Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017

Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas  

7,435 yards, par 72  

The Course  

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.

 

Charley Hoffman 25/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Charley Hoffman 25/1 

Charley gets another nod here in Texas where his form has been solid over the last few years. Despite missing the cut last week, Charley has been playing some good golf over the last few weeks. He had a good week in Phoenix finishing T24 and followed that with a T4 at the Genesis Open, T2 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, T23 in Houston and a T22 in Augusta. He took the lead after round one and co lead after round two and was playing great from tee to green. He fell beck over the weekend shooting rounds of 72 and 78 but really looked to be hitting the ball really well and putting beautifully.

Hoffman has a good record here with form figures of 6,2,13,3,11,11 since 2010 not to mention his superb win last year where he won by one stroke from Patrick Reed to finish 12 under par for the tournament. Hoffman is a real horse for the course and could be well in the hunt come Sunday.

 

Brendan Steele 28/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 28/1

Steele has been playing really good golf so far this year. He started the season off in style with a win at The Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in windy Kapalua at the SBS Tournament of Champions, T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T20 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T16 in Phoenix. More recently he finished T14 in Florida at the Honda Classic and T27 in Augusta which included a final round 69.

He has a great record here with a win in 2011, fourth in 2012, eighth in 2015 and T13 last year. Steele also ticks alot of boxes here ranking 30th in driving distance, 24th in GIR, 13th in SG tee to green, first in scrambling and 12th in par 5 scoring.  Another horse for the course and good value for a guy bang in form.

 

Adam Hadwin Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Adam Hadwin 33/1

Hadwin is another player in great form coming into this week. The Canadian started the season with a solo second at the CareerBuilder Challenge and followed that with a T12 in Phoenix, a  win at the Valspar and a solo sixth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill. Hadwin has played well at windy venues already this year finishing T10 at The OHL Classic in Mexico. He also played well last week in Harbour Town finishing a respectable T22 which included a final round 69.

Hadwin also looks good here statswise ranking 15th in SG tee to green, third in scrambling, 18th in strokes gained putting and fourth in par 3 scoring.  If he keeps up his good run of form this week he could be right in the mix.

 

Luke List 50/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Luke List 50/1 

The American has been playing well lately and comes to Texas with a decent bank of form. He had a good week at the Valspar finishing a respectable T27 on two under par for the week. He followed that with a steady T17 at the Arnold Palmer in Bay Hill and a T3 last week in Houston, which included three rounds in the 60’s. List has played well at wind affected venues finishing T7 at the OHL Classic and the windy  El Cameleon Course in Mexico and had another good week at the Sony Open in Hawaii finishing T13 for the tournament.

List has played here twice before with his best finish coming last year where he posted T29. Statswise he ranks third in driving distance, 36th in GIR, seventh in par 3 scoring and third in par 5 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Charley Hoffman 25/1 1pt EW

Brendan Steele 28/1 0.5pts EW

Adam Hadwin 33/1 0.5pts EW 

Luke List 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Last week in Augusta

What a finish it was in Augusta National last Sunday night. The back nine had its usual thrills and spills but it all came down to two players facing off against each other standing on the 18th tee with Justin Rose and Sergio Garcia facing the daunting tee shot off the 18th tee. Rose’s drifted fractionally right blocking him from hitting the green with his second and Sergio hit one straight up the middle. Rose made a bogey and Garcia made a birdie. Game over.

It was a bit disappointing for me in that I had Rose at 25’s (and Spieth and Fowler!!) and thought he might be a bit mentally tougher to take down Garcia but it wasn’t meant to be. That being said I don’t think anyone would begrudge Sergio Garcia a major given the fact the guy has been there so many times and stumbled at the last hurdle. Credit where its due, he played great in the closing stages and putted particularly well.

 

Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head, South Carolina  

Par 71, 7,099 yards   

The Course  

Harbour Town was designed by Pete Dye and Jack Nicklaus and has been this events venue since 1969. The course is shorter by PGA Tour standards but is still a fine test with tree lined fairways and smaller than average greens. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s in total and can be a bit tricky off the tee. Hitting the right part of the fairway off the tee for your approach shots is key. The greens are ranked some of the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour so hitting plenty of greens in regulation will be important.

