7,204 Yards Par 70
Colonial Country Club was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.
This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker, Boo Weekly, Adam Scott and Chris Kirk over the last few years.
Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at. This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will be worth considering. Good previous form here at Colonial is a big plus with the previous 10 winners all playing the event at least twice before going on to win it.
Looks like we could have even more weather delays this week with all four days expected to be hot and humid with the possibility of thunderstorms. Sunday looks to be the best of the four days with dry weather expected.
I’ve decided to give Charley another go this week on a course he has good vibes on over the last few years. Hoffman had yet another solid finish last week at the Byron Nelson finishing in a respectable T12 on 11 under for the tournament. He has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. Charley had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.
As I mentioned above Hoffman has played well here over the years finishing T10 last year, T18 in 2013 and T13 in 2012. With superb current form and good memories from Colonial over the last few years Charley could keep his good run of form going here.
Chappell has been in great form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He had a super week at The Players shooting a final round 69 to finish solo second and followed that with another good performance the week before in Texas with a T4 finish and a T9 at The RBC Heritage. Chappell came close to a winner at Bay Hill but just came up short finishing solo second after shooting superb rounds of 68,68,67,69 to finish 16 under in total.
Chappell has played well here in the past finishing T19 last year and T10 in 2014. He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 31st in par 5 scoring. After taking last week off he should be fresh and ready to continue his good run of form here this week.
After unexpectedly withdrawing from The Players a couple of weeks ago Kirk looked to have some sort of a niggle injury wise but should be in good shape coming to Colonial after taking last week off. He has been in decent form this season finishing T12 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and followed that with a decent performance at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth. Most recently he finished T23 at The RBC Heritage, T13 in Texas and a T5 at The Zurich Classic in New Orleans.
His record here in Colonial is excellent over the last few years. He won here last year, T14 in 2014, T5 in 2012 and T16 in 2011. Kirk is playing great golf at the moment and is a real horse for the course here and could have another great week.
Knost has been in tip top form lately and had another impressive top 5 finish at The Byron Nelson last week finishing T4 after shooting 63,69,65 over the weekend which was his second 63 in two weeks. He was very impressive in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.
The Dallas native has played well here last year finishing T10 and shot two 66’s over the last two rounds. He ranks 14th in SGP, second in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.
The American started well last week shooting 66,65,68 in the first three rounds but finished poorly with a bogey and a double in his last five holes shooting a final round 72 to finish T24. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last five starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 at The Players Championship.
He has only missed one cut here since 2009 and has played well here on the past. He finished fifth here in 2009 and his next best was T31 in 2012. He ranks 13th in strokes gained putting, fourth in scrambling and 24th in par 3 scoring. Molder comes here in great form this time around and could go well again here at a decent price.
Final Selections –
Charley Hoffman 22/1 1.5 pts EW
Kevin Chappell 28/1 1.5 pts EW
Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW
Colt Knost 45/1 1pt EW
Bryce Molder 70/1 1 pt EW
Total Staked = 12 pts
Good Luck and enjoy the golf,
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