WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017

WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Club de Golf Chapultepec, Mexico City

Par 71, 7,330 yards

It’s a bit of an unknown this week as we move from the familiar Blue Monster in Doral to Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City for what’s now called the WGC Mexico Championship. The course was designed by Scottish brothers Willie and Alex Smith and opened in 1928 and was the permanent venue for the Mexico Open from 1944 to 1960. It has three par 5’s, two of which measure just over 600 yards, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

It is a similar grass type to Riviera with kikuyu fairways and a mix of poa annua and bentgrass on the greens. The fairways are tree lined but not too narrow so accuracy shouldn’t be a massive issue. There are also some water hazards to contend with, one in particular is the par 3 17th with a lake protecting the front and left side of the green that could offer an interesting finish on Sunday.

The course looks fairly tight but not too difficult to score on. The Mexico Open was last played here in 2014 and was won by Columbia’s Óscar David Álvarez who finished 17 under par in total. The course is at high altitude making the ball travel further which could make things interesting. Two of the three par 5’s could be reachable in two and a couple of the par 4’s could be driveable by some of the bigger hitters so that could be a big advantage here. Players that hit it long, putt well and avoid the penal and sometimes deep greenside bunkers should score well.  A good indicator could be looking at players who had a good week in Riviera a couple of weeks ago as this course has a similar same grass type with kikuyu fairways and poa annua/bentgrass greens.

The weather looks a bit mixed with some showers forecast but the winds will be moderate so scoring should be good.

 

Dustin Johnson 13/2 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Dustin Johnson 13/2

DJ has been in superb form lately with a win and three top six’s in his last five starts. He had a good week in Riviera last time out shooting rounds of 66,66,64,71 on his way to a 17 under total and a five stroke victory. His good form began back in December at the Hero World Challenge where he finished T3 on 13 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and a solo third at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am. What stands out is his recent performances on poa annua/bentgrass greens with a win and a third in Riviera and Pebble Beach so that could be a big box ticked here.

Johnson could overpower this venue ranking second in driving distance, third in GIR, 31st in SGP, 12th in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a razor sharp game DJ looks like the man to beat here.

 

Jon Rahm 28/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Jon Rahm 28/1

This guy is a serious player and comes here in great form with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. Rahm played well at the World Cup of Golf back in December finishing T8 on 13 under par in total. He began the New Year in style with a win at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines after a superb final round 65, which included an impressive eagle three on the par 5 18th. He followed that with a T16 at the Phoenix Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. Rahm then travelled to Pebble Beach where he started with a disappointing 73 in round one, but bounced back with a 67,67,68 finish to post 12 under in total and T5 for the tournament.

The Spaniard is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging just under 300 yards off the tee. He ranks fifth in SG off the tee, second in SGTTG, 16th in GIR and fourth in par 4 scoring. Rahm is turning into a superb player and he has the power and the game to be a serious contender here.

 

Gary Woodland 45/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Gary Woodland 45/1

The big hitting American is in great form coming to Mexico this week with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last six events. He played well at the OHL Classic at the starts of the season finishing solo second and followed that with a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T20 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. Most recently Woodland had a super performance at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am shooting 67,65 over the weekend to finish T5 on 12 under. He followed that with another solid performance last week at The Honda shooting rounds of 71,66,66,69 to finish eight under and T2 for the tournament.

He is a solid ball striker averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 20th in SGP, 16th in SGTTG, 17th in GIR and eighth in par 4 scoring.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Louis Oosthuizen 50/1

The South African has been playing some decent golf lately with four top 10’s in his last seven tournaments. He had a good week at the Nedbank Challenge finishing solo 9th and followed that with another solo 9th at the Hero World Challenge, which included two opening 67’s. He then travelled to Phoenix and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the week to finish solo third. Louis then teed it up in Australia and shot another three rounds in the 60’s to finish solo fifth at the Super 6 in Perth. Last week at the Honda he finished a respectable T21 in Florida posting three under par in total for the tournament.

Growing up in South Africa, Oosthuizen would be used to kikuyu grass which shouldn’t be any problem for him here. Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranks 31st in GIR, eighth in SGTTG and ranked eighth in driving accuracy and 11th in driving distance at the Honda last week.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 13/2 1pt EW

Jon Rahm 28/1 0.5pts EW

Gary Woodland 45/1 0.5pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Sheshan International GC (West), Sheshan, China

Par 72, 7,266 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club this week which has been the host venue of this event over the last number of years. The field includes most the world’s top golfers including FedExCup champion Rory McIlroy, Bubba Watson, Adam Scott and Dustin Johnson. Previous winners include Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Dustin Johnson (2013), Bubba Watson (2014) and Russell Knox (2015).

Sheshan is a par 72 measuring 7,266 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. Length will be an advantage here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

The main areas of focus here are previous form/current form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring.

