Houston Open Betting Preview 2018

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2018Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas   

7,441 yards, par 72    

The Course   

Welcome to my Houston Open Betting Preview 2018 its good to be back. The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has traditionally been held the week before the Masters for the last few years giving the players one last chance to get into the field with a win.

The fairways are wide and forgiving with very little rough with water in play on roughly 9 of the 18 holes. The greens are set up similar to Augusta in preparation for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves between an eight iron and a wedge into some of the longer par 4’s.   

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for players with good GIR stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 12/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 12/1 

After an early finish at the WGC Matchplay last week, Phil should be primed and ready to go for a competitive couple of weeks starting this week in Houston. Lefty has been playing some great golf this year with a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts.

He started the season off with an impressive T3 at the Safeway Open followed by a respectable T15 at the WGC HSBC Champions. His more recent form figures read 5,2,6,1,17 and started with a great week in Phoenix posting a T5 and followed that with a T2 in Pebble and an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open.

The Five-time major winner then traveled to Mexico and defeated Justin Thomas in a play-off after an exciting final round 66 at the WGC-Mexico Championship to claim his first victory since the 2013 Open. Mickelson has a great record here in Houston with form figures 55,13,17,12,16,4 including a win in 2011 in his last seven appearances.

Statswise he is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 19th in SGTTG, second in SGP and seventh in par 4 scoring. Mickelson is brimming with confidence since winning in Mexico and has to be a big contender here this week.

 

Luke List 25/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Luke List 25/1

List was a bit unlucky to break his putter last week in the first round of the WGC Matchplay. He went toe to toe with the in form Justin Thomas in round one and despite breaking putter walking off the sixth, he still took Thomas to the 16th green where he eventually lost 2&1.

He said afterwards “I was walking off the 6th tee, and I was a little unhappy about the way I was feeling, a little under the weather, and I thought it was like a brush area and I just kind of swiped my putter, and it turned out to be a wall. It bent like a fraction of an inch. So unfortunately I couldn’t use it the rest of the way. Stupid on my part.” Granted, it was a bit silly but you have to give credit where its due, he still putted pretty well with a wedge for the guts of 11 holes.

His form has been solid over the last few weeks with form figures 26,2,16,7 in his last four starts. List had a respectable week in Torrey Pines finishing T26 and followed that with a solo second at the Honda, where he lost a playoff to Justin Thomas, a T16 a the Valspar and a T7 in Bay Hill. List has played here twice before finishing T3 last year which included three rounds of 68 or better and a T27 in 2016.

Statswise The American ranks third in driving distance averaging an impressive 316 off the tee and 11th in SGTTG. After being knocked out of the Matchplay early, that could work to his advantage here.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 

RCB has been steady as they come recently and arrives to Houston in good form. He was knocked out of the matchplay early last week so he has had plenty of time to get his game right here. His form figures over the last couple of months reads 40,6,26,26,29,3,36.

He started the year with a T6 in Dubai in late January and followed that with back to back T26’s in Riviera and Pebble beach and a T29 at the Honda. The Spaniard then traveled to the WGC Mexico Championship and shot four rounds of 69 or better, including an opening round 66 to finish T3 for the tournament.

He has played here twice before finishing solo fourth in 2016 which included a 68,65 over the weekend and an MC last year. Statswise he ticks the boxes here ranking sixth in GIR, 13TH in SGTTG, 45th in SGP and 25th in par 4 scoring. Rafa should be well rested after a weekend off last week and looks decent value to have another good week in Houston.

 

Final Selections – 

Phil Mickelson 12/1 1pt EW

Luke List 25/1 1pt EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 6pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2017Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas 

7,441 yards, par 72 

The Course 

The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has been held the week before the Masters, giving the players one last chance to get into the field through a win.

This course is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves a short iron into some of the longer par 4’s.

