RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016

RSM Classic 2016 Betting PreviewSeaside Course/Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

7,055 yards, Par 70 

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Kevin Kisner is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough linksy style test especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013), Robert Streb (2014) and Kevin Kisner (2015). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning. it would be quite similar to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts the RBC Heritage. The format will be similar to last year with the players playing one of their first two rounds at the nearby Plantation course which is a par 72 measuring just over 7,000 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s.

The Seaside Course has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole. Weather is forecast to be dry and sunny throughout the week.

 

Chris Kirk 18/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 18/1

Kirk started the season with an impressive three top 10’s in his last four starts and has a super record here at Sea Island. After starting with a 73 at the Safeway Classic, he bounced back shooting 65,70,66 to finish T8 for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at the Sanderson Farms finishing four strokes behind winner Cody Gribble. Kirk started well at The Shriners shooting rounds of 66,65 but then fell off the pace after a poor weekend. He did however have another good performance in Mexico finishing T7 at The OHL Classic last week which included an opening round 63.

He has played well here in the past with a T15 in 2010, a win in 2013, fourth in 2014 and T18 in 2015. He ranks 10th in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average, seventh in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. With a solid record here and good current form Kirk has to be one to watch here.

 

Kevin Chappell 20/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 20/1

Chappell had a great finish to the season finishing T3 at The WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T8 at The Deautsche Bank, which included a third round 64. He had another solid performance at The Tour Championship finishing second on 12 under par for the week after losing a playoff to the dominant Rory McIlroy. Chappell has started the season with two respectable performances at The CIMB finishing T45 and a T35 at the WGC HSBC Champions.

He has played well here especially over the last couple of years finishing eighth in 2014 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He improved on that again last year finishing second after shooting rounds of 66,65,68,67 to post 16 under par for the tournament. If he can get the putter going he could be a big danger man here.

 

Lucas Glover 33/1 

Glover is another player that looks to be in fine form coming into this event with two top 5’s in his last three tournaments. After a missed cut at The Safeway, Glover bounced back with a T5 at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 15 under for the tournament and didn’t shoot worse than a 70. He followed that with a solo third at The Shriners in Vegas where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week to post 17 under in total.

He has a decent record here finishing T15 in 2011 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks 11th in SG off the tee, ninth in SGTTG, 16th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring. Glover looks to be good value here for a guy that’s bang in form.

 

Cody Gribble 50/1

The Texan has been playing some fantastic golf so far this season with three top 15’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a great win at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting rounds of 63,67,65 over the weekend to finish 20 under par beating nearest challenger Chris Kirk by an impressive four strokes. Last week in Mexico he had another solid week finishing T15 on 12 under par for the tournament.

This will be Gribble’s first appearance here at Sea Island which could be a course that could be right up his street. Statswise he ranks second in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average and 11th in par 4 scoring. This guy is in great form and could be one to keep an eye on this week.

 

 

 

Final Selections –

Chris Kirk 1pt EW 18/1

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 20/1 

Lucas Glover 0.5 pts EW 33/1 

Cody Gribble 0.5 pts EW 50/1 

Total staked = 6 pts 

All prices taken from PaddyPower who are paying 7 places. 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas  

7,204 Yards Par 70 

The Course 

Colonial Country Club was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.

This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker, Boo Weekly, Adam Scott and Chris Kirk over the last few years.

Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at.  This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will be worth considering. Good previous form here at Colonial is a big plus with the previous 10 winners all playing the event at least twice before going on to win it.

Looks like we could have even more weather delays this week with all four days expected to be hot and humid with the possibility of thunderstorms. Sunday looks to be the best of the four days with dry weather expected.

 

Charley Hoffman 22/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Charley Hoffman 22/1

I’ve decided to give Charley another go this week on a course he has good vibes on over the last few years. Hoffman had yet another solid finish last week at the Byron Nelson finishing in a respectable T12 on 11 under for the tournament. He has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. Charley had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.

As I mentioned above Hoffman has played well here over the years finishing T10 last year, T18 in 2013 and T13 in 2012. With superb current form and good memories from Colonial over the last few years Charley could keep his good run of form going here.

 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 Dean nd Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 28/1

Chappell has been in great form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He had a super week at The Players shooting a final round 69 to finish solo second and followed that with another good performance the week before in Texas with a T4 finish and a T9 at The RBC Heritage. Chappell came close to a winner at Bay Hill but just came up short finishing solo second after shooting superb rounds of 68,68,67,69 to finish 16 under in total.

