Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 – FedExCup Playoffs

Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 - FedExCup playoffsField – Top 30 in FedExCup Standings

East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia

Par 70, 7,307 yards

 

The Course

Well it’s the season finale so let’s finish with a bang! East Lake was designed by Donald Ross and is a tricky tree lined par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Previous winners include Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker. Some of the par 3’s will be intimidating with water hazards coming into play and could offer some excitement.

There are over 70 bunkers to contend with here so being a handy bunker player will stand you in good stead. The greens could be hard and fast as the weather looks set to be dry throughout most of the tournament. Length doesn’t seem to be hugely important its more about accuracy off the tee, good putting on these tricky Bermuda greens and good scrambling.

 

Jordan Spieth 10/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsJordan Spieth 10/1 

The young American has been showing some great form over the last couple of months and returns to a course that clearly suits his game. Since his T2 at The Masters, Spieth has followed that with a win at Colonial, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA, T10 at The Barclays and a solo 9th at The BMW. He played superb at this venue last year winning on nine under in total and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He also finished T2 here in 2013 which included a superb final round 64.

He ranks second in SGP, 15th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. Spieth has a good record in Georgia with great performances in Augusta and here at East Lake over the last three years and could put in a big performance here this week.

 

Adam Scott 10/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 10/1 

The Aussie has been playing great lately with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He recorded his third fourth place finish in a row at The BMW posting 12 under in total. Before that he finished T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in East Lake in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T19 in 2012, T14 in 2013 and T9 in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 3rd in GIR and 10th in par 4 scoring. Scott is clearly in fine form and if he can get the putter rolling on the greens he could be right in the mix here.

 

Patrick Reed 18/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 18/1 

I have to stick to my guns and give Reed another nod here. He has been in superb form lately and finished strongly at The BMW shooting a final round 68 to finish T13. Sitting in second in the The FedexCup standings Reed is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment and was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with eight top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays, T5 in Boston and a T13 at The BMW.

Reed has played here twice before finishing T27 last year and T19 in 2014. He ranks fourth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 15th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With a decent performance here and with the Ryder Cup in his sights Reed is one to keep on side here.

 

Paul Casey 16/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Paul Casey 16/1

The Englishman has come close to a win over the last couple of weeks and could be one to watch here. Casey has three top 10’s in his last five starts finishing T10 at the PGA, T17 at The Travelers, solo second at The Deutsche Bank and solo second at The BMW in Crooked Stick. He has played well here at East Lake in the past finishing T4 in 2010 and T5 last year.

This course could be right up Casey’s street ranking second in GIR, ninth in SGTTG and 31st in driving accuracy hitting just over 65% of fairways off the tee. With a decent record here and super current form Casey could be a big threat here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Spieth 2pts EW 10/1 

Adam Scott 2pts EW 10/1 

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 18/1

Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016

BMW Championship 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsField – Top 75 in FedExCup Standings

Crooked Stick, Carmel, Indiana

7,516 yards, par 72

The Course

It’s the third event of the FedExCup Playoffs with the top 75 players in the standings all taking part here. This is historically an event where the cream certainly rises to the top. The five previous winners include Jason Day (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Zach Johnson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Justin Rose (2011) and Dustin Johnson (2010).

The average winning score has varied from 9 under to 20 under over the last five years. This event was played here at Crooked Stick in 2012 when Rory McIlroy won on an impressive 20 under par but some alterations have been made since and could play fractionally harder this year. There is no cut at this event  and the top 50 players will progress to the Tour Championship at East Lake.

Crooked Stick Golf Club was designed by Pete Dye and has some history attached to it. It was the host course for the 1991 PGA Championship, the 2003 U.S. Women’s Open and the 2005 Solheim Cup. It is a par 72 and measures 7,516 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with water featuring on about six of the 18 holes.

The fairways are wide and forgiving so driving accuracy won’t be too important here but hitting greens will. The greens here are quite small and are protected by some strategically placed bunkers so GIR will be one stat to bear in mind.

