CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips

CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia 

Par 72, 7,005 yards  

 The Course 

The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the fifth time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on the European Tour for the last seven years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Previous winners include Justin Thomas (2015 and 2016) and Ryan Moore (2014 & 2013).

The course is a short  par 72 measuring 7,005 yards and has four very make-able par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue. The greens here are paspalum and are large, undulating and guarded by lots of bunkers so good scrambling will be required. Water is in play on 13 holes and will present some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. There is only a field of 78 players and there is no cut after 36 holes.

Statistically, players that putt well and hit a lot of greens tend to go well on this course. The main areas of focus are current/previous form, GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather is a bit mixed with rain forecast on Thursday but it should be dry for the rest of the week. The rain will make this course quite soft so expect the greens to be quite receptive.

 

 Charl Schwartzel 28/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips Charl Schwartzel 28/1 

The South African has a decent record in this neck of the woods over the years and comes here on the back of a respectable performance in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. He finished T24 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T29 at the Northern Trust, T25 at the Dell Technologies Championship and a T27 at the BMW. He had a couple of standout performances earlier in the season where he finished solo third at the Masters and an impressive T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic.

Schwartzel has a decent record here finishing T19 in 2014 which included a pair of 68’s over the weekend, 11th in 2011 Malaysian Open, sixth in the 2012 Malaysian Open, fourth in the 2013 Malaysian Open. He was averaging just under 300 yards off the tee on the PGA Tour last season and has the length to take full advantage of the short par 5’s.

 

Ian Poulter 28/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and TipsIan Poulter 28/1

Englishman Poulter looks a decent shout here this week and its easy to see why when you consider his glowing record in Asia over the last few years. He finished T6 in the Singapore Open in 2010 and followed that with a win in Hong Kong the following week. He also finished T4 in Hong Kong in 2011, solo fourth in Lake Malaren in Shanghai at the BMW Masters in 2012 and a win at the WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai in 2012 in a top class field. Poulter has only played here only once before finishing T17 which included three rounds of 69 or better.

His current form has been decent finishing T2 at the Players Championship, T14 at The Open, solo third at the Canadian Open, a respectable T22 at the PGA and a T11 at the British Masters. He seems to be hitting the ball well lately and has the short game and putting prowess to have a good week here.

 

Kevin Na 33/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and TipsKevin Na 33/1 

Na has been playing good golf over the last two months. He comes here on the back of a T37 at the Safeway but that doesn’t accurately reflect how he played for most of the tournament. He started very well shooting rounds of 70,71,66 and was well positioned going into round four but a triple bogey on the ninth and a double on the 10th ruined his chances which led to a disappointing 77.

Na played very well towards the end of the season finishing T4 at the Wyndham, which included four rounds of 68 or better, a T29 at the Northern Trust and an impressive T6 at the Dell Technologies Championship which included four rounds of 70 or better.

The American has a great record here in Malaysia finishing T2 in 2014, T3 in 2015 and a respectable T29 last year. In his last 12 competitive rounds here at KL Country Club, Na has shot no worse than a 70 eleven times and has a combined score of 47 under par in total in three appearances. He is a real horse for the course and with solid current form, he looks good value each way at 33/1.

 

Scott Hend 80/1

The big hitting Aussie looks in great shape coming to Malaysia and has been showing some good form over the last few weeks. Hend had a decent performance at the Fiji International finishing T24 and followed that with a super performance at the European Masters, which included an opening round 64 and a second round 63. He ended up in a playoff with Englishman Matt Fitzpatrick but lost on the first playoff hole and finished solo second. He then travelled to the Albertsons Boise Open in LA and posed a respectable 10 under par total to finish T17 for the week.

The Aussie has a great record here at KL Country Club finishing T7 in this event last year, T27 in 2015, T14 at the 2015 Malaysian Open, T18 at the 2014 Malaysian Open and T11 at the 2012 Malaysian Open. Hend has a great record in Asia over the last few years and hits the ball an average of just over 300 yards which will suit here. With his current form and length, he looks great value and has the firepower to take full advantage of these short par 5’s.