 

Henrik Stenson 20/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 20/1 

The Swede has been battling injury post Ryder Cup with his right knee but looks back to full fitness here. He played superb in The Ryder Cup and took US Superstar Jordan Spieth apart in the singles on Sunday driving and putting beautifully. He hasn’t played much over the last few weeks but played with huge dominance at the Open shooting rounds 68,65,68,63 to beat his nearest challenger Phil Mickelson by three strokes. He followed that with a T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio at The Olympics.

Stenson has a good record here in Sheshan finishing ninth in ’07, fifth on ’08, ninth in ’09, 13th in ’10, 24th in ’14 and 11th last year. He has the mix of accuracy and distance ranking first in SG approach to the green, 16th in SGP and first in GIR. If he is back fit and healthy I expect Henrik to have a solid week here at a venue that should suit his game.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite a poor finish last week in Malaysia, Patrick Reed has been playing some great golf over the last few weeks and was superb in the Ryder Cup particularly against Rory McIlroy in the singles. Reed finished T51 last week at The CIMB Classic which was his first finish outside the top 25 in 11 starts. After a fantastic win at The Barclays, Reed followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank, T13 at The BMW and a T24 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well here in the past finishing seventh last year and 22nd in 2014. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG around the green, eighth in scrambling, 22nd in par 3 scoring and tenth in par 5 scoring. He looks a generous price here this week and could have a good week.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 40/1 

The defending champion finished off the season well and comes here in decent form. He had a good week in Malaysia finishing in a respectable T10 at The CIMB Classic and hit over 80% of greens in regulation. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish 14 under in total. He followed that with a T15 at The Deutsche Bank and a T17 at The BMW. He had a brilliant week here last year shooting 67,65,68,68 to finish 20 under par in total beating his closest challenger Kevin Kisner by two strokes.

Knox is one of the most accurate players on tour ranking eighth in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR and 34th in par 4 scoring. If he putts well he could have a great chance here.

 

Alexander Levy 80/1

The Frenchman looks extremely overpriced here this week considering his current form and excellent record in China. Levy won the 2014 China Open and finished third the following year and was runner up at the 2014 BMW Masters which he should’ve won if it weren’t for a disastrous final round 78. He played well at The Sheshan International this year on the European Tour finishing fourth. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T18 at The European Masters, T7 at The Italian Open, a win at The European Open and a T4 at The British Masters.

He has only played this event once finishing T14 in 2014 and could have the game to suit this course. With a great record here in China over the last few years and a promising debut here in 2014 Levy looks fantastic value here.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 20/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 33/1

Russell Knox 0.5pt EW 40/1

Alexander Levy 0.5pt EW 80/1

Total staked = 6 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter @DoublebogeyDB6

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RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016

RBC Canadian Open 2016 Betting PreviewGlen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario

Par 72, 7,253 yards

Last Week at Royal Troon –

Stenson Claims Claret Jug with Flawless 63

It was a superb battle between Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson in the final round of The Open Championship. They traded blows throughout the round with some accurate driving, superb iron play and great scrambling. Just when you thought one of them would drop a shot or two after a rare mistake, they would bounce back with in style. However it was Stenson who came out on top with four birdies in the last five holes that clinched the Claret Jug and gave us a nice 28/1 winner.

The Course

Glen Abbey hosts the RBC Canadian Open for the 28th time this year and was the first course Jack Nicklaus designed himself and first hosted Canada’s National Championship in 1977. Most recently, this event took place here in 2004,2008,2009, 2013 and 2015 so it will be worth checking for players with good course history. It is located near Lake Ontario and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has nearly 100 bunkers and numerous water hazards. Three of the four par 5’s are on the back nine (13,16,18) which are three of the easiest holes on the course and will offer up some birdies and possibly eagles on the way in.

The opening nine holes are quite flat and shouldn’t be too much of a problem for the players to negotiate. However the back nine could be a little bit trickier with a distinguishing feature of the Glen Abbey course are the “Valley Holes”, numbered 11 through 15. On number 11, a par 4, players tee off a cliff to a fairway that is approximately 60 feet below on the valley floor. The second shot must clear Sixteen Mile Creek to the green. Holes 12, 13 and 14 all use Sixteen Mile Creek as a hazard in one form or another. Number 15 is a short par 3 with a sharply-sloping green, after which players climb out of the valley to the 16th hole. The winning score on this course has been between 16 and 18 under over the last few years so expect plenty of birdies.

The defending champion Jason Day proved that hitting fairways off the tee is not essential around here. He ranked T72 for driving accuracy but was second in driving distance and ranked fourth in strokes gained putting last year so that gives us a clue what to look out for statswise here. Key areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, driving distance, par 5 scoring and strokes gained putting. This course is quite short for PGA Tour standards so players with a bit of length along with good putting, scrambling and accurate iron play are worth considering here.

 

Dustin Johnson 13/2 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Dustin Johnson 13/2

The World number two arrives in Canada after adding another top 10 finish to his season after finishing T9 at Royal Troon last week. He could have finished better last week in Troon but just didn’t make enough putts on those slower than average greens. The American has been in superb form recently finishing fourth in Riviera, third in Houston, T4 in Augusta, T12 at The Byron Nelson, third in Memorial, fifth at the St. Jude and back to back wins in Oakmont and Firestone.

