Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016

Tiger Woods Safeway open 2016North Course, Silverado Resort & Spa, Napa Valley, California 

Par 72 7,203 yards

We’re hopefully going to see the return of a certain Mr Woods this week and I for one think it’s great to have him back playing competitively again. The word on social media is that Tiger seems to be hitting the ball well in practice and is in tip top shape coming into this week. He is paired with Phil Mickelson for the first two rounds so it should make for some very interesting viewing.

Silverado Resort & Spa measures a lengthy 7,203 yards and has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s. It was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr in the 1960’s and was renovated by Johnny Miller in 2011. The fairways are tree lined with forgiving rough so missing the fairways here will not be a big deal. There are quite a lot of nice features around the course such as old Oak trees, elevation changes and water features and crossings. The greens are bent grass and are average size by PGA Tour standards and can get quite fast depending on weather conditions.

This will be the third time this course has hosted the tournament and judging by last year, length does not seem to be a huge advantage. Players that have accurate iron play and the ability to negotiate these tricky bent grass greens should go well here this week. Top stats to consider are par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, approach stats, SGTTG and SGP.

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Paul Casey 12/1

Casey has to get a nod here based on the fact that he played superb throughout the FedExCup Playoffs. His good run of form began at the PGA Championship where he finished T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T17 at The Travelers, second at The Deutsche Bank, second at The BMW and a solo fourth at The Tour Championship. Casey has shot a 70 or better in 11 of his last 12 rounds and could have the game that suits this course.

This is his first appearance here at Silverado but statistically he seem to fit the bill. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee, 11th in SG approaches to the green, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. After playing solidly throughout the playoffs Casey could be the man to beat here especially in a weakened field.

 

Emiliano Grillo Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 20/1 

This man started with a bang last year and won this tournament in style beating Kevin Na on the second playoff hole. He has been playing some great golf over the last few months and comes into this with four top 15’s in his last six starts. He had a good week at the PGA finishing T13 and followed that with a T8 in Rio at The Olympics, T2 at The Barclays and a respectable T10 in East Lake at The Tour Championship.

He played superb last year and shot 68,71,65,69 to post 15 under in total. Grillo also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 28th in SG off the tee, 27th in GIR and 26th in birdie average. He comes here in great form and could have another good week.

 

Justin Thomas Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Thomas 25/1 

Thomas came within a whisker of getting into the playoff with Grillo and Na last year but just came up one short. He had a good season and finished well with three top 10’s in his last six tournaments. He played well at The Quicken Loans finishing T12 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T3 at The Travelers which included a superb final round 62 to post 12 under par in total. Thomas then went on to play well in The Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays and a T6 at The Tour Championship shooting rounds of 68,71,69,67.

He played great here last year finishing T3 and was a bit unlucky not to finish better and make the playoff. Thomas is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in par 5 scoring and 20th in SG approaches to the green.

 

Jhonattan Vegas 50/1 

The streaky Johnny Vegas had a good season and has been playing well since early July. After a T4 at the Barbasol, Vegas then went on to win the RBC Canadian Open after shooting a superb final round 64 to finish 12 under in total beating Dustin Johnson, Martin Laird and Jon Rahm by one stroke. He followed that with a T22 at The PGA, T22 at The Barclays, T24 at The BMW and a T24 at the Tour Championship. Vegas had a great week here last year opening with a 64 in round one and ended up finishing T10 on 11 under for the tournament.

He ranks 23rd in SG off the tee, 14th in driving distance, 10th in GIR and 24th in par 5 scoring. After a solid performance here last year and decent form towards the end of last season, Vegas is worth chancing here.

 

Final Selections – 

Paul Casey 1pt EW 12/1 

Emiliano Grillo 0.5pts EW 20/1 

Justin Thomas 0.5pts EW 25/1 

Jhonattan Vegas 0.5pts EW 50/1

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedexCup PlayoffsField: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings

TPC Boston, Norton, MA

Par 71, 7,216 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travel to TPC Boston where it has hosted this The Deutsche Bank since 2003. Its Labour Day weekend in The US so this tournament will go from Friday-Monday. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Previous winners include Rickie Fowler (2015), Chris Kirk (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011) and Charley Hoffman (2010).