History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 25/1

Henley is in fine form lately and comes to Harbour Town with a win and three top 11’s in his last four starts. He had a great week at the Valspar posting a T9 which included an opening round 64. He followed that with a superb win at the Shell Houston Open shooting rounds of 67,67,69,65 to finish 20 under par in total three strokes clear of his nearest challenger Sung Kang. Henley then travelled to Augusta and finished T11 for the tournament which included a final round 69 and played very steady throughout the week. There are a few stand out stats that make Henley appealing for this course.

When he won in Houston two weeks ago he ranked number one for SG putting, T4 for driving accuracy and T4 for greens in reg. Statswise this season he ranks sixth in SG putting, 20th in GIR and 12th in par 4 scoring. After finishing T6 here in 2013 and T23 last year, Henley could be a big danger man here especially if he continues to putt well.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley has been playing some good golf over the last few weeks and is another player with a great record here. He had a good week in Phoenix finishing T24 and followed that with a T4 at the Genesis Open, T2 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, T23 in Houston and a T22 last week in Augusta. He took the lead after round one and co lead after round two and was playing great from tee to green. He fell beck over the weekend shooting rounds of 72 and 78 but really looked to be hitting the ball really well and putting beautifully.

Hoffman has a good record here finishing T8 in 2012, T6 in 2013 and T14 last year. If Charley can regain some of last week’s confidence from rounds one and two he could go very well here.

 

Russell Knox 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Russell Knox 33/1

Although he’s played poorly over the last few weeks, Russell Knox seems to be a real horse for the course around Harbour Town over the last few years. The Scot was playing well earlier in the season finishing T10 at the CIMB Classic, T9 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo third at the OHL Classic, T19 at the World Cup of Golf, T17 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and T11 at the Sony Open.

He has played very well around here before finishing T2 last year, T18 in 2015 and T9 in 2014. Staswise Knox ranks 10th in driving accuracy which is a plus around here. If he starts well the Scot could regain some of that early season form on a course that clearly suits his eye.

 

William McGirt 40/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017William McGirt 40/1

After shooting an opening 69 last week in Augusta in round one, McGirt went on to shoot rounds of 73,74,74 to finish in a respectable T22 and looked to be putting very well. He has played well this year finishing T9 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua back in January and followed that with a T24 in Phoenix, T28 at the WGC Mexico, T9 at the WGC Matchplay and a T22 last week in Augusta.

He has played well here in the past finishing T9 in 2014, T31 in 2015 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks sixth in driving accuracy, 31st in GIR and 20th in par 4 scoring. He looks decent value for a guy showing some decent form.

 

Final selections –

Russell Henley 25/1 1pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Knox 33/1 0.5pts EW

William McGirt 40/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter@DoublebogeyDB6

Facebookwww.faccebook.com/doublebogey6

Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas  

7,204 Yards Par 70 

The Course 

Colonial Country Club was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.

This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker, Boo Weekly, Adam Scott and Chris Kirk over the last few years.

Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at.  This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will be worth considering. Good previous form here at Colonial is a big plus with the previous 10 winners all playing the event at least twice before going on to win it.

Looks like we could have even more weather delays this week with all four days expected to be hot and humid with the possibility of thunderstorms. Sunday looks to be the best of the four days with dry weather expected.

 

Charley Hoffman 22/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Charley Hoffman 22/1

I’ve decided to give Charley another go this week on a course he has good vibes on over the last few years. Hoffman had yet another solid finish last week at the Byron Nelson finishing in a respectable T12 on 11 under for the tournament. He has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. Charley had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.

As I mentioned above Hoffman has played well here over the years finishing T10 last year, T18 in 2013 and T13 in 2012. With superb current form and good memories from Colonial over the last few years Charley could keep his good run of form going here.

 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 Dean nd Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 28/1

Chappell has been in great form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He had a super week at The Players shooting a final round 69 to finish solo second and followed that with another good performance the week before in Texas with a T4 finish and a T9 at The RBC Heritage. Chappell came close to a winner at Bay Hill but just came up short finishing solo second after shooting superb rounds of 68,68,67,69 to finish 16 under in total.

Chappell has played well here in the past finishing T19 last year and T10 in 2014. He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 31st in par 5 scoring. After taking last week off he should be fresh and ready to continue his good run of form here this week.