Johnson was second here in 2013 and comes here in better form this time around. He ranks second in driving distance, 26th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained putting, 22nd in par 5 scoring and leads par 4 scoring. Favourites have a good record here over the years and after playing with such dominance over the last few weeks, Johnson has to be the man to beat here.

 

Matt Kuchar 14/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Matt Kuchar 14/1

With the exception of the last two majors, Kuch has played great golf recently with five top 6’s in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T3 and followed that with a solo third at The Byron Nelson, T6 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational, T4 at Memorial and T3 in Firestone.

He has played great here in the past finishing second last year and seventh in 2013. Statswise he ranks 33d in GIR, 22nd in strokes gained putting, 28th in scrambling and fifth in par 4 scoring. Kuchar is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on tour and I expect him to go well here.

 

Emiliano Grillo 40/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 40/1

The Argentinian started the season in style with and recorded his first win on The PGA Tour at the Frys.com Open. Lately he has three top 15’s in his last four starts and comes here on the back of a respectable T12 at The Open Championship in Royal Troon. He finished T17 at The Masters and followed that with a T11 at Memorial and a T14 at The WGC Bridgestone.

He played well here in Glen Abbey last year finishing in a respectable T22 for the tournament which included an opening round 64. He also ticks some statistical boxes here averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranks 30th in GIR and 34th in strokes gained off the tee. Grillo looks to have found some good form lately and could be one to watch here.

 

Colt Knost 40/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 50/1

Knost has been in fine form over the last few weeks with three top 5’s and a top 20 in his last six starts. He played superb in Sawgrass finishing T3 which included an impressive 63 in round two. He followed that with a T4 at The Byron Nelson which included another 63 in round two, T18 at The St.Jude Classic and a solo third at the Barracuda Championship.

He started well here last year shooting 68,69 in the first two rounds but fell away over the weekend to finish T43. He leads driving accuracy hitting just under 75% of fairways off the tee and ranks 30th in strokes gained putting and 15th in scrambling. Knost is playing great golf lately and looks a very generous price this week.

 

William McGirt 50/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016William McGirt 50/1

The American won in Memorial a few weeks ago and played great golf throughout the tournament which included a superb third round 64. He has been playing well since mid-February finishing T20 at Riviera, T8 at The Honda and T9 at the RBC Heritage. He followed that with a T17 at The Wells Fargo, win in Memorial and a T7 at The WGC Bridgestone which included an opening round 64.

He has played well here in the past finishing T2 in 2013 shooting 69,67,68 over the weekend. He played here last year shooting 67,69,75,69 to finish T34, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for the third round 75. Statswise he ranks 31st in strokes gained tee to green, 26th in strokes gained putting, 30th in driving accuracy and 17th in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections – 

Dustin Johnson 3pts WIN 13/2 

Matt Kuchar 1.5pts EW 14/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 40/1 

Colt Knost 1pt EW 50/1 

William McGirt 1pt EW 50/1 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Open Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Open Championship Betting Preview 2016 Royal TroonThe Old Course, Royal Troon Golf Club, Troon, South Ayrshire, Scotland

Par 71, 7,064 yards

The Course

The Open Championship is the oldest of the four majors and always takes place on a tricky links style setup in the month of July. The last time Troon hosted the Open Todd Hamilton was the surprise winner beating Ernie Els in a playoff.

Royal Troon Golf Club is a links golf course located in Troon, South Ayrshire, southwest of Glasgow. The club was founded 138 years ago in 1878, initially with five holes. George Strath was appointed in 1881 as the club’s first golf professional. Adjacent to the Firth of Clyde, Troon was granted its “Royal” accolade in 1978, during its centennial.

Past Open champions at Royal Troon include Justin Leonard, Mark Calcavecchia, Tom Watson, Tom Weiskopf, Arnold Palmer, Bobby Locke, and Arthur Havers. The last six Opens at Troon have been won by Americans.

The course has 11 par 4’s, 3 par 5’s and 4 par 3’s. The toughest holes at the 2004 Open were the par 4 eleventh and the par 5 sixth which measures a daunting 601 yards.

The teeth of this course are the blind bunkers off the tee, some of which are deep pot bunkers, the prevailing wind howling in off the coast and the penal gorse. Royal Troon is home to both the longest and shortest holes in Open Championship golf. Regarded as one of the top holes in the world, the par-3 8th hole “Postage Stamp” measures a short 123 yards, but its diminutive green measures a mere 420 square feet and can be difficult to hit if the wind gets up. The main areas to look at here are GIR, driving distance/accuracy, strokes gained putting and above all else previous Open/links experience.

Usually players that have played well in previous Opens and contended in majors over the last few years are the guys to keep an eye on here. Have no doubt about it, experience will be key.