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Jordan Spieth 13/2 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 13/2

The Texas native comes here in great form this season. He started 2017 off with a T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T9 in Phoenix, a win in Pebble Beach, T22 at The Genesis Open in Riviera and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship. Spieth played well last week at the matchplay playing Japan’s Hideto Tanihara in the first round and was beaten 4&2. He bounced back in the second match beating Yuta Ikeda 4&2 and then halved his third match with fellow American Ryan Moore but that wasn’t enough to get into the last 16.

He has a good record here over the last couple of years finishing T13 last year and nearly won in 2015, but narrowly lost in a playoff to J.B Holmes. Spieth ticks a lot of boxes here ranking first in GIR, second in SG approaches to the green, ninth in SGTTG and ranks in the top 3 in par 3, par 4 and par 5 scoring. After getting knocked out early last week he should be fresh and could have a big chance here.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 16/1 

Its hard to know which Rickie Fowler will turn up here in Houston this week but I’m willing to take the risk. Fowler is playing decent golf lately and got the psychological relief of a win in Florida a couple of weeks ago at the Honda Classic which takes the pressure off somewhat. He has played well so far this year with a T3 at the Hero World Challenge, T4 in Phoenix, T16 at the WGC Mexico and a solo 12th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill.

Fowler has a played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2014 and 10th last year. He ranks 25th in driving distance, 32nd in GIR, 12th in SG approaches to the green, 11th in SGTTG and 11th in SGP. If he hits it well off the tee and makes a few putts Fowler could be another one to keep an eye on.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 33/1 

Henley looks a real horse for the course around here and looks to be playing some good golf lately. He had a good week at the RSM Classic before Christmas finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a T13 at The Sony, T16 in Phoenix and an impressive T9 at the Valspar, which included an opening round 64.

He has played very well here over the last few years finishing seventh in 2014, fourth in 2015 and fifth last year and has a stroke average of just under 70 for his last 13 rounds here. He ranks 29th in driving distance, 19th in SGP and 20th in GIR.

 

Billy Horchel Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Billy Horchel 45/1 

Billy needs a big week here if he’s going to tee it up in Augusta next Thursday. He had a bit of a mixed start to the season but he seems to be back showing some form over recently. Billy had a good week in Phoenix finishing a respectable T24 after shooting 65,69 over the weekend and followed that with another decent performance shooting 70,68,67,68 to finish T4 at The Honda Classic. Most recently, Horchel teed it up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing in a respectable T13 for the week.

He came close to victory here back in 2013 when he finished T2 after coming up one stroke short to the winner D.A Points. Statswise he ranks fourth in GIR, 35th in SGTTG, 34th in SG approaches to the green and 26th in par 4 scoring. Pressure could be a big motivator for Horchel here so he could be worth chancing.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Spieth 13/2 1pt EW

Rickie Fowler 16/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 0.5pts EW

Billy Horchel 45/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2016

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2016

Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas 

7,441 yards, par 72   

The Course 

The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has been held the week before the Masters, giving the players one last chance to get into the field with a win.

This course is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards. It is set up to replicate Augusta for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves between an eight iron and a wedge into some of the longer par 4’s.

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Phil Mickelson 20/1

With the exception of a poor front nine against Patrick Reed in the matchplay, Phil played well all week. He comes into this with four top 11 finishes this season starting with a T3 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included four steady rounds in the 60’s finishing 21 under in total. He followed that with a T11 in Phoenix, solo second in Pebble Beach and a solo fifth at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

Phil has a great record here over the last few years finishing T17 last year, T12 in 2014, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and a win in 2011. He also ticks the boxes statswise averaging just under 300 yards off the tee, sixth in SGTTG and 14th in SGP. He also ranks fourth in par 3 scoring, 12th in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. With good current form and a great record on this course Phil could be one to watch.

 

Patrick Reed 22/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Patrick Reed 22/1

Reed played well last week in the matchplay and was unlucky not progress further after getting into the last 16 but got beaten by big hitting Dustin Johnson. He has shown some great form this season with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He had a great week in Pebble Beach finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at the Valspar and a T9 last week at the matchplay.

