East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia
Par 70, 7,307 yards
Well it’s the season finale so let’s finish with a bang! East Lake was designed by Donald Ross and is a tricky tree lined par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Previous winners include Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker. Some of the par 3’s will be intimidating with water hazards coming into play and could offer some excitement.
There are over 70 bunkers to contend with here so being a handy bunker player will stand you in good stead. The greens could be hard and fast as the weather looks set to be dry throughout most of the tournament. Length doesn’t seem to be hugely important its more about accuracy off the tee, good putting on these tricky Bermuda greens and good scrambling.
The young American has been showing some great form over the last couple of months and returns to a course that clearly suits his game. Since his T2 at The Masters, Spieth has followed that with a win at Colonial, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA, T10 at The Barclays and a solo 9th at The BMW. He played superb at this venue last year winning on nine under in total and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He also finished T2 here in 2013 which included a superb final round 64.
He ranks second in SGP, 15th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. Spieth has a good record in Georgia with great performances in Augusta and here at East Lake over the last three years and could put in a big performance here this week.
The Aussie has been playing great lately with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He recorded his third fourth place finish in a row at The BMW posting 12 under in total. Before that he finished T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in East Lake in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T19 in 2012, T14 in 2013 and T9 in 2014.
Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 3rd in GIR and 10th in par 4 scoring. Scott is clearly in fine form and if he can get the putter rolling on the greens he could be right in the mix here.
I have to stick to my guns and give Reed another nod here. He has been in superb form lately and finished strongly at The BMW shooting a final round 68 to finish T13. Sitting in second in the The FedexCup standings Reed is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment and was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with eight top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays, T5 in Boston and a T13 at The BMW.
Reed has played here twice before finishing T27 last year and T19 in 2014. He ranks fourth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 15th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With a decent performance here and with the Ryder Cup in his sights Reed is one to keep on side here.
The Englishman has come close to a win over the last couple of weeks and could be one to watch here. Casey has three top 10’s in his last five starts finishing T10 at the PGA, T17 at The Travelers, solo second at The Deutsche Bank and solo second at The BMW in Crooked Stick. He has played well here at East Lake in the past finishing T4 in 2010 and T5 last year.
This course could be right up Casey’s street ranking second in GIR, ninth in SGTTG and 31st in driving accuracy hitting just over 65% of fairways off the tee. With a decent record here and super current form Casey could be a big threat here this week.
Final Selections –
Jordan Spieth 2pts EW 10/1
Adam Scott 2pts EW 10/1
Patrick Reed 1pt EW 18/1
Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1
Total staked = 12 pts
Good luck and enjoy the golf,
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