The Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsEast Lake Golf Club, Atlanta

Par 70, 7,385 yards

The Course

It’s the final event of the season and the FedExCup Series and it promises to be cracker. Only the top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings advance to the Tour Championship.

East Lake is a tricky test measuring 7,385 yards. It was restored back in 1994 after being neglected and was brought back to its glory by course designer Rees Jones. They made a small yet exciting change to the course layout for last years edition switching around the nines. The players ended playing a par 5 instead of a par 3 which offered an extra bit of drama at the end.

Previous winners include Rory Mcilroy (2016), Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker (2012).

Going by previous winners hitting plenty of greens is a huge plus along with a hot putter and accuracy off the tee. Players that can keep the ball in the fairway off the tee will give themselves a good look for their approaches into the greens.

The main areas of statistical importance here are GIR, SG Putting, SGTTG, scrambling and driving accuracy.

 

Jordan Spieth 9/2 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJordan Spieth 9/2

It’s difficult to bet against the FedEx Cup leader coming to East Lake this week. He has been in great form recently with two wins, three top 10’s and a top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship where he holed a superb bunker shot beating Daniel Berger in a playoff. He then won again the following week at the Open Championship in Royal Birkdale where he overcame some early round jitters to beat Matt Kuchar by an impressive three strokes.

Spieth then finished in a respectable T13 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a solo second at the Northern Trust and another solo second at the Dell Technologies Championship. Last week at the BMW, he had another solid performance finishing T7 on 13 under for the tournament which included an opening and a closing 65.

Jordan has a great record here in East Lake finishing second in 2013, a win in 2015 and a T17 last year. Statswise he ranks third in GIR, second in SGTTG, 30th in strokes gained putting and first in par 4 scoring. In his last 12 competitive rounds Spieth has shot in the 60’s nine times. He looks like the standout favourite here and looks like the man to beat.

 

Paul Casey 16/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs Paul Casey 16/1

The Englishman has had a fantastic season on the PGA Tour so far and I fully expect him to keep that good form going this week in East Lake. Casey has four top 10’s and two top 15’s in his last seven starts. He had a great week at the Travelers shooting four rounds in the 60’s to post a T5 finish. He followed that with a T11 at the Open Championship in Birkdale, T5 at the WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA Championship, solo fifth at The Northern Trust, T4 at the Dell Technologies and a respectable T33 at the BMW Championship.

Casey is a real horse for the course here finishing fourth in 2010, fifth in 2015 and fourth last year. Statswise he ranks fourth in GIR, second in SG approaches to the green, fifth in SG tee to green and sixth in scrambling. In his last 12 rounds around East Lake, Casey has only shot worse than a 70 twice.

 

Patrick Cantlay Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs Patrick Cantlay 33/1 

Cantlay has been very impressive this season and has done incredibly well to get to the Tour Championship given the amount of tournaments he’s played. He has played some great golf in some tricky events throughout the season including a solo second at the Valspar, a T3 at the RBC Heritage, T14 at the Zurich Classic in New Orleans and a respectable T22 at the Players Championship.

Most recently, Cantlay has two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a good week at the Northern Trust shooting four rounds of 70 or better finishing T10 and followed that with a T13 at the Dell Technologies Championship which included three rounds in the 60’s. Last week at the BMW Cantlay had another solid week finishing T9 after shooting 67,65,70,70 to post 12 under par in total.

He ticks a few boxes here statswise ranking 17th in GIR, 15th in SG tee to green, 42nd in strokes gained putting and 28th in par 4 scoring.

 

Webb Simpson 40/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsWebb Simpson 40/1

Simpson looks very generously priced considering his good form lately. He has had some great performances over the last couple of months including a solo fifth at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, a T8 at the Travelers and a T14 at the Greenbrier.

More recently he has three top 10’s in his last four starts finishing solo third at the Wyndham which included a 63 and a 64 in in the first two rounds, a T6 at the Northern Trust which included a final round 65 and a T9 last week at the BMW which included three rounds of 68 or better to post 12 under in total.

Webb is another horse for the course here in East Lake finishing T22 in 2011, T5 in 2012, solo fourth in 2013 which included an impressive final round 63 and a T23 in 2014.

Simpson looks like another player that could suit this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, 27th in SG tee to green, second in scrambling and seventh in par 4 scoring. He looks great value here and could go well at a generous price.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Spieth 2pt WIN 9/2

Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1 

Patrick Cantlay 1pt EW 33/1 

Webb Simpson 1pt EW 40/1 

Total staked = 8 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Dell Technologies Championship 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs TPC Boston, Massachusetts

Par 71 7,342 yards

The Course

It was a great finish to the Northern Trust last week in New York. Honestly I was thinking we were in great shape with Jordan Spieth leading by five and Matt Kuchar and Patrick Reed sitting in T4 after round three but Dustin Johnson spoiled the party. It wasn’t a bad week with Jordan getting us some small place money losing to DJ in a playoff and Jason Day shooting a final round 67 to finish T5 for another place.

The top 100 in the FedEx Cup Playoffs arrive to TPC Boston for the second of four playoff events for the Dell Technologies Championship, formerly known as the Deutsche Bank Championship. TPC Boston is located in Norton, Massachusetts, approximately 25 miles south of Boston. Only the top 75 will advance to the BMW Championship which starts next week.

Originally designed by Arnold Palmer and built in 2003, the course was re-designed by Gil Hanse and Brad Faxon in 2007 and poses a tricky test for the players this week. Measuring a testing 7,342 yards, this course has 11 par 4’s, four par 3’s and three par 5’s.

The fairways are quite generous and forgiving so accuracy wont be too much of an issue here. The greens are Bentgrass and are fractionally smaller by PGA Tour standards but they do run a bit faster averaging around 12 on the stimp. Hitting these small, fast greens and holing putts will be key.

Going on previous history, distance seems to be quite advantageous with the likes of Rory McIlroy (last year and 2012), and Jason Day on the list of previous recent winners.

There are a total of 58 bunkers on the course some of which could cause some problems for the shorter hitters, but the longer guys should be able to carry some of the fairway cross bunkers off the tee. The shortest hole is the par 3 16th measuring 160 yards and the longest hole is the par 5 7th measuring a lengthy 600 yards which will only be reachable by the longer hitters in the field. Water comes into play on three holes in total – the 2nd, 6th and 16th.

