PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017 – Quail Hollow

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina  

7,600 yards, Par 71

The Course 

Quail Hollow is the host course of the Wells Fargo Championship since 2003 and is a tough test measuring a lengthy 7,600 yards. Previous winners here include Brian Harman (2017), James Hahn (2016), Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010) J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012) and Lucas Glover (2011). 

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003. 

The course has undergone some fairly big changes in preparation for this event and promises to a little more challenging than in previous years. They greens have had some major surgery changing from bentgrass to Bermuda. A lot of trees have also been removed to allow for more sunlight to hit the greens and re-shape the golf course. Some of the opening holes have had some renovations done with the old first and second being brought together and posing as a testing 540 yard par 4. The fifth has been changed from a par 5 to a par 4, the eighth hole is now a driveable 340 yard par 4 and the second hole is now a new par 3. The 11th hole has been lengthened and had some extra bunkers added to it.

Length looks to be a huge advantage along with hitting plenty of greens. The main stats that stand out here are driving distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.  

 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 

Matsuyama was outstanding last Sunday in the final round in Firestone shooting a flawless 61 to win his second WGC title and his third PGA Tour win this season. Its hard to find any fault in any part of his game from driving it bullet straight to stitching his approach shots and holing everything on the greens.

His form has been pretty good this season and he seems to be really heating up lately with a win, a top five and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a great week in Erin Hills finishing T2 at the US Open after an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T14 at The Open Championship in Royal Birkdale and seemed to be striking the ball very well but missed a few putts. Matsuyama won in Phoenix earlier this year which also has Bermuda greens so that looks to be a big positive for this weeks venue.

His record around Quail Hollow is decent finishing T38 in 2014, T20 in 2015 and 11th last year. Statswise he ranks 22nd in driving distance averaging just over 304 off the tee. He also ranks sixth in GIR, first in par 5 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. He is the man in form coming to the PGA this week and it could be his time to win his first major.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie Fowler is another player in fine form coming into this week and has to be respected here. He has four top 10’s in his last six starts three of which were top fives. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at The US Open and a T3 at the Quicken Loans National which included a 68,65 over the weekend. He then travelled to Birkdale and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish a respectable T22. Last week at the WGC Bridgestone, Fowler was steady as a rock throughout the week shooting 70,71,67,66 on his way to a solo ninth.

He has a good record here in Quail Hollow getting his first PGA Tour win here in 2012. He also finished T6 in 2010 and T4 last year. Fowler is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee ranking 32nd in driving distance, 36th in GIR, first in SG putting and fifth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history on this course, Fowler looks another big contender here.

 

Daniel Berger 60/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 60/1

I am sticking to my guns and backing Berger for the second week running here. He has been in great form lately with a win and two top 5’s in his last six starts. He had a great week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting two 66’s to win by one. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where he lost in a dramatic playoff to Jordan Speith. He then traveled to TPC Deere Run where he finished T5 at the John Deere Classic  which included an impressive third round 63.

Berger has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T28 in 2015. He has played well in the Majors over the last couple of years finishing T10 in Augusta last year, T27 at the Masters this year and a T27 at The Open in Birkdale. Statswise he ranks 44th in GIR, 26th in SG putting, 24th in SGTTG, 18th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring.

 

Tony Finau PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Tony Finau 80/1 

When it comes to bombers, Tony Finau is up there with the longest on tour off the tee and this could be a course that suits his powerful game. He looks to be in great shape coming to Quail Hollow with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last four starts. He played well at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week to finish a respectable T17. He followed that with a T29 at The Quicken Loans and a T7 at The Greenbrier where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week. Finau then travelled to Royal Birkdale and finished in a respectable T27 at The Open and had a great performance in Canada a week later finishing T5 at the Canadian Open.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 in 2015 and T28 last year. Finau is averaging just over 306 yards off the tee ranking sixth in driving distance, fifth in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 10th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With great current form, a long golf course and an average drive of over 300 yards, this course could set up well for big hitting Finau.

 

Xander Shauffele PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Xander Shauffele – Top 20 Finish – 4/1 

The young American has made quite an impression this season and looks to be playing some great golf lately. He had a good week at the US Open shooting rounds of 66,73,70,69 to finish T5 at Erin Hills in his first major appearance. He followed that with a T14 at the Travelers, a win at the Greenbrier Classic where he didnt shoot worse than a 69, a T20 at the Open Championship and a T13 in Firestone last week at the WGC Bridgestone.