Chappell has played well here in the past finishing T19 last year and T10 in 2014. He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 31st in par 5 scoring. After taking last week off he should be fresh and ready to continue his good run of form here this week.

 

Chris Kirk 28/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 28/1

After unexpectedly withdrawing from The Players a couple of weeks ago Kirk looked to have some sort of a niggle injury wise but should be in good shape coming to Colonial after taking last week off. He has been in decent form this season finishing T12 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and followed that with a decent performance at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth. Most recently he finished T23 at The RBC Heritage, T13 in Texas and a T5 at The Zurich Classic in New Orleans.

His record here in Colonial is excellent over the last few years. He won here last year, T14 in 2014, T5 in 2012 and T16 in 2011. Kirk is playing great golf at the moment and is a real horse for the course here and could have another great week.

 

45/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 45/1 

Knost has been in tip top form lately and had another impressive top 5 finish at The Byron Nelson last week finishing T4 after shooting 63,69,65 over the weekend which was his second 63 in two weeks. He was very impressive in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

The Dallas native has played well here last year finishing T10 and shot two 66’s over the last two rounds. He ranks 14th in SGP, second in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.

 

Bryce Molder 70/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016 Bryce Molder 80/1 

The American started well last week shooting 66,65,68 in the first three rounds but finished poorly with a bogey and a double in his last five holes shooting a final round 72 to finish T24. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last five starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 at The Players Championship.

He has only missed one cut here since 2009 and has played well here on the past. He finished fifth here in 2009 and his next best was T31 in 2012. He ranks 13th in strokes gained putting, fourth in scrambling and 24th in par 3 scoring. Molder comes here in great form this time around and could go well again here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

 

Charley Hoffman 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Chappell 28/1 1.5 pts EW

Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Colt Knost 45/1 1pt EW

Bryce Molder 70/1 1 pt EW

 

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii  

Par 70, 7,044 yards 

The Course 

This week the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu for the Sony Open. Previous winners include Jimmy Walker (2015 and 2014), Russell Henley (2013), Johnson Wagner (2012), Mark Wilson (2011) and Ryan Palmer (2010).

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with small greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined, which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.

 

Jimmy Walker 14/1 Sony Open 2016

Jimmy Walker  14/1

Walker hasn’t been firing on all cylinders in his last couple of tournaments but he seems to be coming back showing some form just in time for The Sony. He started2015/2016 campaign off with a T50 at the Shriners shooting 66,67,69 and then played poorly in the final round shooting a disappointing 78. He followed that with a respectable T8 at The Hero World Challenge to finish 17 under for the week. Last week at The Hyundai he finished in an impressive T10 on 15 under for the week which included a very impressive third round 64.

He has a great record at Waialae winning this event the last two years in a row. He also finished T26 in 2013 and solo fourth in 2011. With good previous form on this course and two decent performances over the last few weeks, Jimmy Walker looks a good shout here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Justin Thomas 30/1

Thomas has been playing well since the end of last season finishing T13 at The BMW, T16 at The Barclays and T18 at The PGA Championship. He started the new season in style only finishing outside the top 30 once in his last five events. He had a great week at The Frys.com Open finishing T3 on 14 under par for the week and followed that with a superb performance at The CIMB Classic beating Kevin Na in a playoff to secure his first PGA Tour victory.

Most recently he finished in a respectable T27 at The WGC HSBC Champions and T21 last week at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has only played here once before which was last year when he finished T6 on 12 under par for the tournament which included a superb second round 61. With a great start to the season and a good performance last year, Thomas could be a huge contender here.

 

Harris English 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Harris English 30/1

English has been coming back into some form over the last few months and ended the 2014/2015 season with a T22 at The Tour Championship, T19 at The BMW and T12 at The Deutsche Bank. The American has been showing some good form recently with three top 25’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The WGC HSBC Champions finishing in a respectable T23 and followed that with a T25 at The RSM Classic and a T2 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

He is another player with a superb record in Waialae finishing T3 last year where he lead par 4 scoring and hit the ball beautifully off the tee, T4 in 2014 and T9 in 2013. He leads strokes gained putting so far this season which will be a big help here this week on these small Bermuda greens.

 

Marc Leishman 35/1 Sony Open 2016

Marc Leishman 35/1

Leishman started the new season off with a T29 at The CIMB Classic which included a final round 66 to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions shooting 65,68 over the weekend to finish 14 under par for the tournament. The Aussie then went to South Africa in early December and played superb all week shooting 68,68,66,67 to win the Nedbank Challenge on 19 under, six shots clear of runner up Henrik Stenson.