TPC Boston’s 18th hole was renovated in 2011 and now has a smaller, elevated green that is protected by a greenside pot bunker which could offer some drama in the later stages of Sunday.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsRickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie has been playing some great golf recently and could be a huge threat here especially with the flat stick. He has five top 10’s in his last seven starts, four of which are top 5’s. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at the US Open at Glen Oaks, T3 at the Quicken Loans, T22 at the Open Championship, solo ninth at the WGC Bridgestone and a T5 at the PGA Championship. He had a decent performance last week at the Northern Trust finishing T20 which included a 68 and a 66 in the first two rounds.

Fowler has played well on this course in the past finishing T23 in 2014 and an impressive win here in 2015 where he shot four rounds of 68 or better to finish 15 under for the tournament, one shot clear of Henrik Stenson.

Statswise he looks like he could suit this course ranking 38th in driving distance, 47th in GIR, second in SGP and 22nd in par 4 scoring. Rickie is playing great golf lately and has to be respected here.

 

Patrick Reed 30/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 30/1

He was a touch disappointing last week in The Northern Trust but I think Reed isn’t far away from playing really good golf so I’ll give him another run here. After shooting 70,67,66 in the first three rounds last week, Reed finished with a disappointing final round 75 to finish T20 on two under for the week. However, I don’t think the final round did his overall performance justice.  He struck the ball really well and putted great throughout the first three rounds he was just a bit unlucky on Sunday.

He has been in great form over the last couple of months with seven top 20 finishes in his last ten starts. His good run of form started at the Byron Nelson where he finished T20 after four rounds of 70 or better. He followed that with a T13 at The US Open, T5 at the Travelers, T17 at the Quicken Loans, T20 at the Greenbrier, T2 at The PGA Championship and T20 last week.

Reed has played well here over the last couple of years finishing T4 in 2015 and T5 last year. Of those eight completed rounds, he has shot a 70 or better seven times suggesting this course suits his eye. Reed is particularly strong with the flat stick ranking ninth in SGP so far this season and if he keeps that going in TPC Boston, he could be dangerous.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsLouis Oosthuizen 33/1

The South African is in fine form lately with three top 10’s in his last seven starts. He played well in New Orleans finishing in a respectable T24 and followed that with a T2 at the Players, T18 at the Byron Nelson and a T23 at the US Open.

Most recently Oosthuizen has played particularly well shooting rounds of 70,67,71,70 on his way to an impressive T2 at the PGA Championship. Last week in New York Louis shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T10 at the Northern Trust on four under for the tournament.

He has a good record here over the last few years finishing solo second in 2012 which included three rounds of 66 or better, T12 in 2015 and a T8 last year which included a third round 64.

Statswise he ranks 18th in SGTTG, 24th in scrambling and 29th in strokes gained putting. Louis looks to be playing very solid lately and looks good value to keep up his good form on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Kevin Chappell 40/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsKevin Chappell 40/1

Ive been keeping a keen eye on Chappell over the last few weeks and he really seems to be playing very steady golf since winning in Texas back at the end of April. He has four top 15’s in his last eight starts and has some good form at this event over the last few years.

He had a good week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting four rounds of 69 or better to finish T4. He followed that with a T23 at the US Open, T8 at the Canadian Open which included three rounds of 69 or better and a T13 at the WGC Bridgestone.

Chappell played well last week in New York shooting 68,73, 64,70 to finish T6 at the Northern Trust and has played well in TPC Boston before finishing T22 in 2013, T12 in 2015 and a T8 last year. Stastwise he ranks 26th in driving distance, 21st in SGTTG and 28th in par 5 scoring. With solid current form and a good record here, Chappell looks decent value to have a good week.

 

Final selections – 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 30/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 8 pts (PP Paying 7 places)

 

This will be my last preview of the season as I am away for the next two weeks.

A huge thanks to everyone who reads, liked, shared, retweeted and interacted with the site I really appreciate it.

Best of luck for the rest of the Playoffs and see you in October.

Thanks for reading,

Doublebogey6 (Dave)

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – www.facebook.com/doublebogey6 

Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

The Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsGlen Oaks Club, Long Island, New York

Par 70, 7,350 yards

 

The Course

Previously known as the Barclays, the newly named Northern Trust arrives at a new venue this year in the shape of Glen Oaks Golf Club in New York. Measuring a testing 7,350 yards, Glen Oaks was founded in 1924 and began on land carved out of the William K. Vanderbilt estate just south of Long Island.

The course as then moved to a larger 250 acre site in Old Westbury where there was three nine-hole courses designed. It stayed that was up until 2011 where a major redesign was overseen by Craig Currier of Bethpage State Park. The course for the tournament days will take from the three nine hole courses with holes 1-3 and 6-9 from the white course, holes 4 and 5 will be from the red course and the entire blue course will be played.

The course has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and two par 5’s. The course has been described as the Augusta of the North and at a glance appears to be a tree lined layout with fairly generous fairways and Poa Annua greens. The two par 5’s look to measure around the 600 yard mark and will be reachable by most of the field. The par 4’s and par 3’s look a bit trickier with water features on six of the 18 holes. The main areas to focus on here are par 3 and par 4 scoring, GIR and a hot putter. Its worth bearing in mind that the cream usually rises to the top in the FedEx Playoff events so be on the lookout for players that are in great form coming into this.

 

Jordan Spieth 10/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJordan Speith 10/1

The Open Champion comes here in fine form with two wins, a second and two top 15’s in his last seven starts. Even after a few early wobbles, he showed unbelievable grit, class and mental toughness to get the job done in Royal Birkdale after a couple of early bogeys. After finishing solo fourth in New Orleans which included a 64 in the final round, Spieth went on to finish T2 at the Dean and Deluca Invitational after an impressive final round 65.

He then travelled to Ohio for the Memorial tournament and finished a respectable T13 for the week. He then had back to back wins, the first came at the Travelers Championship where he holed out from a bunker to beat Daniel Berger in a playoff, the second came after his heroics at The Open.

