usually bring that momentum into this week as most of the cobwebs are dusted off. Any players that finished in the top 20 last week and have played well here in the past should be worth considering. It’s a tough one to call so approach with caution.
 
Brian Harman 16/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Brian Harman 16/1 
 
He’s knocking on the door over the last few weeks and looks right on the cusp of bagging his third PGA Tour win any day now. The American had his fifth top 10 finish from five starts last week at the Sony shooting a superb 64,63 in the first two rounds. His game has been consistently solid since the start of the season where he finished T5 at the CJ Cup in late October. Harman followed that with a solo eighth at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T4 at the RSM Classic in Georgia and an impressive solo third at the Sentry Tournament of Champions in Kapalua.
 
Last week, Harman shot a total of 13 under par in the first two rounds at the Sony and followed that with a respectable 69,70 over the weekend to finish T4. He has a great record at this event finishing T11 in 2016 and T3 last year posting 18 under par on both occasions.
 
Statswise Harman ranks 16th in driving accuracy, 12th in SGP, fifth in GIR, ninth in par 4 scoring and 20th in par 5 scoring. With the key statistical boxes ticked, everything points to another good week for the in-form lefty.
 
Jason Dufner 25/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Jason Dufner 25/1
 
Dufner had a good finish to last season with three top 20’s from five starts. He had a good week at the Wyndham finishing T14 and followed that with a T20 at the Northern Trust Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s finishing with a final round 72. He posted a T20 at the Tour Championship in East Lake where he opened with a 68,67 and fell away a bit over the weekend with rounds of 73,72.
 
Dufner started 2018 off with back to back top 20’s finishing T11 in Kapalua and followed that with four rounds of 69 or better last week at the Sony to finish T18. The American has a great record here with a T18 in 2010, T11 in 2012, a win in 2016 and a T25 last year.
 
The one stat that seems to be standing out over the last two weeks is Dufner’s putting. He ranked fifth in SGP in Kapalua (Bermuda greens) and 18th last week at the Sony (Bermuda greens) which is a big plus coming into this week. He ranks 13th in SGP on the PGA Tour so far this season and has to be respected here.
 
Bud Cauley 35/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Bud Cauley 35/1
 
Bud Cauley had a good start to the season with two top 10’s from four starts. He played well at the Safeway Classic in October shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T7 on 10 under for the week. He followed that with a T8 at the RSM Classic in November which included a second round 63 and a final round 66 to finish T8.
 
Cauley has played well at this event over the last couple of years finishing T3 last year shooting four rounds of 69 or better and a T14 in 2016 which included a second round 65 and a third round 66 so he clearly likes this course and can go low here. Statswise he ranks 38th in driving accuracy, 12th in SGTTG, 29th in SG around the green and 11th in SGP. One to keep an eye on here.
 
Austin Cook 60/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Austin Cook 60/1
 
This guy looks very impressive over his short PGA Tour career with a win and four top 25’s in his last six starts. He started with a respectable T25 at the Sanderson Farms Championship back in October followed by a T20 at the Shriners Open in Vegas posting three under for the week. Cook then teed it up at the RSM Classic where he didn’t shoot worse than a 67 for the tournament (including a second round 62) to win by four from J.J Spaun on 21 under par.
 
His win at the RSM Classic got him to Kapalua for the Sentry Tournament of Champions where he shot a pair of 70’s over the weekend to finish T22. Last week at the Sony, Cook shot rounds of 67,71,65,66 to post 11 under in total and T18 for the tournament and looks to be showing some good consistency. The young American looks like he could have the game to suit this week hitting just over 70% of greens in reg, 36th in scrambling, 37th in SGP and 38th in par 5 scoring. With a precise long game, good putting and solid short game Austin Cook looks great value here.

 

Top 20 Double – Chez Reavie/Tyrell Hatton @5.6/1

Englishman Tyrell Hatton arrives in Abu Dhabi this week in great form after winning three from three in his matches last week for Europe in the Eurasia Cup. Hatton has been in great from over the last few months winning back to back at the Alfred Dunhill Links in October followed by another victory a week later in Italy.