 

Chris Kirk 28/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 28/1

After unexpectedly withdrawing from The Players a couple of weeks ago Kirk looked to have some sort of a niggle injury wise but should be in good shape coming to Colonial after taking last week off. He has been in decent form this season finishing T12 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and followed that with a decent performance at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth. Most recently he finished T23 at The RBC Heritage, T13 in Texas and a T5 at The Zurich Classic in New Orleans.

His record here in Colonial is excellent over the last few years. He won here last year, T14 in 2014, T5 in 2012 and T16 in 2011. Kirk is playing great golf at the moment and is a real horse for the course here and could have another great week.

 

45/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 45/1 

Knost has been in tip top form lately and had another impressive top 5 finish at The Byron Nelson last week finishing T4 after shooting 63,69,65 over the weekend which was his second 63 in two weeks. He was very impressive in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

The Dallas native has played well here last year finishing T10 and shot two 66’s over the last two rounds. He ranks 14th in SGP, second in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.

 

Bryce Molder 70/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016 Bryce Molder 80/1 

The American started well last week shooting 66,65,68 in the first three rounds but finished poorly with a bogey and a double in his last five holes shooting a final round 72 to finish T24. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last five starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 at The Players Championship.

He has only missed one cut here since 2009 and has played well here on the past. He finished fifth here in 2009 and his next best was T31 in 2012. He ranks 13th in strokes gained putting, fourth in scrambling and 24th in par 3 scoring. Molder comes here in great form this time around and could go well again here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

 

Charley Hoffman 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Chappell 28/1 1.5 pts EW

Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Colt Knost 45/1 1pt EW

Bryce Molder 70/1 1 pt EW

 

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas  

7,166 yards, par 70 

The Course 

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Charley Hoffman 20/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2016Charley Hoffman 20/1 

Hoffman has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.

Charley is another player with a solid record here finishing T8 last year shooting rounds of 69,65,64,65. He also played well in 2013 finishing T8 which included three rounds in the 60’s. He is averaging just over 295 off the tee and ranks 35th in strokes gained tee to green. With great form over the last few weeks and a solid record here Charley could be a man to keep on side here.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 

After a respectable T28 last week in Sawgrass, the South African comes returns to TPC Four Seasons in good form and gets the nod from me again this week. He started the season off with an MC in Dubai but bounced back with a T12 in Malaysia and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

Despite missing the cut in 2011, Louis has played well here in the past finishing T11 in 2012. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee ranking 31st in driving distance, 12th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained tee to green. After a mediocre performance last week at The Players, Oosthuizen looks worth chancing again this week on a course that should suit him a bit better.

 

Charl Schwartzel 25/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Charl Schwartzel 25/1 

I’ve decided to take a chance on another in form South African Charl Schwartzel. He took some time off after missing the cut at The Masters and should be fresh and relaxed coming to Texas this week. He has been in superb form and already has two wins this season on both PGA and European Tour. He won The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63. He then finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and followed that with another great win at The Valspar. He had a good performance in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.

Charl ticks a lot of boxes here averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance, seventh in GIR and 22nd in strokes gained tee to green. He has a superb record on this course finishing 11th in 2014 and third in 2013 and comes here in much better form this time around. After taking the last couple of weeks off Charl should be fresh and ready to contend this week on a course that he has played well on in the past.

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 70/1 

Knost was very impressive last week in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He lead the greens in regulation stat for the tournament and will be feeling confident coming to his home state this week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

The Dallas native has played well here over the last few years finishing T10 last year and T21 in 2013. He ranks 17th in SGP, third in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.

 

Bryce Molder AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Bryce Molder 70/1 

The American looks to be a great bet at generous odds this week. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 last week in Sawgrass at The Players.

He played well here last year finishing T22 for the tournament but is in much better form this time around. He ranks 12th in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling and 12th in par 3 scoring. After playing well last week Molder could follow that up with another good performance here at TPC Four Seasons.

 

Final Selections – 

Charley Hoffman 1.5 pts EW 20/1 

Louis Oosthuizen 1.5 pts EW 25/1 

Charl Schwartzel 1 pts EW 25/1 

Colt Knost 1 pt EW 70/1 

Bryce Molder 1 pt EW 70/1 

Total Staked = 12 pts

PaddyPower paying 7 places on this tournament.

