PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017 – Quail Hollow

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina  

7,600 yards, Par 71

The Course 

Quail Hollow is the host course of the Wells Fargo Championship since 2003 and is a tough test measuring a lengthy 7,600 yards. Previous winners here include Brian Harman (2017), James Hahn (2016), Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010) J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012) and Lucas Glover (2011). 

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003. 

The course has undergone some fairly big changes in preparation for this event and promises to a little more challenging than in previous years. They greens have had some major surgery changing from bentgrass to Bermuda. A lot of trees have also been removed to allow for more sunlight to hit the greens and re-shape the golf course. Some of the opening holes have had some renovations done with the old first and second being brought together and posing as a testing 540 yard par 4. The fifth has been changed from a par 5 to a par 4, the eighth hole is now a driveable 340 yard par 4 and the second hole is now a new par 3. The 11th hole has been lengthened and had some extra bunkers added to it.

Length looks to be a huge advantage along with hitting plenty of greens. The main stats that stand out here are driving distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.  

 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 

Matsuyama was outstanding last Sunday in the final round in Firestone shooting a flawless 61 to win his second WGC title and his third PGA Tour win this season. Its hard to find any fault in any part of his game from driving it bullet straight to stitching his approach shots and holing everything on the greens.

His form has been pretty good this season and he seems to be really heating up lately with a win, a top five and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a great week in Erin Hills finishing T2 at the US Open after an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T14 at The Open Championship in Royal Birkdale and seemed to be striking the ball very well but missed a few putts. Matsuyama won in Phoenix earlier this year which also has Bermuda greens so that looks to be a big positive for this weeks venue.

His record around Quail Hollow is decent finishing T38 in 2014, T20 in 2015 and 11th last year. Statswise he ranks 22nd in driving distance averaging just over 304 off the tee. He also ranks sixth in GIR, first in par 5 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. He is the man in form coming to the PGA this week and it could be his time to win his first major.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie Fowler is another player in fine form coming into this week and has to be respected here. He has four top 10’s in his last six starts three of which were top fives. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at The US Open and a T3 at the Quicken Loans National which included a 68,65 over the weekend. He then travelled to Birkdale and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish a respectable T22. Last week at the WGC Bridgestone, Fowler was steady as a rock throughout the week shooting 70,71,67,66 on his way to a solo ninth.

He has a good record here in Quail Hollow getting his first PGA Tour win here in 2012. He also finished T6 in 2010 and T4 last year. Fowler is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee ranking 32nd in driving distance, 36th in GIR, first in SG putting and fifth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history on this course, Fowler looks another big contender here.

 

Daniel Berger 60/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 60/1

I am sticking to my guns and backing Berger for the second week running here. He has been in great form lately with a win and two top 5’s in his last six starts. He had a great week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting two 66’s to win by one. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where he lost in a dramatic playoff to Jordan Speith. He then traveled to TPC Deere Run where he finished T5 at the John Deere Classic  which included an impressive third round 63.

Berger has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T28 in 2015. He has played well in the Majors over the last couple of years finishing T10 in Augusta last year, T27 at the Masters this year and a T27 at The Open in Birkdale. Statswise he ranks 44th in GIR, 26th in SG putting, 24th in SGTTG, 18th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring.

 

Tony Finau PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Tony Finau 80/1 

When it comes to bombers, Tony Finau is up there with the longest on tour off the tee and this could be a course that suits his powerful game. He looks to be in great shape coming to Quail Hollow with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last four starts. He played well at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week to finish a respectable T17. He followed that with a T29 at The Quicken Loans and a T7 at The Greenbrier where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week. Finau then travelled to Royal Birkdale and finished in a respectable T27 at The Open and had a great performance in Canada a week later finishing T5 at the Canadian Open.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 in 2015 and T28 last year. Finau is averaging just over 306 yards off the tee ranking sixth in driving distance, fifth in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 10th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With great current form, a long golf course and an average drive of over 300 yards, this course could set up well for big hitting Finau.

 

Xander Shauffele PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Xander Shauffele – Top 20 Finish – 4/1 

The young American has made quite an impression this season and looks to be playing some great golf lately. He had a good week at the US Open shooting rounds of 66,73,70,69 to finish T5 at Erin Hills in his first major appearance. He followed that with a T14 at the Travelers, a win at the Greenbrier Classic where he didnt shoot worse than a 69, a T20 at the Open Championship and a T13 in Firestone last week at the WGC Bridgestone.

Statswise Shauffele ticks alot of boxes here for Quail Hollow ranking 17th in driving distance averaging just over 305 off the tee. He also ranks 20th in GIR, 23rd in SG Putting and 10th in par 4 scoring. He has put together some huge performances in big events this season and with his length he looks a great bet for a top 20 this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 1pt EW

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 60/1 0.5pts EW

Tony Finau 80/1 0.5pts EW

Xander Shauffele Top 20 – 4/1 2pt win 

Total staked = 8pts 

*Most bookies paying 8 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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US Open Betting Preview 2016

US Open Betting Preview 2016 OakmontOakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania

Par 70, 7,230 Yards

The Course

I’ve been doing some reading up on Oakmont and the general consensus is its very tough and going to be a huge test for the players. Daniel Berger tweeted last week “The rough is on steroids you can’t advance the ball 10 yards sometimes” which says it all really. This course last hosted the US Open back in 2007 where Angel Cabrera won on a score of +5. The course was designed by Henry Fownes and was opened 113 years ago in 1903. It straddles the Allegheny River Valley and uniquely has virtually no water hazards, and, since 2007, almost no trees. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The shortest hole is the par 3 13th measuring 183 yards. The longest hole is the par 5 12th measuring a lengthy 667 yards.