He finished the European Tour season with four top 20’s finishing T11 at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T16 at the Turkish Airlines Open, T19 at the Nedbank and a T8 at the DP World in Dubai. Hatton has a great record here finishing 13-46-10-6 in his last four appearances and looks in great form coming into this week.

American Chez Reavie is also in fine fettle coming to California with five top 20’s in his last six starts. He started the season with a T13 at the Safeway Classic and followed that with a T17 at the CIMB Classic, T15 at the CJ Cup, T14 at OHL Classic and a T18 last week at the Sony.

Reavie has played well at this event before finishing T17 in 2016 and T12 last year. He is playing consistently well recently and that should continue here this week.

 

Final selections – 

Brian Harman 16/1 1pt EW

Jason Dufner 25/1 0.5pts EW

Bud Cauley 35/1 0.5pts EW

Austin Cook 60/1 0.5pts EW

Top 20 double 1pt 

Total staked = 6pts 

 

Paddypower paying 7 places. 

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Riviera Country Club, California 

Par 71, 7,349 Yards 

The Course 

The PGA Tour stays in California this week and travels to Riviera Country Club which was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. It has been the primary host for the Genesis Open (originally the Los Angeles Open and then Northern Trust Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards. Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.

Previous winners include James Hahn (2015), Bubba Watson (2014), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favor the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 – 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting and tee to green and par 4 scoring.

 

Adam Scott 22/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 25/1

The Aussie looks in decent shape coming to California this week with four top 15’s in his last four starts. He played well at The CIMB Classic finishing T10 and followed that with a T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions. He played well throughout the week but shot a disappointing 80 in round two but bounced back with a 64, 66 over the weekend to post nine under in total. Scott then played in his native Australian Open finishing T14 for the tournament on six under which included a second round 65.

He has a great record here in Riviera finishing second last year, tenth in 2013, T17 in 2012, T14 in 2008, second in 2006 and a win in 2005. Scott is hitting just under 75% of greens in regulation and is one of the biggest hitters on tour. With a great record here and decent current form the Aussie could be one to watch here.

 

Byeong Hun An 66/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Ben An 66/1

An has been playing some decent golf over the last couple of months and I’m willing to take a chance on him here on a course that could suit his game. He had a good finish to the European Tour season with a T10 at the Turkish Airlines Open followed by a T13 at the DP World in Dubai. He started the New Year with a T13 in Abu Dhabi shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish ten under par for the week. Most recently, An teed it up at The Phoenix Open where he again, shot three rounds in the 60’s to finish solo sixth and 14 under par for the tournament.

Statswise An could be a pretty good fit for Riviera averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranking 11th in GIR and 33rd in strokes gained putting on the European Tour last season. If he makes a few putts he could be one to keep an eye on here.

 

Brendan Steele 66/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 66/1

Since winning the Safeway Open back in October, Steele has kept up his good run of form with a further four top 20’s in his last four starts. He played well at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing T6 and followed that with a T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T20 at the Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines and a T16 at The Phoenix Open, which included two opening rounds in the 60’s. Steele has played well here before finishing T10 in 2014 and T14 in 2015.

Statswise he the ticks the boxes here ranking 20th in SG Approaches to the green, 16th in SGTTG, 11th in GIR, seventh in par 5 scoring and 13th in par 4 scoring. Steele comes here in much better form than he did last year and looks great value to keep up his good run of form here.

 

Keegan Bradley 80/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Keegan Bradley 80/1

I was quite surprised to see Keegan Bradley at such a big price this week considering the form he’s in. He finished 2016 with three top 15’s in four events finishing solo sixth at the CIMB Classic, T7 at The Shriners Open and a T15 at the OHL Classic. He has only played four events so far in 2017 and has had a bit of a mixed bag of form. Two missed cuts are sandwiched between a T25 at the CareerBuilder and an impressive T4 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines.