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2015

AT-T Byron Nelson Championship 2015 Betting Preview 2015

TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas 

7,166 yards, par 70

The Course

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Dustin Johnson 12/1

Dustin Johnson returns to TPC Four Seasons this week to a course he has played so well on in the past. He has three top 10 finishes here in his last four appearances finishing T7 last year, T20 in 2011, T7 again in 2010 and fourth in 2009. His current form has been mixed with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. He won the WGC Cadillac in style back in March, T6 at The Valero Texas Open, T6 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. Since finishing T69 at The Players Championship, Johnson has taken a break and should be well rested coming here this week.

Statswise he ranks first in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 200 and fifth in par 5 scoring. With a good history here and decent form this season, DJ could be a big danger man here considering he has taken the last few weeks off.

 

Gary Woodland 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Gary Woodland 33/1

Woodland is another player that is a horse for the course around here finishing T7 last year and a respectable T24 in 2012. He has been playing very solid over the last few weeks finishing T21 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational, T26 at The Texas Open, second at The WGC Matchplay and T4 at The Wells Fargo a couple of weeks ago. This 7,166 yard par 70 should be right up Woodlands street with its tree lined fairways and large undulating greens.

He ranks 10th in driving distance, 17th in approaches from 100-125, 16th in putting from 10 feet and eighth in putting from 25 feet, which are two good stats for these big undulating greens. He has really been impressive over the last few weeks, especially with the flat stick and I think that could really stand to him here.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley had yet another solid performance last week in Colonial recording his fourth top 11 finish in his last seven starts. His good run of form began back at the end of March where he finished T11 at The Texas Open. He followed that with another T11 in Houston, T9 at The Masters, T30 at The Players and a T10 last week in Colonial. Charley has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2013, T7 in 2008 and T8 in 2006.

Hoffman is averaging 294 yards off the tee ranking 38th in driving distance. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring, 40th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 275, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

Marc Leishman 40/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship

Marc Leishman 40/1

Leishman has been showing good form over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four starts. He finished in a respectable T27 last week at Colonial, T24 at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T28 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He has a great history around here with five top 12’s in six appearances. He finished T3 last year, T12 in 2013, T3 again in 2012, T12 in 2010 and T8 in 2009.

Leishman ranks second in approaches from 150-175, 27th in approaches from 225-250 and first in putts from 15 feet. These are good stats for approaches into the 12 par 4’s and tricky par 5’s. With a super history here and decent current form, the Aussie is great value at 40/1 on a course he knows so well.

 

Danny Lee Top 20 7/2 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Top 20 Finish –

Danny Lee 7/2

Danny Lee is showing some decent form over the last couple of months with four top 10’s and a top 25 in his last ten starts. His good run of form began back in the middle of March where he finished T7 at The Valspar and followed that with a T17 at The API in Bay Hill, T22 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and T10 last week at Colonial. Lee has played here three times before with an MC last year, T19 in 2012 and T13 in 2009.

He ranks 42nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in approaches from 50-125, 24th in approaches from 125-150 and 31st in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 13th in approaches from 200, 15th in approaches from 175-200 and fourth in par 3 scoring. With two top 20’s in three appearances and good current form, Lee Is a good shout for a top 20 finish here at 7/2.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2 pts EW

Gary Woodland 33/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 1 pt EW

Marc Leishman 40/1 1 pt EW

Danny Lee (Top20) 7/2 2 pts

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2015

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2015

Hilton Head, South Carolina

Par 71, 7,101 yards 

The Course

This event has been played at Harbour Town Golf Links for many years now and the same players seem to play well here. The course is a short 7,101 yards and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. It is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens, which are ranked among the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour. History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set to be cloudy and humid with showers and the possibility of thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday. The weekend will be cloudy, dry and humid with gusts up to 20 mph.

 

Zach Johnson RBC Heritage 16/1

Zach Johnson 16/1

After a great performance last week in Augusta, Zach Johnson recorded his second top 10 finish in his last three starts finishing T9 at The Masters. He also played well the week before at The Valero Texas Open finishing T20, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a poor final round 76. He also played well the week before at The Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing T9, which included an impressive final round 66.

He has played well at Hilton Head in the past finishing solo second in 2012, five strokes behind the winner Carl Pettersson. He ranks 21st in driving accuracy, 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 23rd in par 5 scoring. Statswise Johnson’s game should suit this course and he comes here in good form, especially after a good week at Augusta.