 

Final Selections – 

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 1pt EW

Ian Poulter 28/1 0.5pts EW

Kevin Na 33/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Hend 80/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017

Open Championship 2017 Royal Birkdale The Open Championship 2017 Betting Preview

Royal Birkdale, Southport, England

Par 70, 7156 yards

The Course

Its Open Championship week and promises to be filled with a mixed bag of weather and plenty of drama. Royal Birkdale was established in 1889 and underwent a huge redesign in 1922 by Fred Hawtree and JH Taylor to create the current layout. It gained it “Royal” status in 1951 and has been on the Open rota since 1954 when it hosted the Open Championship for the first time. Peter Thompson was the first man to win here and he went on to win a further five Open Championships. He returned to Birkdale in 1965 to win his fifth and final title. This course has been one of the most regular venues for the Open along with Royal Lytham and St Andrews.

It last took place here in 2008 when Irishman Padraig Harrington won on a score of 283 (+3) beating his closest challenger Englishman Ian Poulter by four shots in total. From what we can tell, it was a tough, testing track back in 2008 and demanded accurate driving, GIR and most importantly a good touch on and around the greens.  2017 will be the tenth time Royal Birkdale will be hosting The Open.

Birkdale has a total of 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and two par fives and like many links courses, can play either very difficult or fairly straight forward depending on weather conditions. It is a very spectator friendly course with high dunes spread around the golf course offering some great viewing points. Traditionally with all links courses, keeping the ball in the fairway and avoiding the challenging rough will be extremely advantageous. Judging from the 2008 Open driving accuracy, GIR, scrambling and hot putter are a must if players are going to contend here.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 28/1

The Aussie arrives in Birkdale on the back of a respectable T35 in Scotland and looks nicely warmed up coming into this week. He has been in great form over the last couple of months with three top 10’s in his last six starts. Scott had a good week in Augusta finishing T9, which included two rounds in the 60’s. He followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship in Sawgrass, a T31 at Memorial and a T10 at the FedEx St Jude Classic which included an impressive second round 64.

Scott has a great record at The Open Championship over the last few years with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He finished second to Ernie Els at Lytham & St Annes in 2012 and followed that with a third place finish in Muirfield in 2013, fifth in Hoylake in 2014 and a T10 in St Andrews in 2015.

Statswise Scott ticks a few boxes here ranking 33rd in GIR, 23rd in driving distance averaging a little over 300 yards of the tee, and first in par 3 scoring. Given his Open pedigree and decent current form, Scott has to be well fancied this week.

 

Sergio Garcia 18/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Sergio Garcia 18/1 

After a sensational performance in Augusta beating Justin Rose in a playoff, I don’t think anyone would begrudge the Spaniard a major especially after coming oh so close so many times. He’s one player that jumps off the page in terms of Open Championship form. He has an impressive 10 top 10 finishes in the Open over the last few years and came close to winning in 2007 when he was denied victory by Padraig Harrington in a playoff in Carnoustie.

His results over the last few years have been particularly impressive with three top 6’s in his last three Open starts. He finished second in Hoylake in 2014 and followed that with a sixth place finish in St Andrews in 2015 and a fifth in Troon last year.

After victory at The Masters, Sergio kept up his good form with a T30 at The Players, T20 at the Byron Nelson, T12 in Colonial, T21 at the US Open and T2 at the BMW International Open in Germany.

Statswise he is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 30th in driving accuracy, sixth in GIR, third in SGTTG and 17th in par 4 scoring. Sergio seems to be a different man since winning in Augusta and has to be respected here especially with great performances in the Open over the last few years.

 

Henrik Stenson 25/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 25/1 

Its hard not to back Stenson after last years final round performance in Troon. We saw two heavyweights of the game with Stenson and Mickelson going toe to toe in the final round and it turned out to be one of the best final rounds in major championship history. Stenson was on fire from the get go and ended up carding, what turned out to be an unbelievable 63, winning by three from Mickelson who shot a none-too shabby 65.

The Swedes form in this event is excellent over the last ten years or so. He has three top three finishes including a win last year. He played well in Birkdale in 2008 finishing third and followed that with a T13 in Turnberry in 2009, third in St Andrews in 2010, second in Muirfield in 2013 and a superb win last year in Troon.

Stenson has been back showing some good form over the last couple of months finishing T3 at the BMW PGA in Wenworth, T16 at the Players Championship in Sawgrass, T26 at The Nordea Masters, T10 at the BMW International Open and a respectable T26 last week in Scotland, which included a final round 68. Stenson is hitting just under 75% of greens in regulation ranking 21st and ranks eighth in driving accuracy. He seems to be warming up nicely coming into this week and could be one to watch here.