He has great form at Waialae finishing T5 in 2014, T9 in 2013, T27 in 2011 and T20 in 2010. Leishman has shown that he is a good wind player with a brilliant performance at The Open Championship losing to Zach Johnson in a playoff. He seems to be showing some super form at present and looks great value here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Chris Kirk 45/1 Sony Open 2016

Chris Kirk 45/1

Chris Kirk has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 25’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The RSM Classic finishing T18 on nine under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge and finished T24th last week in Kapalua where he was fifth in GIR and 12th in Driving Accuracy which are two encouraging stats coming into this week.

He has a superb record around this course finishing T26 last year, T2 in 2014, T5 in 2013 and T30 in 2011. Kirk is a real horse for the course here and could have a great each way chance this week especially with good current form.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 14/1 2pts EW

Justin Thomas 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Harris English 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Marc Leishman 35/1 1 pt EW

Chris Kirk 45/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2015

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2015

Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course                 

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s teaam matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jordan Spieth 7/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Jordan Spieth 7/1

There is no player that is in better form at the moment than Jordan Spieth. Every time he tees it up he looks a serious threat. He made his second appearance at this event last year and finished in a respectable T19. He started the tournament with a 67 and followed that with a 72 in R2 and a 67 in R3. Unfortunately he played poorly on the Sunday shooting a 75 in R4 that took him out of contention. However, I don’t see that happening this time around. Spieth comes here this week in great form with two wins, three top 5’s, a top 15 and a top 20 in his last nine starts.

Jordan ranks fifth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in strokes gained putting and first in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 16th in par 3 scoring, first in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 5 scoring. Given his current run of form and respectable finish last year, Jordan Spieth is a worthy favorite this week and cannot be ruled out.

 

Justin Rose 20/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Justin Rose 20/1

Justin Rose is your typical horse for the course here at Miurfield with a win, four top 10’s and a top 15 in his last 10 appearances. Despite an MC here last year, he finished T8 in 2013, T8 in 2012, win in 2010, T2 in 2008, T14 in 2006 and a T4 in 2004. He has shown some good form so far this year with a win in New Orleans, T2 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. He also showed good early season form with a T12 in Abu Dhabi and a T13 in Qatar.

Rose also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 33rd in driving distance, 32nd in GIR, ninth in approaches from 225-250 and second in approaches from 200+, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 35th in par 3 scoring, 11th in par 5 scoring and fifth in putts from 10-15 feet. With great previous form here and good current form, Rose could have his second victory of the season here in Ohio.

 

Chris Kirk 28/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Chris Kirk 28/1

Kirk has been showing great form over the last couple of months since finishing T8 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He followed that with a T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players, which included two 68’s in R2 and R3. He shot a disappointing final round 75 to take him out of the running, but overall had a good week. Most recently, he had a super performance at Colonial winning The Crowne Plaza Invitational shooting 68,69,65,66 on his way to a 12 under par total. He has played well here at Miurfield in the past finishing T4 last year and T25 in 2012.

Kirk ranks first in sand saves, fifth in approaches from 125-150 and 27th in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 10th in putts from 10-15 feet, 39th in par 3 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a top 5 here last year, Kirk could be another danger man here this week.

 

Bill Haas 33/1 The Memorial Tournament

Bill Haas 33/1

Bill Haas is another player showing some good form lately and has played well here in the past with two top 10’s in his last two appearances finishing T8 last year and T4 in 2013. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T7 at The WGC Cadillac, T12 at The Masters and a T4 at The Players, which included a 67 in R2 and a 68 in R3 to finish on 11 under in total.

Statswise, Bill ranks 44th in strokes gained tee to green, 16th in approaches from 225-250, third approaches from 50-125 and fifth in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks 25th in scrambling and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With good finishes at the bigger events so far this season, Haas could have another good week here.

 

Kevin Na 40/1 The Memorial Tournament

Kevin Na 40/1

Kevin Na has been super consistent over the last couple of months recording five top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last eight starts. He was leading after three rounds in Colonial a couple of weeks ago and shot a disappointing 72 in the final round to finish -9 for the tournament. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac, where he finished T9 and followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at Bay Hill, T20 in Texas, T12 at The Masters, T6 at The Players and a T10 at Colonial. Na was beaten by Matsuyama in a playoff last year and comes here in much better form this time around.