The Texan ticks all the boxes here ranking 12th in GIR, fifth in SGTTG, eighth in par 3 scoring, first in par 4 scoring and 17th in par 5 scoring. If Spieth gets the putter going on these Poa Annua greens, which he likes, and drives well he could be a huge threat here.

 

Jason Day 16/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJason Day 16/1

The Aussie has had a mixed bag of form this season and has had a few injuries to contend with but he looks to be showing some decent form lately after a decent performance at the PGA Championship where he finished T9 in his last start.Day looks to be threatening in the first two rounds and had a disastrous finish to his third round dropping five shots back after taking a bogey on 17 and an eight on the 18th.

He has shown glimpses of decent form over the last couple of months and had a great week at the Byron Nelson finishing solo second which included four rounds of 69 or better. He followed that with a T15 at Memorial, T27 at The Open Championship and a T24 at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational.

Day played well in this event over the last few years finishing T4 last year, a win in 2015 and a T2 in 2014. Statswise he ranks 23rd in driving distance, second in SG around the green, 47th in SGP and 17th in par 5 scoring. He always seems to play well this time of year and has a great record on the East Coast. These forgiving fairways and fast greens could suit his eye.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 33/1 

The defending champion looks to be in fine fettle coming to New York this week and could well be the man to beat here. He seems to be playing really well but the odd 72 or 73 has been sneaking in here and there but he has been in good form over the last couple of months with four top 20’s and two top 10’s in his last nine starts. Reed had a good week at the Byron Nelson where he didnt shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week to finish T20. He followed that with a T13 at The US Open, T5 at the Travelers and a T17 at The Quicken Loans. He then travelled to the Greenbrier and shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T20 and to finish six under for the tournament.

At the PGA Championship, Reed again shot three rounds of 69 or better to post six under par and finish in a tie for second. He has a good record in this event over the last couple of years with a win last year and a T9 in 2014. Statswise Reed ranks eighth in strokes gained putting which will be a big plus here on these greens. That, along with great current form make Patrick Reed a decent shout here this week.

 

Matt Kuchar 35/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsMatt Kuchar 35/1

Throughout researching golf tournaments throughout the year to bet on, Matt Kuchar is one of those guys that tends to go under my radar. Ive always considered him a “place” guy because he rarely wins but given his current form over the last couple of months, I decided he was worth taking a chance on especially because he seems to be putting himself in a position to win a bit more lately.

Kuchar is one of the steadiest guys on tour and has been in great form lately finishing outside the top 30 just once in nine starts. After finishing T4 in Augusta, Kuchar followed that with a T9 at the Byron Nelson, T12 at the Dean and Deluca, T4 at Memorial, T16 at The US Open, solo second at The Open, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T9 at The PGA Championship.

He also has some great form at this event over the last few years finishing T5 in 2014 and T19 in 2013. Statswise he ticks alot of boxes here ranking 30th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling and 11th in par 4 scoring. Kuch looks good value here to keep up his good run of form.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Speith 10/1 2pts EW

Jason Day 16/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 1pt EW

Matt Kuchar 35/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 10 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina  

Par 70, 7127 yards  

The Course  

What an excellent final round performance from Justin Thomas last week in Quail Hollow. Personally I was cheering on Matsuyama and Fowler who both ended up finishing in a tie for fifth which got us some place money.

The PGA Tour travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship this week, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.   

Sedgefield Country Club is a Donald Ross designed par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards. It was opened in 1926 and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards.

There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Its important for players to hit the right side of the fairway in order to attack these small greens to give them a good look in for their approach shots. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.  

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. As always, I’ll be also be checking course history and current form along with some approach stats.

 

Ryan Moore 20/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Ryan Moore 20/1 

After a bit of a quiet spell of late, Ryan Moore looks to be back playing well after a short spell on the sidelines with a shoulder injury. He was showing some great form back in April with a great week in Augusta finishing T9 and followed that with a T18 in Texas. He then went quiet for a couple of months with five missed cuts from six starts but has bounced back well in his last two events and looks to be injury free. He finished in a respectable T28 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T13 at the PGA Championship last week in Quail Hollow which included an impressive final round 69.

Moore has a great record here with a win in 2009 , his first on the PGA Tour, T37 in 2012 and a T10 in 2015 which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise he ranks 25th in driving accuracy hitting over 65% of fairways off the tee. With accurate driving, good form and a decent record here, Moore could be a huge danger man this week.

 

Bud Cauley 33/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Bud Cauley 33/1

I think this course could suit Bud’s eye and given his current form, he looks another good shout here. Despite one or two missed cuts recently, Cauley’s game looks in great shape over the last couple of months. He had a great week at the RBC Heritage in April finishing T9 and followed that with a T10 in Texas, T5 in New Orleans and a T5 at The Byron Nelson. He then travelled to the Memorial Tournament and finished a respectable T25 and followed that with a T12 at the John Deere Classic and a T33 last week at The PGA Championship.

Cauley has a good record around Sedgefield finishing solo third in 2012 and a T10 last year which included a third round 64. Statswise he ranks 47th in GIR, 33RD in SGTTG and 37th in par 4 scoring.

 

Chad Campbell 60/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Chad Campbell 60/1

Campbell looks to be hitting the ball well and has been showing a lot of consistency lately. I have backed him a few times over the last couple of months to no avail but Im willing to roll the dice one more time on him in an event I believe that could suit him. He has had some great events lately finishing T13 at the Byron Nelson, T10 at the St Jude Classic, T9 at the Greenbrier, T12 at the John Deere, T18 at the Barbasol and a T32 at the Canadian Open. He was going well in Canada and a final round 75 took him out of the places but he still shot rounds of 66,69,68 in the first three rounds.

Campbell has god memories of Sedgefield finishing T4 in 2012 which included a 64,65,66 in the last three rounds and a respectable T31 in 2015 where he opened with a pair of 65’s but fell away at the weekend shooting 70,71. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 22nd in driving accuracy, 12th in GIR and 11th in par 4 scoring.

 

Scott Brown 66/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Scott Brown 66/1 

Brown seems to be back playing some good golf lately and could be worth keeping on side this week. He played some great golf earlier in the season finishing T2 in Riviera at The Genesis Open, T17 in Puerto Rico and a solo second at The Zurich Classic in New Orleans at the end of April. He has shown some decent form over the last couple of months finishing T12 in Colonial at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, T25 at the John Deere Classic which included three rounds in the 60’s and a T13 at The PGA Championship last week.