 

Alex Noren 40/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Alex Noren 40/1

The in-form Swede is in superb form over the last year or so and when it comes to links courses, Noren has to be on the shortlist. He won the Scottish Open in Castlestuart in 2016 and went on to win four more times winning the European Masters, The British Masters, The Nedbank Challenge and the BMW PGA Championship. It’s also worth mentioning Noren was runner up to Anthony Wall at the Paul Lawrie Matchplay in 2016 in Archerfield Links in Scotland. He has also played well at the Alfred Dunhill Links over the last few years finishing T11 in 2016 and solo third in 2012.

Since winning the PGA in Wentworth, Noren went on to finish T15 at the Nordea Masters, tenth at The Players Championship and T10 at the Open De France. He hasn’t the best record in the Majors but Alex played well here in Birkdale in 2008 finishing T19. He also had a good week at the 2012 Open Championship finishing T9 at Lytham and St Annes. With a great links record and great current form, the world number nine could be another huge danger man here.

 

Padraig Harrington 50/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Padraig Harrington 50/1 

The 2008 champion has bounced back well after an elbow injury and looks to be back playing some good golf again. The Irishman played excellent last time the Open was held here in Birkdale and shot a superb final round 67 to beat Ian Poulter by four and lift the Claret Jug. Harrington played well last week in Scotland holding the 36 hole lead after shooting 67,68 in the first two rounds. The weather got the better of him on Saturday which resulted in a disappointing 79 but he bounced back with a final round 66 to finish T4. He has had a couple of good results over the last few weeks finishing T17 at the Travelers at the end of June shooting three rounds in the 60’s.

He has two Open Championships under his belt, the first one coming at Carnoustie in 2007 where he beat Sergio Garcia in a playoff and the second here in Birkdale in 2008. He also finished T20 in St Andrews in 2015 and T36 last year in Troon. He seems to be in a good place with his game and he’s the only one in the field that knows what its like to win here in Birkdale. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see him floating around the leaderboard come Sunday afternoon.

 

Ian Poulter 70/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Ian Poulter 70/1

I thought Poulter looked great value considering he’s back playing some good golf lately. As I mentioned above Poulter finished runner up to Harrington in 2008 on this course and has some good results at The Open over the last few years. He finished ninth in 2012 at Lytham and St Annes and followed that with a third place finish in 2013 in Muirfield.

He had a good week at the RBC Heritage in Harbour Town finishing T11 posting 11 under in total. Poulter then tee’d it up in Sawgrass and played solid throughout the week and putted very well finishing T2. He travelled to Scotland last week and finished T9 at the Scottish Open finishing seven under par in total. After a decent performance in Scotland and a runner up finish here in 2008, Poulter could be worth a small punt here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Adam Scott 28/1 1pt EW

Henrik Stenson 25/1 1 pt EW

Sergio Garcia 18/1 1 pt EW

Alex Noren 40/1 0.5pts EW

Padraig Harrington 50/1 0.5pts EW

Ian Poulter 70/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 9 pts

 

*Most bookies paying seven places (PP paying 8)*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015 betting tips

TPC Harding Park, San Francisco, California

7,115 yards Par 71

 

 

Last week:

We had another great week in New Orleans tipping Justin Rose at 10/1 and Cameron Tringale at 50/1. That makes Justin Rose our ninth winner of the season and Cameron Tringale our 12th each way place. Let’s keep it going for the Matchplay this week!

The Course and Format

There is a new format this year with 64 players being divided into 16 groups of four who will compete in a round robin style. The winner of each group will go forward into a final group of 16 and will play in a bracket format. Each player will get to play three matches, one each against the others in the group. All matches will be taking place from Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with the finalists going through to the weekend. Previous winners include Jason Day (2014), Matt Kuchar (2013), Hunter Mahan (2012), Luke Donald (2011), Ian Poulter (2010) Geoff Ogilvy (2009) and Tiger Woods (2008).

TPC Harding Park is a 7,127 yard par 71 and hosted the WGC American Express event back in 2005 and the Presidents Cup in 2009. It has three par 5’s, two of which are the first and 18th, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The course is a fairly flat layout wit tree lined fairways and some dog legs. The greens are not too difficult and there are not too many bunkers to contend with.

The main things to lookout for are par 4 scoring; strokes gained putting, GIR and good matchplay players. Be on the lookout for players that have had success in The Ryder Cup, Presidents Cup and previous WGC Matchplay events over the last few years. This week has the looks of being a little unpredictable so keep your stake low as anything could happen!

