Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018The Courses:   

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

Torrey Pines sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played this week both of which were designed by William F. Bell.  

The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,698 yard par 72. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course where Tiger Woods beat Rocco Mediate in a playoff. The man himself makes his 2018 debut this week on a course he has so many good memories on with seven wins in total. The question is, will punters be backing him at 22/1?  

North Course 7,258 Yards, par 72  

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get windy.  

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.  

South Course 7,698 Yards, par 72   

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be pose a much stiffer challenge than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and will certainly favour the longer hitters on TOUR.  

The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than the North Course but length and power will be a huge advantage.    

The main stats to consider are good poa annua putters, driving distance, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.   

 

Jon Rahm 15/2 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Jon Rahm 15/2  

Rahm is in fine fettle and comes back to the site of his first PGA Tour title where he won by three strokes last year after holing a phenomenal 60ft putt for an eagle on the 18th green. The Spaniard has been playing superb over the last three or four months finishing 3,4,5,7,1 in his last five events of the season including a win at the DP World in Dubai in November.  

He comes here on the back of a second and a win so far in 2018 and even though he’s a measly 15/2, I’m still willing to nail my colours to the mast based on the fact that I think this course is right up his street.  

Only for the fact that he missed a few putts on Saturday in round three, he would’ve won by three or four last week in California. He played well throughout the week and opened with a very impressive 62 and followed that with two more 67’s and a 70 in round three. He played very solidly the week before in Kapalua finishing solo second which included a 67,69 over the weekend.    

Rahm looks very well suited to this course averaging just under 300 yards off the tee. He ranks sixth in SGTTG, fifth in SG off the tee, 23rd in scrambling and first in par 5 scoring. All in all its hard to bet against the in-form Spaniard here.    

 

Tony Finau 33/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Tony Finau 33/1  

Tony has been a player I’ve kept in mind for this event over the last few weeks. He has been playing well since the start of the season back in October with form figures of 32,16,11,26,2 in his last five starts. At the Safeway Open back in October, Finau shot rounds of 70,65,71,69 to post 13 under par to finish solo second. He followed that with a T26 at the CJ Cup, T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China and a T16 at the Shriners Open in Vegas which included three 69’s in a row.  

Finau started 2018 off with a respectable T26 at the Sony Open in Hawaii which included three 67’s. He is no stranger to playing well on tough, windy courses over the last few years finishing T9 in Kapalua last year, T27 at the Open in Birkdale last year, T18 at the Open in 2016 in Troon and a win at the blustery Puerto Rico Open in 2016.  

He has a good record here in Torrey Pines finishing T24 in 2015, T18 in 2016 and T4 last year. Big hitting Tony ticks the boxes here averaging just under 330 off the tee ranking second in driving distance. He also ranks ninth in SGTTG, eighth in SG approaches to the green and 18th in par 5 scoring. At 33’s he looks great value here.  

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 

The big hitting youngster arrives to California after taking a week off last week and should be feeling nicely fresh. He has been in great form over the last few weeks finishing 17,23,19,MC,7 in his last five starts. He had a good week at the Safeway Open finishing T17 and followed that with a T23 at the CIMB Classic and a T19 at the CJ Cup in Korea.  

In his first event of 2018 he started strongly with a T7 at the Sony open in Hawaii shooting rounds of 66,65,67,68 on his way to a 14 under par total.   

Schneiderjans has shown he can play well on windy setups finishing second in Sedgefield CC last year at the Wyndham Championship where he was 1 stroke behind the winner Henrik Stenson. He also finished 12th at the Open in St Andrews in 2015 and finished third in Harbour Town at the RBC Heritage last April so he’s no stranger to windy courses.  

He played very solid here last year where he shot two 69’s and two 71’s to finish T9 on eight under for the tournament. Statswise he is averaging 306 off the tee (31st in driving distance) which is a big plus especially for the South Course. Given he is playing well and clearly has good form on exposed courses, Schneiderjans looks worth chancing here at 40/1.

 

Kyle Stanley 50/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Kyle Stanley 50/1  

Stanley has been having a good season so far and is a real horse for the course here at Torrey Pines. He has gone 21,19,5,30,10 in his last five starts and looks to be trending in the right direction.  

He started the season with a respectable T21 at the CIMB Classic and followed that with a T19 at the CJ Cup. The American had a great week at the WGC-HSBC Champions at the tricky SheshanGC back in November finishing T5 on eight under par in total shooting rounds of 71,68,69,72.    

Stanley then started 2018 in Kapalua at the Sentry TOC where he didn’t seem to take to the course finishing last in 30th, but he did bounce back well with an impressive T10 at The Sony. He started with an opening round 64 and followed that with 67,65,71 to post 13 under.  

Stanley has a good record in Torrey over the last few years and came close to victory in 2012.He had a healthy three shot lead on the 18th tee and ended up taking a disappointing triple bogey after finding water short of the 18th green and went on to lose a playoff to Brandt Snedeker. Despite that collapse, Stanley seems to like this course finishing T25 in 2016 and T14 last year and looks great value to have a good week here.  

 

 

Final selections – Most bookmakers paying 7 places  

Jon Rahm 1pt EW 

Tony Finau 1pt EW 

Ollie Schneiderjans 0.5pts EW 

Kyle Stanley 0.5pts EW 

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

 

Doublebogey6 

 

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Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2017Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas 

7,441 yards, par 72 

The Course 

The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has been held the week before the Masters, giving the players one last chance to get into the field through a win.

This course is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves a short iron into some of the longer par 4’s.

