Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina  

Par 70, 7127 yards  

The Course  

What an excellent final round performance from Justin Thomas last week in Quail Hollow. Personally I was cheering on Matsuyama and Fowler who both ended up finishing in a tie for fifth which got us some place money.

The PGA Tour travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship this week, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.   

Sedgefield Country Club is a Donald Ross designed par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards. It was opened in 1926 and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards.

There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Its important for players to hit the right side of the fairway in order to attack these small greens to give them a good look in for their approach shots. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.  

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. As always, I’ll be also be checking course history and current form along with some approach stats.

 

Ryan Moore 20/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Ryan Moore 20/1 

After a bit of a quiet spell of late, Ryan Moore looks to be back playing well after a short spell on the sidelines with a shoulder injury. He was showing some great form back in April with a great week in Augusta finishing T9 and followed that with a T18 in Texas. He then went quiet for a couple of months with five missed cuts from six starts but has bounced back well in his last two events and looks to be injury free. He finished in a respectable T28 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T13 at the PGA Championship last week in Quail Hollow which included an impressive final round 69.

Moore has a great record here with a win in 2009 , his first on the PGA Tour, T37 in 2012 and a T10 in 2015 which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise he ranks 25th in driving accuracy hitting over 65% of fairways off the tee. With accurate driving, good form and a decent record here, Moore could be a huge danger man this week.

 

Bud Cauley 33/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Bud Cauley 33/1

I think this course could suit Bud’s eye and given his current form, he looks another good shout here. Despite one or two missed cuts recently, Cauley’s game looks in great shape over the last couple of months. He had a great week at the RBC Heritage in April finishing T9 and followed that with a T10 in Texas, T5 in New Orleans and a T5 at The Byron Nelson. He then travelled to the Memorial Tournament and finished a respectable T25 and followed that with a T12 at the John Deere Classic and a T33 last week at The PGA Championship.

Cauley has a good record around Sedgefield finishing solo third in 2012 and a T10 last year which included a third round 64. Statswise he ranks 47th in GIR, 33RD in SGTTG and 37th in par 4 scoring.

 

Chad Campbell 60/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Chad Campbell 60/1

Campbell looks to be hitting the ball well and has been showing a lot of consistency lately. I have backed him a few times over the last couple of months to no avail but Im willing to roll the dice one more time on him in an event I believe that could suit him. He has had some great events lately finishing T13 at the Byron Nelson, T10 at the St Jude Classic, T9 at the Greenbrier, T12 at the John Deere, T18 at the Barbasol and a T32 at the Canadian Open. He was going well in Canada and a final round 75 took him out of the places but he still shot rounds of 66,69,68 in the first three rounds.

Campbell has god memories of Sedgefield finishing T4 in 2012 which included a 64,65,66 in the last three rounds and a respectable T31 in 2015 where he opened with a pair of 65’s but fell away at the weekend shooting 70,71. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 22nd in driving accuracy, 12th in GIR and 11th in par 4 scoring.

 

Scott Brown 66/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Scott Brown 66/1 

Brown seems to be back playing some good golf lately and could be worth keeping on side this week. He played some great golf earlier in the season finishing T2 in Riviera at The Genesis Open, T17 in Puerto Rico and a solo second at The Zurich Classic in New Orleans at the end of April. He has shown some decent form over the last couple of months finishing T12 in Colonial at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, T25 at the John Deere Classic which included three rounds in the 60’s and a T13 at The PGA Championship last week.

He has played well here in the past finishing T33 last year after a final round 65 and a T3 in 2015 which included four rounds of 68 or better. Brown is playing good golf lately and could follow up his T13 at the PGA last week with another good performance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Ryan Moore 20/1 1pt EW

Bud Cauley 33/1 0.5pts EW

Chad Campbell 60/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Brown 66/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts 

*PP Paying 7 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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US Open Betting Preview 2016

US Open Betting Preview 2016 OakmontOakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania

Par 70, 7,230 Yards

The Course

I’ve been doing some reading up on Oakmont and the general consensus is its very tough and going to be a huge test for the players. Daniel Berger tweeted last week “The rough is on steroids you can’t advance the ball 10 yards sometimes” which says it all really. This course last hosted the US Open back in 2007 where Angel Cabrera won on a score of +5. The course was designed by Henry Fownes and was opened 113 years ago in 1903. It straddles the Allegheny River Valley and uniquely has virtually no water hazards, and, since 2007, almost no trees. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The shortest hole is the par 3 13th measuring 183 yards. The longest hole is the par 5 12th measuring a lengthy 667 yards.