With a USGA course rating of 77.5 and some 200 bunkers it is generally regarded as one of the most difficult in the US. It features large, extremely fast, and undulating Poa annua grass greens.

The course is also noted for its slope. In particular, on holes 1, 3, 10, and 12, the greens pitch away from the fairway. One of Oakmont’s most famous hazards is the Church Pews bunker that comes into play on the 3rd and 4th holes. It measures approximately 100 by 40 yards (91 by 37 m) and features twelve grass covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.

Arnold Palmer famously said “You can hit 72 greens in regulation in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning”. It seems the main areas of focus are negotiating these tricky greens. Making enough putts could be the key to winning around here along with GIR and a mix between power and accuracy.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 7/1

There is no other golfer on the planet playing as well as Jason Day at the moment. He has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass. He had a mediocre performance at Memorial finishing T27 and took a break last week.

Day has a great US Open record finishing eighth in Chambers Bay in 2015, fourth in Pinehurst in 2014, second in Merion in 2013 and second in Congressional in 2012. He seems to be a player with a complete game for this course and ranks first in strokes gained putting, second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and 20th in driving distance. With superb current form and a great all round game Day has to be the man to beat here.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Despite taking a rest with a back injury over the last few weeks Justin Rose looks to be pain free according to his Twitter profile. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last nine starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters. More recently he finished T19 at The Players and solo third at The Wells Fargo and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 all week.

The Englishman has a good record in US Opens over the years finishing 27th in Chambers Bay last year, 12th in Pinehurst in 2014, a win in Merion in 2013 and a T21 in Olympic in 2012. Rose also played well in Oakmont in 2007 finishing T10 and comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks fifth in GIR and 18th in driving distance and if he stays injury free he could be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

Despite a poor performance at Memorial, Matsuyama has been playing well over the last couple of months and has four top 11’s in his last six starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T7 at The Players Championship. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo.

He has played in three US Opens and hasn’t finished worse than T35. He finished 18th in Chambers Bay, T35 in Pinehurst in 2014 and T10 in Merion in 2013 . He ranks 14th in GIR, seventh in par 4 scoring, 25th in par 5 scoring and third in strokes gained around the green. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and could be a big contender here.

 

Brooks Koepka 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 50/1 

Brooks played great last week at The St.Jude shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T2. He also came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds but lost in a playoff to Sergio Garcia after shooting a final round 71. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has played well in his two previous US Open appearances finishing 18th last year in Chambers Bay and fourth in Pinehurst in 2014.

Kopeka is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging 305 off the tee and ranks ninth in driving distance. He also ranks sixth in strokes gained around the green and seventh in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and could have the game to suit a tricky Oakmont setup.

 

Patrick Reed 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 50/1

With six top 15’s in his last nine starts Patrick Reed’s game looks in great shape to take on mighty Oakmont. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston and a solo second in Texas. More recently he finished T15 at Colonial which included a 65,69,69 the first three rounds capped off with a final round 71 to post six under for the week. He had another good performance at Memorial finishing T8 which also included three rounds in the 60’s.

Reed has played in two US Opens and he seems to be getting better every time he plays. He finished T14 in Chambers Bay last year and had a respectable T35 at Pinehurst in 2014. He also looks good statistically ranking 51st in driving distance, 13th in SGTTG and first in strokes gained around the green. He also ranks fourth in scrambling and 14th in par 5 scoring. He looks good value to have a solid week on a course that could suit.

 

Danny Willett 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Danny Willett 50/1

The Masters champion has had a superb season and arrives this week feeling fresh after some time off since Wentworth where he finished solo third. He had a good three rounds the week before in Ireland but had a poor final round to finish T23. He also had a good week at the WGC Cadillac finishing T3 and followed that with a T22 at The Valspar. He then went on to shoot an unreal 67 in round four in Augusta to win The Masters and beat Jordan Spieth. The Englishman also won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier in the season so he is no stranger to winning.

He has featured in two US Open’s in 2014 and 2015. He missed the cut in Chambers Bay last year and finished T45 in Pinehurst in 2014. Despite his average record in US Open’s, he has proved he can contend and win in the best fields. He also looks good on paper ranking fourth in stroke average, 25th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained putting. Danny has to be respected here and could be in with a chance given his current form.

 

Final selections – 

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 50/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 50/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 50/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts 

 

Most bookies paying 7 places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s team matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jason Day The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 13/2

The Aussie has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He started the week with an opening 63 and followed that with a 66 on Friday. He looked to be in complete control of his game throughout the week and despite his less than impressive record here at Muirfield, I wouldn’t be surprised if he won again this week. Day has been playing great golf this year and got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay winning back to back. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass.

Day’s best finish here is T33 in 2010 but he should able to improve on that this time around. He ticks all the boxes here statistically ranking 13th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 37th in GIR. He also ranks third in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring which are two stats that should suit Muirfield. Although Spieth and McIlroy have a big chance and deserve huge respect, Day for me makes the most appeal here and looks to be unstoppable lately.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 16/1

Matsuyama is in fine form coming here this week and could be a massive contender. He has four top 11’s in his last five starts and comes here on the back of a T7 at The Players Championship at Sawgrass. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo. Matsuyama got his first PGA Tour victory here at Muirfield in 2014 and recorded another top five finish last year finishing T5.