He has played well here in the past finishing T33 last year after a final round 65 and a T3 in 2015 which included four rounds of 68 or better. Brown is playing good golf lately and could follow up his T13 at the PGA last week with another good performance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Ryan Moore 20/1 1pt EW

Bud Cauley 33/1 0.5pts EW

Chad Campbell 60/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Brown 66/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts 

*PP Paying 7 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @DoublebogeyDB6

Like me on Facebook /Doublebogey6 

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017 – Quail Hollow

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina  

7,600 yards, Par 71

The Course 

Quail Hollow is the host course of the Wells Fargo Championship since 2003 and is a tough test measuring a lengthy 7,600 yards. Previous winners here include Brian Harman (2017), James Hahn (2016), Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010) J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012) and Lucas Glover (2011). 

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003. 

The course has undergone some fairly big changes in preparation for this event and promises to a little more challenging than in previous years. They greens have had some major surgery changing from bentgrass to Bermuda. A lot of trees have also been removed to allow for more sunlight to hit the greens and re-shape the golf course. Some of the opening holes have had some renovations done with the old first and second being brought together and posing as a testing 540 yard par 4. The fifth has been changed from a par 5 to a par 4, the eighth hole is now a driveable 340 yard par 4 and the second hole is now a new par 3. The 11th hole has been lengthened and had some extra bunkers added to it.

Length looks to be a huge advantage along with hitting plenty of greens. The main stats that stand out here are driving distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.  

 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 

Matsuyama was outstanding last Sunday in the final round in Firestone shooting a flawless 61 to win his second WGC title and his third PGA Tour win this season. Its hard to find any fault in any part of his game from driving it bullet straight to stitching his approach shots and holing everything on the greens.

His form has been pretty good this season and he seems to be really heating up lately with a win, a top five and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a great week in Erin Hills finishing T2 at the US Open after an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T14 at The Open Championship in Royal Birkdale and seemed to be striking the ball very well but missed a few putts. Matsuyama won in Phoenix earlier this year which also has Bermuda greens so that looks to be a big positive for this weeks venue.

His record around Quail Hollow is decent finishing T38 in 2014, T20 in 2015 and 11th last year. Statswise he ranks 22nd in driving distance averaging just over 304 off the tee. He also ranks sixth in GIR, first in par 5 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. He is the man in form coming to the PGA this week and it could be his time to win his first major.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie Fowler is another player in fine form coming into this week and has to be respected here. He has four top 10’s in his last six starts three of which were top fives. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at The US Open and a T3 at the Quicken Loans National which included a 68,65 over the weekend. He then travelled to Birkdale and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish a respectable T22. Last week at the WGC Bridgestone, Fowler was steady as a rock throughout the week shooting 70,71,67,66 on his way to a solo ninth.

He has a good record here in Quail Hollow getting his first PGA Tour win here in 2012. He also finished T6 in 2010 and T4 last year. Fowler is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee ranking 32nd in driving distance, 36th in GIR, first in SG putting and fifth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history on this course, Fowler looks another big contender here.

 

Daniel Berger 60/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 60/1

I am sticking to my guns and backing Berger for the second week running here. He has been in great form lately with a win and two top 5’s in his last six starts. He had a great week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting two 66’s to win by one. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where he lost in a dramatic playoff to Jordan Speith. He then traveled to TPC Deere Run where he finished T5 at the John Deere Classic  which included an impressive third round 63.

Berger has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T28 in 2015. He has played well in the Majors over the last couple of years finishing T10 in Augusta last year, T27 at the Masters this year and a T27 at The Open in Birkdale. Statswise he ranks 44th in GIR, 26th in SG putting, 24th in SGTTG, 18th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring.

 

Tony Finau PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Tony Finau 80/1 

When it comes to bombers, Tony Finau is up there with the longest on tour off the tee and this could be a course that suits his powerful game. He looks to be in great shape coming to Quail Hollow with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last four starts. He played well at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week to finish a respectable T17. He followed that with a T29 at The Quicken Loans and a T7 at The Greenbrier where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week. Finau then travelled to Royal Birkdale and finished in a respectable T27 at The Open and had a great performance in Canada a week later finishing T5 at the Canadian Open.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 in 2015 and T28 last year. Finau is averaging just over 306 yards off the tee ranking sixth in driving distance, fifth in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 10th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With great current form, a long golf course and an average drive of over 300 yards, this course could set up well for big hitting Finau.

 

Xander Shauffele PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Xander Shauffele – Top 20 Finish – 4/1 

The young American has made quite an impression this season and looks to be playing some great golf lately. He had a good week at the US Open shooting rounds of 66,73,70,69 to finish T5 at Erin Hills in his first major appearance. He followed that with a T14 at the Travelers, a win at the Greenbrier Classic where he didnt shoot worse than a 69, a T20 at the Open Championship and a T13 in Firestone last week at the WGC Bridgestone.

Statswise Shauffele ticks alot of boxes here for Quail Hollow ranking 17th in driving distance averaging just over 305 off the tee. He also ranks 20th in GIR, 23rd in SG Putting and 10th in par 4 scoring. He has put together some huge performances in big events this season and with his length he looks a great bet for a top 20 this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 1pt EW

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 60/1 0.5pts EW

Tony Finau 80/1 0.5pts EW

Xander Shauffele Top 20 – 4/1 2pt win 

Total staked = 8pts 

*Most bookies paying 8 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017

WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio 

Par 70, 7,400 yards 

The Course 

Firestone Country Club was designed by Bert Way and was originally commissioned by Harvey Firestone for the employees of his tire company, Firestone Tire and Rubber and opened in August 1929. Firestone made a name for itself hosting a total of three PGA Championships in 1960, 1966 and 1975.

Robert Trent Jones oversaw a huge redesign for the 1960 PGA Championship adding over fifty bunkers, two ponds and extending the course to 7,165 yards. It was then renovated by Golforce in 2007 adding more yardage onto the course making it 7,400 for the 2015 WGC Bridgestone.

