Valspar Championship Betting Preview  2018

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida   

Par 71, 7,340 yards   

The Course   

There are four golf courses at Innisbrook all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course, which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course.  

The Copperhead course underwent some subtle changes in 2015 with bigger tee boxes, re shaped bunkers around the greens and re grassed fairways. It is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s.  All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand accurate iron play to score on the greens, which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards.  

Three of the four par 5’s, the first, 11th and 14th are pretty easy and should offer up plenty of birdies. Two out of the four par 5’s have double doglegs so an accurate tee shot can be well rewarded.  Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy with players reaping the rewards with accuracy off the tee on some holes.     

Players that can work the ball both directions off the tee should also have a big advantage. Water will be a key feature and comes into play on 9 out of the 18 holes. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back nine in the shape of 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.     

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate iron players.

 

Henrik Stenson 18/1 Valspar Betting Preview 2018Henrik Stenson 18/1

The Swede has only played a handful of events over the last couple of months but when he has teed it up, he has played very well.

Stenson travels to Florida on the back of three top 10’s in his last five starts and returns to a course where he has played exceptionally well on in the past.

He had a great week at the WGC HSBC Champions in China back in October finishing T2 which included four rounds of 70 or better to finish 12 under. After a disappointing T35 in Turkey in November, Stenson bounced back finishing solo eighth in Abu Dhabi which included an impressive final round 65. He then travelled to Dubai at the end of January and finished T6 at the Dubai Desert Classic where he didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week.

Stenson seems to be a player that consistently plays well on courses he has a good record on. For example, he hasn’t finished outside the top 10 at both the Dubai Desert Classic and Abu Dhabi in his last six appearances proving he’s a horse for the course type of player.

His record here at Copperhead is impressive with form figures 7,11,4 in his last three appearances and ticks a lot boxes here ranking third in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR and fourth in putts per GIR. With a great record here and good current form, the Swede looks a decent bet at 18’s.

 

Adam Hadwin Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Adam Hadwin 30/1

The defending Champion returns to the site of his one and only PGA Tour win in great form with three top 10’s in his last five starts.

The Canadian had a good week at the CareerBuilder Challenge at the end of January finishing T3 shooting four rounds of 68 or better. He followed that with an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open which included two 66’s over the weekend. Hadwin then kept up that good run of form last week in Mexico where he finished T9 at the WGC Mexico where, again he finished strongly firing 67,66 on Saturday and Sunday to post 10 under.

He played pretty flawless golf last year shooting 68,64,67 in the opening three rounds and finished with a respectable 71 to win by one from Patrick Cantlay on 14 under. With two top 10’s in his last two starts, Hadwin will be feeling confident he can have another good week at Copperhead.

 

Ryan Moore 35/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2018Ryan Moore 35/1

Like Stenson, Ryan Moore is another horse for the course here with two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last three appearances here.

Moore has had a fairly quiet season so far playing in only six events so far but he has two top 10’s in his last four starts which in encouraging. He started the season with a respectable T17 at the Safeway back in October and followed that with a T6 at the OHL Classic back in December shooting rounds of 70,66,67,68 to post 13 under.

After a missed cut in Phoenix, he bounced back with an impressive T9 in Riviera at The Genesis Open which included two opening 68’s.

Moore has a great record here over the last few years finishing T8 in 2007, T19 in 2009, solo fifth in 2015, solo third in 2016 and T18 last year.

Statswise he ticks some key boxes here ranking 33rd in SG Putting, 20th in strokes gained around the green and 33rd in par 5 scoring. With decent current form and a great record here Moore looks good value at 35/1.

 

Final selections – 

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW

Adam Hadwin 1pt EW

Ryan Moore 1pt EW

Total staked = 6pts *some bookies paying 7 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @DoublebogeyDB6

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida  

Par 70, 7,158 yards 

The Course  

The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.  

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test demanding precise and accurate iron play. It has smaller than average Bermuda greens, some of which are guarded by water and some tricky bunkers. The fairways are elevated and quite generous so there won’t be too much of an emphasis on accuracy off the tee.  

Looking at the way this course sets up, the main stats here are GIR, scrambling, par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling and sand saves will be essential.   

Water comes into play on roughly 13 holes so hitting a loose pull or slice could be very costly especially on Sunday.  

The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.  

This course has always been known to be one of the toughest courses on the PGA Tour with the average winning score being around the 10-12 under mark.  

 

Gary Woodland 25/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018Gary Woodland 30/1  

The big hitting American has been playing some great golf so far this year with a win and two top 12’s in his last four starts. Woodland had a good start to the wrap around season with a respectable T28 at the CIMB Classic, a T18 at the Shriners Open in Vegas and a T34 at the OHL Classic.  

He began 2018 with a top 10 in Waialae shooting four rounds of 68 or better to finish T7 at the Sony Open. He followed that with a T12 in Torrey Pines, which included a second round 68 and a third round 66.  

Woodland then travelled to Arizona where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 to finish 18 under par. He shot an impressive final round 64 and ended up beating fellow American Chez Reavie in a dramatic one hole playoff.  