 

Webb Simpson 33/1 RBC Heritage

Webb Simpson 33/1

Webb is another player that had a good week at Augusta and looked to be hitting the ball well all week. He had a disappointing 75 in round 2, but shot a 72,71 at the weekend to finish in respectable T28 on -1 for the tournament. He hasn’t played in many tournaments this year but has recorded two top 10 finishes and a top 15 in his last six starts. He had a good week at The Sony Open back in January finishing T13 on -11 for the tournament, which included an opening round 62. He followed that with a T7 at The Humana Challenge and another T7 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

He has played well here in the past finishing solo 2nd in 2013, T14 in 2011 and T14 in 2010. Simpson is hitting just under 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 15th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 12th in scrambling. He also ranks 17th in par 3 scoring, 31st in par 4 scoring and 2nd in par 5 scoring. He showed good form here over the years and could be one to watch this week.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 RBC Heritage

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Hoffman was right in the thick of it from the beginning at Augusta last week opening with a superb 67. He continued that good run with a 68 in round 2 and a 71 in round 3. He shot a disappointing final round 74 to finish T9 on -8 for the tournament but put in a great week overall. He has been showing some great form lately finishing T11 at The Shell Houston Open, which included a final round 67 to finish in -10 for the tournament. He also played well the week before in Texas and was right in contention from the beginning shooting an opening round 67 and eventually finished T11.

Hoffman has played well here before recording two top 10 finishes over the last three years finishing T6 in 2013 and T8 in 2012. Hoffman ranks 32nd in driving distance, 47th in GIR, first in scrambling from the fringe and 14th in par 4 scoring. With a good record here and good current form, Charley Hoffman looks to be a good shout at a decent price.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RBC Heritage

Russell Henley 33/1

Henley started 2015 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T17 at The Sony Open in Hawaii. He went slightly off the boil for the next few events but didn’t miss a cut. Most recently, he played well at The Houston Open finishing solo 4th and showed great consistency shooting 69,68,68,69 to finish on -14 for the tournament. He continued that consistency in Augusta last week shooting 68,74,72,71 finishing on -3 for the week and solo 21st.

He is another player that has played well here in the past finishing T6 in 2013, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a poor opening round 73. However, he went on to shoot 70,67,69 in the last three rounds to finish -5. Henley is hitting just under 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 15th in strokes gained putting, seventh in putts inside 10 feet and 31st in par 4 scoring.

 

Kevin Streelman 50/1 RBC Heritage

Kevin Streelman 50/1

Streelman’s game looked to be in great shape last week in Augusta, where he matched his personal best in a major finishing T12. He also won the Par 3 contest on Wednesday, which must have given him a bit of confidence going into the main event. He showed some good early season form with a solo 2nd at The Shriners Open back in October and followed that with a respectable T26 at The CIMB Classic. He seems to be coming back into some form and has made the last four cuts in a row with top 40’s at The Valspar and Houston.

He has a good record in Harbour Town over the last few years with a T3 in 2013 and a T17 in 2012. Streelman seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 18th in driving accuracy hitting just under 70% of fairways off the tee. He also ranks 17th in GIR and ninth in par 4 scoring and could be a great each way chance.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 16/1 2 pts EW

Webb Simpson 1.5 pts EW 33/1

Charley Hoffman 1.5 pts EW 33/1

Russell Henley 1 pt EW 33/1

Kevin Streelman 1 pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Valero Texas Open 2015 Betting Preview

Valero Texas Open 2015 betting tips

TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas

7,435 yards, par 72

The Course

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.

 

Zach Johnson Valero Texas Open 28/1

Zach Johnson 28/1

Johnson comes to Texas after a great performance at Bay Hill last week, in particular his superb Albatross on the par 5 16th, where he knocked his second shot straight in the hole shooting an impressive final round 66 finishing T9 on 12 under. He has had a further three top 10’s this season finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge before Christmas and solo 7th at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions in January. He also had a good week at The Phoenix Open a few weeks ago finishing T10 on 10 under for the tournament.

Johnson has played well here before finishing T6 last year. Statswise he seems to fit the bill ranking 18th in driving accuracy, 32nd in strokes gained tee to green and 13th in birdie average. He also ranks 13th in par 4 scoring, 19th in par 5 scoring and 15th par 5 birdie or better leaders. After playing well last week at Bay Hill and a good performance here last year, Zach Johnson could be one to watch this week at a good price.