Statswise, he ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in sand saves, 12th in approaches from 100-125, eighth in par 3 scoring and 17th in par 4 scoring. After coming close to winning last year, Na comes here in great form and looks to be a big price this week.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 7/1 2 pts EW

Justin Rose 20/1 2 pts EW

Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Bill Haas 33/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Na 40/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2015

Sony Open pic 1

Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii
Par 70, 7,044 yards

The Course
After a great week at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which saw Patrick Reed beat Jimmy Walker in a playoff, the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu.

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s, which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with small greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined, which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards, so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.

Jimmy Walker pic 1

Jimmy Walker 16/1
After the disappointment of losing dramatically to Patrick Reed at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, Jimmy Walker didn’t really put a foot wrong and played solid all week. I really thought he putted very well making a lot of putts when it mattered. He has been playing well so far this season with three top 15’s in his last five starts, including a T9 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Ryan Palmer.

Walker finished T4 at The Shriners Open, 15th at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas and second last week at The Hyundai. He has played well at Waialae, winning this tournament last year and finishing solo fourth in 2011. Walker ranks 27th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in GIR from 200+ yards, 17th in approaches from 100-125 yards and 10th in approaches from 125-150. With good previous form on this course and good GIR stats, Jimmy Walker looks a solid bet after coming so close last week.

Chris Kirk 3

Chris Kirk 20/1
After a course record equalling 62 in Kapalua on Monday, Chris Kirk is showing some good form coming back to a course where he has played so well on in the past. He has two top 10’s here in the last two years finishing solo second last year and T5 in 2013. He hasn’t finished no worse than 16th in his last four starts showing a lot of consistency. He started the season well with a T4 at The McGladrey and followed that with a respectable T14 at The WGC HSBC Champions.

Just before Christmas, he finished solo 16th at The Hero World Challenge and then put together rounds of 68,76,73,62 in Kapalua, finishing T14 on thirteen under for the week. Kirk ranks 27th in strokes gained putting, first in approaches from 100-125, fourth in approaches from 50-75 and 19th in approaches from 250-275. He also has good putting stats, ranking fourth in putts from 10-15 feet, which should be a big plus on these small Bermuda greens.

Tim Clark 1

Tim Clark 33/1
Tim Clark has been playing well over the last couple of months finishing second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai back in November and T7 at The Nedbank Golf Challenge in South Africa the week before Christmas. Other than a disappointing second round 75, Tim was quite solid last week at The Hyundai shooting a 70 in round one and following that with 67,71 in round three and four finishing T25.

He has a good record here finishing solo second in 2013 and T2 in 2011. He was forced to withdraw from this event last year but seems to be injury free after competing last week. Clark ranks 27th in driving accuracy, 21st in approaches from 100-125 and 16th in approaches from 150-175, which are good stats for approaching some of the 12 par 4’s here. With this course being short, tight and tricky with small greens, this course seems to suit Clark’s game.

Russell Henley pic 1

Russell Henley 28/1
With an opening round 65 last week in Kapalua, Russell Henley recorded his second top five in his last three events finishing T3 at The Hyundai TOC on Monday, shooting an impressive final round 67. He started his season at The McGladrey Classic back at the end of October, where he shot rounds of 68,63,68,69 to finish twelve under par and T4 for the tournament. He also played well at the end of last season posting a T2 at The Deutsche Bank and a solo 12th at The Tour Championship.

Henley won this event back in 2013 shooting three 63’s and a third round 67 to finish on 24 under par, three strokes better than his closest challenger Tim Clark. Statswise, Russell is hitting 73% of greens and ranks fifth in strokes gained putting and 11th in birdie average. He also ranks second in par 4 performance, 15th in putts from 10-15 feet and 12th in putts from 20-25 feet, which is a big plus on these small, tricky Bermuda greens.

First Round Leader –

Jimmy Walker 25/1
Walker hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in his last eight rounds in Waialae and could start strongly. He opened with a 66 last year, 69 in 2013 and a 68 in 2011. He also shot a 67 or better in five of his last eight rounds here, one of which was a 63 in the final round last year. He carded a 69 or better in three of his last four competitive rounds and given his performance in Kapalua, he could start well and go very low again here in round one.

Chris Kirk 28/1
Chris Kirk is another player that has gone very low around this course carding a 69 or better in his last eight rounds in Waialae. He has shot a 66 or better in five of his last eight rounds including a 64 in the first round last year and a 62 in round three in 2013. Kirk has opened with a round in the 60’s in three of his last four competitive rounds and looks in great shape after a course record equalling 62 last Monday in Kapalua.