He also looks good statswise ranking fifth in SGTTG, 11th in GIR, fourth in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a great record on this course Matsuyama looks to have a great chance here.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

Bubba has gone a bit quiet over the last few weeks and took some time off after The Players where he finished T43 for the tournament. He has been playing well this season finishing T14 in Phoenix, a win at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open and solo second at The WGC Cadillac after shooting an impressive final round 68.

Watson has played well here in the past and came close to winning here in 2014. He was two clear going into the back 9 but finished bogey-double bogey on 14 and 15 to miss out on the playoff by one stroke and ended up finishing third. Big hitting Bubba ranks second in SGTTG, sixth in driving distance, third in GIR, 33rd in par 4 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. After coming so close in 2014 Bubba could get back to winning ways here.

 

Jason Dufner 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Dufner 50/1

Dufner looks to be back showing some form lately and played well last week in Colonial finishing T6. He didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week firing 68,69,66,70 to finish nine under for the tournament. He also had a good performance at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and also didn’t shoot worse than a 70. Dufner has shown decent form this year and had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge at the start of February and followed that with a T11 at the WGC Cadillac and a T22 at The Valspar.

He has played well here in Ohio in the past finishing T24 last year and T19 in 2014. Statistically he ranks 22nd in SGTTG, 10th in GIR, 23RD in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders. If he can keep the putter rolling on the greens Dufner should have a good chance here at a generous price.

 

Daniel Berger 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016 Daniel Berger 50/1

The young American is one of the form players at the moment and could be one to keep a beady eye on here. He hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last seven starts. Berger played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He has played here once in the past missing the cut last year but should improve on that this week. He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 31st in strokes gained tee to green and 12th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 2pts EW 13/2

Hideki Matsuyama 2pts EW 16/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 50/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 50/1

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida 

Par 72, 7,215 yards  

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with Bermuda grass greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.  Its also worth considering looking at players that have gone well on other Pete Dye designed courses such as Hilton Head, host course of The RBC Heritage, TPC Louisiana which hosts the Zurich Classic and TPC River Highlands host of The Travelers Championship.

 

Jason Day The Players Championship 2016 Betting Preview

Jason Day 12/1

Quite surprising to see the Aussie at 12’s this week considering the form he is in. He played well at the weather stricken Zurich Classic in New Orleans recently finishing T5 and could have finished in a better position if it weren’t for the weather disruptions. He has had a good season so far with back to back wins in Bay Hill and The WGC Matchplay. He followed that with a T10 in Augusta and a T23 at The RBC Heritage in Hilton Head.

He has played well here in Sawgrass in the past finishing T19 in 2013 and T6 in 2011. He ranks second in strokes gained putting, 23rd in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring. After dominating performances earlier in the season and after a break last week, Day could be a major threat here at a decent price. He always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and I expect another solid performance this week.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 The PLayers Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 28/1

Matsuyama had a mixed bag last week in Quail Hollow the first three rounds but finished strongly with a final round 69 to finish T11. He hasn’t finished worse than 18th in his last four tournaments and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He finished T11 last week in Charlotte, T7 at The Masters, T18 at The WGC Matchplay and T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He looks like a player that could suit this course and is hitting plenty of greens ranking 13th in GIR and fifth in strokes gained tee to green. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1

The South African has been playing great golf over the last few months and looks like he is ready and waiting to win a big one any day now. He has shown some great form over the last few weeks and with the exception of a missed cut at The Masters, Grace hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last seven events. He started the year with a T4 at The SA Open and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi, a win in Qatar, T23 in Doral, T18 at The Matchplay, a win at the tricky and tight Hilton Head at The RBC Heritage and a T9 in  Texas.

Although he hasn’t the best record on this course over the last couple of years, statistically he looks a great fit here. He ranks 34th in scrambling, 23rd in GIR, 11th in SGTTG and second in par 4 scoring. With excellent current form Grace looks a superb value here this week.

 

Danny Willett 40/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Danny Willett 40/1

Its Dannys first event since his dramatic win in Augusta and he will be fresh and ready to contend once again here at Sawgrass this week. The Englishman has been in fine form this season and with the exception of a T45 in Malaysia, he hasn’t finished outside the 30 in his last five events. He started the season with a win at The Dubai Desert Classic and followed that with a 3rd place finish in Doral, T22 at The Valspar, T28 at the Matchplay and a win in Augusta.

He has only played Sawgrass once, in 2014 and missed the cut but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks 22nd in GIR, 22nd in Sand Saves and 12th in strokes gained tee to green. With this being a tight, tricky test with plenty of doglegs, Sawgrass could be right up Danny’s street.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Louis Oosthuizen 55/1

Louis is playing some great golf at the moment and has taken some time off since the Masters, which could be a big positive here. Despite missing the cut in Houston, the South African hasn’t finished worse than 14th in his last six starts. He played well in Malaysia finishing T12 and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

His best finish at Sawgrass came in 2013 when he finished 19th but he could improve on that this time around. He ranks 12th in GIR and 23rd in stroke average this season and looks to have the game that could suit this course. Louis has been in good form this season and I expect that to continue here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jason Day 12/1 2pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 1pt EW

Branden Grace 45/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 40/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 1pt EW

 

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016

Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina

7,562 yards, Par 72

The Course

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte and is a lengthy 7,562 yards. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010), J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011) and Sean O’Hair (2009).

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003.

It has narrow, tree lined fairways which can be tricky to hit with bunkers and water hazards coming into play so accuracy and length off the tee will be important here. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 508 yard par 4 16th, the 221 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.