With a USGA course rating of 77.5 and some 200 bunkers it is generally regarded as one of the most difficult in the US. It features large, extremely fast, and undulating Poa annua grass greens.

The course is also noted for its slope. In particular, on holes 1, 3, 10, and 12, the greens pitch away from the fairway. One of Oakmont’s most famous hazards is the Church Pews bunker that comes into play on the 3rd and 4th holes. It measures approximately 100 by 40 yards (91 by 37 m) and features twelve grass covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.

Arnold Palmer famously said “You can hit 72 greens in regulation in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning”. It seems the main areas of focus are negotiating these tricky greens. Making enough putts could be the key to winning around here along with GIR and a mix between power and accuracy.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 7/1

There is no other golfer on the planet playing as well as Jason Day at the moment. He has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass. He had a mediocre performance at Memorial finishing T27 and took a break last week.

Day has a great US Open record finishing eighth in Chambers Bay in 2015, fourth in Pinehurst in 2014, second in Merion in 2013 and second in Congressional in 2012. He seems to be a player with a complete game for this course and ranks first in strokes gained putting, second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and 20th in driving distance. With superb current form and a great all round game Day has to be the man to beat here.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Despite taking a rest with a back injury over the last few weeks Justin Rose looks to be pain free according to his Twitter profile. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last nine starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters. More recently he finished T19 at The Players and solo third at The Wells Fargo and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 all week.

The Englishman has a good record in US Opens over the years finishing 27th in Chambers Bay last year, 12th in Pinehurst in 2014, a win in Merion in 2013 and a T21 in Olympic in 2012. Rose also played well in Oakmont in 2007 finishing T10 and comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks fifth in GIR and 18th in driving distance and if he stays injury free he could be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

Despite a poor performance at Memorial, Matsuyama has been playing well over the last couple of months and has four top 11’s in his last six starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T7 at The Players Championship. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo.

He has played in three US Opens and hasn’t finished worse than T35. He finished 18th in Chambers Bay, T35 in Pinehurst in 2014 and T10 in Merion in 2013 . He ranks 14th in GIR, seventh in par 4 scoring, 25th in par 5 scoring and third in strokes gained around the green. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and could be a big contender here.

 

Brooks Koepka 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 50/1 

Brooks played great last week at The St.Jude shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T2. He also came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds but lost in a playoff to Sergio Garcia after shooting a final round 71. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has played well in his two previous US Open appearances finishing 18th last year in Chambers Bay and fourth in Pinehurst in 2014.

Kopeka is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging 305 off the tee and ranks ninth in driving distance. He also ranks sixth in strokes gained around the green and seventh in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and could have the game to suit a tricky Oakmont setup.

 

Patrick Reed 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 50/1

With six top 15’s in his last nine starts Patrick Reed’s game looks in great shape to take on mighty Oakmont. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston and a solo second in Texas. More recently he finished T15 at Colonial which included a 65,69,69 the first three rounds capped off with a final round 71 to post six under for the week. He had another good performance at Memorial finishing T8 which also included three rounds in the 60’s.

Reed has played in two US Opens and he seems to be getting better every time he plays. He finished T14 in Chambers Bay last year and had a respectable T35 at Pinehurst in 2014. He also looks good statistically ranking 51st in driving distance, 13th in SGTTG and first in strokes gained around the green. He also ranks fourth in scrambling and 14th in par 5 scoring. He looks good value to have a solid week on a course that could suit.