Bradley has played well in Riviera before finishing second in 2012, 16th in 2013, 20th in 2014 and fourth in 2015. Statistically he ranks 30th in SG Approach to the green, 30th in GIR and 26th in par 4 scoring. Bradley has great from on this course and is back playing some decent golf lately and looks great value to have a good week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Adam Scott 22/1 1pt EW

Ben An 66/1 0.5pts EW

Brendan Steele 66/1 0.5pts EW

Keegan Bradley 80/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017

 

Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California 

The Courses: 

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72, 6,816 yards

Spyglass Hill – Par 72, 6,858 yards

Monterey Peninsula – Par 70, 6,838 yards

 

This tournament is played on three courses – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. It is a Pro-Am format taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Monterey playing as a par 70 and Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 72’s.

Pebble Beach is widely known to us golf fans and is a beautiful seaside links on the coast of California. It has played host to the US Open five times and the PGA Championship once. It is quite short by PGA Tour standards and is quite generous and forgiving off the tee. Pebble’s main defence is its smaller than average greens not to mention the windy weather this time of year.

Spyglass Hill is fractionally different from the other two courses as it a bit tighter with its tight, tree lined fairways. The trees can work in the players favour especially if the wind gets up.

Monterey Peninsula is a par 70 and is usually the easiest of the three courses boasting the lowest score average last year of just over 70. The greens here are bigger and play fractionally faster than the other two courses so a hot putter and long drive will be the key to making birdies here.

There are a few different factors to consider. The greens here are poa annua which is a grass that tends to be a bit bumpy. The greens are also quite small so be on the lookout for players with good GIR and scrambling stats. The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago so take that into consideration. This course tends to favour the bigger hitters so making birdie or better on the majority of the 16 par 5’s played here this week will be a big plus. Guys with good par 3 scoring stats that are good poa annua putters should also go well here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 20/1 

Despite Snedeker’s questionable finish at Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago, he could be worth keeping on side here this week. He played well at The Famers Insurance Open and really should’ve won it outright. He started well with a 68,69,70 and then finished poorly with a disappointing final round 73 to finish T9. He started 2017 with a good performance at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge.

He has a great record here over the years finishing T21 and T8 (US Open) here in 2010 along with wins in 2013 and 2015. He ranks 23rd in GIR, seventh in scrambling and 22nd in par 3 scoring. Players with good records tend to go well here and Snedeker could follow up the disappointment of Torrey with a great performance this week.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Phil Mickelson 20/1 

Phil is a real horse for the course here in Pebble and could be another good linksy style player to keep on side here. He hasn’t finished worse than T21 in his last four events and seems to be getting better and better every week. He finished T8 at the Safeway Open and followed that with a T21 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T14 in Torrey Pines and a T16 last week in Phoenix which included a third round 65.

Mickelson has a superb record at Pebble Beach with three wins and four top tens in 12 appearances here. He has made himself a real links specialist over the years which was evident with his solo second and final round 65 in last year’s Open Championship in Troon. He ranks tenth in SG approaches the green, 23rd in SG around the green, 31st in SGP and seventh in scrambling. With Phil’s super record here and great current form, it could be his week.

 

Jon Rahm 22/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Jon Rahm 22/1 

The Spaniard has been in fine form lately and comes here on the back of a superb win in Torrey Pines after shooting a flawless 65 in the final round which included a monster eagle on the 18th. He has been in great form this season which started with a T15 at The Safeway Open, T15 at The Shriners Open and a T8 at the World Cup of Golf. He began 2017 with a disappointing T34 at the CareerBuilder Challenge but bounced back with a win at The Farmers Insurance Open followed by a respectable T16 last week in Phoenix.

Rahm is a decent ball striker ranking ninth in SG off the tee, 18th in SGTTG and 13th in par 4 scoring. He looks like a player that could really suit this course and has to be respected here.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite starting the season poorly, Reed has been showing some good signs over the last few weeks with some solid performances. He finished solo 10th at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions, which included a second round 65. He then had a T12 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included an opening round 69 and a closing 65.

