SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017

SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii  

Par 73, 7,452 yards  

The Course  

Happy New Year to you all it’s great to be back. We kick off 2017 with The SBS Tournament of Champions (Formerly The Hyundai Tournament of Champions) which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth checking.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Jordan Spieth (2016), Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Jordan Spieth 11/2 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 5/1 

Spieth has been in decent form coming into this event winning in Australia in his last official start beating Ashley Hall and Cameron Smith in a dramatic playoff. The young American played well in the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays, solo ninth at The BMW and T17 at The Tour Championship. He then went on to play on the winning US Ryder Cup Team winning a total of two and half point out of four.

Spieth was superb here last year winning the tournament by eight strokes in total over his nearest challenger Patrick Reed. He didn’t shoot worse than a 67 last year in Kapalua finishing on a total of 30 under par for the tournament which is one stroke shy of the 31 under par record held by South African Ernie Els. He has a good record here with an impressive win last year and a second place finish in 2014. Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 24th in SG Around the green, second in SGP and ninth in scrambling. If he gets the putter rolling he will certainly be one to watch here.

 

Patrick Reed 11/1 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Patrick Reed 11/1

Reed had a great finish to the season with a win and four top 15 finishes from the last seven tournaments. He finished T11 at the Travelers and followed that with another T11 in Rio and a respectable T22 at The Wyndham. He then had a win at The Barclays and followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank. Reed also had a superb Ryder Cup for team USA winning a total of three and a half points out of five. He didn’t have the best start to the new season finishing outside the top 50 at The CIMB and WGC in China but he did bounce back with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas.

He has a super record on this course finishing T16 in 2014, win in 2015 and a second place finish last year. The American is averaging a 67 in his last eight rounds here so he clearly likes this course. Reed has a superb short game and if he can make a few putts early he could be right in the mix.

 

Justin Thomas SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

Thomas is another player that seems to be bang in form at the moment and had a good finish to the regular season back in October. He finished T10 at The Barclays and T6 at The Tour Championship shooting 69,67 over the weekend. He started the 2017 season off in style with a T8 at The Safeway Open, a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia, T23 at The WGC HSBC and a T5 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Smylie Kaufman. Thomas has only played Kapalua once before finishing T21 last year. He started 70, 73 in the first two rounds but bounced back with a pair of 69’s over the weekend to finish 11 under in total.

Statswise Thomas ranks eighth in SG Approach to the green, 28th in SGP, 20th in SGTTG and first in par 4 scoring. Thomas looks bang in form and could be another player worth backing this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Sneds always seems to play well this time of year and looks to be in great shape coming to Hawaii this week. He won the Fiji International at the start of October beating his nearest challenger, New Zealander Michael Hendry by and impressive nine strokes to take the title on 16 under for the tournament. He then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas in the Hero World Challenge and he had another solid week with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par, eight strokes behind the winners Matt Kuchar and Harris English.

Snedeker has a great record here in Kapalua finishing 10th here in 2008, third in 2013, 11th in 2014 and third last year. He is putting very well lately ranking 15th in strokes gained putting, sixth in par 4 scoring and first in par 4 birdie or better leaders. 18/1 seems quite generous for a player bang in form with a great record here.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 5/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 11/1 1pt EW

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 8 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

FedEx Cup Playoffs – The Barclays Betting Preview

FedEx Cup Playoffs

The Barclays Betting Preview

Liberty National Golf Club, Jersey City, New Jersey, New York

 

Last week at The Wyndham –

What a week last week was with my outsider Patrick Reed beating Jordan Spieth on the second playoff hole to win The Wyndham Championship. Reed recovered from a drive on the par 4 10th that came a few feet from going out of bounds and stopped in some pine needles in the woods near a television cable. He took out his 7-iron, with a tricky uphill lie, he managed to keep one low under a tree branch, got it on the green and rolled it in for a birdie to win the championship. I am not going to lie, I really thought he might blow it after Spieth got that 20 footer for a par and reed missed for the birdie on the first playoff hole.  Thankfully, that wasn’t the case. To wrap up last week, that’s a 66/1 winner on Mr Reed and a place on Zach Johnson at 16/1. Let’s hope this good form continues. Now onto this week in New Jersey where the beginning of the FedEx Cup playoffs is upon us.

 

Tiger Woods 5/1

This will be the 3rd time I’ve backed Tiger in the last few weeks and I am going to take a gamble on him again here. Tiger has dominated The PGA Tour so far this season with 5 wins already tucked away in the Trophy Cabinet, not to mention a tied 6th finish at The Open Championship in Muirfield and a tied 4th finish at The Masters (in which he would have won if he wasn’t penalised). Stats wise he is 2nd in Strokes Gained Putting, 5th in Birdie Average, 1st in Scoring Average, 1st in Total Putting and 24th in GIR. He also has a decent record in this event, finishing in a tie for 12th in 2010 and only missed out in a playoff in 2009, finishing in tied 2nd. He didn’t play great at the PGA a couple of weeks ago and finished in a disappointing tie for 40th, however that wouldn’t concern me this week. If the dominating Tiger that won in Firestone is anything to go by, and after taking a week off last week, I reckon he’ll be in tip top shape here.