 

Rory McIlroy 9/2 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Rory McIlroy 9/2

Rory is playing some good golf at present with three top 10’s in his last four tournaments and has a superb record here in Quail Hollow. He completely dominated this event last year winning by a massive seven strokes and shot a 61 on the Saturday in round three.

He had a good week in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and held the 54 hole lead but sadly shot a final round 74 to finish T3. He followed that with a T27 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, solo 4th at the WGC Matchplay and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters.

McIlroy boasts a superb record on this course over the last few years. He has two wins and three top 10’s in six appearances in Quail Hollow. He won in 2010 and 2015 and came T8 in 2014, T10 in 2013 and 2nd in 2012. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 13th in driving distance, 29th in GIR and first in par 5 scoring. Length will be a big plus around this course and we know that’s right up Rory’s street. With a superb record here and good current form Rory looks the man to beat.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 25/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 25/1

Matsuyama is a player to keep on side this week and could be a huge contender. He has two top 10’s in his last three starts and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He followed that win with a T11 at The Northern Trust Open in Riviera, T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T7 at The Masters.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T20 last year and T38 in 2014. He ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just over n292 off the tee, 12th in GIR and fifth in SGTTG. He also ranks fifth in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016J.B. Holmes 30/1

Big hitting J.B has been playing well this season with six top 15’s in his last eight starts. He looked to be back his best after a shooting a 68 in the final round of The Masters to finish T4 and followed that with a respectable T13 in Texas. His good run of form started with a T6 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers Insurance Open, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Riviera at the Northern Trust Open and a T11 the week before at The AT&T in Pebble Beach.

He has played well at this course in the past with a win in 2014 and a T9 in 2011. J.B is averaging over 310 off the tee ranking third in driving distance, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 17th in SGTTG. Holmes is playing solid golf at the moment and has the length to dominate the par 5’s and the long par 4’s.

 

Byeong Hun An 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Byeong Hun An 33/1 

He played well here last year finishing in a respectable T28. He ranks 25th in driving distance, 29th in GIR and 29th in par 4 scoring. With a good performance here last year Berger has the length and is playing well enough to go better again this time around.

Ben An came agonisingly close to winning his first PGA Tour event last week in New Orleans. He played solid all week shooting rounds of 68,68,65 to get into a playoff with Jamie Lovemark and Brian Stuard but was knocked out on the first playoff hole. He has been playing well on both tours lately finishing second last week in New Orleans and T9 at The WGC Dell Matchplay.

He started well on The European Tour earlier this year with T4 in Dubai which included a 69,65 over the weekend and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi. He is no stranger to winning on the big stage with a huge win at the European Tour’s flagship event The BMW PGA Championship in Wentworth.

An is a big hitter averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 13th in GIR and 13th in SGTTG so far this season. He is a top class player and looks to have the game to suit this course.

 

Kevin Chappell 45/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 45/1

Chappell has been in great form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Valero Texas Open a couple of weeks ago and finished T4 for the tournament. He came close to winning in Bay Hill the week before but was denied by the in from Jason Day and finished second. He went on to have a T26 at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open, second in Bay Hill, T9 at The RBC Heritage and a T4 in Texas.

Chappell has a good record at this event finishing 16th last year and 11th in 2014. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He looks an in form player at the moment and looks good value to have a decent week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Rory McIlroy 3pts EW 9/2

Hideki Matsuyama 1pt EW 25/1 

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 30/1 

Byeong Hun An 1pt EW 33/1 

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 45/1 

Total staked = 14 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2015

CIMB Classic Betting Preview and Tips 2015

Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia

Par 72, 6,967 yards 

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the third time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on The European Tour for the last six years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Last year Ryan Moore was the winner for the second time in a row beating Sergio Garcia, Kevin Na and Gary Woodland by three strokes to finish on 17 under for the tournament.

The course is a par 71 measuring a short 6,985 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue. The greens here are large, undulating and guarded by lots of bunkers so good scrambling will be required. Water is in play on 13 holes and will present some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s.

Statistically, players that putt well and hit a lot of greens tend to go well on this course. The main areas of focus are current/previous form, GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather can make this course quite soft this time of year so expect the greens to be quite receptive. The weather forecast is expected to be hot and humid for the four days with some showers and the possibly some thunderstorms expected with light winds.

 

Kevin Na 14/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2015

Kevin Na 14/1

It’s hard to leave Na out of the equation this week given his last two performances. He came agonisingly close to winning the Frys but was beaten in a playoff by Emiliano Grillo on the first playoff hole. He then had another top performance last week at The Shriners shooting a final round 67 on his way to a T2 finish. Na played well all through the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T20 at The Barclays, T10 at The BMW Championship and T16 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well here at Kuala Lumpur before finishing T2 last year, T10 in 2012 and T21 in 2010. Kevin also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking eighth in GIR, second in strokes gained tee to green and fourth in par 4 scoring. With a good record at this course and great current form, Kevin Na could be one to watch.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1

Matsuyama had a good start to the new season finishing in a respectable T17 at The Frys shooting two 69’s to finish on 10 under par for the tournament. He had a good season last year and played well at The Presidents Cup and all throughout the FedExCup Playoffs. He finished T13 at The Barclays, T25 at The Deutsche Bank, T7 at The BMW and T12 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well on this course in the past finishing T21 last year and T25 in 2013. At The Frys, he ranked 16th in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and 10th in par 5 scoring. If he take that good from into this week he should be right in the mix.