Reed is another player with a decent record here finishing T7 in 2013, T13 in 2014, T29 in 2015 and T6 last year. Statswise his game looks to really suit this course ranking sixth in SG around the green, fifth in SGP and 32nd in SGTTG. Reed is a bit streaky lately but could be worth a risk here with his previous record.

 

Final selections – 

Brandt Snedeker 20/1 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson 20/1 0.5pts EW

Jon Rahm 22/1 0.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017 Betting PreviewThe Course: 

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. Brandt Snedeker won in dramatic fashion last year when the tournament went to a Monday finish due to a weather delay. He went around in 69 in unbearable wet and windy conditions on Sunday beating KJ Choi by one single stroke.

There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,607 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,607 Yards, par 72 

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats to consider here are good poa annua putters, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

 

Brandt Snedeker Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 22/1 

Snedeker has been in good form in the early part of this season. He missed the cut at the Sony but played well in Kapalua the week before finishing in a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge. He had another good performance with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par in total.

He has a great record here in Torrey Pines and played superb in unbearable conditions last year shooting a final round 69 to beat his nearest challenger, Korean KJ Choi by one stroke. Snedeker has two wins (2016 and 2012) and five top 10’s in 10 appearances here. He ranks 23rd in GIR and seventh in scrambling so far this season and looks a good shout here to have another good week here.

 

Jimmy Walker 25/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Jimmy Walker 25/1

Walker seems to be back fit and healthy after a short illness at the Sony a couple of weeks ago and has been showing some decent form over the last couple of months. He played well at The World Cup of Golf at the end of November finishing T2 with fellow American Rickie Fowler and followed that with a T13 at The Hero World Challenge, which could have been better if it weren’t for a final round 73. Walker then started the New Year in style opening with a 65 in the first round of the SBS Tournament of Champions where he finished T9 on 14 under for the tournament.

He is another player with a great record in Torrey Pines with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He was right in the mix going into the final round last year and managed a final round 77 to finish T4 in very tough wet and windy conditions. He finished T7 in 2015, T4 in 2013 and T8 in 2012. Statswise he ranks 14th in SG Approaches to the green, 28th in GIR and has great form playing on similar open, windy courses like Waialae and Pebble Beach. If Walker can get the putter rolling he could have a good chance here.

 

Pat Perez 80/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Pat Perez 80/1 

With the exception of a poor final round at the Sony, Pat has been playing well recently with a win and two top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he finished 15 under par in total and T7 for the tournament. He then went on to win the OHL Classic at Myakoba on 21 under, which included an impressive third round 62. He had another good week in Kapalua finishing T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions after shooting a final round 67.

Perez is another player that has a decent history here with one top five and three top 25’s in his last six appearances. Statswise he ranks 25th in SG around the green, fourth in par 5 scoring and 24th in birdie average. For a guy bang in form, Perez could be a good each way shout at a big price.

 

Martin Laird Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Martin Laird 50/1

With an open, windy, “Linksy” setup, this could be right up the Scot’s street. Laird has had a decent start to the season with three top 15’s and a top 30 in his last four starts. He started with a top 10 at The Safeway Open back in October finishing T8 on 14 under for the tournament, which included three rounds in the 60’s. He followed that with a T27 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and a T13 at The OHL Classic. Laird’s first event of 2017 came last week at The CareerBuilder Challenge where he finished in a respectable T9 on 14 under for the week.

Martin has a good record here at Torrey with two top 10’s in his last two appearances. He finished T8 last year and shot a 77 in horrible conditions in the final round and posted a T7 in 2015 which included three round sin the 60’s. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG Approaches to the green, ninth in SGTTG, sixth in par 3 scoring and 18th in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 22/1 1pt EW

Jimmy Walker 25/1 0.5pts EW

Pat Perez 80/1 0.5 pts EW

Martin Laird 50/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017

Career Builder Challenge Betting Preview 2017The CareerBuilder Challenge is a pro-am format played over three courses with the PGA West Stadium being the host course. The cut will be decided after three rounds with the final round played by the professionals only.