He has played very well here in the past finishing T6 in 2011 and T2 here last year, which included two 66’s and a 69 over the weekend to finish four shots back from Fowler.  

Statswise he ticks a few boxes here ranking eighth in driving distance, second in GIR, fifth in SG Putting, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 29th in par 5 scoring.   

 

Alex Noren 25/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018Alex Noren 30/1  

The Swede has been plying his trade on the European Tour over the last few years where he has racked up nine wins in total and has been making a statement in the US over the last few weeks showing some impressive form. 

He has been playing good golf over the last couple of months with form figures 12,45,31,12,2,21,16 in his last seven starts.  

Noren played well at the Nedbank Challenge in November finishing T12 and followed that with a T31 at the WGC HSBC Champions and a T12 at the Hero World Challenge in mid-December. 

He then travelled to Torrey Pines and played superbly throughout the week shooting rounds of 70,66,69,73, but just came up short losing to Aussie Jason Day in a playoff. He has kept up his decent form over the last couple of weeks with a T21 in Phoenix, T16 last week in Riviera and could have another good week here on a course that could suit his game.  

Although this is his first appearance here, Noren has been known to play well on tight, windy setups with a win at the Scottish Open in 2016, T6 at the Open last year and a number of top 10’s in both Dubai and Qatar which is encouraging for this course.  

 

Tyrell Hatton 25/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018Tyrell Hatton 25/1  

The Englishman has been in super form recently and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last six starts.  

Since winning the Alfred Dunhill Links and Italian Open back to back in October, Hatton followed that with an impressive T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China. He then travelled to Turkey finishing T16 at the Turkish Airlines Open followed by a T19 at the Nedbank Challenge in South Africa.  

Hatton then capped off 2017 with another top 10 at the European Tour’s finale in November, finishing T8 at the DP World Championship in Dubai, which included a second round 63.     

He has had a good start to 2018 with a top 5 and a top 15 in his last two starts. He played well in Abu Dhabi and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 to post T15, and followed that with a solo third at the Dubai Desert Classic, which included a 64 and two 66’s over the weekend.  

He has played well here on the Champion Course in the past shooting three rounds of 68 or better to finish T4 last year. Hatton has proven to be a good wind player with a win at the Alfred Dunhill Links last year, a T5 at the Open in 2016 and a good record in the desert, this course should be right up his street.  

 

Brian Harman 33/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2018Brian Harman 33/1  

After taking the last three weeks off, Brian Harman will return to the Champion Course this week for the for his seventh appearance.  

The American has been in super form so far this season with five top 10’s and a top 20 in his last seven starts. He played well at the CJ Cup back in October finishing T5 and followed that with a solo eighth at the WGC HSBC Champions, T4 at the RSM Classic and a solo third in Kapalua at the Sentry Tournament of Champions.  

He started the New Year with an impressive T4 at the Sony, which included a 64, 63 in the first two rounds and followed that with a respectable T20 in California at the CareerBuilder Challenge.  

In his last six appearances here, Harman’s best finishes were T11 in 2015 (which included a final round 64) and T12 in 2012 (which included a second round 61). 

Statswise he also ticks the boxes here ranking ninth in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, eighth in SGP, third in par 4 scoring and 13th in par 5 scoring.  

 

Final selections –  

Gary Woodland 1pt EW 

Alex Noren 1pt EW 

Tyrell Hatton 1pt EW 

Brian Harman 1pt EW 

Total staked = 8 pts  

*Some bookies paying 7 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

Doublebogey6 

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida 

Par 72, 7,419 yards 

The Course 

Owned by the late Arnold Palmer since 1974, the famous Bay Hill Country Club is a par 72 measuring 7,419 yards and has hosted the annual Arnold Palmer Invitational since 1979. The course was designed by Dick Wilson in 1961, and illustrates his typical approach of slightly elevating the putting surfaces to improve visibility and drainage. The course covers 270 acres and lies between the community of Bay Hill, Florida and the Butler Chain of Lakes.

This course is a typical Florida setup with plenty of water and green side bunkers coming into play. The course layout was changed in 2010 from a par 70 to a par 72 and has a total of four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The reason for this was to allow the players to give themselves more opportunities to make birdies. The course is situated along the Butler Chain of Lakes and has a tendency to get windy. The fairways are quite forgiving here so driving accuracy isn’t too much of an issue. Like a lot of the Florida courses we have seen over the last few weeks, water hazards come into play on roughly 9 of the 18 holes.

There are four par 3’s which are among the most difficult on the PGA Tour so par 3 scoring will be an important here. Good par 5 scoring stats will certainly be a big plus along with good ball striking, scrambling, putting and hitting plenty of GIR.

 

Henrik Stenson 9/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 9/1

Stenson had a superb start last week in Copperhead opening with an impressive 64 in round one at the Valspar. He was steady as a rock for the following three rounds shooting 71,71,70 to post 8 under par in total and T7 for the tournament. He has been playing well over the last few months with seven top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T2 and followed that with a solo eighth at the Nedbank in South Africa, T9 at the DP World in Dubai, T8 in Abu Dhabi, solo second at the Hero World Challenge and a solo second at the Dubai Desert Classic recently.