Firestone is a tough all round test of golf and only the very best players tend to contend here. It has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is the one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour measuring just under 670 yards. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards and three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so good ball striking and accurate iron play will be essential into these testing bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting (good bentgrass putters), par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. This is one of the best courses in the world and the cream tends to rise to the top so bare that in mind.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Jordan Speith 8/1

Jordan Speith comes to Ohio this week rested and energised after the heroics of Royal Birkdale a couple of weeks ago. I won’t harp on about fantastic he played and the putts he made because let’s face it, if you watched it you know what I’m talking about. The young Texan has been in superb form lately with two wins, a second and a top 15 in his last five starts. He played well in Colonial finishing T2 at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, after shooting an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T13 at Memorial followed by back to back wins, the first at the Travelers Championship and the second at the Open in Royal Birkdale.

Speith has played very well around Firestone in the past finishing 10th in 2015 and third last year. He ranks second in GIR, first in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 3 scoring which are three very good boxes ticked for this course. It looks like he has rediscovered that killer instinct with his putter and is extremely difficult to avoid this week even at skinny odds. Given his current form and favourable history here, Speith is without a doubt the man to beat.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2017Brooks Koepka 16/1

The US Open Champion has been playing some superb golf this season and should be well rested coming to Firestone this week. Since finishing T11 in Augusta, Koepka has a win, three top 10’s and a top 20 under his belt. He had a great week at the Valero Texas Open finishing T2 after an impressive final round 65 and followed that with a T5 in New Orleans, which included a final round 62.

Brooks then teed it up in Sawgrass and finished a respectable T16 at the Players Championship. It was Erin Hills that seemed to suit his game the best where he shot four rounds of 70 or better to win by four strokes from Hideki Matsuyama and Brian Harman to win the US Open in Wisconsin.

He has played well here in Firestone in the past finishing T6 in 2015, which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise Koepka is averaging just over 307 off the tee ranking 10th in driving distance and 21st in strokes gained putting. After a good performance here in 2015 there’s no reason why he can’t contend again.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Paul Casey 30/1

The Englishman is having a fantastic season and comes here in great form. Since finishing solo sixth in Augusta at The Masters, Casey’s form figures read 12,22,10, 26, 5, 11. He had a good week at the Wells Fargo finishing T12 and followed that with a T22 in Sawgrass at The Players, T10 at The Dean and Deluca and a respectable 26th at the US Open in Erin Hills.

Most recently Casey has been playing quite solid finishing T5 at the Travelers which included four rounds of 69 or better to post nine under in total. The Englishman had a super week at Royal Birkdale shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T11 at The Open Championship.

Casey has a great record here and seems to be a real horse for the course with two top 10’s and three top 20’s since 2005. He finished fourth in 2006, eighth in 2008, T17 in 2015 and T16 last year.

 

Daniel Berger 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 40/1

Berger has been playing great golf this season with a win and two top five finishes in his last six starts. He had a superb week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a pair of 66’s to win by one stroke from Charl Schwartzel and Whee Kim. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where a moment of brilliance from Jordan Speith denied him victory after a tricky playoff. Berger bounced back well finishing T5 at TPC Deere Run at the John Deere Classic which included an impressive 63 in round three.

He teed it up here for the first time last year and had to controversially withdraw with an injured shoulder after hitting only one tee shot. Statswise he ranks 34th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained putting and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 

Since getting the monkey off his back in Scotland with an impressive victory at the Scottish Open, The Spaniard has maintained some great consistency over the last few weeks and looks to be striking the ball very well. He had a good week at the Players Championship shooting three rounds of 70 or better to finish T4. He then teed it up at the FedEx St Jude finishing T4 and followed that with a T4 in Royal Birkdale at The Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s.

Rafa has played once here before finishing T29 in 2012 which included an opening round 66 and a second round 65. He ranks 27th in GIR on the European Tour and 45th in par 4 scoring on the PGA Tour. He has stood up to the plate in the big events and looks good value here to have a good week.

 

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Charl Schwartzel 55/1

South African Charl Schwartzel is another player that arrives to Firestone in good shape with three top fives and one top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Augusta finishing solo third at the Masters, a course where he won on in 2011, and followed that with a T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic, which included three rounds of 66 or better. He then travelled o Germany last week for the Porche European Open where he shot an opening round 67 and a closing round 69 to finish T12 for the tournament on eight under par in total.

He has a great record around Firestone with form figures of 24,21,4,31,7 since 2012. Schwartzel is a good horse for the course kind of player and tends to play well on bentgrass greens. At 55/1 and some good performances in big events this year, he looks good value to have a decent week.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Speith 8/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 16/1 1pt EW

Paul Casey 30/1 0.5pts EW

Daniel Berger 40/1 0.5pts EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 0.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 8pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017

Open Championship 2017 Royal Birkdale The Open Championship 2017 Betting Preview

Royal Birkdale, Southport, England

Par 70, 7156 yards

The Course

Its Open Championship week and promises to be filled with a mixed bag of weather and plenty of drama. Royal Birkdale was established in 1889 and underwent a huge redesign in 1922 by Fred Hawtree and JH Taylor to create the current layout. It gained it “Royal” status in 1951 and has been on the Open rota since 1954 when it hosted the Open Championship for the first time. Peter Thompson was the first man to win here and he went on to win a further five Open Championships. He returned to Birkdale in 1965 to win his fifth and final title. This course has been one of the most regular venues for the Open along with Royal Lytham and St Andrews.

It last took place here in 2008 when Irishman Padraig Harrington won on a score of 283 (+3) beating his closest challenger Englishman Ian Poulter by four shots in total. From what we can tell, it was a tough, testing track back in 2008 and demanded accurate driving, GIR and most importantly a good touch on and around the greens.  2017 will be the tenth time Royal Birkdale will be hosting The Open.