Final Selections –
Jimmy Walker 16/1 2 pts EW
Chris Kirk 20/1 1 pt EW
Tim Clark 33/1 1 pt EW
Russell Henley 28/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader –
Jimmy Walker 25/1 1 pt EW
Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6
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The McGladrey Classic Betting Preview

McGladrey Classic

Seaside Course, Sea Island, Georgia
7,055 yards, Par 70

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where local resident Chris Kirk is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), and Chris Kirk (2013). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside Course has links style bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus for me this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole.

Webb Simpson 2

Webb Simpson 14/1
Webb had a great start to the new season last week at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting four rounds in the sixties to finish 15 under par and T4th for the week. He also had a good finish to the 2013/2014 season with a T5 at The Wyndham, T9 at The Deutsche Bank and a respectable T23 at The Tour Championship in East Lake.

Simpson has a great record here at The Seaside Course finishing T7 last year, second in 2011 losing to Ben Crane in a playoff and T12th in 2010. Last week Webb ranked second in GIR and GIR tee to green, 10th in par 4 birdie or better leaders and first in GIR from 75 yards and 100 yards. After a good week in Vegas combined with a great record here over the last few years, it’s hard to bet against Webb this week.

Bill Haas pic 1

Bill Haas 16/1
Haas played well towards the end of the season not finishing worse than T16 in his last five events. He finished T2 at The Wyndham which included a final round 64, a T15 at The Barclays, T9 at The Deutsche Bank, T16 at The BMW Championship and 16th place finish at The Tour Championship. Haas also has a good record at The Seaside course finishing second in 2010 in his one and only appearance.

He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise, ranking 15th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green, 38th in par 4 performance and third in par 5 performance last season. He also ranked sixth in GIR from 150 yards and eighth in proximity form the sand, which will be a big help if he gets himself into some of these tricky greenside and fairway bunkers. This could be an event where Haas could really flourish, especially after finishing the season so well recently.

Scott Brown Pic 1

Scott Brown 33/1
Scott Brown arrives to Sea Island this week with two top 12 finishes in his last two events. He started the season well at The Frys with a T12 finishing on ten under par for the tournament. He then followed that with another good performance in TPC Summerlin last week shooting a final round 66 to finish T10th on thirteen under par. In his previous two appearances here, Brown finished T20 in 2012 and T4 here last year.

So far this season he ranks 15th in strokes gained putting, 30th strokes gained tee to green, 14th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, fourth in par four scoring and 33rd in proximity to the hole. After starting the season well, I expect Brown to continue that good form this week in a weaker field.

Tony Finau pic 1

Tony Finau 50/1
Finau has been riding on the crest of a wave recently with five top 20 finishes, including two top 10’s, in his last six events. He finished the Web.com season well with good performances at The Hotel Fitness Championship (T19), The Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship (T6) and The Web.com Tour Championship finishing T14th. He has started his PGA Tour season exceptionally well with a T12 at The Frys and a T7 at The Shriners Open last week in Vegas.

Statswise he ranks 20th in GIR, fourth in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 5 performance and 37th in par 4 birdie or better leaders. With a great start to the season, Finau could be one to watch here this week.

Robert Streb pic 1

Robert Streb 66/1
Streb is another player that as started the season well with a respectable T31 at The Frys and a T10 last week at The Shriners. He also had a good finish to the season with good performances at The Barracuda Championship (T14), The Wyndham (T18) and a T9 finish at The Deutsche Bank Championship.

He is also another player that seems to fit the bill in terms of stats. He ranks 35th in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 4 scoring, 25th in total putting and 15th in approaches from 125-150, which is a big plus for approaches into the par 4’s. With a T10 last week, he’ll be arriving here with a lot of confidence and should have a good week.

Final Selections
Webb Simpson 2pts EW at 14/1
Bill Haas 2pts EW at 16/1
Scott Brown 1 pt EW at 33/1
Tony Finau 1 pt EW at 50/1
Robert Streb 1 pt EW at 66/1
Total staked = 14 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

DB

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview

Aug 15-18 Sedgefield CC, Greensboro, NC

 

 

Last week at Oak Hill –

What a week Mr Dufner had at Oak Hill, breaking his major duck to take the Wanamaker Trophy. He played flawless golf all week, shooting four great rounds including a second round course record of 63. I have to say, he was on my shortlist last week but I didn’t think he would go all the way so that was why I didn’t tip him. How wrong I was. It wasn’t all lost last week securing another two places in a major championship, with Stenson getting a solo third and Adam Scott finishing in tied 5th. Overall, profit was made so I can’t complain. Anyway, let’s move onto this week at The Wyndham in North Carolina.