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Jordan Spieth 13/2 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 13/2

The Texas native comes here in great form this season. He started 2017 off with a T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T9 in Phoenix, a win in Pebble Beach, T22 at The Genesis Open in Riviera and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship. Spieth played well last week at the matchplay playing Japan’s Hideto Tanihara in the first round and was beaten 4&2. He bounced back in the second match beating Yuta Ikeda 4&2 and then halved his third match with fellow American Ryan Moore but that wasn’t enough to get into the last 16.

He has a good record here over the last couple of years finishing T13 last year and nearly won in 2015, but narrowly lost in a playoff to J.B Holmes. Spieth ticks a lot of boxes here ranking first in GIR, second in SG approaches to the green, ninth in SGTTG and ranks in the top 3 in par 3, par 4 and par 5 scoring. After getting knocked out early last week he should be fresh and could have a big chance here.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 16/1 

Its hard to know which Rickie Fowler will turn up here in Houston this week but I’m willing to take the risk. Fowler is playing decent golf lately and got the psychological relief of a win in Florida a couple of weeks ago at the Honda Classic which takes the pressure off somewhat. He has played well so far this year with a T3 at the Hero World Challenge, T4 in Phoenix, T16 at the WGC Mexico and a solo 12th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill.

Fowler has a played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2014 and 10th last year. He ranks 25th in driving distance, 32nd in GIR, 12th in SG approaches to the green, 11th in SGTTG and 11th in SGP. If he hits it well off the tee and makes a few putts Fowler could be another one to keep an eye on.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 33/1 

Henley looks a real horse for the course around here and looks to be playing some good golf lately. He had a good week at the RSM Classic before Christmas finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a T13 at The Sony, T16 in Phoenix and an impressive T9 at the Valspar, which included an opening round 64.

He has played very well here over the last few years finishing seventh in 2014, fourth in 2015 and fifth last year and has a stroke average of just under 70 for his last 13 rounds here. He ranks 29th in driving distance, 19th in SGP and 20th in GIR.

 

Billy Horchel Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Billy Horchel 45/1 

Billy needs a big week here if he’s going to tee it up in Augusta next Thursday. He had a bit of a mixed start to the season but he seems to be back showing some form over recently. Billy had a good week in Phoenix finishing a respectable T24 after shooting 65,69 over the weekend and followed that with another decent performance shooting 70,68,67,68 to finish T4 at The Honda Classic. Most recently, Horchel teed it up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing in a respectable T13 for the week.

He came close to victory here back in 2013 when he finished T2 after coming up one stroke short to the winner D.A Points. Statswise he ranks fourth in GIR, 35th in SGTTG, 34th in SG approaches to the green and 26th in par 4 scoring. Pressure could be a big motivator for Horchel here so he could be worth chancing.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Spieth 13/2 1pt EW

Rickie Fowler 16/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 0.5pts EW

Billy Horchel 45/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016

BMW Championship 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsField – Top 75 in FedExCup Standings

Crooked Stick, Carmel, Indiana

7,516 yards, par 72

The Course

It’s the third event of the FedExCup Playoffs with the top 75 players in the standings all taking part here. This is historically an event where the cream certainly rises to the top. The five previous winners include Jason Day (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Zach Johnson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Justin Rose (2011) and Dustin Johnson (2010).

The average winning score has varied from 9 under to 20 under over the last five years. This event was played here at Crooked Stick in 2012 when Rory McIlroy won on an impressive 20 under par but some alterations have been made since and could play fractionally harder this year. There is no cut at this event  and the top 50 players will progress to the Tour Championship at East Lake.

Crooked Stick Golf Club was designed by Pete Dye and has some history attached to it. It was the host course for the 1991 PGA Championship, the 2003 U.S. Women’s Open and the 2005 Solheim Cup. It is a par 72 and measures 7,516 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with water featuring on about six of the 18 holes.

The fairways are wide and forgiving so driving accuracy won’t be too important here but hitting greens will. The greens here are quite small and are protected by some strategically placed bunkers so GIR will be one stat to bear in mind.

 

Patrick Reed 20/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Patrick Reed 20/1

After yet another top five finish last week in Boston, The FedExCup Leader is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment. He was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with seven top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays and a T5 last week in Boston.

This will be The American’s first appearance here at Crooked Stick but looks pretty solid statswise. He ranks fifth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 21st in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 20/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Adam Scott 18/1

After shooting an impressive final round 65 last week, Scott finished solo fourth on 11 under for the tournament. The Aussie has been showing some solid form over the last few weeks with seven top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in Crooked Stick in the past finishing T6 in 2012 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the four rounds.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 10th in GIR, 15th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Ryan Moore 40/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsRyan Moore 40/1 

Moore has had a fantastic few weeks on the PGA Tour with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five tournaments. He played well at The Travelers finishing T17 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a superb win at The John Deere shooting 65,65,65,67 on his way to victory and followed that with a T7 at The Barclays and a T8 last week at the Deutsche Bank in Boston. Moore has played well here in the past finishing T10 in 2012 and started exceptionally well shooting two 66’s in the first two rounds.

Moore is a player that could suit this course ranking 19th in SG around the green, 32nd in SGP, third in par 3 scoring and 15th in par 4 scoring. He comes into this in much better form this time around and looks great value to go well here this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 45/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Jimmy Walker 45/1 

Jimmy played great golf last week in Boston shooting 68,64,70,70 to finish solo third on 12 under par for the tournament. He has had a bit of a mixed bag this season but he’s been playing some great golf over the last couple of months.