Birkdale has a total of 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and two par fives and like many links courses, can play either very difficult or fairly straight forward depending on weather conditions. It is a very spectator friendly course with high dunes spread around the golf course offering some great viewing points. Traditionally with all links courses, keeping the ball in the fairway and avoiding the challenging rough will be extremely advantageous. Judging from the 2008 Open driving accuracy, GIR, scrambling and hot putter are a must if players are going to contend here.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 28/1

The Aussie arrives in Birkdale on the back of a respectable T35 in Scotland and looks nicely warmed up coming into this week. He has been in great form over the last couple of months with three top 10’s in his last six starts. Scott had a good week in Augusta finishing T9, which included two rounds in the 60’s. He followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship in Sawgrass, a T31 at Memorial and a T10 at the FedEx St Jude Classic which included an impressive second round 64.

Scott has a great record at The Open Championship over the last few years with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He finished second to Ernie Els at Lytham & St Annes in 2012 and followed that with a third place finish in Muirfield in 2013, fifth in Hoylake in 2014 and a T10 in St Andrews in 2015.

Statswise Scott ticks a few boxes here ranking 33rd in GIR, 23rd in driving distance averaging a little over 300 yards of the tee, and first in par 3 scoring. Given his Open pedigree and decent current form, Scott has to be well fancied this week.

 

Sergio Garcia 18/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Sergio Garcia 18/1 

After a sensational performance in Augusta beating Justin Rose in a playoff, I don’t think anyone would begrudge the Spaniard a major especially after coming oh so close so many times. He’s one player that jumps off the page in terms of Open Championship form. He has an impressive 10 top 10 finishes in the Open over the last few years and came close to winning in 2007 when he was denied victory by Padraig Harrington in a playoff in Carnoustie.

His results over the last few years have been particularly impressive with three top 6’s in his last three Open starts. He finished second in Hoylake in 2014 and followed that with a sixth place finish in St Andrews in 2015 and a fifth in Troon last year.

After victory at The Masters, Sergio kept up his good form with a T30 at The Players, T20 at the Byron Nelson, T12 in Colonial, T21 at the US Open and T2 at the BMW International Open in Germany.

Statswise he is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 30th in driving accuracy, sixth in GIR, third in SGTTG and 17th in par 4 scoring. Sergio seems to be a different man since winning in Augusta and has to be respected here especially with great performances in the Open over the last few years.

 

Henrik Stenson 25/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 25/1 

Its hard not to back Stenson after last years final round performance in Troon. We saw two heavyweights of the game with Stenson and Mickelson going toe to toe in the final round and it turned out to be one of the best final rounds in major championship history. Stenson was on fire from the get go and ended up carding, what turned out to be an unbelievable 63, winning by three from Mickelson who shot a none-too shabby 65.

The Swedes form in this event is excellent over the last ten years or so. He has three top three finishes including a win last year. He played well in Birkdale in 2008 finishing third and followed that with a T13 in Turnberry in 2009, third in St Andrews in 2010, second in Muirfield in 2013 and a superb win last year in Troon.

Stenson has been back showing some good form over the last couple of months finishing T3 at the BMW PGA in Wenworth, T16 at the Players Championship in Sawgrass, T26 at The Nordea Masters, T10 at the BMW International Open and a respectable T26 last week in Scotland, which included a final round 68. Stenson is hitting just under 75% of greens in regulation ranking 21st and ranks eighth in driving accuracy. He seems to be warming up nicely coming into this week and could be one to watch here.

 

Alex Noren 40/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Alex Noren 40/1

The in-form Swede is in superb form over the last year or so and when it comes to links courses, Noren has to be on the shortlist. He won the Scottish Open in Castlestuart in 2016 and went on to win four more times winning the European Masters, The British Masters, The Nedbank Challenge and the BMW PGA Championship. It’s also worth mentioning Noren was runner up to Anthony Wall at the Paul Lawrie Matchplay in 2016 in Archerfield Links in Scotland. He has also played well at the Alfred Dunhill Links over the last few years finishing T11 in 2016 and solo third in 2012.

Since winning the PGA in Wentworth, Noren went on to finish T15 at the Nordea Masters, tenth at The Players Championship and T10 at the Open De France. He hasn’t the best record in the Majors but Alex played well here in Birkdale in 2008 finishing T19. He also had a good week at the 2012 Open Championship finishing T9 at Lytham and St Annes. With a great links record and great current form, the world number nine could be another huge danger man here.

 

Padraig Harrington 50/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Padraig Harrington 50/1 

The 2008 champion has bounced back well after an elbow injury and looks to be back playing some good golf again. The Irishman played excellent last time the Open was held here in Birkdale and shot a superb final round 67 to beat Ian Poulter by four and lift the Claret Jug. Harrington played well last week in Scotland holding the 36 hole lead after shooting 67,68 in the first two rounds. The weather got the better of him on Saturday which resulted in a disappointing 79 but he bounced back with a final round 66 to finish T4. He has had a couple of good results over the last few weeks finishing T17 at the Travelers at the end of June shooting three rounds in the 60’s.

He has two Open Championships under his belt, the first one coming at Carnoustie in 2007 where he beat Sergio Garcia in a playoff and the second here in Birkdale in 2008. He also finished T20 in St Andrews in 2015 and T36 last year in Troon. He seems to be in a good place with his game and he’s the only one in the field that knows what its like to win here in Birkdale. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see him floating around the leaderboard come Sunday afternoon.

 

Ian Poulter 70/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Ian Poulter 70/1

I thought Poulter looked great value considering he’s back playing some good golf lately. As I mentioned above Poulter finished runner up to Harrington in 2008 on this course and has some good results at The Open over the last few years. He finished ninth in 2012 at Lytham and St Annes and followed that with a third place finish in 2013 in Muirfield.

He had a good week at the RBC Heritage in Harbour Town finishing T11 posting 11 under in total. Poulter then tee’d it up in Sawgrass and played solid throughout the week and putted very well finishing T2. He travelled to Scotland last week and finished T9 at the Scottish Open finishing seven under par in total. After a decent performance in Scotland and a runner up finish here in 2008, Poulter could be worth a small punt here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Adam Scott 28/1 1pt EW

Henrik Stenson 25/1 1 pt EW

Sergio Garcia 18/1 1 pt EW

Alex Noren 40/1 0.5pts EW

Padraig Harrington 50/1 0.5pts EW

Ian Poulter 70/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 9 pts

 

*Most bookies paying seven places (PP paying 8)*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017 Bubba WatsonTPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is shorter than your average PGA Tour setup measuring 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways with four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 yards and will offer birdie opportunities along with the par 4 second, which measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field.