 

Patrick Reed 20/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Patrick Reed 20/1

After yet another top five finish last week in Boston, The FedExCup Leader is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment. He was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with seven top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays and a T5 last week in Boston.

This will be The American’s first appearance here at Crooked Stick but looks pretty solid statswise. He ranks fifth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 21st in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 20/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Adam Scott 18/1

After shooting an impressive final round 65 last week, Scott finished solo fourth on 11 under for the tournament. The Aussie has been showing some solid form over the last few weeks with seven top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in Crooked Stick in the past finishing T6 in 2012 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the four rounds.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 10th in GIR, 15th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Ryan Moore 40/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsRyan Moore 40/1 

Moore has had a fantastic few weeks on the PGA Tour with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five tournaments. He played well at The Travelers finishing T17 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a superb win at The John Deere shooting 65,65,65,67 on his way to victory and followed that with a T7 at The Barclays and a T8 last week at the Deutsche Bank in Boston. Moore has played well here in the past finishing T10 in 2012 and started exceptionally well shooting two 66’s in the first two rounds.

Moore is a player that could suit this course ranking 19th in SG around the green, 32nd in SGP, third in par 3 scoring and 15th in par 4 scoring. He comes into this in much better form this time around and looks great value to go well here this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 45/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Jimmy Walker 45/1 

Jimmy played great golf last week in Boston shooting 68,64,70,70 to finish solo third on 12 under par for the tournament. He has had a bit of a mixed bag this season but he’s been playing some great golf over the last couple of months.

He finished a respectable T24 at the Byron Nelson and followed that with a T29 in Colonial, T16 at The WGC Bridgestone, T14 in Canada and a win at The PGA where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 over the four rounds. This will be Jimmy’s first appearance here at Crooked Stick and I reckon the course could suit his game. Walker is an accurate iron player especially from inside 150 yards and ranks 9th in strokes gained approaches to the green and 26th in driving distance averaging over 300 yards off the tee. If Walker can keep the momentum going into this week he should be a big contender.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW 20/1

Adam Scott 1.5pts EW 18/1

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 40/1

Jimmy Walker 1pt EW 45/1

Total Staked = 10 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedexCup PlayoffsField: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings

TPC Boston, Norton, MA

Par 71, 7,216 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travel to TPC Boston where it has hosted this The Deutsche Bank since 2003. Its Labour Day weekend in The US so this tournament will go from Friday-Monday. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Previous winners include Rickie Fowler (2015), Chris Kirk (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011) and Charley Hoffman (2010).

When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top. The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential here this week. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field and should offer up some early/late birdies.

Statswise scrambling, GIR and good putters have always been on top of the leaderboard here. The greens are wide and can offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, par 4 scoring and strokes gained putting stats.

 

Jason Day 13/2 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsJason Day 13/2

With five birdies in the first six holes of his second round Day looked in complete control. He then unfortunately undone all that good work by going bogey-double-bogey on 8,9 and 10. That being said they were the only real blemishes and he played well throughout the tournament finishing T4 only two strokes behind winner Patrick Reed. The Aussie has four top 10’s in his last six events finishing T8 at the US Open, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, second at The PGA and T4 last week in Bathpage. In his last 12 competitive rounds Day hasn’t shot worse than a 70.

His form around TPC Boston is rock solid finishing 12th last year, seventh in 2014, 13th in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks 15th in driving distance, first in SGP, 11th in SGTTG, fifth in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a near winner last week Day could go one better and win in style this week.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 25/1 

The young American really stepped up to the plate last week and got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with six top 15’s and a win in his last 10 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham and a win last week at the Barclays.