He finished a respectable T24 at the Byron Nelson and followed that with a T29 in Colonial, T16 at The WGC Bridgestone, T14 in Canada and a win at The PGA where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 over the four rounds. This will be Jimmy’s first appearance here at Crooked Stick and I reckon the course could suit his game. Walker is an accurate iron player especially from inside 150 yards and ranks 9th in strokes gained approaches to the green and 26th in driving distance averaging over 300 yards off the tee. If Walker can keep the momentum going into this week he should be a big contender.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW 20/1

Adam Scott 1.5pts EW 18/1

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 40/1

Jimmy Walker 1pt EW 45/1

Total Staked = 10 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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The Barclays Betting Preview 2016 – FedExCup Playoffs

The Barclays Betting Preview 2016 FedEx Cup PlayoffsBethpage Black, Long Island, New York

7,468 yards par 71

The Course

Bethpage Black Course is a 7,468 yard par 71 and was designed by A.W Tillinghast and was opened in 1936. It is a public golf course on Long Island, New York and is the most difficult of the five courses at Bethpage State Park. In 2002, the Black Course became the first publicly owned and operated course to host the U.S. Open, which returned in 2009.

Bethpage Black hosted The Barclays in 2012 and is scheduled to host again in 2021, and 2027. It has three par 5’s, 11 par 4’s and four par 3’s and is a stern test of golf and will demand accuracy, length and good putting. The key to scoring around this course is keeping the ball in the tight tree lined fairways and out of the deep and penal rough. Players will also need to hit plenty of greens in regulation as the greens are small and have some deep and tricky bunkers guarding them which could be difficult to get up and down of. With conditions set to be dry and humid for the first three rounds these greens are expecting to play very fast.

 

Henrik Stenson 12/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 12/1

The Swede hasn’t taken his foot off the gas since winning The Open continuing his superb run of form. He followed his Open win with a T7 at The PGA Championship and a solo second place finish bagging him a bronze medal in The Olympics.  Stenson has eight top 25’s in his last nine starts and seems to be in the best form of his life. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win at The BMW International Open, a T13 in Castle Stuart, a win in Troon, T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio.

He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 26th in strokes gained putting. He has played well here in the past finishing ninth here at The US Open in 2009. With his accuracy off the tee and precision iron play, Stenson could be the man to beat here this week.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Rose comes to Bethpage this week after a superb performance in Rio bagging a gold medal for Team GB. He shot 67,69,65,67, to finish 16 under in total one stroke ahead of Swede Henrik Stenson. Despite a back injury a few weeks ago, Rose looks to be back fit and healthy and has been in good form lately. He finished solo third at The Wells Fargo, T19 at The Players, T22 at The Open in Troon, T22 at The PGA in Baltusrol and an impressive win in Rio where he lead GIR for the week and putted superbly – two key traits for dealing with tricky Bethpage Black.

He has played well on tricky US Open style courses over the last few years with wins in Merion, Congressional, Muirfield and Aronimink and seems to perform well on trickier course setups. Statswise he ranks 36th in GIR, sixth in strokes gained TTG, 20th in driving distance and 22nd in par 5 scoring. If he brings his “Olympics” game to Bathpage he could be a big danger here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T3 at The Wyndham last week, that makes it his second top five in his last three starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has played well here at Bethpage in the past finishing second here in 2012 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week. He ranks first in par 4 scoring, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in scrambling. After a solid performance in Sedgefield last week Sneds is certainly worth a second look here.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1 

The South African always ups his game for the bigger events and looks in good shape coming to The Barclays this week. Since winning his first PGA Tour event at The RBC Heritage back in April, Grace has followed that with a T9 at The Texas Open, T5 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T4 at the PGA Championship in Baltusrol which included a 66,67 over the weekend.

Although this is his first appearance here in Bethpage, Grace ticks a few key boxes here ranking fourth in SG approach to the green, ninth in SGTTG and 19th in par 4 scoring. If he can putt well this week Grace should have a good chance here.

 

Russell Knox 66/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 66/1 

The Scotsman had a superb win at the Travelers Championship a couple of weeks ago and never shot worse than a 68 throughout the week to finish 14 under in total. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T2 at the RBC Heritage, T19 at The Players, T23 at The US Open, T30 at The Open, T22 at the PGA and a win at The Travelers.

He looks to have the game that could suit this course ranking 11th in driving accuracy, second in GIR, 35th in scrambling and 19th in par 4 scoring. Knox has performed well on tough courses this season and if he putts well he could have a decent chance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Henrik Stenson 2pts EW 12/1

Justin Rose 1pt EW 25/1 

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 40/1 

Branden Grace 1pt EW 45/1 

Russell Knox 0.5 pts EW 66/1 

Total staked = 11 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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The Open Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Open Championship Betting Preview 2016 Royal TroonThe Old Course, Royal Troon Golf Club, Troon, South Ayrshire, Scotland

Par 71, 7,064 yards

The Course

The Open Championship is the oldest of the four majors and always takes place on a tricky links style setup in the month of July. The last time Troon hosted the Open Todd Hamilton was the surprise winner beating Ernie Els in a playoff.

Royal Troon Golf Club is a links golf course located in Troon, South Ayrshire, southwest of Glasgow. The club was founded 138 years ago in 1878, initially with five holes. George Strath was appointed in 1881 as the club’s first golf professional. Adjacent to the Firth of Clyde, Troon was granted its “Royal” accolade in 1978, during its centennial.