 

The Courses:  

La Quinta Country Club – Par 72, 7060 yards and has four par fives in total. It also has tree lined fairways which are not particularly narrow, with some water features that come into play. The greens are Bermuda grass and this course tends to be quite tricky and can play quite fast depending on the weather conditions.

 

PGA West Stadium Course – Par 72, 7,300 yards and has four par fives and four par 3’s. This course is played twice including the final round and has a lot of trees, streams and lakes that come into play.  The fairways are quite forgiving and shouldn’t be too difficult to hit. There are several bunkers, some are very deep and will be very challenging. The greens are also Bermuda grass and are also quite large but can also play very fast depending on weather conditions.

 

PGA West Tournament Course – Par 72, 7,204 yards. This course was used for the first time last year has four par 5’s and four par 3’s.The fairways are also very forgiving with large greens with water featuring on around seven holes.

The average score of the winner of this tournament has been around the 25 under mark. Also keep in mind that this is a Pro-Am for the first three rounds so pin positions will be in favorable locations to cater for the amateurs. With this, the pro’s will be taking full advantage so be on the lookout for good birdie average stats and good putters.

With the pro’s playing about 18 par 5’s this week, players with good par 5 scoring stats tend to go well here. Players that have had a good week at The Sony usually bring that momentum into this week as most of the cobwebs are dusted off. Any players that finished in the top 20 last week and have played well here in the past should be worth considering. It’s a tough one to call so approach with caution.

 

Bill Haas 20/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017Bill Haas 20/1

Bill Haas has had a decent start to the season with four top 20 finishes in his last four starts. He started with a respectable T20 at the Safeway Open and followed that with a T4 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China where he didnt shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week to finish 15 under for the tournament. He then travelled to the RSM Classic where he didnt shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week to finish 12 under and T12 for the tournament. He started 2017 off with a solid performance last week at the in Hawaii finishing T13 which included four rounds in the 60’s (67,66,67,67).

Haas has a superb record here with two wins and three top 10’s in seven appearances. He won here in 2010 and followed that with a second in 2011, sixth in 2014, win in 2015 and a ninth place finish last year. Statswise he ranks 35th in SGP, 25th in GIR, 20th in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 3 scoring which are all good numbers for this course. Haas hasnt shot worse than a 71 in his last 16 competitive rounds and could be one to watch here.

 

Jamie Lovemark 33/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017Jamie Lovemark 33/1

The young American started the season with a respectable T20 at the Safeway Open and followed thta with a T35 at the OHL Classic at Myakoba. He then started showing some solid form finishing T6 at the RSM Classic which included a 66 in round two and a 65 in round four to finish 14 under in total. Last week at the Sony Open, he had another super week shooting rounds of 64,68,65,65 to finish T4 on 18 under.

Statswise he ranks 19th in SGP, 22nd in scrambling and 15th in par 4 scoring. He played well here last year and started with three 65’s but had a dissapointing finish shooting a final round 75 to finish T6. He seems to have more experience this time around and could be another man to watch here.

 

Luke List 50/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017Luke List 50/1

List opened with a respectable T26 at the Safeway Open and  followed that with five top 15’s in a row which started with a T2 at The Sanderson Farms Championship. He had another good week at the Shriners Open in Vegas finishing T15 which included a final round 64 and finished T7 the following week at the OHL Classic. He finished in a respectable T13 at the RSM Classic and started the new year with another T13 last week at The Sony Open in Hawaii.

Statswise List ranks 22nd in SGP, fifth in driving distance, ninth in par 5 scoring and 21st in par 3 scoring and looks like a player that could dominate the par 5’s with his length. He played great here last year shooting rounds of 68,68,66,66 to finish T6 and could easily improve on that this year. Its worth mentioning List has shot A 69 or better in 15 of his last 16 competitive rounds on the PGA Tour.

 

Chez Reavie 66/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017Chez Reavie 66/1

Reavie is another player bang in form coming to California this week with two top 25’s and two top 10’s in his last five starts. He started with a T22 at the Safeway Open and followed that with a T24 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. Reavie had another good week at the OHL Classic finishing T4 which included an impressive third round 63. He started the new year off on a positive note finishing T8 at The Sony Open last week shooting a superb 61 in the final round to post 16 under par in total.