Reed has played here three times in the past with his best finish coming last year when he finishing T4 for the week. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG around the green, fifth in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 12th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 25/1 

Scott has been back showing some solid form over the last few weeks with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridestone, T18 at The PGA and T4 last week at The Barclays. He recorded his first PGA Tour win here at TPC Boston back in 2003 so he has some great memories of this tournament. Following his win in ‘03 he finished fifth in 2010, eighth in 2011, seventh in 2012 and 16th in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 16th in GIR and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsBrandt Snedeker 50/1

Ive decided to give Sneds another shot here at TPC Boston this week. He couldn’t really get it going last week in Bethpage but he has been in decent form lately with four top 25’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Wyndham finishing T3 which makes that his second top five in his last four starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has some great form at this course over the last few years finishing fifth in 2010, third in 2011 and sixth in 2012. Statswise Snedeker ranks 19th in SG around the green, 35th in SGP, 20th in scrambling and first in par 4 scoring.

 

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsEmiliano Grillo 50/1

The young Argentinian has been very impressive this season on The PGA Tour. He recorded his first PGA Tour win at The Frys.com Open last October and hasn’t really put a foot wrong since. He has six top 15’s in his last eight starts finishing T11 at Memorial, T14 at The WGC Bridgestone, T12 at The Open, T13 at the PGA, T8 in Rio and T2 last week at The Barclays.

This will be his first appearance here at TPC Boston looks to tick a lot of boxes. He ranks 26th in SG off the tee, 33rd in GIR and 16th in driving accuracy.

 

Final selections –

Jason Day 13/2 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 25/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 50/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

Twitter- @Doublebogey63

Facebook- www.faccebook.com/doublebogey6

The Barclays Betting Preview 2016 – FedExCup Playoffs

The Barclays Betting Preview 2016 FedEx Cup PlayoffsBethpage Black, Long Island, New York

7,468 yards par 71

The Course

Bethpage Black Course is a 7,468 yard par 71 and was designed by A.W Tillinghast and was opened in 1936. It is a public golf course on Long Island, New York and is the most difficult of the five courses at Bethpage State Park. In 2002, the Black Course became the first publicly owned and operated course to host the U.S. Open, which returned in 2009.

Bethpage Black hosted The Barclays in 2012 and is scheduled to host again in 2021, and 2027. It has three par 5’s, 11 par 4’s and four par 3’s and is a stern test of golf and will demand accuracy, length and good putting. The key to scoring around this course is keeping the ball in the tight tree lined fairways and out of the deep and penal rough. Players will also need to hit plenty of greens in regulation as the greens are small and have some deep and tricky bunkers guarding them which could be difficult to get up and down of. With conditions set to be dry and humid for the first three rounds these greens are expecting to play very fast.

 

Henrik Stenson 12/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 12/1

The Swede hasn’t taken his foot off the gas since winning The Open continuing his superb run of form. He followed his Open win with a T7 at The PGA Championship and a solo second place finish bagging him a bronze medal in The Olympics.  Stenson has eight top 25’s in his last nine starts and seems to be in the best form of his life. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win at The BMW International Open, a T13 in Castle Stuart, a win in Troon, T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio.

He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 26th in strokes gained putting. He has played well here in the past finishing ninth here at The US Open in 2009. With his accuracy off the tee and precision iron play, Stenson could be the man to beat here this week.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Rose comes to Bethpage this week after a superb performance in Rio bagging a gold medal for Team GB. He shot 67,69,65,67, to finish 16 under in total one stroke ahead of Swede Henrik Stenson. Despite a back injury a few weeks ago, Rose looks to be back fit and healthy and has been in good form lately. He finished solo third at The Wells Fargo, T19 at The Players, T22 at The Open in Troon, T22 at The PGA in Baltusrol and an impressive win in Rio where he lead GIR for the week and putted superbly – two key traits for dealing with tricky Bethpage Black.