 

Patrick Reed 18/1 CIMB Classic 2015

Patrick Reed 20/1

After a great performance last week in Hong Kong finishing T3, Patrick reed looks in great form coming into this week. He is another player that had a good finish to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA, T4 at The Deutsche Bank and a T28 at The BMW. He also played well at The Presidents Cup winning one and a half points for the US Team in Korea.

Reed has played this event twice before finishing T26 last year and T40 in 2013. Last season Reed ranked 19th in strokes gained putting, 28th in scrambling and 18th in par 4 scoring. After playing well in Hong Kong, Reed won’t have any jetlag to deal with and should be fresh coming to Kuala Lumpur this week.

 

Danny Lee 28/1 CIMB Classic 2015

Danny Lee 28/1

Danny had a great year last season and recorded his first victory on tour with a win at The Greenbrier Classic. He followed that with a T3 at The John Deere, T4 at The Quicken Loans and a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone. Most recently, he played well at The FedExCup Playoffs finishing T30 at The Barclays, T33 at The Deutsche Bank, T47 at The BMW and a T2 at The Tour Championship at East Lake.

Danny has played well here in the past finishing T13 here last year. He started well shooting two 69’s in rounds one and two but shot a disappointing 73 in round three. He finished well shooting a final round 68 and should be more experienced this time around. Last season he ranked 23rd in strokes gained putting, second in par 3 scoring and 26th in par 4 scoring. Lee has proven he can compete at the highest level and should be right in the mix here this week.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Na 14/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 1.5 pts EW

Patrick Reed 18/1 1.5pts EW

Danny Lee 28/1 1.5 pts EW

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

North Course, Silverado Resort & Spa, Napa Valley, California

Par 72 7,203 yards

It’s great to be back! Let’s hope we have yet another profitable year for the 2015/2016 season.

Silverado Resort & Spa measures a lengthy 7,203 yards and has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s. It was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr in the 1960’s and was renovated by Johnny Miller in 2011. The fairways are tree lined with forgiving rough so missing the fairways here will not be a big deal. There are quite a lot of nice features around the course such as old Oak trees, elevation changes and water features and crossings. The greens are bent grass and are average size by PGA Tour standards and can get quite fast depending on weather conditions.

There is not a lot of data to go on here as this is only the second time this course has hosted the tournament but judging by last year, length does not seem to be a huge advantage. Players that have accurate iron play and the ability to negotiate these tricky bent grass greens should go well here this week. Top stats to consider are par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, approach stats, SGTTG and SGP.

Last year’s champion Sang-Moon Bae will not be able to defend his title as he has to serve two years military service, which is a compulsory requirement in all South Korean men. However, there are some big names in the field including World No. 3 Rory McIlroy, No. 7 Justin Rose, Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama, Charl Schwartzel and Chris Kirk. The weather is set to be sunny, dry and warm with light winds with the possibility of some showers over the weekend.

 

Justin Rose 8/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Justin Rose 8/1

After taking the last couple of weeks off, Justin Rose comes into this week in good form. He had a great finish to the 2014/15 season at The Tour Championship where he finished T2 shooting a superb final round 66 at East Lake. He has been playing some great golf over the last couple of months. He lost a playoff to David Lingmerth at The Memorial finishing P2 and followed that with a T6 at The Open, T4 at The Quicken Loans, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, solo fourth at The PGA, T16 at The Barclays and a T13 at The BMW.

Rose ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking ninth in GIR, 18th in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and sixth in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks first in approaches from 75-100, first in approaches from 175-200 and first in approaches from 200-225, which are good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. With top notch accuracy stats, Rose should score well here on his first visit to Silverado.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1

After winning two and a half points for the International Team at The Presidents Cup last week, Hideki Matsuyama will come to California this week feeling good about his game. As well as playing super last week in Korea, Matsuyama has been playing well for the last few months with 14 top 25’s in his last 17 tournaments. He had a good week at The Barclays finishing T13 and followed that with a T25 at The Deutsche Bank, T7 at The BMW and a T12 in East Lake at The Tour Championship. He had a great week here last year finishing T3 on 12 under for the tournament.

Statswise he ranks 21st in GIR, eighth in strokes gained tee to green, third in par 4 scoring and 24th in par 5 scoring. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 125-150, seventh in approaches from 175-200 and 15th in approaches from 50-75. After a solid performance in Korea last week, Matsuyama could be a big danger man here.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Brooks Koepka 22/1

The young American has been playing steady golf all season on both The PGA Tour and The European Tour. He had a great week at The Alfred Dunhill Links recently finishing T2 after shooting 64,67 over the weekend to finish on 16 under for the tournament. He also played well in the FedEx Cup Finale finishing T18 at The Tour Championship. Koepka put in huge performances at this year’s majors finishing T18 at The US Open, T10 at The Open Championship and T5 recently at The PGA Championship.

His form at this event has been good over the last couple of years. He finished T8 here on this course last year and T3 at Cordevalle in 2013. Statswise he ranks 17th in GIR, 34th in strokes gained tee to green and 17th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks second in approaches from 175-200, 10th in approaches from 200, 10th in par 4 scoring and seventh in par 5 scoring. With good finishes at The Tour Championship and The Dunhill Links recently, Koepka is one of the better players in this field and could be one to keep an eye on here.

 

Robert Streb 35/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Robert Streb 35/1

I was quite surprised to see a player of Streb’s calibre priced at 35/1. After winning the McGladrey Classic at the beginning of last season, Streb went on to have a great year finishing with seven top 25’s in his last nine events. He lost a playoff to Danny Lee at The Greenbrier Classic finishing P2 and followed that with a T14 at The John Deere, T18 at The Open Championship, solo fifth at The Bridgestone, T10 at The PGA, T23 at The BMW and T18 at The Tour Championship.