Past Open champions at Royal Troon include Justin Leonard, Mark Calcavecchia, Tom Watson, Tom Weiskopf, Arnold Palmer, Bobby Locke, and Arthur Havers. The last six Opens at Troon have been won by Americans.

The course has 11 par 4’s, 3 par 5’s and 4 par 3’s. The toughest holes at the 2004 Open were the par 4 eleventh and the par 5 sixth which measures a daunting 601 yards.

The teeth of this course are the blind bunkers off the tee, some of which are deep pot bunkers, the prevailing wind howling in off the coast and the penal gorse. Royal Troon is home to both the longest and shortest holes in Open Championship golf. Regarded as one of the top holes in the world, the par-3 8th hole “Postage Stamp” measures a short 123 yards, but its diminutive green measures a mere 420 square feet and can be difficult to hit if the wind gets up. The main areas to look at here are GIR, driving distance/accuracy, strokes gained putting and above all else previous Open/links experience.

Usually players that have played well in previous Opens and contended in majors over the last few years are the guys to keep an eye on here. Have no doubt about it, experience will be key.

 

Dustin Johnson 9/1 Open Championship 2016Dustin Johnson 9/1

What an incredible few weeks it’s been for DJ. He has played superb golf this season and comes to Troon this week after back to back wins at The US Open and The WGC Bridgestone. I noticed on Twitter last week Johnson played a round in Portmarnock Links and St Annes in Dublin getting in some practice for Troon and played very well apparently. The American has been in superb form recently finishing fourth in Riviera, third in Houston, T4 in Augusta, T12 at The Byron Nelson, third in Memorial, fifth at the St. Jude and back to back wins in Oakmont and Firestone.

His Open Championship CV is also quite good with a T14 in 2010 at St Andrews, second in 2011 at Royal St Georges, ninth in 2012 at Lytham and T12 at Hoylake in 2014. He led after two rounds in St Andrews last year but fell behind after a couple of 75’s over the weekend to finish T49. Johnson ranks second in driving distance, 30th in GIR, 38th in strokes gained putting, second in proximity to the hole and leads par 4 scoring. After playing with such dominance over the last few weeks, Johnson has to be the man to beat here.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Adam Scott 25/1

After back to back wins at The WGC Cadillac and The Honda Classic earlier this season not to mention his good current form, Scott could be one to watch here this week. The Aussie has been playing well lately with four top 20’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and followed that with a T12 at The Players, T18 at The US Open and a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone. He has been in Troon over the last week practicing and said on Sky Sports News his game “felt really good”.

Scott has a great Open Championship record finishing second in 2012 at Lytham & St Annes, third in 2013 in Muirfield, fifth in 2014 in Hoylake and T10 last year in St Andrews. He had a great chance to win in 2012 but his tee shot found a pot bunker just off the 18th fairway and Scott was left with no other option only to chip out sideways. This led to an unfortunate bogey and he ended up losing by one stroke to Ernie Els. He ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking first in SGTTG, 15th in driving distance, 23rd in GIR and sixth in proximity to the hole. With such a great record in The Open over the last few years Scott has a really good chance here.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede had a good week in Scotland finishing in a respectable T13 and recovered well after opening with a 76. Stenson has five top 25’s in his last eight starts and looks to have his game in great shape coming into this week. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win in Germany at The BMW International Open and a T13 last week in Castle Stuart.

He has a mixed bag of results at The Open over the last few years but most notably finished third in 2010 in St Andrews and second in 2013 in Muirfield. Statswise he ranks first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. In 2013 Stenson finished T3 in Castle Stuart at The Scottish Open and followed that up with a second place finish in Muirfield. Let’s hope history repeats itself here and Henrik goes one better this time around.

 

Branden Grace 30/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Branden Grace 30/1

Grace started well last week in Castle Stuart shooting 71,67 in the first two rounds but fell away over the weekend shooting a disappointing 74,71 to finish T29. However he has been in great form lately and had a great win at The RBC Heritage a few weeks ago. He followed that with a T5 in Oakmont at The US Open and a T10 in Firestone at The WGC Bridgestone. He won at the windy Doha Golf Club Qatar in 2014 and again earlier this year and is no stranger to windy conditions.

He has won on links style setups before winning the Alfred Dunhill Links in 2012, a second place finish in Castle Stuart at The Scottish Open in 2013 and a respectable T25 at The Alfred Dunhill Links 2014. He has played the Open four times in the past and his best finish was T20 last year in St Andrews but he could improve on that here in Troon. The South African ticks the boxes here ranking 20th in driving distance averaging just under 300 yards off the tee, 23rd in GIR and seventh in strokes gained putting. With a decent links CV and good current form Grace could be worth keeping on side here.

 

Martin Kaymer 45/1 The Open Championship 2016 Royal TroonMartin Kaymer 45/1

The German has been playing very well recently and looks to have his game in great shape with five top 15’s in his last six starts. His good run began in Valderrama where he finished T6 at The Open De Espana in wet and windy conditions. He followed that with a T5 in The Irish Open at another wet and windy venue The K Club in Co. Kildare negotiating the conditions superbly finishing with a final round 65. Kaymer had another good week in Wentworth finishing T7 and the BMW PGA and followed that with a T5 at The Open De France and a T13 last week in Castle Stuart.

He has a good Open Championship record finishing T12 in St Andrews last year, T12 at Royal St Georges in 2011 and T7 at St Andrews in 2010. Kaymer has a decent links record winning The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2010 and finishing T7 at the same tournament in 2013. With excellent current form and a decent links record, Kaymer could be another danger man here at a decent price.