Stenson has a great record here in Bay Hill finishing 15,8,5,2,3 in his last five appearances here. Staswise he ranks fourth in stroke average, sixth in driving accuracy and third in GIR so far this season on the European Tour. If he putts well he could go very well this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 33/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 33/1 

Snedeker’s game has been in great shape since the New Year with four top 15’s in his last six starts. He played well at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Hawaii finishing T14 and followed that with a T9 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, solo fourth in Pebble Beach and a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship.

He is another player with a decent record here with two top 15’s in his last three appearances here finishing eighth in 2014 and T13 in 2015. Staswise Snedeker ranks 30th in GIR, 27th in SG around the green, sixth in par 3 scoring and 37th in par 4 scoring.

 

Wesley Bryan 50/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Wesley Bryan 50/1 

The Web.com rookie didn’t have the best start to the season but he is certainly finding his stride over the last couple of weeks. He had his third top 10 finish in a row last week at The Valspar finishing T7 on eight under for the tournament. He also played well in LA at the Genesis Open shooting 69,69,63,72 to post 11 under in total and T4 for the week. Bryan then teed it up at the Honda and finished T4 on seven under, which included an opening round 64.

He is another player that looks like he could suit this course ranking 27th in SG approaches to the green, 21st in SG around the green and 13th in par 3 scoring.

 

Tommy Fleetwood 50/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Tommy Fleetwood 50/1 

The Englishman has been in great form over the last three months with a win already under his belt along with two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last six starts. Fleetwood had a great week at the Hong Kong Open where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the tournament to finish T3. He followed that with a win in Abu Dhabi and a T12 at The Maybank Championship in Malaysia. Tommy then travelled to Mexico where he teed it up at the WGC Mexico Championship and played superbly all week to finish solo second which included a pair of 66’s over the weekend.

This will be his first appearance here in Bay Hill and this course could suit his game. He ranks seventh in stroke average, 25th in driving accuracy and first in GIR on the European Tour this season.

 

Final Selections –

Henrik Stenson 9/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 33/1 0.5pts EW

Wesley Bryan 50/1 0.5pts EW

Tommy Fleetwood 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview  2017

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida  

Par 71, 7,340 yards  

The Course  

There are four golf courses at Innisbrook all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course.

The Copperhead course underwent some subtle changes in 2015 with bigger tee boxes, re shaped bunkers around the greens and re grassed fairways. It is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s.  All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand good accurate iron play to score on the greens which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards.

Three of the four par 5’s, the first, 11th and 14th are pretty easy and should offer up plenty of birdies. Players that can work the ball both directions should also have a big advantage with two out of the four par 5’s having double doglegs.  Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy with players reaping the rewards with accuracy off the tee on some holes.

Water will be a key feature and comes into play on 9 out of the 18 holes. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back nine 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate iron players.

 

Henrik Stenson 11/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 11/1

Despite withdrawing last week in Mexico with a stomach virus, Stenson seems to be back to full health here this week. The Swede has been in great form over the last few months with six top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T2 and followed that with a solo eighth at the Nedbank in South Africa, T9 at the DP World in Dubai, T8 in Abu Dhabi, solo second at the Hero World Challenge and a solo second at the Dubai Desert Classic a couple of weeks ago.

He has played well here at Copperhead in the past finishing T11 last year and fourth in 2015. Stenson could suit this course ranking sixth in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR and fourth in stroke average so far this season in Europe. He should be well rested after last week and looks a worthy favourite here.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 25/1

I backed Daniel a couple of weeks ago at the Honda where he didn’t play his best but after an encouraging performance last week in Mexico, Im willing to give him another shot here. He has been playing some good golf recently and comes here with five top 20’s in his last eight starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions back in October finishing T2 and followed that with a T14 at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing 12 under. Berger had another solid performance at the Phoenix Open in February finishing T7 which included rounds of 71,66,66,68 to post 13 under par in total.

Last week in Mexico he played well for the first three rounds shooting 70,66,70 and was right in contention but fell away on Sunday shooting a final round 72 to finish T16. Berger played well here last year finishing T11 but comes here in much better form this time around. Growing up in Florida, Berger is a good Bermuda player and ranks 25th in SGP, 10th in scrambling and 27th in par 3 scoring.

 

Gary Woodland 25/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Gary Woodland 25/1

Although Chapltapec didn’t really suit him last week, I reckon the big hitting American could feel more at home here in Copperhead this week. Woodland is in great form with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last seven events. He had a good week at the OHL Classic finishing solo second and followed that with a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T20 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines.

Most recently he played well at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am shooting 67,65 over the weekend to finish T5 on 12 under. He followed that with another solid performance at The Honda Classic in Florida shooting rounds of 71,66,66,69 to finish eight under and T2 for the tournament. Woodland has played well here over the last few years and had his first PGA Tour win here back in 2011. He also finished T29 in 2012 and T8 in 2014. Statswise Woodland is averaging just over 305 off the tee and ranks 15th in SG Approach to the green, 18th in SGTTG and 27th in GIR. If he putts well he could be dangerous.