He played this event last year and finished in a respectable T31. He ranks 27th in GIR, 24th in strokes gained putting and seventh in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks second in par 3 scoring and 18th in par 4 scoring which will be a big help here with its ten par 4’s and four par 3’s. Streb is a better player coming here this time around and is most certainly one of the better players in this field.

 

Steven Bowditch 80/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Stephen Bowditch 80/1

The Aussie was part of the losing Presidents Cup team last week but played quite well himself throughout the week. He was drawn to play Jimmy Walker in the Sunday Singles and beat him 2 up so his game looks in good shape. Along with his win at The Byron Nelson, Bowditch had a good finish to the season with three top 15’s in his last six events. He finished T12 at The WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The Barclays and T12 at The Tour Championship.

Bowditch played well here last year shooting 67,67 over the weekend to finish solo second. He ranks 11th in approaches from 125-150, third in scrambling, 25th in par 3 scoring and 30th in par 4 scoring. After a solid performance at The Presidents Cup, the Aussie comes here in good form and could go well at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Justin Rose 8/1 2pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Brooks Koepka 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Robert Streb 35/1 1 pt EW

Stephen Bowditch 80/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina

Par 70, 7127 yards

Last Week –

What a superb performance from Jason Day last week securing his first major by beating his nearest challenger, Jordan Spieth, by three strokes. After coming so close this year at The Open and US Open, Day shot a superb final round 67 to clinch victory giving us a 14/1 winner. Branden Grace also gave us a great run for our money finishing solo third at 80/1 giving us a nice 20/1 place. After The PGA Championship, that gives us +286.74 pts in profit so far this season. Let’s keep it going this week at The Wyndham!

 

The Course

After all the excitement of The PGA Championship in Whistling Straits last week, the PGA Tour now travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.

Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards. There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. As always, I’ll be also be checking course history and current form along with some approach stats.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 Wyndham Championship 2015

Brooks Koepka 16/1

The young American has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last six starts. He had a great performance last week in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.

He has played here once before finishing in a respectable T38 last year, but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks seventh in driving distance, 21st in GIR, third in strokes gained putting and third in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. Kopeka comes here in great form and looks right on the cusp of a win any day now and it could well be here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Snedeker has been showing some great form recently with five top 12’s in his last seven starts. He played well at Whistling Straits last week finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker is a real horse for the course with three top 10’s in his last six appearances since 2009. He was fifth in 2009, eighth in 2010 and fifth here last year. He also won this event back in 2007, but that was on a different course.

Statswise, he ranks seventh in strokes gained putting, 13th in approaches from 50-125, fifth in scrambling, 10th in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. Sneds is a horse for the course and given this is a pretty weak field, I would expect him to go very close here considering his current and previous form here.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 20/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 20/1

Although he didn’t really get going last week in Whistling Straits, I think Matsuyama could go well here at The Wyndham. Despite two T37’s in his last two starts, Matsuyama has been showing superb consistency throughout the year with eight top 10 finishes already under his belt. He has finished inside the top 25 in 10 of his 12 events including four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Northern Trust Open where he finished T4 and followed that with a T23 at The WGC Cadillac, T21 at The Arnold Palmer, solo 5th at The Masters, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a T17 at The Players. Most recently, he finished T20 at The Wells Fargo, T5 at Memorial, T18 at The US Open and T18 at The Open Championship.

He has played here twice before finishing T15 in 2013 and a missed cut last year. Statswise he ranks 23rd in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and third in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks third in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama ticks a lot of boxes here and could be a big contender.

 

Branden Grace 22/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Branden Grace 22/1

After finishing solo third last week in Whistling Straits getting us some place money at 80/1, I am happy to put my faith in Branden Grace once again this week. He has had a great season so far with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. His good run of form began back at The RBC Heritage finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at The WGC Matchplay. He finished T4 at Chambers Bay, T20 at The Open, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and solo third last week at The PGA.

He ranks 23rd in driving distance, eighth in strokes gained putting, eighth in approaches from 225-250, eighth in scrambling and 26th in par 3 scoring. This will be his first appearance here at this event and he looks in great shape form wise to be right in contention.

 

Will Wilcox 40/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2015

Will Wilcox 40/1

Wilcox has been showing some superb form over the last few weeks with nine top 25’s in his last 12 starts. He played well at The Sanderson Farms finishing T14 and followed that with a T18 at Pebble beach. He also finished T6 in Puerto Rico, T22 at The Byron Nelson, T12 at The FedEx St Jude,T8 at The John Deere and solo second at The Barbasol, finishing a couple of strokes behind the winner Scott Piercy. Most recently, he finished in a respectable T21 at The Quicken Loans National and followed that with a T10 at The Barracuda. Wilcox played here once before finishing in a respectable T24 last year.

Statswise Wilcox seems to fit the bill here ranking 14th in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks sixth in par 3 scoring and third in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and is the kind of player that could go all the way here this week, especially in a weakened field.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 2pts EW 16/1

Brandt Snedeker 2pts EW 18/1

Hideki Matsuyama 1pt EW 20/1

Branden Grace 1pt EW 22/1

Will Wilcox 1pt EW 40/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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USPGA Championship 2015 Betting Preview

USPGA Championship 2015 Betting Preview

Whistling Straits, Kohler, Wisconsin

7,790 yards, par 72

The Course

The Straits Course is a Pete Dye designed par 72 and is the flagship course at Whistling Straits. It has 10 par 4’s, four par 5’s and four par 3’s. It is a links style course and replicated the old links courses of the UK and Ireland. It hosted the 2004 PGA Championship won by Vijay Singh in a playoff over Chris DiMarco and Justin Leonard, the 2007 U.S. Senior Open won by Brad Bryant, and the 2010 PGA Championship won by Martin Kaymer in a playoff over Bubba Watson. The course is host the championship for a third time in 2015 and the 2020 Ryder Cup.