When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top. The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential here this week. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field and should offer up some early/late birdies.

Statswise scrambling, GIR and good putters have always been on top of the leaderboard here. The greens are wide and can offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, par 4 scoring and strokes gained putting stats.

 

Jason Day 13/2 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsJason Day 13/2

With five birdies in the first six holes of his second round Day looked in complete control. He then unfortunately undone all that good work by going bogey-double-bogey on 8,9 and 10. That being said they were the only real blemishes and he played well throughout the tournament finishing T4 only two strokes behind winner Patrick Reed. The Aussie has four top 10’s in his last six events finishing T8 at the US Open, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, second at The PGA and T4 last week in Bathpage. In his last 12 competitive rounds Day hasn’t shot worse than a 70.

His form around TPC Boston is rock solid finishing 12th last year, seventh in 2014, 13th in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks 15th in driving distance, first in SGP, 11th in SGTTG, fifth in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a near winner last week Day could go one better and win in style this week.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 25/1 

The young American really stepped up to the plate last week and got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with six top 15’s and a win in his last 10 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham and a win last week at the Barclays.

Reed has played here three times in the past with his best finish coming last year when he finishing T4 for the week. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG around the green, fifth in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 12th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 25/1 

Scott has been back showing some solid form over the last few weeks with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridestone, T18 at The PGA and T4 last week at The Barclays. He recorded his first PGA Tour win here at TPC Boston back in 2003 so he has some great memories of this tournament. Following his win in ‘03 he finished fifth in 2010, eighth in 2011, seventh in 2012 and 16th in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 16th in GIR and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsBrandt Snedeker 50/1

Ive decided to give Sneds another shot here at TPC Boston this week. He couldn’t really get it going last week in Bethpage but he has been in decent form lately with four top 25’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Wyndham finishing T3 which makes that his second top five in his last four starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has some great form at this course over the last few years finishing fifth in 2010, third in 2011 and sixth in 2012. Statswise Snedeker ranks 19th in SG around the green, 35th in SGP, 20th in scrambling and first in par 4 scoring.

 

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsEmiliano Grillo 50/1

The young Argentinian has been very impressive this season on The PGA Tour. He recorded his first PGA Tour win at The Frys.com Open last October and hasn’t really put a foot wrong since. He has six top 15’s in his last eight starts finishing T11 at Memorial, T14 at The WGC Bridgestone, T12 at The Open, T13 at the PGA, T8 in Rio and T2 last week at The Barclays.

This will be his first appearance here at TPC Boston looks to tick a lot of boxes. He ranks 26th in SG off the tee, 33rd in GIR and 16th in driving accuracy.

 

Final selections –

Jason Day 13/2 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 25/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 50/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

Twitter- @Doublebogey63

Facebook- www.faccebook.com/doublebogey6

RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016

RBC Canadian Open 2016 Betting PreviewGlen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario

Par 72, 7,253 yards

Last Week at Royal Troon –

Stenson Claims Claret Jug with Flawless 63

It was a superb battle between Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson in the final round of The Open Championship. They traded blows throughout the round with some accurate driving, superb iron play and great scrambling. Just when you thought one of them would drop a shot or two after a rare mistake, they would bounce back with in style. However it was Stenson who came out on top with four birdies in the last five holes that clinched the Claret Jug and gave us a nice 28/1 winner.

The Course

Glen Abbey hosts the RBC Canadian Open for the 28th time this year and was the first course Jack Nicklaus designed himself and first hosted Canada’s National Championship in 1977. Most recently, this event took place here in 2004,2008,2009, 2013 and 2015 so it will be worth checking for players with good course history. It is located near Lake Ontario and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has nearly 100 bunkers and numerous water hazards. Three of the four par 5’s are on the back nine (13,16,18) which are three of the easiest holes on the course and will offer up some birdies and possibly eagles on the way in.