Statswise Shauffele ticks alot of boxes here for Quail Hollow ranking 17th in driving distance averaging just over 305 off the tee. He also ranks 20th in GIR, 23rd in SG Putting and 10th in par 4 scoring. He has put together some huge performances in big events this season and with his length he looks a great bet for a top 20 this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 1pt EW

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 60/1 0.5pts EW

Tony Finau 80/1 0.5pts EW

Xander Shauffele Top 20 – 4/1 2pt win 

Total staked = 8pts 

*Most bookies paying 8 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017

WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio 

Par 70, 7,400 yards 

The Course 

Firestone Country Club was designed by Bert Way and was originally commissioned by Harvey Firestone for the employees of his tire company, Firestone Tire and Rubber and opened in August 1929. Firestone made a name for itself hosting a total of three PGA Championships in 1960, 1966 and 1975.

Robert Trent Jones oversaw a huge redesign for the 1960 PGA Championship adding over fifty bunkers, two ponds and extending the course to 7,165 yards. It was then renovated by Golforce in 2007 adding more yardage onto the course making it 7,400 for the 2015 WGC Bridgestone.

Firestone is a tough all round test of golf and only the very best players tend to contend here. It has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is the one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour measuring just under 670 yards. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards and three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so good ball striking and accurate iron play will be essential into these testing bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting (good bentgrass putters), par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. This is one of the best courses in the world and the cream tends to rise to the top so bare that in mind.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Jordan Speith 8/1

Jordan Speith comes to Ohio this week rested and energised after the heroics of Royal Birkdale a couple of weeks ago. I won’t harp on about fantastic he played and the putts he made because let’s face it, if you watched it you know what I’m talking about. The young Texan has been in superb form lately with two wins, a second and a top 15 in his last five starts. He played well in Colonial finishing T2 at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, after shooting an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T13 at Memorial followed by back to back wins, the first at the Travelers Championship and the second at the Open in Royal Birkdale.

Speith has played very well around Firestone in the past finishing 10th in 2015 and third last year. He ranks second in GIR, first in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 3 scoring which are three very good boxes ticked for this course. It looks like he has rediscovered that killer instinct with his putter and is extremely difficult to avoid this week even at skinny odds. Given his current form and favourable history here, Speith is without a doubt the man to beat.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2017Brooks Koepka 16/1

The US Open Champion has been playing some superb golf this season and should be well rested coming to Firestone this week. Since finishing T11 in Augusta, Koepka has a win, three top 10’s and a top 20 under his belt. He had a great week at the Valero Texas Open finishing T2 after an impressive final round 65 and followed that with a T5 in New Orleans, which included a final round 62.

Brooks then teed it up in Sawgrass and finished a respectable T16 at the Players Championship. It was Erin Hills that seemed to suit his game the best where he shot four rounds of 70 or better to win by four strokes from Hideki Matsuyama and Brian Harman to win the US Open in Wisconsin.

He has played well here in Firestone in the past finishing T6 in 2015, which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise Koepka is averaging just over 307 off the tee ranking 10th in driving distance and 21st in strokes gained putting. After a good performance here in 2015 there’s no reason why he can’t contend again.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Paul Casey 30/1

The Englishman is having a fantastic season and comes here in great form. Since finishing solo sixth in Augusta at The Masters, Casey’s form figures read 12,22,10, 26, 5, 11. He had a good week at the Wells Fargo finishing T12 and followed that with a T22 in Sawgrass at The Players, T10 at The Dean and Deluca and a respectable 26th at the US Open in Erin Hills.

Most recently Casey has been playing quite solid finishing T5 at the Travelers which included four rounds of 69 or better to post nine under in total. The Englishman had a super week at Royal Birkdale shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T11 at The Open Championship.

Casey has a great record here and seems to be a real horse for the course with two top 10’s and three top 20’s since 2005. He finished fourth in 2006, eighth in 2008, T17 in 2015 and T16 last year.

 

Daniel Berger 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 40/1

Berger has been playing great golf this season with a win and two top five finishes in his last six starts. He had a superb week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a pair of 66’s to win by one stroke from Charl Schwartzel and Whee Kim. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where a moment of brilliance from Jordan Speith denied him victory after a tricky playoff. Berger bounced back well finishing T5 at TPC Deere Run at the John Deere Classic which included an impressive 63 in round three.