Nestled along a two-mile stretch of Lake Michigan, the course has eight holes hugging the lake, elevation changes of approximately 80 feet, and three stone bridges. The stone bridges are located on holes 1,9,10 and 18 with many scattered sand dune areas. It has vast rolling greens, deep pot bunkers, grass-topped dunes and winds that sweep in off the lake. The fairways are natural fescue fairways with bentgrass greens averaging 7,500 square feet. A lot of the greens are guarded by bunkers, over 500 scattered around the course in total, so good scramblers and bunker players will have an advantage.

There will be an element of accuracy needed around this course with a lot of scattered fairway and greenside bunkers so accuracy off the tee will be important. There are 14 water hazards in total with a lot of holes running along the coastline.

The 10 par 4’s will measure roughly 400+ yards long and will demand accurate iron play from between 100-200 yards in order to get the ball close to these pins. Some of the par 5’s could be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters depending on the wind. The average length of the par 5’s measure around the 600 yard mark, so a lot of players will be laying up with their second shots. The par 3’s will offer a tricky test and measure between 140-220 and will demand accurate iron play to make birdies.

The key areas of focus are par 3,4 and 5 scoring, GIR, strokes gained putting, accurate iron play from 100-200 yards, scrambling, driving distance/accuracy and strokes gained tee to green.

 

Jaosn Day 14/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Jason Day 14/1

The Aussie has been playing super golf so far with two wins already this season. His first win came at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines back in February beating J.B. Holmes on the second playoff hole. He also won The RBC Canadian Open recently shooting a superb final round 68 birdieing the last three holes in a row to beat Bubba Watson by one stroke. Day had a good performance last week in Firestone shooting a superb final round 69 to finish T12. He has put together some great performances in the Majors over the last few weeks finishing T9 at The US Open and T4 at The Open Championship in St Andrews. He did come close to winning and had a birdie putt on the 18th to get into the playoff with Johnson, Oosthuizen and Leishman, but it narrowly slid past the hole.

Day has played well here in Whistling Straits in the past finishing T10 in 2010, four strokes behind the winner Martin Kaymer. He has also played well in this tournament in the past finishing T15 last year in Valhalla and T8 in Oak Hill in 2013.

Statswise, Day ranks second in driving distance, 28th in GIR, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 20th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks fourth in approaches from 200-225, seventh in approaches from 175-200 second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 3 scoring and 10th in scrambling. Day has proven he can compete at the highest level and it is only a matter of time before he wins his first major and it could be here, where he has played well in the past.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Adam Scott 25/1

Scott has been showing some decent form over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last three starts. He played well in Chambers Bay shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4 at The US Open and followed that with an impressive T10 in St Andrews at The Open Championship. He has played well at the USPGA in the past finishing T15 last year in Valhalla, T5 in Oak Hill in 2013, T11 in 2012 in Kiawah Island and solo 7th in 2011 at The Athletic Club in Georgia. Scott has played this course on both previous USPGA occasions finishing T9 in 2004 and T39 in 2010.

The Aussie seems to tick a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance, second in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green, 26th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 100-125. Scott also ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring, 27th in par 5 scoring and 12th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, which is a good stat for scoring on the 12 par 4’s here. With good current form and a solid record around this course, Adam Scott could be a big threat here this week.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1

Louis has been playing well recently and looks to have put any injury concerns behind him. He looked superb at The Open and putted extremely well all week, but sadly lost a playoff to in form Zach Johnson and ended up finishing second. Despite shooting a 77 in round one, Oosthuizen also had a superb week at The US Open in Chambers Bay and recovered well shooting rounds of 66,66,67 to get right back in the thick of things and finish T2 on four under for the tournament. Over the last two majors in particular, I think Louis has been particularly impressive with the putter. He has played well at all of the WGC’s, which are all elite fields finishing solo 6th at The WGC Cadillac earlier this year, T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions and T5 at The WGC Matchplay back in March.

Louis has played well in The USPGA in the past finishing in a respectable T15 in Valhalla last year and T21 in Oak Hill in 2013.He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 32nd in driving distance, 20th in GIR, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and 27th in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks third in approaches from 200-225, sixth in approaches from 200+ and 13th in par 4 scoring. Oosthuizen always plays better on the bigger stages and is a bit overpriced here at 35/1.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1

Matsuyama has been showing superb consistency throughout the year with eight top 10 finishes already under his belt. He has finished inside the top 25 in 10 of his 11 events including four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Northern Trust Open where he finished T4 and followed that with a T23 at The WGC Cadillac, T21 at The Arnold Palmer solo 5th at The Masters, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a T17 at The Players. Most recently, he finished T20 at The Wells Fargo, T5 at Memorial, T18 at The US Open and T18 at The Open Championship.

He has played in two previous USPGA Championships finishing T35 in Valhalla last year and T19 in Oak Hill in 2013. Statswise he ranks fifth in total driving, ninth in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and ninth in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 25th in approaches from 275, 18th in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama is showing some superb consistency this season and I expect that to continue in Whistling Straits.