 

Graeme McDowell 80/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Graeme McDowell 80/1

The Portrush man played well in Castle Stuart finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish nine under for the week. He has been showing glimpses of decent form finishing T9 at The Players Championship which included two 69’s over the weekend. He then followed that with a T27 at The BMW PGA in Wentworth and a T18 at The US Open in Oakmont. He won The OHL Classic at Mayakoba earlier this season at the windy El Camaleon in Mexico. Gmac has a decent record at The Open over the last few years finishing T9 in Hoylake in 2014, T5 in Lytham and St Annes in 2012 and T23 in St Andrews in 2010. He is another player with decent Links credentials finishing T19 at The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2015 and T3 in 2011 and winning the US Open around the windy Pebble Beach in 2010. McDowell is an accomplished links player and looks great value here at 80/1.

 

Nicolas Colsaerts 125/1 The Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Nicolas Colsaerts 125/1

The Belgian bomber looked really impressive last week in Scotland especially on the back 9 on Sunday. He had four birdies and an eagle to card an impressive 30 strokes on the way in to finish T3 for the tournament. He has been playing well lately with seven top 25’s in his last eight starts. He had a good week in China finishing T15 and then followed that with a T3 in Mauritius, T23 at The Irish Open, T22 at The BMW PGA, solo third at The Nordea Masters, T22 at The Open De France and a T3 last week in Castle Stuart.

Colsaerts was one of four players to claim a spot for the Open in Scotland and has only played in three Open Championships before. Despite missing the cut at both St Andrews last year and Muirfield in 2013, he did play well in Lytham and St Annes in 2012 finishing an impressive T7 which included two 65’s. He has played well on links setups in the past finishing T3 in 2011 and T8 in 2013 in Castle Stuart, T19 at The Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles in 2012 and T9 at The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2011. Statswise he ranks 12th in driving distance averaging 301 yards off the tee and seventh in GIR hitting 75% of greens on average. If the Belgian heats up and makes a few putts he could be a big contender at a huge price.

 

Final selections –

Dustin Johnson 2.5pts EW 9/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 28/1

Branden Grace 1pt EW 30/1

Martin Kaymer 1pt EW 45/1

Graeme McDowell 1pt EW 80/1

Nicholas Colsaerts 1pt EW 125/1

Total staked = 17 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2016

WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016 Betting PreviewFirestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio

Par 70, 7,400 yards

The Course

Harvey Firestone commissioned the club 87 years ago in 1929 as a park for employees of the Firestone Tire and Rubber Company. Its first course, the South, was designed by Bert Way and opened on August 10, 1929, with Firestone driving the first ball. A major redesign by Robert Trent Jones in 1960 added over 50 bunkers, two ponds and brought the course up to 7,189 yards at par 70. The course was redesigned by Golforce in 1985 and played at 7,400 yards for the WGC event in 2013 which is what is measures today.

At 7,400 yards Firestone is a tricky test and has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour and will not be reachable in two for most of the field. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards so length along with accurate iron play will be an advantage here. Good long iron players will also be worth looking at here as four of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards.

The key stats here are GIR, driving distance, strokes gained putting, par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Brooks Koepka 20/1

Big hitting Brooks has been playing some superb golf this season and comes here in great form. He hasn’t finished worse that T13 in his last three events and looks like he could win any day now. He was unlucky not to win the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks and lost a playoff to Sergio Garcia after a wayward second shot on the first playoff hole. He then had a T2 at The St.Jude and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 over the four rounds. He followed that with a respectable T13 at Oakmont after shooting an impressive final round 68 to finish +4 for the tournament. He played well here last year finishing T6 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 for the four rounds finishing -5 for the week.

Statswise he ranks 14th in driving distance, fifth in strokes gained off the tee and fourth in par 4 scoring. With great form so far this season and a good performance here last year Brooks looks in good shape to be a big contender here.

 

Branden Grace 22/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Branden Grace 22/1

The South African has been in fine form so far this season and came close to a win in Oakmont a couple of weeks ago finishing T5 after shooting a final round 70. He had a great week at The RBC Heritage recently coming away with a great win and followed that with a T9 in Texas which included a 69 and a 67 over the weekend.

Grace has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He ranks 20th in SGTTG, 30th in GIR and seventh in par 4 scoring. Grace always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and has to be respected here after grinding out a great performance in Oakmont.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

It’s hard to know which Bubba will turn up at Firestone this week. He hasn’t been at his strongest form wise lately but I’m willing to wager that if he can bounce back anywhere, it could be here. On paper this course looks like it could suit the big hitting lefty and after a second place finish last year, he will be coming here feeling he can take this course on again. He hasn’t been at his best over the last four or five events but he has played well this season with a win at The Hero World Challenge earlier in the year, a T10 in Kapalua, T14 in Phoenix, a win in Riviera and a solo second at The WGC Cadillac.

Despite a T37 in 2014, Bubba hasn’t finished worse than T27 in five of his last six attempts here at Firestone. His form figures read 2,37,27,19,21,22 since 2010 so he knows his way around here. Watson also ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking ninth in driving distance, eighth in GIR and 11th in par 5 scoring. After coming close here last year, big hitting Bubba could be worth keeping an eye on here.

 

Patrick Reed 35/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Patrick Reed 35/1

Reed has had a bit of a mixed bag over the last few weeks but all in all seems to be playing well. He finished solo second in Texas recently and followed that with a T28 at The Byron Nelson, T15 at Colonial, T8 in Memorial and a T39 last week in Congressional.