The opening nine holes are quite flat and shouldn’t be too much of a problem for the players to negotiate. However the back nine could be a little bit trickier with a distinguishing feature of the Glen Abbey course are the “Valley Holes”, numbered 11 through 15. On number 11, a par 4, players tee off a cliff to a fairway that is approximately 60 feet below on the valley floor. The second shot must clear Sixteen Mile Creek to the green. Holes 12, 13 and 14 all use Sixteen Mile Creek as a hazard in one form or another. Number 15 is a short par 3 with a sharply-sloping green, after which players climb out of the valley to the 16th hole. The winning score on this course has been between 16 and 18 under over the last few years so expect plenty of birdies.

The defending champion Jason Day proved that hitting fairways off the tee is not essential around here. He ranked T72 for driving accuracy but was second in driving distance and ranked fourth in strokes gained putting last year so that gives us a clue what to look out for statswise here. Key areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, driving distance, par 5 scoring and strokes gained putting. This course is quite short for PGA Tour standards so players with a bit of length along with good putting, scrambling and accurate iron play are worth considering here.

 

Dustin Johnson 13/2 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Dustin Johnson 13/2

The World number two arrives in Canada after adding another top 10 finish to his season after finishing T9 at Royal Troon last week. He could have finished better last week in Troon but just didn’t make enough putts on those slower than average greens. The American has been in superb form recently finishing fourth in Riviera, third in Houston, T4 in Augusta, T12 at The Byron Nelson, third in Memorial, fifth at the St. Jude and back to back wins in Oakmont and Firestone.

Johnson was second here in 2013 and comes here in better form this time around. He ranks second in driving distance, 26th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained putting, 22nd in par 5 scoring and leads par 4 scoring. Favourites have a good record here over the years and after playing with such dominance over the last few weeks, Johnson has to be the man to beat here.

 

Matt Kuchar 14/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Matt Kuchar 14/1

With the exception of the last two majors, Kuch has played great golf recently with five top 6’s in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T3 and followed that with a solo third at The Byron Nelson, T6 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational, T4 at Memorial and T3 in Firestone.

He has played great here in the past finishing second last year and seventh in 2013. Statswise he ranks 33d in GIR, 22nd in strokes gained putting, 28th in scrambling and fifth in par 4 scoring. Kuchar is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on tour and I expect him to go well here.

 

Emiliano Grillo 40/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 40/1

The Argentinian started the season in style with and recorded his first win on The PGA Tour at the Frys.com Open. Lately he has three top 15’s in his last four starts and comes here on the back of a respectable T12 at The Open Championship in Royal Troon. He finished T17 at The Masters and followed that with a T11 at Memorial and a T14 at The WGC Bridgestone.

He played well here in Glen Abbey last year finishing in a respectable T22 for the tournament which included an opening round 64. He also ticks some statistical boxes here averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranks 30th in GIR and 34th in strokes gained off the tee. Grillo looks to have found some good form lately and could be one to watch here.

 

Colt Knost 40/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 50/1

Knost has been in fine form over the last few weeks with three top 5’s and a top 20 in his last six starts. He played superb in Sawgrass finishing T3 which included an impressive 63 in round two. He followed that with a T4 at The Byron Nelson which included another 63 in round two, T18 at The St.Jude Classic and a solo third at the Barracuda Championship.

He started well here last year shooting 68,69 in the first two rounds but fell away over the weekend to finish T43. He leads driving accuracy hitting just under 75% of fairways off the tee and ranks 30th in strokes gained putting and 15th in scrambling. Knost is playing great golf lately and looks a very generous price this week.

 

William McGirt 50/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016William McGirt 50/1

The American won in Memorial a few weeks ago and played great golf throughout the tournament which included a superb third round 64. He has been playing well since mid-February finishing T20 at Riviera, T8 at The Honda and T9 at the RBC Heritage. He followed that with a T17 at The Wells Fargo, win in Memorial and a T7 at The WGC Bridgestone which included an opening round 64.

He has played well here in the past finishing T2 in 2013 shooting 69,67,68 over the weekend. He played here last year shooting 67,69,75,69 to finish T34, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for the third round 75. Statswise he ranks 31st in strokes gained tee to green, 26th in strokes gained putting, 30th in driving accuracy and 17th in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections – 

Dustin Johnson 3pts WIN 13/2 

Matt Kuchar 1.5pts EW 14/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 40/1 

Colt Knost 1pt EW 50/1 

William McGirt 1pt EW 50/1 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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