He teed it up here for the first time last year and had to controversially withdraw with an injured shoulder after hitting only one tee shot. Statswise he ranks 34th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained putting and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 

Since getting the monkey off his back in Scotland with an impressive victory at the Scottish Open, The Spaniard has maintained some great consistency over the last few weeks and looks to be striking the ball very well. He had a good week at the Players Championship shooting three rounds of 70 or better to finish T4. He then teed it up at the FedEx St Jude finishing T4 and followed that with a T4 in Royal Birkdale at The Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s.

Rafa has played once here before finishing T29 in 2012 which included an opening round 66 and a second round 65. He ranks 27th in GIR on the European Tour and 45th in par 4 scoring on the PGA Tour. He has stood up to the plate in the big events and looks good value here to have a good week.

 

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Charl Schwartzel 55/1

South African Charl Schwartzel is another player that arrives to Firestone in good shape with three top fives and one top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Augusta finishing solo third at the Masters, a course where he won on in 2011, and followed that with a T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic, which included three rounds of 66 or better. He then travelled o Germany last week for the Porche European Open where he shot an opening round 67 and a closing round 69 to finish T12 for the tournament on eight under par in total.

He has a great record around Firestone with form figures of 24,21,4,31,7 since 2012. Schwartzel is a good horse for the course kind of player and tends to play well on bentgrass greens. At 55/1 and some good performances in big events this year, he looks good value to have a decent week.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Speith 8/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 16/1 1pt EW

Paul Casey 30/1 0.5pts EW

Daniel Berger 40/1 0.5pts EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 0.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 8pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview  2017

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida  

Par 71, 7,340 yards  

The Course  

There are four golf courses at Innisbrook all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course.

The Copperhead course underwent some subtle changes in 2015 with bigger tee boxes, re shaped bunkers around the greens and re grassed fairways. It is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s.  All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand good accurate iron play to score on the greens which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards.

Three of the four par 5’s, the first, 11th and 14th are pretty easy and should offer up plenty of birdies. Players that can work the ball both directions should also have a big advantage with two out of the four par 5’s having double doglegs.  Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy with players reaping the rewards with accuracy off the tee on some holes.

Water will be a key feature and comes into play on 9 out of the 18 holes. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back nine 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate iron players.

 

Henrik Stenson 11/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 11/1

Despite withdrawing last week in Mexico with a stomach virus, Stenson seems to be back to full health here this week. The Swede has been in great form over the last few months with six top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T2 and followed that with a solo eighth at the Nedbank in South Africa, T9 at the DP World in Dubai, T8 in Abu Dhabi, solo second at the Hero World Challenge and a solo second at the Dubai Desert Classic a couple of weeks ago.

He has played well here at Copperhead in the past finishing T11 last year and fourth in 2015. Stenson could suit this course ranking sixth in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR and fourth in stroke average so far this season in Europe. He should be well rested after last week and looks a worthy favourite here.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 25/1

I backed Daniel a couple of weeks ago at the Honda where he didn’t play his best but after an encouraging performance last week in Mexico, Im willing to give him another shot here. He has been playing some good golf recently and comes here with five top 20’s in his last eight starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions back in October finishing T2 and followed that with a T14 at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing 12 under. Berger had another solid performance at the Phoenix Open in February finishing T7 which included rounds of 71,66,66,68 to post 13 under par in total.

Last week in Mexico he played well for the first three rounds shooting 70,66,70 and was right in contention but fell away on Sunday shooting a final round 72 to finish T16. Berger played well here last year finishing T11 but comes here in much better form this time around. Growing up in Florida, Berger is a good Bermuda player and ranks 25th in SGP, 10th in scrambling and 27th in par 3 scoring.

 

Gary Woodland 25/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Gary Woodland 25/1

Although Chapltapec didn’t really suit him last week, I reckon the big hitting American could feel more at home here in Copperhead this week. Woodland is in great form with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last seven events. He had a good week at the OHL Classic finishing solo second and followed that with a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T20 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines.

Most recently he played well at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am shooting 67,65 over the weekend to finish T5 on 12 under. He followed that with another solid performance at The Honda Classic in Florida shooting rounds of 71,66,66,69 to finish eight under and T2 for the tournament. Woodland has played well here over the last few years and had his first PGA Tour win here back in 2011. He also finished T29 in 2012 and T8 in 2014. Statswise Woodland is averaging just over 305 off the tee and ranks 15th in SG Approach to the green, 18th in SGTTG and 27th in GIR. If he putts well he could be dangerous.