The young American has a decent WGC CV with a win at The WGC Cadillac in Doral in 2014, T15 here in Firestone last year and T4 in Firestone in 2014. He ranks first in strokes gained around the green, 19th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling and 18th in par 5 scoring. Reed is a confident guy and could have another great week after playing well here in ’14 and ’15.

 

Jason Dufner 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2016Jason Dufner 40/1

With a couple of top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four starts, Jason Dufner returns to Firestone where he has played some good golf in the past. He had a good week at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and followed that with a T6 in Colonial, T33 at Memorial and an impressive T8 at The US Open in Oakmont.

In his last 16 competitive rounds Dufner has shot worse than a 70 three times (worst was a 73 in round 1 in Oakmont) so something seems to be clicking. In three appearances here Dufner has finished T66 in 2014, T4 in 2013 and solo seventh in 2012. He ranks seventh in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 1.5pts EW 20/1

Branden Grace 1.5pts EW 22/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 35/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 40/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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US Open Betting Preview 2016

US Open Betting Preview 2016 OakmontOakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania

Par 70, 7,230 Yards

The Course

I’ve been doing some reading up on Oakmont and the general consensus is its very tough and going to be a huge test for the players. Daniel Berger tweeted last week “The rough is on steroids you can’t advance the ball 10 yards sometimes” which says it all really. This course last hosted the US Open back in 2007 where Angel Cabrera won on a score of +5. The course was designed by Henry Fownes and was opened 113 years ago in 1903. It straddles the Allegheny River Valley and uniquely has virtually no water hazards, and, since 2007, almost no trees. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The shortest hole is the par 3 13th measuring 183 yards. The longest hole is the par 5 12th measuring a lengthy 667 yards.

With a USGA course rating of 77.5 and some 200 bunkers it is generally regarded as one of the most difficult in the US. It features large, extremely fast, and undulating Poa annua grass greens.

The course is also noted for its slope. In particular, on holes 1, 3, 10, and 12, the greens pitch away from the fairway. One of Oakmont’s most famous hazards is the Church Pews bunker that comes into play on the 3rd and 4th holes. It measures approximately 100 by 40 yards (91 by 37 m) and features twelve grass covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.

Arnold Palmer famously said “You can hit 72 greens in regulation in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning”. It seems the main areas of focus are negotiating these tricky greens. Making enough putts could be the key to winning around here along with GIR and a mix between power and accuracy.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 7/1

There is no other golfer on the planet playing as well as Jason Day at the moment. He has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass. He had a mediocre performance at Memorial finishing T27 and took a break last week.

Day has a great US Open record finishing eighth in Chambers Bay in 2015, fourth in Pinehurst in 2014, second in Merion in 2013 and second in Congressional in 2012. He seems to be a player with a complete game for this course and ranks first in strokes gained putting, second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and 20th in driving distance. With superb current form and a great all round game Day has to be the man to beat here.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Despite taking a rest with a back injury over the last few weeks Justin Rose looks to be pain free according to his Twitter profile. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last nine starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters. More recently he finished T19 at The Players and solo third at The Wells Fargo and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 all week.

The Englishman has a good record in US Opens over the years finishing 27th in Chambers Bay last year, 12th in Pinehurst in 2014, a win in Merion in 2013 and a T21 in Olympic in 2012. Rose also played well in Oakmont in 2007 finishing T10 and comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks fifth in GIR and 18th in driving distance and if he stays injury free he could be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

Despite a poor performance at Memorial, Matsuyama has been playing well over the last couple of months and has four top 11’s in his last six starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T7 at The Players Championship. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo.

He has played in three US Opens and hasn’t finished worse than T35. He finished 18th in Chambers Bay, T35 in Pinehurst in 2014 and T10 in Merion in 2013 . He ranks 14th in GIR, seventh in par 4 scoring, 25th in par 5 scoring and third in strokes gained around the green. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and could be a big contender here.

 

Brooks Koepka 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 50/1 

Brooks played great last week at The St.Jude shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T2. He also came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds but lost in a playoff to Sergio Garcia after shooting a final round 71. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has played well in his two previous US Open appearances finishing 18th last year in Chambers Bay and fourth in Pinehurst in 2014.

Kopeka is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging 305 off the tee and ranks ninth in driving distance. He also ranks sixth in strokes gained around the green and seventh in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and could have the game to suit a tricky Oakmont setup.

 

Patrick Reed 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 50/1

With six top 15’s in his last nine starts Patrick Reed’s game looks in great shape to take on mighty Oakmont. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston and a solo second in Texas. More recently he finished T15 at Colonial which included a 65,69,69 the first three rounds capped off with a final round 71 to post six under for the week. He had another good performance at Memorial finishing T8 which also included three rounds in the 60’s.

Reed has played in two US Opens and he seems to be getting better every time he plays. He finished T14 in Chambers Bay last year and had a respectable T35 at Pinehurst in 2014. He also looks good statistically ranking 51st in driving distance, 13th in SGTTG and first in strokes gained around the green. He also ranks fourth in scrambling and 14th in par 5 scoring. He looks good value to have a solid week on a course that could suit.

 

Danny Willett 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Danny Willett 50/1

The Masters champion has had a superb season and arrives this week feeling fresh after some time off since Wentworth where he finished solo third. He had a good three rounds the week before in Ireland but had a poor final round to finish T23. He also had a good week at the WGC Cadillac finishing T3 and followed that with a T22 at The Valspar. He then went on to shoot an unreal 67 in round four in Augusta to win The Masters and beat Jordan Spieth. The Englishman also won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier in the season so he is no stranger to winning.