 

Dustin Johnson 9/1 Open Championship 2016Dustin Johnson 9/1

What an incredible few weeks it’s been for DJ. He has played superb golf this season and comes to Troon this week after back to back wins at The US Open and The WGC Bridgestone. I noticed on Twitter last week Johnson played a round in Portmarnock Links and St Annes in Dublin getting in some practice for Troon and played very well apparently. The American has been in superb form recently finishing fourth in Riviera, third in Houston, T4 in Augusta, T12 at The Byron Nelson, third in Memorial, fifth at the St. Jude and back to back wins in Oakmont and Firestone.

His Open Championship CV is also quite good with a T14 in 2010 at St Andrews, second in 2011 at Royal St Georges, ninth in 2012 at Lytham and T12 at Hoylake in 2014. He led after two rounds in St Andrews last year but fell behind after a couple of 75’s over the weekend to finish T49. Johnson ranks second in driving distance, 30th in GIR, 38th in strokes gained putting, second in proximity to the hole and leads par 4 scoring. After playing with such dominance over the last few weeks, Johnson has to be the man to beat here.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Adam Scott 25/1

After back to back wins at The WGC Cadillac and The Honda Classic earlier this season not to mention his good current form, Scott could be one to watch here this week. The Aussie has been playing well lately with four top 20’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and followed that with a T12 at The Players, T18 at The US Open and a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone. He has been in Troon over the last week practicing and said on Sky Sports News his game “felt really good”.

Scott has a great Open Championship record finishing second in 2012 at Lytham & St Annes, third in 2013 in Muirfield, fifth in 2014 in Hoylake and T10 last year in St Andrews. He had a great chance to win in 2012 but his tee shot found a pot bunker just off the 18th fairway and Scott was left with no other option only to chip out sideways. This led to an unfortunate bogey and he ended up losing by one stroke to Ernie Els. He ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking first in SGTTG, 15th in driving distance, 23rd in GIR and sixth in proximity to the hole. With such a great record in The Open over the last few years Scott has a really good chance here.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede had a good week in Scotland finishing in a respectable T13 and recovered well after opening with a 76. Stenson has five top 25’s in his last eight starts and looks to have his game in great shape coming into this week. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win in Germany at The BMW International Open and a T13 last week in Castle Stuart.

He has a mixed bag of results at The Open over the last few years but most notably finished third in 2010 in St Andrews and second in 2013 in Muirfield. Statswise he ranks first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. In 2013 Stenson finished T3 in Castle Stuart at The Scottish Open and followed that up with a second place finish in Muirfield. Let’s hope history repeats itself here and Henrik goes one better this time around.

 

Branden Grace 30/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Branden Grace 30/1

Grace started well last week in Castle Stuart shooting 71,67 in the first two rounds but fell away over the weekend shooting a disappointing 74,71 to finish T29. However he has been in great form lately and had a great win at The RBC Heritage a few weeks ago. He followed that with a T5 in Oakmont at The US Open and a T10 in Firestone at The WGC Bridgestone. He won at the windy Doha Golf Club Qatar in 2014 and again earlier this year and is no stranger to windy conditions.

He has won on links style setups before winning the Alfred Dunhill Links in 2012, a second place finish in Castle Stuart at The Scottish Open in 2013 and a respectable T25 at The Alfred Dunhill Links 2014. He has played the Open four times in the past and his best finish was T20 last year in St Andrews but he could improve on that here in Troon. The South African ticks the boxes here ranking 20th in driving distance averaging just under 300 yards off the tee, 23rd in GIR and seventh in strokes gained putting. With a decent links CV and good current form Grace could be worth keeping on side here.

 

Martin Kaymer 45/1 The Open Championship 2016 Royal TroonMartin Kaymer 45/1

The German has been playing very well recently and looks to have his game in great shape with five top 15’s in his last six starts. His good run began in Valderrama where he finished T6 at The Open De Espana in wet and windy conditions. He followed that with a T5 in The Irish Open at another wet and windy venue The K Club in Co. Kildare negotiating the conditions superbly finishing with a final round 65. Kaymer had another good week in Wentworth finishing T7 and the BMW PGA and followed that with a T5 at The Open De France and a T13 last week in Castle Stuart.

He has a good Open Championship record finishing T12 in St Andrews last year, T12 at Royal St Georges in 2011 and T7 at St Andrews in 2010. Kaymer has a decent links record winning The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2010 and finishing T7 at the same tournament in 2013. With excellent current form and a decent links record, Kaymer could be another danger man here at a decent price.

 

Graeme McDowell 80/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Graeme McDowell 80/1

The Portrush man played well in Castle Stuart finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish nine under for the week. He has been showing glimpses of decent form finishing T9 at The Players Championship which included two 69’s over the weekend. He then followed that with a T27 at The BMW PGA in Wentworth and a T18 at The US Open in Oakmont. He won The OHL Classic at Mayakoba earlier this season at the windy El Camaleon in Mexico. Gmac has a decent record at The Open over the last few years finishing T9 in Hoylake in 2014, T5 in Lytham and St Annes in 2012 and T23 in St Andrews in 2010. He is another player with decent Links credentials finishing T19 at The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2015 and T3 in 2011 and winning the US Open around the windy Pebble Beach in 2010. McDowell is an accomplished links player and looks great value here at 80/1.