 

Kevin Na 40/1 Valero Texas Open

Kevin Na 33/1

Kevin Na has been playing well over the last few weeks and has three top 10’s in his last three starts on the PGA Tour. He had a good week in Doral finishing T9 at The WGC Cadillac and followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, which included a final round 66. Last week at Bay Hill, Na put together four solid rounds to finish T6 on 13 under for the tournament.

He played well here last year and finished T11 on three under for the week and could have finished a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing 76 in the final round. Na is hitting 60% of fairways and ranks 45th in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 14th in par 3 birdie or better leaders. With three top 10’s in his last three starts, Na is in good form and could go well on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Brendan Steele 40/1 Valero Texas Open

Brendan Steele 40/1

Steele was going nicely last week in Bay Hill only to falter in round 4 shooting a disappointing 76 to finish T35 on six under. Despite his poor finish last week, he had three top 15’s in his last five starts and looks to be in good form. He played very well at The Humana at the end of January finishing T2, which included an impressive final round 64. More recently, he had a good week at The Northern Trust Open finishing T14 and followed that with a T11 at The Honda Classic.

Steele has played well here  in the past with a win in 2011 and a T4 in 2012. He ranks 15th in strokes gained tee to green, 24th in scoring average and 12th in driving distance. He also ranks eighth in par 4 scoring, 23rd in par 4 birdie or better leaders and 19th in birdie or better conversion percentage. With good current form and a former winner on this course, Steele could be another danger man here.

 

Charley Hoffman 50/1 Valero Texas Open

Charley Hoffman 50/1

Charley Hoffman is your typical horse for the course and hasn’t finished outside the top 15 in his last five appearances at TPC San Antonio. He finished T11 last year, T3 in 2013, T13 in 2012, T2 in 2011 and T13 in 2010. He showed some good form in the early stages of the season with a win at The OHL Classic back in November, T14 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions in January and a T2 at The Humana Challenge. Most recently his form has been a bit mixed with a T30 at The Northern Trust Open, T38 at The WGC Cadillac and an MC at The Valspar.

Statswise he ranks 45th in GIR, 40th in birdie average and 22nd in par 4 scoring. He also ranks 33rd in par 4 birdie or better leaders and first in approaches from 100 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into some of the shorter par 4’s. With a great previous record on this course, I expect Hoffman to bounce back and have a good week here.

 

Daniel Summerhays 66/1 Valero Texas Open

Daniel Summerhays 66/1

Summerhays has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 30’s in his last five starts. He finished with a T30 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The Honda Classic and a T10 at The Valspar finishing on four under for the tournament. He has a great record here over the last three years finishing T2 last year, T7 in 2013 and a respectable T29 in 2012. He has been very steady so far this season with only two missed cuts in his last 18 competitive starts.

Summerhays is hitting 62% of fairways and ranks 22nd in strokes gained putting and 27th in scoring average. He also ranks 45th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 21st in approaches from 175-200, which is a good stat for approaches into the four par 5’s. With a good record here over the last couple of years, Summerhays could feature at a big price.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 28/1 2 pts EW

Kevin Na 33/1 1 pt EW

Brendan Steele 40/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 50/1 1 pt EW

Daniel Summerhays 66/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Humana Challenge Betting Preview 2015

Humana Challenge 2015

The Courses:

There are three courses being played in this tournament this week.
These are:

La Quinta Country Club – Par 72, 7060 yards and has four par fives in total. It also has tree lined fairways which are not particularly narrow, with some water features that come into play. The greens are Bermuda grass and this course tends to be the hardest of the three.

PGA West (Palmer Private) – Par 72, 6,930 yards and has a total of five par fives. This course is played twice including the final round and has a lot of trees, streams and lakes that come into play. The fairways are quite forgiving and shouldn’t be too difficult to hit. The greens are also Bermuda grass and are also quite large, so expect some low scoring on this short course.

Nicklaus Private at PGA West – Par 72, 6,924 yards. This is a little trickier than the other two in that it has undulations on the fairways which could throw up some tricky lies. The fairways are also very forgiving with large greens, two of which are island greens, but shouldn’t be a problem for the players in that they are also quite big.

All three of these golf courses are ranked among the easiest courses by PGA Tour standards with the average score of the winner around the 25 under mark. Also keep in mind that this is a Pro-Am for the first three rounds so pin positions will be in favourable locations to cater for the higher handicapped players. With this, the pro’s will be taking full advantage so be on the lookout for good birdie average stats and good putters.

