RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Last week in Augusta

What a finish it was in Augusta National last Sunday night. The back nine had its usual thrills and spills but it all came down to two players facing off against each other standing on the 18th tee with Justin Rose and Sergio Garcia facing the daunting tee shot off the 18th tee. Rose’s drifted fractionally right blocking him from hitting the green with his second and Sergio hit one straight up the middle. Rose made a bogey and Garcia made a birdie. Game over.

It was a bit disappointing for me in that I had Rose at 25’s (and Spieth and Fowler!!) and thought he might be a bit mentally tougher to take down Garcia but it wasn’t meant to be. That being said I don’t think anyone would begrudge Sergio Garcia a major given the fact the guy has been there so many times and stumbled at the last hurdle. Credit where its due, he played great in the closing stages and putted particularly well.

 

Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head, South Carolina  

Par 71, 7,099 yards   

The Course  

Harbour Town was designed by Pete Dye and Jack Nicklaus and has been this events venue since 1969. The course is shorter by PGA Tour standards but is still a fine test with tree lined fairways and smaller than average greens. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s in total and can be a bit tricky off the tee. Hitting the right part of the fairway off the tee for your approach shots is key. The greens are ranked some of the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour so hitting plenty of greens in regulation will be important.

History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 25/1

Henley is in fine form lately and comes to Harbour Town with a win and three top 11’s in his last four starts. He had a great week at the Valspar posting a T9 which included an opening round 64. He followed that with a superb win at the Shell Houston Open shooting rounds of 67,67,69,65 to finish 20 under par in total three strokes clear of his nearest challenger Sung Kang. Henley then travelled to Augusta and finished T11 for the tournament which included a final round 69 and played very steady throughout the week. There are a few stand out stats that make Henley appealing for this course.

When he won in Houston two weeks ago he ranked number one for SG putting, T4 for driving accuracy and T4 for greens in reg. Statswise this season he ranks sixth in SG putting, 20th in GIR and 12th in par 4 scoring. After finishing T6 here in 2013 and T23 last year, Henley could be a big danger man here especially if he continues to putt well.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley has been playing some good golf over the last few weeks and is another player with a great record here. He had a good week in Phoenix finishing T24 and followed that with a T4 at the Genesis Open, T2 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, T23 in Houston and a T22 last week in Augusta. He took the lead after round one and co lead after round two and was playing great from tee to green. He fell beck over the weekend shooting rounds of 72 and 78 but really looked to be hitting the ball really well and putting beautifully.

Hoffman has a good record here finishing T8 in 2012, T6 in 2013 and T14 last year. If Charley can regain some of last week’s confidence from rounds one and two he could go very well here.

 

Russell Knox 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Russell Knox 33/1

Although he’s played poorly over the last few weeks, Russell Knox seems to be a real horse for the course around Harbour Town over the last few years. The Scot was playing well earlier in the season finishing T10 at the CIMB Classic, T9 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo third at the OHL Classic, T19 at the World Cup of Golf, T17 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and T11 at the Sony Open.

He has played very well around here before finishing T2 last year, T18 in 2015 and T9 in 2014. Staswise Knox ranks 10th in driving accuracy which is a plus around here. If he starts well the Scot could regain some of that early season form on a course that clearly suits his eye.

 

William McGirt 40/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017William McGirt 40/1

After shooting an opening 69 last week in Augusta in round one, McGirt went on to shoot rounds of 73,74,74 to finish in a respectable T22 and looked to be putting very well. He has played well this year finishing T9 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua back in January and followed that with a T24 in Phoenix, T28 at the WGC Mexico, T9 at the WGC Matchplay and a T22 last week in Augusta.

He has played well here in the past finishing T9 in 2014, T31 in 2015 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks sixth in driving accuracy, 31st in GIR and 20th in par 4 scoring. He looks decent value for a guy showing some decent form.

 

Final selections –

Russell Henley 25/1 1pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Knox 33/1 0.5pts EW

William McGirt 40/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter@DoublebogeyDB6

Facebookwww.faccebook.com/doublebogey6

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016Hilton Head, South Carolina 

Par 71, 7,101 yards.  

The Course 

This event has been played at Harbour Town Golf Links for many years now and the same players seem to play well here. The course is a short 7,101 yards and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. It is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens, which are ranked among the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour. History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set to be mainly dry with a mix of sunny conditions and some scattered cloud with moderate winds.

 

Zach Johnson 22/1 RBC HeritageZach Johnson 22/1

After shooting an opening round 72 last week in Augusta, Johnson fell right back after a second round 80 and ended up missing the cut. Despite a disappointing second round, last weeks missed cut could be a big positive as he will be fresh coming into this week.

ZJ has been playing well lately and looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

He has played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2007 and second in 2012. This tight track seems to suit his game and statistically he ranks 30th in GIR and 22nd in par 3 scoring. After some solid performances over the last few weeks Johnson looks to be in good form and a big contender here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 RBC Heritage Brandt Snedeker 18/1 

Snedeker played great golf last week in Augusta and looked to be putting very well on those tricky undulating greens. He eventually finished T10 after a final round 72 and has had a superb season so far which began with a T17 at The Frys and a win at The Franklin Templeton with partner Jason Dufner.

He started 2016 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, lost out in a playoff at The Sony in Hawaii and had a superb win in Torrey Pines which included a superb final round 69 in almost unplayable conditions. He had a bit of a dip in form but seems to be back contending over his last two events recording two top 10 in Augusta and The Matchplay.

Sneds has a good record here over the last few years finishing 16th in 2007, a win in 2011, 17th in 2012 and 26th last year. After two good recent performances Snedeker is one to keep on side here.

 

Kevin Kisner 25/1 RBC HeritageKevin Kisner 25/1

The accurate American started the season off with with a win and three top 10’s but has gone off the boil a bit lately. He played well in Augusta last week and shot two 72’s sandwiched between an opening 77 and a third round 76 to finish in a respectable T37. Kisner started the season with a solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

He was unlucky not to win this event last year and lost to Jim Furyk on the second playoff hole, which would be his first of three playoff losses from last year. He ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 37th in GIR, fifth in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. After a decent performance last week on a course that shouldn’t really suit his game Kisner could be another one to watch here.

 

Paul Casey 18/1 RBC HeritagePaul Casey 18/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T4 finish in Augusta last week and a T9 in Bay Hill. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four.

Casey has played well here in the past finishing 11th in 2009, 22nd in 2010 and 18th in 2014. The Englishman ranks 20th in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 33rd in par 4 scoring. His form is getting warm and Casey looks to be another player with a solid game for this course.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick RBC Heritage 2016 Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1

The young Englishman played superb over the weekend in Augusta shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T7 for the week. Matt looked to be hitting a lot of fairways off the tee, hitting alot of green in regulation and lead GIR in the final round on Sunday in Augusta. He has been playing on US soil over the last few weeks finishing T35 in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and T38 at The Matchplay.

He doesn’t hit it a mile but he is known as one of the most accurate players around hitting over 60% of fairways off the tee and ranking 22nd in GIR. Matt finished 23rd here in 2014 and can better that performance after a superb week in Augusta.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 18/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Kisner 25/1 1pt EW

Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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