He has played well on tricky US Open style courses over the last few years with wins in Merion, Congressional, Muirfield and Aronimink and seems to perform well on trickier course setups. Statswise he ranks 36th in GIR, sixth in strokes gained TTG, 20th in driving distance and 22nd in par 5 scoring. If he brings his “Olympics” game to Bathpage he could be a big danger here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T3 at The Wyndham last week, that makes it his second top five in his last three starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has played well here at Bethpage in the past finishing second here in 2012 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week. He ranks first in par 4 scoring, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in scrambling. After a solid performance in Sedgefield last week Sneds is certainly worth a second look here.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1 

The South African always ups his game for the bigger events and looks in good shape coming to The Barclays this week. Since winning his first PGA Tour event at The RBC Heritage back in April, Grace has followed that with a T9 at The Texas Open, T5 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T4 at the PGA Championship in Baltusrol which included a 66,67 over the weekend.

Although this is his first appearance here in Bethpage, Grace ticks a few key boxes here ranking fourth in SG approach to the green, ninth in SGTTG and 19th in par 4 scoring. If he can putt well this week Grace should have a good chance here.

 

Russell Knox 66/1 The Barclays Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 66/1 

The Scotsman had a superb win at the Travelers Championship a couple of weeks ago and never shot worse than a 68 throughout the week to finish 14 under in total. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T2 at the RBC Heritage, T19 at The Players, T23 at The US Open, T30 at The Open, T22 at the PGA and a win at The Travelers.

He looks to have the game that could suit this course ranking 11th in driving accuracy, second in GIR, 35th in scrambling and 19th in par 4 scoring. Knox has performed well on tough courses this season and if he putts well he could have a decent chance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Henrik Stenson 2pts EW 12/1

Justin Rose 1pt EW 25/1 

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 40/1 

Branden Grace 1pt EW 45/1 

Russell Knox 0.5 pts EW 66/1 

Total staked = 11 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter @Doublebogey63

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Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2015

 

Deutsche Bank Championship 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Field: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings 

TPC Boston, Norton, MA 

Par 71, 7,242 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travels to TPC Boston where it has hosted this event since 2003. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Chris Kirk was the winner last year finishing on 15 under par and Henrik Stenson won here in 2013 finishing on 22 under par.

Other previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011), Charley Hoffman (2010), Steve Stricker (2009) and Vijay Singh (2008). When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top.

This course has 11 par 4’s, four par 3’s and three par 5’s. The greens are wide and forgiving and should suit the big hitters. They also offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting stats.  With 11 par 4’s, par 4 scoring is another stat worth checking. There will also be a particular emphasis on birdie average as this event has been a bit of a birdie fest over the years.

The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so driving accuracy will not be as important as driving distance. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field so there will be a particular emphasis on ball striking and distance.

 

Jason Day 6/1 Deutsche Bank Championship

Jason Day 6/1

It’s hard to leave out Day after yet another superb performance last week and playing with such dominance over the last few weeks. After last week’s win at The Barclays that makes it four wins for Jason Day this season. He won the Farmers Insurance Open back in February beating J.B. Holmes in a playoff and followed that with a superb win at The RBC Canadian Open, a win at The PGA in Whistling Straits and a win last week in Plainfield which makes that three wins in his last four starts.

Day has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T13 in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks third in driving distance, ninth in GIR, eighth in strokes gained tee to green and second in strokes gained putting. He also ranks first in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. With absolutely superb current form and good course form here at TPC Boston over the years, Jason Day is without a doubt the man to beat here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 14/1 Deutsche Bank Championship 2015

Henrik Stenson 14/1

The Swede cones here after a great performance last week at The Barclays finishing solo second on 13 under for the tournament. He seems to be coming into some form just at the right time with a solo second last week, T25 at The PGA and a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone in his last three tournaments. Stenson has played well at this event in the past finishing T26 last year and a win here in 2013.

He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 14th in driving accuracy. He ranks first in GIR, second in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and looks to be hitting form at just the right time. With a good history here and good current form, Stenson could have another good week here.

 

Bubba Watson 22/1 Deutsche Bank Championship 2015

Bubba Watson 22/1

Bubba is playing great golf at present and has a win and three top 3’s in his last seven events. He won the Travelers Championship beating Paul Casey in a playoff an followed that with a T13 at The Greenbrier, solo second at The RBC Canadian Open, solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA and a solo third last week at The Barclays. He has played well here at TPC Boston over the years with his best finishes coming in 2011 finishing T16 and T12 in 2006.