 

Wesley Bryan 45/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Wesley Bryan 45/1

Ive been keeping an eye on this guy over the last 6 months and he’s really turning into a superb player. Although he hasn’t had the best start to the season, Bryan has played really well in his last two tournaments posting two top 5’s. He played well in LA at the Genesis Open shooting 69,69,63,72 to post 11 under in total and T4 for the tournament. He then went to Florida and had another good week finishing T4 on seven under, which included an opening round 64.

Statswise Bryan looks like another player that could suit this course ranking 35th in SG approaches to the green, 25th in SG around the green and 18th in par 3 scoring. He looks great value for a player bang in form.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 11/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 25/1 0.5 pts EW

Gary Woodland 25/1 0.5 pts EW

Wesley Bryan 45/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doubleboegy6

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017

 

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida 

Par 70, 7,140 yards

The Course 

This looks like another tricky week here on the PGA Tour as the Florida swing gets underway. The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on most Florida courses. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however the greens here are tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. There are over a dozen water hazards to contend with and the wind tends to be a factor on this course so be on the lookout for good wind players that hit a lot of greens. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling and sand saves will be essential.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

The weather could have a part to play again here with wind and rain forecast early and late this week and looks like it could be a threat throughout the tournament.

 

Adam Scott 12/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 12/1

I’ve decided to stick with the Aussie here after a decent performance last week in Riviera. He was knocking around the top 10 for most of the week and I thought he might just squeak some place money but it wasn’t meant to be. However he did play well and finished T11 for the tournament on nine under par.

He has been in good form so far this year with five top 15’s in his last five starts. He played well at The CIMB Classic finishing T10 and followed that with a T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions. Scott then played in his native Australian Open finishing T14 for the tournament on six under which included a second round 65. Last week he shot four steady rounds of 70 or better to finish T11, which looks very encouraging coming to Florida this week.

He has only played here three times in the past missing the cut in 2011, but followed that with a T12 in 2014 and a win last year. He played superbly well here last year shooting 70,65,66,70 to post nine under par in total. The Aussie is a great wind player and ranks 21st in SG Off the tee, first in SGP, fourth in sand saves and 15th in par 5 scoring. After decent performances over the last few weeks Scott looks a good shout here.

 

Russell Knox 30/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017Russell Knox 30/1

Knox is another player in decent form coming to Florida this week with eight top 20’s in his last eight starts. He started the season with a T10 at the CIMB Classic and followed that with a T9 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo third at the OHL Classic, T19 at the World Cup of Golf and a solo 16th at the Hero World Challenge. He started the New Year off with a T17 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua followed by a T11 at the Sony Open where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week.

He has a good record on this course finishing T26 last year, T3 in 2015 and just missed out on a win in 2014 after losing a playoff to Russell Henley to finish second. The Scot is another solid wind player and ranks sixth in GIR, fifth in birdie average, fourth in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 4 scoring. Knox is in fine form and could be a big danger man here.

 

Daniel Berger 35/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 35/1

The Florida native has had a decent season so far with three top 15’s in his last six starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions back in October and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament to finish T2. He followed that with a T14 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua finishing 12 under par for the week. Most recently, Berger had another solid performance at the Phoenix Open finishing T7 which included rounds of 71,66,66,68 to post 13 under par in total.

Berger has only played here twice before and was unlucky not to win in 2014 after shooting a final round 64. He made it into a playoff with veteran Padraig Harrington and came up short to finish second. He does tick some statistical boxes here ranking 26th in SGP, 17th in scrambling and fourth in par 3 scoring.

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 66/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2017 Ollie Schneiderjans 66/1

The young American has been playing some great golf this season with three top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last six tournaments. He had a great week at the RSM Classic finishing T6 and followed that with a T27 at the Sony and a T9 at the Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. He then shot three rounds of 70 or better to finish T24 at the Phoenix Open to post nine under for the tournament. Last week in Riviera, Schneiderjans kept his good from going shooting 68,69,69,68 to finish T8 on ten under par in total.

He could be another player that could suit this course averaging just over 300 yards off the tee ranking 30th in driving distance. He has played here twice before missing the cut last year and finished T9 in 2015. Schneiderjans looks great value here and could be one to watch.

 

Final Selections

Adam Scott 12/1 1pt EW

Russell Knox 30/1 0.5pts EW

Daniel Berger 35/1 0.5 pts EW

Ollie Schneiderjans 66/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida 

Par 72, 7,215 yards  

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with Bermuda grass greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.  Its also worth considering looking at players that have gone well on other Pete Dye designed courses such as Hilton Head, host course of The RBC Heritage, TPC Louisiana which hosts the Zurich Classic and TPC River Highlands host of The Travelers Championship.