These greens are bentgrass and are smaller by tour standards so good, accurate Iron play will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win), Bubba Watson (3 top 10’s and two wins) and Kevin Streelman (a win and two top 10’s). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats here are good course history, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Justin Thomas Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

What a third round Justin had last week in Erin Hills. He carded an impressive nine birdies and an eagle to post a nine under 63. He has been in good form throughout the season with three wins and four top 10’s so far. He started off with a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia and followed that with back to back wins at the SBS Tournament of Champions and the Sony Open in Hawaii. Most recently, Thomas has three top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T5 which included an impressive final round 61. He followed that with a T4 at Memorial and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Thomas has a good record here at TPC River Highlands finishing T30 in 2013 and a T3 last year. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 11th in driving distance, 19th in GIR, fourth in SG approaches to the green and 29th in SG putting. Thomas will be looking to bounce back with a big week here after a disappointing finish to the US Open.

 

Marc Leishman 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 30/1

The Aussie started well last week at the US Open shooting 68,72,72 in the first three rounds and looked to be putting well throughout the week. Leishman has been in fine form over the last couple of months and got his first win of the season in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T13 at the Byron Nelson, T15 at Memorial and a T27 last week in Erin Hills.

Leishman has a great record at this course with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013, T11 in 2014 and a T9 last year. He ranks 38th in driving distance, 32nd in SGP, 23rd in SG tee to green and 28th in bogey avoidance. After playing well at the US Open, the Aussie could be in for another good week on a course he knows well.

 

Brandt Snedeker Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 28/1

Sneds could be primed and ready for another good performance after playing well at the US Open last week where he finished T9. He didn’t shoot worse than a 71 throughout the tournament and looked to be putting particularly well with his signature pop stroke. The American has been playing solid since his T6 in Torrey Pines and has been relatively consistent since. He followed that with a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship, T27 at The Masters, T11 at the RBC Heritage and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Snedeker has played here twice over the last three years finishing T11 in 2014 and a T10 in 2015. Sneds has gone low around this course a couple of times shooting a 63 in round three in 2015 and an impressive 64 in round four in 2014. Statswise he ranks 19th in SG putting, 14th in birdie average and second in par 3 scoring.

 

Brendan Steele 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 30/1

Brendan Steele is a real horse for the course here at TPC River Highlands and arrives in pretty decent form. He started the season off with a win at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in Kapalua and a T6 at the CarrerBuilder Challenge. Most recently, Steele played well at the Masters finishing in a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship and a T13 last week at the US Open.

Steele is another player with a decent record here finishing T13 in 2011, T13 in 2013, T5 in 2014, T25 in 2015 and a T17 last year. Brendan has gone low around here over the last few years shooting 62 in round one in 2014, a 66 in the final round in 2013 and a 64 in the final round last year. With a great record here and good current form, Steele looks a good shout here.

 

Final selections – 

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Marc Leishman 30/1 0.5pts EW 

Brandt Snedeker 28/1 0.5pts EW

Brendan Steele 30/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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US Open Betting Preview 2017 – Erin Hills

US Open Betting Preview 2017 - Erin Hills Erin Hills, Erin, Wisconsin

Par 72, 7,693 Yards 

The Course 

The US Open has always traditionally been a very tricky test with deep rough, fast greens and lots of run off areas and Erin Hills looks to be keeping up with that trend. This course is relatively young with construction taking place in 2004 and opening two years later in 2006. It was designed on 400 acres of pasture land and has been left relatively untouched. The designers decided to leave it as is using the natural contours of the land leaving it wide open with plenty of wind an very few trees. A mix of dunes, fescue grasses and penal bunkers give Erin Hills a “Linksy” look and feel to it.

There are four par 3’s, ten par 4’s and four par 5’s in total. Although it measures a lengthy 7,693 yards, it can play shorter depending on wind direction and tee position. The fairways have been described as dry and bouncy so this will allow for a lot of run on the ball. Kevin Na posted a video on Instagram showing the depth of the rough and it looks pretty awful, measuring roughly between one and two feet in places. If your tee shot ends up in there, forget about it.

The front nine seems fairly manageable but the back nine looks a far stiffer challenge. There are some blind tee shots with some very tricky bunkers so good scrambling will be a big plus. Some of the bentgrass greens are elevated like an upturned saucer shape with lots of run off areas, similar to Pinehurst No.2, the venue for the 2014 US Open. The greens are fractionally larger than previous US Open greens and could run quite fast if the wind gets up.

Going by this course and previous US Opens, the main areas of focus are GIR, driving accuracy, driving distance, putting average and scrambling. You can view Erin Hills hole by hole guide by clicking here

 

Rickie Fowler 20/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin HillsRickie Fowler 20/1

It could be Rickie’s time to bag his first major and who would begrudge him? He arrives in Erin Hills in the best form of his career with a win and six top 10’s so far this season. He had a great win at the Honda Classic in Florida at the end of February and kept up his good form with a solo 12th in Bay Hill, T3 in Houston, T11 in Augusta and a T2 recently at the Memorial Tournament in Ohio.

Fowler has proven to be a great wind and links player over the last few years with a win at the 2015 Scottish Open in Gullane, a T8 in Royal Aberdeen in 2014 and a T2 at The Open Championship in 2014 in Hoylake. He has also played well at the US Open in the past finishing T10 in Merion in 2013 and a T2 in Pinehurst in 2014.

Fowler also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 33rd in driving distance, 25th in driving accuracy, 29th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained putting and 22nd in scrambling. When you weigh it all up its hard not to fancy Rickie’s chances here in Erin Hills.

 

Jon Rahm 20/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Jon Rahm 20/1 

Big hitting Spaniard Jon Rahm has made quite an impact on the PGA Tour this season with a win and seven top 10’s under his belt so far. After shooting a final round 65 at the Farmers Insurance Open in February, Rahm bagged his first PGA Tour win at previous US Open venue, Torrey Pines, finishing on 13 under par in total. He has shown some great consistency this year finishing T5 at Pebble Beach, T3 at the WGC Mexico Championship, solo second at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston, solo fourth at the Wells Fargo and a T2 at the Dean & Deluca in Colonial recently. Rahm has one appearance at The US Open which was last year in Oakmont where he finished in a respectable T23.