Watson should suit this course with his length and ranks second in driving distance averaging just over 316 yards off the tee, perfect for these wide fairways. He also ranks 23rd in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and fifth in birdie average. He ranks ninth in par 3 scoring, eighth in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Bubba is in fine form at the moment and that could continue here at TPC Boston.

 

Brooks Koepka 40/1 Deutsche Bank Championship FedExCup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 40/1

I wouldn’t be too concerned about Brooks missing the cut last week at The Barclays, in fact I think it could do him some good coming into this week after a bit of a rest last weekend. He is another player in fine form with five top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last seven starts. His good run of form started back at The Fedex St Jude where he finished T3 and followed that with a T18 in Chambers Bay, T10 at The Open Championship and a T18 at The RBC Canadian Open. He then had three top sixes in a row finishing T6 at The WGC Bridgestone, T5 at The PGA and T6 at The Wyndham.

I reckon Brooks should suit this course averaging 309 off the tee ranking seventh in driving distance, 11th in GIR, 22nd in strokes gained tee to green and 11th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks 17th in birdie average, sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. Koepka should be well rested after a weekend off last week and should go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Tony Finau 70/1 Deautsche Bank Championship FedExCup Playoffs

Tony Finau 70/1

The big hitting Tony Finau should be another player that could suit TPC Boston and comes here with ten top 25’s in his last 12 starts. He looks to be showing some great consistency over the few months and was right in the mix at The Barclays after the first two rounds. Finau’s good run of form began back at The Wellls Fargo where he finished T16. He followed that with a T19 in Colonial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T8 at Memorial, T14 in Chambers Bay and T13 at The Greenbrier. Most recently, Finau finished T22 at The RBC Canadian Open, T10 at The PGA and T16 last week at The Barclays, which he lead after 54 holes.

He averages 309 off the tee ranking eighth in driving distance, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in birdie average. He also ranks 20th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring and looks to be in fine form coming to a course that could suit his game.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 3pts EW 6/1

Henrik Stenson 2pts EW 14/1

Bubba Watson 2pts EW 22/1

Brooks Koepka 1pt EW 40/1

Tony Finau 1pt EW 70/1

Total Staked = 18 pts

 

That’s all from me this season folks, I’m away on holidays for the next couple of weeks and will not be covering the last two FedexCup events. Ill be back for the first PGA Tour event of the new season in October.

Many thanks for reading my posts and best of luck for the last two events, lets finish on a high note this week!

Chat to you in October,

Doublebogey6

 

 

The Barclays Betting Preview 2015

The Barclays Betting Preview 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Plainfield Country Club, Edison, New Jersey

7,012 yards par 70

The Course

Plainfield Country Club plays host once again to the first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The last time this event was played here was 2011, where the tournament had to be reduced to 54 holes due to Hurricane Katrina. The course is playing 48 yards further this time around with the fifth hole being moved to a par 4.

The course has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and has rolling, forgiving fairways and thick rough. There will be an emphasis on GIR and scrambling this week as there are some very deep bunkers around the greens. The greens here will be extremely tricky with a lot of them sloping from back to front with some serious drop off areas. Good putters should be able to negotiate these greens, which will be playing very fast due to good weather forecast for the week.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, GIR, scrambling and par 3 and par 4 scoring.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 The Barclays 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 22/1

Koepka had another good week at The Wyndham finishing T6 making that five top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a great performance at The PGA in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.

He ranks seventh in driving distance, ninth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and eighth in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form, Koepka could make it winner number two this season here in New Jersey this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting a superb second round 61 at The Wyndham last week, Snedeker followed that with a third round 67 and a disappointing final round 75 to finish T43, which was poor but hopefully he turns that around this week. He has been playing well this season with five top 12’s in his last eight starts. He played well at Whistling Straits finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker has played well here in the past finishing third here in 2011, so he has a bit of form at Plainfield.