With the pro’s playing about 18 par 5’s this week, five of which are on Palmer Private and they play it twice, players with good par 5 scoring stats tend to go well here. It’s also worth checking good approach stats and GIR. Players that have had a good week at The Sony tend to go well here as most of the cobwebs are dusted off. Any players that finished in the top 20 last week, and have played well here in the past, should be worth considering. It’s a tough one to call so approach with caution.

Patrick Reed pic 2

Patrick Reed 12/1
After a superb win at The Hyundai two weeks ago, Patrick Reed will come into this week well rested after taking last week off to be with his family. He was steady as a rock for the four rounds in Kapalua shooting 67,69,68,67 to finish on 21 under par for the week, beating Jimmy Walker on the first playoff hole.

Reed won this tournament last year, which saw him opening with three 63’s and a final round 71 to beat Ryan Palmer by two strokes on 28 under par. He has been showing some good consistency finishing T22 at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, T3 at The Hero World Challenge and a win in Kapalua in his last three events. He ranks second in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 100-125, first in approaches from 175-200 and 13th in par 4 scoring. After a great win in Kapalua and a superb performance here last year, Patrick Reed could well defend this title this week.

Ryan Palmer pic 1

Ryan Palmer 22/1
Palmer has been playing well so far this season with a T22 at The WGC HSBC, a T9 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout and a respectable T17 last week at The Sony, which included three 69’s and a second round 63. He also has a great record at this event over the last few years finishing second last year to Patrick Reed, T6 in 2013 and solo fourth in 2011.

He ranks fifth in strokes gained putting, ninth in scoring average, eighth in approaches from 75-100 and 12th in approaches from inside 100 yards. Palmer also ranks first in total putting and sixth in putts from 10-15 feet. With a lot of the par 4’s and par 5’s being short, good approach stats will be key this week. With good putting stats and a good record in this event, Ryan Palmer could be another man to watch here.

Brendon Todd pic 1

Brendon Todd 33/1
Brendan Todd has had a mixed bag of results so far this season but hasn’t missed a cut yet. He played very well at The Hyundai in Kapalua and was unlucky not to finish better than T8. I thought he hit the ball great off the tee and hit some superb iron shots from around 150 yards out. The only part of his game that let him down was the putter missing some very makeable birdie chances between 6-10 feet, that just slid by.

He played reasonably well last week at The Sony shooting four rounds in the 60’s finishing on six under par in T44 for the week. He had a solid performance here last year finishing T6. Todd ranks 17th in approaches from 175-200 and 11th in approaches from 150-175, which should be two ideal stats for the short par 4’s and par 5’s.

Charley Hoffman pic 1

Charley Hoffman 40/1
With such a good record in this event since 2007, its hard to rule out Charley Hoffman this week. He won here in 2007 and has a further three top 10 finishes, including a top 20, in his last eight appearances. After a win in 2007, he followed that with a T8 in 2008, T18 in 2009, T10 in 2013 and a T9 last year, which included an opening round 64.

He is having a good season and already has a win tucked away in the trophy cabinet, which came at The OHL Classic in November. He followed that with a respectable T14 in Kapalua finishing on 13 under par. Hoffman ranks 17th in GIR, 17th in approaches from 100 yards and 16th in approaches from 200 yards. With great current form and a good record at this event, it could be another good week for Charley Hoffman.

Jerry Kelly pic 1

Jerry Kelly 80/1
Jerry Kelly is on a good run of form at the moment with three top 10’s in his last three starts. His good form began back at The Sanderson Farms Championship back in November where he finished T22 on seven under par for the tournament. He then followed that with a solo fifth at The OHL Classic and a T5 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. Most recently, he played well last week at The Sony finishing T6, which included a second round 62 and a final round 66 to finish on 12 under par.

Kelly has played well here in the past with two top 15’s in his four appearances at this event. He also played well here in 2005 finishing T8. He finished T13 last year and T13 again in 2011. With great current form and good performances in the past, Jerry Kelly is certainly worth a small few quid each way.

Final Selections –
Patrick Reed 12/1 2 pts EW
Ryan Palmer 22/1 1 pt EW
Brendon Todd 33/1 1 pt EW
Charley Hoffman 40/1 1 pt EW
Jerry Kelly 80/1 1 pt EW
Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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