 

Wesley Bryan 45/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Wesley Bryan 45/1

Ive been keeping an eye on this guy over the last 6 months and he’s really turning into a superb player. Although he hasn’t had the best start to the season, Bryan has played really well in his last two tournaments posting two top 5’s. He played well in LA at the Genesis Open shooting 69,69,63,72 to post 11 under in total and T4 for the tournament. He then went to Florida and had another good week finishing T4 on seven under, which included an opening round 64.

Statswise Bryan looks like another player that could suit this course ranking 35th in SG approaches to the green, 25th in SG around the green and 18th in par 3 scoring. He looks great value for a player bang in form.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 11/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 25/1 0.5 pts EW

Gary Woodland 25/1 0.5 pts EW

Wesley Bryan 45/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doubleboegy6

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017

 

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida 

Par 70, 7,140 yards

The Course 

This looks like another tricky week here on the PGA Tour as the Florida swing gets underway. The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on most Florida courses. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however the greens here are tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. There are over a dozen water hazards to contend with and the wind tends to be a factor on this course so be on the lookout for good wind players that hit a lot of greens. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling and sand saves will be essential.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

The weather could have a part to play again here with wind and rain forecast early and late this week and looks like it could be a threat throughout the tournament.

 

Adam Scott 12/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 12/1

I’ve decided to stick with the Aussie here after a decent performance last week in Riviera. He was knocking around the top 10 for most of the week and I thought he might just squeak some place money but it wasn’t meant to be. However he did play well and finished T11 for the tournament on nine under par.

He has been in good form so far this year with five top 15’s in his last five starts. He played well at The CIMB Classic finishing T10 and followed that with a T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions. Scott then played in his native Australian Open finishing T14 for the tournament on six under which included a second round 65. Last week he shot four steady rounds of 70 or better to finish T11, which looks very encouraging coming to Florida this week.

He has only played here three times in the past missing the cut in 2011, but followed that with a T12 in 2014 and a win last year. He played superbly well here last year shooting 70,65,66,70 to post nine under par in total. The Aussie is a great wind player and ranks 21st in SG Off the tee, first in SGP, fourth in sand saves and 15th in par 5 scoring. After decent performances over the last few weeks Scott looks a good shout here.

 

Russell Knox 30/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017Russell Knox 30/1

Knox is another player in decent form coming to Florida this week with eight top 20’s in his last eight starts. He started the season with a T10 at the CIMB Classic and followed that with a T9 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo third at the OHL Classic, T19 at the World Cup of Golf and a solo 16th at the Hero World Challenge. He started the New Year off with a T17 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua followed by a T11 at the Sony Open where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week.

He has a good record on this course finishing T26 last year, T3 in 2015 and just missed out on a win in 2014 after losing a playoff to Russell Henley to finish second. The Scot is another solid wind player and ranks sixth in GIR, fifth in birdie average, fourth in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 4 scoring. Knox is in fine form and could be a big danger man here.

 

Daniel Berger 35/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 35/1

The Florida native has had a decent season so far with three top 15’s in his last six starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions back in October and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament to finish T2. He followed that with a T14 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua finishing 12 under par for the week. Most recently, Berger had another solid performance at the Phoenix Open finishing T7 which included rounds of 71,66,66,68 to post 13 under par in total.

Berger has only played here twice before and was unlucky not to win in 2014 after shooting a final round 64. He made it into a playoff with veteran Padraig Harrington and came up short to finish second. He does tick some statistical boxes here ranking 26th in SGP, 17th in scrambling and fourth in par 3 scoring.

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 66/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017 Ollie Schneiderjans 66/1

The young American has been playing some great golf this season with three top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last six tournaments. He had a great week at the RSM Classic finishing T6 and followed that with a T27 at the Sony and a T9 at the Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. He then shot three rounds of 70 or better to finish T24 at the Phoenix Open to post nine under for the tournament. Last week in Riviera, Schneiderjans kept his good from going shooting 68,69,69,68 to finish T8 on ten under par in total.

He could be another player that could suit this course averaging just over 300 yards off the tee ranking 30th in driving distance. He has played here twice before missing the cut last year and finished T9 in 2015. Schneiderjans looks great value here and could be one to watch.

 

Final Selections

Adam Scott 12/1 1pt EW

Russell Knox 30/1 0.5pts EW

Daniel Berger 35/1 0.5 pts EW

Ollie Schneiderjans 66/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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FedEx St.Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards

The Course

The FedEx St. Jude Classic is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958, and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989. This will be the final tournament before the US Open next week in Oakmont. TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

The fairways here are undulating and narrow and will demand a fair amount of accuracy. The rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course. The greens here are quite small and undulating and will demand accurate iron shots and good putting in order to make birdies. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.