Snedeker ranks fifth in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling, seventh in longest putts and first in putts from 10 feet, which are two good stats for negotiating these tricky sloped greens. He also ranks 21st in par 4 scoring and 20th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history here, Sneds could be another one to watch.

 

Paul Casey 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedexCup Playoffs

Paul Casey 40/1

Casey played super last week finishing T3 at The Wyndham and comes here showing some great form. He has been playing well since early April finishing T6 at The Masters, T5 at The WGC Matchplay, where he lost a match to Rory Mcilroy due to an illness. He followed that with a playoff loss to Bubba Watson at The Travelers finishing P2, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T3 last week at the Wyndham.

Although it was on different courses, Casey has played well at this event in the past finishing T22 last year and T12 in 2010. Casey ranks fifth in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in par 4 scoring and 14th in par 5 scoring. After playing great golf last week, Casey can follow that with another solid performance this week.

 

Robert Streb 55/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Robert Streb 55/1

Streb has had a superb season so far which started off in style with a win at The McGladrey Classic. He hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in eight of his last nine events, which includes four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Wells Fargo where he finished T4. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T18 at The Memorial, P2 at The Greenbrier, T14 at The John Deere, T18 at The Open Championship, solo fifth at The WGC Bridgestone and a T10 at The PGA.

Streb seems to be a player that plays better on the bigger stages and ranks 11th in GIR, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in par 3 scoring and 11th in par 4 scoring. His form is excellent at the moment and I expect him to keep that going here in New Jersey.

 

Danny Lee 80/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Danny Lee 80/1

Danny Lee is another player that has been showing super form this season with three top 10’s and a win in his last six tournaments. He got into a playoff with David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb at The Greenbrier Classic and ended up winning the playoff on the third playoff hole. He followed that with a T3 at The John Deere and narrowly missed out on getting into another playoff, this time against Jordan Spieth and Tom Gillis. He played well the following week at The Quicken Loans finishing T4 and followed that with a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone.

Lee ranks 28th in strokes gained putting, fourth in par 3 scoring and 21st in birdie or better birdie percentage. Lee is in flying form and could go very well here at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 22/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Robert Streb 55/1 1pt EW

Danny Lee 80/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

Good luc and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview: FedExCup Playoffs

Deutsche Bank Fedex Cup 2013

Field: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings
TPC Boston, Norton, MA
Par 71, 7,216 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travels to TPC Boston where it has hosted this event since 2003. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Last year Henrik Stenson was the winner on 22 under par with Steve Stricker finishing in second on 20 under.

Other previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011), Charley Hoffman (2010), Steve Stricker (2009) and Vijay Singh (2008). When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top. The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so driving accuracy will not be as important as driving distance. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field so there will be a particular emphasis on ball striking and distance.

This course also has 11 par 4’s so par 4 and par 5 scoring will also be stats worth taking into consideration. The greens are wide and can offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR and strokes gained putting stats. There will also be a particular emphasis on birdie average as this event has been a bit of a birdie fest over the years.

Adam Scott

Adam Scott 12/1
Adam Scott comes to TPC Boston after back to back T15’s at The PGA Championship at Valhalla and last week at The Barclays. He was right in the thick of things after the second round, only to shoot a disappointing third round 75 to take himself out of contention. Since winning The Crowne Plaza Invitational back in May, Scott has recorded a further four top 10 finishes including a T4 at The Memorial and a T5 at The Open Championship at Hoylake.

His record at TPC Boston is quite impressive with a win in 2003, second in 2004, fifth in 2010, eighth in 2011 and seventh in 2012, it’s fair to say Adam is a horse for the course. Looking at his stats, he looks like he could again have a good week here ranking 17th in driving distance, 26th in GIR, fourth in SGP and third in birdie average. He also ranks third in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 birdie or better leaders.