He has featured in two US Open’s in 2014 and 2015. He missed the cut in Chambers Bay last year and finished T45 in Pinehurst in 2014. Despite his average record in US Open’s, he has proved he can contend and win in the best fields. He also looks good on paper ranking fourth in stroke average, 25th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained putting. Danny has to be respected here and could be in with a chance given his current form.

 

Final selections – 

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 50/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 50/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 50/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts 

 

Most bookies paying 7 places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas  

7,166 yards, par 70 

The Course 

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Charley Hoffman 20/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2016Charley Hoffman 20/1 

Hoffman has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.

Charley is another player with a solid record here finishing T8 last year shooting rounds of 69,65,64,65. He also played well in 2013 finishing T8 which included three rounds in the 60’s. He is averaging just over 295 off the tee and ranks 35th in strokes gained tee to green. With great form over the last few weeks and a solid record here Charley could be a man to keep on side here.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 

After a respectable T28 last week in Sawgrass, the South African comes returns to TPC Four Seasons in good form and gets the nod from me again this week. He started the season off with an MC in Dubai but bounced back with a T12 in Malaysia and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

Despite missing the cut in 2011, Louis has played well here in the past finishing T11 in 2012. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee ranking 31st in driving distance, 12th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained tee to green. After a mediocre performance last week at The Players, Oosthuizen looks worth chancing again this week on a course that should suit him a bit better.

 

Charl Schwartzel 25/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Charl Schwartzel 25/1 

I’ve decided to take a chance on another in form South African Charl Schwartzel. He took some time off after missing the cut at The Masters and should be fresh and relaxed coming to Texas this week. He has been in superb form and already has two wins this season on both PGA and European Tour. He won The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63. He then finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and followed that with another great win at The Valspar. He had a good performance in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.

Charl ticks a lot of boxes here averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance, seventh in GIR and 22nd in strokes gained tee to green. He has a superb record on this course finishing 11th in 2014 and third in 2013 and comes here in much better form this time around. After taking the last couple of weeks off Charl should be fresh and ready to contend this week on a course that he has played well on in the past.

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 70/1 

Knost was very impressive last week in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He lead the greens in regulation stat for the tournament and will be feeling confident coming to his home state this week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

The Dallas native has played well here over the last few years finishing T10 last year and T21 in 2013. He ranks 17th in SGP, third in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.

 

Bryce Molder AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Bryce Molder 70/1 

The American looks to be a great bet at generous odds this week. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 last week in Sawgrass at The Players.

He played well here last year finishing T22 for the tournament but is in much better form this time around. He ranks 12th in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling and 12th in par 3 scoring. After playing well last week Molder could follow that up with another good performance here at TPC Four Seasons.

 

Final Selections – 

Charley Hoffman 1.5 pts EW 20/1 

Louis Oosthuizen 1.5 pts EW 25/1 

Charl Schwartzel 1 pts EW 25/1 

Colt Knost 1 pt EW 70/1 

Bryce Molder 1 pt EW 70/1 

Total Staked = 12 pts

PaddyPower paying 7 places on this tournament.

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016

Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina

7,562 yards, Par 72

The Course

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte and is a lengthy 7,562 yards. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010), J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011) and Sean O’Hair (2009).

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003.

It has narrow, tree lined fairways which can be tricky to hit with bunkers and water hazards coming into play so accuracy and length off the tee will be important here. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 508 yard par 4 16th, the 221 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.

 

Rory McIlroy 9/2 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Rory McIlroy 9/2

Rory is playing some good golf at present with three top 10’s in his last four tournaments and has a superb record here in Quail Hollow. He completely dominated this event last year winning by a massive seven strokes and shot a 61 on the Saturday in round three.

He had a good week in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and held the 54 hole lead but sadly shot a final round 74 to finish T3. He followed that with a T27 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, solo 4th at the WGC Matchplay and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters.

McIlroy boasts a superb record on this course over the last few years. He has two wins and three top 10’s in six appearances in Quail Hollow. He won in 2010 and 2015 and came T8 in 2014, T10 in 2013 and 2nd in 2012. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 13th in driving distance, 29th in GIR and first in par 5 scoring. Length will be a big plus around this course and we know that’s right up Rory’s street. With a superb record here and good current form Rory looks the man to beat.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 25/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 25/1

Matsuyama is a player to keep on side this week and could be a huge contender. He has two top 10’s in his last three starts and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He followed that win with a T11 at The Northern Trust Open in Riviera, T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T7 at The Masters.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T20 last year and T38 in 2014. He ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just over n292 off the tee, 12th in GIR and fifth in SGTTG. He also ranks fifth in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016J.B. Holmes 30/1

Big hitting J.B has been playing well this season with six top 15’s in his last eight starts. He looked to be back his best after a shooting a 68 in the final round of The Masters to finish T4 and followed that with a respectable T13 in Texas. His good run of form started with a T6 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers Insurance Open, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Riviera at the Northern Trust Open and a T11 the week before at The AT&T in Pebble Beach.

He has played well at this course in the past with a win in 2014 and a T9 in 2011. J.B is averaging over 310 off the tee ranking third in driving distance, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 17th in SGTTG. Holmes is playing solid golf at the moment and has the length to dominate the par 5’s and the long par 4’s.

 

Byeong Hun An 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Byeong Hun An 33/1 

He played well here last year finishing in a respectable T28. He ranks 25th in driving distance, 29th in GIR and 29th in par 4 scoring. With a good performance here last year Berger has the length and is playing well enough to go better again this time around.