 

Brooks Koepka 14/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 14/1

Brooks came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds. His game looked in great shape but he let the tournament slip through his fingers after shooting a final round 71 and was beaten by Sergio Garcia in a playoff. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has a good record here at TPC Southwind finishing third here last year and T19 in 2014.

Koepka is averaging over 300 yards off the tee and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After coming close to a win at The Byron Nelson, Brooks could bounce back strongly here this week.

 

Ryan Palmer 16/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Ryan Palmer 16/1

Palmer has been playing well over the last few weeks with two top 5’s and a top 25 in his last four starts. He had a great week in Texas shooting 68,70,72,69 on his way to a T4 finish and followed that with a respectable T23 at The Players Championship. Most recently he came close to winning the Dean and Deluca Invitational at Colonial and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish T3 on 13 under for the tournament. He has a good record here finishing third in 2012, fourth in 2013, T32 in 2014 and T22 last year.

He is averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking eighth in driving distance and ranks second in par 5 scoring. He seem to be heating up just at the right time and could be a big danger here.

 

Harris English 25/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Harris English 25/1

English seems to be showing some form over the last few weeks. He had a good performance back in February finishing solo third in Phoenix and followed that with a solo 10th at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. More recently he played well at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and then had a solo second at The Dean and Deluca Invitational in Colonial in which he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 over the four rounds.

English will have good memories coming back here after winning in 2013 and could easily follow that up with another good performance this week.

 

Colt Knost 40/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 40/1

Knost has been in tip top form lately and had another impressive top 5 finish at The Byron Nelson finishing T4 after shooting 63,69,65 over the weekend which was his second 63 in three weeks. He was very impressive in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

Knost has played here three times before finishing T15 in 2011, MC in 2013 and T12 last year. He ranks second in driving accuracy, 28th in SGP and first in putting inside 10 feet. Knost is in good form and looks great value considering his current form.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Daniel Berger 25/1 

Despite a poor performance at Memorial last week, Berger is playing great over the last few weeks he hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last eight starts. He played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 25th in driving distance and 25th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections – 

Brooks Koepka 14/1 1.5pts EW

Ryan Palmer 16/1 1.5pts EW

Harris English 25/1 1pt EW

Colt Knost 40/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s team matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jason Day The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 13/2

The Aussie has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He started the week with an opening 63 and followed that with a 66 on Friday. He looked to be in complete control of his game throughout the week and despite his less than impressive record here at Muirfield, I wouldn’t be surprised if he won again this week. Day has been playing great golf this year and got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay winning back to back. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass.

Day’s best finish here is T33 in 2010 but he should able to improve on that this time around. He ticks all the boxes here statistically ranking 13th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 37th in GIR. He also ranks third in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring which are two stats that should suit Muirfield. Although Spieth and McIlroy have a big chance and deserve huge respect, Day for me makes the most appeal here and looks to be unstoppable lately.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 16/1

Matsuyama is in fine form coming here this week and could be a massive contender. He has four top 11’s in his last five starts and comes here on the back of a T7 at The Players Championship at Sawgrass. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo. Matsuyama got his first PGA Tour victory here at Muirfield in 2014 and recorded another top five finish last year finishing T5.

He also looks good statswise ranking fifth in SGTTG, 11th in GIR, fourth in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a great record on this course Matsuyama looks to have a great chance here.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

Bubba has gone a bit quiet over the last few weeks and took some time off after The Players where he finished T43 for the tournament. He has been playing well this season finishing T14 in Phoenix, a win at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open and solo second at The WGC Cadillac after shooting an impressive final round 68.

Watson has played well here in the past and came close to winning here in 2014. He was two clear going into the back 9 but finished bogey-double bogey on 14 and 15 to miss out on the playoff by one stroke and ended up finishing third. Big hitting Bubba ranks second in SGTTG, sixth in driving distance, third in GIR, 33rd in par 4 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. After coming so close in 2014 Bubba could get back to winning ways here.

 

Jason Dufner 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Dufner 50/1

Dufner looks to be back showing some form lately and played well last week in Colonial finishing T6. He didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week firing 68,69,66,70 to finish nine under for the tournament. He also had a good performance at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and also didn’t shoot worse than a 70. Dufner has shown decent form this year and had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge at the start of February and followed that with a T11 at the WGC Cadillac and a T22 at The Valspar.