Jason Day 1

Jason Day 16/1
I have decided to add another Aussie to the mix this week in the shape of Jason Day. He had some injury concerns recently with his thumb but it seems to be well and truly healed. He comes here after a great T2 finish at The Barclays and The PGA finishing T15th, which included a second round 65. Day has a great record here with three top 15’s in his last four starts. Last year he finished in a respectable T13th but played very well in 2011 finishing T3 and in 2010 clinching a T2.

Day also ticks a lot of the statistical boxes ranking 24th in driving distance, 13th in scoring average, 15th in par 3 performance, 38th in par 4 performance and ninth in scrambling. After a solid week at the Barclays, I expect Jason Day to have a good week here at TPC Boston.

Jordan Spieth 33/1
While Jordan Spieth has come off the boil in terms of form lately, I think this sort of course should suit the youngster. He has had a great season with great performances at The Masters (T2), The Players Championship (T4) The US Open (T17) and most recently, The John Deere Classic finishing T7th, which included a second round 64. Spieth’s form has dipped in the last month but he played well at The Barclays shooting a final round 67 to finish in a respectable T22.

Jordan had a good week here last year finishing T4th and shot a superb final round 62 to finish 17 under par for the tournament. Statswise he ranks 31st in SGP, seventh in birdie average, 14th in scoring average, 27th in par 4 performance and 13th in par 5 performance.

Patrick Reed 40/1
After a great closing round 65 last week at The Barclays to finish T9, this course looks like it could suit Patrick Reed with the huge amount of birdies on offer. Reed also had a good performance at The Bridgestone Invitational and closed with a 65 to finish T4 on nine under in total.

He won The Humana Challenge back in January at La Quinta CC, which is another golf course that offers lots of birdies with Reed shooting three 63’s in the first three rounds and closed with a 71 to win by two strokes over Ryan Palmer. He had a disappointing T70 finish here last year but comes into this week in much better form. Considering it will take in the region of 20-22 under to win, he is the type of player that’s capable of shooting low numbers on a generous golf course.

Bo Van Pelt pic 1

Bo Van Pelt 80/1
Bo Van Pelt could be a bit of a dark horse here this week with three top 15’s in his last four starts. He played well at The John Deere Classic recently finishing T7th on 16 under par. He then went on to have a good week at The Wyndham settling for a T14, which included four steady rounds in the 60’s, and followed that with another solid week at The Barclays finishing T13.

BVP has two top 10’s at TPC Boston finishing T7 in 2011 and T10 in 2005. He has also recorded a further three top 20’s which came in 2012 (T26), 2010 (T25) and 2007 (T29). He ranks 15th in GIR, 45th in par 3 performance, first in GIR from 150-175 yards and sixth in proximity to the hole. Bo is another horse for the course and looks to be a great each way shout at 80/1.

Final selections:
Adam Scott 2pts EW
Jason Day 2pts EW
Jordan Spieth 1.5 pts EW
Patrick Reed 1.5 pts EW
Bo Van Pelt 1 pt EW
Total staked = 16 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

DB

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The Tour Championship – FedExCup Playoffs

Tour Championship

September 19-22, 2013, East Lake GC, Atlanta,GA
Field: Top 30 FedExCup Pts. Standings

Jordan Spieth 30/1

Well it’s the finale of the playoffs and I think it’s going to take a hell of a performance for this kid to win the whole 10 million bucks, However I do like him to go well in the tournament itself, that’s why I’ve added him to my list of runners and riders in East Lake this week. In his last three playoff events, he has finished a respectable tied 19th at The Barclays, a fantastic tied 4th finish at The Deutsche Bank shooting a 62 in the final round and last week finished in tied 16th at The BMW. East Lake could fit the youngster’s eye as he lost in a playoff to Patrick Reed the week before the playoffs started, at another Donald Ross designed course at The Wyndham Championship in Sedgefield Country Club. Statswise he ranks 14th in Driving Accuracy, 18th in Birdie Average, 11th in Scoring Average, 8th in Total Driving and 3rd in The All Around. He has proven he can compete with the best in the world and go toe to toe with the likes of Zach Johnson, which he beat in a playoff at the John Deere only a couple of months ago. Who’s to say that couldn’t happen again this week?