Ben An came agonisingly close to winning his first PGA Tour event last week in New Orleans. He played solid all week shooting rounds of 68,68,65 to get into a playoff with Jamie Lovemark and Brian Stuard but was knocked out on the first playoff hole. He has been playing well on both tours lately finishing second last week in New Orleans and T9 at The WGC Dell Matchplay.

He started well on The European Tour earlier this year with T4 in Dubai which included a 69,65 over the weekend and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi. He is no stranger to winning on the big stage with a huge win at the European Tour’s flagship event The BMW PGA Championship in Wentworth.

An is a big hitter averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 13th in GIR and 13th in SGTTG so far this season. He is a top class player and looks to have the game to suit this course.

 

Kevin Chappell 45/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 45/1

Chappell has been in great form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Valero Texas Open a couple of weeks ago and finished T4 for the tournament. He came close to winning in Bay Hill the week before but was denied by the in from Jason Day and finished second. He went on to have a T26 at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open, second in Bay Hill, T9 at The RBC Heritage and a T4 in Texas.

Chappell has a good record at this event finishing 16th last year and 11th in 2014. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He looks an in form player at the moment and looks good value to have a decent week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Rory McIlroy 3pts EW 9/2

Hideki Matsuyama 1pt EW 25/1 

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 30/1 

Byeong Hun An 1pt EW 33/1 

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 45/1 

Total staked = 14 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Blue Monster Course, Doral Resort, Florida Par 72, 7,543 yards 

The Course 

This course has undergone some serious surgery in the last two years with Donald Trump pumping 250 million dollars into the course to add length and increase the overall difficulty of the blue monster.

The course has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has an extra 47 yards added onto it. The par 5 first measures a lengthy 605 yards, the par 3 fourth has an extra 24 yards and the par 4 eighteenth has an extra 5 yards added to it. These changes have made the Trump Doral inside the top five longest host courses on the PGA Tour.

Dustin Johnson won here last year on nine under and Patrick Reed won this event in 2014 shooting the highest score in the tournaments history finishing on 284 on four under par. Over the years, length has been of particular importance in this event. With this course now over 7,500 yards in length, it will be even more important so be on the lookout for bombers with good driving stats that are showing good recent form.

There are some main stats to consider going on previous years. Although length is key, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring and GIR will be important here. The usual mix of good current form and good previous form on this course will also be worth checking out especially over the last two years since the course changes took place.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba comes into this week in good form and played superbly well recently in Riviera shooting a 68 in the final round to win by one stroke over Jason Kokrak and Adam Scott. He has two wins and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has a great record here at Doral finishing T3 last year, T2 in 2014, T18 in 2013 and T2 in 2012. Bubba also ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking sixth in driving distance, sixth in GIR and fourth in SGTTG. He also ranks 28th in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring and should feel at home on this course where he has played well on in the past and seems to suit his game.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Dustin Johnson 12/1

I thought DJ looked more confident at Riviera and played well all week finishing solo fourth and showed a lot of consistency shooting 68,66,68,69 to finish 13 under in total. His form has been good finishing T5 at The WGC HSBC Champions, 15th at The Hero World Challenge, T10 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and T18 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 80 in near unplayable conditions.

Johnson is another player with a great record in Doral with a win last year, T4 in 2014, T12 in 2013 and T2 in 2011. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking seventh in driving distance, ninth in SGTTG, 28th in par 4 scoring and 13th in par 5 scoring. After playing well over the last few weeks DJ should be a huge contender here.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

J.B. Holmes 30/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I have tipped J.B a lot over the last few weeks and ive decided to give him another go this week. Despite not winning me anything over the last few weeks, he has been playing decent with six top 12’s in his last seven events. He started the season well with a T8 at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout, T6 at The Farmers, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Pebble and T11 at The Northern Trust Open.

J.B finished T2 here last year shooting an impressive 62 in round one and is another bomber off the tee which should suit this course. He ranks third in driving distance, sixth in SGTTG and 20th in par 4 scoring. With some quality performances over the last few weeks and a good week here in Doral last year, J.B looks a solid bet here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede has bounced back well after an injury and has been playing well over the last couple of months. He played well at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T11 and followed that with a T3 at The BMW Masters. He also had a good week at The Nedbank before Christmas finishing solo second and started the New Year with a T3 in Abu Dhabi and a T6 in Dubai.

Stenson is another player with a good record here finishing T4 here last year and T16 in 2013. He also fits the bill here ranking 11th in GIR, second in strokes gained putting and 18th in driving accuracy. Stenson is another big hitter and should go well here especially after playing so well in the desert swing.

 

First Round Leader –

Dustin Johnson 18/1

With such a good record at this venue, Dustin Johnson has gone low here in round one over the last few years and hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in four of his last five opening rounds in Doral. He started with a 69 in 2011, 68 in 2013, 69 in 2014 and a 68 last year.

In his last six opening rounds he has only shot over 70 once, which was at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions where he opened with a 73 and bounced back with a 67,68,69 to finish -14. Most recently he opened with a 70 in Torrey Pines in The Farmers Insurance Open, 70 in Pebble Beach and an impressive 68 in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open. After a solo fourth in Riviera and four rounds in the 60’s, I fancy DJ to start strongly and open with a low one here.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 30/1 1pt EW

Henrik Stenson 28/1 1pt EW

Dustin Johsnon 18/1 1pt EW First Round Leader

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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