 

Nicolas Colsaerts 125/1 The Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Nicolas Colsaerts 125/1

The Belgian bomber looked really impressive last week in Scotland especially on the back 9 on Sunday. He had four birdies and an eagle to card an impressive 30 strokes on the way in to finish T3 for the tournament. He has been playing well lately with seven top 25’s in his last eight starts. He had a good week in China finishing T15 and then followed that with a T3 in Mauritius, T23 at The Irish Open, T22 at The BMW PGA, solo third at The Nordea Masters, T22 at The Open De France and a T3 last week in Castle Stuart.

Colsaerts was one of four players to claim a spot for the Open in Scotland and has only played in three Open Championships before. Despite missing the cut at both St Andrews last year and Muirfield in 2013, he did play well in Lytham and St Annes in 2012 finishing an impressive T7 which included two 65’s. He has played well on links setups in the past finishing T3 in 2011 and T8 in 2013 in Castle Stuart, T19 at The Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles in 2012 and T9 at The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2011. Statswise he ranks 12th in driving distance averaging 301 yards off the tee and seventh in GIR hitting 75% of greens on average. If the Belgian heats up and makes a few putts he could be a big contender at a huge price.

 

Final selections –

Dustin Johnson 2.5pts EW 9/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 28/1

Branden Grace 1pt EW 30/1

Martin Kaymer 1pt EW 45/1

Graeme McDowell 1pt EW 80/1

Nicholas Colsaerts 1pt EW 125/1

Total staked = 17 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Blue Monster Course, Doral Resort, Florida Par 72, 7,543 yards 

The Course 

This course has undergone some serious surgery in the last two years with Donald Trump pumping 250 million dollars into the course to add length and increase the overall difficulty of the blue monster.

The course has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has an extra 47 yards added onto it. The par 5 first measures a lengthy 605 yards, the par 3 fourth has an extra 24 yards and the par 4 eighteenth has an extra 5 yards added to it. These changes have made the Trump Doral inside the top five longest host courses on the PGA Tour.

Dustin Johnson won here last year on nine under and Patrick Reed won this event in 2014 shooting the highest score in the tournaments history finishing on 284 on four under par. Over the years, length has been of particular importance in this event. With this course now over 7,500 yards in length, it will be even more important so be on the lookout for bombers with good driving stats that are showing good recent form.

There are some main stats to consider going on previous years. Although length is key, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring and GIR will be important here. The usual mix of good current form and good previous form on this course will also be worth checking out especially over the last two years since the course changes took place.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba comes into this week in good form and played superbly well recently in Riviera shooting a 68 in the final round to win by one stroke over Jason Kokrak and Adam Scott. He has two wins and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has a great record here at Doral finishing T3 last year, T2 in 2014, T18 in 2013 and T2 in 2012. Bubba also ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking sixth in driving distance, sixth in GIR and fourth in SGTTG. He also ranks 28th in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring and should feel at home on this course where he has played well on in the past and seems to suit his game.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Dustin Johnson 12/1

I thought DJ looked more confident at Riviera and played well all week finishing solo fourth and showed a lot of consistency shooting 68,66,68,69 to finish 13 under in total. His form has been good finishing T5 at The WGC HSBC Champions, 15th at The Hero World Challenge, T10 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and T18 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 80 in near unplayable conditions.

Johnson is another player with a great record in Doral with a win last year, T4 in 2014, T12 in 2013 and T2 in 2011. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking seventh in driving distance, ninth in SGTTG, 28th in par 4 scoring and 13th in par 5 scoring. After playing well over the last few weeks DJ should be a huge contender here.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

J.B. Holmes 30/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I have tipped J.B a lot over the last few weeks and ive decided to give him another go this week. Despite not winning me anything over the last few weeks, he has been playing decent with six top 12’s in his last seven events. He started the season well with a T8 at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout, T6 at The Farmers, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Pebble and T11 at The Northern Trust Open.

J.B finished T2 here last year shooting an impressive 62 in round one and is another bomber off the tee which should suit this course. He ranks third in driving distance, sixth in SGTTG and 20th in par 4 scoring. With some quality performances over the last few weeks and a good week here in Doral last year, J.B looks a solid bet here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede has bounced back well after an injury and has been playing well over the last couple of months. He played well at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T11 and followed that with a T3 at The BMW Masters. He also had a good week at The Nedbank before Christmas finishing solo second and started the New Year with a T3 in Abu Dhabi and a T6 in Dubai.

Stenson is another player with a good record here finishing T4 here last year and T16 in 2013. He also fits the bill here ranking 11th in GIR, second in strokes gained putting and 18th in driving accuracy. Stenson is another big hitter and should go well here especially after playing so well in the desert swing.