Reed played well here last year finishing in a respectable T17 which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 73. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 49th in SGTTG, sixth in scrambling and 20th in par 4 scoring.

 

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Charl Schwartzel 28/1

The South African has been in fine form lately with two wins and a top 10 in his last six starts. He finished T9 in The Nedbank Challenge just before Christmas and followed that with a win in The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63 to finish 16 under for the tournament. More recently Schwartzel finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and following that with a superb win at The Valspar.

Schwartzel is hitting it just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 11th in SGTTG and 34th in GIR. He has played well here in the past finishing T19 in 2014 and third in 2010. With superb current form and good previous performances here Schwartzel could be a big contender this week.

 

Brooks Koepka 30/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Brooks Koepka 30/1

Brooks played well last week in The Matchplay winning his group but got knocked out by the eventual winner Jason Day to finish T5. He has been playing well over the last couple of months. He started the season off with a solo seventh at The Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four events finishing T8 in Pebble Beach, T26 at The Honda, T23 at The WGC Cadillac and T5 last week.

Koepka looks like he could suit this course and is averaging 307 off the tee ranking ninth in driving distance and ninth in par 4 scoring. This course tends to suit the bombers and Koepka could follow up another great performance after playing well last week.

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 – First Round Leader  

Phil has a great record on this course and hasn’t shot worse than a 70 in five of his last six opening rounds at The Golf Club of Houston. He started with a 66 last year, 68 in 2014, 65 in 2012, 70 in 2011 and a 69 in 2010.

He hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in his last six opening rounds and looks to be playing really well lately. He started with a 68 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, 69 at The Farmers, 69 in Phoenix, 68 in Pebble, 69 at The Honda and a 67 at The WGC Cadillac. With an 08.10 tee time and rain forecast in the afternoon Phil looks like he could get the better part of the day.

 

Final Selections –

Phil Mickelson 20/1 1.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 22/1 1.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 30/1 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson FRL 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2015

Shell Houston Open 2015 betting preview 2015

Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas

7,441 yards, par 72

Last week at The Valero Texas Open –

How tricky did TPC San Antonio look last week? The players struggled around for the four days in very windy conditions. Jimmy Walker was a class act from start to finish shooting 71,67,69,70 on his way to an 11 under par victory, four clear of his nearest challenger Jordan Spieth.

As for last week’s selections, we ended up with a nice each way return on Daniel Summerhays at 66/1, who finished T4th along with Chesson Hadley. That gave us a little bit of profit and a total profit of +191.93 for the season so far. Let’s keep it going this week in Houston and tee us up nicely for The Masters next week!

 

The Course

The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has been held the week before the Masters, giving the players one last chance to get into the field through a win. This course is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards.

It is set up to replicate Augusta for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves between an eight iron and a wedge into some of the longer par 4’s.

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Patrick Reed 16/1 Shell Houston Open

Patrick Reed 16/1

After taking a week off last week, Reed will come to Houston feeling rested and confident after coming close to winning the Valspar a couple of weeks ago. He got into a playoff with Jordan Spieth and Sean O Hair and put on a masterclass with his shortgame. He got up and down out from everywhere and putted superbly, but was beaten by Ryder Cup team mate Spieth after he holed a superb 30 footer on the third playoff hole for a birdie and the win. I believe the confident Texan will take that good form into this week in Houston.

His current form is good with a win, two top 10’s and two top 25’s in his last seven events. He won the Hyundai Tournament of Champions in Kapalua in early January and continued that good run of form with a T24 at The Humana, T29 at Pebble Beach, T7 at The Honda and a T23 at Doral.