Reavie has played well here in the past with three top 25’s in six appearances. He finished fifth in 2008, 22nd in 2012 and T17 last year. He ranks 15th in SG Approaches to the green, 24th in SGTTG and  26th in proximity to the hole. After an impressive 61 in the final round last week at the Sony, Reavie will be feeling confident here and could have a good chance.

 

Final selections –

Bill Haas 1pt EW 20/1

Jamie Lovemark 0.5 pts EW 33/1

Luke List 0.5 pts EW 50/1

Chez Reavie 0.5 pts EW 66/1

Total staked = 5pts

 

Paddypower paying seven places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016

Tiger Woods Safeway open 2016North Course, Silverado Resort & Spa, Napa Valley, California 

Par 72 7,203 yards

We’re hopefully going to see the return of a certain Mr Woods this week and I for one think it’s great to have him back playing competitively again. The word on social media is that Tiger seems to be hitting the ball well in practice and is in tip top shape coming into this week. He is paired with Phil Mickelson for the first two rounds so it should make for some very interesting viewing.

Silverado Resort & Spa measures a lengthy 7,203 yards and has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s. It was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr in the 1960’s and was renovated by Johnny Miller in 2011. The fairways are tree lined with forgiving rough so missing the fairways here will not be a big deal. There are quite a lot of nice features around the course such as old Oak trees, elevation changes and water features and crossings. The greens are bent grass and are average size by PGA Tour standards and can get quite fast depending on weather conditions.

This will be the third time this course has hosted the tournament and judging by last year, length does not seem to be a huge advantage. Players that have accurate iron play and the ability to negotiate these tricky bent grass greens should go well here this week. Top stats to consider are par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, approach stats, SGTTG and SGP.

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Paul Casey 12/1

Casey has to get a nod here based on the fact that he played superb throughout the FedExCup Playoffs. His good run of form began at the PGA Championship where he finished T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T17 at The Travelers, second at The Deutsche Bank, second at The BMW and a solo fourth at The Tour Championship. Casey has shot a 70 or better in 11 of his last 12 rounds and could have the game that suits this course.

This is his first appearance here at Silverado but statistically he seem to fit the bill. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee, 11th in SG approaches to the green, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. After playing solidly throughout the playoffs Casey could be the man to beat here especially in a weakened field.

 

Emiliano Grillo Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 20/1 

This man started with a bang last year and won this tournament in style beating Kevin Na on the second playoff hole. He has been playing some great golf over the last few months and comes into this with four top 15’s in his last six starts. He had a good week at the PGA finishing T13 and followed that with a T8 in Rio at The Olympics, T2 at The Barclays and a respectable T10 in East Lake at The Tour Championship.

He played superb last year and shot 68,71,65,69 to post 15 under in total. Grillo also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 28th in SG off the tee, 27th in GIR and 26th in birdie average. He comes here in great form and could have another good week.

 

Justin Thomas Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Thomas 25/1 

Thomas came within a whisker of getting into the playoff with Grillo and Na last year but just came up one short. He had a good season and finished well with three top 10’s in his last six tournaments. He played well at The Quicken Loans finishing T12 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T3 at The Travelers which included a superb final round 62 to post 12 under par in total. Thomas then went on to play well in The Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays and a T6 at The Tour Championship shooting rounds of 68,71,69,67.

He played great here last year finishing T3 and was a bit unlucky not to finish better and make the playoff. Thomas is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in par 5 scoring and 20th in SG approaches to the green.

 

Jhonattan Vegas 50/1 

The streaky Johnny Vegas had a good season and has been playing well since early July. After a T4 at the Barbasol, Vegas then went on to win the RBC Canadian Open after shooting a superb final round 64 to finish 12 under in total beating Dustin Johnson, Martin Laird and Jon Rahm by one stroke. He followed that with a T22 at The PGA, T22 at The Barclays, T24 at The BMW and a T24 at the Tour Championship. Vegas had a great week here last year opening with a 64 in round one and ended up finishing T10 on 11 under for the tournament.