 

Jason Day The Players Championship 2016 Betting Preview

Jason Day 12/1

Quite surprising to see the Aussie at 12’s this week considering the form he is in. He played well at the weather stricken Zurich Classic in New Orleans recently finishing T5 and could have finished in a better position if it weren’t for the weather disruptions. He has had a good season so far with back to back wins in Bay Hill and The WGC Matchplay. He followed that with a T10 in Augusta and a T23 at The RBC Heritage in Hilton Head.

He has played well here in Sawgrass in the past finishing T19 in 2013 and T6 in 2011. He ranks second in strokes gained putting, 23rd in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring. After dominating performances earlier in the season and after a break last week, Day could be a major threat here at a decent price. He always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and I expect another solid performance this week.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 The PLayers Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 28/1

Matsuyama had a mixed bag last week in Quail Hollow the first three rounds but finished strongly with a final round 69 to finish T11. He hasn’t finished worse than 18th in his last four tournaments and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He finished T11 last week in Charlotte, T7 at The Masters, T18 at The WGC Matchplay and T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He looks like a player that could suit this course and is hitting plenty of greens ranking 13th in GIR and fifth in strokes gained tee to green. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1

The South African has been playing great golf over the last few months and looks like he is ready and waiting to win a big one any day now. He has shown some great form over the last few weeks and with the exception of a missed cut at The Masters, Grace hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last seven events. He started the year with a T4 at The SA Open and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi, a win in Qatar, T23 in Doral, T18 at The Matchplay, a win at the tricky and tight Hilton Head at The RBC Heritage and a T9 in  Texas.

Although he hasn’t the best record on this course over the last couple of years, statistically he looks a great fit here. He ranks 34th in scrambling, 23rd in GIR, 11th in SGTTG and second in par 4 scoring. With excellent current form Grace looks a superb value here this week.

 

Danny Willett 40/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Danny Willett 40/1

Its Dannys first event since his dramatic win in Augusta and he will be fresh and ready to contend once again here at Sawgrass this week. The Englishman has been in fine form this season and with the exception of a T45 in Malaysia, he hasn’t finished outside the 30 in his last five events. He started the season with a win at The Dubai Desert Classic and followed that with a 3rd place finish in Doral, T22 at The Valspar, T28 at the Matchplay and a win in Augusta.

He has only played Sawgrass once, in 2014 and missed the cut but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks 22nd in GIR, 22nd in Sand Saves and 12th in strokes gained tee to green. With this being a tight, tricky test with plenty of doglegs, Sawgrass could be right up Danny’s street.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Louis Oosthuizen 55/1

Louis is playing some great golf at the moment and has taken some time off since the Masters, which could be a big positive here. Despite missing the cut in Houston, the South African hasn’t finished worse than 14th in his last six starts. He played well in Malaysia finishing T12 and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

His best finish at Sawgrass came in 2013 when he finished 19th but he could improve on that this time around. He ranks 12th in GIR and 23rd in stroke average this season and looks to have the game that could suit this course. Louis has been in good form this season and I expect that to continue here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jason Day 12/1 2pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 1pt EW

Branden Grace 45/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 40/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 1pt EW

 

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Arnold Palmr Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida

Par 72, 7,419 yards

The Course

The next stop on the PGA Tour is The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill. Tiger Woods has won this event an impressive eight times, but won’t be playing this week. This course is a par 72 and is a lengthy 7,419 yards. The course was designed by Dick Wilson in 1961, and illustrates his typical approach of slightly elevating the putting surfaces to improve visibility and drainage. The course covers 270 acres and lies between the community of Bay Hill, Florida and the Butler Chain of Lakes. Owned by Arnold Palmer since 1974, it has hosted the annual Arnold Palmer Invitational since 1979.

This course is a typical Florida setup with plenty of water and greenside bunkers coming into play. The course layout was changed in 2010 from a par 70 to a par 72 and has a total of four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The reason for this was to allow the players to give themselves more opportunities to make birdies. The course is situated along the Butler Chain of Lakes and has a tendency to get windy. The fairways are quite forgiving here so driving accuracy isn’t too much of an issue. Like a lot of the Florida courses we have seen over the last few weeks, water hazards come into play on roughly 9 of the 18 holes.

There are four par 3’s which are amongst the most difficult on the PGA Tour so par 3 scoring will be an important here. Good par 5 scoring stats will certainly be a big plus along with good ball striking, scrambling, putting and GIR. Good current form and good form around Bay Hill are also a big plus this week.

 

Adam Scott 8/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Adam Scott 8/1

The big question on everyone’s lips this week is can Adam Scott do the hat trick and make it three in a row? In my opinion, yes. With two wins and a second in his last three events the Aussie is in absolutely flying form and is without a doubt the favourite here this week.

He played brilliantly in Riviera and just came up short despite chipping in on the 18th for a birdie to finish T2. He followed that with a win at The Honda shooting 70,65,66,70 to finish nine under for the tournament. He then had another great week at The WGC Cadillac in Doral recording his second win in two weeks finishing one clear after a miraculous up and down on the 18th. He has played well at Bay Hill in the past finishing T3 in 2014 which included an opening round course record 62.