 

First Round Leader –

Dustin Johnson 18/1

With such a good record at this venue, Dustin Johnson has gone low here in round one over the last few years and hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in four of his last five opening rounds in Doral. He started with a 69 in 2011, 68 in 2013, 69 in 2014 and a 68 last year.

In his last six opening rounds he has only shot over 70 once, which was at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions where he opened with a 73 and bounced back with a 67,68,69 to finish -14. Most recently he opened with a 70 in Torrey Pines in The Farmers Insurance Open, 70 in Pebble Beach and an impressive 68 in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open. After a solo fourth in Riviera and four rounds in the 60’s, I fancy DJ to start strongly and open with a low one here.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 30/1 1pt EW

Henrik Stenson 28/1 1pt EW

Dustin Johsnon 18/1 1pt EW First Round Leader

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2015

AT-T Byron Nelson Championship 2015 Betting Preview 2015

TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas 

7,166 yards, par 70

The Course

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Dustin Johnson 12/1

Dustin Johnson returns to TPC Four Seasons this week to a course he has played so well on in the past. He has three top 10 finishes here in his last four appearances finishing T7 last year, T20 in 2011, T7 again in 2010 and fourth in 2009. His current form has been mixed with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. He won the WGC Cadillac in style back in March, T6 at The Valero Texas Open, T6 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. Since finishing T69 at The Players Championship, Johnson has taken a break and should be well rested coming here this week.

Statswise he ranks first in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 200 and fifth in par 5 scoring. With a good history here and decent form this season, DJ could be a big danger man here considering he has taken the last few weeks off.

 

Gary Woodland 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Gary Woodland 33/1

Woodland is another player that is a horse for the course around here finishing T7 last year and a respectable T24 in 2012. He has been playing very solid over the last few weeks finishing T21 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational, T26 at The Texas Open, second at The WGC Matchplay and T4 at The Wells Fargo a couple of weeks ago. This 7,166 yard par 70 should be right up Woodlands street with its tree lined fairways and large undulating greens.

He ranks 10th in driving distance, 17th in approaches from 100-125, 16th in putting from 10 feet and eighth in putting from 25 feet, which are two good stats for these big undulating greens. He has really been impressive over the last few weeks, especially with the flat stick and I think that could really stand to him here.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley had yet another solid performance last week in Colonial recording his fourth top 11 finish in his last seven starts. His good run of form began back at the end of March where he finished T11 at The Texas Open. He followed that with another T11 in Houston, T9 at The Masters, T30 at The Players and a T10 last week in Colonial. Charley has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2013, T7 in 2008 and T8 in 2006.

Hoffman is averaging 294 yards off the tee ranking 38th in driving distance. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring, 40th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 275, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

Marc Leishman 40/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship

Marc Leishman 40/1

Leishman has been showing good form over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four starts. He finished in a respectable T27 last week at Colonial, T24 at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T28 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He has a great history around here with five top 12’s in six appearances. He finished T3 last year, T12 in 2013, T3 again in 2012, T12 in 2010 and T8 in 2009.

Leishman ranks second in approaches from 150-175, 27th in approaches from 225-250 and first in putts from 15 feet. These are good stats for approaches into the 12 par 4’s and tricky par 5’s. With a super history here and decent current form, the Aussie is great value at 40/1 on a course he knows so well.

 

Danny Lee Top 20 7/2 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Top 20 Finish –

Danny Lee 7/2

Danny Lee is showing some decent form over the last couple of months with four top 10’s and a top 25 in his last ten starts. His good run of form began back in the middle of March where he finished T7 at The Valspar and followed that with a T17 at The API in Bay Hill, T22 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and T10 last week at Colonial. Lee has played here three times before with an MC last year, T19 in 2012 and T13 in 2009.

He ranks 42nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in approaches from 50-125, 24th in approaches from 125-150 and 31st in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 13th in approaches from 200, 15th in approaches from 175-200 and fourth in par 3 scoring. With two top 20’s in three appearances and good current form, Lee Is a good shout for a top 20 finish here at 7/2.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2 pts EW

Gary Woodland 33/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 1 pt EW

Marc Leishman 40/1 1 pt EW

Danny Lee (Top20) 7/2 2 pts

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

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Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2015

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2015

TPC Louisiana, Avondale, LA 

Par 72, 7,425 yards

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to TPC Louisiana this week, where Seung-yul Noh is the defending champion. TPC Louisiana has hosted this tournament since 2007, with this year being the ninth year in a row. It was also host in 2005, but got badly damaged in hurricane Katrina. This resulted in some changes being made to the course making it fractionally shorter than it used to be.

The course is a Pete Dye design par 72 measuring just over 7,400 yards. It features four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course sits along the Mississippi River and has five ponds and over 100 bunkers, which will all come into play. Unlike last week at The RBC Heritage, the greens here are quite big and can get fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are wide and pretty forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential, but hitting the greens in regulation will be important. The greens have a lot of undulations so landing the ball in the right part of the green will be important. This is a course that is ranked one of the easiest on The PGA Tour with the average score of the winner shooting between 15-20 under par on average over the last five years.