 

Henrik Stenson 20/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I like Henrik and I have every reason to as he rarely lets me down, getting a bunch of each way places over the last few weeks. He has 5 top 10’s  including 4 top 3 finishes in his last 5 starts on both the European and PGA Tours, including a 3rd place finish at The PGA, tied 2nd finish at The Bridgestone, 2nd at The Open Championship, tied 3rd at The Scottish Open and a tied 10th finish at The BMW international Open. Stats wise, he ranks 6th in Driving Accuracy, 2nd in GIR, 4th in Scoring Average and 3rd in Total driving and that’s just on the PGA Tour! On the European Tour, he ranks 1st in Stroke Average, 10th in Driving Distance and 8th in GIR. I really feel Henrik has the all-around game to win on any golf course and I feel it could be any day now. 20/1 is a decent price for a real contender in my opinion.

Keegan Bradley 40/1

Bradley has had a mixed kind of season so far but has had 5 top 5 finishes, including a tied 4th at The Hyundai at the start of the year, tie 4th at The Honda Classic, tied 3rd at The Arnold Palmer, 2nd at The Byron Nelson and recently he finished in tied 2nd at The Bridgestone Invitational and followed that with a tied 19th finish at the PGA Championship. Bradley ranks 7th in Driving Distance, 10th in Scoring Average, 34th in Birdie Average, 2nd in par 5 of better leaders and 3rd in the All Around. At 40/1 I think he is great value here this week and with this course measuring a lengthy 7,400 yards, this should suit the big hitting Bradley down to the ground.

 

Jason Day 28/1

What a season this man is having getting himself yet another top 10 in a major championship, finishing in tied 8th at The PGA a couple of weeks ago, making it his 3rd top 10 finish in 4 major championships this year, including a tied 2nd place finish at The US Open at Merion and a solo third place finish at The Masters in Augusta. Statswise, Day ranks 21st in Driving Distance, hitting it a decent 298.4 yards off the tee, 38th in Strokes Gained, 14th in Scoring Average and 9th in Sand Saves. Day hasn’t missed a cut all year and ranks 3rd in Consecutive cuts made making 21 in a row. Day has a decent record in this tournament over the years, finishing in tied 13th in 2011 and tied 5th in 2010. A real contender here and very well priced at 28/1.

 

Jordan Spieth 50/1

This man nearly broke my heart last week getting into a playoff with my 66/1 shot Patrick Reed. As I mentioned in the opening paragraph, I really though Reed might choke after Spieth rolled in a 20 footer for par and Reed missed a 7 footer for birdie. Thankfully, Reed won the next playoff hole but, I have to say, Jordan Spieth wasn’t going to give it to him and he fought well. After getting his first victory on The PGA Tour at The John Deere Classic a few weeks ago, Spieth also has 6 top 10’s so far, including tied 2nd in Puerto Rico, tied 7th in Tampa Bay, tied 9th at The RBC Heritage, tied 7th at The Crowne Plaza, 6th at The AT&T National and 2nd last week at The Wyndham. He ranks 20th in Driving Accuracy, 28th in Birdie Average, 15th in Scoring Average and 13th in Total Driving. Could he get another top 5 here at The Barclays? Most certainly YES.

 

Ernie Els 60/1

Ernie has had a good season so far getting a win at The BMW International Open back at the end of June. He also had a good finish at The US open in Merion the week before finishing in tied 4th in which he got me a very nice each way place at a decent price. He has come a little bit off the boil recently missing the cut at The PGA but bounced back with a top 20 finish at The Wyndham last week. Ernie finished in tied 2nd here in 2009 and could go well here after a decent performance last week.

 

Final Selections –

Tiger Woods 2pts ew/ 4pts total

Henrik Stenson 1.5pts ew/3pts total

Keegan Bradley 1pt ew/2pts total

Jason Day 1pt ew/2pts total

Jordan Spieth 1pt ew/2pts total

Ernie Els 1pt ew/2pts total

Total Staked – 15 pts

 

Good Luck and Enjoy the Golf,

 

DoubleBogey6                                                       Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

USPGA Championship Betting Preview

PGA Championship Betting Preview

August 8-11, Oak Hill Country Club, New York

Tiger’s Domination of Firestone –

What a week Tiger had in Firestone, winning by an impressive 7 shots over Henrik Stenson and Keegan Bradley. Let’s face it, it wasn’t a huge shocker considering he’s playing absolutely fantastic golf at the moment and given his record around Firestone, if he got away to a decent start, the rest of the field would be chasing, and that’s exactly how it played out. That’s another winner for me this week not to mention yet another place on my man of the season so far, Henrik Stenson. Overall, a very good week was had, I could get used to this….