Statswise he has the length to score around this course averaging just over 305 yards off the tee ranking 13th in driving distance. He also ranks 15th in GIR, 19th in scrambling and second in par 4 scoring. Rahm is a serious talent and its only a matter of time before he wins not one, but multiple major championships in the future.

 

Thomas Pieters 40/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 - Erin Hills Thomas Pieters 40/1 

Pieters has had a good season so far and could be another player that could suit a long, tricky test like Erin Hills. He played well at the Dubai Desert Classic back in February finishing T23 and followed that with a T5 at the WGC Mexico Championship and a T4 in Augusta, which included two 68’s. Thomas then went to Wentworth for the BMW PGA Championship and finished T14 shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish four under par in total.

The big hitting Belgian is averaging just over 309 off the tee ranking 22nd in driving distance. He also ranks 11th in putting average and 21st in stroke average on the European Tour this season. If he can keep the ball in short grass off the tee, Pieters looks good value to have a good week here.

 

Branden Grace 40/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Branden Grace 40/1

The South African has been coming into some good form lately and has proven himself to be a great wind player. He finished T27 at The Masters at the end of April and followed that with a T11 at the RBC Heritage, a T10 in Texas and a respectable T24 in New Orleans. Grace is the kind of player that has proven he can really tough it out on the stiffer US Open tests with two top 10’s over the last two years. He finished T5 last year in Oakmont and came close to winning in Chambers Bay in 2015 but pulled his tee shot left on the 16th out of bounds which ended up costing him a double bogey.

He is a proven wind player with two wins at The Qatar Masters in the windy Doha Golf Club, a win at Harbour Town Golf Links at the RBC Heritage in 2016 and a T13 this year at The Sony Open in Hawaii. Grace is playing well at the moment and has the game to be a big danger man here.

 

Kevin Kisner 55/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Kevin Kisner 55/1

Kisner has been in fine fettle this season showing some great consistency. His good run of form began back in January where he finished T4 at the windy Waialae Country Club, home of the Sony Open. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, T2 at the Arnold Palmer in Bay Hill, T11 at the RBC Heritage, a win at the Dean & Deluca Invitational in Colonial and an impressive T6 at The Memorial in Ohio.

Kisner has had some good finishes in the Majors over the last couple of years finishing T12 at The US Open in Chambers Bay  in 2016 and T18 at The US PGA Champonship in Baltusrol. The American also ticks a few key statistical boxes here ranking 12th in driving accuracy, 23rd in strokes gained putting and 28th in scrambling. Kisner is another proven wind specialist and could be another one to keep an eye on here.

 

Final Selections – 

Rickie Fowler 1pt EW 20/1 

Jon Rahm 1pt EW 20/1 

Thomas Pieters 0.5pts EW 40/1 

Branden Grace 0.5pts EW 40/1 

Kevin Kisner 0.5pts EW 55/1 

Total staked = 7 pts

 

*Paddypower paying 8 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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FedEx St. Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards 

The Course

Apologies for my absence folks it’s been a very busy few weeks but it’s great to be back. After the Duf winning on Jack’s stomping ground in Ohio, we move on to the FedEx St. Jude Classic, the last event before we head over to Erin Hills for the 2017 edition of the US Open. This event is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958 and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989.

TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.The fairways are undulating and narrow but the rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course.  The greens here are Bermuda and are smaller than average by tour standards with tricky undulations. Players will need decent accuracy with their approach shots and a pretty warm putter to score well here. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.

The weather looks pretty good for the tournament days and should be relatively uninterrupted.

 

Adam Scott 12/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 12/1

The Aussie has been playing well throughout the season and comes here on the back of two top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at the Masters in Augusta finishing T9 and followed that with a T6 at The Players Championship shooting rounds of 70,72,71,70 to post five under par in total. Scott has had some good performances on tricky courses this year including a T11 in Riviera at the Genesis Open and T14 at The Honda at the end of February.

Scott has only played here once before finishing seventh in 2007 and also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 17th in driving distance, 12th in birdie average and 293rd in par 4 birdie or better leaders. He is one of the best players in the field here this week and has to be respected given his decent record on Bermuda Greens.

 

Kyle Stanley Fedex St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Kyle Stanley 28/1

I’ve been keeping an eye on Kyle Stanley over the last few weeks and he seems to be coming into some nice form lately. He has been playing well over the last couple of months finishing T17 at Bay Hill, T8 in Houston, T4 at the Players and T6 last week at the Memorial.

Although Stanley has played here four times before, his best finish was T49 back in 2012 but he is in much better form this time around. Statswise he looks like he could really suit this course ranking 16th in driving accuracy, second in GIR, ninth in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. He looks to be in great shape coming into this week and could be one to watch.

 

 

Russell Henley 28/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 28/1

Henley has had a great season so far and seems to be showing some great consistency over the last few months. He started with a T14 at the Sanderson Farms and followed that with a T10 at The RSM Classic, T13 at The Sony, T16 in Phoenix, T9 at the Valspar, a win in Houston and an impressive T11 at The Masters. He has fractionally gone off the boil lately but he has a good record here at TPC Southwind finishing 27th in 2013 and seventh last year.

Henley looks like another player that could suit this course statswise ranking 22nd in GIR, 20th in birdie average, ninth in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. I thought 28/1 was great value for a guy that’s in great form lately.

 

Kevin Tway 50/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Kevin Tway 50/1

After a bit of a slow start to the PGA Tour season, Kevin Tway looks to be finding his feet over the last couple of months with some great performances on tricky courses. He had a great week at the Texas Open finishing T3 and followed that with a solo third in New Orleans after a superb final round 61. Tway then travelled to the Wells Fargo finishing T5 and followed that with a respectable T20 at the Byron Nelson and a T18 in Colonial.

Statswise he ranks sixth in driving distance and 29th in strokes gained off the tee. Tway seeme to be playing with some decent consistency recently and looks great value here this week.

 

Final selections

Adam Scott 12/1 1pt EW

Kyle Stanley 28/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Henley 28/1 0.5pts EW

Kevin Tway 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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