 

Jordan Spieth 9/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay

Jordan Spieth 9/1

After a favourable draw getting Lee Westwood, Mikko Ilonen and Matt Every, Jordan Spieth should have no problem topping his group and progressing to the final 16. However, they may not be as easy as you think. Westwood and Ilonen both have good matchplay records with Westy a Ryder Cup veteran and Ilonen a previous winner of the Volvo World Matchplay. Spieth is the best player on the planet at the moment in terms of form and has a good matchplay record in both The Ryder Cup, where he played superb with fellow rookie Patrick Reed, and in this event in Arizona last year, where he reached the quarter finals only to be beaten 4 and 2 to Ernie Els.

Spieth has recorded two wins in his last five events, which came at Augusta and The Valspar. He also finished solo 2nd in Texas and lost in a playoff in Houston. In his last eight events, he has only finished outside the top 10 twice. The youngster also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in strokes gained putting, 22nd in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. With superb current form and a favourable group, Jordan Spieth looks a worthy favourite here this week.

 

Jaosn Day 16/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

Jason Day 16/1

After being in contention last week in New Orleans, Day made a couple of late bogeys and took himself out of it. In an interview afterwards, he admitted that humidity and the fact that he had to play roughly 30 holes on Sunday took a lot out of him, especially on the back nine, which made him make some unforced errors due to a lack of concentration. That’s fair enough.

He faces Charley Hoffman, Zach Johnson and Branden Grace in group 7 and should advance to the final 16. After winning this event last year in a final round tussle with Victor Dubuisson, Day managed to get the job done, despite the Frenchman’s stunning scrambling. The Aussie has been playing well this season with a win at Torrey Pines and a further three top five’s in his last eight starts.

He ranks seventh in GIR, 15th in stroke gained tee to green, first in par 4 scoring and second in par 3 scoring. With a great matchplay record in both this event and in The Presidents Cup, Day could be a danger man here, especially after a good performance last week in New Orleans.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015Patrick Reed 25/1

I think the young American could have a great week in San Fran this week given his performance in The Ryder Cup and his very competitive prowess. He is grouped with Danny Willett, Andy Sullivan and Ryan Moore. He is playing well this year with a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions back in January and top 10’s at The Honda Classic and a P2 at The Valspar in which he lost in a playoff to Jordan Spieth.

Most recently, he had an MC at The RBC Heritage, but finished in a respectable T22 at Augusta and a T17 in Houston. Statswise he seems to fit well here ranking 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 21st in strokes gained putting, 32nd in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. With a favourable draw in the group stages and good matchplay pedigree, Reed is another player capable of having a good week.

 

Ian Poulter 33/1 WGC Cadillac Matchhplay 2015

Ian Poulter 33/1

Poulter is playing well so far this season and has been inside the top 25 in five of his last six events. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T3, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing final round 74. He continued that good run of form with a T24 at The Valspar, T21 at Bay Hill and a superb T6 in Augusta. Despite a 73 in round one, Poulter went on to shoot 72, 67,67 over the weekend and hit most greens in regulation for the tournament.

We all know he thrives in a matchplay environment and has the Ryder Cup and WGC Matchplay record to prove it. He has played well in this event over the years reaching the Quarter Finals in 2013 and defeated Paul Casey in the final to win in 2010. Poulter ranks 32nd in GIR, 37th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in three putt avoidance and sixth in par 4 scoring. If he gets the putter hot and starts well, he could be a tough man to beat.

 

Paul Casey 33/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

Paul Casey 33/1

Casey is playing good golf so far this season with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Honda Classic finishing T3 and followed that with a solo 9th in Houston and an impressive T6 at The Masters. Casey was another player who hit a lot of greens in Augusta and putted superbly. He has a great matchplay record performing in three Ryder Cups and reaching two WGC Matchplay finals. He got to the final in 2009, but was beaten by Geoff Ogilvy and reached the final in 2010, where he was beaten by fellow countryman Ian Poulter 7 and 6.

Casey ranks 16th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. With a great matchplay record and good current form, Paul Casey will be well rested and ready to contend this week.

 

Final selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 9/1

Jason Day 1 pt EW 16/1

Patrick Reed 1 pt EW 25/1

Ian Poulter 1 pt EW 33/1

Paul Casey 1 pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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