Scott looks like he could suit this course ranking ninth in driving distance, sixth in GIR and first in SGTTG. He also ranks ninth in par 3 scoring and first in par 5 scoring which are two stats that will stand to him here at Bay Hill this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 12//1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Henrik Stenson 12/1

The Swede had a good performance at The Valspar last week shooting 71,70,70,72 on his way to a respectable T11 finish. He also had a good week in Doral finishing in a respectable T28, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a third round 76. Stenson started the year off with two top 6’s in the Desert Swing finishing T3 in Abu Dhabi and T6 the following week in Dubai.

He has a superb record around Bay Hill finishing second last year, fifth in 2014, T8 in 2013 and T15 in 2012. Stenson ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking fourth in stroke average, 22nd in driving accuracy, 13th in GIR and third in strokes gained putting. With some decent performances over the last few weeks and a great record here, Henrik Stenson could right the wrongs of last year and get the job done this week.

 

Ryan Moore 33/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Ryan Moore 33/1

After another solid performance at The Valspar last week, I’ve decided to give Ryan Moore another go here in Bay Hill. He added another top 10 finish to the list last week finishing solo third at Copperhead making that five top 11’s in seven starts. He started the season with a T10 at The Frys, T10 at The CIMB Classic, T11 in Phoenix and a solo 10th in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open which included a superb ace on the 16th in the final round.

Moore has played well here in the past finishing fourth here in 2012 and 12th in 2011. Statswise he ranks 30th in driving distance, 18th in SGTTG, second in par 3 scoring and ninth in par 4 scoring. If he putts well here this week he could be right in the mix.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Brandt Snedeker 40/1

It seems Sneds has recovered from sore ribs after withdrawing from the WGC Cadillac in Doral a couple of weeks and could come back with a bang here at Bay Hill. He has had a superb season so far which began with a T17 at The Frys and a win at The Franklin Templeton with partner Jason Dufner.

He started 2016 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, lost out in a playoff at The Sony in Hawaii and had a superb win in Torrey Pines which included a superb final round 69 in almost unplayable conditions. He’s gone a bit quiet lately finishing T33 in Phoenix and T35 in Pebble but can come back to good form on a course he has played well on in the past.

He finished 13th here last year and eighth in 2014 and ticks a lot of boxes statistically. He is averaging just over 295 off the tee and ranks sixth in SGP. He also ranks 12th in par 3 scoring and ninth in par 4 scoring. If he’s fit and healthy he should be right in the mix.

 

Jason Kokrak 60/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Jason Kokrak 60/1

Kokrak came close to victory in Riviera and played solidly all week. He began with a 68 in round one and followed that with a 64,70,68 to finish 14 under just falling one short of winner Bubba Watson. He has had a mixed bag of form this season finishing T12 at The Sanderson Farms and followed that with a T17 at The OHL Classic. He started 2016 with a respectable T25 at The Farmers in Torrey pines and had another decent week in Pebble with a T30 finish.

He’s gone a bit cold over the last couple of weeks but has a great record here finishing sixth here last year and fourth in 2014. Kokrak is a huge hitter averaging 310 off the tee ranking seventh in driving distance. With four par 5’s and a good record over the last two years, Kokrak can go well here at a big price.

 

Final Selections –

Adam Scott 8/1 2pts EW

Henrik Stenson 12/1 2pts EW

Ryan Moore 33/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 1pt EW

Jaosn Kokrak 60/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Paddypower paying 7 places this week. 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida 

Par 71, 7,340 yards 

The Course 

The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week as we head to Copperhead. There are four golf courses at Innisbrook, all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course, which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course.

The Copperhead course underwent some subtle changes last year with bigger tee boxes, re shaped bunkers around the greens and re grassed fairways. It is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s.  All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand good accurate iron play to score on the greens, which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards.

Three of the four par 5’s, the first, 11th and 14th are pretty easy and should offer up plenty of birdies. Two out of the four par 5’s have double doglegs so an accurate tee shot can be well rewarded.  Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy with players reaping the rewards with accuracy off the tee on some holes.

Players that can work the ball both directions off the tee should also have a big advantage. Just like last week in Doral, water will be a key feature this week with it coming into play on 9 out of the 18 holes. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back nine in the shape of 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate iron players.

 

Danny Willett 20/1 Valspar Championship 2016 Betting Preview

Danny Willett 20/1

Danny was really impressive last week in Doral and if it weren’t for one slightly pulled tee shot on the 18th, he could have been in a position to win had it not found the water. Instead he finished with a bogey to finish 10 under and T3 for the tournament. He has been playing great golf over the last few months with a win in Dubai in early February, a T4 at The Nedbank Challenge and a T4 at the DP World Tour Championship.

Danny looked particularly impressive last week with his irons and around the greens which should bode well around Copperhead. He ranks eighth in stroke average, 38th in GIR and 14th in strokes gained putting. After playing great last week in a top class field, Danny looks in fine form coming into this week and could be one to watch.

 

Harris English 33/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Harris English 33/1

English has been in good form and comes into this week on the back of two top 10’s in his last three starts. He had a great week in Phoenix shooting a superb final round 66 to finish in 12 under and solo third for the tournament. He followed that with another solid performance last week in Doral finishing solo 10th on four under for the week.