 

Danny Willett 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Danny Willett 50/1

The Masters champion has had a superb season and arrives this week feeling fresh after some time off since Wentworth where he finished solo third. He had a good three rounds the week before in Ireland but had a poor final round to finish T23. He also had a good week at the WGC Cadillac finishing T3 and followed that with a T22 at The Valspar. He then went on to shoot an unreal 67 in round four in Augusta to win The Masters and beat Jordan Spieth. The Englishman also won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier in the season so he is no stranger to winning.

He has featured in two US Open’s in 2014 and 2015. He missed the cut in Chambers Bay last year and finished T45 in Pinehurst in 2014. Despite his average record in US Open’s, he has proved he can contend and win in the best fields. He also looks good on paper ranking fourth in stroke average, 25th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained putting. Danny has to be respected here and could be in with a chance given his current form.

 

Final selections – 

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 50/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 50/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 50/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts 

 

Most bookies paying 7 places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016Hilton Head, South Carolina 

Par 71, 7,101 yards.  

The Course 

This event has been played at Harbour Town Golf Links for many years now and the same players seem to play well here. The course is a short 7,101 yards and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. It is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens, which are ranked among the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour. History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set to be mainly dry with a mix of sunny conditions and some scattered cloud with moderate winds.

 

Zach Johnson 22/1 RBC HeritageZach Johnson 22/1

After shooting an opening round 72 last week in Augusta, Johnson fell right back after a second round 80 and ended up missing the cut. Despite a disappointing second round, last weeks missed cut could be a big positive as he will be fresh coming into this week.

ZJ has been playing well lately and looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

He has played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2007 and second in 2012. This tight track seems to suit his game and statistically he ranks 30th in GIR and 22nd in par 3 scoring. After some solid performances over the last few weeks Johnson looks to be in good form and a big contender here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 RBC Heritage Brandt Snedeker 18/1 

Snedeker played great golf last week in Augusta and looked to be putting very well on those tricky undulating greens. He eventually finished T10 after a final round 72 and has had a superb season so far which began with a T17 at The Frys and a win at The Franklin Templeton with partner Jason Dufner.

He started 2016 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, lost out in a playoff at The Sony in Hawaii and had a superb win in Torrey Pines which included a superb final round 69 in almost unplayable conditions. He had a bit of a dip in form but seems to be back contending over his last two events recording two top 10 in Augusta and The Matchplay.

Sneds has a good record here over the last few years finishing 16th in 2007, a win in 2011, 17th in 2012 and 26th last year. After two good recent performances Snedeker is one to keep on side here.

 

Kevin Kisner 25/1 RBC HeritageKevin Kisner 25/1

The accurate American started the season off with with a win and three top 10’s but has gone off the boil a bit lately. He played well in Augusta last week and shot two 72’s sandwiched between an opening 77 and a third round 76 to finish in a respectable T37. Kisner started the season with a solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

He was unlucky not to win this event last year and lost to Jim Furyk on the second playoff hole, which would be his first of three playoff losses from last year. He ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 37th in GIR, fifth in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. After a decent performance last week on a course that shouldn’t really suit his game Kisner could be another one to watch here.

 

Paul Casey 18/1 RBC HeritagePaul Casey 18/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T4 finish in Augusta last week and a T9 in Bay Hill. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four.

Casey has played well here in the past finishing 11th in 2009, 22nd in 2010 and 18th in 2014. The Englishman ranks 20th in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 33rd in par 4 scoring. His form is getting warm and Casey looks to be another player with a solid game for this course.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick RBC Heritage 2016 Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1

The young Englishman played superb over the weekend in Augusta shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T7 for the week. Matt looked to be hitting a lot of fairways off the tee, hitting alot of green in regulation and lead GIR in the final round on Sunday in Augusta. He has been playing on US soil over the last few weeks finishing T35 in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and T38 at The Matchplay.

He doesn’t hit it a mile but he is known as one of the most accurate players around hitting over 60% of fairways off the tee and ranking 22nd in GIR. Matt finished 23rd here in 2014 and can better that performance after a superb week in Augusta.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 18/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Kisner 25/1 1pt EW

Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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