Well it’s the last major of the year, with Oak Hill in New York playing host a second time to this illustrious tournament. Shaun Micheel won this last time it was played here on only 4 under par back in 2003, so that’ll give an indication of how tough it will be.  Oak Hill will be set up similar to the US Open at Merion with tight fairways and plenty of trees both sides so accuracy and distance off the tee will be of particular importance this week. Here are my thoughts on who to watch in The 2013 PGA Championship.

 

Tiger Woods 5/1

There’s not much I can say about Tiger that you don’t already know. He’s just having a phenomenal season so far with his fifth win of the 2013 season coming in Firestone last week, blitzing the field by 7 shots to win on 15 under. His other wins include The Farmers, The WGC Cadillac, The Arnold Palmer and The Players. In 11 starts, he has won 5 times, been in the top 10 twice at The Open Championship and The Masters, only because he was penalised in The Masters he probably would’ve won that as well. The last time he played in The PGA on this course he finished tied 39th on +12 but that wouldn’t concern me here this week. Some slight concerns are his driving accuracy and distance stats in which he is 53rd and 44th. However, he is ranked 4th in Strokes Gained, 2nd in Birdie Average, 1st in Scoring Average, 8th in Sand Saves and 8th in Total Driving. If Tiger can keep the ball on the short stuff, he will be right up there come Sunday.

 

Adam Scott 18/1

I’ve decided to take Scotty again this week, basically because he is always there or there about in the majors. He had a respectable finish last week in Firestone finishing in tied 14th. After a super performance in The Open Championship at Muirfield, finishing tied 3rd a couple of weeks ago, he is certainly a man that’s in great form at the moment. In 2003, Scott finished in tied 23rd shooting a 69 and a pair of 72’s only to shoot a disappointing 75 in the final round and without a doubt could’ve been better. After winning The Masters beating Angel Cabrera in a playoff and coming tied 3rd in The Open, Scott has two more top 10’s this season at The WGC Cadillac and The Northern Trust Open. Stats wise he ranks 21st in Driving Distance, 3rd in Scoring Average, 24th in GIR and 14th in total Driving. Stats combined with recent good form and a good overall season so far make Scott a good bet here this week and could bag yet another top 5 if not a win here in the last major of 2013.

 

Henrik Stenson 26/1

I’m going with Stenson again this week as I think he’s just a place machine at the moment with three top three finishes in his last three starts including tied 2nd last week to Tiger in Firestone (in which he got me a place), 2nd on his own in The Open Championship in (which he got me a place) and tied 3rd finish at The Scottish Open not to mention a Tied 10th finish in The BMW International Open in Germany the week before that. His European Tour stats are 4th in Stroke Average, 9th in Driving Distance and 6th in GIR. On the PGA Tour, his stats are 6th in Driving Accuracy, 2nd in GIR, 7th in Scoring Average and 4th in Total Driving. In my opinion, he’s on the cusp of a win and it very well come here at Oak Hill this week. Watch this space….

 

Webb Simpson 66/1

I have to say I thought Webb looked great in the first round in Firestone last week shooting an opening round 64 to take the lead after day one, only to fall off the pace after shooting rounds of 75,73 and finally shot a decent final round 66. I think it all boils down to consistency with his form being a little streaky at the moment but there are signs of him showing some decent form lately with a good finish at The Travellers to finish in Tied 5th. He has had a decent season so far, finishing in tied 6th at The Northern Trust Open, tied 5th the following week at the Accenture Matchplay, not to mention finishing in 2nd at The RBC Heritage back in April. If he can get a bit of consistency and shoot four good rounds he will certainly be well up there come the weekend.

 

Zach Johnson 50/1

A serious danger man here this week in my opinion. Johnson has 3 top 6’s in his last 3 events finishing in tied 4th last week at Firestone, tied 6th at The Open Championship in which he putted very poorly and finished in 2nd place at The John Deere Classic ( in which I had him backed ) only to lose in a playoff to Jordan Spieth. Johnson also had a good finish in The Crowne Plaza Invitational back in May finishing in 3rd place on his own. He ranks 12th in Driving Accuracy, hitting an average of 68.10% of fairways, which will be a big help here this week.

 

Ernie Els 90/1

Last time Ernie played Oak Hill he finished in tied 5th shooting very steady rounds of 71,70,70,71. As I expect this course to be a very similar layout to Merion, in which Ernie finished in tied 4th a couple of weeks ago, I think the big easy will dig up the good vibes he had when he played here in 2003 and have a good week. He has had a pretty good season with a win under his belt in The BMW International Open in Germany and also had a tied 6th finish at The BMW PGA in Wentworth. In his last 6 majors, Ernie has a winner and 2 top 10’s coming at the 2012 and 2013 US Open’s. At 90/1 I think he is a great each way shout.

 

Final Selections –

Tiger Woods – 3ptsEW/6pts total

Adam Scott – 2ptsEW/4pts total

Henrik Stenson – 2ptsEW/4pts total

Webb Simpson – 1.5ptsEW/3pts total

Zach Johnson – 1ptEW/2pts total

Ernie Els – 1ptEW/2pts total

 

Best of Luck and enjoy the last major of 2013.

DoubleBogey6                                                      – Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63