All types of players seem to play well at this venue. It’s worth looking at players with good GIR stats, approach stats, strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green. Par 4, par 3 and par 5 scoring are also worth looking at. Traditionally, there are a lot of birdies on offer at this tournament so birdie average could be another metric worth taking a look at.

 

Dustin Johnson 8/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Dustin Johnson 8/1

With five top 6 finishes in his last six starts including a win, Dustin Johnson looks to be in great form lately and is contending in almost every tournament he plays in. He had a great performance at The Masters firing 70,67,73,69 on his way to a T6 finish on nine under par for the tournament. He then had another T6 in Texas, which would’ve been a lot better if it weren’t for a poor opening round 78. He had his first victory of 2015 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, where he shot a superb final round 69 to clinch victory from J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson. Johnson also came close to winning The Northern Trust Open, but was beaten by James Hahn in a playoff.

He also looks to fit the bill here statswise ranking first in strokes gained tee to green, first in driving distance, fourth in birdie average and second in approaches from 200+, which is a good stat for the par 5’s. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. Johnson has the form and game to be a huge contender here this week.

 

Justin Rose 10/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Justin Rose 10/1

Justin Rose played superb at The Masters a couple of weeks ago and looked a serious contender throughout the whole week. He started with a 67 in round one and followed that with 70,67,70 to finish T2 and 14 under par for the tournament. His form has been mixed over the last few weeks with a T37 in Houston and missed cuts at The Valspar and The Honda Classic. He played well in the early part of the year in the Middle East recording two top 15 finishes. He had a good week in Abu Dhabi finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The Qatar Masters.

Rose has played well here in the past with three top 15’s in his last three appearances. He finished T8 last year, T15 in 2013 and T10 in 2012. Statswise Rose ranks 38th in GIR, 35th in birdie average, first in approaches from 75-100 and fifth in approaches from 200 yards. He also ranks 37th in par 5 scoring and 37th in par 3 birdie or better leaders. His game looked in superb shape at The Masters a couple of weeks ago and could be a big contender here given his previous record.

 

Sean O Hair 45/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Sean O’Hair 45/1

It’s been great to see Sean O’Hair back playing some great golf this season after having a tough couple of years on tour. He has had four top 30’s and two top 10’s so far this season and his game looks in great shape. Most recently, he played well last week at The RBC Heritage last week shooting a superb final round 64 to finish solo sixth. He had another great week at The Valspar shooting a final round 67 to get himself into a playoff with Jordan Speith and Patrick Reed. However, he was eventually beaten by Jordan Speith but he putted very well all week, which will be a big plus here at TPC Louisiana.

O’Hair ranks 34th in strokes gained putting, 33rd in birdie average, 28th in approaches from 225-250 and 13th in approaches from 75-100. He also ranks fifth in three putt avoidance, 13th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 4 birdie or better leaders. O’Hair has been knocking on the door of a win lately and it could very well come this week in New Orleans.

 

Morgan Hoffmann 50/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Morgan Hoffmann 50/1

Morgan Hoffmann has been showing some good form lately with two top 10’s in his last three starts. He played well last week at The RBC Heritage and showed some great consistency shooting 68,68,69,68 finishing T9 on 11 under for the tournament. He also played well at The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill finishing solo 4th on 15 under. Hoffmann had another good performance at The WGC Cadillac in Doral posting a respectable T17 finish.

He has played well here at TPC Louisiana in the past finishing T34 last year and T21 in 2013. He ranks 31st in driving distance, 32nd in strokes gained putting and 12th in approaches from 250-275. He also ranks second in three putt avoidance and 29th in par 5 scoring and comes here in much better form this year than he has in previous years.

 

Cameron Tringale 50/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Cameron Tringale 50/1

Despite missing the cut last week at The RBC Heritage, Cameron Tringale has been in good form over the last few weeks with a top five and a top 20 in his last five starts. He played well at The Valspar Championship a few weeks back finishing T17 on three under par for the tournament. He started very well shooting a 71, 69 in the first two rounds. He fell away a little bit after shooting a disappointing 73 in round 3, but fought back well firing a final round 68. Tringale also played well in Houston shooting 68,70,69,68 on his way to a 13 under par total and a T5 finish.

Tringale has played well here over the last few years finishing T17 last year, T7 in 2012, T18 in 2011 and T28 in 2010. Statswise, he is hitting just over 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 25th in approaches from 250-275 and 13th in approaches from 50-125 yards, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s and par 4’s. With a good history here and good current form, this could be the place where Tringale has a great week at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 2pts EW 8/1

Justin Rose 2pts EW 10/1

Sean O’Hair 1pt EW 45/1

Morgan Hoffmann 1pt EW 50/1

Cameron Tringale 1pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2015

WGC Cadillac Betting Preview Tips and Predictions

Blue Monster Course, Doral Resort, Florida Par 72, 7,528 yards

The Course

This course has undergone some serious surgery in the last two years with Donald Trump pumping 250 million dollars into the course to add length and increase the overall difficulty of the blue monster.