 

 

Tim Clark 50/1

I actually backed Tim in this tournament last year when he placed solo 2nd to eventual winner Sergio Garcia. I just think this course really suits him with a solo second last year and a good finish in 2008, finishing in tied 6th. Tim’s recent form hasn’t been great with two missed cuts in his last five starts, however, there have been signs of good form, albeit a bit streaky, with three top 10’s under his belt already this season, most recently at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at the end of May, finishing in tied 7th. He also finished solo second at The Sony Open at the start of the season and tied 9th at The Accenture Matchplay. It’s important to note that Tim is 1st in Driving Accuracy on The PGA Tour this season, which will most certainly help here. He is also 10th in GIR percentage between 100-125 yards and 12th in approaches from 75-100 yards. For a player that has a good record here, he is most certainly worth considering at 50/1.

 

Chris Kirk 50/1

Kirk is another player, like Tim Clark, that could go well around here this week. Kirk had a top 10 finish at The Sanderson Farms Championship finishing in tied 9th a couple of weeks back and followed that up with a tied 21st finish at The RBC Canadian Open, so he is showing some form lately. Kirk has had 3 top 10’s this year finishing in tied 5th at The Sony Open in January, solo 2nd at The AT&T National and, most recently, tied 9th at The Sanderson Farms. Kirk ranks 24th in Strokes Gained, 10th in Birdie Average, 1st in Par 4 or better leaders, 5th in Birdie or better conversions and 6th in The All Around. Finishing tied 22nd last year with 4 good rounds of 66,69,69,67, he certainly has the game and potential to go one step further here. Very much a dark horse.

 

Patrick Reed 66/1

Reed is a really in form player at the moment with 3 top 10 finishes in his last 6 starts. He finished tied 9th at The RBC Canadian Open, tied 7th at The John Deere Classic and 5th on his own at The FedEx St Jude Classic. Stats wise he ranks 53rd in Driving Distance, 45th in Strokes Gained Putting, 14th in Sand Saves, 50th in Birdie Average and 31st in The All Around. As I said above, Reed is an in form player at the moment and I for one, was surprised to see him at such a high price considering his current form and stats, could be a serious each way contender here this week.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

This man has had a phenomenal start to his professional golf career, not finishing any higher than 21st since a missed cut in The Sony Open at the start of the year. This is the second time I’ve backed Matsuyama this season, backing him in The RBC Canadian Open, where he finished a respectable tied 16th. Two top 10’s in Major Championships this year, with a tied 10th finish at The US Open in Merion, beating some of the world’s best players, and following that with a tied 6th finish at The Open Championship in Muirfield. He had a respectable finish last week in PGA Championship finishing in a tie for 19th place. He ranks 19th in Eagles, 1st in Scoring Average, 12th in Par 3 or better leaders and 1st in Final Round Scoring Average. All in all, I reckon he is a great bet this week and is certainly worth backing at 33/1.

 

Zach Johnson 16/1

I backed Zach last week in Oak Hill where he got his 4th top 10 finish in a row, finishing in tied 8th place. The week before that he finished tied 4th at The Bridgestone Invitational, then finished tied 6th at The Open Championship at Muirfield. The week previously to that he lost in a playoff to Jordan Speith at The John Deere Classic. His 5th top 10 finish of the season so far came back in May finishing in third on his own at The Crowne Plaza Invitational. So it’s fair to say, he is most certainly an in form man at the moment. Stats wise he ranks 12th in Driving Accuracy, 60th in Strokes Gained Putting, 47th in Scoring Average and 4th in GIR Percentage between 125-150 yards. Stats combined with current form make Johnson lethal here this week, in my opinion.

 

Final Selections –

Tim Clark 1.5 pts ew/3 pts total

Chris Kirk 1pt ew/ 2 pts total

Patrick Reed 1pt ew/ 2 pts total

Hideki Matsuyama 1.5 pts ew/ 3 pts total

Zach Johnson 2pts ew/ 4 pts total

Total Staked = 14

 

Best of luck and enjoy the golf,

 

DoubleBogey6                                                                      

 

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