 

Zach Johnson 55/1 USPGA Championship 2015 Whistling Straits

Zach Johnson 55/1

Zach Johnson has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last six starts. After a brilliant win at St Andrews beating Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman in a playoff, Johnson also finished T3 at The John Deere Classic the week before, solo sixth at The Travelers and solo fifth at The Byron Nelson. His best finish at a USPGA came here at Whistling Straits in 2010 finishing third and the next best coming at Oak Hill in 2013, where he finished T8. He also played here in 2004 and finished in a respectable T37, but comes here in much better form this time around.

Statswise, Johnson ranks third in driving accuracy, 34th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green, 21st in approaches from 175-200 yards and 18th in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring, seventh in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and great current form, Zach Johnson could be a big danger here.

 

Branden Grace 80/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Branden Grace 80/1

With Whistling Straits being a linksy setup, this course could be a place where Branden Grace could flourish. He has five top 20’s in his last seven starts and comes here on the back of a respectable T17 at The WGC Bridgestone last week. He has played particularly well in the majors finishing T4 in Chambers Bay and T20 at The Open Championship. His good run of form began back at The RBC Heritage, where he finished T7 and followed that with a T9 at The WGC Matchplay.

Statswise Grace ranks 22nd in driving distance, 26th in strokes gained putting, 22nd in approaches from 175-200 yards and 22nd in scrambling. The South African has had a great year so far and I expect that to continue here at Whistling Straits this week on a course that could really suit his game.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 14/1 2pts EW

Adam Scott 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1 1pt EW

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1 1 pt EW

Zach Johnson 55/1 1 pt EW

Branden Grace 80/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

 

 

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2015

Phoenix Open pic 2

TPC Scottsdale, Arizona
Par 71, 7,266 Yards

The Course
The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last year with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes, including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot, and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the past 12 months, I think it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form at the moment that have played well here in the past.

Bubba Watson Phoenix Open pic 1

Bubba Watson 14/1
A trip to TPC Scottsdale will be Bubba’s second event on the PGA Tour in 2015 after he played well at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions earlier this month, finishing solo 10th. In his last four competitive events, Bubba has finished no worse than T11, including a win at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shangai. He followed that with a T11 at The Hero World Challenge, finishing on eight under par in total.

His record at TPC Scottsdale is quite impressive with two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last three starts. He came agonisingly close to winning here last year but lost to Kevin Stadler on the first playoff hole. He also finished solo 15th in 2013 and T5 in 2012. Statswise, Bubba ranks 26th in driving distance, hitting an average of 300 yards off the tee. He also ranks first in birdie average and first in approaches from 175-200, which is a good stat for the par 3’s and approaches into the short par 5’s.

With good current form and good previous form on this course, Bubba looks like a player that has the game to suit TPC Scottsdale and should have a good week here.

Rickie Fowler Phoenix Open pic 1

Rickie Fowler 18/1
This will be Rickie’s first event of 2015 and he will be looking to kick off with a good week at TPC Scottsdale. He comes here with some of the best form in the field with nine top 10 finishes in his last 10 competitive starts, which includes five top 5’s. This good run began back in June, where he finished T2 at The US Open and continued on from there. He had a good finish to the season in the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T4 at The BMW and solo 8th at the Tour Championship.

In his last two starts, he had a good performance at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T3 and followed that with another top 10 at The Hero World Challenge in December finishing T6. He has played well here in the past with a T13 in 2011 and a solo 2nd in 2010. Fowler is a player that has the distance and the current form to overpower this course and have a good week here.

Hideki Matsuyama 1

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1
Matsuyama has been playing good golf since the start of the new season and began with a T3 at The Frys.com Open and followed that with another top 10 at The Shriners finishing T10 on 13 under par.

Most recently, he has recorded two top 15’s in his last three starts, finishing solo 13th at The Hero World Challenge and T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, losing to Patrick Reed by one stroke.
He played well here last year shooting a total of 14 under par to finish T4, two strokes behind the eventual winner, Kevin Stadler.

Statswise, he ranks 39th in driving distance hitting it an average of 298 off the tee. He also ranks 36th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in approaches from 225-250, which is good for the par 5’s. After a good week last year, Matsuyama looks to have the game and the form to go well here again.

Brendan Steele pic 2

Brendan Steele 33/1
Brendan Steele is playing good golf at the moment and hasn’t missed a cut in his last nine events. He had a great week at The Humana Challenge shooting an impressive final round 64 to finish on 21 under par and T2 for the tournament. Before last week, his best finish this season was back at The Frys.com in October where he posted a T21. Steele is a horse for the course here with three top 10’s in his last three appearances at TPC Scottsdale.

He had a good week last year finishing T6, he finished T6 again in 2013 and T5 in 2012. Steele ranks 11th in driving distance, hitting it an average of 306 off the tee. He also ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green, 18th in birdie average and fifth in approaches from 200-225. With good previous form here and a great finish last week at the Humana, Brendan Steele looks like a good shout here.

First Round Leader –

Bubba Watson 20/1
With such a good record on this course over the last few years, Bubba has shot no worse than a 70 in his opening round here at TPC Scottsdale, and that has steadily improved over the last three years. He shot an opening round 64 here last year and co-led after the first round with Y.E Yang. He opened with a 67 in 2013, a 66 in 2012 and a 70 in 2011, which suggests he could come out and shoot another low round in round 1 this coming Thursday.

Final Selections –
Bubba Watson 14/1 2pts EW
Rickie Fowler 18/1 1 pt EW
Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 1 pt EW
Brendan Steele 33/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader-
Bubba Watson 20/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 12 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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