He has played well here in Ohio in the past finishing T24 last year and T19 in 2014. Statistically he ranks 22nd in SGTTG, 10th in GIR, 23RD in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders. If he can keep the putter rolling on the greens Dufner should have a good chance here at a generous price.

 

Daniel Berger 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016 Daniel Berger 50/1

The young American is one of the form players at the moment and could be one to keep a beady eye on here. He hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last seven starts. Berger played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He has played here once in the past missing the cut last year but should improve on that this week. He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 31st in strokes gained tee to green and 12th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 2pts EW 13/2

Hideki Matsuyama 2pts EW 16/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 50/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 50/1

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2016

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2016TPC Louisiana, Avondale, LA

Par 72, 7,425 yards

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to TPC Louisiana this week, where Justin Rose is the defending champion. TPC Louisiana has hosted this tournament since 2007, with this year being the 10th year in a row. It was also host in 2005, but got badly damaged in hurricane Katrina. This resulted in some changes being made to the course making it fractionally shorter than it used to be.

The course is a Pete Dye design par 72 measuring just over 7,400 yards. It features four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course sits along the Mississippi River and has five ponds and over 100 bunkers, which will all come into play. The greens here are quite big and can get fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are wide and pretty forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential but hitting the greens in regulation will be important. The greens have a lot of undulations so landing the ball in the right part of the green will be important. This is a course that is ranked one of the easiest on The PGA Tour with the average score of the winner shooting between 15-22 under par on average over the last six years.

All types of players seem to play well at this venue. It’s worth looking at players with good GIR stats, strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green. Par 4, par 3 and par 5 scoring are also worth looking at. Traditionally, there are a lot of birdies on offer at this tournament so birdie average could be another metric worth taking a look at.

 

Justin Rose 8/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016

Justin Rose 8/1

The defending champion has been in good form over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last seven starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters.

Rose has a great records here with a win last year, 8th in 2014, 15th in 2013 and 10th in 2012. He also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 14th in GIR, 8TH in strokes gained tee to green and 4th in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and solid current form Rose could follow up his top 10 IN Augusta with back to back wins here.

 

Billy Horchel 18/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Billy Horchel 18/1

Billy played well last week in Texas finishing T4 for the tournament and played well all week. His iron play looked to be in great shape and he also negotiated the greens very well. He has been playing well this season with a T8 at The Farmers, T8 at The Honda Classic, T20 at The Arnold Palmer and a T17 at The Masters. Horchel generally plays well on courses that he has played well on in the past and he has a good record here at TPC Louisiana.

He finished T26 here in 2011 and followed that up with a win in 2013 shooting a final round 64 to beat D.A Points by one stroke to finish 20 under par in total. After a good week in Texas, Horchel can follow that up with another good performance here.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Daniel Berger 25/1

The young American has been in great form lately and had a great week in Augusta finishing in an impressive T10 at The Masters on one over par in total. He also played well in Houston finishing T5 which included a final round 66. Berger has played well this season with a T28 at the WGC Cadillac and a T11 at The Valspar and comes here after taking a break after The Masters and will be fresh.

He has only played here at TPC Louisiana once and finished T6 last year on 18 under for the week. He didn’t shoot worse than a 69 over the four days and has to be respected here given his current form. He ranks 29th in GIR and 29th in par 4 scoring which are two good stats for this course. With a good performance here last year Berger is playing well enough to go better again this time around.

 

Patton Kizzire 55/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Patton Kizzire 55/1

Kizzire looks like a player that could suit this course and has been playing some good golf recently. He finished T8 at The Farmers and followed that with a T26 at The Honda, T33 at The Valspar, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T14 at The RBC Heritage.

This is his first appearance here at TPC Louisiana this year and could go well. He ranks 8th in strokes gained putting, 27th in par 5 scoring and 35th in par 3 scoring. After some good performances this season Kizzire could be another player that could go well at a decent price.

 

Jamie Lovemark 66/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Jamie Lovemark 66/1

Lovemark has been in good form recently with three top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well The Northern Trust Open in Riviera finishing T20 and followed that with a T6 in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer and a T18 at The Shell Houston Open. He has played here twice before and missed the cut in 2012 and 2014 but seems to be in much better form this time around.

He ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking ninth in driving distance, seventh in scrambling, 16th in par 4 scoring and 24th in par 5 scoring. With some good performances over the last few weeks Lovemark could be one to watch here.

 

Final Selections –

Justin Rose 2pts EW 8/1

Billy Horchel 1pt EW 18/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 25/1

Patton Kizzire 1pt EW 55/1

Jamie Lovemark 1pt EW 66/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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