He has played well here in the past finishing T10 here last year and T7 in 2013 and ranks 29th in SGP and 34th in par 4 scoring. After two good performances recently Harris English could be another danger man here this week.

 

Jason Dufner 30/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Jason Dufner 30/1

Dufner has had a good season so far and had a good week in Doral finishing T11. He started well shooting 68,72 and had a poor third round 77 that took him out of contention but finished strongly with a 68 in the final round to finish three under par for the tournament. He started the season with a back to back T9’s at The RSM Classic and The Sony and followed that with a win at The CareerBuilder Challenge. He has gone a bit cold over the last few weeks but showed a return to form last week and it comes at a good time.

Dufner has a good record here finishing T24 last year, T14 in 2014, T21 in 2013, T10 in 2012 and back to back T28’s in 2011 and 2010. He is hitting 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 39th in GIR, 28th in SGTTG and 30th in par 5 scoring. If it weren’t for a third round 77 last week in Doral, it could have been a different week for Dufner and can bounce back strongly here this week.

 

K.J. Choi 45/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

K.J Choi 45/1

K.J came close to a win in Torrey Pines recently but just finished one shy of Brandt Snedeker. He played well all week shooting 68,67,72 and then got hit hard by the stormy weather and shot a final round 76 to finish solo 2nd. He followed that with a T17 at The Phoenix Open and finished T5 in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open.

Choi has a good record around Copperhead with a win in 2006, T6 in 2007, second in 2010 and T21 in 2013. He ranks 23rd in driving accuracy, 26th in SGP, third in par 3 scoring and fourth in sand saves. With good form over the last few weeks and a good record here K.J looks great value here at 45’s.

 

Ryan Moore 45/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Ryan Moore 45/1

With four top 11’s in his last six starts, Ryan Moore comes into this week looking like a serious contender. He started the season with a T10 at The Frys, T10 at The CIMB Classic, T11 in Phoenix and a solo 10th in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open which included a superb ace on the 16th in the final round. Moore played well here last year finishing solo fifth which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing final round 72.

He is hitting over 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 31st in SGTTG, 40th in SGP, second in par 3 scoring and ninth in par 4 scoring. After a good performance here last year Moore looks great value here to have another good week.

 

 

Final selections –

Danny Willett 2pts EW 20/1

Harris English 1pt EW 33/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 30/1

K.J Choi 1pt EW 45/1

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 45/1

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Blue Monster Course, Doral Resort, Florida Par 72, 7,543 yards 

The Course 

This course has undergone some serious surgery in the last two years with Donald Trump pumping 250 million dollars into the course to add length and increase the overall difficulty of the blue monster.

The course has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has an extra 47 yards added onto it. The par 5 first measures a lengthy 605 yards, the par 3 fourth has an extra 24 yards and the par 4 eighteenth has an extra 5 yards added to it. These changes have made the Trump Doral inside the top five longest host courses on the PGA Tour.

Dustin Johnson won here last year on nine under and Patrick Reed won this event in 2014 shooting the highest score in the tournaments history finishing on 284 on four under par. Over the years, length has been of particular importance in this event. With this course now over 7,500 yards in length, it will be even more important so be on the lookout for bombers with good driving stats that are showing good recent form.

There are some main stats to consider going on previous years. Although length is key, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring and GIR will be important here. The usual mix of good current form and good previous form on this course will also be worth checking out especially over the last two years since the course changes took place.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 WGC Cadillac Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba comes into this week in good form and played superbly well recently in Riviera shooting a 68 in the final round to win by one stroke over Jason Kokrak and Adam Scott. He has two wins and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has a great record here at Doral finishing T3 last year, T2 in 2014, T18 in 2013 and T2 in 2012. Bubba also ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking sixth in driving distance, sixth in GIR and fourth in SGTTG. He also ranks 28th in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring and should feel at home on this course where he has played well on in the past and seems to suit his game.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Dustin Johnson 12/1

I thought DJ looked more confident at Riviera and played well all week finishing solo fourth and showed a lot of consistency shooting 68,66,68,69 to finish 13 under in total. His form has been good finishing T5 at The WGC HSBC Champions, 15th at The Hero World Challenge, T10 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and T18 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 80 in near unplayable conditions.

Johnson is another player with a great record in Doral with a win last year, T4 in 2014, T12 in 2013 and T2 in 2011. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking seventh in driving distance, ninth in SGTTG, 28th in par 4 scoring and 13th in par 5 scoring. After playing well over the last few weeks DJ should be a huge contender here.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

J.B. Holmes 30/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I have tipped J.B a lot over the last few weeks and ive decided to give him another go this week. Despite not winning me anything over the last few weeks, he has been playing decent with six top 12’s in his last seven events. He started the season well with a T8 at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout, T6 at The Farmers, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Pebble and T11 at The Northern Trust Open.