Reed is averaging 290 off the tee and ranks 13th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in strokes gained putting, fourth in approaches from 250-275 and 27th in approaches from 150-175, which Is a good stat for approaches into the long par 4’s. He also ranks 23rd in par 3 scoring, fifth in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. After coming close a couple of weeks ago, Reed could go one better this week and be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 Shell Houston Open

J.B. Holmes 25/1

With three top 10’s and a top 25 in his last five events, J.B. Holmes is another player that took last week off and should be well rested and ready to contend in Houston. Despite a missed cut at Bay Hill, Holmes has been playing very well over the last few weeks and came close to winning at Torrey Pines, but was beaten in a playoff by Jason Day at The Farmers Insurance Open at the beginning of February.

He continued that good run of form and finished T10 at Pebble Beach, which included a superb first round 64. He then had another good week at The Northern Trust Open finishing T22, which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing final round 76. He led after round one in Doral after opening with an impressive 62 and went on to finish solo 2nd.

Holmes has played well here in the past finishing T12 last year, T8 in 2012, T4 in 2011 and P2 in 2009 when he lost in a playoff to Paul Casey. Statswise he ranks 11th in driving distance averaging 303 off the tee, ninth in strokes gained tee to green and 30th in approaches from 150-175,which is a good stat for approaches into the long par 4’s. He also ranks 35th in par 3 scoring, 30th in par 5 scoring and seventh in par 4 birdie or better leaders. With great current form and a good history here, Holmes will be one to watch.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 Shell Houston Open

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1

The South African has only played in a handful of events this year on The PGA Tour and has been showing glimpses of good form. He had a good week at Doral shooting 71,74,67,73 on his way to a solo 6th. He then missed the cut at The Valspar, but bounced back very well at The Arnold Palmer in Bay Hill finishing T9th. Louis is a horse for the course here and has played well in the past finishing T10 in 2013, solo 3rd in 2012 and T16 in 2011.

He is a decent driver of the ball averaging 294 off the tee and hitting just short of 70% greens in regulation in his last four events on the PGA Tour. After finishing solo 3rd in 2012, he went on to get into a playoff with Bubba Watson in The Masters the following week so keep an eye on Louis here this week.

 

Jason Kokrak 40/1 Shell Houston Open 2015

Jason Kokrak 40/1

Jason Kokrak is a player that could really suit this track with his length. He was unlucky not to finish with another top 10 last week in Texas where he carded five bogeys in his final round to finish with a two over 74. Despite that, he still finished in a respectable T11 for the tournament. He has been playing well over the last couple of weeks finishing with a T7 at The Valspar and a T6 at The Arnold Palmer. Kokrak has played well here in the past finishing solo 9th in 2013 and comes to The Golf Club of Houston in much better form this time around.

Statswise he ranks 12th in driving distance averaging 304 yards off the tee and 49th in both strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. His approach stats are also good ranking 16th in approaches from 175-200 and 25th in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks seventh in par 5 scoring and 32nd in par 4 scoring. With Kokrak’s current form and length, he could be a serious danger here at an attractive price.

 

Sean Stefani top 10 finis Shell Houston Open 4/1

Top 10 Finish –

Shawn Stefani 4/1

Shawn Stefani has been playing well this season with three top 15 finishes earlier this year. He played well at The OHL Classic finishing solo 2nd, T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T15 at The Humana Challenge at the end of January. Most recently, he had a good week at The Valspar finishing T17 and followed that with a T21 at Bay Hill. Last week, he finished in a respectable T26 at The Texas Open, which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing first round 79.

Stefani played very well here last year finishing solo 5th on 10 under par for the tournament. He ranks 45th in driving distance, 27th in GIR and sixth in approaches from 200-225, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 13th in par 5 scoring and 38th in par 4 scoring. With a good finish here last year and good current form, Stefani is more than capable of finishing in the top 10 this week.

 

Final selections –

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW 16/1

J.B. Holmes 1.5pts EW 25/1

Louis Oosthuizen 1 pt EW 28/1

Jason Kokrak 1 pt EW 40/1

Shawn Stefani 2 pts Top 10 finish 4/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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