Hunter Mahan 18/1

I’ve noticed Hunter is a popular pick amongst us this week and to be fair, it’s easy to see why. His results over the last few weeks have been getting better and better. In his last 4 events he has finished tied 57th at The PGA, tied 25th at The Barclays, tied 13th at The Deutsche Bank and an impressive tied 4th finish last week at The BMW, with a nice little Ace on the 210 yard par 3 17th in round three. His season has been good so far with a 2nd place finish at The WGC Accenture Matchplay earlier in the year, tied 4th finish at The US Open and a tied 9th finish in The Open Championship and, who knows, if he didn’t have to withdraw from the leading the Canadian Open after the second round because his wife went into labour, I’d say we would’ve been watching Hunter lift the trophy on Sunday night rather than Sneds. He ranks 24th in Driving Accuracy, 21st in Scoring Average and 15th in Total Driving, which should bode well around this tricky par 70. A huge danger man here and has the game to go well here at East Lake.

Zach Johnson 18/1

Well he’s dropped hugely in price since he won at Conway Farms last week that’s for sure! He was hugely impressive last week and has been for the last number of months now. It’s fair to say, he’s been knocking on the door of a win for a while now and I’m delighted it came last week because I tipped him at a juicy 40/1! In his last 7 events, he has lost in a playoff to Jordan Spieth at The John Deere Classic, finished tied 6th at The Open, tied 4th at The Bridgestone Invitational, tied 8th at The PGA, tied 5th at The Wydham, tied 27th in The Deutsche Bank and a winner last week at The BMW in Chicago. Good shooting? In a word, YES. Statswise he ranks 8th in Driving Accuracy, 30th in Strokes Gained, 25th in GIR, 9th in GIR percentage from 200 + yards, 4th in GIR Percentage 125-150 yards and 7th in Approaches from 50-75 yards. He is the course record holder here shooting a 60 in 2007. Without a doubt the most consistent player on tour at the moment. If anyone can make it two in a row, with his current run of form and consistency, it’s Zach Johnson.

Jason Day 22/1

I really thought Jason Day played really solid last week at The BMW, finishing in tied 4th shooting a superb final round of 66. He’s been very much the “Nearly” man this year with superb finishes in 3 out of the 4 major championships with a solo 3rd at The Masters, tied 2nd at The US Open in Merion and a tied 8th finish at The PGA. He also has a decent record in East Lake with a 6th place finish in 2011 and a respectable 17th place finish in 2010. He ranks 16th in Driving Distance hitting it a decent 299.5 yards, 33rd in Strokes Gained, 33rd in Total Driving , 9th in Scoring Average and 22nd in Scrambling. I think the mix of power and scrambling should suit Day well here at East Lake. He’s a player that loves the big occasions and I think he will have a good week here in the final event of the playoffs.

Charl Schwartzel 30/1

Charl is a player that will really suit East Lake, Mainly because he is a big hitter and that should certainly help around this 7,319 yard beast. He has had a good season on the PGA Tour so far with a tied 3rd finish in The Northern Trust Open at the start of the year, tied 9th finish at The Honda Classic, solo 3rd at The Byron Nelson, tied 8th at The Memorial and tied 8th last week at The BMW. He ranks 26th in Driving Distance, hitting it a respectable 297.1 yards, which will help around here. He also ranks 27th in Strokes Gained, 3rd in Birdie Average, 6th in Scoring Average, 2nd in Par 5 or Better Leaders and 3rd in Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage. Current form combined with stats suggests he should go well here at East Lake.

Final Selections:
Jordan Spieth 2pts ew/ 4pts total
Hunter Mahan 1.5pts ew/3pts total
Zach Johnson 1.5ptsew/3pts total
Jason Day 1pt ew/2 pts total
Charl Schwartzel 1pt ew/ 2 pts total

Total Staked – 14 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6
Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63