He ranks 23rd in SG off the tee, 14th in driving distance, 10th in GIR and 24th in par 5 scoring. After a solid performance here last year and decent form towards the end of last season, Vegas is worth chancing here.

 

Final Selections – 

Paul Casey 1pt EW 12/1 

Emiliano Grillo 0.5pts EW 20/1 

Justin Thomas 0.5pts EW 25/1 

Jhonattan Vegas 0.5pts EW 50/1

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2016

Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2016

Riviera Country Club, California

Par 71, 7,349 Yards

The Course

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California and was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. It has been the primary host for the Northern Trust Open (originally the Los Angeles Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards. Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.

Previous winners include James Hahn (2015), Bubba Watson (2014), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a monstrous 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting and tee to green and par 4 scoring.

 

Jimmy Walker 20/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Jimmy Walker 28/1

I’ve decided to give Jimmy one more chance this week in California. After another solid performance in Pebble finishing T11 on 11 under, Walker looks to be playing some great golf and showed that with a 63 in round three last week. He came close to winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago when he was leading going into the final round. He ended up finishing his final round on the Monday and shot a final round 77 due to horrendous conditions to finish T4. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas, T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions,T13 at The Sony Open and T4 at The Farmers.

Walker has a good record here in Riviera finishing fourth in 2011 and 2012, T16 In 2013 and T20 in 2014. He is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 24th in SGTTG, 26th in SGP and eighth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good record here Walker could be a huge contender here.

 

Bubba Watson 22/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Bubba Watson 22/1

Despite missing the cut last week in Pebble, Bubba comes into this week in good form and should feel more at home in Riviera. He has a win and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has played well here in Riviera in the past with a T13 in 2012, a win in 2014 and a T14 last year. Statswise Bubba seems to fit the bill here averaging just under 315 yards off the tee ranking fourth in driving distance and seventh in SGTTG. This course suits players that can shape the ball and hit it long which is right up Bubba’s street.

 

JB Holmes 28/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

J.B Holmes 28/1

J.B gets another nod from me again this week. He has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and had yet another solid performance last week in Pebble finishing T11 on nine under for the tournament. He also had a good week in Phoenix finishing T6 and had another T6 at The Famers Insurance Open in the weather stricken Torrey pines. He started 2016 off with a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

Holmes has a good record on this course finishing third in 2010, T12 in 2011, T8 in 2012 and T22 last year. He ranks fifth in driving distance, 17th in SGTTG and 35th in par 4 scoring. J.B has a great record here and looks great value here at 28’s.

 

Charl Schwartzel 30/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Charl Schwartzel 30/1

After another superb performance in South Africa last week winning the Tshwane Open, Schwartzel is playing some excellent golf over the last few weeks with two wins and two top 10’s in his last four events. He finished T4 at The DP Tour Championship in Dubai and followed that with a win at The Alfred Dunhill Championship and a T9 at The Nedbank Championship.

The South African has played well here in the past finishing T5 here in 2014 and T3 in 2013. The grass on the fairways here is Kikuyu which is the same grass they play on in South Africa giving Charl a bit of an advantage here. Staswise he ranks 25th in driving distance averaging 304 yards off the tee, 14th in GIR and 25th in SGP. With superb current form and a good record here, Charl looks great value here.

 

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 NorthernTrust Open 60/1

Freddie Jacobson 60/1

I have been really impressed with Freddie’s form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four events. He had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T4 at the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. The Swede had another solid performance last week in Pebble finishing T4 and scrambled and putted superbly well (which will be a big help this week).

He is another player with a good past here finishing third here in 2013 and T13 in 2012. He ranks 33rd in SGP, 10th in scrambling and fourth in par 4 scoring. If Freddie can keep it going this week with the putter he could be right in the mix at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Bubba Watson 1.5 pts EW 22/1

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 28/1

Charl Schwartzel 1pt EW 30/1

Freddie Jacobson 1pt EW 60/1

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

PaddyPower paying 7 places this week.

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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