J.B finished T2 here last year shooting an impressive 62 in round one and is another bomber off the tee which should suit this course. He ranks third in driving distance, sixth in SGTTG and 20th in par 4 scoring. With some quality performances over the last few weeks and a good week here in Doral last year, J.B looks a solid bet here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2016

Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede has bounced back well after an injury and has been playing well over the last couple of months. He played well at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T11 and followed that with a T3 at The BMW Masters. He also had a good week at The Nedbank before Christmas finishing solo second and started the New Year with a T3 in Abu Dhabi and a T6 in Dubai.

Stenson is another player with a good record here finishing T4 here last year and T16 in 2013. He also fits the bill here ranking 11th in GIR, second in strokes gained putting and 18th in driving accuracy. Stenson is another big hitter and should go well here especially after playing so well in the desert swing.

 

First Round Leader –

Dustin Johnson 18/1

With such a good record at this venue, Dustin Johnson has gone low here in round one over the last few years and hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in four of his last five opening rounds in Doral. He started with a 69 in 2011, 68 in 2013, 69 in 2014 and a 68 last year.

In his last six opening rounds he has only shot over 70 once, which was at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions where he opened with a 73 and bounced back with a 67,68,69 to finish -14. Most recently he opened with a 70 in Torrey Pines in The Farmers Insurance Open, 70 in Pebble Beach and an impressive 68 in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open. After a solo fourth in Riviera and four rounds in the 60’s, I fancy DJ to start strongly and open with a low one here.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 30/1 1pt EW

Henrik Stenson 28/1 1pt EW

Dustin Johsnon 18/1 1pt EW First Round Leader

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida

Par 70, 7,140 yards

Last Week –

Well it was an exciting finish at Riviera last week where Bubba Watson won his second Northern Trust Open getting us a nice 22/1 winner. Despite Kokrak’s superb scrambling and Adam Scott chipping in on 18 for birdie, Watson still managed to birdie 17 and par 18 to win by one. That makes it four winners and seven places in the last 13 events giving us a healthy +92.21 pts profit for the season so far. Let’s keep it going this week at The Honda Classic in Florida.

 

The Course

The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on every Florida course. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however the greens here are quite small, tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. With the breeze expected to get up a little bit, be on the lookout for good wind players that hit a lot of greens. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling and sand saves will be essential.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

 

Rickie Fowler 12/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Rickie Fowler 12/1

Despite losing a playoff to Hideki Matsuyama in Phoenix a couple of weeks ago, Rickie Fowler comes to Florida in great form and well rested after taking last week off. He has started his season off with a T17 at The WGC HSBC Champions and followed that with a solo third at The Hero World Challenge, solo fifth at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, a win in Abu Dhabi and a P2 in Phoenix.

He has played well on The Champions Course in the past finishing T7 in 2012, T13 in 2013 and T24 in 2014. He ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 16th in GIR, 13th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP, fourth in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Rickie is in super from at the moment and could have another good week after playing well here in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 22/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Patrick Reed 22/1

Patrick Reed has been playing solid for the last three months and looks like winning any day now. He started the season of with a T10 at The CIMB Classic and followed that with a T7 at The WGC HSBC Champions and a solo second at The Hero World Challenge. He started 2016 off with a solo second at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and had a super week in Pebble Beach finishing T6 which included a 65 in the final round.

He has played well here over the last couple of years finishing T24 in 2014 and T7 last year. Reed ranks 18th in GIR, 20th in SGTTG, second in scrambling and fifth in par 4 scoring. If he carries the form he had in Pebble into this week he will be one to watch.

 

Branden Grace 30/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Branden Grace 30/1

The South African has been playing superb lately and had a great win in Qatar a couple of weeks ago finishing on 14 under for the week. He has a win and five top 10’s in his last six events. He finished the 2015 European Tour season off in style with a solo third at The DP Tour Championship and followed that with a T8 at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and a T4 at The Nedbank. He started 2016 with a T4 at The SA Open, T5 in Abu Dhabi and a win in Qatar.

Statswise he ranks 33rd in GIR, 21st in SGTTG, 11th in sand saves and ninth in stroke average. Grace tends to play well on the tougher courses and could be a huge contender here.

 

Kevin Kisner 35/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Kevin Kisner 35/1

Despite a missed cut in Phoenix, Kisner has a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts and looks to be playing some super golf at the moment. He finished solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

Kisner also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 21st in both GIR and SGTTG and 14th in SGP. He also ranks second in par 4 scoring and ninth in par 5 scoring. He finished T51 here last year but comes here in much better form this time around.

 

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Freddie Jacobson 60/1

Freddie has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last five events. He had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T4 at the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. The Swede had another solid performance in Pebble finishing T4 and scrambled and putted superbly well.

He has a good record here finishing T12 in 2014, T25 in 2013, T16 in 2012, T6 in 2010 and T5 in 2009. He ranks 26th in SGP, 14th in scrambling and third in par 3 scoring and looks like a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Rickie Fowler 12/1 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 22/1 2pts EW

Branden Grace 30/1 1pt EW

Kevin Kisner 35/1 1pt EW

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Paddypower paying seven places this week

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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