The course has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has an extra 47 yards added from last year. The par 5 first has 18 yards added to it, the par 3 fourth has an extra 24 yards and the par 4 eighteenth has an extra 5 yards added to it. These changes have made the Trump Doral inside the top five longest host courses on the PGA Tour.

Patrick Reed won this event last year shooting the highest score in the tournaments history finishing on 284 on four under par. Over the years, length has been of particular importance in this event. With this course now over 7,500 yards in length, it will be even more important so be on the lookout for bombers with good driving stats that are showing good recent form.

There are some main stats to consider going on previous years. Although length is key, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring, GIR and total driving will be key here. This course is made for the likes of Bubba, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed and Phil Mickelson. The usual mix of good current form and good previous form on this course will also be worth checking out, especially last year, which was the first year the course changes took place.

Bubba Watson 14/1 WGC Cadillac

Bubba Watson 14/1
Bubba has been playing very consistent golf lately and hasn’t finished outside the top 15 in his last five events. His good form began back in November when he won the WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai, where he finished on 11 under par. He then went on to finish T11 at The Hero World Challenge, solo 10th at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and T2 at The Phoenix Open. Most recently, he had a good week at The Northern Trust Open finishing in a respectable T14 on two under for the tournament.

His record here at Doral is quite impressive finishing T2 last year, T18 in 2013 and solo 2nd in 2012. He ranks 11th in driving distance averaging 303 yards off the tee, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and first in strokes gained total. He also ranks first in par 5 scoring, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. After taking the week off last week, Bubba should be fresh and ready to get in contention this week.

Dustin Johnson 20/1 WGC Cadillac

Dustin Johnson 20/1
Dustin Johnson made his return to the PGA Tour at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. Despite missing the cut, he followed that with a T4 at The AT&T in Pebble Beach finishing on 17 under for the tournament. He had another good week at The Northern Trust Open getting into a three way playoff, but was knocked out by the eventual winner, James Hahn. Johnson has a super record here at Doral with two top 5’s and a top 15 in his last four appearances. He finished T4 last year, T12 in 2013 and solo 2nd in 2011.

Johnson ranks first in driving distance averaging 313 yards off the tee. He ranks eighth in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in approaches from 200+ and third in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 16th in par 3 scoring and 12th in par 5 birdie or better leaders. With such a good record on this course and two top 5’s in his last three starts, Johnson is hard to ignore here.

Patrick Reed 22/1 WGC Cadillac

Patrick Reed 22/1
After a dramatic finish at The Honda Classic on Monday afternoon, Patrick Reed looked right in the thick of things up to the point when he hit his tee shot on 15 into the water, which took him right out of contention. Despite that small setback, Reed has been playing well since December where he finished T3 at The Hero World Challenge. He followed that with a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, T24 at The Humana and a T29 at The AT&T in Pebble Beach. He finished T7 last week at The Honda, shooting a final round 73 to finish three under for the tournament.

Reed played superb last year and came away with a win after shooting a total of four under for the tournament. Statswise he seems to fit the bill here averaging 293 off the tee and ranks 20th in strokes gained tee to green, 24th in strokes gained putting and fourth in approaches from 250-275, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. Reed also ranks eighth in par 4 scoring and 29th in par 5 scoring. After a good performance last week, Reed comes to Doral in good form and could have another good week after playing so well here last year.

Jamie Donaldson 40/1 WGC Cadillac

Jamie Donaldson 40/1
Donaldson has been playing well for the last couple of months and has only finished outside the top 25 twice in his last 10 events. He started 2015 off well with a T9 at The Abu Dhabi Championship finishing on 13 under, which included a third round 65. He followed that with T19 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines finishing on four under. Donaldson had a great week at The Honda shooting a final round 66 to finish solo 6th and played well here last year finishing T2, one stroke behind the winner Patrick Reed.

He is averaging 292 off the tee on The European Tour and ranks first in strokes gained putting so far this season. He ranks seventh in approaches from 175-200, fourth in approaches from 50-125 yards and 14th in par 5 scoring. After a top 10 last week at The Honda, Donaldson could have another great week here.

Luke Donald 50/1 WGC Cadillac

Luke Donald 50/1
After a disappointing start to the 2015 season, Luke Donald played well last week at The Honda finishing on three under and T7 for the tournament. He was showing some good form before Christmas playing well at The Nedbank Challenge in South Africa finishing solo 3rd on 12 under. He also had a good finish to the 2014 European Tour season finishing T26 at The DP World Championship in Dubai.

He has a good record at this event over the last few years with two top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four appearances. He finished T25 last year, T6 in 2012 and T6 again in 2011. After a good performance last week at The Honda, Donald could have another good week on a course he has played well on in the past.

Final selections –
Bubba Watson 2 pts EW
Dustin Johnson 1.5 pts EW
Patrick Reed 1.5 pts EW
Jamie Donaldson 1 pt EW
Luke Donald 1 pt EW
Total staked = 14 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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